Franco-Nevada Corp
NYSE:FNV
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FNV stock under the Base Case scenario is 67.54 USD. Compared to the current market price of 124.69 USD, Franco-Nevada Corp is Overvalued by 46%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Franco-Nevada Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Franco-Nevada Corp. is a prominent player in the global mining industry, specializing in the acquisition and management of royalty and streaming assets. Founded in 1983 and based in Toronto, Canada, the company has carved out a niche by providing a unique investment alternative to traditional mining. Instead of directly mining resources, Franco-Nevada invests in projects at various stages of development and collects royalties on the production of gold, silver, and several other precious and base metals. This business model not only mitigates the risks associated with direct mining operations but also allows the company to benefit from the upside of commodity price increases. As demand for re...
Franco-Nevada Corp. is a prominent player in the global mining industry, specializing in the acquisition and management of royalty and streaming assets. Founded in 1983 and based in Toronto, Canada, the company has carved out a niche by providing a unique investment alternative to traditional mining. Instead of directly mining resources, Franco-Nevada invests in projects at various stages of development and collects royalties on the production of gold, silver, and several other precious and base metals. This business model not only mitigates the risks associated with direct mining operations but also allows the company to benefit from the upside of commodity price increases. As demand for resources grows amid global economic recovery, Franco-Nevada stands out as a dependable way for investors to gain exposure to the mining sector without the inherent operational risks.
Investors are drawn to Franco-Nevada not just for its innovative approach but also for its solid financial health and robust growth trajectory. The company has built a diverse portfolio of over 400 assets, ensuring a balanced exposure across geographical regions and commodities. Its strong cash flow generation facilities allow it to invest in new opportunities while returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. Over the years, Franco-Nevada has maintained a disciplined approach to capital allocation, focusing on high-quality projects with long-term potential. For investors seeking a stable, diversified investment in the mining sector, Franco-Nevada Corp. emerges as a compelling choice, blending safety with growth potential in an ever-evolving market landscape.
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a leading mining royalty and stream company based in Canada. Its business model primarily revolves around generating revenue through royalties, streams, and other financial arrangements related to precious and base metals, primarily in the mining sector. Here are the core business segments of Franco-Nevada:
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Gold:
- Royalty and Stream Agreements: This is the largest segment and includes a variety of agreements that grant Franco-Nevada a percentage of revenue or physical gold from mining operations. This segment often includes top-tier assets in stable jurisdictions.
- Investment Focus: Franco-Nevada focuses heavily on gold as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, with a portfolio that includes leading gold-producing mines.
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Precious Metals (non-gold):
- Diversification: While gold is the primary focus, Franco-Nevada also has interests in silver and other precious metals through similar royalty and streaming arrangements. This helps to diversify the revenue streams and reduce risk.
- Market Demand: Silver, as a by-product, often comes from mines primarily focused on gold or base metals, providing both strategic and financial benefits.
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Base Metals:
- Royalty and Streaming: This segment includes agreements related to copper, nickel, zinc, and other base metals. These metals can have cyclical price behaviors and contribute additional revenue through diversified interests.
- Growth Markets: With the increasing demand for base metals in industries such as technology and renewable energy, Franco-Nevada’s exposure in this segment is strategically valuable.
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Other Assets and Minerals:
- Diversified Portfolio: Franco-Nevada also holds interests in various minerals and assets, including energy, agriculture, and other non-metallic minerals. This segment serves to further diversify the company’s holdings and mitigate potential risks associated with traditional mining operations.
- Alternative Investments: This may include investments in royalties for energy projects (like oil and gas) and other commodities, which can provide stable cash flow.
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Geographic Focus:
- Global Reach: Franco-Nevada operates globally with significant assets in North America, South America, Africa, and Australia. This international presence helps manage geopolitical risks and access various mining markets.
Franco-Nevada's success largely derives from its ability to maintain a conservative approach while capitalizing on growth opportunities in the mining industry. Its business model allows it to participate in the success of mining projects without the direct operational risks associated with mining itself.
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a leading global gold-focused royalty and streaming company, and it possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Diversified Royalty Portfolio: Franco-Nevada has a highly diversified portfolio of royalty and streaming assets across various commodities, primarily gold, as well as silver, platinum, and various other metals. This diversification mitigates risk and contributes to stable cash flow.
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Low Operating Costs: Unlike traditional mining companies, Franco-Nevada does not engage in mining operations, which means it avoids the significant costs associated with exploration, development, and operational risks. This allows for lower overhead and risk exposure, enhancing profitability.
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Strong Financial Position: The company has a strong balance sheet with minimal debt and significant cash reserves. This financial strength allows Franco-Nevada to execute its growth strategy effectively, including acquiring new royalties and streams during market downturns when valuations may be more attractive.
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Favorable Structure: The royalty and streaming business model allows for significant leverage to commodity price increases without the associated risks of operating mines. This structure typically results in higher margins compared to traditional mining operations.
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Established Relationships: Franco-Nevada has long-standing relationships with major mining companies and project developers, facilitating access to high-quality assets. These relationships also enhance negotiation power in royalty and streaming agreements.
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Geographic Diversification: The company operates across various jurisdictions, which reduces geographical risk. Franco-Nevada has royalties and streams on assets located in stable mining regions, further protecting against political and regulatory risks.
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Reputation and Brand: With a strong reputation in the industry for reliability and fairness in its transactions, Franco-Nevada attracts top-tier projects and partners, creating a self-reinforcing cycle of opportunity.
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Focus on Precious Metals: Franco-Nevada's concentrated focus on precious metals, specifically gold, positions it well to take advantage of long-term trends in these markets, particularly with increased global uncertainty and inflationary pressures.
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Technological and Operational Efficiency: The company leverages advanced technology and analytics to assess potential investments efficiently, leading to informed decision-making in the acquisition of new streams and royalties.
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Strong Shareholder Base and Support: Franco-Nevada has a loyal and supportive shareholder base, which provides stability and allows the company to focus on long-term growth without succumbing to short-term market pressures.
These competitive advantages position Franco-Nevada favorably within the mining sector, allowing it to continue to thrive and expand in a competitive landscape.
Franco-Nevada Corporation, a leading precious metals and minerals royalty and streaming company, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that can affect its operations and financial performance. Here are some key considerations:
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Commodity Price Volatility: Since Franco-Nevada's revenue is largely dependent on the prices of gold, silver, and other commodities, fluctuations in these prices can significantly impact its profitability. A decline in commodity prices could reduce cash flows from its partners, affecting royalty payments.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in mining regulations, environmental laws, and policies in the countries where Franco-Nevada operates can impose additional costs or limitations on operations. Regulatory compliance can be complex and may lead to delays or increased expenditures.
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Operational Risks of Partners: Franco-Nevada relies on mining companies (its partners) to operate mines and generate revenue. If these partners experience operational issues, such as cost overruns, labor strikes, or technical failures, it could delay or reduce royalty payments.
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Geopolitical Risks: The company has interests in various countries, each with its own political and economic climate. Geopolitical instability, such as changes in government, civil unrest, or trade disputes, could adversely impact operations or asset valuations.
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Market Competition: The royalty and streaming industry has seen increased competition. New entrants or existing competitors may drive down royalty prices or create unfavorable terms for Franco-Nevada when negotiating new agreements.
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Technological Changes: Advances in mining technology could affect the economics of existing mines and the feasibility of future projects. If partners adopt technologies that lower costs significantly, it could shift the competitive landscape.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a company involved in global operations, Franco-Nevada is exposed to foreign exchange risk. Currency fluctuations can impact costs and revenues, especially if operations are in currencies weaker than the U.S. dollar.
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Economic Conditions: Broader economic conditions can affect demand for metals and minerals. Economic downturns can decrease investment in mining projects and consumer demand for precious metals, negatively impacting royalties.
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Environmental and Social Risks: Increasing pressure for sustainable and socially responsible mining practices could pose challenges. Franco-Nevada must ensure that its partners comply with ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards, or risk reputational damage.
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Resource Depletion: Over time, the depletion of resources at existing mines may lead to a decline in future royalty income, particularly if new profitable mines are not developed to replace declining assets.
Overall, while Franco-Nevada benefits from a diversified portfolio and a robust business model, these risks and challenges can contribute to uncertainty in its future performance. Managing these risks effectively requires careful monitoring, strategic planning, and strong relationships with its mining partners.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Franco-Nevada Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Franco-Nevada Corp
Current Assets | 1.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.4B |
Receivables | 131.1m |
Other Current Assets | 98.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 4.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 267.5m |
PP&E | 4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 168m |
Current Liabilities | 57.3m |
Accounts Payable | 30.1m |
Other Current Liabilities | 27.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 238.7m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 238.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
Franco-Nevada Corp
Revenue
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1.1B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-404.8m
USD
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Gross Profit
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724.9m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-29.6m
USD
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Operating Income
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695.3m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
USD
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Net Income
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-583.4m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Franco-Nevada Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Franco-Nevada reported strong financial results for Q2 2024, bolstered by record gold prices. While revenues and cash flow improved compared to Q1, they were down from last year due to lower production at Candelaria and Antapaccay. The company expects these operations to normalize in the second half of the year. Franco-Nevada added two long-life assets, including a gold stream on SolGold's project in Ecuador and a royalty on Newmont's operations in Peru. Despite disruptions, Franco-Nevada projects total GEO sales for 2024 to be 480,000 to 540,000, with mid-single-digit returns anticipated from key investments.
What is Earnings Call?
FNV Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Franco-Nevada Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Franco-Nevada Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FNV Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Franco-Nevada Corp's solvency score is 93/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Franco-Nevada Corp's solvency score is 93/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FNV Price Targets Summary
Franco-Nevada Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FNV is 149.65 USD with a low forecast of 104.09 USD and a high forecast of 206.02 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for FNV is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
FNV Price
Franco-Nevada Corp
Average Annual Return | 11.63% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 11.85% |
Max Drawdown | -38% |
Market Capitalization | 24B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 192 400 000 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 1.71% |
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Franco-Nevada Corp. engages in the management of gold-focused royalties and streams portfolio. The company is headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. The company went IPO on 2007-11-30. The firm owns a portfolio of royalty, stream and working interests, covering properties at various stages, from production to early exploration located in South America, Central America and Mexico, United States, Canada, Australia, Europe and Africa. The firm holds 324 mining assets and 82 energy assets for a total of 406 assets. The company earns revenue from various forms of agreements, ranging from net smelter return royalties, streams, net profits interests, net royalty interests, working interests and other types of arrangements. The firm's subsidiaries include Franco-Nevada U.S. Corporation, Franco-Nevada Australia Pty Ltd., Franco-Nevada (Barbados) Corporation, and Franco-Nevada Canada Holdings Corp.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one FNV stock under the Base Case scenario is 67.54 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 124.69 USD, Franco-Nevada Corp is Overvalued by 46%.