Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
NYSE:FND
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FND stock under the Base Case scenario is 59.23 USD. Compared to the current market price of 107.02 USD, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 45%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. is a prominent retailer specializing in hard surface flooring and related accessories, carving out a unique niche in the home improvement sector. Since its founding in 2000, the company has experienced substantial growth, both in terms of revenue and market presence. Its business model revolves around offering a wide variety of high-quality flooring options—including tile, wood, and laminate—at competitive prices, appealing to both DIY enthusiasts and professional contractors. The company's distinctive warehouse-style stores feature an expansive selection, allowing customers to visualize and touch products before making a purchase. This customer-centric approach,...
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. is a prominent retailer specializing in hard surface flooring and related accessories, carving out a unique niche in the home improvement sector. Since its founding in 2000, the company has experienced substantial growth, both in terms of revenue and market presence. Its business model revolves around offering a wide variety of high-quality flooring options—including tile, wood, and laminate—at competitive prices, appealing to both DIY enthusiasts and professional contractors. The company's distinctive warehouse-style stores feature an expansive selection, allowing customers to visualize and touch products before making a purchase. This customer-centric approach, combined with a commitment to operational efficiency, has positioned Floor & Decor as a go-to destination for flooring solutions in the U.S.
For investors, Floor & Decor represents a compelling opportunity due to its robust growth trajectory and strong market fundamentals. The company has consistently reported impressive sales growth, driven by an expanding store footprint and rising same-store sales, highlighting its ability to capture a larger share of the home improvement market. Moreover, Floor & Decor has successfully navigated economic fluctuations, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. With a focus on enhancing its e-commerce capabilities and forging strategic partnerships, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing trends in home renovation and remodeling. In a landscape where homeowners increasingly prioritize quality and style in their living spaces, Floor & Decor stands out as a leader, making it an attractive investment choice for those looking to tap into the thriving home improvement industry.
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. operates primarily in the home improvement sector, specializing in hard surface flooring and related products. The company has distinct core business segments:
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Retail Operations: Floor & Decor operates a chain of warehouse stores offering a wide selection of hard surface flooring products, including tile, wood, laminate, and luxury vinyl. These stores also feature an extensive range of associated products such as installation materials, tools, and accessories. The retail segment is focused on providing both consumers and professional contractors with an appealing shopping experience.
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E-commerce: The e-commerce segment allows customers to shop for flooring products online. This channel serves a growing customer base that prefers the convenience of online shopping, providing a seamless connection between the retail experience and digital platforms.
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Professional Sales: Floor & Decor targets professional contractors and builders by offering a dedicated sales team, volume pricing, and tailored services. This segment emphasizes building relationships with professionals in the industry to drive bulk sales and repeat business.
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Project and Design Services: The company provides design assistance and project planning services aimed at both consumers and professionals. This segment enhances customer service by offering expert advice and personalized solutions for various flooring and home renovation projects.
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Private Label Products: Floor & Decor also focuses on its proprietary brand products, which can offer higher margins compared to other branded products. This includes exclusive tiles and flooring materials that provide differentiation from competitors.
These core segments collectively aim to enhance customer experience, drive sales growth, and establish Floor & Decor as a leader in the hard surface flooring market. The company’s strategy is geared toward offering a comprehensive selection of products, competitive pricing, and superior customer service in both its physical and digital stores.
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc has several competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the home improvement and flooring industry:
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Specialization in Hard Surface Flooring: Floor & Decor focuses primarily on hard surface flooring products, such as tile, wood, and stone, which allows them to develop expertise in this niche. This specialization enables them to provide a broader selection and better quality products compared to competitors that offer a more diverse range of home improvement goods.
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Direct Sourcing and Cost Structure: The company engages in direct sourcing from manufacturers, which helps to reduce costs and increase profit margins. This approach helps Floor & Decor offer competitive pricing to customers while maintaining quality.
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Extensive Product Selection: The company boasts a wide variety of flooring and related accessories, catering to different customer preferences and project needs. This extensive selection enhances the shopping experience and encourages customers to choose Floor & Decor for one-stop shopping.
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Showroom Experience: Floor & Decor locations generally feature large, well-designed showrooms that allow customers to visualize their purchases, enhancing customer experience. The ability to see and feel products in a showroom setting can increase customer confidence in their purchasing decisions.
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Strong Brand Recognition and Customer Loyalty: The brand has established a reputation for quality and value, fostering a loyal customer base. Positive brand associations can lead to repeat business and referrals.
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Effective Marketing Strategies: The company's focus on marketing and promotional strategies, including partnerships and educational events, helps to attract and retain customers. Their marketing efforts are often tailored to both professional contractors and DIY consumers.
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E-commerce Presence: Floor & Decor has developed its online platform, allowing customers to browse products and make purchases conveniently. This is increasingly important as consumer behavior shifts towards online shopping.
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Supporting Professional Contractors: The company offers products, resources, and support tailored for professional contractors, which strengthens its relationships with this key customer segment. By catering to the needs of contractors, Floor & Decor can drive higher sales volume through bulk purchases.
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Strong Financial Position: A solid financial foundation allows Floor & Decor to invest in expansion, marketing, and new technology, which can enhance operational efficiency and customer engagement.
Overall, Floor & Decor’s competitive advantages stem from its specialization, customer experience, cost management, and targeted marketing, positioning it favorably against its rivals in the flooring industry.
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc. operates in the highly competitive retail and home improvement sector, and like any business, it faces several risks and challenges that could impact its future performance. Here are some of the key factors:
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Economic Uncertainty: Fluctuations in the economy can significantly impact consumer spending on home renovations and improvements. Economic downturns or slower growth can lead to decreased sales.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The company relies on a global supply chain for its products. Disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or logistical challenges can affect inventory levels and costs.
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Competition: Floor & Decor competes with both large retailers (like Home Depot and Lowe’s) and specialized flooring retailers. Increased competition can lead to pricing pressures, reduced market share, and challenges in customer retention.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: As consumer preferences evolve toward sustainability, eco-friendliness, and technology (like smart home integrations), Floor & Decor must adapt its product offerings accordingly.
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Regulatory Changes: The retail industry is subject to various regulations, including labor laws, environmental regulations, and import tariffs. Any changes in these regulations could increase operational costs or limit product availability.
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Inflation: Rising costs for materials and transportation due to inflation can eat into profit margins. If Floor & Decor is unable to pass these costs onto consumers, it may affect its financial performance.
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Labor Shortages: The retail sector is facing labor shortages, which can impact customer service and store operations. Difficulty in hiring skilled workers may hinder growth and efficiency.
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E-commerce Competition: With the growth of online shopping, Floor & Decor must enhance its e-commerce capabilities to compete against online-only retailers, which may offer more convenience and competitive pricing.
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Real Estate Market Volatility: As a home improvement retailer, Floor & Decor is sensitive to the real estate market. Fluctuations in housing prices and sales can affect customer demand for flooring products and home renovations.
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Branding and Customer Loyalty: Building and maintaining a strong brand presence is essential to attract and retain customers. Any misstep in marketing or product offerings could lead to a loss of customer loyalty.
In light of these risks and challenges, Floor & Decor will need to strategically navigate market dynamics, invest in its supply chain and technology, and remain agile in responding to consumer trends to sustain its growth trajectory.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 1.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 180.8m |
Receivables | 107.7m |
Other Current Assets | 1.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 3.5B |
PP&E | 3.1B |
Intangibles | 409.1m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 23.7m |
Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Accounts Payable | 737.8m |
Accrued Liabilities | 440.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 14.6m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 194.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
4.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.9B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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243.1m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-47.7m
USD
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Net Income
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195.5m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the third quarter of fiscal 2024, Floor & Decor faced challenges with a 6.4% decline in comparable store sales yet managed a surprising diluted EPS of $0.48. They adjusted their EPS guidance for the full year, now aiming for $1.65 to $1.75, down from $1.55 to $1.75. While gross margins increased to 43.5% due to improved supply chain costs, selling and store operating expenses rose by 9.9%. Looking ahead, they plan to open 30 new warehouse stores in fiscal 2024 and expect modest overall sales growth despite existing home sales challenges amid rising mortgage rates.
What is Earnings Call?
FND Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FND Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc's solvency score is 78/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FND Price Targets Summary
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FND is 107.28 USD with a low forecast of 64.64 USD and a high forecast of 141.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FND is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
FND Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. engages in the retail of hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia and currently employs 7,986 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-04-27. The firm offers an assortment of in-stock hard-surface flooring, including tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone along with decorative accessories and wall tile, installation materials. The firm offers its products to various customers, including professional installers and commercial businesses (Pro), do it yourself customers (DIY), and customers who buy the products for professional installation (Buy it Yourself or BIY). The company primarily sells hard surface flooring and related accessories through retail stores located in the United States. The Company, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Floor and Decor Outlets of America, Inc., operates approximately 160 warehouse-format stores and two small-format standalone design studios in 33 states as well as four distribution centers and an e-commerce site, flooranddecor.com.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one FND stock under the Base Case scenario is 59.23 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 107.02 USD, Floor & Decor Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 45%.