Fair Isaac Corp
NYSE:FICO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one FICO stock under the Base Case scenario is 809.5827 USD. Compared to the current market price of 2 355.3501 USD, Fair Isaac Corp is Overvalued by 66%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fair Isaac Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Fair Isaac Corporation, commonly known as FICO, is a pioneering analytics software company that has carved a prominent niche in helping businesses make data-driven decisions. Founded in 1956, the company is renowned for its credit scoring services, particularly the FICO Score, which has become the standard for credit risk assessment in the financial industry. Beyond credit scoring, FICO develops a comprehensive suite of analytics applications for businesses across various sectors, including banking, insurance, and healthcare. Its innovative solutions harness the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning, enabling organizations to enhance their operational efficiency, mitigate ris...
Fair Isaac Corporation, commonly known as FICO, is a pioneering analytics software company that has carved a prominent niche in helping businesses make data-driven decisions. Founded in 1956, the company is renowned for its credit scoring services, particularly the FICO Score, which has become the standard for credit risk assessment in the financial industry. Beyond credit scoring, FICO develops a comprehensive suite of analytics applications for businesses across various sectors, including banking, insurance, and healthcare. Its innovative solutions harness the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning, enabling organizations to enhance their operational efficiency, mitigate risk, and ultimately drive profitability.
As an investor, understanding FICO's strategic direction is crucial. The company has consistently positioned itself at the forefront of predictive analytics, steadily expanding its product offerings to address the evolving needs of the marketplace. By integrating advanced technologies like machine learning and advanced analytics, FICO is not only enhancing its existing services but also tapping into lucrative growth opportunities in emerging markets. With a strong history of profitability, a robust customer base, and ongoing investments in innovation, Fair Isaac Corporation promises a compelling case for investors seeking exposure to data analytics and risk management in today’s dynamic business environment.
Fair Isaac Corporation, commonly known as FICO, is a data analytics company that specializes in providing solutions for decision management, particularly related to credit scoring and risk management. The company operates in several core business segments:
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Scores: This segment primarily focuses on credit scoring solutions, including the widely recognized FICO Score. The Scores segment offers products and services that help lenders and other financial institutions assess credit risk and make informed lending decisions.
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Decision Management: FICO provides tools for businesses to automate and optimize decision-making processes. This includes advanced analytics, artificial intelligence (AI), and machine learning (ML) capabilities that aid in risk assessment and operational efficiency.
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Fraud, Risk, and Compliance: In this segment, FICO offers services aimed at detecting and preventing fraud and managing risk. This includes solutions for transaction monitoring, identity verification, and regulatory compliance support for various industries, especially financial services.
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Analytics and Consulting Services: FICO provides consulting services and advanced analytics capabilities to help organizations interpret data and improve decision-making frameworks. This can include custom modeling, performance assessments, and strategic advisory to optimize business processes.
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Customer Engagement: This segment focuses on enhancing customer experience and engagement through data-driven insights and methodologies. FICO offers solutions that help companies improve customer interactions and optimize marketing strategies.
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Industry Solutions: FICO also tailors its offerings to specific industries such as banking, insurance, telecommunications, and healthcare. This segmentation allows FICO to apply its analytics and decision management tools more effectively based on each industry's unique challenges and requirements.
Overall, FICO's core business segments are designed to help organizations leverage data and analytics for better decision-making, risk management, and customer engagement, creating value across various industries.
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO), known for its analytics and decision management technology, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key points:
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Established Brand Reputation: FICO is widely recognized for its credit scoring models, especially the FICO Score, which is a standard in the financial industry. This brand equity provides trust and credibility among customers.
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Comprehensive Data Analytics: FICO has a strong foundation in big data and analytics, enabling it to provide sophisticated predictive analytics and risk management solutions. This capability helps organizations make informed decisions, providing a significant edge over competitors.
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Intellectual Property and Proprietary Algorithms: FICO's proprietary models and algorithms are highly regarded for their accuracy and efficiency. The company invests substantially in R&D to improve its offerings continuously, granting it a technological advantage.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: FICO offers a wide range of products across various sectors, including fraud detection, credit risk assessment, and customer engagement solutions. This diversity can attract different customer segments and reduce reliance on any single market.
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Strong Client Relationships: FICO has built long-lasting relationships with many prominent financial institutions and industries. This loyalty promotes customer retention and facilitates upselling opportunities.
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Industry Expertise: With decades of experience in analytics and risk management, FICO has developed substantial industry knowledge. This expertise enables the company to offer tailored solutions that meet specific client needs.
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Global Reach and Scalability: FICO has a significant presence in various international markets, which helps to diversify its revenue streams and mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations in any single region.
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Focus on Compliance and Regulatory Solutions: With increasing regulatory pressures on financial institutions, FICO's solutions are often designed to assist clients in maintaining compliance. This focus can be a considerable advantage as companies seek to avoid penalties and manage risk.
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Innovation and Adaptability: FICO consistently integrates emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning into its products. This ability to innovate helps the company keep pace with industry changes and customer expectations.
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Partnerships and Ecosystem Integration: FICO collaborates with various technology providers and industry players to ensure its solutions can seamlessly integrate into broader digital ecosystems, enhancing value for its clients.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Fair Isaac Corp can maintain its leadership position in the analytics and decision management industry while continuing to grow in an increasingly competitive landscape.
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) operates in the analytics and decision management software space, specializing in credit scoring and risk management solutions. As with any company, FICO faces various risks and challenges that could impact its business in the near future. Here are several key considerations:
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Market Competition: FICO faces intense competition from a variety of sources, including traditional competitors in credit scoring and new entrants offering innovative analytics solutions. The rise of fintech companies could pose a significant threat, as these companies often leverage advanced technology and data analytics.
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Regulatory Changes: The financial services industry is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations, particularly those around credit scoring, data privacy, and consumer rights, could affect FICO's products and services. Staying compliant and adapting to new laws can be resource-intensive and could require significant changes to their business practices.
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Data Privacy and Security: As FICO deals with sensitive personal financial data, data breaches or security failures could damage its reputation and lead to legal repercussions. Compliance with data protection regulations like GDPR or CCPA is essential but can add complexity and cost.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid advancements in technology, including artificial intelligence and machine learning, mean that FICO must continually innovate its offerings. Falling behind in technology could impact its competitive position.
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Economic Downturns: Economic volatility, such as a recession, can lead to higher default rates on loans and credit products, which may impact the demand for FICO's credit scoring solutions. Additionally, clients may cut back on spending during economic uncertainty.
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Customer Dependency: FICO's revenue is dependent on a relatively small number of large clients. Loss of any key clients, or reduced spending by these clients, can significantly affect revenue streams.
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Global Expansion Challenges: If FICO seeks to expand its business internationally, it may face challenges related to market entry barriers, understanding local regulations, and cultural differences—especially in areas related to finance and consumer behavior.
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Customer Experience and Satisfaction: Maintaining high customer satisfaction is critical in a competitive market. Negative experiences or perceptions can lead to customer attrition and hamper FICO's ability to attract new clients.
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Economic Trends in Credit Markets: Shifts in demographics or behavior in credit markets (e.g., a growing trend towards alternative credit scoring models) could impact the traditional business model which relies heavily on established credit scoring methodologies.
To mitigate these risks, FICO will likely need to enhance its strategic planning, invest in technology and regulatory compliance, and cultivate strong relationships with clients while maintaining a focus on innovation and customer satisfaction.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Fair Isaac Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Fair Isaac Corp
Current Assets | 617.4m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 150.7m |
Receivables | 426.6m |
Other Current Assets | 40.1m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 45.3m |
PP&E | 68m |
Intangibles | 782.8m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 204.4m |
Current Liabilities | 380.3m |
Accounts Payable | 22.5m |
Accrued Liabilities | 182.8m |
Other Current Liabilities | 175m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 2.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 99m |
Earnings Waterfall
Fair Isaac Corp
Revenue
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1.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-348.2m
USD
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Gross Profit
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1.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-635.7m
USD
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Operating Income
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733.6m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-220.8m
USD
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Net Income
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512.8m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Fair Isaac Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
FICO ended the fourth quarter with revenues of $454 million, a 16% increase year-over-year, contributing to an annual total of $1.718 billion, up 13%. GAAP net income for the quarter was $136 million, up 34%, and non-GAAP net income rose 29% to $163 million. The company anticipates fiscal 2025 revenue of approximately $1.98 billion, reflecting a 15% growth, with GAAP net income expected at $624 million, up 22%. Their strong focus on the software platform led to a 31% increase in platform ARR. Notably, FICO is pushing their mortgage scoring royalties to $4.95 per score, enhancing revenue opportunities in housing finance.
What is Earnings Call?
FICO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Fair Isaac Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Fair Isaac Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
FICO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Fair Isaac Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Fair Isaac Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
FICO Price Targets Summary
Fair Isaac Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FICO is 2 181.6863 USD with a low forecast of 1 205.94 USD and a high forecast of 2 625 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for FICO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
FICO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Fair Isaac Corp. engages in the provision of decision management solutions. The company is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana and currently employs 3,367 full-time employees. The company operates through two segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment includes its business-to-business (B2B) scoring solutions and services, which give its clients access to predictive credit and other scores that can be integrated into their transaction streams and decision-making processes. This segment also includes its business-to-consumer (B2C) scoring solutions, including its myFICO.com subscription offerings. The Software segment includes pre-configured analytic and decision management solutions designed for a specific type of business need or process, such as account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, and marketing as well as associated professional services. This segment also includes FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases, as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software.
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Employees
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The intrinsic value of one FICO stock under the Base Case scenario is 809.5827 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 2 355.3501 USD, Fair Isaac Corp is Overvalued by 66%.