Fair Isaac Corp
NYSE:FICO

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Fair Isaac Corp
NYSE:FICO
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Price: 2 355.3501 USD 0.75% Market Closed
Market Cap: 57.4B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one FICO stock under the Base Case scenario is 809.5827 USD. Compared to the current market price of 2 355.3501 USD, Fair Isaac Corp is Overvalued by 66%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

FICO Intrinsic Value
809.5827 USD
Overvaluation 66%
Intrinsic Value
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Fair Isaac Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Fair Isaac Corporation, commonly known as FICO, is a pioneering analytics software company that has carved a prominent niche in helping businesses make data-driven decisions. Founded in 1956, the company is renowned for its credit scoring services, particularly the FICO Score, which has become the standard for credit risk assessment in the financial industry. Beyond credit scoring, FICO develops a comprehensive suite of analytics applications for businesses across various sectors, including banking, insurance, and healthcare. Its innovative solutions harness the power of artificial intelligence and machine learning, enabling organizations to enhance their operational efficiency, mitigate ris...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Fair Isaac Corp

Current Assets 617.4m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 150.7m
Receivables 426.6m
Other Current Assets 40.1m
Non-Current Assets 1.1B
Long-Term Investments 45.3m
PP&E 68m
Intangibles 782.8m
Other Non-Current Assets 204.4m
Current Liabilities 380.3m
Accounts Payable 22.5m
Accrued Liabilities 182.8m
Other Current Liabilities 175m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.3B
Long-Term Debt 2.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 99m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Fair Isaac Corp

Revenue
1.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-348.2m USD
Gross Profit
1.4B USD
Operating Expenses
-635.7m USD
Operating Income
733.6m USD
Other Expenses
-220.8m USD
Net Income
512.8m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Fair Isaac Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

FICO ended the fourth quarter with revenues of $454 million, a 16% increase year-over-year, contributing to an annual total of $1.718 billion, up 13%. GAAP net income for the quarter was $136 million, up 34%, and non-GAAP net income rose 29% to $163 million. The company anticipates fiscal 2025 revenue of approximately $1.98 billion, reflecting a 15% growth, with GAAP net income expected at $624 million, up 22%. Their strong focus on the software platform led to a 31% increase in platform ARR. Notably, FICO is pushing their mortgage scoring royalties to $4.95 per score, enhancing revenue opportunities in housing finance.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

FICO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Fair Isaac Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Operating Income
61/100
Profitability
Score

Fair Isaac Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

FICO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Fair Isaac Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
54/100
Solvency
Score

Fair Isaac Corp's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

FICO Price Targets Summary
Fair Isaac Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast FICO stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FICO is 2 181.6863 USD with a low forecast of 1 205.94 USD and a high forecast of 2 625 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
1 205.94 USD
49% Downside
Average
Price Target
2 181.6863 USD
7% Downside
Highest
Price Target
2 625 USD
11% Upside
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Dividends

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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for FICO is .

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Ownership

FICO Insider Trading
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Profile

Fair Isaac Corp Logo
Fair Isaac Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

57.5B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Fair Isaac Corp. engages in the provision of decision management solutions. The company is headquartered in Bozeman, Montana and currently employs 3,367 full-time employees. The company operates through two segments: Scores and Software. The Scores segment includes its business-to-business (B2B) scoring solutions and services, which give its clients access to predictive credit and other scores that can be integrated into their transaction streams and decision-making processes. This segment also includes its business-to-consumer (B2C) scoring solutions, including its myFICO.com subscription offerings. The Software segment includes pre-configured analytic and decision management solutions designed for a specific type of business need or process, such as account origination, customer management, customer engagement, fraud detection, financial crimes compliance, and marketing as well as associated professional services. This segment also includes FICO Platform, a modular software offering designed to support advanced analytic and decision use cases, as well as stand-alone analytic and decisioning software.

Contact

MONTANA
Bozeman
5 West Mendenhall, Suites 105
+16127585255.0
www.fico.com

IPO

1987-07-22

Employees

3 367

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. William J. Lansing
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Steven P. Weber
Executive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Mark Russell Scadina
Executive Vice President of Scores
Mr. James M. Wehmann
VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Michael S. Leonard
VP & CTO
Mr. Amir Hermelin
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Vice President of Investor Relations
Dave Singleton
Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. Richard Shawn Deal
Managing Director of China Operations
Mr. John Chen
VP & MD of Africa
Ms. Michelle Beetar
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one FICO stock?

The intrinsic value of one FICO stock under the Base Case scenario is 809.5827 USD.

Is FICO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 2 355.3501 USD, Fair Isaac Corp is Overvalued by 66%.

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