Elastic NV
NYSE:ESTC

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Elastic NV
NYSE:ESTC
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Price: 79.955 USD 0.41%
Market Cap: 8.2B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ESTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.651 USD. Compared to the current market price of 79.955 USD, Elastic NV is Overvalued by 23%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ESTC Intrinsic Value
61.651 USD
Overvaluation 23%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Elastic NV

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Elastic NV, a leader in the domain of search and data analytics, has built an impressive reputation on the foundation of its robust open-source technology and innovative cloud offerings. Founded in 2012, the company is best known for its flagship product, Elasticsearch, which enables users to perform real-time search and analysis on vast amounts of data across various applications. Elastic's solutions are designed to help businesses unlock valuable insights from their data, improving decision-making and operational efficiency. As the digital landscape continues to expand, driven by an explosion of data from various sources, Elastic stands out as a critical partner for organizations aiming to...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Elastic NV

Current Assets 1.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.1B
Receivables 196.5m
Other Current Assets 122.3m
Non-Current Assets 684.3m
PP&E 22.7m
Intangibles 336.8m
Other Non-Current Assets 324.9m
Current Liabilities 768.2m
Accounts Payable 9.3m
Accrued Liabilities 129.7m
Other Current Liabilities 629.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 622.8m
Long-Term Debt 568.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 53.9m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Elastic NV

Revenue
1.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-344.4m USD
Gross Profit
976.6m USD
Operating Expenses
-1.1B USD
Operating Income
-121.4m USD
Other Expenses
182.4m USD
Net Income
61m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Elastic NV

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the first quarter, Elastic's revenue grew 18% year-over-year to $347 million, exceeding profitability guidance with a non-GAAP operating margin of 10.7%. Cloud revenue rose 30%, representing 45% of total revenue. Strategic sales segmentation impacted deal closures, particularly in the Americas and EMEA, but corrective actions are underway. Despite missed commitments, strong AI-driven opportunities in the search business accelerated growth. The company remains confident, targeting a second-quarter revenue of $353-$355 million and full fiscal year revenue between $1.436 and $1.444 billion, with a 12.5% non-GAAP operating margin.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ESTC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Elastic NV's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROE is Increasing
ROIC is Increasing
43/100
Profitability
Score

Elastic NV's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ESTC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Elastic NV's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Negative Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
53/100
Solvency
Score

Elastic NV's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ESTC Price Targets Summary
Elastic NV

Wall Street analysts forecast ESTC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ESTC is 102.979 USD with a low forecast of 75.75 USD and a high forecast of 136.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
75.75 USD
5% Downside
Average
Price Target
102.979 USD
29% Upside
Highest
Price Target
136.5 USD
71% Upside
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Dividends

Elastic NV
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ESTC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
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Ownership

ESTC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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ESTC News

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Profile

Elastic NV Logo
Elastic NV

Country

Netherlands

Industry

Technology

Market Cap

8.2B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Elastic NV engages in the provision of open-source search and analytics engine services. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, Noord-Holland and currently employs 2,888 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-10-05. The firm offers developers the Elastic Stack, a set of software products for data search and management, namely Elasticsearch, a distributed, real-time search and analytics engine and datastore for all types of data; Kibana, the user interface and visualization layer for data stored in Elasticsearch; Logstash, a data processing pipeline for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other storage systems from a multitude of sources simultaneously, and Beats, a family of lightweight, single-purpose data shippers for sending data from edge machines to Elasticsearch or Logstash. The Elastic Stack is designed to run on premises, in public or private clouds, and in hybrid environments. The firm's business model is based on a combination of open source and paid subscription, which includes access to additional features, as well as support. The firm is active in the United States and worldwide.

Contact

NOORD-HOLLAND
Amsterdam
Keizersgracht 281
+31207947300.0
www.elastic.co

IPO

2018-10-05

Employees

2 888

Officers

CEO & Executive Director
Mr. Ashutosh Kulkarni
Co-Founder & Independent Non-Executive Director
Mr. Steven Schuurman CBDO
Co-Founder, CTO & Executive Director
Mr. Shay Banon
CFO & COO
Mr. Janesh Moorjani
Chief Product Officer
Mr. Ken Exner
Chief Revenue Officer
Mr. Mark Dodds
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Founder
Mr. Simon Willnauer
Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Anthony Luscri
Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Carolyn Herzog
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ESTC stock?

The intrinsic value of one ESTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.651 USD.

Is ESTC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 79.955 USD, Elastic NV is Overvalued by 23%.

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