Elastic NV
NYSE:ESTC
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ESTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.651 USD. Compared to the current market price of 79.955 USD, Elastic NV is Overvalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Elastic NV
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Fundamental Analysis
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Elastic NV, a leader in the domain of search and data analytics, has built an impressive reputation on the foundation of its robust open-source technology and innovative cloud offerings. Founded in 2012, the company is best known for its flagship product, Elasticsearch, which enables users to perform real-time search and analysis on vast amounts of data across various applications. Elastic's solutions are designed to help businesses unlock valuable insights from their data, improving decision-making and operational efficiency. As the digital landscape continues to expand, driven by an explosion of data from various sources, Elastic stands out as a critical partner for organizations aiming to...
Elastic NV, a leader in the domain of search and data analytics, has built an impressive reputation on the foundation of its robust open-source technology and innovative cloud offerings. Founded in 2012, the company is best known for its flagship product, Elasticsearch, which enables users to perform real-time search and analysis on vast amounts of data across various applications. Elastic's solutions are designed to help businesses unlock valuable insights from their data, improving decision-making and operational efficiency. As the digital landscape continues to expand, driven by an explosion of data from various sources, Elastic stands out as a critical partner for organizations aiming to harness the power of their data while ensuring security and scalability.
From a financial perspective, Elastic NV has demonstrated strong growth, attracting a diverse range of clients from small startups to large enterprises. The company employs a subscription-based revenue model, ensuring a steady stream of income as customers rely on its products for ongoing support and upgrades. Furthermore, Elastic has embraced the transition to cloud-based services, offering flexible deployment options that cater to evolving business needs. With a skilled leadership team and a commitment to innovation, Elastic NV is well-positioned to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for data-driven solutions in the era of digital transformation. For investors, this combination of growth potential and strong market demand makes Elastic a compelling option in the technology sector.
Elastic NV is a company that provides search and data analytics software, particularly known for its Elastic Stack, which includes ElasticSearch, Kibana, Beats, and Logstash. Here are the core business segments of Elastic NV:
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Search Solutions: At the heart of Elastic's offerings is ElasticSearch, a powerful search engine that enables real-time data retrieval and analysis. It is used in various applications, from website search engines to enterprise-level data search solutions.
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Observability: Elastic’s observability solutions allow organizations to monitor and analyze their infrastructure and application performance. This includes real-time metrics, logs, and traces to provide comprehensive visibility into system health and user experience.
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Security: Elastic provides solutions for security analytics that help organizations detect, investigate, and respond to threats in real time. This segment leverages search and analytics capabilities to enhance cybersecurity posture.
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Enterprise Search: This segment focuses on delivering search capabilities tailored for large organizations, helping them index and search vast amounts of data across various repositories and applications efficiently.
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Cloud Offerings: Elastic offers cloud-based versions of its software through Elastic Cloud, allowing customers to deploy and manage Elastic Stack in public cloud environments. This includes managed services for ease of use and scalability.
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APIs and Integrations: Elastic supports numerous integrations with third-party applications and services, enhancing its products' capabilities and enabling users to connect their existing tools and systems seamlessly.
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Professional Services and Support: Elastic provides consulting, training, and support services to help customers implement and optimize their use of Elastic products and solutions.
Overall, Elastic NV's core business segments are centered around its capabilities in search and data analytics, catering to various industry needs, including observability, security, and enterprise search, while also emphasizing cloud flexibility and customer support.
Elastic NV, known for its Elasticsearch product, benefits from several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from rivals in the data search and analytics space:
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Open-Source Foundation: Elastic NV’s products are built on an open-source model, which fosters a large community of users and developers. This allows for continuous innovation, rapid feature development, and an extensive library of plugins and extensions.
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Robust Ecosystem: The company has developed a comprehensive ecosystem that includes not only Elasticsearch but also Kibana (for data visualization), Beats (data shipping), and Logstash (data processing). This end-to-end solution simplifies the user experience and encourages customers to adopt the full suite of Elastic products.
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Scalability and Performance: Elastic's architecture is designed to handle large volumes of data efficiently, offering high scalability and performance. This is crucial for enterprises that need to analyze big data in real-time, a requirement that many of its competitors struggle to meet effectively.
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Advanced Query and Analytics Capabilities: Elastic provides powerful search and analytical capabilities, including natural language processing and machine learning functionalities. This allows users to gain actionable insights from their data more effectively than some competitors.
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Flexible Deployment Options: Elastic offers flexibility in deployment options, including on-premises, cloud, and hybrid setups. This adaptability allows businesses to choose the most suitable environment based on their operational and regulatory needs.
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Strong Brand and Community Support: Having built a solid reputation for reliability and performance, Elastic NV benefits from a loyal customer base. The active community also contributes to user support, knowledge sharing, and best practice development.
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Partnerships and Integrations: Elastic has established partnerships with major cloud providers and other tech firms, enhancing its reach and integration capabilities. This interoperability with other products can be a significant advantage for users looking for comprehensive solutions.
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Focus on Security and Compliance: As businesses become increasingly concerned about data security and compliance, Elastic has invested in robust security features and compliance certification, making its solutions attractive to enterprises with stringent regulatory requirements.
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Innovative Use Cases: Elastic’s products are versatile, catering to various use cases such as log management, application performance monitoring, and security analytics. This versatility enables the company to capture diverse market segments.
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Strong Financial Position: With a solid financial footing and a dedication to reinvesting profits into R&D and further expansion, Elastic can keep innovating and maintaining its competitive edge in a fast-changing industry.
In summary, Elastic NV's unique competitive advantages stem from its open-source roots, comprehensive product ecosystem, scalability, flexible deployment models, and a commitment to security and innovation, enabling it to effectively navigate and compete in the data search and analytics market.
Elastic NV, known for its Elastic Stack (Elasticsearch, Kibana, Beats, and Logstash), faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Increased Competition: The data search and analytics market is highly competitive, with players like Splunk, Datadog, and other open-source solutions. The emergence of new entrants may pressure Elastic NV both economically and in terms of market share.
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Pricing Pressure: As competition intensifies, Elastic might face pressure to reduce prices or offer more aggressive pricing models, which could impact profit margins.
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Customer Retention: Retaining existing customers can be challenging, especially as customers explore alternatives. High customer acquisition costs can be a significant risk if churn rates increase.
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Scalability Challenges: As customer data volumes grow, Elastic must ensure that its technology can scale effectively to meet demand, which may require continuous investment in infrastructure and development.
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Open Source Risks: Elastic initially built its business on an open-source model. However, changes to its licensing can lead to pushback from the developer community or create opportunities for competitors using more permissive open-source licenses.
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Regulatory Risks: As data privacy laws evolve (like GDPR and CCPA), Elastic NV must ensure compliance, which may necessitate additional resources and could limit functionality or require changes in data handling practices.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry faces a talent shortage, particularly for skilled engineers and data scientists. Attracting and retaining top talent is crucial for maintaining and enhancing product offerings.
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Economic Uncertainty: Macroeconomic factors could impact customers' IT budgets. An economic downturn might lead to reduced spending on software and cloud services, affecting Elastic's revenues.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a technology company dealing with data analysis, Elastic NV is vulnerable to cybersecurity threats. Any data breach or service outage could undermine customer trust and damage its reputation.
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Dependency on Cloud Providers: As more businesses migrate to the cloud, Elastic's partnerships and integrations with cloud providers (like AWS and Azure) will be critical. Any changes in these relationships could pose risks.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, continuous innovation, strong customer engagement, and robust risk management practices.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Elastic NV
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Elastic NV
Current Assets | 1.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1B |
Receivables | 196.5m |
Other Current Assets | 122.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 684.3m |
PP&E | 22.7m |
Intangibles | 336.8m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 324.9m |
Current Liabilities | 768.2m |
Accounts Payable | 9.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 129.7m |
Other Current Liabilities | 629.2m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 622.8m |
Long-Term Debt | 568.9m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 53.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Elastic NV
Revenue
|
1.3B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-344.4m
USD
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Gross Profit
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976.6m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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-121.4m
USD
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Other Expenses
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182.4m
USD
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Net Income
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61m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Elastic NV
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the first quarter, Elastic's revenue grew 18% year-over-year to $347 million, exceeding profitability guidance with a non-GAAP operating margin of 10.7%. Cloud revenue rose 30%, representing 45% of total revenue. Strategic sales segmentation impacted deal closures, particularly in the Americas and EMEA, but corrective actions are underway. Despite missed commitments, strong AI-driven opportunities in the search business accelerated growth. The company remains confident, targeting a second-quarter revenue of $353-$355 million and full fiscal year revenue between $1.436 and $1.444 billion, with a 12.5% non-GAAP operating margin.
What is Earnings Call?
ESTC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Elastic NV's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Elastic NV's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ESTC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Elastic NV's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Elastic NV's solvency score is 53/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ESTC Price Targets Summary
Elastic NV
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ESTC is 102.979 USD with a low forecast of 75.75 USD and a high forecast of 136.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ESTC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ESTC Insider Trading
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Elastic NV engages in the provision of open-source search and analytics engine services. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, Noord-Holland and currently employs 2,888 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-10-05. The firm offers developers the Elastic Stack, a set of software products for data search and management, namely Elasticsearch, a distributed, real-time search and analytics engine and datastore for all types of data; Kibana, the user interface and visualization layer for data stored in Elasticsearch; Logstash, a data processing pipeline for ingesting data into Elasticsearch or other storage systems from a multitude of sources simultaneously, and Beats, a family of lightweight, single-purpose data shippers for sending data from edge machines to Elasticsearch or Logstash. The Elastic Stack is designed to run on premises, in public or private clouds, and in hybrid environments. The firm's business model is based on a combination of open source and paid subscription, which includes access to additional features, as well as support. The firm is active in the United States and worldwide.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ESTC stock under the Base Case scenario is 61.651 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 79.955 USD, Elastic NV is Overvalued by 23%.