elf Beauty Inc
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ELF stock under the Base Case scenario is 93.07 USD. Compared to the current market price of 126.42 USD, elf Beauty Inc is Overvalued by 26%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
elf Beauty Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Elf Beauty Inc. has carved a distinctive niche in the cosmetics industry by focusing on affordability, innovation, and accessibility. Founded in 2004, the company built its brand on the premise that high-quality beauty products should not come with a hefty price tag. Through a commitment to delivering value, Elf has successfully attracted a diverse customer base, leveraging a direct-to-consumer model alongside strategic partnerships with major retailers. The company’s product line, which spans skincare, makeup, and tools, is infused with a philosophy of cruelty-free, vegan ingredients, appealing to a growing demographic that prioritizes ethical consumption. With an agile marketing strategy t...
Elf Beauty Inc. has carved a distinctive niche in the cosmetics industry by focusing on affordability, innovation, and accessibility. Founded in 2004, the company built its brand on the premise that high-quality beauty products should not come with a hefty price tag. Through a commitment to delivering value, Elf has successfully attracted a diverse customer base, leveraging a direct-to-consumer model alongside strategic partnerships with major retailers. The company’s product line, which spans skincare, makeup, and tools, is infused with a philosophy of cruelty-free, vegan ingredients, appealing to a growing demographic that prioritizes ethical consumption. With an agile marketing strategy that harnesses the power of social media and influencer collaborations, Elf has positioned itself as a youthful, vibrant contender in the beauty landscape.
As Elf Beauty continues to expand its market presence, it shows solid growth potential driven by its innovative approach to product development and consumer engagement. The company's focus on digital transformation, particularly in e-commerce, has catalyzed impressive year-over-year sales increases, even during periods of economic fluctuation. Furthermore, with a solid balance sheet and a proactive strategy to harness emerging beauty trends, Elf is well-poised to capitalize on the ongoing shift towards direct engagement and customization in the beauty industry. For investors, Elf Beauty represents not just a story of a successful brand but a strategic play on the future of affordable, inclusive beauty that resonates with today’s conscious consumers.
e.l.f. Beauty Inc. operates primarily in the beauty and cosmetics industry, focusing on providing high-quality, affordable products. The company's core business segments include:
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Makeup: This is the largest segment, consisting of a wide range of products such as foundations, concealers, lipsticks, eyeshadows, and other color cosmetics. e.l.f. is known for its innovative formulations and trendy products aimed at a broad consumer base.
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Skincare: e.l.f. has expanded its offerings to include skincare products, such as cleansers, moisturizers, and treatment products. This segment focuses on providing effective skincare solutions that complement its makeup line.
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Tools and Accessories: This segment includes makeup brushes, applicators, sponges, and other tools designed to help consumers apply makeup more effectively. e.l.f. emphasizes the importance of high-quality tools at affordable prices.
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Vegan and Cruelty-Free Products: A core aspect of e.l.f. Beauty’s branding is its commitment to vegan and cruelty-free products. This segment appeals to a growing demographic of consumers who prioritize ethical and sustainable beauty products.
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Digital and Direct-to-Consumer Sales: e.l.f. has a strong online presence, leveraging e-commerce as a significant sales channel. The brand focuses on direct-to-consumer sales through its website and platforms like social media, which enhances customer engagement and loyalty.
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International Expansion: While e.l.f. has a solid presence in North America, the company is also focusing on expanding its reach into international markets. This includes adapting its product offerings to meet regional preferences and regulatory standards.
By maintaining a focus on affordability, quality, and ethical practices, e.l.f. Beauty Inc. has carved out a distinctive niche in the competitive beauty market, appealing to a diverse range of consumers.
e.l.f. Beauty Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the cosmetics and beauty industry:
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Affordable Pricing: e.l.f. is known for its budget-friendly products. Their pricing strategy allows them to cater to a wide demographic, including cost-conscious consumers who still want quality cosmetics.
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Direct-to-Consumer Model: The company effectively leverages e-commerce, selling its products directly through its website and platforms such as Amazon. This approach reduces costs associated with intermediaries and expands access to customers globally.
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Strong Brand Community and Engagement: e.l.f. has built a strong, loyal community around its brand, especially among younger consumers. Their active social media presence and engagement with consumers through platforms like TikTok and Instagram create a vibrant brand culture.
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Innovation and Rapid Product Development: e.l.f. is recognized for its ability to quickly respond to trends and consumer demands, introducing new products at a pace that many larger competitors may struggle to match.
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Inclusivity and Diverse Product Range: The company emphasizes inclusivity, offering a broad range of shades and products that cater to a variety of skin tones and types, which attracts a diverse customer base.
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Sustainability Initiatives: e.l.f. has committed to sustainability practices, such as using clean ingredients and eco-friendly packaging, appealing to environmentally conscious consumers.
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Strong Retail Partnerships: The brand has successfully secured shelf space in major retail chains, such as Target and Walmart, enhancing its visibility and convenience for customers.
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Focus on Digital Marketing: e.l.f. effectively utilizes digital marketing strategies, including influencer partnerships and social media advertising, to reach its target audience, particularly Gen Z and Millennials.
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Enhanced Product Quality: Despite its low prices, e.l.f. prioritizes quality, often receiving favorable reviews and achieving recognition in beauty awards, which enhances customer trust and brand loyalty.
By capitalizing on these competitive advantages, e.l.f. Beauty Inc. has carved out a significant niche in the saturated beauty market while effectively appealing to a broad range of consumers.
Elf Beauty Inc faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its business operations and growth strategy. Here are some of the key risks and challenges:
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Intense Competition: The beauty industry is highly competitive, with numerous established brands and emerging indie brands vying for market share. Elf must continuously innovate and differentiate its products to maintain its position.
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Market Saturation: The cosmetics market can become saturated, making it harder to capture consumer attention. Elf Beauty needs to continually engage its customer base and attract new shoppers in a crowded marketplace.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Beauty consumers are increasingly focused on sustainability, cruelty-free products, and clean ingredients. Elf must adapt its product offerings to align with these evolving preferences.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, like those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, can delay production and lead to inventory shortages. Elf needs to develop resilient supply chain strategies to mitigate these risks.
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Economic Downturns: Economic uncertainties and downturns can affect consumer spending on discretionary items such as cosmetics. Elf must be prepared for potential changes in consumer purchase behavior during tough economic times.
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Digital and E-Commerce Dependence: As online shopping continues to grow, Elf relies heavily on its digital presence. This means it must continually invest in its e-commerce platforms and digital marketing strategies while also managing online competition.
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Regulatory Challenges: The beauty industry is subject to various regulations regarding product safety, labeling, and marketing claims. Changes in laws or regulations can create compliance challenges and impact product formulations.
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Brand Perception and Reputation Management: Negative publicity, whether from product recalls, social media backlash, or other issues, can harm brand reputation. Elf needs effective crisis management strategies in place.
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Global Expansion Risks: As Elf seeks to expand into international markets, it faces risks related to cultural differences, local competition, and regulatory environments, which can affect its market entry strategies.
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Innovation Pressure: The beauty industry thrives on trends and innovation. Elf needs to consistently develop new products and keep pace with trends to avoid obsolescence.
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Sustainability Expectations: There is an increasing expectation for brands to operate sustainably. Failing to meet these expectations could alienate environmentally conscious consumers.
By addressing these risks and challenges through strategic planning and adaptive marketing strategies, Elf Beauty Inc can navigate the evolving landscape of the beauty industry effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
elf Beauty Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
elf Beauty Inc
Current Assets | 554m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 96.8m |
Receivables | 146.6m |
Other Current Assets | 310.7m |
Non-Current Assets | 683m |
PP&E | 58.9m |
Intangibles | 557m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 67.1m |
Current Liabilities | 310.9m |
Accounts Payable | 93.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 106.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 110.7m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 198.4m |
Long-Term Debt | 156.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 41.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
elf Beauty Inc
Revenue
|
1.2B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
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-353.1m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
864.5m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-737m
USD
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Operating Income
|
127.5m
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-19.5m
USD
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Net Income
|
108m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
elf Beauty Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q2, e.l.f. Beauty achieved a robust 40% net sales growth, exceeding expectations, with significant contributions from international markets, which grew 91%. The company raised its fiscal '25 guidance, now forecasting overall net sales growth of 28% to 30%, up from 25% to 27%. Gross margins are expected to increase by 30 basis points, driven by cost savings and price increases. Adjusted EBITDA is projected between $304 million and $308 million, reflecting a growth of 29% to 31%. With strong market share gains and a strategic expansion into new markets and retail channels, e.l.f. remains well-positioned for sustained growth.
What is Earnings Call?
ELF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
elf Beauty Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
elf Beauty Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ELF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
elf Beauty Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
elf Beauty Inc's solvency score is 70/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ELF Price Targets Summary
elf Beauty Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ELF is 161.67 USD with a low forecast of 116.15 USD and a high forecast of 210 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ELF is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ELF Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
e.l.f.Beauty, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the provision of cosmetic and skin-care product. The company is headquartered in Oakland, California and currently employs 267 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-09-22. Beauty, Inc. is a multi-brand beauty company that offers cruelty-free cosmetics and skin-care products. The firm offers a range of products for eyes, such as eyeshadow, eyeliner, mascara and eyelashes, eyebrows, concealer and primer, brushes and tools, and sets and palettes. The firm offers lipstick, lip gloss, lipliner, and lip care and brushes. The firm launches its products on elfcosmetics.com, and distribution is generally only broadened to its retail customers after it receives consumer validation online. The firm sells its products in national and international retailers (with international primarily serviced by distributors) and direct-to-consumer channels. The company sells its products in retail stores in the United States across mass, drug store, food and specialty retail channels. The Company’s family brands include e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, W3LL PEOPLE and Keys Soulcare.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ELF stock under the Base Case scenario is 93.07 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 126.42 USD, elf Beauty Inc is Overvalued by 26%.