New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
NYSE:EDU
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one EDU stock under the Base Case scenario is 77.11 USD. Compared to the current market price of 57.36 USD, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is Undervalued by 26%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. represents a dynamic force in the Chinese education landscape, blending tradition with innovation in a country that places immense value on educational success. Founded in 1993, this Hong Kong-listed company has evolved from a small test preparation service into one of the largest comprehensive education providers in China. Offering a diverse range of services, including language training, K-12 tutoring, and online education, New Oriental caters to students of all ages. The company’s commitment to high-quality instruction and its adaptive approach to technology have positioned it as a leader in the burgeoning online education sector, making it a...
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. represents a dynamic force in the Chinese education landscape, blending tradition with innovation in a country that places immense value on educational success. Founded in 1993, this Hong Kong-listed company has evolved from a small test preparation service into one of the largest comprehensive education providers in China. Offering a diverse range of services, including language training, K-12 tutoring, and online education, New Oriental caters to students of all ages. The company’s commitment to high-quality instruction and its adaptive approach to technology have positioned it as a leader in the burgeoning online education sector, making it a compelling consideration for investors as the global learning landscape shifts toward digital solutions.
As an investor, understanding New Oriental's trajectory means recognizing the pressures and opportunities presented by the regulatory landscape in China. Following the sweeping educational reforms of 2021, which aimed at curbing excessive tutoring in core subjects, New Oriental swiftly pivoted towards less regulated areas like vocational training and professional development. This strategic shift underscores the company's resilience and adaptability, equipping it to capitalize on emerging trends in lifelong learning. With a vast network of physical centers and a robust online platform, New Oriental is poised to leverage its brand strength and extensive resource base to remain a key player in the evolving education sector. Given the ongoing demand for quality education and the company’s proactive measures to adjust to regulatory changes, New Oriental presents a unique investment opportunity for those looking to enter the expanding landscape of education technology.
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc., a leading educational services provider in China, operates through several core business segments:
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Language Training: This segment focuses on providing English language education to students of all ages, including children and adults. It encompasses various courses, such as General English, Business English, and preparation courses for English proficiency tests like TOEFL and IELTS.
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Test Preparation: New Oriental offers comprehensive test preparation services for academic and professional exams. This includes preparation for college entrance exams like Gaokao as well as standardized tests for studying abroad, including GRE and GMAT.
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Online Education: With the increasing shift towards digital learning, New Oriental has developed a strong online education platform. This includes live streaming classes, recorded lectures, and a range of digital learning resources aimed at a broad audience.
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K-12 Education: The group provides tutoring services for primary and secondary school students. This segment addresses different subjects and academic performance improvement, catering to the growing demand for supplemental education in China.
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Vocational Education: New Oriental's vocational training programs focus on skill development and professional training in various fields, preparing students for the workforce. This includes technical courses, soft skills training, and career coaching.
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Overseas Study Consulting: This segment offers consulting and advisory services for students who wish to study abroad. This includes assistance with university applications, visa processes, and pre-departure training.
Each of these segments contributes to New Oriental's overall mission of providing diverse educational opportunities and meeting the learning needs of students in China and beyond. The company is recognized for its strong brand, extensive course offerings, and innovative approaches to education.
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (New Oriental) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the education sector, particularly in China. These advantages include:
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Established Brand Recognition: New Oriental is one of the oldest and most recognized education brands in China, with a strong reputation for quality. This recognition fosters trust among parents and students.
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Diverse Course Offerings: The company provides a wide range of services, including language training, test preparation (for exams such as TOEFL, GRE, IELTS), and K-12 tutoring. This diversity allows them to cater to various customer segments, reducing dependency on any single market.
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Extensive Network: New Oriental has a vast operational network with numerous physical centers across China, which facilitates easy access to students. The large footprint helps build a dominant presence in multiple cities.
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Strong Online Learning Platform: The company has successfully transitioned to online education and offers a robust platform for virtual learning. This adaptability is crucial in a post-pandemic world where online education has become more prominent.
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Experienced Management Team: Led by a knowledgeable and experienced team, including founder and noted entrepreneur Yu Minhong, the company benefits from strategic leadership that prioritizes innovation and quality.
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Deep Insight into Customer Needs: New Oriental's long history and significant market presence provide insights into student and parent preferences, enabling them to develop relevant and effective programs.
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High Quality of Instruction: With a rigorous hiring process for teachers and a focus on continuous training and professional development, New Oriental maintains high standards of educational quality that differentiate it from competitors.
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Strong Financial Position: The company's substantial financial resources enable it to invest in marketing, technology, and infrastructure, allowing for sustained growth and innovation.
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Adaptability to Regulatory Changes: Over the years, New Oriental has demonstrated an ability to adapt to changing educational policies in China, which can be a significant advantage in a highly regulated industry.
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Publishing and Resources: New Oriental has a strong presence in educational publishing, allowing it to create proprietary materials that enhance its educational offerings and bolster its brand credibility.
These competitive advantages position New Oriental favorably within the education industry, allowing it to navigate challenges and capitalize on opportunities more effectively than many of its rivals.
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc, a prominent player in China's education sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Some of these include:
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Regulatory Challenges: The Chinese government has implemented stringent regulations on private tutoring services, including restrictions on after-school tutoring for certain subjects. Compliance with these regulations can limit growth and operational flexibility.
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Market Competition: The education sector is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. New Oriental faces competition from other established tutoring companies and emerging tech-based education platforms. This competition can lead to price wars and reduced profit margins.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: There is a shift towards online learning and educational technology solutions. New Oriental needs to continuously adapt its offerings to meet consumer demands for innovative and accessible learning methods.
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Economic Volatility: Fluctuations in the Chinese economy can impact disposable incomes, which may affect parents’ ability to spend on supplementary education for their children. Economic downturns could lead to decreased enrollment and lower revenues.
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Reputational Risks: Any negative publicity, whether related to the quality of education, customer service, or regulatory compliance, can have an adverse impact on New Oriental’s brand reputation and customer trust.
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Technological Disruption: The rapid advancement of educational technology poses a challenge. New Oriental needs to continually invest in technology to remain relevant against more agile or innovative competitors.
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Talent Retention and Recruitment: Attracting and retaining qualified educators can be difficult, especially in a competitive labor market. Quality of instruction is crucial to maintaining customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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International Expansion Risks: Efforts to expand internationally can expose New Oriental to geopolitical risks, currency fluctuations, and varying regulatory environments which might not be conducive to its traditional business model.
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Impact of Demographics: The declining population in China, particularly the reduction in school-aged children due to the one-child policy's long-term effects, may lead to a shrinking market for education services.
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Consumer Sentiment: Changes in consumer confidence and spending behavior can directly impact enrollment rates. Negative sentiment towards private education services can lead to decreased demand.
Navigating these challenges will require New Oriental to be agile and innovative in its strategies to maintain its competitive edge in the evolving education landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
Current Assets | 5.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.8B |
Receivables | 39.1m |
Other Current Assets | 645.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 2.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 467.8m |
PP&E | 1.4B |
Intangibles | 123.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 221.3m |
Current Liabilities | 3B |
Accounts Payable | 102.4m |
Accrued Liabilities | 924.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 774.9m |
Long-Term Debt | 14.4m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 760.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
Revenue
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4.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2.2B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2B
USD
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Operating Income
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408.4m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-18.8m
USD
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Net Income
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389.6m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
New Oriental experienced robust growth, with revenues up 30.5% in Q1 FY 2025. The company anticipates Q2 revenues (excluding East Buy) between $851.4M and $871.8M, projecting a 25%-28% increase year-over-year. Operating margins improved significantly, reaching 23.7% and 24.4% (non-GAAP), a 220 basis point increase year-over-year. Despite Q2 being a lower season, full-year revenue growth is expected to remain around 30%. New educational ventures saw a revenue increase of 50%, while tourism efforts rose 221%. The firm plans a 20%-25% capacity expansion, focusing on profitable cities, ensuring a balanced growth trajectory.
What is Earnings Call?
EDU Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
EDU Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
EDU Price Targets Summary
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EDU is 90.16 USD with a low forecast of 79.56 USD and a high forecast of 116.35 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for EDU is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is a CN-based company operating in Diversified Consumer Services industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 88,126 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-09-07. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is a China-based company principally engaged in the provision of educational programs, services and products. The firm provides educational services under its New Oriental brand. The firm operates its businesses through seven segments, including K-12 AST, test preparation and other courses (formerly known as language training and test preparation courses), primary and secondary school education, online education, content development and distribution, overseas study consulting services, pre-school education and study tour. The firm delivers education to its students in traditional classroom settings, in a combination of online and offline classroom setting with dualteacher model, and through pure-play online platforms.
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The intrinsic value of one EDU stock under the Base Case scenario is 77.11 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 57.36 USD, New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc is Undervalued by 26%.