HF Sinclair Corp
NYSE:DINO

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Earnings Call Analysis

Q3-2023 Analysis
HF Sinclair Corp

HF Sinclair Posts Mixed Q3 Performance

HF Sinclair reported a net income of $791 million for Q3 2023, down from $983 million in Q3 2022, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) decreasing from $4.58 to $4.23. Despite this, capital expenditures rose to $9 million, and debt was reduced by $27 million, ending the quarter with $630 million in liquidity. The firm anticipates a lower end of CapEx range due to better execution. Adjusted EBITDA was at $1.2 billion, a 20% year-over-year decline, with decreases in refining margins and refined product sales volumes. However, renewables saw an adjusted EBITDA improvement from -$14 million to +$5 million. The lubricants segment experienced a significant EBITDA increase from $15 million to $118 million year-over-year. Over $1.09 billion was returned to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, and the share count was reduced by 8%.

HF Sinclair Corporation Stands Strong Despite Challenges, Poised for Future Growth

HF Sinclair Corporation has demonstrated resilient performance in their third quarter of 2023. Led by CEO Tim Go, the company has leaped through its major turnarounds and is in robust health with a systematic approach towards improving reliability and operating costs across its portfolio of refineries. With maintenance activities wrapping up, the future is looking bright for its refining operations, which are cornerstones to its sturdy financial results.

Navigating Margin Pressures and Seeking Operational Efficiency

The third quarter saw HF Sinclair navigate through lower refining margins and decreased sales volumes brought on by escalated maintenance activities. Although this led to a 20% decrease in adjusted EBITDA year over year, the company remained focused on its strategy to enhance operational efficiency and completed turnarounds on time and within budget. This disciplined execution underscores their commitment to operational excellence and positions them well to persevere through the ebbs and flows of the refining sector.

Renewables and Marketing Segments Display Positive Trajectory

The company's Renewables segment turned a corner, transforming from a negative to a positive adjusted EBITDA and showing an increase in total sales volumes. The Marketing segment doubled its EBITDA, backed by record fuel sales and expansion of branded sites, indicating healthy demand and strategic growth. These segments continue to reflect HF Sinclair's adaptability and growth-oriented mindset, even in fluctuating market conditions.

Lubricants & Specialties Segment Soars with Strong EBITDA

HF Sinclair's Lubricants & Specialties Products segment reported an impressive increase in EBITDA,driven by favorable inventory valuation and strategic sales mix optimization towards higher value products. The integration of the base oil business with the finished lubes and specialties sectors has provided a cushion against the falling base oil prices, fortifying the segment's earnings capacity and showcasing the company’s ability to leverage its diversified assets for robust returns.

Financial Fortitude with Hearty Cash Flows and Liquidity

The operational cash flow for the quarter was a brawny $1.4 billion, signifying potent financial health. With substantial liquidity at hand and a cautious debt-to-cap ratio, HF Sinclair remains well-positioned to fulfill its financial obligations and invest in its future. The prompt repayment of its senior notes in October further reflects its prudent fiscal management.

Renewable Diesel Business Achieves Profitability

A noteworthy highlight is the renewable diesel business attaining profitability in this quarter. Through strategic feedstock optimization, improved operational excellence, and opportune market sales, HF Sinclair has endeavored to better its Renewable segment’s performance. Continuous investment in hydrogen systems illustrates the company's dedication to creating value within its renewable operations.

West Coast Operations Maintain Winning Edge

HF Sinclair's refining foothold on the West Coast painted a lucrative picture of robust margins and profitability. Despite expected seasonal shifts, the company is strategically poised to capture market opportunities and maintain its competitive edge in the region, emphasizing its adaptability and strategic foresight in a dynamic market landscape.

Elevating Performance Through Operational Excellence

HF Sinclair's management has shone a light on the transformative work they are doing to harness the full capacity of their assets. From refining operations to lubes production, the company is enhancing reliability and unlocking potential through disciplined execution and innovative solutions. This concerted effort underpins expectations for greater efficiencies and a strengthened market position, truly acting as a hidden refinery waiting to be fully realized.

Swift Achievement of Synergy Goals

The company exceeded expectations in capturing $100 million in Sinclair synergies quickly, evidencing nimble execution and keen strategic aptitude. The swift capture of synergies bodes well for future integration and cost-efficiency efforts, exemplifying management’s capability to effectively harness and optimize merger benefits for outstanding corporate growth.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

from 0
Operator

Welcome to HF Sinclair and Holly Energy Partners 3rd Quarter 2023 Conference Call and Webcast. Hosting the call today is Tim Go, Executive Officer of HF Sinclair. He is joined by Atanas Atanasov of Chief Financial Officer; Steve Ledbetter, VP of Commercial; Valerie Pompa, EVP of Operations; and Matt Joyce, SVP of Lubricants and Specialties. Along with John Harrison, Chief Financial Officer of Holly Energy Partners.

[Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Craig Biery, Vice President Investor Relations. Greg, you may begin.

C
Craig Biery
executive

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to HF Sinclair Corporation and Holly Energy Partners 3rd Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. This morning, we issued press releases announcing results for the quarter ending September 30, 2023. If you would like a copy of the earnings at hfsinclair.com and hollyenergy.com.

Before we proceed with remarks, please note the safe harbor disclosure statement in today's press releases. In summary, it says statements made regarding management expectations, judgments or predictions are forward-looking statements. These statements are intended to be covered under the safe harbor provisions of Federal Security Laws. There are many factors that could cause results to differ from expectations, including those noted in our SEC filings.

The call also may include discussion of non-GAAP measures. Please see the earnings press release for reconciliations to GAAP financial measures. Also please note any time-sensitive information provided on today's call may no longer be accurate at the time of any webcast replay or rereading of the transcript. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Tim Go.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Good morning. I am pleased to report strong 3rd quarter results driven by solid execution of safe and reliable operations across our Refining, Lubricants, HEP and Marketing segments. We continue to progress our strategic initiatives of integrating and optimizing our portfolio, along with delivering strong cash return to shareholders. Today, we reported 3rd quarter 2023 net income attributable to HF Sinclair shareholders of $791 million or $4.23 per diluted share.

These results reflect special items that collectively increased net income by $31 million. Excluding these items, adjusted net income for the 3rd quarter was $760 million or $4.06 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $983 million or $4.58 per diluted share for the same period in 2022. Adjusted EBITDA for the 3rd quarter was $1.2 billion, a 20% decrease compared to the 3rd quarter of 2022.

In our Refining segment, 3rd quarter 2023 adjusted EBITDA contributed $1 billion compared to $1.4 billion in the same period last year. This decrease was primarily driven by lower refining margins in both the West and Mid-Con regions and lower refined product sales volumes due to higher maintenance activity. Operating expenses were $496 million in the 3rd quarter of 2023 versus the $475 million recorded in the same period last year as lower natural gas costs, offset by higher maintenance costs.

Crude oil charge averaged 602,000 barrels per day in the 3rd quarter of 2023 compared to 646,000 barrels per day in the 3rd quarter of 2022. The decrease was primarily due to higher maintenance activity during the period.

I'm pleased to report that the turnaround in the 3rd quarter at our Casper refinery was completed on time and on budget. And at Tulsa, we are in the process of ramping up normal operations after the successful turnaround at that refinery. And all of our major turnaround behind us for the year we remained focused on executing our strategy to improve reliability and operating cost across our refining portfolio. In our Renewables segment we reported adjusted EBITDA of positive $5 million for the 3rd quarter of 2023 compared to the negative $14 million.

Total sales volumes were 55 million gallons for the 3rd quarter of 2023 as compared to 52 million gallons for the 3rd quarter of 2022. We continue to make progress towards our target of achieving normalized run rates by the end of 2023 through improved reliability and feedstock optimization.

Our Marketing segment reported EBITDA of $21 million for the 3rd quarter of 2023 compared to $10 million in the 3rd quarter of 2022. And total branded fuel sales volumes set another quarterly record of 398 million gallons. Gross margin per gallon was $0.07 in the 3rd quarter, supported by strong demand in our regions.

During the quarter, we added 15 new branded sites, and we expect to continue to grow our branded sites by 5% or more per year. Our Lubricants and Specialty Products segment reported EBITDA of $118 million for the 3rd quarter of 2023 compared to EBITDA of $15 million for the 3rd quarter of 2022.

This increase was largely driven by a $30 million FIFO benefit from consumption of lower-priced feedstock inventory for the 3rd quarter of 2023 compared to a $44 million charge in the 3rd quarter of 2022. Despite weakening base oil prices during the period, continued efforts to improve sales mix optimization across our finished products portfolio resulted in strong earnings contribution from our Lubricants business.

HEP reported EBITDA of $94 million in the second quarter of 2023 compared to $66 million in the same period of last year. This increase was mainly driven by tariff increases that went into effect on July 1, 2023. On August 15, 2023, we entered into a definitive merger agreement with HEP, and we expect the proposed transaction to close in the fourth quarter of this year, subject to the satisfaction of closing conditions.

During the 3rd quarter, we announced and paid a regular quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share to stockholders totaling $84 million and spent $586 million on share repurchases. Year-to-date, as of September 30, our total cash return, including dividends and share repurchases, is over [ $1.0 ] billion, and we have reduced our share count by 8%.

In closing, our third quarter results highlight the diversification of our portfolio and quality of our assets. Our strong cash return during the period demonstrates our continued mitment to our long-term cash return strategy and long-term payout ratio while maintaining an investment-grade rating. Looking forward, we remain focused on executing our strategy of safe and reliable operations as we continue to integrate and optimize our assets across our portfolio. With that, let me turn the call over to Atanas.

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. Let's begin by reviewing HF Sinclair's financial highlights. Net cash flows provided by operations for the third quarter of 2023 totaled $1.4 billion which included $124 million of turnaround spend in the quarter. HF Sinclair's stand-alone capital expenditures totaled $75 million for the third quarter of 2023. As of September 30, 2023, HF Sinclair stand-alone liquidity stood at approximately $3.85 billion, comprised of a cash balance of $2.2 billion, along with our undrawn $1.65 billion unsecured credit facility.

As of September 30, '23, we have $1.7 billion of stand-alone debt outstanding with a debt-to-cap ratio of 15%, in october 2023 we repaid at maturity $30 million aggregate principal amount of our 2.625% senior notes. HEP distributions received by HF Sinclair during the third quarter of '23 totaled $21 million. HF Sinclair owns 59.6 million HEP Limitd Partner units, which represents 47% of HEP's outstanding LP units at a market value of approximately $1.25 billion as of last night's close.

Now let's go through some guidance items. With respect to capital spending, last quarter, we lowered our full year 2023 guidance range to $900 million to $1.60 billion. With the majority of our plant maintenance activity behind us, we expect to end up at the lower end of our capital spend range for 2023. For the fourth quarter of 2023, we expect to run between 590,000 to 620,000 barrels per day of crude oil in our refining segment which reflects plant maintenance at our Tulsa Refinery during the period. Let me now turn the call over to John for an update on HEP. John?

J
John Harrison
executive

Thanks, Atanas. HEP's 3rd quarter 2023 net income attributable to Holly Energy Partners was $63 million compared to $42 million in the third quarter of 2022. Each period reflected nonrecurring expenses that decreased net income by $4 million and $20 million, respectively. Excluding these items, the year-over-year increase was primarily attributable to higher revenues associated with tariff increases that went into effect on July 1, 2023, which were partially offset by higher interest expense and higher G&A expenses during the 3rd quarter of 2023. HEP's 3rd quarter 2023 adjusted EBITDA was $119 million compared to $110 million in the same period last year.

A reconciliation table reflecting these adjustments can be found in HEP's press release. For the 3rd quarter, HEP generated distributable cash flow of $78 million, and we announced a distribution of $0.35 per LP unit which is payable on November 10, 2023, to unitholders of record as of October 30, 2023. Capital expenditures during the third quarter were approximately $9 million, comprised of $6 million in maintenance $2 million of reimbursable and $1 million of expansion CapEx. During the 3rd quarter, we repaid $27 million of debt and ended the quarter with available liquidity of approximately $630 million.

We are now ready to turn the call over to the operator for any questions.

Operator

The floor is now open for questions. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is coming from Manav Gupta from UBS.

M
Manav Gupta
analyst

My question is more broader. In the past, you have mentioned that you have 7 refineries. But the hidden refinery within your system, and you can run 50,000 to 60,000 barrels higher. And we have seen one of your competitors do it where they shut two assets and the throughput is higher. And please help us understand some of the progress that you are making in that direction. So you can uncover the hidden refinery within your refining system?

T
Timothy Go
executive

This is Tim. As you stated, reliability and integration and commercial optimization are main priorities right now, and that is to try to unlock that hidden refinery, as you mentioned. Let me ask Valerie to talk a little bit about some of the reliability efforts that we have going on.

V
Valerie Pompa
executive

Thank you. Yes, what we're doing is assessing the reliability of all of our assets looking at capacity and then stepping back and looking at equipment, where we have completed a full assessment of all of our sites. And then within that, starting to work execution plans by site. Those will unlock availability within each of our individual assets. Which is a process that's been around the industry for a really long time. We're coupling that with some innovation and some new tools that will help us improve our availability.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Manav, the other thing that I'll mention in addition to what Val just talked about was on previous calls, we've talked about the importance of executing our turnarounds well. And with this year's heavy turnaround load, I know there was a lot of concern about whether we could execute our turnaround as well. Val and her team have really done a fantastic job this year executing those rounds on schedule, on budget.

And not only does that help in the actual execution of the turnaround, but it helps us get to all of the planned work that we wanted to get done during the turnarounds to help us get that reliability improvement for the full cycle. That's coming post the turnaround. And so that's kind of another benefit that we're getting from good, clean execution of the turnarounds as we hope that will allow us to, again, demonstrate better reliability through this cycle.

M
Manav Gupta
analyst

My quick follow-up here is on the Lubes even adjusting for that inventory, it was a much stronger quarter. Your vision was to make this business more on the specialty side. Help us understand how those plans are progressing and also help us understand some of the reasons you had such a strong quarter in 3Q in the Lubes business?

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes. Let me ask Matt to comment on the strength of our Lubes business.

M
Matt Joyce
executive

Thanks, Manav. Matt Joyce here. And I think where the team has done a really nice job is getting after operational excellence and a focus on regional growth. We've been working on mixing mix of our business and really looking to see where and how we can focus on higher-value products better understanding the markets we serve where we have stickier solutions that are enabling our customers to be successful and therefore, allowing us to be a bit more successful. And hats off to our Petro-Canada team in the U.S. in particular. They've done a nice job of expanding their footprint and getting into the U.S. markets, which is part of our strategy. and that's gained a lot of nice traction, and we're seeing some real positive signs of growth there from a regional perspective.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes. Manav, I would just say, Matt and his team have done a really nice job of continuing to integrate the base oil business with the finished Lubes and Specialties business. You can, we've talked about this on past earnings calls, but you just continue to see the intercompany sales of base oils to those finished Lubes and Specialists continue to increase, which is giving us more, resiliency, more filling base oil cracks that you're seeing in our reported HF index.

As those base oil cracks come down, the more integrated we are, gives us more installation and allows us to continue to generate the strong margins that you're seeing. So that's a structural improvement that Matt and his team are doing.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Todd from Piper Sandler.

R
Ryan Todd
analyst

Maybe I'll follow up on Manav's shot out there for the RD business. Congrats on the underlying margin improvement there. Throughput and sales remain relatively low utilization rate. Can you walk through where you are in the process of increasing utilization up to normalized levels? Whether hydrogen sourcing is still a limiting factor. How you're making progress on the process of extending time between catalyst turnarounds, improving product yield, et cetera. So maybe just a little more granularity on where you are in the process of getting that where you want it to be?

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes, Ryan, we're pleased to show the Renewable Diesel business profitable this quarter. We think we've turned the corner here. Let me ask Steve Ledbetter, our Commercial Lead to talk about it.

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

Ryan, thanks for the question. We're also encouraged as you are by a positive quarter. There's a few things that helped us deliver the positive quarter. The first was really looking at our feedstock and optimizing the Low CI acquisition and putting that into our sites, taking advantage of our pretreatment unit. We had improved yield performance throughout the quarter and then to be on a selling out into the markets during the highest part of the margin cycle of the quarter. As well as taking some OpEx levers and pulling those.

Those are all part of the path forward. We were somewhat limited by hydrogen availability. But we have just finished and coming out of a CAT change at Artesia, and we took the opportunity to improve our hydrogen availability at our large SMR there at Artesia. Let me hand it to Val on hydrogen availability and operational improvements.

V
Valerie Pompa
executive

Yes. As we said before, we continue to invest in our hydrogen systems at all of our plants, particularly in Artesia. We just completed the MR. We made upgrades in our turnaround in the CCR and we're starting to see the benefits from those in our renewables business as well as refining.

R
Ryan Todd
analyst

Great. And maybe just shifting gears on the Refining side to the West Coast, strong margins and strong capture and profitability there in the quarter. Can you talk about what you're seeing out there in terms of market dynamics? And as you look forward to the start-up of TMX next year, how will that, if at all, impact your ability to source advantaged Crudes at [indiscernible] Pugget refinery?

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

Yes. This is, again, Steve. I think we enjoyed the cracks in the margin environment in Q3 on the West Coast. We see some softness coming in, particularly in gas, but it's normal and seasonal. Through this next quarter and the first quarter. But overall, we think that there is going to be a length in diesel, particularly with RDU coming into the West Coast, but we think there will be a bit of short structure on both gas and Jet, and we look to take advantage of that.

As far as TMX coming on, when that happens, we think it will compress some of the differentials, particularly when they call for line fill temporarily. But as that line gets up and running reliably, we believe that it will put more barrels out on the water and actually give us a bit of an advantage for our refinery in the Pacific Northwest.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes. And Ryan, let me just follow up and say we believe our refining portfolio continues to be a strategic advantage and competitive advantage for us just in terms of the markets we serve, and the demograph that we serve in our markets. The West Coast in particular, I'd say, is a beneficiary of this integration effort that we've been focused on here over the last 6 to 12 months. We have a, with the Sinclair and the Legacy HollyFrontier assets in the West with the addition of Puget Sound, we really believe that, that is a underappreciated portfolio that we're continuing to unlock the potential of and you're going to continue to see good results come out of the West.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Doug Leggate from Bank of America. .

K
Kaleinoheaokealaula Akamine
analyst

This is Kalei on for Doug. My first question is on the Sinclair synergies. $100 miilion were expected at the time of the deal, but now that you've got a few quarters under your belt, I'm wondering how that opportunity set has evolved?

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes, Kalei, this is Tim. We were very pleased to be able to just capture that $100 million pretty quickly. In fact, it exceeded our timing expectations in terms of the ability for us to capture that. We see, as we've talked about on previous calls, much, much more opportunity to continue to improve and optimize that those assets, but we've broadened it now to really look across the entire portfolio to look at Puget Sound in the mix to look at our legacy assets on the mix. That's really, when I say our priorities are reliability across our portfolio and then integration and optimization across our portfolio that's really code for, we're looking for more synergies, looking for more optimization across the entire asset.

We haven't gone out and said anything specific, like we did with the $100 million of synergies, but know that we're working that hard. Steve and his group have already talked a little bit about that. And what we're hoping you guys will be able to see is the results of that come out and not just our throughput, but also our capture for all, for both the West and the Mid-Con regions.

K
Kaleinoheaokealaula Akamine
analyst

I guess we'll keep watching with interest. My next question is more housekeeping. So on the quarter itself, CapEx looked a touch low. Wondering if there's anything to highlight there? And working capital seems to be a touch high, while some of your other peers are reporting some tailwinds. So just wondering if you could address those two things.

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Sure. This is Atanas. With respect to our capital spending, we're very pleased with how our CapEx program has gone, and this is just a function of completing our turnarounds on time and on budget. There's always some contingency built into our budget plans and, this is, we're just demonstrating our capital discipline that manifests in a positive variance.

With respect to working capital. We saw some working capital tailwinds this quarter as we're coming out of these turnarounds and working out inventory rising prices also had a beneficial impact on our working capital. So with that in mind, you could see that tailwinds to our cash flow from operations.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes. Atanas mentioned in his prepared remarks, Kalei, that we anticipate coming in on the low end of the CapEx range now. And so that is a result of, again, better execution and solid performance on our turnarounds.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Cheng from Scotia Bank.

P
Paul Cheng
analyst

trying to see that if you can help me to bridge the gap. I think the company is expecting that on the longer-term basis that you will be able to improve your reliability so that a reasonable co-unitone on an annual basis may get to about 640 and that you can see the unique cost, go down to about 600 to 650.

And we look at 3rd quartter your unit cost in the Mid-Con is around 650 and West is about 970 and you're running at 576,000 barrels per day, just by improving it to 640 that better reliability that by your self doesn't seem that will get you down to your target unit cost? So what are the initiatives on the cost side that we should expect in order for us to maybe bridge the gap to go down to that level? That's the first question.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Paul, good question. We believe reliability has to benefits, at least as we continue to prioritize that not only does it get the denominator down as you just kind of mentioned the math of higher throughput, will get your OpEx per barrel down, but it also reduces your maintenance costs, which will be on the numerator, which will also get your OpEx down. Again, there's a lot of good effort going on in that area of reducing OpEx and improving reliability. And Val, do you have any color you want to provide on that?

V
Valerie Pompa
executive

Yes, as we said earlier, we are very focused on each asset, putting forward reliability improvement plans. We're focused both on competitive spend, right dollars, to buy down operating risk to improve reliability and making sure our money is going in the right places and improving reliability, which will ultimately get our utilization up. We are more challenged in the West, and those facilities are a primary focus for our efforts, particularly Sinclair assets. Along Woods Cross and TSR are all working improved structure on cost. But again, our biggest opportunity is reliable assets produce more barrels. They're safer. And we get a better outcome in performance and execution.

P
Paul Cheng
analyst

On real do you guys have a number that you can share with that the West unit case on the longer-term basis that you are targeting at?

T
Timothy Go
executive

Paul, we're not ready to give out any specific numbers or guidance in that area. But we do believe there's plenty of opportunities in the West that we're going after.

P
Paul Cheng
analyst

Okay. Second question is that as you about to close HEP and rolled back up, One is that you have done that? Is it just business as usual and you simplify your copy structure? Or was that that's going to see real actual operating benefit? Just want to see that whether we should expect some improvement or that is just say, reducing the corporate structure capacity?

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Yes, Paul, this is Atanas. Thank you for your question. Your observation is correct. We're seeing opportunities simplification and optimizing our portfolio. To give you just an example, what used to be at times complicated negotiation on contracts, intercompany contracts now is going to be a more simplified process, which would really help us to focus on efficiencies and commercial opportunities. So the simplification part of that benefit is going to be meaningful to us.

And with respect to the corporate structure, you will get your run of the mill savings essentially running on public company as opposed to having two public companies. And on top of that, we also see some synergies with respect to the debt as the goal gets rolled out, but the DINO level. Good outcomes for us.

P
Paul Cheng
analyst

Any number you can share in terms of the operating synergies. Excluding I mean, the debt we can understand. But I also like the content lower interest, I mean, the well operating benefit? Is that a number you can share?

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

We will be in a better position to shed more light on that after the close of the transaction.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Blair from TPH.

M
Matthew Blair
analyst

Do you have any early thoughts on refining capture in the 4th quarter? I think Q3 was around 60%. It seems like the 4th quarter would include some pretty considerable tailwinds from things like wider WCS discounts, butane blending, lower RINs and then it looks like lower refinery maintenance.

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

Yes, Matt, this is Steve. And I always appreciate the questions that always have the thesis included in terms of the answer, and that was one of those. So we do see also a cleaner quarter ahead in Q4. We do think that the WCS, in particular, [ TI DIF ] will blow out and has already in the forward strip. And we have minimal planned maintenance. We're finishing up the Tulsa turnaround.

So supportive structure and margin in terms of distillate diesel and jet we'll be moving gas around a more MAX diesel and jet mode for Q4. So we think we have some opportunities to have a cleaner quarter ahead, but we're not giving explicit guidance on what that number is, but we do see a good path ahead.

T
Timothy Go
executive

We've got some good tailwinds, as you mentioned, Matt. But seasonally, the 4th quarter always tends to be a little lower on capture 2 just because margins compress. So that will be the offset to some of the tailwinds that we're seeing.

M
Matthew Blair
analyst

Sounds good. And then I'm not sure if this has been addressed yet, but any thoughts on the potential for large-scale refinery M&A from HF Sinclair here?

T
Timothy Go
executive

No, that question has been asked yet, Matt. What I would tell you is we're focused first on closing HEP. It's been a transaction that we've started earlier in the year and that, we're laser-focused on completing. As Atanas mentioned earlier, we believe that we will be able to close here before the end of the year. Our priorities are internally focused. We've talked about that before. We're really looking to improve our internal reliability as well as our integration and optimization across our assets.

So that's really where our main focus is. We don't think that the time right now is right to be looking at large M&A as you kind of described it, both from a market standpoint, we like to look countercyclically, right now, I think we're finding valuations are pretty high. But more importantly, from an internal perspective, we're really focused internally more than externally. Now I know there's some assets on the table that are starting to be marketed will take a look just like everyone else is, but it's not a priority for us right now, Matt.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Roger Read from Wells Fargo Securities.

R
Roger Read
analyst

Just to catch up on, one of your comments about refining reliability getting that up. I was just curious if you were to say over the last 12 to 24 months, what your available uptime has been? And then maybe what the target is for available time? Ex turnarounds and all that, as we think about a marker for where you've been in a market for where you're trying to go?

T
Timothy Go
executive

Roger, we don't provide a lot of the internal measures that we use. We have a lot of internal measures that we're tracking both at the refinery level as well as at the regional levels. But we don't disclose that. We are making progress. We're feeling good about the progress that we're making. Is talked about that. We are seeing progress. I think one of the biggest ways that we're seeing progress is in just the improved safety and environmental performance of our assets, which we always believe is a leading indicator our reliability is doing as well and the rest of our business is doing. And I can tell you we're on pace to set another record safety year both on a process safety standpoint and a personnel safety standpoint. So we feel good about the internal indicators. We're just not prepared to share any of those, Roger.

R
Roger Read
analyst

Okay. Well, if not absolute numbers. I mean, maybe a basis point improvement. I mean are we looking at 200, 300, 500, something along those lines, if I can dig a little deeper?

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Yes, Roger, this is Atanas. I would just encourage you to stay tuned, and you will see a graduated process, progress along those lines. And we're focused on improving reliability.

R
Roger Read
analyst

Okay. Switching gears slightly back to the Renewable Diesel business. So you went through with one of the earlier questions, all the things that help. But I was just curious if you thought year-over-year, quarter-to-quarter, maybe how that broke down market factors relative to things you were able to do in changing the mix, keeping control of costs, stuff like that. So just what might have helped out on the Lubes front?

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

The question is, on renewables, Yes. Roger, this is Atanas. One of the first things that comes to mind is early on, as we were getting this business up and running was working off high priced feedstock in a backward-dated market. So the team has done a lot of good progress with respect to managing inventory and ensuring that we are focusing on using low CI feedstocks.

So that's number One. Number two would be, improvements around catalyst performance and optimization. Number three, as a result of our turnarounds and the technical focus on the team is improving hydrogen availability. And so those are the kind of the three things that come to mind. And I could ask Steve or Val to add additional color.

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

No, I think you're right. I mean we're feeling this apart to make sure that we can make it the most profitable business it can be. in our current configuration. We like to remind people that 2 of our facilities are co-located. And so hydrogen availability as a keen focus. But beyond that, we've started to pull levers, as Atanas mentioned, terms of advantaged low CI feedstock. As part of that, driving pathways are very important to get that full value, and we've got a hyperfocus on that.

Catalyst optimization, OpEx levers in terms of waste and then really getting our molecules integrated across our value chain is another aspect that we see a lot of value coming forward. So we've demonstrated that in Q3, we can be profitable with not hitting our normalized run rate. We still see the path to getting there by the end of the year. And all of those focus areas, we believe and expect to have a profitable renewables business next year.

T
Timothy Go
executive

And Roger, I would just draw an analogy to the Lube business. We spent a lot of resources and a lot of effort to turn that business around, I think, over the last years, we've been at well above mid-cycle performance for our lubes business. that same type of effort, that same type of focus is what we've got pouring into our renewable diesel business right now. And we believe that we will be successful in getting that business turned around and performing the way we want, just like we have our Lubes business performing the way we want right now.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Gabelman from TD Cowen.

J
Jason Gabelman
analyst

I wanted to first hit on the cap, financial framework as you get close to the closing of the HEP transaction. It looks like on a consolidated basis, you're holding about $1 billion of net debt. Is that the right number for the company to hold on a consolidated basis? And then how do you think about buybacks as you're able to get back into the market following the HEP deal close?

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Yes. Thank you for your question. This is Atanas. The way we think with respect to our capital structure and debt, in particular, is in terms of net leverage. And the net leverage target that we have publicly stated has been 1x net leverage. As you can see, we're quite below that right now, and we're very pleased. Given where capital structure is today, our first and foremost priority is shareholder return. Both in terms of buybacks and dividends.

And we will continue with that mindset. With respect to anything around the debt, I think we're very much we're very pleased with where our debt is and shareholder return is our priority.

J
Jason Gabelman
analyst

And then my other question is just looking at the indicators that you posted for October. It seems like the premiums in the west relative to Mid-Con have come in after a pretty good run of pricing premiums, how much of that is seasonally driven? And is there any structural components as maybe there were a couple of assets, I guess, in the Rockies, in particular, off-line for the better part of the past couple of years and now they're back?

If you could answer that, that would be great. And just one more clarification. I don't actually think you provided the working capital number in terms of cash inflow, if you could provide that? That would be great.

A
Atanas Atanasov
executive

Yes. Let's start with the last part. This is the fresh here. This is Atanas. In terms of working capital, we saw tailwind to the tune of $500 million for the 3rd quarter.

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

Yes. And then just to answer the structure margin environment on the West Coast, we don't see anything necessarily structurally other than a good portion of diesel particularly RD coming to those markets, and therefore, we think there'll be length of diesel and to be honest, with opportunity in gas as well as Jet. But we don't think there's anything materially structural we think that what you're seeing right now is seasonal normal patterns.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Yes. I would just jump in, Jason. we typically see seasonal weakness as the tourism and the driving season kind of comes to a close. We're not seeing anything unusual at this point. What we are seeing is a pretty strong jet premiums right now. And I would tell you for the 3rd quarter, had record jet production and record jet sales that helped boost capture in both the Mid-Con and in the West regions, and we're seeing that continue here in the 4th quarter.

So we'll continue to look for those types of opportunities to continue to just optimize our portfolio.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Joe Laetsch from Morgan Stanley.

J
Joseph Laetsch
analyst

I just had a follow-up on RD. I was just hoping to get your outlook for RD margins here? Just given the industry capacity coming online next year, we've seen RINs fall, but we've also seen some of the feedstock cost decline as well as an offset. So I was just hoping to get your thoughts on the credit side as well as the feedstock side here, please.

S
Steven Ledbetter
executive

Yes. I think you hit it right. With the RVO release and the view of additional capacity coming on, there's been weakness in both RIN value and LCFS. We think that will adjust some time. There's been some announcements of some of the larger production coming on, some delays there. And so you've seen some of that change the overall margin and pricing structure, but we think that's temporary. That has created a bit of reduction in terms of the feedstock pricing near term, and we'll take advantage of that, but we think that will normal out.

And ultimately, we think that the RVO will adjust. We don't know when, but we do think that when it does adjust, it will create additional support in terms of the RIN value. And we continue to try to find other markets to take our products to, and we think that there are opportunities not only in terms of the markets that have LCFS, but we're also finding some opportunities where we can match proximity to our barrels and put them into those things into those channels profitable.

So longer-term outlook, we're pretty comfortable with what we're doing and unlocking and untapping the complete value chain in our RD business.

T
Timothy Go
executive

And you saw, Joe, that RD margins tightened here in the 3rd quarter and yet our gross margin and net margins actually increased. And that's a testament to what the team is doing to try to improve our, just our base business.

Operator

We have no further questions in the queue at this time. I will turn the call back over to Tim for closing remarks.

T
Timothy Go
executive

Thank you, Christa. Let me recap by saying that in the 3rd quarter, we executed our turnarounds on time and on budget. We delivered above mid-cycle profits in our Refining segment, Lubricants & Specialty segment and Marketing segment. and we returned $669 million to our shareholders for a total of $1.2 billion of shareholder returns so far this year.

These strong results are a testament to the competitive advantages of our business portfolio and the hard work of our employees to execute our strategies and deliver on these results. Our priorities remain the same: to improve our reliability, number one, to integrate and optimize our new portfolio of assets; number two, and to return excess cash to our shareholders, #3. Thank you for joining our call. Have a great day and Go Rangers.

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.