Deckers Outdoor Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one DECK stock under the Base Case scenario is 114.51 USD. Compared to the current market price of 192.15 USD, Deckers Outdoor Corp is Overvalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Deckers Outdoor Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a dynamic footwear and apparel company renowned for its innovative brands such as UGG, HOKA ONE ONE, Teva, and Sanuk. Founded in 1973, Deckers has carved out a distinctive niche in the outdoor and lifestyle sectors, blending functionality with fashion. The company's flagship brand, UGG, is celebrated for its premium sheepskin boots, while HOKA ONE ONE has rapidly gained a reputation in the running community for its superior technology and comfort. With a strong emphasis on sustainability and consumer engagement, Deckers is not just about selling products; it’s about creating compelling narratives that resonate with outdoor enthusiasts and fashion-conscious cons...
Deckers Outdoor Corporation is a dynamic footwear and apparel company renowned for its innovative brands such as UGG, HOKA ONE ONE, Teva, and Sanuk. Founded in 1973, Deckers has carved out a distinctive niche in the outdoor and lifestyle sectors, blending functionality with fashion. The company's flagship brand, UGG, is celebrated for its premium sheepskin boots, while HOKA ONE ONE has rapidly gained a reputation in the running community for its superior technology and comfort. With a strong emphasis on sustainability and consumer engagement, Deckers is not just about selling products; it’s about creating compelling narratives that resonate with outdoor enthusiasts and fashion-conscious consumers alike.
As of 2023, Deckers has demonstrated significant growth and resilience, leveraging digital channels and direct-to-consumer sales to expand its market presence. The company's strategic focus on innovation has allowed it to stay ahead of trends while maintaining strong profit margins. Investors are drawn to Deckers for its robust financial performance, evidenced by consistent revenue growth and healthy cash flow generation. With an eye on global expansion and continued investment in brand development, Deckers Outdoor Corporation represents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the growing outdoor lifestyle market, backed by a management team committed to long-term value creation.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation is known for its diverse portfolio of footwear and accessories, primarily focused on outdoor and lifestyle markets. The core business segments of Deckers typically include:
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Brands:
- UGG: This is one of the most recognized brands under Deckers. UGG specializes in sheepskin boots and accessories, appealing to both fashion and comfort markets. The brand has expanded its offerings to include a variety of footwear, apparel, and home goods.
- HOKA ONE ONE: This brand focuses on high-performance running shoes, targeting serious runners and outdoor enthusiasts. HOKA has gained a strong following due to its innovative designs that emphasize cushioning and support.
- Teva: Known for its outdoor sandals, Teva caters to adventure seekers and casual wear markets. The brand is recognized for its durable and functional products suitable for various outdoor activities.
- Sanuk: This brand offers a more laid-back and casual lifestyle footwear, including flip-flops and casual shoes. Sanuk’s products often emphasize comfort and fun designs.
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Geographical Segments:
- North America: This is a significant market for Deckers, with a large portion of its sales coming from the U.S. The brand presence and awareness are particularly strong in this region.
- International: Deckers also has a growing presence in international markets, including Europe and Asia. The company is increasingly focusing on expanding its reach and brand awareness globally.
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Retail Channels:
- Direct-to-Consumer (DTC): Deckers has been bolstering its DTC sales through its e-commerce platforms and branded retail stores. This segment enables the company to engage directly with customers and enhance brand loyalty.
- Wholesale: The wholesale segment involves partnerships with various retailers and distributors. This channel allows Deckers to reach a broader customer base and leverage existing retail networks.
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Product Categories:
- Footwear: The majority of Deckers' revenue comes from footwear sales, including seasonal and performance-specific shoes across its brands.
- Apparel and Accessories: In addition to footwear, Deckers also offers apparel and a range of accessories that complement its footwear lines, contributing to overall brand identity and cross-selling opportunities.
In summary, Deckers Outdoor Corporation operates mainly through its established brands, geographical markets, various retail channels, and diverse product categories, positioning itself strongly within the global outdoor and lifestyle segments.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, the parent company of brands like UGG, HOKA ONE ONE, Teva, and Sanuk, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Brand Equity: Deckers' brands, particularly UGG and HOKA, have achieved significant brand recognition and loyalty. UGG, for example, became synonymous with luxury casual footwear, while HOKA has built a reputation for high-performance athletic shoes.
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Diverse Brand Portfolio: By owning multiple distinct brands, Deckers can target different market segments and reduce reliance on any single brand. This diversity allows them to capture a broader audience and respond effectively to changing consumer preferences.
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Focus on Innovation: Deckers has a strong commitment to product innovation, especially in performance and comfort technology (as seen in HOKA footwear). This continuous innovation differentiates their products in a crowded market.
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Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Model: Deckers has bolstered its DTC sales significantly through online platforms and branded retail stores. This model increases margins and allows for more direct engagement with customers, providing valuable insights into consumer trends.
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Sustainable Practices: As sustainability becomes increasingly critical for consumers, Deckers has invested in eco-friendly materials and ethical manufacturing practices. This commitment can attract environmentally conscious buyers, giving them an edge over competitors.
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Effective Supply Chain Management: Deckers has demonstrated its ability to maintain efficiency in its supply chain and inventory management, which can lead to cost savings and better responsiveness to market demand.
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Global Reach: With a presence in multiple international markets, Deckers can capitalize on global trends and diversify its revenue streams, reducing the impact of regional economic downturns.
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Strong Marketing Strategies: Deckers utilizes targeted marketing and collaborations with influencers and celebrities, particularly for its lifestyle brands. This strategy enhances brand visibility and appeal to key demographics.
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Heritage and Lifestyle Connection: Brands like UGG have a strong heritage story that resonates with consumers, creating an emotional connection that is more than just product-based. This lifestyle aspect can enhance brand loyalty.
Through these competitive advantages, Deckers Outdoor Corp has positioned itself favorably within the footwear and apparel markets, enabling it to navigate challenges and seize growth opportunities effectively.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, known for its popular footwear brands such as UGG and Hoka One One, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Global supply chain issues can lead to delays in production and higher costs. Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or a resurgence of COVID-19 can exacerbate these disruptions.
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Labor Costs and Workforce Availability:
- Increased labor costs and difficulties in finding skilled labor could affect production capabilities and profit margins, especially if there’s a shift in labor regulations.
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Competition:
- The footwear and apparel market is highly competitive, with numerous brands vying for market share. Deckers must continuously innovate and differentiate its products to maintain its competitive edge.
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Market Trends and Consumer Preferences:
- Shifting consumer preferences, such as the move towards sustainable and eco-friendly products, could impact Deckers if it does not adapt quickly enough. Additionally, changing fashion trends can affect demand for certain styles.
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Economic Uncertainty:
- Economic downturns or inflation can affect consumer spending, particularly in discretionary categories like premium footwear. A recession could lead to reduced sales or a shift in consumer purchasing behavior.
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E-commerce Dynamics:
- While e-commerce presents growth opportunities, it also poses challenges, such as increased competition from online retailers and the need for investment in digital marketing and logistics.
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Brand Reputation Management:
- Deckers must manage its brand reputation effectively. Issues related to product quality, customer service, or social responsibility could negatively impact consumer trust and brand loyalty.
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Sustainability Pressures:
- Increasing scrutiny around sustainability practices in manufacturing and materials sourcing could require significant investment in sustainable practices, which may impact profitability.
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Currency Fluctuations:
- As a global player, Deckers is exposed to foreign currency risk, which can impact revenues and costs when repatriating profits or sourcing materials.
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Regulatory Changes:
- Changes in trade policies, tariffs, and regulations in key markets could affect costs and market access, particularly as the company relies on international suppliers.
To navigate these risks, Deckers Outdoor Corp will need to remain agile, focus on innovation, leverage data analytics for market insights, and potentially reevaluate its supply chain strategies to mitigate disruptions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Deckers Outdoor Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Deckers Outdoor Corp
Current Assets | 2.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
Receivables | 591.6m |
Other Current Assets | 884m |
Non-Current Assets | 696.8m |
PP&E | 537m |
Intangibles | 29.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 130m |
Current Liabilities | 875.6m |
Accounts Payable | 536.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 199.1m |
Other Current Liabilities | 139.9m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 299.3m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 299.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Deckers Outdoor Corp
Revenue
|
4.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-2B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.1B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-194.6m
USD
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Net Income
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875.4m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Deckers Outdoor Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In its recent earnings call, Deckers Brands revealed a robust 20% revenue increase to $1.3 billion, driven by HOKA's impressive 35% growth and UGG's 13% rise. Gross margins improved to 55.9%, reflecting strong demand and effective marketplace management. Looking ahead, the company raised its revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 to approximately $4.8 billion, up from $4.7 billion, predicting HOKA growth of 24% and maintaining mid-single-digit growth for UGG. With diluted earnings per share expected between $5.15 and $5.25, Deckers emphasizes its commitment to long-term brand health and significant international expansion opportunities.
What is Earnings Call?
DECK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Deckers Outdoor Corp's profitability score is 78/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Deckers Outdoor Corp's profitability score is 78/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
DECK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Deckers Outdoor Corp's solvency score is 88/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Deckers Outdoor Corp's solvency score is 88/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
DECK Price Targets Summary
Deckers Outdoor Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DECK is 194.32 USD with a low forecast of 167.66 USD and a high forecast of 243.6 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for DECK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
DECK Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Deckers Outdoor Corp. engages in the business of designing, marketing, and distributing footwear, apparel, and accessories developed for both everyday casual lifestyle use and high performance activities. The company is headquartered in Goleta, California and currently employs 3,400 full-time employees. The firm operates through six operating segments, the UGG brand segment offers footwear, apparel, and accessories with expanded product offerings. HOKA Brand segment provides footwear and apparel that offers enhanced cushioning and inherent stability with minimal weight. Teva Brand segment is a multi-category modern outdoor lifestyle brand offering a range of casual, and trail lifestyle products. Sanuk Brand segment is a lifestyle brand with a presence in the relaxed casual shoe and sandal categories. Other Brands segment consist of the Koolaburra by UGG brand. The Koolaburra brand is a casual footwear fashion line using sheepskin and other plush materials. The Direct-to-Consumer segment consist of retail stores and e-commerce websites which, in an omni-channel marketplace, are intertwined.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one DECK stock under the Base Case scenario is 114.51 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 192.15 USD, Deckers Outdoor Corp is Overvalued by 40%.