Carvana Co
NYSE:CVNA

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Carvana Co
NYSE:CVNA
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Price: 259.36 USD 4.42% Market Closed
Market Cap: 53.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CVNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 50.29 USD. Compared to the current market price of 259.36 USD, Carvana Co is Overvalued by 81%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CVNA Intrinsic Value
50.29 USD
Overvaluation 81%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Carvana Co

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Carvana Co., founded in 2012, has emerged as a disruptive force in the used car market, transforming the traditional automotive retail experience into a seamless digital transaction. The company operates an innovative online platform that allows customers to browse, finance, and purchase vehicles entirely over the internet. With its signature car vending machines and a robust delivery service, Carvana caters to the modern consumer's desire for convenience and transparency. This approach not only eliminates the traditional dealership hassle but also enhances customer satisfaction by providing a wide selection of quality used cars, often with competitive pricing and a seven-day return policy....

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Carvana Co

Current Assets 3.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 871m
Receivables 916m
Other Current Assets 2B
Non-Current Assets 3.6B
PP&E 3.3B
Intangibles 39m
Other Non-Current Assets 286m
Current Liabilities 1.2B
Accounts Payable 297m
Accrued Liabilities 438m
Short-Term Debt 76m
Other Current Liabilities 348m
Non-Current Liabilities 5.6B
Long-Term Debt 5.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 167m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Carvana Co

Revenue
12.6B USD
Cost of Revenue
-10B USD
Gross Profit
2.5B USD
Operating Expenses
-2B USD
Operating Income
528m USD
Other Expenses
-511m USD
Net Income
17m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Carvana Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Carvana celebrated a stellar Q3 with record net income of $148 million and adjusted EBITDA reaching $429 million, boasting an 11.7% EBITDA margin. Sales grew by 34%, totaling 108,651 retail units, paralleling a 32% revenue surge to $3.655 billion. The company projects continued growth, anticipating above $1.2 billion in adjusted EBITDA for the year. Key strategies include enhancing customer experience, increasing brand awareness through additional advertising spend, and optimizing inventory to improve efficiency. As Carvana enhances its infrastructure, it's poised to scale operations significantly, aiming for a potential capacity of up to 3 million units per year.

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Fundamental Scores

CVNA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Carvana Co's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
ROE is Increasing
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
ROIC is Increasing
50/100
Profitability
Score

Carvana Co's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CVNA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Carvana Co's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
47/100
Solvency
Score

Carvana Co's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CVNA Price Targets Summary
Carvana Co

Wall Street analysts forecast CVNA stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVNA is 243.98 USD with a low forecast of 72.72 USD and a high forecast of 336 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
72.72 USD
72% Downside
Average
Price Target
243.98 USD
6% Downside
Highest
Price Target
336 USD
30% Upside
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Dividends

Carvana Co
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CVNA is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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Dividend Yield
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Ownership

CVNA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

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Profile

Carvana Co Logo
Carvana Co

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

53.8B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Carvana Co. is a holding company and an eCommerce platform, engages in the buying of used cars and provision of different and convenient car buying experiences. The company is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona and currently employs 21,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-04-28. Through the Company’s platform, consumers can research and identify a vehicle, inspect it using its 360-degree vehicle imaging technology, obtain financing and warranty coverage, purchase the vehicle and schedule delivery or pick-up, all from their desktop or mobile devices. The Company’s transaction technologies and online platform allows customers to secure financing, complete a purchase and schedule delivery or pick-up online. Customers in certain markets also have the option to pick up their vehicle at one of their vending machines. Its in-house distribution network serves over 311 metropolitan markets.

Contact

ARIZONA
Tempe
1930 W Rio Salado Pkwy
+14807198809.0
www.carvana.com

IPO

2017-04-28

Employees

21 000

Officers

Co-Founder, President, CEO & Chairman
Mr. Ernest C. Garcia III
Co-Founder & COO
Mr. Benjamin Huston
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Mark Jenkins
Chief Product Officer
Mr. Daniel Gill
President of Special Projects
Mr. Thomas Taira
Co-Founder & Chief Brand Officer
Mr. Ryan S. Keeton
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Vice President of Accounting & Finance
Mr. Stephen R. Palmer
Head of Capital Markets, Investor Relations and Treasury
Mr. Michael McKeever
VP, General Counsel & Secretary
Mr. Paul Breaux
Executive Vice President of Strategy
Ms. Christina Keiser
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CVNA stock?

The intrinsic value of one CVNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 50.29 USD.

Is CVNA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 259.36 USD, Carvana Co is Overvalued by 81%.

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