Carlisle Companies Inc

NYSE:CSL

Earnings Call Analysis

Carlisle's Q2 2024 Highlights Increased Revenue and Strategic Growth

In the second quarter of 2024, Carlisle reported $1.5 billion in sales, up 11% year-over-year, driven by strong reroofing demand and inventory normalization. Adjusted EPS rose 33% to $6.24. The company sees continued gains from its pivot to a pure-play building products firm, highlighted by the $2 billion sale of CIT and the $45 million investment in a research center. CCM revenues grew 15%, while CWT faced pricing pressures. Consequently, Carlisle raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to 12% and expects a 150 basis point expansion in EBITDA margins, reaffirming its Vision 2030 strategy.

Record Performance Amid Strategic Pivot

Carlisle's second quarter of 2024 unveiled another chapter of outstanding performance, marked by substantial growth and strategic realignment. By solidifying its identity as a pure-play building products company, Carlisle embraced its Vision 2030 strategy and delivered a remarkable 11% year-over-year growth in sales, reaching $1.5 billion. The shift towards a more focused portfolio has reaped benefits, particularly in the CCM and CWT segments, driving operational efficiencies and profitability.

Phenomenal Growth in CCM Segment

The Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) segment stood out, boasting a 15% revenue growth propelled by pent-up reroofing demand, normalized inventory levels, and strategic acquisition of MTL. This led to a 23% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $364 million and an impressive adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 220 basis points to 33.4%. Such robust performance underscores the effectiveness of Carlisle's strategic investments and focus on operational efficiencies.

Resilient Performance in CWT Segment

Though the Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT) segment faced a slight dip in organic sales, it demonstrated resilience with a 22.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, benefiting from synergies and cost savings initiatives. Despite challenging market conditions, particularly in residential markets, CWT maintained stability and is on track to achieve its long-term profitability goals set under the Vision 2030 strategy.

Strategic Acquisitions and Divestitures

A major highlight for the quarter was the completion of the sale of Carlisle Interconnect Technologies (CIT) to Amphenol Corporation for $2 billion, aligning with the company's strategic pivot. Additionally, the acquisition of MTL bolstered Carlisle's position in the $4 billion architectural metal category, positioning itself as an industry leader. These strategic moves not only streamline Carlisle's portfolio but also enhance its focus on high-growth, high-margin opportunities.

Innovation and Future Investments

Innovation remains a cornerstone of Carlisle's Vision 2030 strategy. The announcement of a $45 million investment in a state-of-the-art research and innovation center in Carlisle, PA, underscores this commitment. This initiative aims to enhance R&D capabilities, driving future growth through energy-efficient, labor-saving solutions. By targeting 25% of revenues from new products within the next five years, Carlisle reinforces its focus on sustainable innovation.

Shareholder Returns and Financial Health

Carlisle's commitment to returning capital to shareholders was evident with $550 million in share repurchases and $40 million in dividends during the second quarter. The company's strong liquidity position, with $1.7 billion in cash and a net leverage ratio of 0.4x, underscores its financial resilience. Carlisle envisions substantial shareholder returns, targeting ROIC in excess of 25% and adjusted EPS of $40 by 2030.

Raised Financial Outlook for 2024

Buoyed by the strong second-quarter results, Carlisle raised its full-year 2024 revenue growth outlook to approximately 12%, with an anticipated 150 basis points expansion in adjusted EBITDA margins. This optimistic forecast reflects confidence in continued market demand, effective integration of recent acquisitions, and solid execution of the Vision 2030 strategic roadmap.

Conclusion: A Promising Future

With its strategic focus and robust performance in the first half of 2024, Carlisle remains well-positioned for sustainable long-term growth. The unwavering dedication to innovation, strategic acquisitions, and disciplined capital allocation under the Vision 2030 strategy bode well for the company's future, promising significant value creation for all stakeholders.

Earnings Call Transcript 2024-Q2

[Operator]

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Carlisle Companies Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. This call is being recorded on the 24th of July 2024, and I would now like to turn the conference over to Mehul Patel, Carlisle's Vice President of Investor Relations.

[Mehul Patel, executive]

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Carlisle's Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. I'm Mehul Patel, Head of Investor Relations for Carlisle. We released our second quarter 2024 financial results today, and you can find both our press release and the presentation for today's call in the Investor Relations section of our website.

On the call with me today are Chris Koch, our Board Chair, President and CEO; along with Kevin Zdimal our CFO.

Today's call will begin with Chris. He will provide highlights of our second quarter results and accomplishments. Followed by Kevin, who will provide an overview on our financial performance and an update on our outlook for the remainder of 2024. Following our prepared remarks, we will open up the line for questions.

But before we begin, please refer to Slide 2 of our presentation, where we note that comments today will include forward-looking statements based on current expectations. Actual results could differ materially from these statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, which are discussed in our press release and SEC filings. As Carlisle provides non-GAAP financial information, we provided reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP measures in our press release and in the appendix of our presentation materials, which are available on our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Chris.

[D. Koch, executive]

Thank you, Mehul. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Carlisle's Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. To start, I'd like to direct your attention to Slide 3 of the presentation. .

We are pleased to report another quarter of outstanding performance, reflecting the continued success of the Carlisle story. The underlying attributes of this story have been bolstered by the completion of our pivot to a pure-play building products company this year and reinforces underlying themes and strategies we outlined in our Vision 2030 strategy launched this past December. We are pleased to see that the transformation of Carlisle since the introduction of Vision 2025 continues with success and confirms the path we've been on remains the right one for all our stakeholders.

In the second quarter, we delivered sales of $1.5 billion, representing double-digit growth, up 11% on a year-over-year basis. The CCM and CWT businesses continue to build on their first quarter performance of driving improved profitability, supported by pent-up reroofing demand, continued discipline on price and delivering on operational efficiencies gained through the Carlisle operating system.

The combination of these key drivers translated into a record bottom line performance for Carlisle, with adjusted EPS up 33% and -- to $6.24 and adjusted EBITDA margin expanding 220 basis points year-over-year to a record 28.8%.

The -- CCM delivered an impressive quarter with 15% revenue growth and 220 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, driven by strong reroofing demand, which I previously mentioned, solid contractor backlogs and the benefit of inventory normalization in the channel. As we have discussed when we entered 2024, we expected to see a year-over-year benefit of approximately $125 million of sales improvement from inventory normalization in the second quarter, and that estimate was on the mark. As a reminder, inventory normalization also positively affected our first quarter of 2024 by $200 million, and we project that inventory normalization will impact the third quarter positively by $50 million.

CWT also performed well, showcasing its building earnings power. CWT delivered a 22.5% adjusted EBITDA margin on organic sales that were down approximately 1% as integration synergies and benefits from COS helped offset investments in growth initiatives and more difficult residential end markets. We are very pleased to see that CWT continues to have their sights set on the delivering of their aspirational goal of 30% EBITDA returns by 2030.

We -- during the quarter, we continued to make excellent progress on our Vision 2030 goals. A key milestone was the completion of our sale of CIT to Amphenol Corporation for approximately $2 billion. This sale marks the successful culmination of our strategic pivot to a pure-play building products company, which allows us to continue to focus on delivering superior capital returns, keeps our management attention on a more focused portfolio and provides a clearer picture of how value is created for our shareholders.

We also completed our acquisition of MTL in May. As a reminder, MTL is a Wisconsin-based specialty manufacturer of high-performance metal edge and wall systems. This acquisition positions Carlisle as an industry leader in the $4 billion architectural metal category of 2024.

We are extremely pleased that in addition to a great acquisition in MTL, we were also able to strengthen our Architectural Metals platform through consolidating the team under Tony Mallinger, MTL's President. We look forward to supporting Tony and the team as they continue to drive success in our Architectural Metals business.

Continuing with the theme of driving future growth, we recently announced plans for a $45 million investment in a state-of-the-art research and innovation center in Carlisle, PA. This expansion will provide additional resources necessary for the next stage of our innovation journey. The investment will support our Vision 2030 objective to accelerate our innovation in areas of energy efficiency, labor-saving solutions and integrated systems.

Expanding our R&D center in Carlisle is a key initiative to help us achieve our goal of generating 25% of revenues from new products introduced within 5 years by 2030.

Furthermore, we maintained our focus on returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks in quarter 2. And -- during the quarter, we executed $550 million of share repurchases. This is consistent with our planned goal of $1.4 billion of share repurchases for 2024.

We also distributed over $40 million in dividends. These actions reflect our ongoing commitment to returning capital to our shareholders and our confidence in Carlisle's future growth prospects.

Turning to CWT. In the residential markets, home buyer demand continues to experience affordability headwinds. Higher interest rates have kept buyers on the sidelines, and changes in consumer spending are negatively affecting repair and remodel. However, with our focus on enhancing the Carlisle experience, bringing new products to market and especially in our retail home center channel, by continuing to drive COS through our business and by implementing price-to-value approach, we expect to continue to grow CWT EBITDA margins towards our goal of 30%.

We -- to close out Slide 3, I would like to announce that we are raising our full year 2024 outlook by coupling our strong first half results with our previous projections for the second half of 2024 and the addition of MTL as of May 2024. We have strong confidence that the remainder of the 2024 construction season will continue the trends we have experienced in the first and second quarters of this year. We now expect revenue to grow approximately 12%, up from approximately 10% previously and adjusted EBITDA margin to expand approximately 150 basis points, up from over 100 basis points previously.

Now please turn to Slide 4 as I discuss our Vision 2030 value creation drivers and targets. Under Vision 2030, we are creating value for our shareholders through our portfolio of high-performing building envelope businesses that offer innovative, energy-efficient and labor-saving solutions for our customers, coupled with our goals of driving above-market growth, delivering consistent price and cost leadership and operating with a relentless focus on customer service and flawless execution through COS.

As a reminder, Vision 2030 focuses on 6 key pillars. The first is the Carlisle Operating System. Under Vision 2030, we will continue to drive our continuous improvement culture through the consistent application of COS across every function in the enterprise, with the goal to drive savings of 1% to 2% of sales annually through operational efficiencies.

Second is the Carlisle Experience. The Carlisle Experience has established us as a premium brand with a recognized value proposition backed by high-quality products and exceptional service. Our commitment to our customers is to ensure we deliver the right products at the right place and at the right time. We understand that we win with customers through exceptional service and labor savings efficiencies.

Third is innovation. We plan to increase our spend on R&D to 3% of sales by 2030 to accelerate the creation of new products and solutions that add value to our customers through advancements in sustainability, energy savings and labor efficiency.

Fourth is M&A. We will expand in existing and adjacent categories that allow us to enhance our building envelope portfolio. As a reminder, our 3 criteria for acquisitions are: one, an embedded organic growth story; two, hard cost synergies; and three, a talented management team. When completed with our Carlisle integration playbook, we believe we have a competitive advantage in M&A.

Fifth is a disciplined approach to capital allocation. Ultimately, we work for our shareholders and in line with our track record, we will continue to invest our cash responsibly into the highest ROIC opportunities.

And lastly and perhaps most importantly, our sixth goal is attracting and retaining top performers to ensure that we have the best talent to execute our strategic initiatives and drive above-market growth. The execution of Vision 2030 aims to drive superior shareholder returns and position Carlisle as a premier investment in the building product sector. We expect by 2030 to deliver $40 of EPS, and -- deliver over 25% ROIC and generate free cash flow margins in excess of 15%.

Turning to Slide 5. Let me spend a few minutes discussing our latest acquisition, MTL. We were pleased to close on our acquisition of MTL during the second quarter, adding a tremendous set of assets that provide innovative, high-performance metal edge and wall systems. This addition of MTL aligns perfectly with our Vision 2030 strategy and meets our acquisition criteria. By deploying our Carlisle integration playbook at MTL, we are on track to exceed the $13 million of synergies we announced in May. We now expect to deliver $20 million of annual synergies in year 3.

We -- another example of the effectiveness of Carlisle's integration playbook was in the Henry acquisition, where we delivered over $50 million of synergies in year 3 compared to the $30 million of synergies initially announced.

Now please turn to Slide 6, and I'll highlight a few examples of innovation and work at Carlisle. As I've mentioned, our Vision 2030 strategy includes new key initiatives such as an increased emphasis on innovation to further unlock the full potential of our pure-play building products portfolio. By investing in R&D and accelerating new product development, we aim to expand our competitive moat, deliver additional value to our customers and augment our financial results with enhancements to our products at higher price points.

Our goal is to increase our R&D spend to 3% of sales and grow the contribution from new products introduced in the last 5 years to 25% of sales, which represents a significant potential revenue lift.

Over the last 18 months, we've launched over 25 new products, including several recent introductions that capture the market opportunities presented by the energy-efficient labor savings and integrated solutions trends highlighted in our Vision 2030 strategy. One such product is our new ReadyFlash technology which allows commercial roofing applicators to maintain optimal productivity in various temperature conditions by adjusting the adhesive set of time using either the light or dark facer side of the rigid insulation board.

Our customer trials have demonstrated that the dark ReadyFlash facer can provide up to 4x faster adhesive flash off than a standard light facer with no sacrifice in performance. Another example is Carlisle's patented SeamShield technology for our Sure-Weld TPO membranes in the commercial roofing market. This innovative feature provides an easy-to-remove protective film on the top and bottom seam areas, reducing cleaning time by 70% while increasing weld strength by 10%.

Additionally, we recently introduced Henry Blueskin VPTech, an integrated panel that includes a weather-resistant barrier, continuous insulation and a seam ceiling in a single panel. In trials with independent contractors, Blueskin VPTech installed 30% faster compared to traditional methods, saving both time and labor cost. It also improves a building's energy efficiency by reducing air leakage and enhancing thermal performance.

These 3 products are patented or patent pending and together with our other new product launches represent a significant incremental sales opportunity at higher margins.

As we continue to execute our Vision 2030 strategy, we remain committed to investing in R&D and accelerating the introduction of innovative products that drive energy efficiency, labor savings and superior performance for our customers.

Please turn to Slide 7. Before I hand it over to Kevin, I wanted to quickly highlight that we recently released Carlisle's 2023 sustainability report. The report contains detailed information, including clear examples of how our products reduce carbon footprint in buildings, how we reduce emissions in our operations and how we plan to reduce waste to landfills. It also will give the reader our latest progress on GHG emission reductions and our progress towards 0 emissions by 2050.

In conclusion, I'm extremely proud of our team's performance in the first half of 2024. We -- our ability to produce strong results in a dynamic environment demonstrates the resilience of our business model, our strategic market positioning and the disciplined execution of our Vision 2030 strategy. As we move forward with Vision 2030, we are well positioned to capitalize on the positive fundamentals in our businesses and deliver profitable long-term growth.

And with that, I'll turn it over to Kevin to provide additional financial details. Kevin?

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Thank you, Chris. Our second quarter financial results continue to demonstrate Carlisle's strength and the effective execution on our strategic initiatives. As shown on Slide 8, we delivered a strong second quarter on both the top and bottom lines. We grew sales to $1.5 billion, up 11% year-over-year, driven by the normalization of inventory levels in our channels, a solid start to the construction season and robust reroofing activity.

We leveraged our top line performance to expand adjusted EBITDA margin by 220 basis points to a record 28.8%. Furthermore, we grew adjusted EPS by 33% to $6.24, reflecting the strong operating results, margin expansion and the benefit of our ongoing share repurchase program.

Looking at our segment highlights. Starting with CCM on Slide 9. CCM delivered second quarter revenues of $1.1 billion, up 15% year-over-year, reflecting strong reroofing activity, the benefit of inventory normalization and the acquisition of MTL. Organic revenue increased 13%. And -- CCM's adjusted EBITDA increased 23% year-over-year to $364 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded an impressive 220 basis points to 33.4%, reflecting volume leverage on a strong sales growth, favorable raw materials and continued operational improvements driven by COS.

Moving to Slide 10. Revenues at CWT were up 1% year-over-year to $362 million, driven by higher volumes and a benefit from the acquisition of Polar Industries, partially offset by lower pricing. CWT's adjusted EBITDA increased approximately 1% year-over-year to $81 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin was stable year-over-year at 22.5% as benefits from the Henry integration and operating efficiencies and -- helped offset ongoing growth investments. For your reference, Slide 11 provides a year-over-year second quarter adjusted EPS bridge.

Moving to Slides 12 through 14. Operating cash flow from continuing operations for the 6 months of 2024 was $333 million, up $61 million year-over-year, reflecting our earnings growth and disciplined working capital management. We invested $45 million in capital expenditures. Free cash flow was $288 million, up $73 million year-over-year.

We remain on pace for a free cash flow margin of over 15% for the full year 2024. We ended the quarter with $1.7 billion of cash on hand and $1 billion of availability under our revolving credit facility. This strong liquidity position provides us with ample flexibility to continue investing in our businesses, while also returning capital to shareholders.

We ended the quarter with a net leverage ratio of 0.4x, and -- which was positively impacted by the cash proceeds we received from the sale of CIT. We are already making significant progress against the capital allocation goals outlined in our Vision 2030 strategy. We are doing so by reinvesting in our high ROIC building product businesses through continued investment and growth CapEx, and -- evidenced by our recent announcement for a $45 million investment into our state-of-the-art research and innovation center.

We continue to demonstrate our conviction in our strategy and commitment to returning capital to shareholders through dividends, including $40 million in dividends paid and repurchasing $550 million of shares during the second quarter of 2024. Since the inception of our program, we have repurchased over 20 million of our shares, reducing our diluted share count by more than 26%.

We are also making synergistic acquisitions that will deliver significant opportunities for value creation such as our recently closed acquisition of MTL. These actions are collectively aligned with our disciplined capital allocation framework, which forms an integral part of our goals to deliver ROIC in excess of 25% and ultimately reaching $40 plus of adjusted EPS by 2030.

We -- following the repurchase of $550 million of shares during the second quarter, we have 5.6 million shares remaining under our share repurchase program. Our financial strength is built upon a firm foundation, a pristine balance sheet and a disciplined approach to managing leverage. This thoughtful capital structure empowers us to strategically deploy resources with a returns-oriented mindset. With a significant liquidity position of nearly $2.7 billion, now including the CIT proceeds, we are ready to seize meaningful opportunities as they emerge, unlocking further value for our stakeholders in both the near and long term. Overall, we are confident in our ability to drive sustainable growth and significant value creation for our shareholders for years to come.

Now moving to our full year financial outlook on Slide 15. We -- as Chris previously noted, we are raising our full year 2024 outlook for revenue to grow approximately 12% over the prior year. This increase in outlook is driven by a combination of our solid second quarter results, the acquisition of MTL and maintaining our previous outlook for the second half of 2024. Leveraging the additional revenue through the Carlisle Operating System, we now expect adjusted EBITDA margins to expand by approximately 150 basis points as compared to our previous guidance of expanding margins by at least 100 basis points. As such, we continue to expect double-digit EPS growth in 2024.

We -- Additionally, we maintain our expectation to deliver free cash flow margins of at least 15% and ROIC in excess of 25%. And -- this is directly aligned with the objectives outlined in our Vision 2030 strategy, and we are experiencing an excellent start towards our 2030 goal of $40 plus of adjusted EPS.

We -- looking at the components of the outlook. For CCM, we now expect year-over-year revenue to grow approximately 15% in 2024. We -- the drivers for the 15% growth are tailwinds from the return to normalization and order patterns that was absent during 2023 due to destocking, solid end market demand driven by pent-up reroofing activity and the acquisition of MTL more than offsetting a slight decline in year-over-year pricing.

For CWT, we now expect revenue to grow approximately 3% in 2024 from strong sales execution on key growth initiatives as well as modest end market growth more than offsetting any declines in year-over-year pricing.

In summary, second quarter revenue was up 11% and -- and adjusted EBITDA was up 220 basis points to a record 28.8%. Based on the strong second quarter results and the successful start to the MTL acquisition, we are raising our full year outlook to revenue of approximately 12% and approximately 150 basis points expansion of EBITDA margins.

With that, I turn it over to Chris for closing remarks.

[D. Koch, executive]

Thank you, Kevin. In conclusion, we are extremely pleased with our performance in the first half of 2024. We -- as we look towards the second half, we believe the significant positive trends exhibited in the second quarter will carry over into the third quarter, and that belief is embedded in our raising of expectations for 2024.

We -- in addition, I want to emphasize our unwavering dedication to Carlisle's strategic trajectory under Vision 2030. As we progress towards 2030, our focus on innovative, energy-efficient and labor savings systems and solutions, the Carlisle experience and flawless execution within our businesses positions us to outpace market growth and consequently deliver outstanding outcomes for all stakeholders.

The pivot of our company to a building products portfolio in tandem with our robust free cash flow generation and significant investment in innovation sets the stage for us to unlock significant additional value for our shareholders as we move forward.

I would be remiss if I didn't take a moment to convey my appreciation to each and every member of the Carlisle team. The remarkable achievements we've witnessed this quarter and the momentum we've built for 2024 are a testament to the dedication and skill of our talented employees. With Vision 2030 serving as the road map for our success, I remain incredibly optimistic about Carlisle's future.

Thank you once again for your support. That concludes our formal comments. Operator, we are now ready for questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Tim Wojs from Baird.

[Timothy Wojs, analyst]

Maybe just to start off, Chris, I guess, obviously, you guys are comping some of the destocking last year. I'm kind of backing into kind of the underlying market maybe in Q2 in the back half -- or at the front half of the year, kind of being up maybe like 3% to 4%. So I guess, a, is that kind of what you're seeing? And, b, as you kind of look to the back half what kind of gives you the confidence either from talking with contractors or just kind of order rates that, that type of market growth rate can continue?

[D. Koch, executive]

Tim, I think you're right on the first half and the first half was pretty much as we predicted, I think we did a good job, Kevin and the team of indicator -- of defining the impact of the restocking, I'll call it, [indiscernible] lack of destocking. And so good that was right on the mark.

I think we had also done some of our work, and this gets to the confidence issue, then did some of own independent work -- we can talk about that later around surveys and that, that really gave us some insight that we didn't have 2 years ago, and I think we've talked about that before, how we went out and did some of our own independent work after the destocking got us a little bit off guard a couple of quarters ago.

And we're seeing the same things going into the third quarter that we saw in the second quarter. CCM was a little bit better at the end of the second quarter, really drives around mix. I think we had a better operating environment. We added MTL into that positive momentum there.

If you look at CWT, while sales were probably what everybody hope for, I think, given the context of the resi markets and the impact on R&R and that was probably about what we expected. And what I was excited about there was in our retail channel, CWT and the Henry team introduced a couple of new products into the retail channel that really took off and helped.

And so I think we look at those things, we continue to have new products introduced. We continue to -- we actually had a record month on the margin side or record quarter, excuse me, on COS. And so when we look at operational efficiency, we're around the field situation, we look at the demand situation across the board. We just look at Q3 and think, unless there's a weather event or we see something deteriorating in the economy, the trend should -- they all look like they're going to continue into the third quarter and then we'll go into the fourth quarter and see what kind of weather we get as we end the year and how many days on the roof we get as we get into November in that.

[Timothy Wojs, analyst]

Okay. Okay. That's helpful. And then just on the reroofing piece, when you guys talk about pent-up demand, are you really referring to kind of the echo boom from like the late '90s and the mid-2000s in terms of like that, that kind of pent-up demand or above-average demand for reroofing? Or is it kind of a couple of years ago where the industry just had to reprioritize or prioritize the new construction market and that kind of pushed reroofing demand kind of to the right and that's kind of kind of hitting now. I guess I'm just trying to get a sense for what visibility you have to that backlog.

[D. Koch, executive]

Yes. And it's something we talked about before, how. And I know the start isn't great. We've had it out there for a while. We're increasing new construction, 20 years ago is really laying in that foundation of reroofing that's going to occur. So as you say, and we talked about this for a while, the constrained labor markets. Obviously, that's a big back in driving our innovation is that we forecast continued constrained labor markets.

And so I think you accurately set it up, which is really new construction. If it's better, then you're going to be allocating labor to that and reroofing might have a little bit of a lag. And then when we had COVID, and we had some time where roofs weren't being probably addressed as quickly as they could have been. Again, it just gets into that backlog. And so that's really what in supporting that.

And I think you referenced actually in your report, you issued today on commercial around architectural firm backlog still healthy at about 6.4 months and AIA highlighted that. And I think that's kind of consistent with what we're seeing.

[Timothy Wojs, analyst]

Okay. And then if I could sneak one last one in. Just it's hard for us to tell from the outside, but I guess how big is the data center market for Carlisle. I mean, obviously, they're putting roofs on just like any other building?

And do you get a content benefit from a data center relative to a kind of run-of-the-mill type building. I'm just thinking with all the heating and cooling that needs to happen in data centers, if there's any sort of like additional polyiso or anything like that, that you need?

[D. Koch, executive]

Right. So we did see data centers, obviously, with the increase in data consumption and the things like this. We've been seeing this build. As a part of our overall sales, it's a small piece. It is growing. We're seeing more interest in it and not just in areas like Phoenix where we've seen a lot of data center -- excuse me, data center talk about construction in that, but also around the country. And so it's getting our attention. We have a team focused on it.

And it really gets to the point that you're making is not that it's a big part of it, but it is a nice content piece because of what you talked about. You really need to have a very secure building envelope. Energy efficiency is prime there as well as moisture control and other things. So it's one of the most sophisticated roofs we would put down. And I think when you think about that and translate it into product content, it's a good roof for Carlisle.

[Timothy Wojs, analyst]

Okay. Great.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Susan Maklari from Goldman Sachs.

[Susan Maklari, analyst]

My first question is maybe going back to roofing for bit, it sounds like the channel inventories are still fairly lean as we think about the second half of this year. Can you talk a bit about how you are positioning the business relative to that?

And anything that you're doing to sort of ensure that you can maintain service levels and market share all those key dynamics to Vision 2030, as you think about the potential for a restock or a change in the demand over the next couple of quarters?

[D. Koch, executive]

Right. I think it was last quarter, we said that inventory might be on the historically lighter side. I think that's true. There wasn't a big load in this year. Obviously, you're aware of this. People were burned on the inventory. We had to destock obviously. We're through that. I think coming into this year, we didn't expect a big load in.

And to your point, on being prepared, we actually were prepared and had -- and actually built a little bit more in the first quarter to be sure we could address customer needs with having lower inventory through the channel.

So I don't see that inventory picking up, Susan, as we go into the third quarter because we're past the peak of the construction season, so why would you load in inventory now? Historically, people haven't done that, they're managing more carefully in the back half of the year. And then as we look at 2025, we'll do some more assessment. But that would be the time when traditionally, we would have built inventory in the winter months to begin to address that load in, in the spring. And so look at that.

But that's one way we do it. The other way is, as I said, we had a record COS quarter in the second quarter. And I think you can think of that just simply in terms of increasing the efficiency of our operations, and we continue to invest in capital. We continue to invest in automation. We're starting to roll out AI in different places. One of them is S&OP planning, demand management, things like that, to make ourselves more efficient and to really be able to respond more quickly to any surgeons inventory we've had.

But to this point, we've handled the year pretty well. I think we're well positioned on inventory and production for the third quarter. And obviously, we'll be right there if there's a good weather fourth quarter that we need to continue to meet that demand. So I think we're in a good position for this year and then even into 2025.

[Susan Maklari, analyst]

Okay. That's great color, Chris. And then you mentioned the $45 million investment that you're making in Carlisle, Pennsylvania. Can you talk a bit more about how we should think about those costs coming through over time as you think about ramping up that R&D spend to towards that 3% target that you have? And what that could mean in terms of mix shift as we start to think about perhaps '25 in the forward years in there, how that perhaps could move and what that will mean to result?

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Yes. On the cost side, the $45 million investment, that's going to be over a 2-year period. and it'll be more back-end loaded on it as we're getting permits and getting everything in place and then getting the building going and putting the labs in.

And then as far as, yes, the outcome of that project, obviously, will be a little bit further out on when the new products come in, but certainly, we have a full pipeline of products that we're currently working on. We have the 3 different buckets that we work on in R&D and the first one is the maintenance where we're making improvements. It's really taking costs out of our products. and that's going very well.

A lot in that pipeline than the evolutionary products, some of that Chris pointed out in his remarks on this call, and that's the part that we're going to see the immediate impact. We start seeing some of that right now into '25, '26 is continue to ramp. So that's really the focus on our current new products, the new R&D center that's going to be when we start seeing some more of the transformational R&D that we've been working on, and that's more in the 3- to 5-year bucket.

[Susan Maklari, analyst]

Okay. That's helpful color. And good luck with everything.

[D. Koch, executive]

Thanks, Susan.

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Thank you,

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Garik Shmois from Loop Capital. .

[Garik Shmois, analyst]

I was hoping you could provide an update on price cost. I think you're looking for it to be a positive $20 million for the year, and that was raised after the first quarter. Is that still a good assumption and maybe also talk to how that looked in the second quarter as well?

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Yes. Certainly, as we came into the year, we were expecting about really flat for the year. And then in the first quarter call, as you mentioned, we took that up to a $20 million positive and then as we've moved on through the year, we've seen an uptick in MDI, that's sitting raw materials a little bit. And then CWT has given up a little bit of price in 1 of their segments. And so those are bringing us back to looking at pretty much flat for the year is what we're looking at.

If you looked at it by segment, CCM is pretty much flat throughout all 4 quarters. So no real impact. Last quarter, we talked about CWT being a positive $10 million in the first quarter. Second quarter for CWT was flat. And then the third and fourth quarter will probably be both down about $5 million on the price cost side at CWT.

[Garik Shmois, analyst]

Great. That's helpful. I wanted to follow up on the pricing comment. You did implement a price increase in the second quarter in CCM. Just wondering how that was accepted by your customers? And maybe just a little bit more color on how pricing moved sequentially in the second quarter.

[D. Koch, executive]

Garik, I'll take part of it, Kevin can talk about the sequential stuff. When we entered the year and even I think when we saw that pricing announcement from one of our competitors, and again, we were happy they were attempting to show their price to value there, and they also thought I think my sense was the raw materials are rising. So a good call there because as Kevin just mentioned, MDI is getting a little higher. Labor costs were going up. .

We said that, that wasn't really going to have much of an impact in '24 for us, maybe a little bit, I think, in the fourth quarter, if I'm right, Kevin can correct me if I'm wrong. So what we saw through the quarter is we did actually see places where we had implemented that pricing increase, and we were getting some traction.

I would say overall, though, the response in the broader markets was not to have a lot of conviction over that. And just to continue to extend, I wouldn't say it was a reduction, it was just an extension of current terms further into the year.

And ultimately, when you keep extending a price increase implementation date, you run out of room on the year and its ability to be effective. So I think overall, not only for us, but as we projected, it wouldn't have much impact, I think in the industry, it won't have much impact all. So it will be something that how to -- I think how to labor costs, how to supply chain costs, things like that go into the third and fourth quarter and then do you see some ability by the industry to build the firmer as we enter 2025.

[Garik Shmois, analyst]

Got it. No, I appreciate the color. I guess my last question is just on the MTL acquisition. You raised the EPS accretion guidance, just a couple of months into ownership. Just wondering what you're seeing so early on that gave you the confidence to do that.

[D. Koch, executive]

Well, when we come in, we have this projection that we do, and we try to be good about it, we don't get as much in as we do after we own the company. But I think just like with Henry, we've got a great leadership team. Frank Ready was the Henry leader that really embraced our integration playbook, and that's a key thing is how does the team embrace the integration playbook because some of that -- the synergies identified and the actual identification of new synergies comes as the team gets together and they pursue these things, either passionately or not passionately.

In both cases, Henry and MTL leadership has just hit the ground running, fully bought into COS, fully bought into the integration playbook. And as a result, we've accelerated I think some of the things we thought were there. And then we've also identified some new opportunities for synergy.

And I think it's worthwhile to say most of the stuff that we take action on initially our cost synergies. And then as you start to get the groups together, you start thinking about sales synergies and how you can bring things together.

So I think it's going really well. That management team and the teams at Drexel and at Peterson are just doing a great job, and that's why we feel confident in raising the synergies, the accretion and I actually think there's even upside to the $20 million we put out as our new target for synergies. So more of that as we get through the year.

[Garik Shmois, analyst]

Right. Sounds good.

[Operator]

The next question comes from the line of Bryan Blair from Oppenheimer.

[Bryan Blair, analyst]

Sorry if I missed some of the details, just to level set on our revised sales guidance. What's now baked in price and volume, respectively, for CCM and CWT? It seems like overall organic outlook is largely unchanged, CCM bit better, CWT dialed back as such. Just curious about the moving parts.

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Yes. You summed it up pretty well there. Just overall, as we look at the full year, going into this quarter, we had said up low double digits for CCM, so around 12%. We raised that to approximately 15%. So the increase 2% of it is from the MTL acquisition. And then the other 1% would really be the additional volume that we picked up in the second quarter. And then we're expecting -- we haven't made any changes to the second half of the year, we're maintaining what the outlook we provided in the last earnings call.

[Bryan Blair, analyst]

Understood. Appreciate the clarification. And a follow-up on MTL, maybe offer a little more detail on the MTL profile, synergistic fit with Drexel and Peterson and how your team is thinking about longer-term margin potential? And it sounds like the step up to $20 million in deal synergies is going to ramp profitability pretty quickly here.

[D. Koch, executive]

I think that MTL longer term, Bryan, is along the lines of CCM. I mean, we for sure be disappointed if we didn't see over the next few years getting into the mid-30s and I think we're going to be aspirational to somewhere closer to 40%.

So I know that's a big game for the team, but I really do think we finally have the right approach. We've got the right volume. We've got the right platform across the profiles, hedge metals, the fabrication, the resi, the nonresi building panels, things like that to really start to get some leverage out of this entire platform that we didn't have before. So yes, I would think it would continue to grow. And again, let's target mid-30s and see if we can get to 40%.

[Bryan Blair, analyst]

Very impressive. And one last one, if I may, sticking with M&A. Any color you can offer on your current deal pipeline and potential or likelihood of other strategic deals in the foreseeable future? MTL is seemingly a home run, tons of dry powder. We know that your team is always aggressive in terms of share repurchases, curious on the M&A side of things.

[D. Koch, executive]

Yes. The M&A pipeline is actually quite good. I think you're probably aware of what said publicly around whether it's strategics and private equity wanting to have some exits, and we see that. I think we're still a little bit -- getting a little bit of I'd say tension around this idea that some people might think it's better to wait and have a higher valuation as a seller thinking that rate cuts will come and '25 will be better. And so if I'm going to sell, I want a higher number, and then buyers obviously are saying, well, yes, there's a lot of uncertainty there, and I think we want to be compensated for that uncertainty.

So the pipeline is good. I think it's the valuation differential that's maybe slowing things down a little bit. But as you said, we have assets, we have aspirations. We have a good strategy. We've got a clear target across all of our businesses for what would be good acquisitions. So now the question is just getting them to close. And I think Kevin and I are both optimistic that will continue to be a solid part of the growth story for Carlisle. So I think we're in good shape there.

[Operator]

The next question comes from the line of Saree Boroditsky from Jefferies.

[Saree Boroditsky, analyst]

You highlighted some share gain initiatives within CWT. Can you just talk more through those opportunities? And then what those adds to growth, especially in the second half of this year and in 2025?

[Mehul Patel, executive]

Yes. Sure, I'll take that one. It's Mehul here. So on CWT, we talked in prior calls a lot about cross-selling opportunities. You talked about Home Depot. So if you just look at the Home Depot example with the new product categories that we added into that channel, that itself is going home by roughly double digits.

And in addition to that, we also have some pretty nice synergies around new products in waterproofing, which is gaining traction. And then Frank is putting a lot of focus on system selling across the full portfolio, which is also gaining some traction.

So when you roll it all together, overall for CWT, that's adding somewhere between 3% to 4% of growth in the second half.

[Saree Boroditsky, analyst]

That's super helpful. A little bit earlier in the call, you highlighted some survey work that you've done internally. Maybe just give us some color on what you've learned from those surveys and how it gives you confidence in your outlook?

[D. Koch, executive]

So I don't know -- I think -- I thought we talked about it before on a call, maybe we had right after the inventory destocking in the third quarter of at the year, but anyway, we were disappointed in that as you were in other investors where there wasn't more visibility and clarity in the channel, I think, both at the contractor and the distributor level. And so we went out and we worked with the firm to create kind of a, I don't call it proprietary, but a survey where we were looking at multiple hundreds of contractor data points in various geographies, various size contractors and distributors.

And then asking a series of questions to get around things like how are we doing on inventory levels? What are you forecasting for growth? What are you seeing in your market? And then doing a consolidation around that. And it's been a pretty effective tool for us.

I think the other thing it's done for us is start to give us some greater insights into market perception of us. We put a lot of emphasis on the Carlisle experience. And so embedded in that are some questions around delivery and quality and things like that, that we've taken back and we've used to also help us direct some efforts in our customer experience.

So it's not earth shattering. It's just something we needed to do, and we feel like that direct connectivity is something we need to have. So do it -- you may think where you're already doing that. We do it, I would say, and have multiple conversations every day with I'm sure all of our customers. But I think this is a more formal process that was a little bit more statistically valid. So it was a good addition to the portfolio of information gathering tools we have at our disposal.

[Saree Boroditsky, analyst]

I appreciate the color.

[Operator]

The next question comes from the line of David McGregor from Longbow Research.

[David S. MacGregor, analyst]

Chris, congratulations on a great quarter. I just wanted to see if you could drill down into CWT a little further and just help us understand kind of the flat organic growth. And it looks like you're guiding 3% for the year. But based on some comments just made, it sounds like most of that idiosyncratic internal programs. .

Can you just sort of open up the residential versus the commercial side of that and talk about what's happening on each side of that and just how that plays out into the second half of the year.

[D. Koch, executive]

Yes. So David, as you know, the end markets for CWT, it's fairly balanced, about 25% each into residential R&R, commercial new and commercial R&R. So on the residential side, we were fairly on the conservative side, overall residential on a single-family side. We kind of see that in the low double-digit range. Multifamily down pretty significantly around 30%.

And -- on the commercial and new side, CWT leans more towards the institution side. So that's up in the low single range. And then on the R&R side, we're down about roughly 4%. Obviously, people our -- affordability as well as lighter transactions between sellers and buyers on the residential side, there's less R&R. But you net it all together, overall, the market we see it down or up between 1% or 2%, so pretty modest small growth there. We talked about the initiatives there.

There's also a small acquisition that CWT did in late Q4. So that's going to add about 1 point. And then price, as Kevin mentioned, in certain categories, mainly around the insulation side, there's lower prices in the second half to the tune of 3%. So you net those together, that's how you get to the plus 3%.

[David S. MacGregor, analyst]

Right. Right. Are you confident that you're holding your share in CWT?

[D. Koch, executive]

Yes, overall, we talked about share gains around some of the cross-selling things through Home Depot as well as the waterproofing side. So we feel pretty good there. And on the insulation side, I think there's something that's going on in the channel, where we see some softness outside of the overall end market trends.

[David S. MacGregor, analyst]

Great. Okay. And just as a quick follow-up. For CCM, how much of a revenue impediment was weather in the quarter? .

[D. Koch, executive]

Yes. Weather was minimal. Yes. Yes, it was very minimal. We had some puts and takes there. But overall, no impact.

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

A little bit of flooding at 1 facility, I think [indiscernible]

[David S. MacGregor, analyst]

Okay. Great. Congratulations.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Adam Baumgarten from Zelman.

[Adam Baumgarten, analyst]

A quick question on CCM pricing. I think last quarter, you talked about that being down about 1% from down 2% to 3% in terms of your initial outlook for the year. Is that maybe now back to that down 2% to 3%? Or is that down 1%, still a good number to use?

[Kevin Zdimal, executive]

Yes, that's what we were approximate on before and 1% to 2%, somewhere in that range, but no higher than that. .

[Adam Baumgarten, analyst]

Okay. Got it. And then just within your CCM business, maybe if you could give us some color on the verticals, whether it's office, retail, warehouse, kind of what you're seeing, I'm sure there's some puts and takes, but what's been strong, what's been weak.

[D. Koch, executive]

Right. No, I think when we look at across, obviously, the warehousing thing has been down, and that's been down significantly. When I think about where we were maybe back in '22 where we were in the, I think, 20-plus percent increase in warehousing and now we're probably the inverse of that, maybe a little less than that.

Education has been pretty consistent over the last couple of years is a good place to be office buildings. You can imagine, it's still not great, a little bit negative. You read that in the press with what's happening there, work from home and all that.

We think about stores, we call it stores. That's doing well. Health care has done well again. And then I think the one that everybody drives a lot of attention to the reshoring manufacturing actually this year has been a good add in terms of new construction. So overall, a mixed bag, but probably what you would have expected based upon what you're even is to let the trends.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions]. There are no further questions at this time. I'd now like to turn the call back over to Chris Koch for final closing remarks. Please go ahead.

[D. Koch, executive]

Thank you. This then concludes the second quarter earnings call. I appreciate everybody being on the call and good questions. Look forward to speaking with all of you at our next earnings call. Thank you.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.