Campbell Soup Co
NYSE:CPB
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CPB stock under the Base Case scenario is 56.73 USD. Compared to the current market price of 44.69 USD, Campbell Soup Co is Undervalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Campbell Soup Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Campbell Soup Company, a staple name in the food industry since 1869, has built an impressive legacy grounded in quality, innovation, and consumer trust. With a diverse portfolio that includes iconic brands such as Campbell's Soup, Pepperidge Farm, and V8, the company has adeptly navigated changing consumer preferences towards healthier, convenient meal options. Over the years, Campbell has demonstrated a commitment to adaptation, investing in product development and marketing strategies that resonate with modern consumers, particularly in the growing segments of organic and plant-based foods. This strategic evolution has positioned Campbell as a resilient player in a competitive marketplace...
Campbell Soup Company, a staple name in the food industry since 1869, has built an impressive legacy grounded in quality, innovation, and consumer trust. With a diverse portfolio that includes iconic brands such as Campbell's Soup, Pepperidge Farm, and V8, the company has adeptly navigated changing consumer preferences towards healthier, convenient meal options. Over the years, Campbell has demonstrated a commitment to adaptation, investing in product development and marketing strategies that resonate with modern consumers, particularly in the growing segments of organic and plant-based foods. This strategic evolution has positioned Campbell as a resilient player in a competitive marketplace, aiming to capture market share while maintaining profitability.
In recent years, Campbell has also focused on streamlining operations and improving its financial health, addressing the challenges posed by fluctuating commodity costs and supply chain disruptions. The company's ongoing transformation includes divesting underperforming segments and enhancing its core businesses, which aligns with management's vision to enhance shareholder value. With a strong dividend history, consistent cash flow generation, and a robust plan for future growth, Campbell Soup Company presents investors with a blend of stability and potential. As consumer preferences continue to evolve, Campbell's strategic initiatives and adaptive approach are key drivers for its long-term success, making it an intriguing option for investors seeking exposure to the resilient food sector.
Campbell Soup Company operates through several core business segments that reflect its diverse portfolio in the food industry. These segments include:
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Meals and Beverages: This segment includes a range of products such as soups, broth, and beverages. It encompasses iconic brands like Campbell's Soups and V8 drinks, focusing on both ready-to-eat meals and convenient beverage options.
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Snacks: This segment consists of a variety of snack foods, including crackers, cookies, and snack bars. Well-known brands like Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm, and Snyder's of Hanover fall under this category. The focus here is on providing convenient and enjoyable snacking options.
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Packaged Fresh: This segment is dedicated to fresh foods, including refrigerated soups, fresh salads, and other deli-format products. The emphasis is on offering healthier and fresher meal options that cater to changing consumer preferences.
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International: This segment includes the company's operations outside of the United States, focusing on exports and products tailored for international markets. Campbell’s product offerings in this segment can vary significantly based on local tastes and preferences.
Each of these segments is designed to cater to different consumer needs, reflecting Campbell Soup Company's strategy of maintaining a diversified product portfolio that can respond to various market trends and consumer demands. This diverse approach helps the company to manage risks and capitalize on growth opportunities across different categories.
Campbell Soup Company possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the food industry. Here are some key factors:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Campbell has a diverse and well-recognized portfolio of brands, including Campbell’s soup, Prego, V8, and Pepperidge Farm. This brand recognition fosters consumer loyalty and trust.
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Category Leadership: Campbell has a leading position in the soup category, which is its core business. This dominance allows the company to benefit from economies of scale and extensive distribution networks.
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Innovation and Product Development: The company has a long history of innovation in food products, continuously adapting to consumer trends, such as health and wellness. Investments in research and development enable Campbell to introduce new products that meet changing consumer preferences.
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Strong Distribution Networks: Campbell has established robust distribution systems that ensure its products are readily available in various retail outlets, including grocery stores, convenience stores, and online platforms.
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Focus on Health and Wellness: With a growing consumer preference for healthier options, Campbell has positioned itself to meet this demand through the reformulation of products and the introduction of new, healthier lines, such as organic and reduced-sodium options.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Campbell is increasingly focused on sustainability in its operations, which resonates with environmentally-conscious consumers. This commitment can enhance its brand image and attract a growing segment of the market.
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Strategic Acquisitions: The company has expanded its product lines and market presence through strategic acquisitions. For instance, acquiring brands that align with current consumer trends allows Campbell to diversify its offerings.
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Strong Financial Position: Campbell’s solid financial foundation enables it to invest in marketing, research and development, and acquisitions to drive further growth, giving it an edge over competitors with less financial flexibility.
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Consumer Insights and Data Analytics: Leveraging consumer data and market research helps Campbell understand and anticipate consumer preferences, enabling it to tailor its marketing strategies and product offerings effectively.
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Commitment to Quality: Campbell has a reputation for high-quality products, which can create a competitive barrier because customers may be willing to pay a premium for brands they trust.
These advantages, when leveraged effectively, position Campbell Soup Company to compete successfully in a dynamic market.
Campbell Soup Company faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its performance and business operations. Some of these include:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain challenges, exacerbated by global events (e.g., pandemics, geopolitical tensions), can lead to shortages of raw materials, increased costs, and delays in production and distribution.
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Consumer Preferences: There is a growing trend towards healthier eating and plant-based foods. Campbell Soup may face pressure to adapt its product offerings to meet changing consumer preferences, which could require significant investment and innovation.
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Rising Input Costs: Inflation and increased costs of raw materials, labor, and transportation can squeeze profit margins. Campbell must manage these costs effectively to maintain profitability.
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Competition: The food and beverage industry is highly competitive. Campbell faces competition not just from other soup brands, but also from private labels, emerging health-focused brands, and ready-to-eat meal options.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in food safety regulations, labeling requirements, and health claims can impact how Campbell markets and produces its products. Compliance with such regulations can also incur additional costs.
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Brand Reputation and Trust: Any potential issues related to food safety, product recalls, or negative publicity could harm Campbell's brand reputation, leading to a decline in consumer trust and sales.
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Market Saturation: The soup category is relatively mature, and growth may be limited. Campbell might struggle to find new market opportunities or significant growth within its traditional segments.
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Geopolitical Risks: International operations are exposed to risks related to tariffs, trade policies, and political instability in different regions, which can affect sourcing and sales.
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Technological Transformation: The need for digital transformation and e-commerce strategies is crucial. Failure to adapt to changing technological landscapes may hinder Campbell’s ability to compete effectively.
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Sustainability Pressures: Increasing scrutiny on environmental sustainability practices means Campbell must invest in sustainable sourcing, packaging, and production processes, which can be costly and complex.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning, adaptability, and a focus on innovation to ensure Campbell Soup Company remains competitive and relevant in the evolving food landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Campbell Soup Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Campbell Soup Co
Current Assets | 2.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 108m |
Receivables | 630m |
Other Current Assets | 1.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 13B |
PP&E | 3B |
Intangibles | 9.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 221m |
Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Accounts Payable | 1.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 704m |
Short-Term Debt | 1.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 163m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 7.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 5.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Campbell Soup Co
Revenue
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9.6B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-6.6B
USD
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Gross Profit
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3B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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1.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-720m
USD
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Net Income
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567m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Campbell Soup Co
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Campbell Soup Company reported an 11% increase in net sales for Q4, primarily driven by the Sovos Brands acquisition. Despite a 1% organic net sales decline, adjusted EBIT surged by 36%, and EPS grew by 26% to $0.63. Meals & Beverages saw a 2% volume lift, indicating recovery, while Snacks volumes remained stable. The company provides a fiscal '25 net sales growth guidance between 9-11% and EPS expected in the range of $3.12 to $3.22, despite the recent divestiture of Pop Secret impacting EPS by $0.04.
What is Earnings Call?
CPB Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Campbell Soup Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Campbell Soup Co's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CPB Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Campbell Soup Co's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Campbell Soup Co's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CPB Price Targets Summary
Campbell Soup Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPB is 52.46 USD with a low forecast of 44.44 USD and a high forecast of 62.08 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CPB is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Campbell Soup Co. engages in manufacture and marketing of convenience food products such as soup, simple meals, snacks, and healthy beverages. The company is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey and currently employs 14,100 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Meals & Beverages and Snacks. Meals & Beverages, which includes the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. Meals & Beverages segment products include Campbell’s condensed and ready-to-serve soups, Swanson broth and stocks, pacific foods broth, soups and non-dairy beverages, Prego pasta sauces, pace Mexican sauces, Campbell’s gravies, pasta, beans and dinner sauces, Swanson canned poultry, V8 juices and beverages, and Campbell’s tomato juice. Snacks segment, which consists of Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery and frozen products in the United States retail, including Pepperidge Farm Farmhouse cookies and bakery products, Milano cookies and Goldfish crackers, and Snyder’s of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July Snacks, Emerald nuts, and other snacking products.
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The intrinsic value of one CPB stock under the Base Case scenario is 56.73 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 44.69 USD, Campbell Soup Co is Undervalued by 21%.