Commercial Metals Co
NYSE:CMC

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Commercial Metals Co
NYSE:CMC
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Price: 59.43 USD -1.98% Market Closed
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2019-Q2

from 0
Operator

Hello, and welcome everyone to the Second Quarter Fiscal 2019 Earnings Call for Commercial Metals Company. Today's call is being recorded. After the company's remarks, we will have a question-and-answer session and we'll have a few instructions given at that time.

I would like to remind all participants that during the course of today's conference call, the company will make statements that provide information other than historical information and will include expectations regarding economic conditions, effects of legislation, U.S. steel import levels, U.S. construction activity, demand for finished steel products, the company's future operations, the company's future results of operations, the ability to realize the anticipated benefits of our acquisition of certain rebar assets from Gerdau S.A., and the investment in our new micro mill in Durant, Oklahoma, and capital spending.

These and other similar statements are considered forward-looking and may involve speculation and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these expectations. These statements reflect the company's beliefs based on current conditions but are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, including those that are described in the Risk Factors section of the company's latest annual report on Form 10-K and subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Although these statements are based on management's current expectations and beliefs, CMC offers no assurance that these expectations or beliefs will prove to have been correct, and actual results may differ materially. All statements that are made as of this date, except as required by law, CMC does not assume any obligation to update, amend or clarify these statements in connection with future events, changes and assumptions, the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events, new information or circumstances or otherwise.

Some numbers presented will be non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations for such numbers can be found in the company's earnings release or on the company's website. Unless stated otherwise, all references made to year or quarter-end are references to the company's fiscal year or fiscal quarter.

And now, for opening remarks and introductions, I would now like to turn the call over to the Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer of Commercial Metals Company, Ms. Barbara Smith. Please go ahead.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Good morning and thank you for joining the call to review CMC’s results for the second quarter of fiscal 2019. I will begin the call with highlights for the second quarter. Mary Lindsey will then cover the quarter's financial information in more detail and I will conclude our prepared remarks with a discussion of our outlook for the second half of fiscal 2019, after which we will open the call to questions.

As announced in our earnings release this morning, we reported fiscal second quarter 2019 earnings from continuing operations of $14.9 million or $0.13 per diluted share on net sales of $1.4 billion. Excluding the impact of the non-operational items such as certain integration costs, inventory step-up charges and adjustments related to new guidance associated with the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act, our adjusted earnings from continuing operations were $35 million or $0.29 per diluted share. The adjusted earnings were a strong result given normal seasonality and the significant effective weather which had a dramatic impact on shipments for the quarter.

Also, as noted in our press release from yesterday, I'm pleased to report that the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share of CMC common stock for stockholders of record on April 5, 2019. The dividend will be paid on April 18, 2019; this represents CMC's 218th consecutive quarterly dividend. At CMC we pride ourselves on leading the industry and customer service, and product and process innovation supported by a team of professionals that are always looking for ways to provide value to our customers and all stakeholders. Some examples of our leadership and service and innovation include third-party industry surveys completed by Jacobson where our facilities are regularly rated in the top position.

CMC pioneered what is known as the micro mill with the construction of the first micro mill in the world located in Mesa, Arizona which began operating in 2009. For our own innovation and process improvement, the Arizona mill can produce 50% more steel today than the original equipment nameplate capacity. More recently, in Oklahoma CMC built the second micro mill in the United States with additional increased capacity to produce hot spooled rebar providing enhanced product characteristics for internal fabricating operations, as well as our third-party fabricating customers. The Oklahoma mill is the first mill in the world to produce hot spooled rebar in a continuous fashion.

And a series of incremental investments made in our Polish operations which overtime have proven that CMC Poland is a world-class facility. This has provided an industry-leading cost position and increased product diversity leading to significant margin enhancements. This is a small representation of the many product and process leadership position CMC holds in the industry. This foundation of customer and manufacturing excellence gives us great confidence that we will be able to deliver strong returns from our recent acquisition of in excess of 2 million tons rebar capacity, and 800,000 tons of fabricated steel capacity. The transaction allows us to improve our ability to serve and expand coast-to-coast customer base while also leveraging our proven customer service approach. We have made substantial progress integrating these facilities over the past 4 months since the transaction closed.

Following items are list of major milestones achieved to date. We've rolled out an organizational structure that is aligned with our commercial approach and supports our customer-centric culture.

We have implemented consistent commercial policies across our platform of operations. We have started to leverage the larger network of facilities to better service our customers at a lower cost, and we have completed the migration of the major IT system platforms to CMC system. Many of these integration activities are aided by operating on a common IT system. Operating the combined operations on a common IT platform prior to the busy construction season allows us to more efficiently serve our customers and capture the benefits of the newly combined organization.

Overall, we are very proud of the pace of our accomplishments today and are confident that the expected synergies from the transaction will be fully realized. While some of the synergies will take additional time to implement, we have already developed execution plans to deliver synergies with an annual run rate of almost $30 million with expectations to exceed our original goal of $40 million.

Now, I'll cover some trends and conditions in the markets in which we operate. Both, the Architectural Billings Index and the Dodge Momentum Index indicates healthy commercial and institutional construction activity continuing for the foreseeable future. In fact, the ABI was 55.3 in January, the strongest reported number since December 2016. In addition, many states forecast to release construction projects which represented significant increase in value compared to prior years as they have short of funding and obtained federal funding through the fast act.

Non-residential construction spend has increased approximately 3.5% in comparison to the prior year while import levels remain relatively muted, and the small amount of foreign material coming into our markets is generally priced in line with domestic rebar prices. In our Polish market, Poland's GDP growth reached 5.1% in 2018, the fastest growth rates since 2007. Growth was mainly driven by domestic demand, especially strong private and public consumption. Public investment growth is expected to remain strong in 2019 with the support of Europe [ph] funding.

Private growth is forecast to be focused on machinery and equipment investment which consumes our merchant and wire rod products. These factors result in a GDP forecast of 3.5% for 2019 continuing to be one of the strongest growth markets in Europe. In addition, in early February, the European Commission announced the definitive safeguard measures to protect the European market from unfairly priced imports. The final measures which are a tariff rate quota system are scheduled to remain in place through July, 2021.

With that as an overview, I'll now turn the discussion over to Mary Lindsay, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Thank you, Barbara, and good morning to everyone joining us on the call. As Barbara mentioned for the second quarter we reported earnings from continuing operations of $14.9 million or $0.13 per diluted share compared to earnings from continuing operations of $9.8 million or $0.08 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2018. Second quarter, 2019 results include after-tax cost of $20 million related to the acquisition, as well as adjustments related to the Tax Cuts & Jobs Act. Excluding these expenses, adjusted earnings from continuing operations were $35 million or $0.29 per diluted share. As you know, this was the first full quarter in which we own the assets we acquired from Gerdau on November 5, 2018. The acquired mills generated $22.7 million of EBITDA which includes a charge of $10.3 million related to the purchase accounting fair value step-up related to inventory we acquired at closing.

Excluding this impact, the acquired mills would have earned $33 million on shipments of 391,000 tons. It should be noted that the product mix of rebar and wire rod of the acquired facilities results in a lower metal margin than our existing mills as our existing mills also produced higher margin merchant bar products. This metal margin difference is approximately $10 to $15 per ton. In addition, the EBITDA per ton for the acquired mills is further reduced by $20 to $30 per ton compared to our existing facilities due to the higher energy costs and lower utilization rates, we plan to reduce this gap over time.

The acquired fabrication facilities had an EBITDA loss of $12.7 million. This loss was driven by a backlog of fixed price contracts that originated prior to the acquisition and before the sharp rise in rebar prices that occurred last year. This loss does not include amortization of contract shipped in the quarter, which were $23.5 million. These acquired facilities had shipments of 162,000 times during the quarter. We believe that a better reflection through the cycle earnings would include the benefit of the unfavorable contract amortization as current contracts are forecast to be profitable based on today's rebar prices. During the quarter, the ongoing balance sheet value of acquired unfavorable contracts was adjusted from the preliminary estimate of $134 million to $110 million.

After the amortization recorded this quarter, the remaining balance is $75.4 million, which we anticipate will be amortized over the coming 9 to 12 months. During the quarter, we incurred integration costs, primarily IT-related of $5.5 million. We expect to continue to incur these costs for the balance of the year, but at a lower rate. Overall, the acquisition was accretive to our second quarter results.

Now, turning to our overall results, as reflected in the earnings release issued earlier today full EBITDA from continuing operations was $90.9 million for the second quarter of 2019 in comparison to $85.9 million for the second quarter of 2018. However, as mentioned earlier, our 2019 results do not include the $23.5 million benefit from the amortization of the unfavorable contract reserve, which is largely a non-cash item. Construction activity in the second quarter was impacted by typical seasonal factors as well as unprecedented rainfall levels in many of our markets. This delayed many projects due to flooded construction sites which require the ground to dry before steel can be placed or concrete can be poured. However, as Barbara mentioned, the underlying market conditions remain very positive, supported by continued growth in construction spend and strong metal margins.

Turning to segment results for the second quarter of 2019, the Americas recycling segment recorded adjusted EBITDA of $10.1 million for the second quarter of 2019 compared to adjusted EBITDA of $17.2 million in the same period last year. Historically, ferrous prices have risen during the winter months as availability of scrap is lower. However, this year we saw an unusual $30 to $40 decrease in January driven primarily by a lack of export volumes.

Our shipment volumes were relatively consistent with the prior year, but price declines pressured margin. Importantly, recycling remain profitable through the period due to actions taken to reduce our cost structure in this business. In addition, the recycling team did a good job of managing the business in a declining price environment and reducing our incoming material cost. The export markets have returned in February and we have seen scrap prices trend upwards in the last few weeks.

The Americans Mill segment recorded adjusted EBITDA of $112.4 million for the second quarter of 2019 compared to adjusted EBITDA of $50.2 million for the second quarter of 2018. This quarter results include $10.3 million of inventory step up as previously noted Shipment volumes increased compared to the second quarter of last year, primarily driven by the 391,000 tons shipped from the acquired locations. We estimate that weather-related issues impacted our consolidated shipment volume by approximately 100,000 tons of quarter. Excluding the mix issue associated with the acquired assets as discussed earlier, metal margins have improved by $98 per ton since the second quarter of fiscal 2018 and have improved further compared to the first quarter of this year. Metal margin improvement was partially offset by a 28% increase in costs compared to the same period of the prior year. These additional costs include inflationary increases in alloy and electrode prices and elevated labor costs as discussed in prior calls.

In addition, long [ph] production levels, reduced cost absorption. Production was also affected by several unplanned outages, including in Knoxville, Tennessee where there was a disruption in a gas line and services around Tennessee mill as well as extended holiday breaks taken by construction sites, extreme levels of rainfall and customers waiting on the impact of scrap decreases. We expect our costs to decreased from these current Q2 levels approximately 5% to 8% for the balance of the year.

The Americans Fabrication segment recorded an adjusted EBITDA loss of $49.6 million in the second quarter of 2019 compared to an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.6 million in the prior year quarter. These results include a $12.7 million EBITDA loss on shipments of 162,000 tons from the acquired facilities. Mentioned previously, this does not include the benefit from amortization of the unfavorable contract loss reserve. Volumes in this segment, were impacted by the historically wet weather affecting construction activity, which slowed shipments during the quarter. As a reminder, this segment enters into long-term fixed price contracts supporting the construction industry, typically priced at a spread above rebar prices at the time of initial contract bidding. As the price of rebar increased last year, this segment saw its margins erode as we shipped on contracts entered into prior to the implementation of section 232 tariffs. In addition, the current quarter results include losses recorded on certain specific contracts. The lowest price work in our backlog is now behind us and new work book in the first six months of this year is averaging over $1,000 per ton.

Following any significant increase in rebar prices, we are confident that losses in our existing rebar fabrication facilities will significantly decrease in future quarters. Losses from the acquired facilities backlog will take slightly longer to a bait due to their lower pricing level. Going forward, we have aligned our pricing approach and all new work is profitable at today's cost. It's important to recognize that as a result of our vertical integration model, when we combine the consolidated margin earned from the recycling operations to the mill operations and to the fabrication segment that fabricated tons we ship are profitable to CMC despite the segment loss.

The International Mills segment recorded adjusted EBITDA of $20.5 million for the second quarter of 2019, a decrease from $32.1 million from the same period last year. Importantly, this was the third best second quarter ever achieved by Poland. In addition to the seasonal weather impact, volumes were impacted by a number of factors. The holiday season reduced shipments for nearly half of December, falling scrap prices kept some customers on the sideline with some also waiting for a final disposition of trade safeguards, which were announced on February 1. Despite the decline in volume, margins remain strong. As Barbara mentioned, we expected volumes will increase back to normalized levels for the upcoming construction season. Cost in the corporate and other segment decreased by approximately $2.1 million from the same period of 2018. The results this quarter include $5.5 million of acquisition and integration-related costs.

Turning to our balance sheet and liquidity as of February 28, 2019 cash-and-cash equivalents totaled $66.7 million and we had availability under our credit and accounts receivable facilities of approximately $544.1 million. During the quarter, we drew advances on our accounts receivable facilities of $59.5 million as we increased inventory levels ahead of the coming construction season. We expect that we will reduce working capital balances over the remainder of the year and anticipate that we will repay the borrowings under our accounts receivable program and reduce the amount of outstanding under our term loans.

For the second quarter, capital expenditures were $67.5 million. We estimate that our capital spending for fiscal 2019 will be in the range of $170 million to $225 million which includes costs related to the acquired assets.

This concludes my remarks. Thank you very much. I'll now turn it back over to Barbara for the outlook.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Thank you, Mary. Our third quarter is typically a strong shipment quarter, due to the ramp up of construction activity across our markets. Customer's sentiment, is very bullish in both Poland and the U.S., which is supported by our own healthy internal backlog. We expect strong and relatively stable metal margins to remain in place for the balance of the fiscal year. On the manufacturing cost side, we do not anticipate significant inflationary pressures from the current levels and expect higher production levels in the coming months will help decrease our costs.

We are also confident that we have a cycle through much of our older fixed price fabricating backlog and anticipate the fabrication segment showing substantial improvement in their results during our fiscal third and fourth quarters. During the second half of the year, we will be focused on continuing to leverage our expanded platform of steel making and fabrication assets and delivering on our synergy expectations. I look forward to updating you next quarter on our progress.

I'd like to close my remarks by saying that we are confident in our outlook and the ability to create value for our shareholders. Our team of employees have successfully executed many facets of our strategic plan. We believe our leading customer service approach coupled with our strong market position and investments made in bringing innovative solutions to our business, have positioned the company for continued success.

Thank you. And at this time, we will now open the call to question.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And today's first question will be Matthew Korn with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

M
Matthew Korn
Goldman Sachs

Good morning, Barbara. Good morning, Mary. So, Barbara there at the end, you offered -- It sounded like a pretty optimistic view and anticipation of volumes into the next quarter. Can you quantify that in any way? You know, should legacy shipments look more like last year cluster ranch? Should we still continue or continue to ramp up at the GGB mills over the remaining of the year?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Yes, we're early in the quarter, but according to our forecast, I think you're looking at it from the right perspective, Matthew. I think we will certainly see shipments be higher than this previous quarter, which of course, was affected by weather and holidays. And then we look forward to our newly acquired assets, seeing a normal seasonal pickup as well

M
Matthew Korn
Goldman Sachs

Over in Poland, how have the order rates looked for you now that we've got the safe guards in place? Have you seen some measurable improvement there?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Yes, I think things that firmed up there. They're looking forward to a strong back half of the year, just like we're expecting here in the U.S.

M
Matthew Korn
Goldman Sachs

And then last for you, Mary. I believe I heard you say that you expect costs on the mills segment to fall from the 2Q levels by about 5% to 8% remainder of the year. Correct me if I'm wrong. I want to know. Should I understand that to mean essentially per ton costs x scrap should fall by that amount?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Yes.

M
Matthew Korn
Goldman Sachs

Okay. And so then American Mills only or will Poland, do you believe follow a similar trend as the volumes ramp there too?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Yes, I would also expect a similar improved cost absorption in Poland is their volumes increase, Matthew.

Operator

And our next question today will be Martin Englert with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

M
Martin Englert
Jefferies

Good morning, everyone. Any implications into fiscal 3Q, given the poor weather? Is this resulting in any pent-up demand that's being pushed into the quarter? Or conversely, do you think it may inhibit some of the volumes for mills and fabrication?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

At this point we don't see it inhibiting volumes. I think we'll see how the weather evolves. I know that I spoke to someone yesterday and they said New York had not decided that it was spring yet. We'll be going up there shortly. So, I think we're at the end of the winter weather and assuming sunny days like we're having here this week in the Texas region, we expect nice shipment levels. It's hard to see a substantial increase or I'll call it pickup in that volume. You'll see a little bit, but there's only a certain pace that they can place this deal. But given the fact that it's been so wet, everybody's going to be anxious to keep these projects moving when the weather is nice.

M
Martin Englert
Jefferies

Thanks for that color there. And then looking at the fabrication results and their deterioration quarter-on-quarter, can you talk about any anticipated the EBITDA losses into the third quarter here? Help frame it up a little bit better and then if we would be expecting positive EBITDA and the fiscal 4Q.

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Martin, I would note that there were -- the second quarter was a particularly difficult quarter for fabrication. And I know we've said that in a few more recent prior quarters, but as I alluded to in my scripted comments, in addition to the fact that we continue to run out, there's very, very low-priced backlog. We did have an opportunity in the second quarter to resolve some particularly difficult and troublesome jobs in the fabrication business. These were one-time adjustments related to some very difficult jobs. And as we move forward into the third quarter and fourth quarter, we are quite confident that we are going to return to break-even in the third quarter and to profitability as we move into the fourth quarter. And I would caution that that is related to the CMC historic operations. You know, the pricing levels in the Gerdau operations were lower than CMC. And so we're going to continue to kind of run that out through the balance of the next three quarters of course, offset by this amortization of the liability that we booked as part of the purchase accounting.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

If I can further add to Mary's commentary, just as a reminder, I mean we're really talking about backlog that was a contracted pre 232 and as everyone knows that, there was substantial raw material price increases from about January, February, last year through May and it's really unprecedented. And we had to meet our obligations under these pre 232 to fab contracts. But overall, it's been a really positive thing for the business. Now we're going to be moving into a period where we're going to be executing on contracts that are what I'll term post 232 fabrication contracts. And so, we should see substantial improvements going forward, assuming relatively stable rebar prices.

M
Martin Englert
Jefferies

Okay. So, what it sounds like at a segment level for the fabrication group with legacy CMC in Gerdau assets is likely some type of modest ongoing losses in fiscal 3Q and then something break-even or better in fiscal 4Q?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

That's correct.

Operator

And the next question or today will be Chris Terry with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

C
Christopher Terry
Deutsche Bank

Hi, Barbara and Mary. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one just relates to the Gerdau acquisitions and the timing I guess to close the gap on the margins. I think it was around $40 for a short time difference on an EBITDA per ton level between your existing assets in Gerdau. You mentioned some of the factors earlier in your prepared remarks, but just wondering on the timing and how you go about closing that gap and whether you think you can get that back in line with your existing assets. Thank you.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Yes, I think as I commented when my made my remarks around the synergies, we've already identified $30 million of the $40 million and we are executing on capturing that. Now, it's going to trickle in over time. Some won't actually hit the bottom line until say fiscal 2020, but we have a line of sight and we're executing on that. And based on our early work, we're highly confident in the $40 million. And we believe we can in time exceed that. The other benefit of the combination is some additional CapEx investment in these facilities where the investment over the last period of time has been rather anemic. Again, we've started those activities as well and that will carry on for the balance certainly of this fiscal year. And then we'll reevaluate projects that make sense going forward to bring those operations up to our standard. Having said all that, we have a mix of mills. There are geographic differences in things like energy rates.

We also in our mix of operations have two state of the art micro mills and it will be difficult to bring even our existing operations to that state-of-the-art level. But the combined mix of our operations, we're highly confident that we can close most of that gap. And our objective is to make profits and we're about getting after that. Overhead is another area that we will get a benefit. And we saw a little bit of that in this past quarter. This was a carve out type of acquisition and we did not acquire a lot of overhead. And we're absorbing most of the activity with our existing base of overhead structure.

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

One other thing I would mention that was a really important accomplishment in the second quarter is that we have now put all of the Gerdau assets onto our SAP system. And this was accomplished frankly, a couple of quarters ahead of schedule and this allows the operators and the people in the business responsible for balancing production and shipments to see all of their assets now on system. And this was a really good accomplishment and certainly help them going forward with the important work of integrating these notes into the existing CMC environment.

C
Christopher Terry
Deutsche Bank

And then my next question just relates to the pricing environment. You've announced the $20 per ton price increase. How's that been accepted? Is that process sticking customers now paying that price?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

We generally would not make specific comments around pricing, I think that would be appropriate. I think what I would say is as all of you know, the hot roll side of the steel industry has seen some margin erosion in the more recent period. And we're frankly not seeing that as reflected in our metal margin quarter-to-quarter and even in face of lighter shipments and declining scrap prices in January, we saw the margins hold firm. And so, we think that there are different dynamics between the flat roll markets and in the long products markets. And we think that's a really strong indicator going forward for the back half of the year.

C
Christopher Terry
Deutsche Bank

Thanks, Barbara. The last one from me just relates to CapEx. First half you spent a little under $70 million. I think I heard the new guidance, the CapEx at $172 to $225. So heavier spending in the second half year. Can you just talk through the projects? Any key projects over than the Poland expansion?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

That's probably the one that stands out and the spending on that has not evolved as quickly as we originally saw it in the original -- in our first half. We as a reminder, do have the second spooler that'll be coming online in Arizona, we'll be commissioning that shortly. So that was another major project for this fiscal year and as I said, it's going to begin commissioning. So, a lot of that activity is behind us. But don't forget, we are now starting to implement our plans, our capital plans as it relates to the newly acquired facilities. So, that's another reason why you're going to see higher spending levels in the back half of the year.

Operator

And the next question today will be Timna Tanners with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, please go ahead.

T
Timna Tanners
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Hey, good morning, ladies. How are you? I just wanted to ask a follow-up on the pricing mechanism for the fab business. I'm just trying to understand. So, when the next contracts are being negotiated as these ones are all off and more attractive ones can be negotiated. Did they just take the prevailing rebar price and have like a fixed increase to that irrespective of what happens to the underlying rebar price of the duration of the contract? Like, if Section 232 were to change or be adjusted somehow, whether that be trickier overall? Would they still be locked in to a fixed price off of the prevailing price when they negotiate the contract?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

There are many, many different pricing mechanisms depending on the type of project and there are many different types of projects from DoT work to commercial buildings to industrial types of construction site; so there is no one specific formula Timna, but generally speaking, the owner of a project -- they want to have a pretty firm idea of what their total construction cost is going to be and that's generally entered into at the time that the contract is signed, and then you perform against that. And so you're talking about a whole portfolio of projects all with different durations, anywhere from 3 months to 6 months to 3 years with many different pricing mechanisms, there are some case escalators and other provisions for inflationary types of pressures that we all see. But generally there is a known amount that is for the duration of the project and then you deal with the exceptions, whether it's through change orders that are design changes to the project or these other mechanisms.

T
Timna Tanners
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I'm just wondering if both sides might want to adjust the contract terms to have a little more variability in your case because of your recent experience with the change in underlying price. And then the customers version, maybe they want to make sure that they are protected in case prices fall. But you're saying there is a bias towards having a fixed price generally and that probably doesn't change you think?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Yes, I think generally speaking that's been the norm in the industry. And keep in mind, Timna, that the steel component of the project is generally less than 10% of the overall cost for the project. And while as we know, there can be significant fluctuations in the raw material price on delivering that. So like I said, the owners are more interested in knowing what's my total cost is going to be and they are not as sensitive to this rebar is at $700 a ton or it's at a lower level.

T
Timna Tanners
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

And then just my other question was just -- and I apologize if I missed it when Mary was going through. But on the SG&A decline, is that a good run rate? Is there a reason for that? And then, also did you quantify the impact you think weather had on the quarter just to get a sense of that?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

The corporate run rate, I would suggest it's going to be roughly $24 million a quarter and that does include some integration and acquisition cost that we will continue to call out if we go through the remaining couple of quarters of the year but I think that is a good run rate. And what was the other question on the weather?

T
Timna Tanners
Bank of America Merrill Lynch

I was actually asking about SG&A but that was really helpful as well. And then, if you quantify the weather? Thanks.

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

I think we indicated in the opening remarks about 100,000 tons within the quarter.

Operator

And our next questioner today will be Chris [ph] with Longbow Research.

U
Unidentified Analyst

Just a question, I'm not sure if you mentioned it during the presentations but -- how do we think about the flooding in the Mississippi river and some of the issues with the barge; does that impacted your thinking at all?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

It's going to impact others more so than us, it's really not going to have much impact to us.

U
Unidentified Analyst

I guess I wanted to get your thoughts too in terms of the uncertainty with the new NAFTA trade agreement. And I guess, are you seeing any type of customer hesitancy to purchase materials or build inventories until we see whether or not the final agreement contains changes to the tariff structure with Canada and Mexico? And then, tying to that do you have any views on how this will play out?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

We don't see the pattern changes from our customers, they tend to be more sensitive to looking at raw material price changes, and so we haven't really seen anything in that regard. I wouldn't want to make a prediction on how this plays out or the timing; obviously, we follow it carefully and we're tangentially involved in providing input into the process but it's been going on a long time and I wouldn't want to make any predictions.

U
Unidentified Analyst

What about in terms of just what you would like to see happen if it was a volume -- kind of quota system instead, would you see that as a positive/negative; any thoughts there?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Well, certainly we're supportive of a resolution here and I think that from our perspective we'd like to see some sort of quota associated with it.

U
Unidentified Analyst

If you had to choose between quotas or tariffs though, is there a preference?

M
Mary Lindsey
SVP & CFO

Look, I'm not going to comment any further, it's complicated I think. There are a number of different ways to solve but we just want a fair and level playing field, we know we're low cost and we can compete if we have a fair and level playing field. And I think that's consistent with the objectives of this administration.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the next questioner will be Curt Woodworth with Credit Suisse.

C
Curt Woodworth
Credit Suisse

Barbara, I was wondering if you could talk to the planned capital investments you're looking at making into Gerdau over the next -- say this year and into next year and what you would view as normalized maintenance CapEx for the new company?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

I think we've been consistently saying that we would spend about $200 million to $250 million over the next 5 years. And our view really hasn't changed after 4 months of ownership. I'm not -- I wouldn't for proprietary reasons get into the details of those improvement projects. There is not -- I would call it a major maintenance need until 4 or 5 years out, and when I say major maintenance need, I mean it would be a rebuild of a major component of one of these operations. But there are whole host of smaller improvement projects that will yield some nice dividend to each of these operations, we're moving forward with those. But if you look at the amount of capacity that we acquired, that level of investment is probably a good sustaining level. And as we know more about any sort of major maintenance that may be needed, we always alert the market if there is a furnished rebuild or something like that coming out but we don't see anything in the near-term.

C
Curt Woodworth
Credit Suisse

And then, did you comment on -- and this is first part of the call on what the micro mill volumes were this quarter from Durant?

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Did not, and again, for proprietary reasons we would prefer not to.

C
Curt Woodworth
Credit Suisse

All right, that's all I had. Thank you.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Maybe, I'll further add on Oklahoma. I mean, it is ramping up exactly according to our expectations, I'm not withholding that information to suggest that there is anything different than what we originally indicated to the market. When we began that project, I would further say that our hot spooled rebar has received great receptivity in the marketplace and we've had a really nice ramp up with that product at Oklahoma as well.

Operator

At this time, there appear to be no further questions. Ms. Smith, I'd like to turn the call back over to you.

B
Barbara Smith
Chairman, President & CEO

Thank you, William. Thank you all for joining us today on today's second quarter fiscal 2019 conference call; and we look forward to speaking with many of you during our investor visits in the coming weeks.

Operator

And this will conclude today's Commercial Metals Company conference call. You may now disconnect your lines.