Comerica Inc
NYSE:CMA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CMA stock under the Base Case scenario is 78.47 USD. Compared to the current market price of 71.09 USD, Comerica Inc is Undervalued by 9%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Comerica Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Comerica Inc
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Comerica Inc., a financial services powerhouse headquartered in Dallas, Texas, has carved a prominent niche in the banking sector by focusing on business banking and wealth management. With a history stretching back to 1849, Comerica has evolved from its roots into a diversified financial institution, serving a wide range of customers, including small businesses, corporations, and individuals. The bank operates primarily in three segments: Commercial Bank, Retail Bank, and Wealth Management, providing a comprehensive suite of products such as loans, treasury services, and investment management. Its geographic footprint extends beyond Texas, reaching key markets across the Midwest and Califor...
Comerica Inc., a financial services powerhouse headquartered in Dallas, Texas, has carved a prominent niche in the banking sector by focusing on business banking and wealth management. With a history stretching back to 1849, Comerica has evolved from its roots into a diversified financial institution, serving a wide range of customers, including small businesses, corporations, and individuals. The bank operates primarily in three segments: Commercial Bank, Retail Bank, and Wealth Management, providing a comprehensive suite of products such as loans, treasury services, and investment management. Its geographic footprint extends beyond Texas, reaching key markets across the Midwest and California, which has allowed it to tap into diverse economic ecosystems while maintaining a robust set of customer relationships.
Investors keen on Comerica will find a story of steady growth and resilience, underpinned by a disciplined financial approach and a commitment to long-term value. The bank's solid capital position is complemented by a strong focus on credit quality, enabling it to navigate economic challenges effectively. Furthermore, with an emphasis on efficiency and strategic investments in technology, Comerica is well-equipped to enhance its competitive edge in a rapidly evolving landscape. As economic conditions fluctuate, the company’s strong fundamentals, including consistent dividend payments and a history of prudent risk management, make it a compelling choice for growth-oriented investors looking to benefit from a reliable and financially sound institution.
Comerica Inc. is a financial services company that primarily operates in the United States. Its core business segments include:
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Business Bank: This segment focuses on providing a range of banking services to small, medium, and large businesses. It offers commercial loans, treasury management services, and deposit services, catering to the financial needs of corporate clients.
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Retail Bank: The Retail Bank segment serves individual consumers and offers personal banking products such as savings and checking accounts, mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards. This segment aims to meet the everyday banking needs of customers.
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Wealth Management: Comerica also offers wealth management services, which include investment management, trust services, and financial planning. This segment targets high-net-worth individuals and families, helping them manage and grow their financial assets.
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Mortgage Banking: This segment focuses on residential mortgage lending. Comerica provides various mortgage products, including home purchase loans and refinancing options, catering to the needs of homeowners.
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International Banking: Comerica has a segment dedicated to serving international customers and businesses involved in international trade. This includes services like foreign exchange, trade finance, and international treasury management.
Each of these segments contributes to Comerica’s overall business model, allowing the company to serve a diverse client base and tap into various revenue streams.
Comerica Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the banking sector. While some of these can evolve over time, here are key aspects that have historically contributed to its competitive positioning:
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Strong Regional Presence: Comerica is heavily concentrated in select markets, particularly in Texas, Michigan, Arizona, California, and Florida. This regional focus allows it to build strong relationships with local businesses and communities, enhancing customer loyalty.
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Business Banking Expertise: Comerica has strong capabilities in business banking and commercial lending. Its emphasis on serving small to mid-sized businesses provides a niche market advantage, as it often tailors services to meet the specific needs of these companies.
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Wealth Management Services: The bank offers a robust wealth management division, which caters to affluent clients. Comerica's comprehensive suite of financial planning and investment services attracts high-net-worth individuals, bolstering its revenue from non-interest income.
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Digital Banking Innovations: Comerica has invested in technology to enhance its digital banking offerings, providing customers with convenient and efficient banking experiences. This includes user-friendly online and mobile banking platforms that can appeal to tech-savvy customers.
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Risk Management Practices: Strong risk management policies and practices contribute to Comerica's financial stability. A conservative approach to lending and a focus on maintaining healthy balance sheets can mitigate potential losses compared to competitors that may engage in riskier lending practices.
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Customer-centric Approach: With a focus on personalized customer service, Comerica often emphasizes relationship banking. This customer-centric philosophy helps to establish trust and can lead to higher customer retention rates.
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Brand Reputation and Trust: Established in 1849, Comerica has built a strong brand reputation over time. This longstanding presence in the banking industry can be an attractive factor for prospective customers who value stability and reliability.
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Diverse Product Offerings: Comerica provides a wide array of products, including commercial banking, retail banking, mortgage lending, and investment services. This diversification can help mitigate risks associated with economic downturns affecting any single segment of the business.
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Adaptability and Responsiveness: The bank’s ability to swiftly adapt to changing regulatory environments and economic conditions can serve as a significant advantage over less agile competitors.
Overall, Comerica’s regional focus, expertise in business banking, strong customer relationships, and prudent financial practices contribute to its competitive advantages in the banking sector.
Comerica Inc., like any financial institution, faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas of concern:
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns, inflation, or recessionary pressures can impact loan demand, credit quality, and overall profitability. Fluctuations in GDP growth, unemployment rates, and consumer confidence are critical factors.
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Interest Rate Risk: Changes in interest rates can affect net interest margins (the difference between interest income and interest paid) and overall profitability. An environment of rising interest rates can lead to increases in the cost of borrowing and affect loan growth.
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Regulatory Changes: The banking industry is subject to extensive regulations. Changes in regulations or increased compliance costs can impact operational efficiency and profitability.
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Credit Risk: Increased default rates, particularly in industries affected by economic shifts, can lead to higher loan loss provisions and reduce overall asset quality.
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Competition: The financial services industry is highly competitive. Innovations in fintech and increased competition from non-traditional lenders can pressure margin and market share.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a financial institution, Comerica is a target for cyberattacks. A successful attack could lead to financial loss, reputational damage, and regulatory penalties.
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Operational Risks: Factors such as technology failures, inadequate internal controls, or fraud can impact Comerica’s stability and service delivery.
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Geopolitical Risks: Global geopolitical tensions can impact economic conditions and create uncertainties that affect business operations and investment strategies.
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in the stock and bond markets can affect investment performance and customer behavior, impacting overall bank performance.
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Customer Expectations: As customers demand more digital and personalized services, Comerica must invest in technology and innovation to meet those expectations, which may require significant capital investment.
In addressing these challenges, Comerica will need to be proactive in risk management, technology adaptation, and customer engagement to maintain its competitive edge and financial health.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Comerica Inc
Net Loans | 49.8B |
Investments | 22B |
PP&E | 476m |
Other Assets | 7.3B |
Total Deposits | 63.1B |
Long Term Debt | 2.8B |
Other Liabilities | 6.5B |
In the third quarter, Comerica reported earnings of $184 million, or $1.33 per share, surpassing expectations. Increased customer activity led to a 1.3% rise in average deposits, helping to offset lower loan demand. Net interest income slightly grew despite economic pressures and is projected to increase by 6% in Q4. Credit quality remains robust with net charge-offs at a historically low 8 basis points. The CET1 ratio improved to 11.97%, well above the 10% target, reflecting a conservative capital approach. While loan growth is anticipated, particularly post-election and with further rate cuts, the potential impact from commercial real estate payoffs remains a watchpoint.
What is Earnings Call?
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Price Targets
CMA Price Targets Summary
Comerica Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CMA is 69.31 USD with a low forecast of 56.21 USD and a high forecast of 84 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CMA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CMA Insider Trading
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Description
Comerica, Inc. engages in the provision of financial services. The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and currently employs 7,223 full-time employees. Its Commercial Bank segment serves small and middle market businesses, multinational corporations and governmental entities by offering various products and services, including commercial loans and lines of credit, deposits, cash management, capital market products, international trade finance, letters of credit, foreign exchange management services and loan syndication services. Retail Bank segment includes a range of personal financial services, consisting of consumer lending, consumer deposit gathering and mortgage loan origination. The segment also offers a subset of commercial products and services to micro-businesses. Wealth Management segment offers products and services consisting of fiduciary services, private banking, retirement services, investment management and advisory services, investment banking and brokerage services. Finance segment includes the securities portfolio and asset and liability management activities.
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The intrinsic value of one CMA stock under the Base Case scenario is 78.47 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 71.09 USD, Comerica Inc is Undervalued by 9%.