Ciena Corp
NYSE:CIEN

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Ciena Corp
NYSE:CIEN
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Price: 68.63 USD 0.67%
Market Cap: 9.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CIEN stock under the Base Case scenario is 51.42 USD. Compared to the current market price of 68.63 USD, Ciena Corp is Overvalued by 25%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CIEN Intrinsic Value
51.42 USD
Overvaluation 25%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Ciena Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Ciena Corp

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Business Breakdown

Ciena Corp., a leader in networking systems, software, and services, is at the forefront of the digital transformation reshaping the telecommunications landscape. Founded in 1992, the company has established itself as a critical player in providing solutions that enable high-capacity networks, catering to a diverse clientele that includes telecommunications service providers, cloud and data center operators, and large enterprises. Ciena’s innovative technologies, particularly in areas like optical transport and packet networking, empower these businesses to enhance their performance and efficiency, making bandwidth faster and more reliable. The company's strategic focus on addressing the inc...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ciena Corp

Current Assets 3.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.1B
Receivables 1.1B
Other Current Assets 1.4B
Non-Current Assets 2B
Long-Term Investments 133.6m
PP&E 327.9m
Intangibles 619.8m
Other Non-Current Assets 955.5m
Current Liabilities 870.6m
Accounts Payable 316.6m
Accrued Liabilities 344.7m
Other Current Liabilities 209.3m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.8B
Long-Term Debt 1.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 275.4m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ciena Corp

Revenue
4B USD
Cost of Revenue
-2.3B USD
Gross Profit
1.7B USD
Operating Expenses
-1.5B USD
Operating Income
227.9m USD
Other Expenses
-89.8m USD
Net Income
138.1m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ciena Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Ciena reported robust fiscal Q3 results, with revenue at $942 million and an adjusted gross margin of 43.7%. The company is optimistic about the growing demand fuelled by AI, announcing its reconfigurable line system (RLS) being deployed by major cloud providers. Despite service providers' cautious spending, especially in Europe, a steady recovery is anticipated. The fiscal Q4 revenue is forecasted between $1.06 billion and $1.14 billion, with adjusted gross margins in the low to mid-40% range. Ciena's long-term revenue growth is expected to be 6-8% annually, positioning it well to capture future opportunities【7:0†source】【7:1†source】【7:2†source】.

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Fundamental Scores

CIEN Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ciena Corp's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
50/100
Profitability
Score

Ciena Corp's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CIEN Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ciena Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
50/100
Solvency
Score

Ciena Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CIEN Price Targets Summary
Ciena Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast CIEN stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CIEN is 67.1 USD with a low forecast of 46.46 USD and a high forecast of 84 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
46.46 USD
32% Downside
Average
Price Target
67.1 USD
2% Downside
Highest
Price Target
84 USD
22% Upside
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Dividends

Ciena Corp
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CIEN is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
No dividends
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

CIEN Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
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CIEN News

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Profile

Ciena Corp Logo
Ciena Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Communications

Market Cap

9.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Ciena Corp. engages in the provision of network and communication infrastructure. The company is headquartered in Hanover Maryland, Maryland and currently employs 7,241 full-time employees. The firm operates through four segments: Networking Platforms; Platform Software and Services; Blue Planet Automation Software and Services; and Global Services. The Networking Platforms segment consists of its Converged Packet Optical and Packet Networking portfolios. The Platform Software and Services segment provides analytics, data, and planning tools to assist customers in managing Ciena’s Networking Platforms products in their networks. The Blue Planet Automation Software and Services segment includes micro-services, standards-based open software suite, together with related services, that enables customers to implement large-scale software and information technology (IT)-led operations support system (OSS) transformations. The Global Services segment includes the sales of a range of Ciena’s services for maintenance support, and training, installation and deployment and network design activities.

Contact

MARYLAND
Hanover Maryland
7035 Ridge Rd
+14108658500.0
www.ciena.com

IPO

1997-02-01

Employees

7 241

Officers

Executive Chairman of the Board
Dr. Patrick H. Nettles
CEO, President & Director
Mr. Gary B. Smith
Senior VP of Finance & CFO
Mr. James E. Moylan Jr.
Executive Advisor
Mr. Scott Alexander McFeely
Senior Vice President of Global Customer Engagement
Mr. Jason M. Phipps
Senior VP, Chief Strategy Officer & Corporate Secretary
Mr. David M. Rothenstein
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CTO & Member of Technology Advisory Council
Mr. Stephen B. Alexander
Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Gregg M. Lampf
Senior VP, General Counsel, Assistant Secretary & Interim Chief People Officer
Ms. Sheela Kosaraju
Senior VP of Global Marketing & Communications
Ms. Rebecca Smith
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See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one CIEN stock?

The intrinsic value of one CIEN stock under the Base Case scenario is 51.42 USD.

Is CIEN stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 68.63 USD, Ciena Corp is Overvalued by 25%.

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