Chewy Inc
NYSE:CHWY
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CHWY stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.37 USD. Compared to the current market price of 31.71 USD, Chewy Inc is Overvalued by 33%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Chewy Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Chewy Inc. is a leading online retailer specializing in pet products and services, designed with the mission of making pet ownership easier and more enjoyable for millions of families. Founded in 2011 by Ryan Cohen and Michael Day, Chewy quickly gained traction in the e-commerce space by focusing on delivering a wide selection of pet supplies, including food, toys, and grooming products, alongside a seamless online shopping experience. The company’s user-friendly website and mobile app, coupled with a subscription service for regular deliveries, have won the loyalty of pet parents across the United States. With over 20 million active customers and a growing product assortment, Chewy has posi...
Chewy Inc. is a leading online retailer specializing in pet products and services, designed with the mission of making pet ownership easier and more enjoyable for millions of families. Founded in 2011 by Ryan Cohen and Michael Day, Chewy quickly gained traction in the e-commerce space by focusing on delivering a wide selection of pet supplies, including food, toys, and grooming products, alongside a seamless online shopping experience. The company’s user-friendly website and mobile app, coupled with a subscription service for regular deliveries, have won the loyalty of pet parents across the United States. With over 20 million active customers and a growing product assortment, Chewy has positioned itself as an indispensable partner in pet care, tapping into the increasing trend of pet humanization—where pets are treated as family members.
For investors, Chewy presents an intriguing opportunity in the rapidly expanding pet industry, projected to reach a market size of over $200 billion in the coming years. The company has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with net sales reaching approximately $8.9 billion in 2022, fueled by a combination of robust customer acquisition strategies and high retention rates due to superior customer service and personalized experiences. Chewy's innovative use of technology, including AI-driven pet health recommendations and online veterinary consultations, further distinguishes it from traditional retailers. Although the company has faced challenges, such as rising costs and market competition, its strong brand loyalty, diverse product offerings, and commitment to pet welfare pave the way for sustainable long-term growth, making it a potential standout in any investor’s portfolio.
Chewy, Inc. operates primarily in the pet e-commerce market and is a leading online retailer of pet food and other pet-related products. The company's core business segments can be broken down into the following categories:
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Pet Food: This segment includes a wide variety of pet food products for dogs, cats, and other pets. Chewy offers both dry and wet food options, catering to different dietary needs and preferences, including premium, grain-free, and specialized options (e.g., for health concerns).
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Pet Supplies: Chewy's inventory also includes a vast selection of non-food pet supplies, such as toys, grooming tools, bedding, and health products (like vitamins and supplements). This segment focuses on enhancing the overall pet experience by providing essential and non-essential items that pet owners may require.
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Healthcare and Wellness: Chewy has increasingly expanded into the pet health and wellness segment, providing products like prescription medications, flea and tick treatments, as well as wellness products tailored for pet health. This segment often requires a vet’s prescription, adding a layer of trust and consultation for pet owners.
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Chewy Pharmacy: Chewy Pharmacy is an integral part of their healthcare services, allowing customers to order medications, including prescription and over-the-counter products for their pets directly from Chewy. This service is convenient for customers, given the integration between product purchase and health management.
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Subscription Services: Chewy offers a subscription service, Chewy Autoship, which allows customers to schedule regular deliveries of their favorite pet products. This service not only promotes customer loyalty but also helps Chewy in forecasting demand efficiently.
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Customer Engagement and Services: Chewy emphasizes customer engagement and loyalty. The company provides customer service that includes personalized pet care advice, consultations, and a community platform where pet owners can share experiences and tips. This community aspect helps build brand loyalty and customer retention.
Through these core segments, Chewy, Inc. positions itself not just as a retailer but as a comprehensive service provider for pet owners, focusing on convenience, quality, and customer service. The combination of these elements has allowed Chewy to maintain a strong competitive advantage in the growing pet e-commerce market.
Chewy Inc. holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the pet supplies market:
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Customer-Centric Approach: Chewy is known for its exceptional customer service, which includes personalized interactions, fast response times, and a hassle-free return policy. This commitment to customer satisfaction fosters loyalty and repeat business.
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Subscription Model: Chewy offers a subscription service that allows customers to set up auto-deliveries for pet food and supplies. This convenience enhances customer retention and ensures steady revenue streams.
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Wide Product Selection: Chewy boasts a vast product range, including food, toys, medications, and grooming supplies. This extensive inventory makes it a one-stop shop for pet owners, differentiating it from competitors who may have narrower product offerings.
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Strong Brand Loyalty: Chewy has developed a strong brand presence and loyal customer base, partly due to emotional marketing that resonates with pet owners. Their focus on pets as family members strengthens this connection.
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Engaging Community and Content: Chewy invests in community engagement and informative content, including articles, videos, and pet care resources. This educational approach builds trust and positions Chewy as an authority in pet care.
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High-Quality Logistics and Fulfillment: Chewy has invested heavily in its fulfillment centers and logistics capabilities, ensuring fast delivery times that rival or surpass those of traditional brick-and-mortar competitors and other online retailers.
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Data-Driven Insights: Chewy utilizes analytics to understand customer behavior and preferences, allowing for personalized marketing and targeted promotions, which enhance the shopping experience and optimize inventory management.
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Veterinary Partnership Programs: Chewy is increasingly partnering with veterinarians, providing telehealth services and pet pharmacy capabilities. This positions Chewy as a trusted partner in pet health and expands their service offerings.
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Philanthropic Initiatives: Chewy has a strong commitment to social responsibility, including initiatives like "Chewy Gives Back," which support animal welfare organizations. This dedication enhances public perception and aligns with the values of many consumers.
These competitive advantages collectively strengthen Chewy's position in the pet supplies market, helping it to attract and retain customers in a highly competitive industry.
Chewy Inc., as a leading online retailer of pet products, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Some of the key factors include:
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Intense Competition: The pet retail market is highly competitive, with numerous players including both online and brick-and-mortar stores. Competitors like Amazon and Walmart, as well as specialized pet retailers, could impact Chewy’s market share and pricing strategies.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, whether from geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or natural disasters, could affect Chewy's ability to source products efficiently and manage inventory levels.
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Customer Retention: While Chewy has a strong subscription model, maintaining customer loyalty is critical. Shifts in consumer preferences or failures to innovate in customer service and engagement could lead to increased churn rates.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or inflation can affect consumer spending habits. If pet owners prioritize essentials, Chewy could experience decreased sales in premium products or services.
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Rising Operational Costs: Increases in shipping, labor, and material costs could compress margins. Chewy needs to effectively manage these costs while keeping prices competitive.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in regulations regarding pet food safety, e-commerce, and consumer protection could impose additional challenges for compliance, potentially leading to operational disruptions or increased costs.
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Technological Advancements: Staying ahead in technology is crucial; if competitors adopt new technologies (e.g., AI, improved logistics systems) more rapidly, Chewy may risk falling behind.
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Market Maturity: The rapid growth Chewy has experienced may slow as the pet e-commerce market matures. As customer acquisition costs rise, sustaining growth could become more challenging.
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Public Perception and Brand Management: Negative publicity regarding product quality, customer service, or other corporate actions can harm Chewy's reputation and, by extension, its sales.
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Acquisition and Integration Risks: If Chewy pursues acquisitions to expand its market presence or product offerings, the integration process can be complex and may not yield the anticipated synergies.
In summary, while Chewy Inc. has potential for growth, it must navigate these risks and challenges effectively to maintain its competitive advantage and sustain profitability in the evolving e-commerce landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Chewy Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chewy Inc
Current Assets | 1.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 695m |
Receivables | 201m |
Other Current Assets | 857.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.3B |
PP&E | 990.9m |
Intangibles | 39.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 319m |
Current Liabilities | 2.1B |
Accounts Payable | 1.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 875.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 560.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 560.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Chewy Inc
Revenue
|
11.3B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-8B
USD
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Gross Profit
|
3.3B
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.2B
USD
|
Operating Income
|
66.9m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
297.6m
USD
|
Net Income
|
364.5m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chewy Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Chewy reported strong Q2 results, with net sales of $2.86 billion, growing 3% YoY. Autoship customer sales, a key strength, rose 6%. Net income was $299.1 million, including a significant one-time tax benefit. Adjusted EBITDA improved to $144.8 million, expanding margins by 190 basis points. Cash flow generation allowed significant capital returns, including $500 million in share repurchases. Chewy anticipates Q3 net sales between $2.84-$2.86 billion, with full-year 2024 sales expected to grow 4%-6%. Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was raised to 4.5%-4.7%. Key growth drivers include Vet Care clinics and sponsored ads, enhancing long-term profitability.
What is Earnings Call?
CHWY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Chewy Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Chewy Inc's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CHWY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Chewy Inc's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Chewy Inc's solvency score is 66/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CHWY Price Targets Summary
Chewy Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CHWY is 31.56 USD with a low forecast of 23.23 USD and a high forecast of 39.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CHWY is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Chewy, Inc. operates as a pure-play pet e-tailer in the United States. The company is headquartered in Dania Beach, Florida and currently employs 21,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2019-06-14. The firm's brands include A Pet Hub, A&E Cage Company, A Pet's Life, ABO Gear, Bark and Slumber, B&G Martin, C&S, KONG, Nutro, ORIJEN, NexGard, and Frisco. The company offers a selection of quality pet food, treats and supplies, and pet healthcare products. The firm's product offerings include Food products such as dry food, wet food, veterinary diets, raw food; Treat products, such as soft and chewy treats, biscuits, cookies and crunchy treats, dental treats, jerky treats, bones, bully sticks and natural chews; Healthcare products such as Dental care, DNA Kits, Heartworm Prevention & Dewormers, Milk Replacers and Eye Care, and Vitamin and supplements, such as Hip & Joint, Digestive Health & Probiotics, Multivitamins, Anxiety & Calming, Heart & Liver. The firm serves its customers through its retail Website, www.chewy.com, and its mobile applications.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CHWY stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.37 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 31.71 USD, Chewy Inc is Overvalued by 33%.