CAVA Group Inc
NYSE:CAVA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CAVA stock under the Base Case scenario is 17.48 USD. Compared to the current market price of 145 USD, CAVA Group Inc is Overvalued by 88%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
CAVA Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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CAVA Group Inc., a rising star in the fast-casual dining sector, has carved out a niche by specializing in Mediterranean cuisine with a focus on fresh, healthy ingredients. Founded in 2006, the company began as a single restaurant concept in Washington, D.C., and has since evolved into a significant player with a rapidly growing national footprint. CAVA’s menu emphasizes customizable bowls, pitas, and salads, all featuring high-quality ingredients, which resonate with a health-conscious consumer base increasingly seeking flavorful yet nutritious dining options. The company’s ability to adapt its offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences, coupled with a strong brand identity and com...
CAVA Group Inc., a rising star in the fast-casual dining sector, has carved out a niche by specializing in Mediterranean cuisine with a focus on fresh, healthy ingredients. Founded in 2006, the company began as a single restaurant concept in Washington, D.C., and has since evolved into a significant player with a rapidly growing national footprint. CAVA’s menu emphasizes customizable bowls, pitas, and salads, all featuring high-quality ingredients, which resonate with a health-conscious consumer base increasingly seeking flavorful yet nutritious dining options. The company’s ability to adapt its offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences, coupled with a strong brand identity and community engagement, has led to impressive revenue growth and a loyal customer base.
As CAVA Group continues its expansion strategy, which includes increasing its presence in urban markets and strategically positioning itself within the competitive landscape of fast-casual dining, investors are noticing a compelling opportunity. The company's commitment to sustainability and sourcing local ingredients further enhances its appeal to environmentally-conscious consumers, positioning CAVA as not just a restaurant, but a lifestyle choice. With its focus on operational efficiency and innovative culinary experiences, CAVA is steadily establishing itself as a leader in the Mediterranean fast-casual segment. For investors seeking exposure to the evolving trend of health-centric dining, CAVA Group Inc. presents an attractive growth story backed by solid fundamentals and a clear vision for future success.
CAVA Group Inc. operates primarily in the fast-casual dining segment, focusing on Mediterranean-inspired cuisine. The company's core business segments can be described as follows:
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Restaurant Operations: CAVA operates its own chain of fast-casual restaurants that offer a build-your-own meal concept, allowing customers to customize their dishes with various proteins, grains, vegetables, and sauces. This segment emphasizes fresh ingredients and healthy eating options, appealing to health-conscious consumers.
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Catering Services: CAVA provides catering options for events, businesses, and gatherings, allowing customers to enjoy their Mediterranean offerings in larger quantities. This service helps to diversify their revenue streams and reach a broader audience beyond traditional dine-in customers.
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Retail Products: CAVA has expanded into retail by offering a line of packaged products, including dips, spreads, and sauces that are inspired by their restaurant offerings. These products are available in grocery stores and online, further increasing brand presence and generating additional revenue.
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Franchise Opportunities: Although primarily company-owned, CAVA may also engage in franchising as part of its growth strategy. This segment allows for rapid expansion into new markets with less capital investment compared to company-owned locations.
By focusing on these core segments, CAVA leverages its brand and operational strengths to capture market share in the fast-casual dining space, while aligning with trends in health and convenience.
CAVA Group Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the fast-casual dining segment, particularly in the Mediterranean cuisine niche. Here are some key advantages:
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Strong Brand Identity: CAVA has positioned itself as a health-focused, upscale fast-casual restaurant that offers Mediterranean flavors. This niche helps attract health-conscious consumers seeking nutritious and flavorful dining options.
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Customization and Variety: CAVA offers a highly customizable menu where customers can build their own bowls or pitas. This level of personalization meets diverse dietary preferences and enhances customer satisfaction.
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Quality Ingredients: The company emphasizes the use of high-quality, fresh, and often locally sourced ingredients. This commitment to quality can differentiate CAVA in a market where ingredient integrity is increasingly important to consumers.
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Health and Wellness Focus: CAVA has successfully tapped into the growing trend towards healthier eating, catering to consumers interested in plant-based and healthful options. This focus attracts a loyal customer base that prioritizes wellness.
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Innovative Menu and Seasonal Offerings: CAVA frequently rotates limited-time offerings and seasonal menu items, keeping the menu fresh and exciting. This innovation can drive repeat business as consumers are encouraged to try new flavors.
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Efficient Operations: CAVA has invested in an efficient business model and operational systems, which can enhance both speed of service and cost management. This is essential in the fast-casual segment, where customer experience and operational efficiency are crucial.
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Strong Digital Presence: CAVA has developed a robust digital ordering system and app, allowing seamless ordering and delivery options. This capability is increasingly important as consumers shift towards digital solutions for convenience.
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Community Engagement and Sustainability: CAVA actively participates in community engagement and emphasizes sustainability in its sourcing and operational practices. This commitment resonates with socially conscious consumers.
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Expansion Strategy: The company has been strategically expanding into new markets, focusing on locations with high potential for growth. This strategic positioning can help capture market share while competitors are slower to adapt.
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Franchise Opportunities: By franchising its model, CAVA can leverage local entrepreneurs' knowledge and resources to expand effectively without fully bearing the capital expenditure burden.
These competitive advantages collectively position CAVA Group Inc. favorably within the fast-casual dining space, enabling it to attract and retain a loyal customer base while maintaining a strong market presence.
CAVA Group Inc, like many mid-sized companies in the restaurant and food service industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Uncertainty: Economic fluctuations, inflation, and changing consumer spending habits can significantly impact sales. A recession or economic downturn can lead to reduced discretionary spending on dining out.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, exacerbated by global events like pandemics or geopolitical tensions, can affect the availability and cost of ingredients and materials, impacting operational efficiency and profitability.
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Competition: The foodservice industry is highly competitive, with numerous players offering similar products. CAVA faces competition from both fast-casual brands and traditional quick-service restaurants, which may affect market share and pricing strategies.
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Labor Shortages: The industry has been grappling with labor shortages and challenges in attracting and retaining skilled employees, which can hinder operational capacity and service quality.
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Health and Safety Regulations: Stricter health regulations, particularly in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, could pose operational challenges and require increased investment in compliance measures and staff training.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: As health consciousness continues to rise, consumer preferences may shift toward other dietary trends. CAVA needs to continually adapt its menu offerings to meet evolving tastes and preferences.
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Brand Awareness and Marketing: As a relatively young player in a crowded market, CAVA needs to invest heavily in marketing to build brand awareness and customer loyalty, which can be costly and may not yield immediate results.
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Expansion Risks: If CAVA pursues aggressive expansion, the risks associated with entering new markets—including cultural differences, local competition, and operational challenges—could pose setbacks.
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Technological Advancements: Keeping up with technological advancements for operational efficiency, customer interaction, and digital marketing is essential. Failure to adequately invest in technology could lead to falling behind competitors.
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Environmental and Sustainability Issues: Increasing consumer focus on sustainable practices means CAVA must navigate public expectations around sourcing, packaging, and environmental impact, which can incur additional costs.
By recognizing and addressing these risks, CAVA Group Inc can better position itself for sustainable growth and resilience in a dynamic market landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CAVA Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CAVA Group Inc
Current Assets | 393.3m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 367.2m |
Receivables | 13.2m |
Other Current Assets | 12.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 686.3m |
PP&E | 677.3m |
Intangibles | 3.3m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 5.7m |
Current Liabilities | 134.4m |
Accounts Payable | 25.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 104.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 328.7m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 328.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
CAVA Group Inc
Revenue
|
913.5m
USD
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Cost of Revenue
|
-616m
USD
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Gross Profit
|
297.5m
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-254m
USD
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Operating Income
|
43.5m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
10.3m
USD
|
Net Income
|
53.7m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
CAVA Group Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In Q3 2024, CAVA reported a remarkable 39% revenue increase to $241.5 million, driven by an 18.1% rise in same-restaurant sales, including significant guest traffic growth of 12.9%. Net income soared 163% year-over-year to $18 million, alongside $33.5 million in adjusted EBITDA. The company opened 11 new locations, expanding its footprint to 352 restaurants. Looking ahead, CAVA anticipates 56 to 58 new openings in 2024, with same-restaurant sales growth projected between 12% and 13%. The restaurant-level margin is expected to be consistent at 24.5%-25%, reflecting strong unit economics and sustained operational improvements.
What is Earnings Call?
CAVA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CAVA Group Inc's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CAVA Group Inc's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CAVA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CAVA Group Inc's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CAVA Group Inc's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CAVA Price Targets Summary
CAVA Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CAVA is 159.04 USD with a low forecast of 111.1 USD and a high forecast of 204.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for CAVA is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
CAVA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Cava Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of restaurants. The company is headquartered in Washington, Washington Dc. The company went IPO on 2023-06-15. The firm's restaurants serve healthy, fast-casual Mediterranean fare. Its dips and spreads, which are centrally produced, are sold nationally through grocery stores, including Whole Foods Markets, while its dressings are offered at grocery stores in select markets. The company operates through two segments: CAVA and Zoes Kitchen. The company offers chef-curated selections for its guests. Its menu fulfils a range of dietary preferences, from hearty and indulgent to vegan, vegetarian, gluten-free, dairy-free, paleo, keto, and nut-free diets. The company has developed a multi-channel experience that consists of in-restaurant dining, digital pick-up, drive-thru pick-up, delivery, catering, and CPG offerings supported by its robust digital infrastructure. The company also operates CAVA digital kitchens to optimize off-premises production in select markets and trade areas. Its subsidiaries include CAVA Foods, LLC, and Zoe's Kitchen, Inc.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CAVA stock under the Base Case scenario is 17.48 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 145 USD, CAVA Group Inc is Overvalued by 88%.