Burlington Stores Inc
NYSE:BURL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BURL stock under the Base Case scenario is 248.82 USD. Compared to the current market price of 286.17 USD, Burlington Stores Inc is Overvalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Burlington Stores Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Burlington Stores Inc
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Burlington Stores Inc. is a leading off-price retail chain that has carved out a significant niche in the competitive landscape of the U.S. apparel and home goods markets. With over 800 locations across the country, Burlington offers a diverse selection of high-quality brand-name products at discounted prices, appealing to cost-conscious consumers seeking value without sacrificing style. The company's business model is centered around opportunistic purchasing, allowing it to source excess inventory from various brands and manufacturers. This unique approach not only helps Burlington maintain a constantly fresh inventory but also enables it to provide customers with significant savings compar...
Burlington Stores Inc. is a leading off-price retail chain that has carved out a significant niche in the competitive landscape of the U.S. apparel and home goods markets. With over 800 locations across the country, Burlington offers a diverse selection of high-quality brand-name products at discounted prices, appealing to cost-conscious consumers seeking value without sacrificing style. The company's business model is centered around opportunistic purchasing, allowing it to source excess inventory from various brands and manufacturers. This unique approach not only helps Burlington maintain a constantly fresh inventory but also enables it to provide customers with significant savings compared to traditional retail prices.
As an investor, Burlington's growth story is compelling, marked by a strong expansion strategy and a commitment to operational efficiency. The company has successfully transitioned from Burlington Coat Factory to a more diversified retail model, bolstered by an aggressive store opening plan and a focus on enhancing the customer shopping experience. Financially, Burlington has demonstrated resilience, even during economic downturns, as its value proposition resonates with consumers looking to save money. With a robust balance sheet and a management team experienced in navigating the retail landscape, Burlington Stores Inc. presents a lucrative investment opportunity, particularly as consumer trends continue to favor value-oriented shopping in uncertain economic times.
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates primarily in the off-price retail sector and has established key business segments that contribute to its overall strategy and revenue generation. Here are the core business segments of Burlington Stores:
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Apparel: This segment includes a wide variety of clothing for women, men, and children. The apparel category is a significant part of Burlington's offering, featuring everything from casual wear to formal attire at discounted prices.
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Footwear: Burlington provides an assortment of footwear options that cater to different styles and preferences. This segment includes athletic shoes, casual footwear, and formal shoes, targeting customers looking for value in their footwear purchases.
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Home Goods: In addition to apparel and footwear, Burlington also offers home goods. This includes products such as home decor, bedding, kitchen essentials, and seasonal items, appealing to a broad customer base looking to enhance their living spaces.
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Accessories: This segment encompasses bags, jewelry, and other fashion accessories. Burlington's accessory offerings complement its apparel and footwear, providing customers with a one-stop shop for complete outfits.
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Children’s Item: Burlington also focuses on children’s clothing and accessories, which includes the latest trends and necessities for kids of all ages, catering to parents who seek quality and affordability.
Burlington operates in a highly competitive retail environment and utilizes a "no frills" model, sourcing surplus and off-season merchandise to offer significant discounts compared to traditional retailers. This strategy allows it to appeal to value-conscious consumers, effectively differentiating itself in the retail market.
The company also emphasizes a strong off-price model, leveraging relationships with manufacturers and brands to maintain a constant flow of new, discounted merchandise, thus keeping the inventory fresh and enticing to customers. The combination of these segments supports Burlington's overall business objectives and enhances customer loyalty in a highly competitive landscape.
Burlington Stores Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that help differentiate it from its rivals in the retail sector, particularly in the off-price retail segment:
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Strong Brand Recognition and Reputation: Burlington has established a well-recognized brand known for delivering value. Its reputation for offering high-quality products at discounted prices attracts price-sensitive consumers.
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Diverse Product Range: Burlington offers a wide variety of merchandise, including apparel, home goods, and accessories. This extensive product mix allows the company to appeal to a broad customer base and adapt to changing consumer preferences.
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Off-Price Model: The company leverages an off-price retail model, which means it buys excess inventory from manufacturers and retailers at discounted prices. This allows Burlington to pass savings to customers and maintain healthy profit margins.
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Supply Chain Efficiency: Burlington has developed a robust supply chain and procurement process that enables it to efficiently source products at competitive prices. This agility allows the company to respond quickly to market trends and consumer demands.
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Geographic Diversification: With numerous locations across the U.S., Burlington has a significant market presence. Additionally, the company continues to expand its footprint, giving it access to more customers and diverse markets.
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In-Store Experience: Burlington focuses on creating an engaging shopping experience with well-organized stores. The excitement of discovering new products at discounted prices can drive customer loyalty and repeat visits.
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Strong Financial Position: Burlington has a solid balance sheet, which allows it to invest in growth initiatives, such as store openings and technology enhancements, without compromising its financial stability.
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Data-Driven Decision Making: The company adapts its inventory and marketing strategies based on data analytics, enabling it to offer merchandise that aligns with current consumer trends and preferences.
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Economies of Scale: As a larger player in the off-price segment, Burlington can leverage economies of scale to negotiate better deals with suppliers and lower costs, enhancing its competitive edge.
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Commitment to Value: Burlington's core value proposition is centered around providing high-quality products at low prices. This commitment resonates with consumers, especially in economic downturns when they seek value.
By leveraging these advantages, Burlington Stores Inc. can effectively compete against both traditional retailers and other off-price competitors, positioning itself as a leader in the off-price retail market.
Burlington Stores Inc. faces several risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future:
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or changes in consumer spending habits can significantly affect sales. Inflation, fluctuating unemployment rates, and shifts in disposable income can lead to decreased consumer confidence and spending.
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Competitive Landscape: The retail industry is highly competitive, with numerous players ranging from discount retailers to online e-commerce giants. Burlington faces competition from other off-price retailers like TJX Companies (TJ Maxx and Marshalls) and Ross Stores, as well as traditional department stores and online platforms.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain challenges, including delays, increased shipping costs, and potential trade tariffs, could impact inventory levels and product availability. These disruptions can lead to stock shortages or excess inventory, both of which can hurt sales.
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Digital Transformation: As consumer shopping behavior shifts more towards online purchasing, Burlington must enhance its e-commerce presence and capabilities. Failing to invest in digital infrastructure or creating a seamless omnichannel experience may result in losing market share.
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Real Estate and Store Expansion: Burlington's growth strategy often involves opening new stores. The success of these expansions depends on factors such as site selection, market conditions, and financial performance of new locations. Economic downturns could make new store openings less viable.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in fashion trends and consumer preferences can quickly impact inventory management. The ability to react to these changes is crucial for an off-price retailer that relies on purchasing overstock and closeout goods.
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Labor Costs and Workforce Management: Rising labor costs due to minimum wage increases or labor shortages can impact profitability. Additionally, retaining skilled employees in a competitive labor market is essential for maintaining operational efficiency.
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Regulatory Risks: Burlington must comply with a variety of regulations concerning labor laws, health and safety, and environmental practices. Non-compliance could result in fines, legal issues, or reputational damage.
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Brand Reputation: Maintaining a positive brand image is critical, especially in a retail environment where consumer opinions can spread quickly via social media. Any missteps, whether in customer service, labor practices, or product quality, can harm branding efforts.
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Interest Rate Fluctuations: As interest rates rise, borrowing costs for the company may increase, impacting profitability. Additionally, higher rates can reduce consumer borrowing and spending, further affecting sales.
In navigating these challenges, Burlington Stores Inc. will need to leverage its strengths, such as its off-price business model and strong brand positioning, while adapting to the rapidly changing retail landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Burlington Stores Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Burlington Stores Inc
Current Assets | 2.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 659.9m |
Receivables | 99.7m |
Other Current Assets | 1.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 5.6B |
PP&E | 5.2B |
Intangibles | 285.1m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 70.5m |
Current Liabilities | 2.2B |
Accounts Payable | 1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 388.8m |
Other Current Liabilities | 772.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
Burlington Stores Inc
Revenue
|
10.2B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-5.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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4.4B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-3.8B
USD
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Operating Income
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639.1m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-210.8m
USD
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Net Income
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428.3m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Burlington Stores Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Burlington Stores reported a robust 13% increase in total sales for Q2, driven by 36 net new stores and a 5% rise in comparable sales, which exceeded guidance. Operating margin expanded by 160 basis points due to higher gross margins and supply chain efficiencies. Adjusted earnings per share surged by 98% to $1.24. The company raised its full-year guidance, now expecting comparable sales growth of 2-3% and adjusted earnings per share between $7.66 and $7.96.
What is Earnings Call?
BURL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Burlington Stores Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Burlington Stores Inc's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BURL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Burlington Stores Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Burlington Stores Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BURL Price Targets Summary
Burlington Stores Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BURL is 318.32 USD with a low forecast of 280.78 USD and a high forecast of 375.9 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BURL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
BURL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Burlington Stores, Inc. engages in the retail of off-price apparel and home products. The company is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey and currently employs 14,803 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-10-02. The firm operates approximately 840 retail stores in approximately 45 states and Puerto Rico. The company sells in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women’s ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts and coats. The firm operates five distribution centers. Its two east coast distribution centers are located in Edgewater Park, New Jersey and Burlington, New Jersey and three west coast distribution centers are located in San Bernardino, California, Redlands, California, and Riverside, California. also operates warehousing facilities to support its distribution centers. The firm uses a mix of broad-based and targeted marketing strategies. Its broad-based strategies include national and local television and radio. Its digital and streaming audio strategies include personalized and targeted messaging.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one BURL stock under the Base Case scenario is 248.82 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 286.17 USD, Burlington Stores Inc is Overvalued by 13%.