BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
NYSE:BJ
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BJ stock under the Base Case scenario is 81.87 USD. Compared to the current market price of 85.7 USD, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 4%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. is a leading membership-based warehouse retailer that has carved out a significant niche in the highly competitive grocery and general merchandise sector. Founded in 1984, BJ's operates more than 230 clubs primarily in the Eastern United States, where it offers a diverse selection of products ranging from groceries and household goods to electronics and furniture. The company's unique selling proposition lies in its focus on delivering value to its members through high-quality products at low prices, coupled with a trusted customer experience. BJ's has successfully leveraged its private label offerings to further enhance its brand loyalty and margin stabilit...
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. is a leading membership-based warehouse retailer that has carved out a significant niche in the highly competitive grocery and general merchandise sector. Founded in 1984, BJ's operates more than 230 clubs primarily in the Eastern United States, where it offers a diverse selection of products ranging from groceries and household goods to electronics and furniture. The company's unique selling proposition lies in its focus on delivering value to its members through high-quality products at low prices, coupled with a trusted customer experience. BJ's has successfully leveraged its private label offerings to further enhance its brand loyalty and margin stability, positioning itself as a formidable player in the wholesale marketplace.
Investors will find BJ's Wholesale Club particularly appealing not only for its resilient business model, but also for the company's strategic initiatives aimed at driving growth. The firm has embraced technology to enhance its e-commerce capabilities, catering to the evolving preferences of consumers who are increasingly shifting towards online shopping. With a robust membership model that fosters repeat business and customer retention, BJ's continues to expand its footprint through new club openings and renovations of existing locations. As economic uncertainties prompt consumers to seek cost-effective shopping solutions, BJ's is well-positioned to thrive and capture market share, making it an intriguing investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the growing trend of value-oriented retail.
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. operates primarily in the wholesale retail sector, providing a range of products at discounted prices to its members. Here are the core business segments:
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Membership-Based Retailing: BJ's operates as a membership warehouse club, offering exclusive access to retail items for its members. It aims to provide value through bulk purchasing and low prices, appealing to both individual consumers and business customers.
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Grocery and Food Products: A significant portion of BJ's offerings includes grocery items, such as fresh produce, meats, dairy products, and packaged foods. The grocery segment is central to attracting members who are looking for bulk grocery shopping options.
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Non-Food Products: BJ's also sells a variety of non-food items, including electronics, household goods, apparel, and health and beauty products. This diversification helps the company cater to a wide range of consumer needs.
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Private Label Brands: BJ's offers its own private label products, which typically provide higher margins than branded products. This segment helps enhance profitability while providing members with quality alternatives at a lower price.
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Fuel Operations: Many BJ’s locations feature fuel stations that offer gasoline at discounted prices for members. This not only adds a convenience factor but also serves as an additional revenue stream.
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Digital Sales and E-commerce: With the rise of online shopping, BJ's has increasingly focused on its digital platform, offering members the ability to shop online for delivery or in-store pickup. This segment has gained importance, especially during and after the COVID-19 pandemic.
These core business segments work together to promote BJ's value proposition of savings on a wide range of products, helping to retain and grow its membership base while driving revenue.
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. possesses several competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the wholesale and retail space:
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Membership Model: BJ's operates on a membership-only model, which fosters customer loyalty and ensures a steady stream of revenue from membership fees. This model allows BJ's to maintain lower prices while still generating income, a strategy similar to Costco’s approach.
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Pricing Strategy: BJ's focuses on offering competitive pricing, particularly on bulk items. They position themselves as a value-oriented retailer, appealing to cost-conscious consumers. They also utilize a "Lowest Price Guarantee" strategy, reinforcing consumer confidence that they are getting the best deals.
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Private Label Offerings: The company has a strong private label brand, Berkley Jensen, which provides higher margins than typical national brands. This allows BJ's to offer high-quality products at lower prices, differentiating itself from competitors.
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Product Range and Fresh Food Offerings: BJ's has a wide selection of products, including fresh produce, meat, and baked goods. Their focus on fresh food and perishables is a significant advantage over some competitors, particularly in the traditional wholesale space which often emphasizes dry goods.
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Geographic Footprint: BJ's operates primarily in the Eastern U.S., strategically placing its clubs in areas with high population density. This clustering can enhance logistics, improve member accessibility, and drive foot traffic.
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Technology Adoption: BJ's has invested in technology to enhance the shopping experience, including a mobile app for easy browsing, purchasing, and member engagement. E-commerce capabilities and delivery options also help meet changing consumer preferences.
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In-Store Experience: The warehouse-style shopping environment, combined with well-organized warehouse layouts, enhances the shopping experience. BJ’s also provides amenities like a gas station or optical services at many locations, adding to the convenience.
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Strong Supply Chain Management: BJ's has developed strong supplier relationships and efficient supply chain practices, allowing it to optimize inventory management and costs. This experience helps them manage pricing and quality effectively.
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Customer Service: The company focuses on providing a positive customer experience, including knowledgeable staff and an efficient checkout process. This can enhance member satisfaction and loyalty.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, BJ’s Wholesale Club can effectively compete in the marketplace against both traditional retailers and other wholesale clubs.
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its business operations and financial performance. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations, including recession risks, inflation, and changing consumer spending habits, can significantly affect membership sales and consumer discretionary spending at wholesale clubs like BJ's. Rising costs may also squeeze margins if not managed effectively.
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Competition: BJ's operates in a highly competitive retail environment. Competitors include other wholesale clubs (such as Costco and Sam's Club), traditional grocery stores, discount retailers, and online shopping platforms. Increased competition can lead to price wars and reduced market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain challenges, exacerbated by factors such as global trade tensions, pandemics, and transportation issues, can affect inventory levels and product availability. This can result in lost sales and dissatisfied customers.
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Inflation Pressures: Rising costs of goods and services can impact pricing strategies. If BJ's raises prices to maintain margins, it might alienate price-sensitive customers. Conversely, if BJ's absorbs costs to retain customers, it can erode profitability.
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Technological Advancements: The retail sector is rapidly evolving with new technologies such as e-commerce and mobile shopping. BJ's must continue to invest in and adapt to technological changes to enhance customer experiences and stay competitive.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Consumer trends shift over time, including preferences for organic products, environmentally friendly goods, and digital shopping experiences. BJ's must continually adapt its product offerings to align with these changing demands.
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Labor Issues: Challenges related to hiring, retention, and labor costs could impact operations. Additionally, changes in labor regulations and minimum wage laws can affect operating expenses.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As a retailer handling considerable amounts of consumer data, BJ's is susceptible to cybersecurity threats. A breach can harm consumer trust, lead to significant financial losses, and result in regulatory consequences.
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Regulatory Compliance: Changes in laws and regulations pertaining to labor, environmental impact, and consumer protection can impose additional compliance costs and operational challenges.
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Membership Retention: BJ's business model relies heavily on membership fees. If the company fails to demonstrate value to its members, it may face higher churn rates, negatively impacting revenue.
Mitigating these risks will require strategic planning, robust operational practices, and a focus on customer satisfaction and value delivery. Adopting a long-term perspective, as emphasized by Buffett and Munger, will be crucial in navigating these challenges effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
Current Assets | 1.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 38.1m |
Receivables | 248.5m |
Other Current Assets | 1.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 5B |
PP&E | 3.8B |
Intangibles | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 53.5m |
Current Liabilities | 2.5B |
Accounts Payable | 1.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 217m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 398.6m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
Revenue
|
20.4B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-16.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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3.7B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2.9B
USD
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Operating Income
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777.8m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-245.5m
USD
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Net Income
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532.4m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
In the second quarter, BJ’s Wholesale Club reported net sales of $5.1 billion, up 4.8% year-over-year. Merchandise sales excluding gas rose 2.4%, with notable growth in perishables. Digital sales surged by 22%. Membership fee income jumped 9.1% to $113.1 million, driven by high renewal rates and new sign-ups. The company’s perishable and grocery divisions grew nearly 3%. Adjusted EBITDA hit $281.3 million, climbing 4.9%. Despite flat inflation, BJ’s plans to maintain its long-term investments, expecting fiscal 2024 comp sales growth between 1-2%, excluding gas.
What is Earnings Call?
BJ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc's profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BJ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc's solvency score is 62/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BJ Price Targets Summary
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BJ is 89.54 USD with a low forecast of 74.74 USD and a high forecast of 99.75 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BJ is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
BJ Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
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Dividend Yield
Description
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. engages in the operation of membership warehouse clubs. The company is headquartered in Westborough, Massachusetts and currently employs 34,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-06-28. The company provides a curated assortment, focused on perishable products, continuously refreshed general merchandise, gasoline and other ancillary services. Its retail operations include retail club and other sales procured from its clubs. Its merchandise offering includes two divisions. Grocery segment consists of its meat, produce, dairy, bakery, deli and frozen products, packaged foods, beverages, detergents, disinfectants, paper products, beauty care, adult and baby care, and pet foods. General merchandise and services segment consist of optical, tires, small appliances, televisions, electronics, seasonal goods, gift cards and apparel. Its digital portfolio consists of BJs.com, BerkleyJensen.com, Wellsleyfarms.com, Delivery.bjs.com as well as the BJ’s mobile application. The company offers two types of memberships, Inner Circle memberships and business memberships.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one BJ stock under the Base Case scenario is 81.87 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 85.7 USD, BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 4%.