BHP Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - BHP Group Ltd - Alpha Spread
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BHP Group Ltd
NYSE:BHP

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BHP Group Ltd
NYSE:BHP
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Price: 53.51 USD 1.17%
Market Cap: 135.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one BHP stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.48 USD. Compared to the current market price of 53.51 USD, BHP Group Ltd is Overvalued by 9%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

BHP Intrinsic Value
48.48 USD
Overvaluation 9%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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BHP Group Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

BHP Group Ltd. is one of the world’s leading resources companies, with a rich history rooted in the mining and production of essential commodities. Founded in 1885, BHP has evolved into a formidable player in the global market, specializing in extracting valuable minerals such as iron ore, copper, coal, and petroleum. With its headquarters in Melbourne, Australia, BHP operates across various continents, including North America, South America, and Australia, allowing it to diversify its resource base and manage risks effectively. This geographic spread underpins the company’s resilience and capacity to benefit from increasing demand for resources driven by economic growth, particularly in eme...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
BHP Group Ltd

Current Assets 24.3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 12.9B
Receivables 5.5B
Other Current Assets 6B
Non-Current Assets 78B
Long-Term Investments 2.9B
PP&E 71.6B
Intangibles 1.7B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.8B
Current Liabilities 14.3B
Accounts Payable 6.7B
Other Current Liabilities 7.6B
Non-Current Liabilities 43.3B
Long-Term Debt 18.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 24.6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
BHP Group Ltd

Revenue
55.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-22.7B USD
Gross Profit
33B USD
Operating Expenses
-9.7B USD
Operating Income
23.3B USD
Other Expenses
-15.4B USD
Net Income
7.9B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
BHP Group Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

BHP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

BHP Group Ltd's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Operating Income
Positive Gross Profit
68/100
Profitability
Score

BHP Group Ltd's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

BHP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

BHP Group Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
65/100
Solvency
Score

BHP Group Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

BHP Price Targets Summary
BHP Group Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast BHP stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BHP is 64.54 USD with a low forecast of 52.77 USD and a high forecast of 77.18 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
52.77 USD
1% Downside
Average
Price Target
64.54 USD
21% Upside
Highest
Price Target
77.18 USD
44% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for BHP is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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BHP Price
BHP Group Ltd

1M 1M
+1%
6M 6M
-4%
1Y 1Y
-8%
3Y 3Y
+25%
5Y 5Y
+62%
10Y 10Y
+86%
Annual Price Range
53.51
52w Low
49.9051
52w High
68.89
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 16.94%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 17.24%
Max Drawdown -43%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 136.1B USD
Shares Outstanding 2 539 000 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 0.34%

Competitive Landscape

BHP News

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Profile

BHP Group Ltd

Country

Australia

Industry

Metals & Mining

Market Cap

136.1B USD

Dividend Yield

5.46%

Description

BHP Group Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, production and processing of iron ore, metallurgical coal and copper. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria and currently employs 34,478 full-time employees. The firm is a producer of various commodities, including copper and uranium, copper smelter, copper refinery and precious metals. The firm's segments include Petroleum, Copper, Iron Ore and Coal. The Petroleum segment is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and gas. The Copper segment is engaged in mining of copper, silver, zinc, molybdenum, uranium and gold. The Iron Ore segment is engaged in mining of iron ore. The Coal segment is engaged in mining of metallurgical coal and energy coal. The firm extracts and processes minerals, oil and gas from its production operations located primarily in Australia and the Americas. Its businesses include Minerals Australia, Minerals Americas, Petroleum.

Contact

VICTORIA
Melbourne
Shop 16 171 Collins St
+11611300554757.0
www.bhp.com

IPO

1987-05-28

Employees

34 478

Officers

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one BHP stock?

The intrinsic value of one BHP stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.48 USD.

Is BHP stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 53.51 USD, BHP Group Ltd is Overvalued by 9%.

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