BHP Group Ltd
NYSE:BHP
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BHP stock under the Base Case scenario is 45.25 USD. Compared to the current market price of 52.57 USD, BHP Group Ltd is Overvalued by 14%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
BHP Group Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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BHP Group Ltd. is one of the world’s leading resources companies, with a rich history rooted in the mining and production of essential commodities. Founded in 1885, BHP has evolved into a formidable player in the global market, specializing in extracting valuable minerals such as iron ore, copper, coal, and petroleum. With its headquarters in Melbourne, Australia, BHP operates across various continents, including North America, South America, and Australia, allowing it to diversify its resource base and manage risks effectively. This geographic spread underpins the company’s resilience and capacity to benefit from increasing demand for resources driven by economic growth, particularly in eme...
BHP Group Ltd. is one of the world’s leading resources companies, with a rich history rooted in the mining and production of essential commodities. Founded in 1885, BHP has evolved into a formidable player in the global market, specializing in extracting valuable minerals such as iron ore, copper, coal, and petroleum. With its headquarters in Melbourne, Australia, BHP operates across various continents, including North America, South America, and Australia, allowing it to diversify its resource base and manage risks effectively. This geographic spread underpins the company’s resilience and capacity to benefit from increasing demand for resources driven by economic growth, particularly in emerging markets.
For investors, BHP presents a compelling opportunity as it combines robust financial health with a commitment to sustainable operations. The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth and profitability, backed by a strong balance sheet that provides ample capacity for reinvestment and shareholder returns through dividends. Furthermore, BHP is making significant strides toward sustainability, investing in renewable energy and aiming to reduce its carbon footprint, which positions it favorably with environmentally conscious investors. As global economies recover and transition towards sustainable development, BHP stands ready to leverage its unparalleled resources, ensuring long-term stability and potential growth for investors looking to tap into the evolving landscape of the resource sector.
BHP Group Ltd. is one of the world's largest mining, metals, and petroleum companies, with a diverse portfolio that spans several key business segments. Here are the core business segments of BHP:
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Mineral Resources:
- Iron Ore: This is one of BHP’s largest segments, with significant operations in Western Australia. The company is a leading producer of iron ore, which is essential for steelmaking.
- Copper: BHP has a substantial portfolio in copper mining, with operations in Chile and the United States. Copper is crucial for electrical wiring and various other industrial applications.
- Nickel and Potash: BHP also engages in the extraction of nickel and is involved in potash development, which is used primarily as a fertilizer.
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Metallurgical Coal:
- BHP is a major producer of metallurgical coal, which is primarily used in steel production. The company operates various coal mines in Australia and has a strong export business.
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Oil and Gas:
- BHP holds a significant portfolio in petroleum, particularly in the extraction of oil and natural gas. Its oil and gas operations are primarily based in the Gulf of Mexico, Australia, and Trinidad and Tobago. This segment includes both upstream exploration and production activities.
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Sustainability and Environmental Responsibility:
- Although not a business segment in the traditional sense, BHP heavily focuses on sustainability initiatives. These efforts are integrated across all operations, aiming to minimize environmental impact and enhance operational efficiency.
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Development Projects:
- BHP continuously invests in the development of new projects and expansions in its existing operations, ensuring long-term growth and increased production capacity across all business segments.
In summary, BHP Group Ltd. operates primarily in mineral resources (iron ore and copper), metallurgical coal, and oil and gas, with a strong emphasis on sustainability that permeates its business practices. This diversification allows BHP to manage market fluctuations in individual commodities while capitalizing on the growing demand for essential raw materials.
BHP Group Ltd, one of the world’s largest mining companies, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. These advantages stem from its scale, operational efficiency, and strategic positioning in the market. Here are some key competitive advantages:
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Diverse Portfolio: BHP has a diversified range of commodities, including iron ore, copper, petroleum, coal, and potash, which helps to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single commodity. This diversification allows the company to strategically allocate resources and manage market fluctuations.
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Operational Efficiency: BHP invests heavily in technology and innovation, enhancing its operational efficiencies and reducing costs. Its focus on automation, digital transformation, and sustainable practices positions the company ahead of competitors in terms of productivity and cost management.
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Strong Balance Sheet: BHP maintains a robust financial position with a strong balance sheet, allowing for investment in growth opportunities, exploration, and the ability to withstand market downturns. This financial strength also enables the company to return value to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.
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Global Footprint: With operations in multiple countries, BHP benefits from geographic diversification, which can reduce risks associated with political instability or regulatory changes in specific countries. This global presence also allows the company to tap into emerging markets and optimize its supply chain.
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Sustainability Commitment: BHP is increasingly focused on sustainable practices and environmental stewardship, aligning with global trends toward sustainability. Its initiatives to reduce carbon emissions and improve environmental management can create a reputational advantage and appeal to socially conscious investors.
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Strategic Partnerships: BHP has established strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. Collaborations with other companies can lead to shared resources, technology transfer, and access to new markets.
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Experienced Management Team: BHP has a seasoned management team with extensive experience in the mining industry. Their strategic vision and operational expertise can foster innovation and ensure that the company adapts effectively to changing market conditions.
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Strong Supply Chain Management: BHP's established relationships with suppliers and logistics providers ensure that it can manage costs effectively and maintain a reliable supply chain, giving it a competitive advantage in delivering products to market efficiently.
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Commitment to Innovation: The company's ongoing commitment to research and development in areas like mineral extraction and processing technologies positions BHP at the forefront of industry advancements, helping to improve productivity and lower costs.
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Market Leader in Key Commodities: BHP is a leading producer in several key commodities, particularly iron ore. Its dominant position in these markets provides leverage over pricing and supply chain dynamics, which can be a significant advantage over smaller competitors.
These competitive advantages enable BHP Group Ltd to remain resilient and perform effectively in the highly competitive and cyclical mining industry.
BHP Group Ltd, one of the largest mining companies in the world, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Commodity Price Volatility: The prices of the commodities BHP produces, such as iron ore, copper, and petroleum, can fluctuate significantly due to global supply and demand dynamics. This volatility can impact revenue and profitability.
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Environmental Regulations: There is increasing scrutiny and regulation concerning environmental protection and sustainability. BHP may face challenges in meeting stricter regulations, which could increase costs and affect operations.
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Global Economic Conditions: Economic slowdowns, especially in major markets like China, can reduce demand for commodities. Any downturn in global economic activity can lead to decreased sales and lower pricing.
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Geopolitical Risks: Operations in various countries expose BHP to geopolitical risks, including changes in government policy, trade disputes, and local conflicts, which can disrupt operations.
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Mining-related Risks: Mining operations carry inherent risks such as accidents, health and safety hazards, and environmental disasters. Any major incident could result in reputational damage and financial loss.
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Technological Disruptions: The mining sector is undergoing technological changes, such as automation and digitalization. Failing to adapt or invest in new technologies may hinder BHP's operational efficiency and competitive advantage.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events, such as pandemics or natural disasters, can disrupt supply chains, impacting production schedules and increasing costs.
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Labor Relations: Hot labor markets can lead to increased costs or labor unrest. BHP may face challenges in maintaining labor relations, which could result in strikes or disruptions.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: As the world shifts toward renewable energy and lower carbon emissions, BHP may need to adapt its business model, which could entail increased investment and potential asset write-downs in fossil fuel assets.
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Investor Sentiment and ESG Pressure: Increasingly, investors are focusing on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) criteria. Pressure from shareholders and stakeholders can affect BHP’s strategies and operations.
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Currency Risk: BHP conducts much of its business in multiple currencies, exposing it to currency fluctuations that can impact financial results.
By actively managing these risks through strategic planning, diversification, and compliance measures, BHP can position itself to navigate the evolving landscape of the mining industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
BHP Group Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
BHP Group Ltd
Current Assets | 24.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 12.9B |
Receivables | 5.5B |
Other Current Assets | 6B |
Non-Current Assets | 78B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.9B |
PP&E | 71.6B |
Intangibles | 1.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.8B |
Current Liabilities | 14.3B |
Accounts Payable | 6.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 43.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 18.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 24.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
BHP Group Ltd
Revenue
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55.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-22.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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33B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-9.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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23.3B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-15.4B
USD
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Net Income
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7.9B
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
BHP Group Ltd
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
BHP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
BHP Group Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
BHP Group Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BHP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
BHP Group Ltd's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
BHP Group Ltd's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BHP Price Targets Summary
BHP Group Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BHP is 62.32 USD with a low forecast of 50.06 USD and a high forecast of 72.34 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BHP is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
BHP Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
BHP Group Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, production and processing of iron ore, metallurgical coal and copper. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Victoria and currently employs 34,478 full-time employees. The firm is a producer of various commodities, including copper and uranium, copper smelter, copper refinery and precious metals. The firm's segments include Petroleum, Copper, Iron Ore and Coal. The Petroleum segment is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and gas. The Copper segment is engaged in mining of copper, silver, zinc, molybdenum, uranium and gold. The Iron Ore segment is engaged in mining of iron ore. The Coal segment is engaged in mining of metallurgical coal and energy coal. The firm extracts and processes minerals, oil and gas from its production operations located primarily in Australia and the Americas. Its businesses include Minerals Australia, Minerals Americas, Petroleum.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one BHP stock under the Base Case scenario is 45.25 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 52.57 USD, BHP Group Ltd is Overvalued by 14%.