Brookfield Renewable Corp

NYSE:BEPC

Earnings Call Transcript 2022-Q3

[Operator]

Hello, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the BEP Third Quarter 2022 Results Conference Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]

It is now my pleasure to introduce CEO, Connor Teskey.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Thank you, operator. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us on our third quarter 2022 conference call. Before we begin, we would like to remind you that a copy of our news release, investor supplement and letter to unitholders can be found on our website. We also want to remind you that we may make forward-looking statements on this call. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and future results may differ materially. For more information you're encouraged to review our regulatory filings available on SEDAR, EDGAR and on our website.

On today's call, we will provide an update on the business and some of our recent growth initiatives. Esper Nemi, our Vice President in our Investments Team in North America will discuss the growth of our renewables development business in the United States. I will then provide an overview of our recently announced acquisition of Westinghouse and Wyatt will finish off the call discussing our operating results and financial position. Following our remarks, we look forward to taking your questions.

We had a great quarter, demonstrating both through our strong financial results and the execution of several large scale growth initiatives. We generated funds from operations of $243 million or $0.38 per unit, a 15% increase from the same period last year. As well as we advanced our key commercial priorities and development activities.

We continue to believe that our business is uniquely positioned, providing investors with one of the most attractive value propositions in the factor. We feel this way for a number of reasons. First, our business is supported by a highly diversified global platform of clean energy assets providing deep operating knowledge and visibility and the flexibility to deliver decarbonization solutions for our customers around the world.

Second, our cash flows are contracted, long-term and inflation-linked meaning, we will remain resilient throughout all economic environments. Third, our robust liquidity, strong balance sheet and access to deep and varied sources of capital, provide us the ability to execute on some of the largest and most attractive decarbonization investment opportunities. And lastly, we have a differentiated growth capability. With over 100 dedicated investment professionals around the world looking to deploy capital at attractive risk-adjusted returns while delivering on our 12% to 15% return target.

In this regard, we had a record quarter. As we closed our secured investments of up to $6 billion of capital or 1.5 billion net to Brookfield Renewable across various transactions in regions. This includes the continued growth of our leading U.S. renewables development business for which we will turn the call over to Esper to discuss.

[Esper Nemi, VP, Investments Team North America]

Thank you, Connor, and good morning everyone.

As Connor mentioned, our U.S. business continues to see significant growth. Following the close of our recently announced acquisitions, our development pipeline in the country will stand at over 60,000 megawatts and is well diversified across wind, utility scale solar, distributed generation and energy storage.

The significant pipeline alongside our existing scale operating business means that we are owners and operators of one of the largest diversified clean power businesses in the country. Recently, we announced the acquisition of Scout Clean Energy and Standard Solar both of which will be highly complementary to our existing business.

Scout Clean Energy is one of the largest utility-scale fully integrated renewable development platforms in the U.S. across wind, solar and storage. Will purchase the business for $1 billion with the potential to invest an additional $350 million to support the businesses development activities.

In aggregate, this is 270 million net to Brookfield Renewable. Scout has a sizable existing portfolio of over 800 megawatts of operating wind assets and an attractive pipeline of over 22,000 megawatts of wind, solar and storage projects across 24 states. This includes almost 2,500 megawatts of under construction and event stage projects with high visibility for commercialization in nearly 5,000 additional megawatts to have valuable interconnection key positions.

There's a strong management team in place with significant renewable power experience and a proven track record of successfully developing and financing over 20 gigawatts of clean energy assets. This team will be a great complement to our capabilities and will benefit significantly from being part of our business, especially our commercial and procurement capabilities.

Standard Solar is a leading integrated distributed generation developer in the U.S. We announced the signing of this investment last quarter and we have now closed the acquisition for consideration of $540 million with a potential to invest an additional $160 million to support the businesses growth initiatives or $140 million in total net to Brookfield Renewable.

Standard Solar is the market leading owner and operator of commercial and community distributor solar. With end-to-end development capabilities and a strong track record of delivering high quality assets. The business has approximately 500 megawatts of operating and under construction contracted assets. And an almost 2000 megawatt identified pipeline.

There is an experienced management team in place with a proven ability to execute on significant growth opportunities across several high-value solar markets in the U.S. that are highly complementary to our existing business.

Finally, it is important to emphasize that when we underwrote these investments, as well as Urban Grid our utility scale solar development platform that we acquired in the first quarter we did not factor in the impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act. However with Inflation Reduction Act firmly enacted, it will provide meaningful upside to our sector and in particular these development platforms.

These investments will benefit from the extension of tax credits for wind and solar projects, as well as the expansion of tax credits include storage which meaningfully accelerate and increase the buildout of the high-quality development pipelines within these businesses.

Thank you for your time today. With that I will turn the call back over to Connor to discuss our investment in Westinghouse.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Thanks, Esper.

Any credible net zero plan must include a meaningful and growing amount of nuclear power generation. Not only that, the same industry tailwinds of decarbonization, electrification and energy security are a benefit to nuclear power generation, the same way that they are to wind, solar and hydro.

Last month, we reached a definitive agreement to acquire Westinghouse alongside our strategic partner Cameco, one of the largest global suppliers of uranium fuel for nuclear power generation. Westinghouse is a global leader in providing critical products and services to the nuclear power industry.

The transaction represents a very attractive risk-adjusted return proposition, as the business is underpinned by highly durable cash flows with approximately 85% of revenues coming from long-term inflation-linked contracted or highly recurring services and the business that comes with nearly a 100% customer retention rate.

Westinghouse acts as a service provider and therefore it does not take on any commodity, construction or significant fixed price contract risk, not does it have any exposure to nuclear liabilities as it operates in countries where those liabilities for nuclear accidents lives with the plant operators.

The total equity invested for the transaction will be approximately $4.5 billion or $750 million net to Brookfield Renewable where we along with our institutional partners will own 51% of the company and chemical will own the remaining 49%.

Our investment in Westinghouse is an attractive entry point into nuclear power generation, which we believe along with hydro to be one of the key technologies facilitating the rapid buildout of intermittent renewables. Wind and solar must be complemented by clean dispatchable baseload power generation. As the owner of one of the largest hydro businesses globally, we have visibility to the increasing value of clean, reliable and economic sources of power to the grid.

Westinghouse is exceedingly well positioned to benefit from these secular trends. It is the leading original equipment manufacturer and scale provider of mission-critical technologies products and services to half the global nuclear power generation fleet. Westinghouse serves as a key enabler of the energy transition around the world providing products and services essential to both the continued operation and growth of the global nuclear fleet.

Given the need for clean dispatchable energy as well as its compelling economic proposition, we believe that nuclear power is posed for significant growth and as long as nuclear power, exist Westinghouse will perform well. Westinghouse is well positioned to benefit from the significant volume of plant extensions that have been announced 50 gigawatts and growing and the more than 60 gigawatts of new build reactors expected between 2020 and 2040 across more than 20 countries around the world.

Recently, the Polish government announced that it had chosen Westinghouse to support our first project of three units with an option for another three using Westinghouse's AP1000 nuclear reactor technology. This was a key step towards the country achieving its decarbonization targets in greater energy independence.

Lastly, there are multi-decade growth opportunities in the rollout of next generation advanced nuclear technology such as Westinghouse's eVinci micro-reactor technology which can play a growing role in an increasingly - decentralized and decarbonized energy system.

With that, we will turn the call over to Wyatt to discuss our operating results and financial position.

[Wyatt Hartley, CFO]

Thank you, Connor.

As mentioned in earlier remarks, we had strong results in the quarter as our operations benefited from strong global power prices and continued growth, both through development and acquisitions. Our balance sheet is in excellent shape with our credit rating recently affirmed at BBB+ with a stable outlook.

We remain resilient to the rising interest rates globally with over 90% of our borrowings being project level non-recourse debt with an average remaining term of 12 years. No material near-term maturities and only 3% exposure to floating rate debt. In increasingly volatile markets, our access to diverse pools of capital becomes even more differentiated. We have over $3.5 billion of available liquidity giving us significant financial flexibility during periods of capital scarcity.

During the quarter, we secured over $3.7 billion of non-recourse financing across the business that will close this year resulting in over $400 million and up-financing proceeds to us. As both Connor and Esper illustrated, we had an impressive quarter for growth and are confident we can maintain this pace of deployment going forward.

Importantly, we are very well positioned to fund this growth. As I mentioned, we have access to deep and varied sources of capital, which is increasingly valuable in the current market. A significant portion of our recent growth is already funded or structured to have capital deployed over a prolonged period and in almost all cases at our option.

Further, we intend to more actively take advantage of the strong bids we are seeing for a number of our mature assets where we have successfully executed our business plan. Recycling proceeds from mature assets into new growth opportunities remains one of the most value accretive levers within our business. We also have initiated capital recycling - activities that in total when closed expect to generate approximately $830 million of total proceeds.

We have also launched numerous sales processes for some of our mature assets in select markets. Which are garnering significant interest at very attractive valuations, providing significant visibility to our capital recycling program for the coming quarters.

In closing, we believe the future opportunities for investing in clean power and the energy transition will be even greater than they are today. And our scale, track record and global capabilities position us as a partner of choice in decarbonization.

On behalf of the Board and management, we thank all our unitholders and shareholders for their ongoing support. That concludes our formal remarks for today's call. Thank you for joining us this morning.

And with that, I'll pass it back to our operator for questions.

[Operator]

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Robert Hope with Scotiabank.

[Robert Hope, Scotiabank]

Good morning, everyone. Just the first question on the development pipeline, you've been quite successful year-to-date on expanding that pipeline. However, with 10,000 megawatts potentially entering service here in the next couple of years that could meaningfully draw down that pipeline. It does seem like there's a little bit of a gold rush for development companies right now. How do you envision longer-term replacing this development pipeline?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Thanks, Rob. Maybe a couple of comments there first and foremost, it's absolutely true that over the past 12 months, we've made a number of acquisitions of businesses that come with large in place development pipelines and that has dramatically increased our businesses total development capacity to approximately 100,000 megawatts. But what's important to recognize is when we buy those businesses, we're not buying static operations.

They come with management teams that have incredible Greenfield development capabilities such that they can continue to organically grow those development pipelines themselves and I would perhaps take a slightly different view. I would expect that well we do intend to build well north of 10 gigawatts of that pipeline out over the next three years. I would expect three years from now when we look to the next three years.

We'll be looking to build far more than 10 gigawatts out in that period as well. So we expect to see that pipeline, continue to be pulled forward and continue to grow. Given the development capabilities we have within our business. And no doubt, some of the support for things, like some of the support that comes from policies, such as the IRA are significantly going to help that dynamic.

The other comment, I would make is, just around our success, particularly in the United States around acquiring development platforms. If you go back 12 to 18 months, there were a lot of development businesses sold in the United States and candidly we looked at almost all of them. And we put a lot of work into them and we bid at what we thought were attractive returns and we weren't very competitive in 2021.

And then 2022, we've used the same investment discipline and we've been successful on bidding on a number of those acquisitions. And I do think that demonstrates perhaps what is happening in the market where less sophisticated investors that maybe don't have the access to capital that we do in more uncertain markets and maybe investors that aren't as quite well positioned to manage through things like supply chain disruptions or bring power marketing capabilities to bear haven't had the ability to acquire for value in 2022 like we have.

[Robert Hope, Scotiabank]

Appreciate that, thank you. And then maybe the second question is just on your other growth initiatives. So it does appear like that has been cast a little bit wider into the transition arena. That being said on a - looks like a disciplined manner. When you're evaluating these new opportunities Westinghouse look like will characterize long duration cash flows, but maybe the next phase of growth with pure play recycling business, what are kind of the key tenants of risk return contract duration and asset investment are you looking for?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Rob, great question and you're absolutely right. Part of the reason why we love Westinghouse is it's a large scale operating business directly tied to the clean energy transition that if you look at the underlying cash flows, they actually have a lot of parallels to the wind and solar and hydro businesses that we've been investing in for decades. But you're also correct that a smaller, but growing part of our business is more of the energy transition in sustainable solution initiatives.

And what we look for when we expand into those asset classes are really three things. One, there needs to be clear decarbonization objective and the acquisition needs to be motivated by the ability to offer something to our customers that we don't offer them today.

Secondly, the approach we've taken when investing in those businesses. So far is to make very small initial upfront investments that have a strong level of downside protection, but allow us to one, partner with a leader in this space and two, put us in the priority positioned to invest more capital at our discretion if those asset classes in sustainable solutions grow in the future.

Whether it's the recycling business or some of the carbon capture investments we've made. These are small downside protected upfront investments where we have the right to deploy more capital if we see opportunities to build out those sustainable solutions when they are backed by long-term contracts the same way we approach wind and solar.

The last point I would make is while we have made a number of investments in this space in recent quarters, it is important to recognize that we do still feel the single largest growth opportunity for our business is in the build out and acquisition of traditional renewable power asset classes. And that's really been demonstrated by the activity we've seen in the United States over the last 12 months.

[Robert Hope, Scotiabank]

Thank you. Appreciate that.

[Operator]

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Sean Stewart with TD Securities.

[Sean Stewart, TD Securities]

Thank you. Good morning everyone. Wanted to follow-up on the accelerating capital recycling initiatives of mature assets to bolster the liquidity position and crystallize returns. Can you give us additional comments on any focus with respect to technology or region what you're concentrating on where you see the better relative opportunities right now?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Certainly, perhaps the simplest answer is we see the greatest opportunity largely in the sale of wind and solar assets. We certainly have a very rapidly growing platform and whether it's through M&A or through organic development, we're constantly adding more of those assets to our platform, which provides us tremendous flexibility to recycle those assets where we've executed our business plan and they are more mature within our portfolio.

The other characterization we would make is, when we look at some of the assets that we're receiving inbound or interest for that are prime candidates for capital recycling, there is a nice mix right now of mature operating assets. But we're also getting interest in portfolios that include some of our development pipeline or under construction assets.

And the point that we would reemphasize is whether we're selling an operating asset or selling a portfolio that's still has some development and organic growth runway, we're only going to look to sell assets where we've completed our business plan and the initial operating objectives that we set out to do when we acquired the business.

Perhaps the last comment, we do expect to be recycling capital on a global basis in the near term. We largely seen most of the opportunities within the Americas and we would expect some of our capital recycling to be focus there in the next call it six to nine months, but we're also seeing opportunities in other parts of the world.

[Sean Stewart, TD Securities]

Okay, thanks for that Connor. And on the M&A opportunity set you focus more recently on private opportunities. Can you give any updated broader thoughts on valuation trends for private opportunities versus public opportunities given the extended volatility in the latter group any particular focus that you're concentrating on?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Definitely great question, so no doubt - the opportunity set in the public market space for us around potential M&A is higher today than it was six months ago or it was 12 months ago. So we're actively monitoring that space, but the point you've highlighted also - illustrates another dynamic that we're seeing, which is in recent quarters.

We've acquired a number of platforms for value that had a development focus where we thought we could really enhance growth and drive value with our procurement capabilities in our power marketing capabilities and that's led to a more recent focus on development.

I think what we're seeing given the more uncertain - and slightly more volatile public markets and capital markets is we are seeing more opportunities to buy operating assets in the current environment than perhaps we've seen in the last six to nine months. And that's just a, very natural ebb and flow of our business and it would be great to see more opportunities in that space going forward.

[Sean Stewart, TD Securities]

That's useful context. Thanks very much Connor. That's all I had.

[Operator]

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Rupert Merer with National Bank.

[Rupert Merer, National Bank]

Hi, good morning everyone. On the development activity you're looking to build out 10 gigawatts over the next three years. Can you comment on how the supply chain interconnection Qs and offtakes are evolving to support those growth targets?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Certainly, so, great question Rupert. This is something that's been topical for a number of quarters now and we will remain consistent. Managing through supply chain disruptions, we are not immune to that, it is something that has impacted the entire industry, but the way we would classify it for our business is, it is something we have had to dedicate increased resource an increased focus to manage through, but we feel we've managed through it very successfully.

And any disruptions have not had a material impact on our business either in terms of CapEx costs or in terms of the timeline on delivering projects. We're quite proud to state that we've not walked away from any projects during this period of supply chain disruptions. However, perhaps this quarter there is a more positive spin that we are beginning to see light at the end of the tunnel around the ability to more easily procure CapEx in many markets around the world.

There is more capacity coming online. Some of the logistical issues around shipping those components around the world do appear to be easing. And therefore, we feel we've done a great job managing up to this point, but we do expect 2023 to be better than 2022 and that's a nice upside for our business. Another perhaps short answer to your question, we don't see, supply chain disruptions as a risk to delivery on that 10,000 plus megawatts that we expect to bring online.

[Rupert Merer, National Bank]

And with the competitive environment do you see adequate access to interconnection and a fair price to off-takes as well?

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

It's a great question and we're glad you asked it. Interconnection is something that we feel interconnection queue positions is something that we feel has been dramatically undervalued within our sector for years. And when we make investments, particularly on the development side we always take into account where are, those development projects in terms of, their life cycle.

Do they have land secured, do they have permits secured and do they have interconnection grid secured. And this is something we've taken into account whenever we've made an investment in development platforms or actually give an example from earlier this year Urban Grid. We bought this business and we cleared the market and we were thrilled to make that acquisition and one of the under-appreciated benefits of that business is it had a very strong interconnection queue position in the high-value market at PJM.

And already in our early stages of ownership of that business, we've seen the ability to capitalize on that highly valuable and highly scarce interconnection position. So to answer your question yes, we think interconnection is a very important component of the value of a development project and it's something that's increasingly coming into focus across our industry today. But we feel quite proud that it's something we've been focused on for a number of years now, across all the development acquisitions we've made.

[Rupert Merer, National Bank]

Great. Thanks, Connor, I'll leave it there.

[Operator]

Thank you. And your next question comes from the line of David Quezada with Raymond James.

[David Quezada, Raymond James]

Thanks, good morning everyone. My first question. Maybe just kind of a broader question around your renewable deployment strategy in Europe. And I think it was a couple of quarters ago, you talked about accelerating investments in places like Germany. Just curious what you've seen recently in terms of advancement of projects there and momentum you're seeing in that market today.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Certainly. One dynamic, we are seeing in Europe and this will come as a shock to no one is the increased importance and heightened focused on energy security. And well, right now the delivery of gas dominates a lot of the headlines as it pertains to European power markets, something that is happening in a very, very large way is European regions and European authorities are working very hard to accelerate the permitting across Europe to allow for the more rapid build-out of renewables.

Renewables really are the long-term solution to low cost energy and energy security and net zero which is probably the three highest priorities in Europe right now. Where we're seeing that most actively across three of our European businesses is in Sunovis, our solar developer in Germany where we've accelerated the build-out of our development pipeline. Within Azelio which is a large global solar development platform with a significant presence in Europe that is seeing an acceleration of its build-out in Spain. And also within Polenergia that is pulling forward some of its wind and solar build-out in the country.

So we're seeing it very much within our operating businesses and we're taking that into account as we review new growth opportunities and M&A opportunities as well.

[David Quezada, Raymond James]

Excellent, thanks for that color. Connor, appreciate it. Maybe just one more from me. On the Westinghouse Acquisition. I'm just curious what kind of timeline and I guess magnitude of opportunity you see with the micro-reactor technology. And if you have any thoughts around which jurisdictions would initially makes sense for that technology.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Certainly. So one of the reasons we love Westinghouse is no matter where nuclear grows, Westinghouse is poised to benefit. If the growth comes from upgrades for life extensions of existing power generation plants, Westinghouse is well positioned to benefit from that. If the growth comes from new build-out of large-scale nuclear reactors, Westinghouse is exceedingly well positioned to benefit from that as the supplier of engineering and products to those build-outs.

And then more in the future as we see more advanced stage nuclear technology focus on SMRs and micro-reactors, Westinghouse has the leading micro-reactor technology and we view them as being in the pole position to capture that market as costs come down and as demand for that technology grows as well.

I would highlight that we view that last bucket as being slightly deferred to the other two, maybe three to five years away, but that doesn't mean we are tremendously excited about it and excited about Westinghouse's pole position in that space.

One parallel that I would draw is, as Westinghouse moves to more smaller scale reactors and potentially micro-reactors to service that growing demand, it really lends itself to a lot of the same capabilities that we have within our renewables business providing power plants that can be contracted directly to an end customer that needs clean energy in a certain region around the world, it has many of the same decentralization and customer-focused dynamics as our distributed generation business, which is obviously something where we've seen lots of upside and lots of growth in recent years.

[David Quezada, Raymond James]

Excellent, thanks for that Connor. I'll turn it over.

[Operator]

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of William Grippin with UBS.

[William Grippin, UBS]

All right, great, thank you very much. Just my first question. Touched on this earlier, but I was hoping you could provide maybe a bit more color on the investment in the U.S. recycling business, what made an investment there attractive to Brookfield. And then maybe you could discuss the timing of that transaction just given the recent sharp decline in recycled commodity values that we've seen.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Certainly. So maybe just to take a step back on that investment in particular. Why we like it, has many similar dynamics to development of wind and solar. Obviously, there is a clear decarbonization angle. But really what the opportunity there is not dissimilar to when we buy a renewables developer, this business has an existing asset base, but a very large development pipeline of modular recycling facilities, material recycling facilities, sorry. They have the potential to build out.

Now they will only build out those facilities if they can secure a long-term contract that really derisks the construction and the long-term cash flows of those assets once we build them out. So once again a very direct parallel to the investment profile that we're familiar with.

And then secondly, the point that we would reiterate is simply around our ability to increasingly figure our customers decarbonization needs. One thing that we are very, very happy with is the value proposition we have in the United States right now. That quite frankly for our customers we think it's tough to match, whether it's on green energy. Now we can provide green power across any asset type wind, solar, hydro or DG in any region.

If it's a customer that has emissions that are tough to abate that want to look to reduce emissions through the use of carbon capture, we can give them that. If it's a customer that has needs for raw materials and they want to focus on recycled materials as opposed to virgin materials, we now have an avenue to do that as well.

So as we think about these new asset classes, it's really about servicing our customers. Well, executing on the same risk adjusted return and investment profile that's been very familiar to our business for a number of years.

[William Grippin, UBS]

Appreciate that. And just last one from me, could just speak broadly to what you're seeing in terms of asset prices for traditional operating renewable energy projects. And have evaluation started to come down just to reflect the higher rate environment that we're in.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Will provide a very balanced answer on this. Valuations have yet to come down for private market transactions, but let's be clear we fully expect that they will at some point. Rates can continue to rise and valuations stay cemented where they've been for the last couple of years. So we're certainly taking that into account. But to date there has been a number of very recent high-profile transactions in the renewable space and I think it would be very tough to make an argument that valuations have come down yet.

The other point that we would highlight is, when we think of where we buy or build versus where we think we can sell, that development margin or that operating improvement margin we haven't seen that shrink. So even if power or interest rates cause let's say the price of long-term contracted operating assets decline a little bit maybe returns going up a little bit, we are seeing development returns go up a proportionate amount as well. So we're still capturing the same amount of development margin or improvement margin, which means capital recycling continues to be a very value accretive way to grow our business.

[William Grippin, UBS]

All right. Appreciate you taking my questions. Thanks very much.

[Operator]

Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions. So with that, I'll hand the call back over to CEO, Connor Teskey for any closing remarks.

[Connor Teskey, CEO]

Great, well thank you everyone for dialing in to today's call. We as always appreciate your interest and support of Brookfield Renewable, and we look forward to updating you with our year-end results after the end of Q4. Have a great day.

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating and you may now disconnect.