Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp
NYSE:BAH

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Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp
NYSE:BAH
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Price: 149.22 USD -0.44% Market Closed
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2024 Analysis
Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp

Robust Q2 Drives Raised FY2024 Guidance

Booz Allen delivered another robust quarter with total revenue growing 16% to $2.7 billion. The demand for services and headcount growth were significant, leading to strong performance, particularly in Defense and Civil businesses, growing 24% and 17% respectively. Despite this, a 45% decline in the Global Commercial business due to a prior divestiture was noted. The confidence in strategic execution bolstered the fiscal year 2024 revenue growth guidance to 11%-14%, with organic growth at 10%-13%. Adjusted EBITDA margin outlook remains steady at high 10% to 11%, while EBITDA dollar guidance was increased to $1.115-$1.145 billion. Even with the possibility of a partial government shutdown, the firm anticipates overcoming fiscal challenges and maintaining momentum.

Strong Revenue Growth and Diverse Market Performance

The company reported a robust quarter with a 16% year-over-year increase in revenue, amounting to approximately $2.7 billion. This striking top-line performance, powered by a strong demand for their services and steady growth in headcount, showcased the company's substantial strength across their portfolio. Notably, revenue from the Defense business soared by about 24%, while the Civil business also impressed with a 17% increase. The Intelligence sector exhibited a 4% growth, overcoming the impact of a phased-out large classified contract.

Bookings, Backlog, and Pipeline Indicate Future Growth

The company experienced a dynamic quarter in terms of bookings, with net bookings totaling around $6.4 billion, which included major contracts like the $1.6 billion DMAC contract. The backlog reached a record $35 billion, signifying a 10.1% year-over-year growth to support the company's near-term and medium-term objectives. The company's fiscal year 2024 qualified pipeline has also risen by 35% compared to last year, reaching a substantial $26.2 billion.

Headcount Increase Exceeds Expectations

The company's workforce grew significantly, surpassing the forecasted full-year target with 11.2% year-over-year growth in client staff headcount. As a testament to their successful hiring and deployment efforts, the increase in client staff since the beginning of the fiscal year has been 4%, positioning the company to outdo their projected growth of 3% to 5%.

EBITDA Shows Growth Despite Margin Compression

Adjusted EBITDA rose to $291 million, a 1.6% improvement from the previous year's second quarter. Although EBITDA margin saw a 150 basis point drop to 10.9%, due primarily to a higher billable expense ratio and a shift in contract mix, the company remains on track with their EBITDA dollar growth objective.

Flat Net Income and Adjusted EPS Decline

With a flat net income year-over-year at $171 million and a slight decrease in adjusted net income by 4.9%, the company observed diluted earnings per share growth of 0.8% to $1.29. Adjusted diluted earnings per share, however, saw a dip of 3.7% to the same value.

Raised Full-Year Guidance Despite Potential Government Shutdown

The company raised its full-year revenue growth guidance to 11% to 14%, with organic growth expected to comprise the majority. Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance remains the same, with expectations ranging from the high 10% to 11%. Significantly, this optimism persists even as they have accounted for the likelihood of a multi-week government shutdown into their guidance.

Adjustments to Financial Projections

The adjusted guidance for EBITDA dollars is now set between $1.115 billion and $1.145 billion, indicating a 10% to 13% growth from the preceding year. The company anticipates capital expenditures of about $85 million and a free cash flow between $75 million to $175 million, while maintaining its operating cash flow projection of $160 million to $260 million.

Optimism About AI Business and Diverse Sector Growth

The company's AI business is projected to bring in $500 million to $700 million this fiscal year, with expected growth across Defense, Intelligence, and Civil agencies. The unique and proprietary solutions offered, coupled with dual-use technology partnerships, set the company apart and align with the company's bullish outlook despite budget uncertainties and the potential for a government shutdown.

Evolving Business Model and Margin Expansion Potential

Corporate strategy includes shifting cost and investment from infrastructure to the business itself, potentially leading to increased margins. This strategic maneuver reflects the company's intentional efforts for future margin expansion compared to current sales growth trends.

Resilient Organic Growth

With an exceptional organic growth of 15% in the first half of the fiscal year, the company has focused on momentum and resilience, attributes that are especially vital amidst potential funding uncertainties. The resilience comes through their VoLT strategy, which has contributed to the company's readiness for a variety of fiscal scenarios.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q2

from 0
Operator

Good morning. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Booz Allen Hamilton's earnings call covering second quarter fiscal year 2024 results. [Operator Instructions] I'd now like to turn the call over to Mr. Nathan Rutledge.

N
Nathan Rutledge
executive

Good morning, and thank you for joining us for Booz Allen's Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Call. We hope you've had an opportunity to read the press release we issued earlier this morning. We have also provided presentation slides on our website and are now on Slide 2.

With me today to talk about our business and financial results are Horacio Rozanski, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Matt Calderone, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As shown in disclaimer on Slide 3, please keep in mind that some of the items we will discuss this morning are forward-looking and may relate to future events or future financial performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from forecasted results discussed in our SEC filings and on this call. All forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by the foregoing cautionary statements and speak only as of the date made. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

During today's call, we will also discuss some non-GAAP financial measures and other metrics, which we believe provide useful information for investors. We include an explanation of adjustments and other reconciliations of our non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures in our second quarter fiscal year 2024 earnings release and slides. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to our CEO and President, Horacio Rozanski. We are now on Slide 4.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Thank you, Nathan, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining the call. Today, Matt and I have the privilege of discussing with you another quarter of Booz Allen's market-leading performance. But before we get to that, I would like to open this call as I have done several times in the past by putting our work in the context of world events.

On October 7, the world was shocked by a murderous terrorist attack, perpetrated by Hamas on the people of Israel. We, at Booz Allen, stand in mourning and solidarity with Israel, the victims and their families. We pray for the safe return of all the hostages and would stand side by side with the U.S. government in condemnation of Hamas, in support of Israel's defense and in the protection of all civilians.

In the intervening weeks, Booz Allen has done what we do best, we have conducted listening sessions, creating spaces to support our colleagues in mourning or afraid for both their Israeli and Palestinian loved ones living in the region. We have launched a match giving campaign. And importantly, we have supported our U.S. clients' missions. Because this is personal for me too, I have felt the warm embrace of the entire Booz Allen community. I am so proud and so grateful to each one of my colleagues for showing the best of Booz Allen at a time of crisis and loss.

This morning, I felt it was important to share this with you for 2 reasons. First, because these horrendous events remind us of the urgency of our work, bringing leading-edge technology to critical missions in the hope of preventing and deterring things like this from ever happening; and second, because our internal response is yet another reminder of the unique culture and people of Booz Allen. They are the unshakable foundation for our exceptional performance decade after decade.

So turning now to performance. Our second quarter of fiscal year 2024 was outstanding. Our Booz Allen team once again delivered industry-leading organic revenue growth, a strong bottom line and record backlog. On our last earnings call, we emphasize the importance of having a strong second quarter.

Our results show we succeeded. We built resiliency in the business and enter the second half of the fiscal year with significant momentum even as the uncertainty about the federal budget persists. We now expect to exceed our original plan for this fiscal year. As a result, we are pleased to announce an increase to our top and bottom line guidance for fiscal year 2024. Matt will take you through it and also a deep dive on our performance in a few minutes.

My goal for today is to connect our performance with our strategy and longer-term financial objectives. We are halfway through the 3-year investment thesis outlined in late 2021 and deep into the implementation of VoLT. So this seems like a good moment to pause to take stock and to offer a self-appraisal of our progress.

I'll begin by going back to what we said at our Investor Day in October 2021. At that point, we saw an extraordinary opportunity. We expected emerging technologies such as AI, cyber, 5G and quantum to rapidly transform how our government operates over this decade. And we said our first mover advantage positioned us to maximize this opportunity to accelerate our growth, to take our industry leadership to the next level and to drive outstanding shareholder value.

At that time, we also laid out a multiyear investment thesis centered on growing adjusted EBITDA by about 50% from $840 million in fiscal year 2021 to approximately $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion in fiscal year 2025. We envision the path to accomplish this goal that included above-market organic revenue growth in the range of 5% to 8% annually, adjusted EBITDA margins in the mid-10s. We continued investment capacity for future growth, and $3.5 billion to $4.5 billion in total capital deployment, prioritizing small to midsized strategic acquisitions.

Simply put, we are ahead of our expected pace at the midpoint of our investment thesis period. Our organic revenue growth of 9% in fiscal year 2023 and 15.7% in the first half of fiscal year '24 is well above the target range. And we have done this while investing in the business and maintaining margins above our original expectation.

Our extraordinary organic performance has put us on a path to achieve our adjusted EBITDA target with far less capital deployment than we initially thought would be required. Today, we are pleased to reaffirm the adjusted EBITDA range of $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion by fiscal year 2025. And importantly, we expect to reach our goals while building an even stronger balance sheet.

As of now, we are decreasing our baseline capital deployment expectations to $2 billion to $3.5 billion, which is approximately $1 billion less than we had initially anticipated. This provides us with the additional balance sheet capacity to create shareholder value over the next 18 months and beyond.

As the world, the financial markets and the federal budget become more volatile in the coming years, we are positioning Booz Allen to serve clients with distinction while investing in future growth avenues. These are the keys to growing and rewarding our talent and creating superior shareholder value. Moreover, these outstanding results demonstrate our VoLT growth strategy is working. VoLT stands for velocity, leadership and technology. And over the past 18 months, we moved rapidly to implement.

Booz Allen needed to transform itself to gain the speed and scale required to serve our clients' evolving needs. To do this, we aim to get faster in our decision-making and operations. We also set out to build and scale leading positions that transform missions through the use of new technologies.

Today, our aspirations are becoming our reality. Let me offer 2 examples. First, the meteoric rise of AI proves our readiness to deliver a greater speed and scale. As great power competition, demands accelerated adoption of AI across every facet of the federal government, we are positioned to respond to our clients' complex needs.

Earlier this month, we hosted some of you at our Helix Center for Innovation. We showed you how we are combining our exceptional talent, diverse ecosystem of innovation partners and trusted frameworks to create differentiated AI solutions. We can rapidly tailor our proven solutions to insert AI into a range of critical missions, from empowering the war fighter at the edge, to improving health outcomes. And we see significant opportunities ahead to expand and deepen our impact as we continue integrating AI with other technologies.

The second example of VoLT's successful implementation is how we continue to transform our existing businesses to stay at the leading edge. Booz Allen Cyber business and our recent $1.86 billion award of Thunderdome illustrate this very well. Through this work, we combined our historical strengths in cyber tradecraft and mission understanding with our ability to leverage key commercial technologies into scalable solutions. Thunderdome puts Booz Allen at the center of CISA's effort to implement a zero trust architecture across the Department of Defense's complex technical infrastructure. This is a critical task, demanding all of Booz Allen's and our tech partners, talent and ingenuity. As we continue to scale this work, we expected to create opportunities to extend elements of this solution across the whole federal government and beyond. This is VoLT in action.

To close, I am extremely proud of the progress we have made towards our ambitious goals over the past 18 months. The results we shared today increase Booz Allen's resilience as our market and federal budget environment grow more uncertain. We are taking our leadership position to a new level and increasing our impact across the most critical and enduring missions.

The amazing people of Booz Allen work relentlessly, relentlessly on behalf of our clients and our nation. Their passion to make the world better and safer fills me with optimism about the future. It invigorates my belief that we can empower people to change the world. And with that, Matt, over to you.

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Thank you, Horacio, and thanks to all of you for joining our call. The Booz Allen team delivered another exceptional quarter. Our success across the portfolio in shaping demand and capturing opportunities, in hiring and deploying talent on to contracts and most important, in serving our clients' mission, sets us up very well for the remainder of this fiscal year and beyond.

Booz Allen prides itself on delivering for our clients, our people and our shareholders quarter after quarter and year after year. We are proud to be in a position today to raise our fiscal year 2024 guidance. Our team continues to build both momentum and resiliency for the long term. And as Horacio noted, we are ahead of where we expected to be against the adjusted EBITDA dollar goal in our 3-year investment thesis. Now let's dive into the specifics of our second quarter performance. Please turn to Slide 6. Total revenue for the quarter grew 16% year-over-year to approximately $2.7 billion. Organic revenue was up 14.8% year-over-year. Revenue excluding billable expenses increased 14.1% year-over-year to approximately $1.8 billion.

Our exceptional top line performance continues to be driven by strong demand for our services and solutions and steady headcount growth. Our business continues to exhibit strength across the portfolio. Across all markets, we are seeing the results of our leaders embracing the VoLT strategy.

Our defense business is thriving with revenue up approximately 24%, compared to the second quarter last fiscal year. Growth in this market is broad-based. We continue to bring technology and tradecraft to critical national missions. Our Civil business revenue was up roughly 17% year-over-year, with strong performance across the board.

Our intelligence business grew 4% year-over-year and has almost entirely absorbed the roll-off of a large, classified contract. We had a number of significant new wins in the first half of the year and are very encouraged by the progress our leaders have made in hiring cleared talent and evolving this portfolio.

Finally, our global commercial business, which accounted for 1% of revenue in the quarter declined, approximately 45% year-over-year, reflecting the divestitures disclosed last fiscal year.

Moving on to bookings. The award environment remains robust. The second quarter is historically our strongest for bookings. This quarter, net bookings totaled approximately $6.4 billion. This includes $1.1 billion of the $1.86 billion Thunderdome contract award and the full value of the recently awarded $1.6 billion DMAC contract.

Our second quarter book-to-bill was 2.41x, in line with the same period a year ago and our trailing 12-month book-to-bill was 1.29x. Total backlog as of September 30 grew to a record $35 billion, up 10.1% year-over-year. Funded backlog increased 14.7% to $6.3 billion. Unfunded backlog dipped 2.4% to $10.1 billion and priced options grew 16.6% to $18.6 billion.

Looking forward, we continue to execute on a rich pipeline of opportunities. Our fiscal year 2024 qualified pipeline is up 35% compared to this time last year and stands at $26.2 billion. In sum, we have both the awards and the pipeline to support our near-term and medium-term growth objectives.

Turning now to headcount. Booz Allen grew to more than 33,000 people strong at the end of September. Client staff headcount was 11.2% higher on a year-over-year basis. Total headcount increased 10.3%. Hiring, onboarding and deploying talent onto contracts continues to be a top priority. These efforts have yielded a 4% increase in client staff since the beginning of the fiscal year and we remain in a growth posture. Therefore, today, we are well positioned to exceed our full year target of 3% to 5% client staff headcount growth.

Moving now to the bottom line. We earned $291 million in adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter. This is 1.6% higher than the second quarter last year and in line with our expectations for the quarter. Our principal focus remains on EBITDA dollar growth. Our adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.9% was approximately 150 basis points lower than the same period a year ago.

On a year-over-year basis, margins in the quarter were diluted by a higher billable expense ratio and a small shift in contract mix towards cost reimbursable work due to the rapid growth in our defense business. We continue to manage costs and execute contracts exceptionally well, which allows us to both deliver financial results in the near term and invest for the long term.

This year, we do expect a slightly flatter pattern of quarterly margins compared to recent years. Second quarter net income was roughly flat year-over-year at $171 million. This was in line with our expectations for the quarter. Adjusted net income declined 4.9% year-over-year to $169 million. Diluted earnings per share grew 0.8% year-over-year to $1.29. Adjusted diluted earnings per share declined 3.7% year-over-year to $1.29.

Moving now to the balance sheet. We ended the second quarter with $557 million of cash on hand. This includes proceeds from the successful investment-grade bond offering that we executed in August. Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $64.3 million. The result of $47.4 million used for operating activities and $16.9 million of CapEx.

Note that in July, we paid out the previously discussed settlement with the Department of Justice. Excluding that payment, operating cash flow was up almost 12% year-over-year. Collections were solid for the quarter, but cash outflows remained high due to our rapid growth and continued investments in the business. Our net debt at the end of the second quarter was approximately $2.9 billion, and our net leverage ratio was approximately 2.7x adjusted EBITDA.

Turning to Slide 8. During the second quarter, we returned approximately $143 million of capital to shareholders. This included approximately $81 million in share repurchases at an average price of $116.98 per share and $62 million in quarterly cash dividends. Today, I am pleased to announce that our Board has approved a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share that will be payable on December 4 to stockholders of record as of November 15.

As Horacio noted, September 30 marked both the midpoint of our current fiscal year and the halfway point of our 3-year investment thesis. Our leadership team could not be prouder of our performance to date. On our last call, we highlighted 3 things that would be key to our full year performance: second quarter bookings, second quarter headcount growth, and the potential for a government shutdown.

Our bookings and headcount growth in the quarter exceeded expectations, but there is still uncertainty about government funding beyond November. Thus, our updated guidance incorporates both the momentum we have built and the strong possibility of a multi-week government shutdown. We have built the assumption of a 2- to 4-week partial government shutdown into our guidance ranges.

On this front, we continue to hope for certainty, but plan for volatility. It is significant that we are raising full year guidance even with this assumption of a multi-week partial government shutdown.

Let me now take you through our updated fiscal year 2024 guidance. Please turn to Slide 9. At the top line, we now expect revenue growth of 11% to 14%. 10% to 13% of which will be organic. And we do expect billable expenses will decline in the second half. Our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is unchanged. We still expect margins to be in the high 10% to 11% range. As I noted earlier, we anticipate our margin profile for the full year will be flatter than it has been in recent years, even with our traditional ramp-up of investment in talent and capability building in the second half.

We are raising our adjusted EBITDA dollar guidance to between $1.115 billion and $1.145 billion or approximately 10% to 13% growth year-over-year. We are increasing our ADEPS guidance to a range of $4.95 to $5.10 per share. We are maintaining our operating cash flow guidance at between $160 million and $260 million. This includes the impact of higher interest payments connected to our recent bond issuance.

We now expect CapEx of approximately $85 million and free cash flow to be in the range of $75 million to $175 million. In sum, our business is strong and our growth strategy is working. Our management team is excited about the momentum we feel, the great work we are doing, and the value we are creating for our people, our clients and our investors. With that, operator, let's open the line for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Mariana Perez Mora from Bank of America.

M
Mariana Perez Mora
analyst

So my question was around AI. It was really impressive to see all the applications that you have on AI at the edge. And I'd like you to discuss how much growth you see there. And how dependent is this expansion or the timing of this on a budget situation?

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Mariana, it's good to hear Argentinian accent this early in the morning, not be the only one. Well, I think as you know from the conversations we had with Helix a couple of weeks ago, our business this year is forecasted our AI business in the $500 million to $700 million range, and we see significant growth over the coming years. And that growth is broad-based. We talk a lot, and we talk on these calls about the work we're doing in defense. But our work in intelligence and our work across the civil agencies on AI is also growing well. And as you saw, we have some unique solutions that are the product of our talent, some frameworks that are proprietary to Booz Allen and work we do with commercial partners to bring dual-use technology into these missions that I think set us apart. So we are very bullish about the future.

To your question about budgets, clearly, we are looking very closely at what's happening on the Hill. As Matt pointed out, we are, at this point, making into our guidance the potential for a government shutdown. We hope it won't happen, but we need to be realistic about that. And we need to be realistic about the fact that if budgets compress in the future, the competition for resources across every federal agency will increase.

Now having said that, from our perspective, VoLT has put us in the middle of key enduring missions where we're bringing unique capabilities and that's why we're both raising guidance and reaffirming that we're ahead of pace to deliver on our multiyear investment thesis. So we feel really good about where we are.

M
Mariana Perez Mora
analyst

And how much of your growth has insulated from -- in the near term from these like budget certainty? So said otherwise, how much upside do you have in the near term if you were to have a budget, call it, like early next year?

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

It's hard to predict precisely. We've tried to incorporate that in the way we -- that's why guidance is a range as opposed to -- and really it's a broader range these years than it's been in the past to accommodate more scenarios. I think maybe the thing to point you to is the fact that because the budget passed last December we saw the ability to work against a lot of latent underlying demand in the business. And that's why we're growing as well as we're growing now, and we've had the success that we've had. I mean, this is really -- I've been around for a long time, as you know, probably the best first half. I've seen, at least since the IPO, possibly best first half we've had in my 30-plus years at Booz Allen. So clearly, there's momentum in the business. We're building resilience in the business in anticipation of funding challenges, but we are pedal to the metal.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Bert Subin from Stifel.

B
Bert Subin
analyst

Just to follow up to Mariana's question there. At your AI end event, you provided data around headcount and sales expectations just for the business across Booz. Those expectations indicated lower utilization of your AI workforce just relative to your broader client-facing staff. How quickly should we expect revenue utilization to rise across AI? And how does that make you think about the growth opportunity beyond FY '24? Horacio, I know you said you're bullish, but is that something that can flip pretty quickly?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Bert, I'll take it first. Look, I think we showed you, as you said, we arranged the business from a revenue perspective and told you how many AI practitioners we have. It's not purely apples-to-apples because we have AI projections that are supporting on AI projects and vice versa. Our AI folks are probably less utilized than the rest of the business because we're investing a significant amount in that business. There are a lot of folks who have building capabilities, supporting innovation, driving our AI governance model, et cetera. But we see significant growth there, not just from those staff, but from the broader set of staff that we're training and upskilling from a technology perspective.

The other thing I'll mention, it's relevant both to your question and to Mariana's is we also highlighted at the AI and Event, the extent to which AI is now being bundled into large procurements. And the success we're having when that, in fact, happens. Increasingly, we're seeing not just for AI, but for cyber, for digital, for some of the hardware engineering and integration that we do that is bundled together because if you think about a complex mission problem, it requires AI to enable it, cyber to protect it. You got to integrate it into a software and network system. Oftentimes, it has to be integrated into some type of hardware product. So I wouldn't just think about AI from a traditional perspective. It really is having a much broader impact across the base of our business and is being integrated into the technology stacks we have with large.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Let me add 2 small points to what Matt said, which very much resonates. One point is we -- if you look at the level of investment that we're putting into AI is relatively modest to the success that we're having. And a lot of that is because we start early on these technologies, and we wait and we plan and we position so that the ones that go exponential, we can -- like AI has, we can stay ahead of the trend, and we are still ahead of the game there, and that's really exciting. And then the second point, I'll point you back at the intergalactic level to the power of our single P&L and the ability to really manage resources as an institution as opposed to in small buckets, which give us the opportunity to flex our workforce in a way that is pretty unique to Booz Allen and that gives us all the growth that we're talking about.

B
Bert Subin
analyst

Super helpful, Horacio and Matt. Just a follow-up for you, Matt, maybe thinking more about the cost structure, maybe not directly related to AI, but partially your G&A expense, at least as a percentage of your sales continues to fall and is growing certainly much slower than your sales growth. Can we expect that to be an engine for future margin expansion? Or is that something that normalizes over time?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

It could generate more margins, but really, this has been intentional over the past few years, we're shifting cost and investment from the infrastructure into the business. I mean, as Horacio said, relative to some of the hyperscale scalers, our investment in AI is modest, but we're investing a lot of money there. So it has been a very intentional structured effort led by all of our business leaders to become as efficient as possible on the corporate side so we can invest in the business and in growth and in the capabilities our clients want.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Sheila Kahyaoglu from Jefferies.

S
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analyst

When we think about your organic growth, just to start on that, organic growth 15% in the first half, really great results, defense up 24%, another acceleration. How much of that is due to improving DoD outlays? And maybe if you could remind us your expectations across the different customer bases for the year in terms of the top line.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Sheila, I'll start. Matt might want to add. I'll say the following. When you look across the entirety of our business: defense, civil and Intel, 24%, 17%, 4 plus percent growth while absorbing the changes in the contract portfolio. It's really broad-based. We are hitting on all cylinders across all of this. It's not one program. It's not one piece. It's not one dynamic. I think in general, it's attributable all to VoLT. VoLT is giving us both momentum and resiliency. The momentum is evident in the numbers and in the fact that we're raising guidance while accounting for the potential for a government shutdown, and the resiliency is equally important because to your point, I mean, we do see increased uncertainty in the funding picture.

At this point, we continue to see clients moving aggressively against our key priorities. In other cycles like this, we have seen clients maybe pull back in anticipation. It perhaps is because of the missions we support, perhaps it's because of the geopolitical dynamics and the uniqueness of our offerings that we're still seeing that. But we are both growing fast and running tightly so that we can create the environment in which we're going to continue to both invest and protect our workforce if the budgets get tight or get interrupted for a period of time. So we're excited about where we are across all the markets in defense, in particular, like I said, I mean, every part of our defense business is growing nicely. It is the only way to get to 24%, and it is really transformed to grow along the lines of bringing technology to mission.

S
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analyst

No, that's super helpful color.

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

It's 10% to 13% organic growth for the year, we're growing above market, clearly. But as Horacio said, it's the quality of the underlying growth and the depth of that, that really has us excited because it gives us not just the momentum, but the resiliency to ride out potential dislocations in the budgetary environment.

S
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analyst

And Matt, just another follow-up for you, if I may. Can you talk about the accounts receivable balance in terms of the cash. How we should expect sort of working capital improvements from here on that balance and also the impact to revenues, how we should see that progression?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Sure. I'll take that in a couple of parts. First, and you've talked about the puts and takes on cash for a couple of calls now. On the positive side, we're certainly generating more profit. Our CapEx has declined, and we've improved collections. But there are headwinds. The DOJ settlement, obviously, higher cash taxes driven by our growth in 174, higher interest expense. And as you mentioned, our outsized growth, we are consuming working capital to support it. I mean, just to give you one example, we're required to pay small businesses within 30 days.

And so as we're growing, we're typically paying them faster than we're collecting. With respect to our outstanding receivable balance, I think you're getting at the question of some of the unbilled receivables on our balance sheet because you've asked that previously. We are working -- a meaningful portion of that is tied up with -- in past your audits. We are working with DCA and DCMA, both well and quickly to try to resolve that. It's going to be likely a multiyear process, but things are going well. And at this time, we have no ability to project what's when and how that will be resolved.

S
Sheila Kahyaoglu
analyst

And just on the revenue line, I think that you called out $18 million from the reduction of the provision. So those should be conceived as positive as you sort of retrieve those payments. Is that how to think about it?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Yes. I mean that in particular has to do with -- it changed our [Indiscernible] reserve we made relative to our '22 audit and the results of '22 audit, but there are going to be puts and takes over the next couple of quarters, next couple of years as we work to resolve these. So it was a positive this quarter. We're not making any predictions about future quarters.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Louie DiPalma from William Blair.

L
Louie Dipalma
analyst

Horacio and Matt, you forecast lower capital deployment through fiscal '25. Has your VoLT and your venture capital program been so successful and selling price is so high that you are no longer interested in another Liberty-sized acquisition? And are you signaling more stock buybacks with the extra capital now?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Yes. Thanks for the question. I'll start. I'm sure Horacio want to comment. I mean, obviously, when we put the investment thesis in place 2 years ago, the world was a different place. It was a different interest rate environment. M&A market was much more robust and less political and macroeconomic risk. Strategic M&A very much remains a priority for us. It's an important tool in rounding out our ability to bring technology to mission at scale. To your question, we're getting a lot of value out of our venture investments, but they don't tend to not be at the kind of scale that you get from Liberty. So exclusively, I would absolutely do the Liberty acquisition again, and we're looking for the next one.

We've got a sizable pipeline of small to midsize tuck-ins that we're prosecuting. And the range of $2 billion to $3.5 billion can still accommodate a significant amount of M&A activity over the next 18 months. I think we've only deployed slightly over $1.2 billion in the first 18 months. We're going to remain patient, disciplined as always, in our approach. But that we can meet the adjusted EBITDA target in the investment thesis, while deploying less capital than anticipated really as a testament to organic performance. And it just gives us a lot of flexibility to create additional value for shareholders. So I would not read into any change in our strategy. It's just a reflection of where we are.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Cai von Rumohr from Cowen.

C
Cai Von Rumohr
analyst

Good quarter. So Matt, you mentioned that you booked $1.1 billion of the $1.8 billion on the Thunderdome. What did you guys book on the $630 million space force award and the $1.7 billion CDC award?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Yes. Cai, I believe I said in the remarks, we booked all the DMAC award CDC, and I believe we booked all of the space award as well. Thunderdome is going to be incrementally awarded. So we only booked $1.1 billion of the $1.85 billion there.

C
Cai Von Rumohr
analyst

Got it. And can you comment about near-term bookings prospects? In particular, big contracts still out there? Or are we looking at more task orders?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

It's a combination, Cai. It's always hard to predict quarter by quarter because as you know, these things can slip in terms of awards and then the protest environment creates some uncertainty. Looking ahead, I don't think we're going to have a historically stellar quarter next quarter. There are a couple of large awards that may or may not happen. We don't have a significant amount of recompete risk in the portfolio in the next 12 months. So as you know, this is why we talk about LTM more than each individual quarter and the LTM of almost 1.3x. And more importantly, our qualified pipeline, which is up 35% year-over-year, says we're really in good shape from a demand perspective.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Cai, just to give you a little color on that, I've had the chance to talk to clients about needs and talk to our team about the work that we're going after. I would say the demand picture for technology into core mission is actually accelerating, not slowing down. And so as Matt said, while it's almost impossible to predict bookings on any given quarter, the demand picture [Indiscernible] significant budget disruption is very strong.

C
Cai Von Rumohr
analyst

Well, last year, you had a 0.1 book-to-bill. So it was particularly weak. Is that going to be the norm that we get this very strong second quarter, which we got this year. And then we should look for a very, very weak near zero Q3? Or is there any opportunity that Q3 could be a little bit better, clearly below 1, but better.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

I think that -- I'll start. I'm sure Matt will want to do color on this one. But I think on the -- first of all, I think this quarter, the last quarter of the government fiscal year, the second quarter for Booz Allen is always the strongest because of just the way in which outlays happen and the way money is obligated through the budgeting cycle. So that will -- that has always been the case that continues to be. As you've seen over the last few years, the rest of the quarters are actually less predictable because they're predicated on when will these big jobs get awarded.

And that process really changes every year. It is really -- I would not take last year and translate into this year directly, as Matt said, there's a lot in the pipeline. It is over $26 billion in the pipeline. So could some of those things hit this year, we would -- at this quarter, we would like them to. But either way, we certainly have the backlog necessary to continue to grow. We have the people here to continue to grow, and we have the momentum to get that done. .

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Yes, Cai, if you look at our leading indicators and by historical measures, we're in as good a shape as we've almost ever been, right? On the demand side, we talked about not just the backlog and the book-to-bill, which is putting backwards, but the proposal pipeline looking forward. On the supply side, at the end of the quarter, our consulting -- our client staff headcount was up over 11%, more than 4% for the first half of the year, which puts us ahead of the pace that we've typically wanted to be in of 3% to 5% headcount growth. And we're managing the business really well.

But there's a lot of volatility out there, right? And I think that's what we're preparing for. And that's why we built in the 2- to 4-week assumption of a partial government shutdown, just to quantify that for you. We said the last shutdown of this scale, which was in 2018 to 2019 cost us about $0.02 to $0.03 at the bottom line. But that shutdown remember, occurred over the holidays, it was limited in scope and was at a time when we were both smaller in size, in aggregate, and we had a meaningful amount of time to make up lost billing hours, which we did. So we're assuming the impact this time will be 3 to 4x that. So again, put that in the context of our overall guidance, where we raised top line 4%, adjusted EBITDA 4% and EPS 3% plus the government shutdown assumption, we're just in a great spot.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Matt Akers from Wells Fargo.

U
Unknown Analyst

This is Eric [Indiscernible] on for Matt. Just wondering if you see the headcount kind of shifted with focus box running off, maybe that's around end of September. I think it's about like 400 people on the program. Do you know like how many you were able to retain and shifts to other work and how many are lost?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

Yes, we've almost completely absorbed, as I said in my prepared remarks, the impact of that contract loss. There's just the small team left doing mission-critical work on that contract from Booz Allen. We had about -- we said we have about 400 people on that contract. We kept more than half and redeployed many of them to mission-critical activities. But pulling up, we said we wanted to go headcount 3% to 5% this year. We're at 4%. And we're really encouraged by the numbers I'm seeing even for this quarter. So that's why I said in the script, we're likely to exceed the 3% to 5% range. And historically, that's been what we need to maintain our organic growth objectives.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. I guess one more on the Section 174 with the updated guidance from IRS. Do you see any impact from that going forward?

M
Matthew Calderone
executive

No.

Operator

At this time, I would now like to turn the conference back over to Horacio Rozanski for closing remarks.

H
Horacio Rozanski
executive

Thank you, Gigi, and thank you all for your questions and for being here this morning. I hope Matt and I successfully conveyed how excited we are about both the momentum and the resilience we see in our business. And also of the opportunities that are ahead for our people, for our clients and for all of our investors. If you'll indulge me for a moment, I'd like to close the call by calling out our annual innovation publication called Velocity, which is now available on our website, and this year is fully centered on artificial intelligence. In this year's Velocity, you get to hear from Booz Allen experts and from our industry partners, on the ubiquity of AI, it's transformative capabilities, how to harness it for good and a lot more. So I hope you'll enjoy reading it, and we would love to hear your feedback. And on that note, thank you again for joining, and have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.