Autozone Inc
NYSE:AZO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AZO stock under the Base Case scenario is 2 453.9 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3 099.38 USD, Autozone Inc is Overvalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Autozone Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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AutoZone Inc., a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket, has carved a significant niche in the U.S. and beyond since its inception in 1979. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company primarily sells automotive parts, accessories, and maintenance items to both DIY customers and professional installers through its robust network of over 6,000 stores. With a well-established brand and a commitment to customer service, AutoZone has built a loyal customer base that values reliable products and knowledgeable staff. Its strategic investments in inventory management and advanced technology allow for optimized supply chain operations, ensuring that products are readily available when cu...
AutoZone Inc., a leading retailer in the automotive aftermarket, has carved a significant niche in the U.S. and beyond since its inception in 1979. Headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the company primarily sells automotive parts, accessories, and maintenance items to both DIY customers and professional installers through its robust network of over 6,000 stores. With a well-established brand and a commitment to customer service, AutoZone has built a loyal customer base that values reliable products and knowledgeable staff. Its strategic investments in inventory management and advanced technology allow for optimized supply chain operations, ensuring that products are readily available when customers need them the most.
Investors looking at AutoZone should note its consistent financial performance bolstered by a strong growth trajectory. The company's unique model allows it to leverage both retail and commercial lines, tapping into the growing trend of vehicle maintenance and repair, especially as cars age. AutoZone's steady revenue growth, impressive return on equity, and efficient capital allocation underscore its operational excellence. Furthermore, the company's commitment to innovation—including an expanding e-commerce presence—positions it well in a competitive landscape. With a robust balance sheet and a proven ability to generate free cash flow, AutoZone not only showcases resilience but also signifies potential for future growth, making it a compelling consideration for investors keen on stability in the automotive sector.
AutoZone Inc. is a leading retailer and distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories in the United States. Its core business segments can be categorized as follows:
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Retail Parts:
- This segment primarily involves the sale of auto parts, products, and accessories directly to consumers. AutoZone operates numerous retail stores where customers can purchase items ranging from batteries, brakes, and filters to oil and other maintenance products. The retail segment is focused on providing DIY customers with the parts and tools they need for vehicle repairs.
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Commercial Sales:
- This segment caters to professional mechanics and commercial businesses that require automotive parts in larger quantities. AutoZone offers a range of services tailored for commercial customers, including next-day delivery, bulk purchasing options, and specialized inventory management solutions for auto repair shops and fleet operators.
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e-Commerce:
- AutoZone has increasingly invested in its online presence, allowing customers to browse, purchase, and schedule in-store pickups or deliveries. This segment has grown in importance, especially as consumer preferences shift towards online shopping. The e-commerce platform enhances customer accessibility to parts and services.
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Distribution and Logistics:
- AutoZone operates several distribution centers that enable efficient logistics and inventory management for its retail and commercial segments. This ensures that stores have the necessary inventory on hand and can respond quickly to customer demands.
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Private Label Products:
- AutoZone offers a variety of private label products, which often compete with branded alternatives. These products typically provide value through competitive pricing while maintaining quality standards, helping to enhance margins and customer loyalty.
Overall, these core business segments enable AutoZone to maintain a strong market position in the automotive aftermarket industry, appealing to both DIY consumers and professional installers. The company’s emphasis on customer service, product availability, and convenience continues to drive its growth and profitability.
AutoZone Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the automotive aftermarket retail industry:
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Strong Brand Reputation: AutoZone has established a solid brand presence synonymous with reliable parts and services. This trust fosters customer loyalty and repeat business.
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Extensive Product Range: The company offers a comprehensive selection of automotive parts, accessories, and maintenance products. This large inventory allows it to cater to a wide customer base, including DIY consumers and professional mechanics.
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Nationwide Store Network: With thousands of locations across the United States, AutoZone provides convenient access to its products. This widespread presence helps it attract customers who prefer in-person shopping.
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Customer Service Focus: AutoZone is known for its knowledgeable staff who provide exceptional customer service. This personalized attention can enhance the shopping experience, making it more likely for customers to return.
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Data-Driven Inventory Management: The company utilizes sophisticated data analytics to manage inventory effectively. This helps ensure that popular items are always in stock while minimizing excess inventory, improving operational efficiency.
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Online and Mobile Integration: AutoZone has developed robust online platforms and mobile applications, allowing customers to order parts online for in-store pickup or delivery. This omnichannel approach enhances customer convenience.
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DIY Learning Resources: AutoZone offers various resources, such as how-to guides and instructional videos, which empower customers to perform repairs themselves. This initiative supports its brand as a go-to resource for automotive needs.
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Commercial Business Segment: AutoZone has made inroads into the commercial market, serving professional repair shops with bulk parts and services. This diversification helps increase revenue streams and reduces dependence on retail sales.
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Loyalty Programs: The company has established loyalty programs that encourage repeat purchases, fostering customer relationships and retention.
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Strong Financial Position: AutoZone's financial strength, characterized by solid revenue and profit margins, enables it to invest in technology, store improvements, and marketing initiatives effectively compared to rivals.
These competitive advantages collectively enhance AutoZone's market position and help it maintain a leading role in the automotive retail sector.
AutoZone Inc, like any major retailer in the automotive parts and accessories sector, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Economic Conditions:
- Recession Risks: Economic downturns can lead to reduced consumer spending, affecting sales.
- Inflation: Rising prices for goods and services can squeeze margins and reduce consumer purchasing power.
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Competition:
- Market Saturation: The automotive parts market is competitive, with rivals like O'Reilly Auto Parts, Advance Auto Parts, and online platforms such as Amazon posing significant threats.
- Price Wars: Competitive pressure can lead to price reductions, impacting profitability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions:
- Global Supply Chain Issues: Ongoing supply chain challenges, including delays and increased shipping costs, can affect inventory levels and sales.
- Dependency on Suppliers: Reliance on a few key suppliers may expose AutoZone to risks if those suppliers face disruptions.
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Technological Changes:
- Rapid Technological Advancements: Changes in automotive technology (e.g., electric vehicles, advanced driver-assistance systems) could shift demand away from traditional parts and services.
- E-commerce and Digital Competition: The shift towards online retail may require AutoZone to enhance its digital presence and logistics capabilities.
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Regulatory Challenges:
- Environmental Regulations: Increased regulatory scrutiny regarding emissions and waste management may require compliance investments or limit product offerings.
- Labor Laws: Changes in labor laws or regulations around workforce treatment could impact operational costs.
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Consumer Behavior Changes:
- Shifting Preferences: Changes in consumer preferences, such as a greater inclination towards electric vehicles, could reduce demand for traditional automotive parts.
- DIY vs. Professional Services: Fluctuations in consumer interest in DIY repairs compared to professional repairs can directly impact sales.
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Dependence on Auto Repair Trends:
- Economic Sensitivity: The demand for auto parts is often tied to vehicle age and maintenance habits, which can fluctuate based on economic conditions and consumer confidence.
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Labor Challenges:
- Labor Shortages: Difficulty in hiring and retaining qualified staff can affect customer service and operational efficiency.
- Wage Pressures: Rising wages in the retail sector can impact margin and cost structure.
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Geopolitical Risks:
- Trade Policies: Changes in trade policies or tariffs can impact the cost of imported goods and parts.
- Political Stability: Political unrest in key markets may affect business operations.
Addressing these risks will require strategic planning, investment in technology, and adaptability to market trends. By focusing on innovation and enhancing customer experience, AutoZone can mitigate these challenges while maintaining growth momentum.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Autozone Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Autozone Inc
Current Assets | 7.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 298.2m |
Receivables | 545.6m |
Other Current Assets | 6.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 9.9B |
PP&E | 9.2B |
Intangibles | 302.6m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 325.8m |
Current Liabilities | 8.7B |
Accounts Payable | 7.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 146.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 13.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 9.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Autozone Inc
Revenue
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18.5B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.7B
USD
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Gross Profit
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9.8B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-6B
USD
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Operating Income
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3.8B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Net Income
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2.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Autozone Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
AutoZone reported a solid performance in Q4 2024, with total sales up 9% to $6.2 billion and earnings per share (EPS) increasing 11%. The company continues to invest in growth initiatives, opening 49 new international stores. AutoZone's domestic same-store sales were flat, but international same-store sales rose nearly 10%. The commercial business grew by 10.9%, supported by the expansion of Mega-Hubs. For fiscal 2025, AutoZone anticipates resilient DIY business, strong international expansion, and ongoing commercial growth, despite potential $55 million revenue and $0.63 EPS drags from foreign currency headwinds.
What is Earnings Call?
AZO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Autozone Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Autozone Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AZO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Autozone Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Autozone Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AZO Price Targets Summary
Autozone Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AZO is 3 419.44 USD with a low forecast of 2 946.17 USD and a high forecast of 3 815.7 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AZO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AZO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
AutoZone, Inc. engages in the retail and distribution of automotive replacement parts and accessories. The company is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee and currently employs 62,000 full-time employees. The firm operates through the Auto Parts Locations segment. The Auto Parts Locations segment is a retailer and distributor of automotive parts and accessories through the Company's locations in the United States, Mexico and Brazil. AutoZone operates approximately 6,091 stores in the United States, 669 stores in Mexico and 55 stores in Brazil. The firm's stores carry product lines for cars, sport utility vehicles, vans and light trucks, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories and non-automotive products. AutoZone also sells the ALLDATA brand diagnostic and repair software through www.alldata.com. Additionally, AutoZone sells automotive hard parts, maintenance items, accessories, and non-automotive products through www.autozone.com and servs its commercial customers through www.autozonepro.com.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AZO stock under the Base Case scenario is 2 453.9 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 3 099.38 USD, Autozone Inc is Overvalued by 21%.