Ares Management Corp
NYSE:ARES

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Ares Management Corp
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2018-Q1

from 0
Operator

Good day, and welcome to Ares Management, L.P.'s First Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded on Thursday, May 3, 2018.

I will now turn the call over to Mr. Carl Drake, Head of Investor Relations for Ares Management. Mr. Drake, the floor is yours, sir.

C
Carl Drake
executive

Thank you, Mike. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today for our first quarter 2018 conference call. I'm joined today by Michael Arougheti, our Chief Executive Officer and President; and Mike McFerran, our Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer. In addition, David Kaplan, Co-Head of our Private Equity Group, will also be available for questions.

Before we begin, I want to remind you that comments made during the course of this conference call and webcast contain forward-looking statements and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements for any reason, including those listed in our SEC filings. We assume no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements. Please also note that past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Moreover, please note that performance of and investment in our funds is discrete from performance of and investment in Ares Management, L.P.

During this conference call, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures such as economic net income, fee-related earnings, performance-related earnings and realized income. We use these as measures of operating performance, not as measures of liquidity. These measures should not be considered in isolation from or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. These measures may not be comparable to like-titled measures used by other companies. In addition, please note that our management fees include ARCC Part I fees. Please refer to our first quarter earnings presentation we filed this morning for definitions and reconciliations of the measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. This presentation is also available under the Investor Resources section of our website at www.aresmgmt.com, and can be used as a reference for today's call. Please note, we plan to file our quarterly report on Form 10-Q by next week.

I'd like to remind you that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase an interest in any securities of Ares or any other person, including any interest in any fund.

This morning, we announced that we have declared our second quarter common dividend of $0.28 per share, which will be paid on June 29, 2018, to holders of record on June 15. We also declared our quarterly preferred dividend of $0.4375 per Series A preferred share, which is payable on June 30, 2018 to holders of record on June 15.

Now I'll turn the call over to Michael Arougheti.

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Great. Thanks, Carl. Good afternoon, everyone. Our first quarter results reflect our continued strong momentum with fee-related earnings up 29% year-over-year, and another strong quarter of fundraising with over $6.9 billion of capital raised.

We also continued to generate strong investment performance, and we were successful in using our flexible strategies to drive capital deployment in a challenging environment.

I'll spend a few minutes discussing the key events of the quarter, and then I'll hand the call over to Mike McFerran, who will take you through our financial results.

So let's start with fundraising. We believe our strong and consistent long-term fund performance, loyal and growing LP base, differentiated strategies and deep and highly effective marketing and business development teams, have translated into additional interest in Ares funds and a strong level of new commitments.

During the first quarter, we raised gross new commitments of $6.9 billion, one of our highest quarters ever. Our fundraising was highlighted by $3.5 billion in new and additional U.S. and European direct lending commitments, U.S. and European CLOs totaling $1.1 billion in the aggregate and $300 million in new commitments to other credit funds.

We also experienced the first closing for our fifth European real estate fund of EUR 624 million, and now we're well on our way to our target of EUR 1.25 billion. On this particular closing, we had great support from our existing investors, who represented approximately 2/3 of first closures, and increased their commitments by an average of 42%.

Since quarter end, in fact, just yesterday, we held a significant first closing on our fourth European direct lending fund of over EUR 5 billion in equity commitments. Including anticipated leverage on the equity commitments closed thus far, the total pool of capital exceeds EUR 8 billion, or close to $10 billion in dollar terms. This is a really great accomplishment and a testament to our team's continued leadership in the European direct lending market, and congrats to everyone involved in getting that done.

The initial closing was comprised of approximately 100 investors, including 60 existing Ares investors and 40 investors new to the platform. We launched just 3 months ago, and we've already surpassed our EUR 4.5 billion target and are well in excess of our predecessor fund, which totaled $2.5 billion in equity commitments.

In addition to the ongoing fundraises in U.S. and European real estate private equity and European direct lending, we're currently marketing a commingled fund focused on a U.S. senior direct lending. We continue to be active with SMAs in multiple strategies, and we expect other existing and adjacent strategies to be launched in the near term.

The increased volatility in the trading markets this past quarter is a great reminder of why our investors increasingly favor actively managed alternative investments. Lower correlations to publicly traded securities, the opportunity for premium returns, less mark-to-market volatility, just to name a few. Though as a result, we continue to connect with more LPs and deepen our relationships with them. Our continued fundraising momentum evidences the value partnership we have with our existing LPs and the continued growth of our global LP base.

During the first quarter, of our capital raised directly from institutions, about 3 quarters of the capital was from existing Ares' clients. This highlights the continuing trend in the industry, where LPs are consolidating more of their funds with asset managers with broad platforms and diverse product offerings. We see significant continued growth opportunities in all major investor categories, particularly with global pension funds and insurance companies. And while we've grown our AUM at a 32% compound annual growth rate in these 2 segments over the last 5 years, we remain quite underpenetrated in these large markets, which means lots of opportunity for growth, at or in excess of what we've witnessed in recent years.

As discussed on our last call, we're making meaningful incremental investments in areas such as structured credit, special situations and real estate debt. We believe that these are all compelling strategies, where we have differentiated expertise and deal flow that merit an increased investor following and capital base. With each of structured credit and special situations teams, we've been particularly focused on broadening their respective mandates as we add personnel and resources. We believe the enhanced flexibility not only will assist their portfolio construction, but create a much more compelling and comprehensive investor solution.

The structured credit team, which focuses on public and private asset-backed markets and various forms of alternative credit, is expanding across sub-strategies and geographies. The special situations team, which focuses on companies undergoing transformational change, is meaningfully emphasizing privately negotiated transactions next to it is starred focus on public distressed debt in its special opportunity strategy. We believe that the significant origination capabilities from our private equity and direct lending franchises are providing this team with a real meaningful competitive edge.

To that point, a critical factor for sustainable growth is our ability to generate strong and consistent long-term investment performance through our business cycles. Details of our investment performance across our businesses are contained in the earnings presentation that we posted to our website. And as you'll see, overall, our performance remains strong. Our ability to generate consistent, long-term performance across market cycles is supported by our proprietary origination capabilities, which are rooted in the breadth of the inside collaboration and relationship network across our over 400 investment professionals.

In today's competitive market, it is absolutely critical to have differentiated sourcing and information edge and flexible capital to originate and structure the best risk-adjusted returns with downside protection.

So not surprisingly, we continue to leverage these advantages as well as the breadth and diversity of our global platform to deploy capital across all 3 of our businesses.

In the first quarter, we deployed $5.8 billion across our groups into investments that we're excited to own, and which we feel reflect the investing advantages of our platform in today's market.

So lastly, before I turn the call over to Mike, I wanted to briefly address the recent change to our corporate tax status. I'm happy to say that the early returns in our election to be treated as a corporation are quite positive, and we're pleased with the extended interest from investors in our company. And while it's still early, the new corporate tax structure has already helped us to increase our flow and trading liquidity and to materially expand our institutional shareholder base.

So with that, I'll now hand the call over to Mike.

M
Michael McFerran
executive

Thanks, Mike. From a financial perspective, we're off to a great start in 2018, with year-over-year double-digit growth rates in AUM, management fees, fee-related earnings and economic net income.

Based on our new funds already closed, along with our forward pipeline of new potential funds, our AUM growth outlook remains strong. The 29% year-over-year growth in our core earnings, otherwise referred to as fee-related earnings, and the continued pace of strong fundraising with approximately $12 billion of capital raised since the beginning of the year, as Mike referenced, illustrate the significant momentum of our business as we continue to execute on our key business objectives.

Before going into details on the quarter, I do want to highlight that we have made a change to our financial reporting to better reflect our new corporate tax status election. We will now be reporting realized income instead of distributable earnings. We believe realized income is a more appropriate measure and concise earnings measure to evaluate our current operating performance, which takes our economic net income and deducts the unrealized performance-related earnings. Since our dividend policy is to pay a fixed quarterly dividend reassessed annually and based on expected after-tax fee-related earnings, we believe realized income allows us to assess current period income, while distributable earnings was related to cash available for distributions in our old flow-through structure prior to our change in tax status.

Next, I'll spend a few minutes on our quarterly results. As Mike described, the strength of our fundraising has supported our AUM growth, which is up 13% year-over-year to $112.5 billion, and our fee-paying AUM growth, which is up 8% to $75 billion over the same period.

For the first quarter, management fees and fee-related earnings increased 11% and 29% from the first quarter of 2017, respectively. Our after-tax fee-related earnings totaled $58.7 million or $0.26 per common unit.

Our improving operating leverage is illustrated by our fee-related earnings margin expansion from 26% for the first quarter a year ago to 30% for the first quarter of this year.

Our first quarter performance-related earnings of $31.5 million were 8% higher year-over-year and first quarter realized income totaled $72.1 million, an increase of 34% compared to the first quarter of last year.

Last, economic net income totaled $91.9 million for the quarter, reflecting an increase of 21% over the first quarter of last year.

In light of our March 1 election to be taxed as a corporation, I do want to give some extra attention on how to think about our effective tax rates. As a quick refresher, fee-related earnings reflect our management fees, less compensation and operating expenses. We apply our deductions against fee-related earnings to arrive at after-tax fee-related earnings.

For the first quarter, our effective tax rate on fee-related earnings was 3%. Note that this rate reflects that approximately 40% of our earned income was subject to corporate taxes during the first quarter. If a 100% of our earned income were subject to corporate level taxes, we would've had a 7.5% fee-related earnings tax rate for the quarter. The effective tax rate on fee-related earnings is a function of the size of the deductions against the income, and the amount of our earned income subject to corporate tax on a weighted average basis during the period.

For the remainder of the year, we expect our effective tax rate will range from 3.5% to 5%, or under a full conversion scenario, from 8.5% and 11%.

Realized income is the sum of fee-related earnings and realized net performance income. We assume a 22.4% statutory tax rate on realized net performance income. As a result, the effective tax rate on realized income will be heavily driven by the amount of realized performance income during any period. Due to the comparatively low level of realized performance income for the first quarter, our effective tax rate on realized income was only 3.9%. Note, this rate also reflects that approximately 40% of our earned income was subject to corporate tax.

Under the 100% scenario described previously, the effective tax rate would've been 9.8%.

Economic net income reflects realized income plus unrealized performance income. While unrealized performance income does not create an actual tax obligation until realized, we do record a tax provision for it. Similar to realized performance income, we assume a 22.4% statutory tax rate on unrealized performance income.

For the first quarter, our effective tax rate on economic net income was 5%. Again, this rate reflects the approximately 40% of our earned income subject to corporate tax. If one assumed a full conversion of our shares with 100% of Ares income subject to corporate tax, the effective tax rate would've been 12.6%. This rate will fluctuate based on the amount of unrealized and realized gains.

Next, I want to touch on our dividend policy. As Carl stated earlier, we declared a quarterly dividend of $0.28 per common share. This amount is consistent with our expectations to have a $0.28 per common share dividend for each of the second, third and fourth quarters of 2018. As discussed in our prior earnings call, we set our quarterly dividend based upon the expected trajectory of our after-tax fee-related earnings and other factors principally related to tax.

Our after-tax fee-related earnings for the first quarter of $0.26 per common share were slightly below our quarterly dividend. But as a reminder, we set the dividend on a forward-looking basis and take other tax factors into consideration.

One of the objectives of our dividend policy we adopted in connection with our tax status election was to provide an attractive qualifying after-tax dividend for our investors and would be reassessed annually, primarily based on the expected growth of after-tax fee-related earnings.

On our last call, we also announced our intention to retain net realized performance income to support, and as we expect, to accelerate the growth of our assets under management and fee-related earnings.

Some of our other metrics we focus on provide insight into the embedded growth of both fee and performance-related earnings, based on the capital we currently manage.

AUM, not yet earning fees, which is a subset of our available capital, is a metric that helps investors measure the potential management fees that we would earn upon the deployment of capital.

Similarly, incentive eligible AUM measures the total AUM that is eligible to earn performance income, and net accrued performance income reflects the amount of net accrued performance income we have at any given point in time.

We ended the first quarter with $26.6 billion of available capital, also referred to as dry powder. Our AUM not yet earning fees, or shadow AUM, increased to $17.3 billion compared to $14.5 billion at the end of fourth quarter of 2017. Of this $17.3 billion, approximately $13.4 billion was available for future deployment with corresponding management fees totaling $126.3 million.

Over 80% of the management fees tied to AUM available for deployment relate to our direct lending and structured credit strategies in our credit business.

The continued deployment of capital from these strategies will bring these fees online in the quarters ahead, and we believe will continue to serve as a key growth driver for both top line revenue and fee-related earnings.

As of quarter end, incentive-eligible AUM reached a record high in the first quarter of more than $65 billion, up 17% year-over-year. Of that amount, approximately $22 billion is not yet invested and available for future deployment, which we believe represents the potential for significant future value creation over the longer term. Incentive-generating AUM of $23.4 billion is near record levels, up 16% year-over-year.

Note that we ended the first quarter with $257 million of accrued carried interest allocation, an increase of 39% versus the prior-year period.

Looking forward, we believe our business is well positioned due to our strong mix of management fees, which have represented more than 80% of our total fees on average for the past 5 years, including this past quarter.

Our fee-related earnings continue to grow and are supported by our fundraising as the potential for increased operating leverage.

Our management fees are derived from long-dated capital, as 80% of our first quarter management fees were earned from funds that had a remaining life of more than 3 years, including 39% from publicly traded permanent capital vehicles.

Now, I'll turn this back to Mike for his thoughts on our historical and future growth.

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Great. Thanks, Mike. We just couldn't be happier with where we are. And as you can see from the growth in all of our metrics, we're trending positively, and we have meaningful industry tailwinds driving our business momentum.

Our investors continue to reward our performance with larger commitments, which is deepening our relationships with them. Our client growth has also benefited from our investors giving us a greater share of wallet, both in existing strategies and a growing number of new strategies. We believe we have a lot of room to grow, and we firmly believe that alternative investments will be even more important part of our investor portfolios in the next 10 years than they have been in the last 10.

Over time, our new corporate tax structure and dividend policy should enable us to retain more capital for growth. We have opportunities to grow organically by increasing our fund sizes or by expanding our products, geographic coverage or channels of distribution. And in addition, we continue to actively seek opportunities to grow through acquisition inorganically that we expect would be beneficial to our stakeholders over time.

So as always, we appreciate your time and support today and for the company. And thanks for the time.

And with that, operator, can you please open up the line for questions?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And the first question we have will come from Craig Siegenthaler of Credit Suisse.

J
Jordan Friedlander
analyst

This is Jordan Friedlander filling in for Craig Siegenthaler. So Ares converted to C-Corp for tax purposes in March of this year. However, we believe you converted to the check-the-box structure and estimate Ares would need to go one step further to the up-C structure to be eligible for index inclusion in the major indexes. What are your updated thoughts around converting to the up-C structure? And can you provide some color on this process?

M
Michael McFerran
executive

Sure. So you're are right, Jordan. Well, you're referring to check-the-box as synonymous with a corporate tax change to -- or change of corporate tax structure from a partnership. What I think the step you're referring to that we did not take was actually just making a state law legal conversion from a partnership to a corporation. We don't believe, and we're still working on this, that, that in itself results necessarily in index inclusion. We're currently spending time looking at indices and talking to some of the major index managers, including Russell, to fully understand the rules and think about how our structure applies to them. But at this point, we haven't concluded whether a legal change increases the likelihood of being included in the search in indexes or not. We are aware that certain indexes were focused on ensuring that you did not publish K-1s and do not have any UBTI flow-through income, which we affirmatively do not have, probably start conversion on March 1. So it's something we continue to look at, and we'll keep everyone posted as our thoughts evolve.

J
Jordan Friedlander
analyst

Got it. And then one quick follow-up. Europe and U.S. direct lending products are seeing very strong demand from investors. Can you touch on a little what's driving this? And given the large deployment activity in these strategies at this point in the cycle, how are you thinking about the underlying credit risk?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Sure. I'll take that and Kipp, who I think has joined us, can chime in. So when you think about direct lending as an asset class, and what it provides for investors as an alternative to traditional fixed income, first of all, you have shorter duration than you have in most traditional high-grade or liquid fixed income assets. You have floating rate. And so as we're seeing a move up in short-term rates, we're seeing outperformance. You have active management, which we think leads to superior credit outcomes and performance over time. And you have seniority in the capital structure which late cycle, I think, is very attractive to folks. When you put all of that together with short duration and lack of correlation to other asset classes, et cetera, we're still able to generate returns of about 150 to 250 basis points in excess of other fixed income alternatives for our investors in our U.S. and European direct lending strategies. The trade-off is illiquidity, and as we've been highlighting over the course of last couple of years, our investors have been willing to trade that liquidity for that excess return more willingly than they probably had 10 years ago. In terms of why we're comfortable, obviously, Ares manages close to $80 billion in both the liquid and illiquid credit markets. You have to appreciate these are very significant addressable markets globally. To put it in perspective, we believe that the U.S. direct lending market that we serve is close to $1 trillion end market. We know this from the deal flow that we see and that we evaluate. And to put the selectivity perspective in the U.S. direct lending business to core middle-market companies, we look at close to 1,400 discrete company opportunities in any given year and tend to close on 3% to 5% of them. And those types of close statistics are pretty consistent across all of our direct lending and illiquid products. So we're in large addressable markets, exercising some pretty significant competitive advantages in terms of origination, scale, portfolio evaluation and then we are obviously able to leverage those competitive advantages into a very low close rate, and a lot of asset selectivity. And then lastly, as Kipp talked about on the ARCC call yesterday, as we've gotten larger and we've built out diverse portfolios and pools of capital, we have a significant incumbent position with a very large number of high-quality borrowers. And so as we get later in the cycle, we tend to focus most on backing the companies where we have a pre-existing relationship and understanding of the performance of those companies. And if you look over the last 12 months, about 60% of the deal flow that we've executed on has actually come from incumbent relationships in the U.S. And so that continues to be a big driver of our performance. But look, in today's environment, even as rates are going up, they are still low by historical standards and direct lending gives people an opportunity for durable, floating-rate yield, which I think is what everybody is looking for right now.

Operator

Next, we have Brent Dilts of UBS.

B
Brent Dilts
analyst

Appreciate the color on the increased interest from public shareholders in C-Corp election. Was wondering if you could talk about what if any impact the election has had on conversations with existing or potential LPs?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Yes. It hasn't actually factored into the conversation at all. One added benefit that's new launched is, with our new strategy of retaining performance earnings for investment in growth, I think some of our more sophisticated LPs recognize that over time that should drive even greater alignment with us is the GP, and there is LPs, as it allows us to invest more of our own capital into the funds alongside of them. So I do think there is a longer-term benefit in terms of greater alignment. But it really hasn't factored into the conversation we're having with our institutional investors at this point.

B
Brent Dilts
analyst

Okay. Fair enough. And then this one's probably for Mike Arougheti. At a recent conference you spoke about seeing some structural weakening in the credit markets, although you did mention the default environment is still benign. I was wondering if you could just elaborate on, specifically, what you're seeing that suggests there is a little structural weakening? Just talk about how Ares is positioned, particularly in an increasingly competitive backdrop for private credit that seems to be kind of in the later stage of the credit cycle.

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Kipp, do you want to handle that?

K
Kipp deVeer
executive

Yes. Can you hear me?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Yes.

K
Kipp deVeer
executive

Great. Look, we've positioned ourselves as best we can in a challenging new deal environment by moving substantially up the balance sheet trying to be senior secured or junior secured in most of the investing that we're doing. That's true both in the U.S., probably less in Europe because we are less concerned about the competitiveness frankly there, as we are hear in the states. If you spend any time going back and looking at the ARCC metrics from yesterday's call, which certainly isn't a requirement, but what we told people was, in fact, our nonaccruals, which is, obviously, an indication of our distressed loans are in fact down. I think qualitatively when we look at the portfolio, we do see a little bit more stress, a little bit more on the lock[indiscernible] list. And that's just probably to Mike's comment whenever he made them at whichever conference, it is the anecdotal theme that would run through some of our thoughts on our U.S. credit portfolios.

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

And again, when we talk about structural weakness, and this is not anything new. We've been seeing it develop as the cycle matures. It's things like lose your covenant levels, underwriting, more adjustments to EBITDA in base cases, [ looser ] definitions and baskets within credit agreements. So -- but that's true in every asset class where we're seeing structural loosening, it just manifests itself differently. Again, I think the key is we've evolved in these market for 25 years. We've been through many cycles together. We know how to navigate them. So you can't be blind to them. But knowing how to navigate around them, we're still finding very, very attractive relative value that we're excited about investing in.

Operator

Next, we have Michael Carrier, Bank of America.

M
Michael Carrier
analyst

Just one question on -- through the FRE margin outlook and it's -- I mean, if we look at the fundraising, Mike, you mentioned the European direct lending at EUR 5 billion like double the first one. And then over the next maybe year or so, you've got the ACAS portfolio repositioning and then eventually the waivers rolling off. And then you might get the leverage up in the BDC. So I'm just trying to understand, given kind of the growth on like the top line or from a fundraising standpoint, how should we thinking about that over the next maybe 2 years from, like, a margin standpoint as some of those businesses continue to increase scale?

M
Michael McFerran
executive

It's a great question. What -- your final statement there in your question, I think, is the answer, which is as our businesses continue to scale and that capital comes online and gets deployed, we think over the longer term our margins will continue to expand. We have demonstrated this over the last couple of years. In the last 12 months alone, we've had a 15% operating margin expansion. So our expectation is a lot of what we do is scalable, and there is inherent efficiencies across a lot of aspects of our business, particularly in our operating model. Where you have heavier fixed costs that serve a larger platform, your margin is going to go up. So our -- we don't have what I would call a targeted year-by-year margin outlook for the coming years, but our overall philosophy is it should grow and we believe it will.

M
Michael Carrier
analyst

Okay. And then Mike, just something small on -- when I look at the, like, the performance kind of earnings like the incentive versus kind of the investment income, it seemed like it was more divergent this quarter. I don't know if there was anything like specific that drove kind of like a weaker investment income versus the incentive income.

M
Michael McFerran
executive

No. I don't think -- it has to do with where you are with certain funds. And -- keep in mind. A lot of our funds now are earlier stage deploying capital, where we're going to be picking up, where there's current income out the gate. But investment or the carry will come later. But that's -- you see a little bit of that fluctuation in any given quarter.

Operator

And next, we have Kenneth Lee of RBC Capital.

K
Kenneth Lee
analyst

Just wondering if you could comment on the current environment for deploying capital. Whether there have been any changes in -- from recent quarters? And also what's your near-term outlook for potential portfolio realizations?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

So I like some of the comments I just made, but the markets we're in are competitive. Again, we're late cycled. There's a lot of liquidity in the markets. Good news is the economy is fundamentally strong. We're seeing it in all parts of our portfolio, and we're seeing in all geographies. As I mentioned, you drive competitive advantage focusing on proprietary origination and self-sourcing. You drive it with research and information edge. You drive it with long-dated and flexible fund structure. So we're still able to drive what we think is very attractive deployment. We deployed $5.8 billion in the quarter, as I mentioned in what are large addressable markets, but we're having to work hard to do it. We're looking at a lot of different situations. But when we find the ones we like, we have a lot of tools at our disposal to make those investments. In terms of the realization environment, I'll hand it over to Mike McFerran, because I think there is a really interesting story that we should probably highlight for folks.

M
Michael McFerran
executive

Yes. I think you have to look at where our accrued carriers today. And if you look at our earnings presentation, I know, we caught it out during our prepared remarks. We have net accrued performance fees of $257 million at quarter end. And to think about the timing of realizations on those, it is important to think of where they -- which funds are those in and where there are in their life cycles. So of that amount, about $180 million is an American style waterfall funds, which means as we get realizations, we'll be able to take to carry real time. Of that $180 million, 97% of it is in funds that have now ended their investment period, which means they are effectively in harvesting mode and no longer deploying capital. So stepping back, about 70% of our accrued carry is eligible for real-time payment as realizations occur and as tighter funds pass the investment period. So I think we've talked about on past calls, this remains an attractive realization environment. It is going to be volatile for any given quarter based on when transactions happening get closed, but where we are overall from an accrued carry perspective, it feels really good in the quarters ahead.

K
Kenneth Lee
analyst

Great. And just one follow-up on the direct lending side. Maybe you could comment on the competitive environments, whether you're seeing any new entrants come in? And whether competition from the banks have changed more -- in the more recent quarters?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Kipp, you want to take that one?

K
Kipp deVeer
executive

Sure. I think we have seen more -- I'll hit the U.S. perhaps first, more just a shift in terms of who is managing some capital. There have been some interesting transactions in this space, one where a firm like a KKR, for instance, has taken over a whole host of assets there and have added capabilities. But again, that's kind of not new capital in the system. So in terms of truly new entrants in the U.S., I would say, not really, right. It continues to be, I think, to Mike's earlier comments, the LPs putting more hands and more capital on the hands of the market leaders like ourselves. In Europe, I think, which is a bit of a more significant growth opportunity, it's earlier in the development of the markets there. I think we're seeing more attempts at true new entrants. But that same dynamic that I mentioned in the U.S. is occurring in Europe, where many LPs are finding it more efficient to simply choose market leaders like Ares and give them more capital. And that's obviously what happened vis-Ă -vis the first closing that Mike talked about on our forced fund there. So, we're thrilled. We're thrilled about that. I'm sorry, your follow-on question?

K
Kenneth Lee
analyst

Just, what -- yes, just whether you're seeing banks step back and obviously, the regulatory changes?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Yes, sorry about that. The upmarket in our U.S. business, we will participate for sure underwriting larger transactions. We have done deals as large as $1 billion, slightly over $1 billion. So in a transaction of that nature, we'll see the investment banks come in, but as -- obviously, as an underwriter and syndicator of transactions, not as a holder or as an owner of any of that transaction. Down market, there continues to be this belief that regulatory rollback and other relief for the financial systems has led the middle market bank types to come back into our market, which we haven't seen it at all. They really don't have the staff to compete with us. They don't have the flexible product offering, and we just don't see it at all. On the European side, it continues to be less and less bank driven, but we've always under -- operated under the assumption there. And frankly, in the U.S., that we're happy to do deals with banks. Banks still make up about 50% of the U.K. and European lending markets, and we don't think that it will ever quite swing to where the U.S. has gotten where it really is kind of 90% nonbank, 10% bank, when you think it will keep going down below that 50% number. But our product set in Europe is very different, much more flexible, much more nimble, can write larger tickets, more substantial hold sizes. These are all just huge advantages that we have vis-Ă -vis the banks these days.

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

One last comment, just to follow on that, we are seeing, which I think is something to watch is the banks have shown a greater willingness to fund the growth of the nonbank lending platforms. And so again, there's a misperception that there's been a huge displacement of the banks by the nonbanks. And in fact, if you look at the way the capital is flowing into the market, the leverage facilities that the banks are providing folks like us is actually a pretty meaningful symbiosis between the banks and how they allocate versus our business. So they are great partners for us.

Operator

The next question we have will come from Allison Tayler Rudary of Oppenheimer.

A
Allison Taylor Rudary
analyst

My question is on your overall direct lending strategy, again. And it -- specifically for the BDC space. And it seems to me that there is a starting to be a noticeable bifurcation in the market between folks like you who are going to be able to take advantage of the regulatory landscape and perhaps folks that can't. And I know that you've said in the past that while you really aren't interested in kind of pursuing an aggressive takeover structure, your performance makes a really strong argument for scale. And I'm wondering if you think that the industry needs to take a close look at consolidation, and what might be the challenges that, that can present an opportunity?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Yes. I think scale matters so much in direct lending, and we say this all the time. I think people have been conditioned to think that size is the enemy of performance in investor management and at least in the private credit markets, it's exactly the opposite. It's funny. Kipp is not with us directly because he is presenting today that very argument and demonstrating how over time our scale has become a huge competitive advantage, both in terms of how we source flow, how we evaluate flow, how we fund ourselves. So if you look at the BDC space, we've obviously already been a big consolidator through the acquisition in Allied and ACAS. We're seeing huge performance dispersion between those that have scale and have been in the markets a long time versus those that don't and are somewhat new entrants. And so we tend to see more consolidation of market share in weaker markets, because, obviously, the weak performance comes out and catalyzes consolidation, but I think the investors are on to it. And some of the LP behavior we're seeing in the private markets, I think, is a good indication that most folks who are looking at allocating into this sector understand the value of scale and what it can mean in terms of the performance over time. So I think we're seeing consolidation and given that we're still in a benign credit environment and default rates at least industry-wide have below, I've actually been pleasantly surprised with the amount of consolidation that we've seen happening within the private credit space over the last 12 to 18 months.

A
Allison Taylor Rudary
analyst

Great. That's terrific color. And I guess my one follow-up to this would be -- especially in light of the fact that you really are going to have a great deal of capital to use for growth going forward, where might we see geographic expansion in the type of direct lending and products that you offer in private credit? Is there opportunity for the types of things that you do to expand to parts of Asia or perhaps other developing markets? I mean, are there ancillary opportunities in adjacent competencies that you guys have in power and other types of infrastructure investing?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

The answer is yes. Without going into too many specifics, private credit broadly define whether it's lending directly to middle-market corporate borrowers, private equity firms, infra lending, asset-based lending, transportation finance, commercial real estate mortgage lending, all of those fall into our liquid credit businesses. And we see the opportunity to grow geographically in all of those. As you can appreciate, in order to have a robust private credit market, you need certain regulatory frameworks to be in place. You need a fairly well-established rule of law and bankruptcy code. You actually also need a liquid capital market to create that appropriate capital flow between the liquid and illiquid markets, et cetera, et cetera. So each of the markets that you mentioned are in different phases of development. Europe is obviously the poster child for how this all plays out. We went into the European market in earnest in 2006 at a time when the market was heavily banked. We had a view that the market would de-bank through bank consolidation with the development of liquid capital markets. And that happened, and here we are 10 years later and that team is now approaching $20 billion of capital with this new fund and have really asserted some significant competitive advantages and leadership there. So we have the playbook. We've seen the markets develop. We have planted seeds in other parts of the world like China. But we're taking a very long-term view as to how these markets can develop. But we do have the view that they will over time and then given our track record, we're supposed to be there.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next, we have Alex Blostein of Goldman Sachs.

A
Alexander Blostein
analyst

Just a follow-up, I guess, to the last discussion on -- outside of the BDC consolidation, what are you guys broader thoughts on M&A strategy for Ares as a whole? Clearly, you guys are retaining more capital from distribution. Also you did a little bit of primary from recent offerings. So maybe just help us kind of think through the rationale from retaining[indiscernible] more cash and what it could mean for M&A?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

Sure. So just to remind folks, when we articulate the value of retaining the cash, we now have the ability to be more active investors in our existing fund strategies to drive some of that alignment and growth that I referenced earlier. We have the ability to seed and accelerate the growth of new fund strategies using our own balance sheet capital. We also have the ability now to look at share repurchases, either opportunistically, or to pursue a share count neutral strategy over time, which we are actively evaluating. And then there is M&A. And as we've talked about before, M&A has been and will continue to be a meaningful part of the growth opportunity here. You've seen us execute whether it's the Allied acquisition, the ACAS acquisition, the acquisition of AREA Property Partners or Indicus, our history is that we strongly believe that we can take good companies and make them better by giving them access to more capital, giving them access to some of the information advantages that I referenced earlier. So where we look and see opportunities, it's really across the board. We have the opportunity to scale up in things we already do well. We have the opportunity to grow into adjacent markets that we are not currently in, but where we can leverage some of our core competencies to grow a business. And we're seeing acquisition opportunities across real estate, PE and credit. And I think folks know this, as we've developed over time, we have a fairly sizable corporate strategy infrastructure here that's constantly looking at the market both opportunistically and reactively to things that are put in front of us. And to put that in perspective over the last 2 years, we've probably evaluated over a 150 potential acquisitions, big and small, different parts of the globe. And if you looked at the AUM potential what that represented, it probably was about $2 trillion of asset opportunity. Obviously, given the environment, valuations are probably not what we'd like them to be, so we've been a little less active than we have been in other markets, but in terms of the funnel of opportunities we're seeing, it's quite significant. And the only other thing I'll mention, because I've said it before, obviously, these markets move to scale. M&A is going to be an important tool to continue to drive growth. But when you look at where the alternative asset businesses are from a life-cycle perspective, most of these businesses started 20-plus years ago, and we are seeing a generational shift of founder-owned and founder-operated businesses that's creating a pretty regular pipeline of opportunities for us to look at, where you have founders who have scaled institutional quality businesses in either a single strategy or a single geography that are contemplating what the future holds for them. And coming to a place like Ares where they can get some liquidity, put their younger partners on a path to continue growth and opportunity, we think, is going to be a big driver of the M&A opportunity going forward. And then lastly, one of the catalysts for C-Corp conversion for tax purposes was a pretty high level of conviction that converting to a C-Corp would make our already attractive currency even more attractive to potential targets.

A
Alexander Blostein
analyst

Great. That was pretty comprehensive. Just a clean-up question for you guys as well, just around the -- and apologies if it was already addressed, but I'm thinking this way. But if I look at the performance fee comp rate, so just kind of the competition associated with gross performance fees in the quarter. That rate was meaningful than it was last -- all of last year. I'm assuming it's just the specific investments or specific funds, I guess, where the carryover was coming out of, but how should we think about, I guess, that ratio on a go-forward basis?

M
Michael McFerran
executive

You hit the spot on. It's based on the mix in any given quarter. I think we've said in the past that probably the appropriate ratio I was thinking about in the low 70s. I don't think that's changing anytime soon.

Operator

And our final question will come from Michael Cyprys of Morgan Stanley.

M
Michael Cyprys
analyst

So we look across the firm, you have $17 billion in AUM not yet earning fees, some strong fundraising coming in. Can you just talk a bit about how you're creating capacity to put all of this capital to work? How are you expanding, for example, some of the direct origination capacity and the platforms that you have today?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

So obviously, with the increased capital we have to add people, and we've done that. I think folks know there are over a 1,000 people here at Ares in 18 offices around the globe, 400-plus investment professionals. And so, while we have the advantages that we have in terms of information and capital and people we're constantly adding, I think a great example of that is what we've been doing in our special situations and special opportunities business. We had a scaled capital base. We had a track record and really beginning 1.5 years ago with the hiring of Scott Graves from Oaktree, we have now hired 15 people into that business in the last 12 months. We've retooled and reoriented some of the origination in trading there and showing up not just in investor demand, but showing up in our performance. So we're constantly adding people and resources to scale businesses where we see growth. And we'll continue to do that.

M
Michael Cyprys
analyst

And just as a follow-up question, separate topic. Performances in private equity, I think they were a little bit weaker this quarter. And I think in the release you flagged the Asia fund and EIF. Just hoping you could elaborate a little bit on that. And if it was a single investment or more broad-based? Just a little color on what happened there.

M
Michael McFerran
executive

Yes. So why don't we -- it was a little bit down this quarter. Asia was off, I want to say, net to us $5 million, $6 million. It's not a big part of our investment portfolio. It was a couple of names there. EIF, we gave back in mark-to-market, some previously unrealized gains on a particular investment that's still in development. That investment is still being carried at or above cost. So -- and we feel good about the long-term outlook for it. If you recall, an EIF needs a long-term developmental play. So during the course of development, as you're refreshing your valuation inputs based on electrical prices and other variables, there's going to be a little bit of mark-to-market volatility till projects get completed and sold. But there's nothing what I would call widespread there. And if you look at the quarter, obviously, the biggest part of that business is our corporate private equity business, where the portfolio overall was up for the quarter.

M
Michael Cyprys
analyst

Got it, okay. And if I could just sneak in another question on ARCC. I think it is still below the hurdle rate. I think maybe it was like 100 basis points or so, if I'm not mistaken. So just curious if you could help us better understand the time frame for -- to get back up and what actions you might be able to take. And could that happen this year? How are you thinking about that?

M
Michael Arougheti
executive

So when you're referring to the hurdle rate, that's the hurdle rate on the part 2 or cap gains. Fees were obviously meaningful -- meaningfully above the 7% hurdle rate on the income-based fee generation, which has been the historical experience. One of the things that Kipp and the team talked about at length yesterday on the ARCC earnings call was just the historical gains track record and the gains momentum that we continue to see within ARCC. So there is an opportunity with continued gains to eventually get into the hurdle on part 2, but it's a large AUM number, but not a large dollar number in terms of the aggregate opportunity for carried interest incentive fees coming out of ARCC [indiscernible]. So when people look at the incentive eligible AUM, reconciliation in the earnings presentation, that $12.4 billion number of ARCC, obviously, is disproportionately high in terms of the size of the AUM relative to [indiscernible] incentive fee given that, obviously, they are largely credit portfolio is where we're having good gains performance. That's not a core focus of the fund.

Operator

Well, ladies and gentlemen, this concludes our conference call for today. If you missed any part of today's call, an archive replay of this conference call will be available through June 3, 2018, by dialing (877) 344-7529. And to international callers, by dialing area code (412) 317-0088. For all replays, please reference conference number 10119043. An archived replay will also be available on a webcast link located on the homepage of the Investor Resources section of our website. Again, we thank you all for participating on today's conference call. Take care, and have a great day.