Arch Resources Inc
NYSE:ARCH

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Arch Resources Inc
NYSE:ARCH
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Price: 173.64 USD -0.6% Market Closed
Market Cap: 3.1B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ARCH stock under the Base Case scenario is 122.81 USD. Compared to the current market price of 173.64 USD, Arch Resources Inc is Overvalued by 29%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ARCH Intrinsic Value
122.81 USD
Overvaluation 29%
Intrinsic Value
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Arch Resources Inc

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Arch Resources Inc

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Arch Resources Inc

Current Assets 788.4m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 255.9m
Receivables 248.6m
Other Current Assets 283.9m
Non-Current Assets 1.6B
Long-Term Investments 23.1m
PP&E 1.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 312.5m
Current Liabilities 392.9m
Accounts Payable 153.2m
Accrued Liabilities 101.7m
Other Current Liabilities 138m
Non-Current Liabilities 534.1m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 534.1m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Arch Resources Inc

Revenue
2.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-2.2B USD
Gross Profit
458.7m USD
Operating Expenses
-250.8m USD
Operating Income
207.8m USD
Other Expenses
-28.4m USD
Net Income
179.5m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Arch Resources Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Arch Resources reported a significant transition in Q3 2024, highlighted by a transformative merger with CONSOL Energy expected to close in Q1 2025. The company ramped up development in favorable reserve areas despite production challenges and a three-week shipment outage reducing coking coal by 200,000 tons. A fixed dividend of $0.25 per share is set for payment on November 26. With market conditions indicated to soften, Arch anticipates revenue increases in 2025 from improved contract pricing, particularly at West Elk, with new contracts yielding prices up to $30 higher than existing ones, paving the way for better margins.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

ARCH Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Arch Resources Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
67/100
Profitability
Score

Arch Resources Inc's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ARCH Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Arch Resources Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
69/100
Solvency
Score

Arch Resources Inc's solvency score is 69/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ARCH Price Targets Summary
Arch Resources Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast ARCH stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARCH is 168.3 USD with a low forecast of 141.4 USD and a high forecast of 194.25 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
141.4 USD
19% Downside
Average
Price Target
168.3 USD
3% Downside
Highest
Price Target
194.25 USD
12% Upside
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Dividends

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Dividend Per Share
N/A
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Dividend Safety Score
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ARCH is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Ownership

ARCH Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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ARCH News

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Profile

Arch Resources Inc Logo
Arch Resources Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

3.1B USD

Dividend Yield

2.53%

Description

Arch Resources, Inc. engages in the production and distribution of thermal coal. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri and currently employs 3,303 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-10-05. The firm is a supplier of premium High-Vol A metallurgical coal globally. The Company’s segments include Metallurgical (MET) and Thermal. The MET segment contains the Company’s metallurgical operations in West Virginia. The Thermal segment contains the Company’s thermal operations in Wyoming and Colorado. The company also produces low-emitting thermal products for sale to both domestic and international customers. The firm produces sub-bituminous thermal. The company supplies thermal products to power generators and industrial customers from mines in Colorado and Illinois. The firm operates approximately seven active mines located in three of the coal-producing regions of the United States. The locations of its mines and access to export facilities enable it to ship coal worldwide.

Contact

MISSOURI
St. Louis
1 CityPlace Drive, Suite 300
+13149942897.0
www.archrsc.com

IPO

2016-10-05

Employees

3 303

Officers

CEO & Director
Mr. Paul A. Lang
President, COO & Director
Mr. John T. Drexler
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Matthew C. Giljum
Senior VP of Law, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Rosemary L. Klein
Senior VP & COO
Mr. George J. Schuller Jr.
VP & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. John W. Lorson
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Senior VP & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. John A. Ziegler Jr.
Senior Advisor
Mr. Robert G. Jones
Senior Vice President of Strategy & Public Policy
Mr. Deck S. Slone
Senior Vice President of Metallurgical & International Thermal Coal - Arch Coal Sales
Mr. Matthew Ferguson
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ARCH stock?

The intrinsic value of one ARCH stock under the Base Case scenario is 122.81 USD.

Is ARCH stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 173.64 USD, Arch Resources Inc is Overvalued by 29%.

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