Antero Resources Corp
NYSE:AR

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Antero Resources Corp
NYSE:AR
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Price: 33.26 USD -0.42%
Market Cap: 10.3B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AR stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.71 USD. Compared to the current market price of 33.26 USD, Antero Resources Corp is Undervalued by 7%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

AR Intrinsic Value
35.71 USD
Undervaluation 7%
Intrinsic Value
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Antero Resources Corp

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Antero Resources Corp., a prominent player in the natural gas and NGL (natural gas liquids) sector, has carved out a distinctive niche in the energy market by focusing on low-cost, efficient operations in the Appalachian Basin, particularly in West Virginia and Ohio. Founded in 2002, the company strategically positioned itself to capitalize on the abundant reserves of natural gas and liquids in one of the most prolific production regions in the United States. Antero has built a reputation for its innovative drilling techniques and advanced technology, allowing it to maintain robust production levels while keeping costs competitive. With a strong emphasis on sustainable practices and a commit...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Antero Resources Corp

Current Assets 368.6m
Receivables 345.3m
Other Current Assets 23.3m
Non-Current Assets 12.9B
Long-Term Investments 226.9m
PP&E 12.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 36.2m
Current Liabilities 1.3B
Accounts Payable 129.8m
Accrued Liabilities 820.5m
Other Current Liabilities 373.7m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.9B
Long-Term Debt 1.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 3.3B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Antero Resources Corp

Revenue
4.4B USD
Cost of Revenue
-1.3B USD
Gross Profit
3.1B USD
Operating Expenses
-2.9B USD
Operating Income
185m USD
Other Expenses
-140m USD
Net Income
45m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Antero Resources Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In its recent earnings call, Antero Resources highlighted record-setting operational efficiencies, reducing well completion times to 11 days—a 22% improvement from 2022. The 2024 capital budget was cut by 28% to $650 million while maintaining production levels. A notable increase in C3+ NGL prices (> $4/barrel higher than 2023) is projected to boost free cash flow by about $175 million, leading to an estimated $500 million increase in cash flow overall. Looking ahead, Antero remains positioned for a favorable 2025 with expected higher natural gas and liquids demand, indicating growth potential even in a soft pricing environment.

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Fundamental Scores

AR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Antero Resources Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

56/100
Profitability
Score

Antero Resources Corp's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

AR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Antero Resources Corp's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
37/100
Solvency
Score

Antero Resources Corp's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

AR Price Targets Summary
Antero Resources Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast AR stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AR is 34.44 USD with a low forecast of 24.24 USD and a high forecast of 48.3 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
24.24 USD
27% Downside
Average
Price Target
34.44 USD
4% Upside
Highest
Price Target
48.3 USD
45% Upside
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Dividends

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N/A
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0
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AR is .

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Ownership

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Profile

Antero Resources Corp Logo
Antero Resources Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

10.4B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Antero Resources Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas company, which engages in the development, production, exploration and acquisition of natural gas. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado and currently employs 519 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-10-10. The firm is engaged in the development, production, exploration and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs) and oil properties located in the Appalachian Basin. The firm operates in three segments: the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, NGLs and oil; marketing and utilization of excess firm transportation capacity gathering and processing, and midstream services through its equity method investment in Antero Midstream. The firm holds approximately 502,000 net acres of natural gas, NGLs and oil properties located in the Appalachian Basin, primarily in West Virginia and Ohio. The firm owns a 29.1% interest in Antero Midstream Corporation, which consists of gathering systems and compression facilities, water handling and blending facilities, and interests in processing and fractionation plants.

Contact

COLORADO
Denver
1615 Wynkoop St
+13033577325.0
www.anteroresources.com

IPO

2013-10-10

Employees

519

Officers

Co-Founder, President, Chairman & CEO
Mr. Paul M. Rady
Senior VP of Finance & CFO
Mr. Michael N. Kennedy
Chief Compliance Officer, Senior VP of Legal, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Yvette K. Schultz
Senior Vice President of Operations
Mr. Jon S. McEvers
Senior VP of Accounting & Chief Accounting Officer
Ms. Sheri L. Pearce
Senior Vice President of Business Development
Mr. Steven M. Woodward
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Regional Senior Vice President
Mr. J. Kevin Ellis
Senior Vice President of Reserves, Planning & Midstream
Mr. W. Patrick Ash
Senior Vice President of Midstream
Mr. Robert H. Krcek
Senior Vice President of Land
Mr. Timothy J. C. Rady
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AR stock?

The intrinsic value of one AR stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.71 USD.

Is AR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 33.26 USD, Antero Resources Corp is Undervalued by 7%.

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