APi Group Corp
NYSE:APG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one APG stock under the Base Case scenario is 41.09 USD. Compared to the current market price of 36.69 USD, APi Group Corp is Undervalued by 11%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
APi Group Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
APi Group Corp
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APi Group Corp. is a leading provider of safety, security, and industrial services, operating across a vast network of subsidiaries that cater to a diverse range of sectors including construction, fire protection, and environmental services. Founded in 1926, the company has established itself as a trusted partner, delivering innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and safety for its clients. With a strategic focus on expanding its service offerings and geographic reach, APi Group has positioned itself for long-term growth, capitalizing on the ever-increasing demand for integrated safety and security solutions in a fast-evolving landscape. In recent years, APi Group has made...
APi Group Corp. is a leading provider of safety, security, and industrial services, operating across a vast network of subsidiaries that cater to a diverse range of sectors including construction, fire protection, and environmental services. Founded in 1926, the company has established itself as a trusted partner, delivering innovative solutions that enhance operational efficiency and safety for its clients. With a strategic focus on expanding its service offerings and geographic reach, APi Group has positioned itself for long-term growth, capitalizing on the ever-increasing demand for integrated safety and security solutions in a fast-evolving landscape.
In recent years, APi Group has made significant strides through a combination of organic growth and strategic acquisitions, aligning with its vision to become a leader in the global marketplace. The company's robust financial performance, characterized by steady revenue growth and a solid balance sheet, reflects its commitment to operational excellence and customer satisfaction. For investors, APi Group represents an opportunity to invest in a resilient company with a track record of adaptability and innovation, poised to benefit from ongoing industry trends such as increased investment in infrastructure and heightened regulatory standards for safety and compliance. As it continues to expand its capabilities and market presence, APi Group stands out as a potentially rewarding investment for those seeking exposure to the essential services sector.
APi Group Corp. operates across multiple core business segments, primarily focused on providing safety, specialty, and industrial services. Here’s a breakdown of their main business segments:
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Safety Services: This segment includes a variety of services aimed at ensuring safety and compliance in various industries. Services may include fire protection, life safety, and security systems installation and maintenance.
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Specialty Services: APi Group offers specialty construction and industrial services. This includes mechanical, electrical, and other specialized construction services that cater to various sectors, such as commercial, industrial, and residential projects.
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Industrial Services: This segment encompasses a range of services that support industrial operations, including fabrication, construction, testing, and maintenance. They aim to serve sectors that require robust support for large-scale industrial projects.
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Construction Services: APi Group also engages in general construction services, which may involve both large-scale projects and smaller builds across various sectors, including governmental, healthcare, and education facilities.
These segments allow APi Group to diversify its revenue streams and mitigate risks while catering to a wide range of clients across different industries. The company often emphasizes the importance of safety, efficiency, and quality in all of its operations, aligning with best practices in the industry.
APi Group Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the highly fragmented industries it operates within, primarily focusing on safety, specialty, and industrial services. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Diverse Service Portfolio: APi Group offers a wide range of services across different sectors, including construction, safety, and facilities management. This diversification allows cross-selling opportunities and reduces dependency on any single market or sector.
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Strong Brand and Reputation: The company has built a solid reputation over its long history, which enhances its ability to attract and retain clients. A strong brand in these industries can often lead to customer loyalty and repeat business.
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Robust Network and Scale: APi Group operates through numerous subsidiary companies across various regions. This vast network provides significant scale advantages, enabling cost efficiencies and a wide geographic reach to serve clients effectively.
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Experienced Management Team: The leadership team at APi Group has a wealth of industry experience and knowledge, which is crucial for navigating challenges and seizing new opportunities in a dynamic market.
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Focus on Safety and Compliance: APi Group prioritizes safety and regulatory compliance, which is particularly important in industries such as construction and facilities management. This commitment not only reduces risks but also enhances client trust and satisfaction.
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Strategic Acquisitions: APi Group has a history of effectively identifying and integrating acquisitions. This not only expands their service offerings but also allows them to acquire talent and capabilities that enhance their competitive position.
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Technology and Innovation: Investment in technology to improve operational efficiencies and service delivery can set APi apart from its competitors. Technology can aid in project management, client communication, and overall service execution.
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Sustainable Practices: A commitment to sustainability and environmentally friendly practices may appeal to clients who value corporate responsibility, creating a competitive edge in bidding for environmentally conscious projects.
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Strong Customer Relationships: Long-term relationships with clients across various sectors can lead to predictable revenue streams and a deep understanding of customer needs, which APi can leverage to offer tailored solutions.
By effectively leveraging these competitive advantages, APi Group Corp can maintain its position as a leader in its industries and navigate the complexities of market competition.
APi Group Corp, a global leader in safety, security, and infrastructure services, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can be categorized into various areas:
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can lead to reduced spending on construction and infrastructure projects. Fluctuations in the economy can impact APi’s revenues and profitability, particularly in sectors sensitive to economic cycles.
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Regulatory Compliance: The company operates in highly regulated industries. Changes in regulations regarding safety, environmental standards, and labor laws can lead to increased operational costs and complexity.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues can affect the availability of materials and increase costs. APi may face challenges in sourcing critical components, which could delay project timelines and impact profitability.
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Labor Shortages: The construction and services industries frequently face labor shortages. Difficulty in attracting and retaining skilled labor can hinder APi’s ability to deliver projects on time and maintain quality standards.
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Competition: The industry is competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. Intense competition could pressure profit margins and affect APi's ability to win contracts.
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Technological Disruption: Rapid advancements in technology may pose challenges. Failure to adapt to new technologies or incorporate them into services can hinder operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a growing tech-driven business, APi Group is exposed to cybersecurity risks. A significant data breach or cyberattack could disrupt operations and damage its reputation.
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Debt Levels and Financial Management: APi's acquisitions and growth strategy may lead to higher debt levels. Managing this debt efficiently, particularly in a rising interest rate environment, is crucial to maintain financial stability.
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Environmental and Climate Risks: As climate change continues to impact business conditions, APi may face increased risks related to extreme weather events that can disrupt operations and affect project delivery.
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Client Concentration Risks: If a significant portion of revenue comes from a limited number of clients, losing one or more of these clients could disproportionately impact financial performance.
Addressing these risks will require careful strategic planning, effective risk management practices, and adaptability to changing market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
APi Group Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
APi Group Corp
Current Assets | 2.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 487m |
Receivables | 1.9B |
Other Current Assets | 307m |
Non-Current Assets | 5.6B |
PP&E | 651m |
Intangibles | 4.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 240m |
Current Liabilities | 1.8B |
Accounts Payable | 454m |
Accrued Liabilities | 643m |
Other Current Liabilities | 684m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 457m |
Earnings Waterfall
APi Group Corp
Revenue
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6.9B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-4.8B
USD
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Gross Profit
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2.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-1.6B
USD
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Operating Income
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477m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-929m
USD
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Net Income
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-452m
USD
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
APi Group Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
APi Group's Q3 revenues rose 2.4% to $1.83 billion, driven by a 9% growth in Safety Services. However, Specialty Services fell 13.4%. They adjusted their 2024 revenue guidance to $7 billion, down from $7.15 billion, due to project delays. Adjusted EBITDA is expected between $890 million and $900 million, reflecting 13-15% growth. Importantly, they now project a 75% free cash flow conversion, up from 70%. They aim for a 13% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2025, signaling confidence in their strategy despite current setbacks in project execution.
What is Earnings Call?
APG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
APi Group Corp's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
APi Group Corp's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
APG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
APi Group Corp's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
APi Group Corp's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
APG Price Targets Summary
APi Group Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for APG is 44.09 USD with a low forecast of 36.36 USD and a high forecast of 52.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for APG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
APG Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
APi Group Corp. provides life safety solutions and industrial specialty services. The company is headquartered in New Brighton, Minnesota and currently employs 13,300 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2017-10-10. The Company’s segments include Safety Services, Specialty Services, and Industrial Services. The Safety Services segment is a provider of safety services in North America and Europe, focusing on end-to-end integrated occupancy systems, including the design, installation, inspection, and service of these integrated systems. The Specialty Services segment is a provider of a variety of infrastructure services and specialized industrial plant services, which include maintenance and repair of critical infrastructures, such as electric, gas, water, sewer, and telecommunications infrastructure. The Industrial Services segment is a provider of a variety of services to the energy industry focused on transmission and distribution. The Company’s services include engineering and design, fabrication, installation, maintenance service and repair, and retrofitting and upgrading.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one APG stock under the Base Case scenario is 41.09 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 36.69 USD, APi Group Corp is Undervalued by 11%.