Antero Midstream Corp
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AM stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.38 USD. Compared to the current market price of 15.77 USD, Antero Midstream Corp is Overvalued by 2%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Antero Midstream Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Antero Midstream Corp. is a key player in the energy infrastructure sector, primarily focused on providing essential midstream services to Antero Resources, one of the country's largest natural gas and natural gas liquids producers. Established as a distinct entity in 2014, Antero Midstream operates in the highly prolific Appalachian Basin, where it transports, processes, and stores natural gas products derived from shale formations. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for clean and efficient energy sources, bolstered by a robust pipeline network and an array of processing and compression facilities. Its integrated approach ensures stability and sus...
Antero Midstream Corp. is a key player in the energy infrastructure sector, primarily focused on providing essential midstream services to Antero Resources, one of the country's largest natural gas and natural gas liquids producers. Established as a distinct entity in 2014, Antero Midstream operates in the highly prolific Appalachian Basin, where it transports, processes, and stores natural gas products derived from shale formations. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for clean and efficient energy sources, bolstered by a robust pipeline network and an array of processing and compression facilities. Its integrated approach ensures stability and sustainability in revenue, largely underpinned by long-term, take-or-pay contracts with Antero Resources, granting investors assurance amid the inherent volatility of energy markets.
For investors, Antero Midstream offers an attractive proposition not only through its potential for consistent cash flow and distribution growth but also through its disciplined financial management and strong operational performance. The company operates with a focus on reducing costs and optimizing its asset base, positioning itself as a low-cost operator in the midstream arena. In a time when energy transition and sustainability are at the forefront, Antero Midstream is actively exploring opportunities to innovate and enhance its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) commitments. This combination of strategic growth, fiscal responsibility, and commitment to social values creates a compelling narrative that captures the interest of investors seeking both income and long-term appreciation in a vital industry sector.
Antero Midstream Corporation primarily operates in the natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) midstream sector. Its core business segments involve the following:
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Gathering and Processing (G&P): Antero Midstream provides gathering services to transport natural gas and NGLs from wellheads to processing facilities. They also process the gas to remove impurities and separate NGLs, which are then further processed or transported. This segment is crucial as it supports Antero Resources, their upstream partner.
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Water Solutions: This segment involves the management and transportation of fresh water, produced water, and wastewater for hydraulic fracturing operations. Antero Midstream helps facilitate the water needs of its customers, significantly supporting the upstream production processes.
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Transportation and Storage: Antero Midstream owns and operates pipelines and storage facilities that transport natural gas, NGLs, and other associated products. This infrastructure is essential for ensuring efficient delivery and storage, helping to minimize downtime and optimize logistics.
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NGL Services: This segment includes the transportation, fractionation, and marketing of NGLs. Antero Midstream processes and markets products like ethane, propane, and butane, providing an integrated service for producers.
These segments enable Antero Midstream to play a vital role in the energy supply chain, particularly focusing on serving the Appalachian Basin, where it has significant operations related to Utica and Marcellus shale formations. Their integrated approach allows for efficiencies and cost savings while also capitalizing on the growing U.S. natural gas and NGL markets.
Antero Midstream Corp, a key player in the midstream oil and gas industry, has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Integration with Antero Resources: Antero Midstream is closely linked with Antero Resources, its upstream counterpart. This vertical integration provides a steady supply of natural gas and NGLs (Natural Gas Liquids), ensuring a consistent revenue stream and reducing dependency on third parties.
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Strategic Location: The company operates in the highly productive Marcellus and Utica shale regions, which are among the most prolific natural gas basins in the United States. This advantageous positioning allows for lower transportation costs and better access to key markets.
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Robust Infrastructure: Antero Midstream boasts a well-developed network of pipelines, processing facilities, and compression stations. This extensive infrastructure allows the company to efficiently gather, process, and transport natural gas and liquids, providing a competitive edge in service delivery.
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Long-term Contracts: The company typically engages in long-term contracts with customers, which provides predictable cash flows and financial stability. This contracts-based revenue model helps mitigate exposure to commodity price volatility.
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Focus on Low-cost Operations: Antero Midstream emphasizes operational efficiency and cost management. By maintaining a lean operational structure and investing in technology, the company can reduce operational costs, enhancing profitability.
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Growth Potential: Antero Midstream has significant growth opportunities due to its extensive land position and the potential for expansion in its service capabilities. This positions the company well to capitalize on increasing demand for natural gas and related services.
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Robust Financial Position: With a strong balance sheet and favorable access to capital, Antero Midstream can invest in growth projects without over-leveraging. This financial flexibility enables the company to weather industry downturns better than some competitors.
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Customer Diversification: The company serves a variety of customers, not just its parent company, which helps to diversify its revenue streams and reduce risks associated with reliance on a single source.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Antero Midstream has been investing in sustainable energy practices and mitigating methane emissions. This forward-thinking approach can appeal to environmentally conscious investors and align with broader industry trends toward sustainability.
These competitive advantages enable Antero Midstream Corp to maintain a strong position in the midstream sector while navigating the complexities of the energy market.
Antero Midstream Corp, like other companies in the midstream sector, faces several risks and challenges that can impact its operations and financial performance. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Market Volatility: The oil and gas industry is subject to significant price volatility. Fluctuations in commodity prices can impact the demand for midstream services and influence contractual arrangements.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in environmental regulations, safety standards, and energy policies can impose additional costs or operational constraints. Stricter regulations regarding emissions, water use, and land use can affect project feasibility.
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Counterparty Risk: Antero Midstream relies on contracts with producers and other counterparties. If these parties experience financial difficulties or insolvency, it could result in revenue loss or unpaid obligations.
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Operational Risks: There are inherent risks associated with the operation of pipelines and infrastructure, including equipment failures, accidents, leaks, and natural disasters. Management of these risks is crucial to maintaining operational integrity and compliance.
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Capital Expenditure and Financing: Significant capital expenditures are often required for infrastructure development and maintenance. Access to capital markets can be influenced by market conditions, interest rates, and the company’s creditworthiness. If financing becomes constrained, development plans may be hindered.
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Infrastructure Development and Competition: There is ongoing competition within the midstream sector, with numerous players vying for contracts and market share. Additionally, delays in the construction of new infrastructure can impact the ability to meet increasing demand.
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Shifts in Energy Demand: The transition towards renewable energy and changing consumer preferences can lead to reduced demand for fossil fuels. This transition could alter long-term demand for midstream services as the energy landscape evolves.
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Geopolitical Risks: Global geopolitical events can impact energy markets, potentially influencing supply chains, pricing, and demand for natural gas and other hydrocarbons.
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Technology and Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology can change the competitive dynamics within the energy sector. Companies that fail to adapt to new technologies may risk losing operational efficiency or market share.
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Health and Safety Risks: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in supply chains and workforce health. Ongoing health concerns can impact workforce availability and operational efficiency.
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Public Perception and Activism: Increasing public scrutiny and activism concerning environmental issues can lead to reputational risks and operational challenges. Companies are increasingly expected to demonstrate environmental stewardship and sustainability.
By understanding and navigating these risks, Antero Midstream can better position itself to maintain resilience in the face of challenges within the energy sector.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Antero Midstream Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Antero Midstream Corp
Current Assets | 99.9m |
Receivables | 98.6m |
Other Current Assets | 1.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 5.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 609.4m |
PP&E | 3.9B |
Intangibles | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 13.6m |
Current Liabilities | 91.5m |
Accounts Payable | 15m |
Accrued Liabilities | 75.6m |
Other Current Liabilities | 920k |
Non-Current Liabilities | 3.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 384.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Antero Midstream Corp
Revenue
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1.1B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-440.2m
USD
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Operating Income
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638.7m
USD
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Other Expenses
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-249.1m
USD
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Net Income
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389.6m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Antero Midstream Corp
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
AM Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Antero Midstream Corp's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Antero Midstream Corp's profitability score is 63/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AM Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Antero Midstream Corp's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Antero Midstream Corp's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AM Price Targets Summary
Antero Midstream Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AM is 15.66 USD with a low forecast of 14.14 USD and a high forecast of 16.8 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AM is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AM Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Antero Midstream Corp. owns, operates, and develops midstream energy assets to service Antero Resources production and completion activity. The company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado. The company went IPO on 2017-05-04. The Company’s assets consist of gathering systems and compression facilities, water handling and blending facilities and interests in processing. The Company’s segments include Gathering and Processing, and Water Handling. The Gathering and Processing segment includes a network of gathering pipelines and compressor stations that collect and process production from wells in West Virginia and Ohio. The Gathering and Processing segment also includes equity in earnings from the Company’s investments in the Joint Venture and Stonewall. The Company’s Water Handling segment includes two independent systems that deliver freshwater from sources, including the Ohio River, local reservoirs and several regional waterways. The Water Handling segment also includes the clearwater facility.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AM stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.38 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.77 USD, Antero Midstream Corp is Overvalued by 2%.