American International Group Inc
NYSE:AIG
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AIG stock under the Base Case scenario is 86.75 USD. Compared to the current market price of 75.96 USD, American International Group Inc is Undervalued by 12%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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American International Group Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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American International Group Inc. (AIG) stands as a titan in the international insurance and financial services industry, with a storied history dating back to 1919. Initially focusing on providing insurance coverage for American businesses operating abroad, AIG has evolved into a global powerhouse, offering a comprehensive array of products including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, and retirement solutions. The company operates in over 80 countries, positioning itself as a crucial player in both emerging and established markets. With a strong emphasis on risk management, AIG not only protects individuals and businesses but also stabilizes communities during economic upheava...
American International Group Inc. (AIG) stands as a titan in the international insurance and financial services industry, with a storied history dating back to 1919. Initially focusing on providing insurance coverage for American businesses operating abroad, AIG has evolved into a global powerhouse, offering a comprehensive array of products including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, and retirement solutions. The company operates in over 80 countries, positioning itself as a crucial player in both emerging and established markets. With a strong emphasis on risk management, AIG not only protects individuals and businesses but also stabilizes communities during economic upheavals. Their resilience was notably tested during the financial crisis of 2008 when AIG received a federal bailout, a moment that reshaped their approach to governance and risk assessment.
For the savvy investor, AIG presents a compelling narrative of transformation and opportunity. Following years of restructuring and a renewed focus on core operations, the company is now strategically positioning itself for growth in a rapidly changing insurance landscape. AIG has enhanced its underwriting discipline and streamlined its portfolio, focusing on high-margin businesses that promise robust returns. Moreover, with increasing global demand for insurance solutions, fueled by climate change and digital transformations, AIG is poised to capitalize on favorable market trends. As the company continues its journey toward recovery and expansion, investors can look forward to learning about a solid blend of historical resilience and forward-looking strategy, making AIG a noteworthy contender in the insurance sector.
American International Group, Inc. (AIG) is a global insurance organization that provides a range of insurance products and services across various segments. The core business segments of AIG can be broadly categorized into the following:
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General Insurance: This segment comprises the majority of AIG's revenue and includes:
- Property Casualty Insurance: Offers coverage for businesses and individuals against losses resulting from property damage and liability claims. It includes products like commercial insurance, personal auto insurance, and homeowners insurance.
- Specialty Insurance: Provides coverage for more specific and sometimes complex risks, including but not limited to environmental accidents, cyber risks, and professional liability.
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Life and Retirement: This segment focuses on life insurance, retirement products, and investment solutions. It includes:
- Life Insurance: Engages in the underwriting and sales of various life insurance policies including term life, whole life, and universal life.
- Retirement Solutions: Offers products such as annuities and retirement plans that help customers prepare for retirement income needs.
- Asset Management: Involves investment management services aimed at individuals and institutional clients.
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Other Operations: This may include AIG's corporate activities and investments that do not fall into the General Insurance or Life and Retirement categories.
Overall, AIG operates with a focus on providing comprehensive risk management solutions while leveraging its global presence and industry expertise to meet the diverse needs of its clients. The company continually assesses its product offerings and market strategies to ensure sustainability and growth in a competitive landscape.
American International Group Inc. (AIG) possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the insurance and financial services sectors. These advantages include:
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Global Presence: AIG is one of the largest insurance organizations in the world, operating in more than 80 countries. This extensive geographic reach allows AIG to diversify its risk exposure and better serve multinational clients with comprehensive solutions tailored to various local markets.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: AIG offers a wide range of insurance and financial products, including property and casualty insurance, life insurance, accident and health insurance, and retirement solutions. This diversification helps to stabilize revenue streams and protects the company from sector-specific downturns.
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Strong Brand Recognition: AIG has a long-standing reputation, which enhances customer trust and loyalty. Branding as a reliable and established player in the insurance market attracts both individual and corporate clients, which is crucial in the competitive insurance industry.
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Expertise in Specialty Insurance: AIG has built a strong expertise in specialty insurance lines, including environmental, cyber, and terrorism insurance. This niche positioning allows AIG to cater to specific business needs that may not be effectively addressed by competitors.
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Investment Management Capabilities: AIG's significant investment portfolios allow it to manage asset-liability matching effectively, generating returns that support the insurance underwriting business. The company’s strong financial management practices can provide it with a competitive edge in pricing and risk selection.
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Innovative Technology Adoption: AIG is increasingly investing in technology to enhance underwriting, claims processing, and customer engagement. This focus on innovation can lead to better efficiency, reduced costs, and improved customer experiences.
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Robust Risk Management: AIG’s extensive experience and developed frameworks in risk management allow it to assess and price risk effectively. This capability is crucial for maintaining profitability, especially in complex and volatile markets.
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Strong Reinsurance Relationships: AIG has established strategic partnerships with reinsurers that can provide additional capital and support in times of significant claims. This further bolsters AIG’s risk management capabilities and allows for greater underwriting flexibility.
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Regulatory Expertise: Given the highly regulated nature of the insurance industry, AIG's established relationships with regulatory bodies and understanding of compliance can give it a competitive advantage in navigating complexities that smaller rivals may struggle with.
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Customer-Centric Approach: AIG’s commitment to understanding and addressing the needs of its clients can enhance customer satisfaction and retention. Tailoring insurance solutions to fit individual client profiles adds value and differentiates AIG from competitors.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, AIG positions itself as a formidable player in the insurance landscape, capable of navigating challenges and capitalizing on opportunities more effectively than many of its rivals.
American International Group Inc. (AIG) faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Volatility: AIG's investment portfolio is exposed to market fluctuations, including interest rate changes and equity market volatility. Significant swings in the market could affect the value of its investments and lead to greater underwriting risks.
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Regulatory Challenges: The insurance sector is heavily regulated. Changes in regulations or compliance requirements can affect operational costs and the ability to write new business. AIG also faces scrutiny regarding its capital requirements and risk management practices.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can lead to reduced demand for insurance products as businesses and consumers cut back on spending. Additionally, prolonged low interest rates can compress margins, particularly in AIG's life and retirement businesses.
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Natural Disasters and Climate Change: AIG's exposure to property and casualty insurance subjects it to risks from natural disasters (hurricanes, floods, etc.). The increasing frequency and severity of such events, exacerbated by climate change, could lead to higher claims.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a global insurer, AIG manages vast amounts of sensitive customer data, making it a target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could lead to financial losses, reputational damage, and regulatory fines.
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Competition: The insurance industry is highly competitive, with many players offering similar products. AIG must innovate and differentiate its offerings to maintain market share, which may require higher marketing and operational costs.
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Life Insurance Risks: In its life insurance division, AIG faces risks related to underwriting assumptions. An increase in mortality rates or a shift in customer behavior could impact its profitability and reserves.
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Litigation Risks: Like many large corporations, AIG is subject to various legal proceedings which can be costly and distracting. Adverse outcomes can lead to financial penalties and reputational harm.
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Global Geopolitical Risks: AIG operates internationally, and geopolitical tensions, trade wars, or changes in international relations can impact its business operations and profitability.
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Talent Retention and Workforce Management: Attracting and retaining skilled employees is crucial for operational efficiency and innovation. A competitive labor market poses challenges in acquiring and maintaining talent.
Addressing these risks will require strategic foresight, robust risk management practices, and adaptability to changing market and regulatory environments.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
American International Group Inc
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.5B |
Insurance Receivable | 11.2B |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost | 2.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 98.1B |
Other Assets | 56.5B |
Insurance Policy Liabilities | 105.1B |
Long Term Debt | 10.1B |
Other Liabilities | 9.3B |
In the third quarter of 2024, AIG reported adjusted after-tax income of $798 million, up 31% year-over-year, driven by strong underwriting performance. The general insurance segment saw net premiums written increase by 6%, totaling $6.4 billion. Despite $417 million in catastrophe-related charges, the combined ratio improved slightly to 92.6%. AIG plans to achieve a 10% core operating return on equity in 2025. The company returned approximately $1.8 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends, underscoring its strong financial position. Management remains optimistic about growth opportunities, particularly in the casualty markets and through disciplined capital management.
What is Earnings Call?
Wall St
Price Targets
AIG Price Targets Summary
American International Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AIG is 86.51 USD with a low forecast of 76.76 USD and a high forecast of 100.8 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AIG is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AIG Insider Trading
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Description
American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, and other financial services to commercial and individual customers. The company is headquartered in New York City, New York and currently employs 36,600 full-time employees. The firm provides a range of property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement solutions and other financial services to customers in approximately 70 countries and jurisdictions. Its diverse offerings include products and services that help businesses and individuals protect their assets, manage risks and provide for retirement security. The company segments include General Insurance, Life and Retirement and Other Operations. Its General Insurance segment consists of two segments: North America and International. Its Life and Retirement segment consists of four segments: Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance and Institutional Markets. Its North America and International segments consist of two product categories: Commercial Lines, which consists of Liability, Financial Lines, Property and Global Specialty, and Personal Insurance, which consists of Personal Lines, and Accident and Health.
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The intrinsic value of one AIG stock under the Base Case scenario is 86.75 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 75.96 USD, American International Group Inc is Undervalued by 12%.