Assured Guaranty Ltd
NYSE:AGO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AGO stock under the Base Case scenario is 73.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 93.09 USD, Assured Guaranty Ltd is Overvalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Assured Guaranty Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Assured Guaranty Ltd
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Balance Sheet Decomposition
Assured Guaranty Ltd
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 147m |
Insurance Receivable | 1.5B |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost | 172m |
Long-Term Investments | 9.2B |
Other Assets | 1.3B |
Insurance Policy Liabilities | 3.9B |
Long Term Debt | 1.7B |
Other Liabilities | 981m |
Assured Guaranty reported a third-quarter 2024 adjusted operating income of $130 million, reflecting a notable recovery from last year's one-time gains. The company's economic loss development showcased a $34 million benefit, primarily due to strong home prices and healthcare improvements in the U.S. New business production surged to $281 million in the first nine months, up $32 million year-over-year, supported by significant municipal bond issuance. The firm aims for $500 million in share repurchases this year and next, maintaining strong capital positions with affirmed ratings. Overall, growth is expected to continue as demand for bond insurance remains high.
What is Earnings Call?
Wall St
Price Targets
AGO Price Targets Summary
Assured Guaranty Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AGO is 108.63 USD with a low forecast of 95.95 USD and a high forecast of 121.8 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AGO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AGO Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of credit protection products to the U.S. and international public finance, and structured finance markets through its subsidiaries. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to the United States and international public finance, including infrastructure, and structured finance markets. The company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. The company guarantees obligations issued principally in the United States and the United Kingdom and also guarantees obligations issued in other countries and regions, including Australia and Western Europe. The company also provides other forms of insurance that are in line with its risk profile and benefit from its underwriting experience.
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The intrinsic value of one AGO stock under the Base Case scenario is 73.13 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 93.09 USD, Assured Guaranty Ltd is Overvalued by 21%.