Assured Guaranty Ltd
NYSE:AGO

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Assured Guaranty Ltd
NYSE:AGO
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Price: 93.09 USD 1.06% Market Closed
Market Cap: 4.9B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one AGO stock under the Base Case scenario is 73.13 USD. Compared to the current market price of 93.09 USD, Assured Guaranty Ltd is Overvalued by 21%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

AGO Intrinsic Value
73.13 USD
Overvaluation 21%
Intrinsic Value
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Assured Guaranty Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Assured Guaranty Ltd

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Assured Guaranty Ltd

Cash & Short-Term Investments 147m
Insurance Receivable 1.5B
Deferred Policy Acquisition Cost 172m
Long-Term Investments 9.2B
Other Assets 1.3B
Insurance Policy Liabilities 3.9B
Long Term Debt 1.7B
Other Liabilities 981m
Earnings Calls

Assured Guaranty reported a third-quarter 2024 adjusted operating income of $130 million, reflecting a notable recovery from last year's one-time gains. The company's economic loss development showcased a $34 million benefit, primarily due to strong home prices and healthcare improvements in the U.S. New business production surged to $281 million in the first nine months, up $32 million year-over-year, supported by significant municipal bond issuance. The firm aims for $500 million in share repurchases this year and next, maintaining strong capital positions with affirmed ratings. Overall, growth is expected to continue as demand for bond insurance remains high.

What is Earnings Call?

Wall St
Price Targets

AGO Price Targets Summary
Assured Guaranty Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast AGO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AGO is 108.63 USD with a low forecast of 95.95 USD and a high forecast of 121.8 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
95.95 USD
3% Upside
Average
Price Target
108.63 USD
17% Upside
Highest
Price Target
121.8 USD
31% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for AGO is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Average
Highest

Ownership

AGO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Profile

Assured Guaranty Ltd Logo
Assured Guaranty Ltd

Country

Bermuda

Industry

Insurance

Market Cap

4.8B USD

Dividend Yield

1.3%

Description

Assured Guaranty Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of credit protection products to the U.S. and international public finance, and structured finance markets through its subsidiaries. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to the United States and international public finance, including infrastructure, and structured finance markets. The company applies its credit underwriting judgment, risk management skills and capital markets experience primarily to offer financial guaranty insurance that protects holders of debt instruments and other monetary obligations from defaults in scheduled payments. The company markets its financial guaranty insurance directly to issuers and underwriters of public finance and structured finance securities, as well as to investors in such obligations. The company guarantees obligations issued principally in the United States and the United Kingdom and also guarantees obligations issued in other countries and regions, including Australia and Western Europe. The company also provides other forms of insurance that are in line with its risk profile and benefit from its underwriting experience.

Contact

Pembroke
5th Floor, 30 Woodbourne Avenue
+4412795700.0
assuredguaranty.com

IPO

2004-04-23

Employees

407

Officers

Deputy Chairman, President & CEO
Mr. Dominic John Frederico
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Robert Adam Bailenson
General Counsel & Secretary
Ms. Gon Ling Chow
Chief Surveillance Officer
Ms. Holly Larie Horn
Chief Credit Officer
Mr. Stephen John Donnarumma
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Benjamin G. Rosenblum
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Chief Accounting Officer & Controller
Ms. Laura Ann Bieling
CTO & Head of Information Technology
Mr. Christopher M. Gibbons
Chief Information Officer
Kirk Edmunds
Senior Managing Director of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
Mr. Robert S. Tucker
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one AGO stock?

The intrinsic value of one AGO stock under the Base Case scenario is 73.13 USD.

Is AGO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 93.09 USD, Assured Guaranty Ltd is Overvalued by 21%.

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