Albertsons Companies Inc
NYSE:ACI
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ACI stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.173 USD. Compared to the current market price of 19.155 USD, Albertsons Companies Inc is Undervalued by 50%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Albertsons Companies Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Albertsons Companies Inc. is one of the largest grocery chains in the United States, with a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1939 by Joe Albertson in Boise, Idaho. Over the decades, the company has expanded its footprint significantly, operating over 2,200 locations across 34 states under various well-known banners, including Safeway, Vons, and Albertsons itself. With a strong emphasis on customer satisfaction, Albertsons has invested in modernizing its stores and enhancing its e-commerce capabilities, allowing it to better compete in an increasingly digital marketplace. The company has also focused on sustainability, with initiatives aimed at reducing waste and sourcing local...
Albertsons Companies Inc. is one of the largest grocery chains in the United States, with a rich history that dates back to its founding in 1939 by Joe Albertson in Boise, Idaho. Over the decades, the company has expanded its footprint significantly, operating over 2,200 locations across 34 states under various well-known banners, including Safeway, Vons, and Albertsons itself. With a strong emphasis on customer satisfaction, Albertsons has invested in modernizing its stores and enhancing its e-commerce capabilities, allowing it to better compete in an increasingly digital marketplace. The company has also focused on sustainability, with initiatives aimed at reducing waste and sourcing local produce, helping to create a stronger connection with its communities and customers.
For investors, Albertsons presents an intriguing opportunity given its robust market presence and commitment to innovation. The grocery sector has shown resilience even during economic downturns, providing a stable revenue base. Additionally, the company has demonstrated a willingness to adapt to changing consumer preferences, such as incorporating organic and health-conscious products. With a strategic focus on cost management and operational efficiency, Albertsons is well-positioned to navigate the competitive landscape, making it an attractive investment for those seeking both stability and growth potential in the retail food industry.
Albertsons Companies, Inc. operates a diverse range of business segments primarily within the grocery and retail sector. Here are the core business segments of Albertsons:
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Food Retail: This is the primary segment of Albertsons, which includes its grocery stores, supermarkets, and other retail formats. The company operates under various well-known banners, such as Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco, Shaw's, and ACME Markets. This segment focuses on delivering a broad range of grocery products, including fresh produce, meat, dairy, bakery, and packaged goods.
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Pharmacy: Albertsons operates pharmacies within many of its grocery stores. This segment provides prescription medications, over-the-counter drugs, health and wellness products, and services like immunizations and health screenings. The pharmacy segment is a crucial component of the overall shopping experience for customers seeking convenience.
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Health and Wellness: Beyond traditional pharmacy offerings, this segment focuses on providing health and wellness products, including vitamins, supplements, organic foods, and natural products. This reflects a broader trend in consumer preferences toward healthier lifestyles and products.
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E-commerce and Digital Services: The e-commerce segment has gained significant importance, especially in response to changing consumer behavior. Albertsons offers online grocery shopping, delivery, and curbside pickup services. Their digital platforms support customers in managing their shopping experiences, including personalized promotions, loyalty programs, and meal planning.
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Private Label Products: Albertsons manufactures and sells a variety of private label products, such as Own Brands, which aim to provide customers with high-quality alternatives at competitive prices. This segment not only enhances profitability but also allows for greater customer loyalty and brand differentiation.
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Fuel and Convenience Stores: Some Albertsons locations feature fuel centers that provide convenience to customers, enhancing foot traffic and overall store performance. This segment supports the core grocery business by offering additional services and products.
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Wholesale Distribution: While primarily a retail company, Albertsons also engages in wholesale distribution, supplying products to independent grocery stores and other retailers, which helps diversify revenue streams.
In summary, Albertsons Companies, Inc. focuses on a multi-faceted approach to the grocery and retail business, emphasizing a combination of traditional retail, health, e-commerce, and private label strategies to meet diversified consumer needs.
Albertsons Companies Inc possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the grocery industry:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Albertsons operates a diverse range of grocery stores, including Safeway, Vons, Jewel-Osco, and Albertsons, which allows it to cater to various customer demographics and preferences. This strong brand portfolio can enhance customer loyalty and market presence.
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Local Market Adaptation: The company has a strong focus on local branding and community engagement. By tailoring its product offerings and services to meet the specific needs of local markets, Albertsons can build stronger relationships with customers and differentiate itself from national competitors.
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Robust Supply Chain and Distribution Network: Albertsons has developed a sophisticated supply chain management system, which reduces operational costs and ensures product availability. Its distribution centers are strategically located, enabling efficient logistics and timely delivery of products.
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Private Label Products: The company has a wide range of private label products, which generally offer higher margins compared to national brands. This can attract price-sensitive customers while also allowing Albertsons to differentiate its product offerings.
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Omni-Channel Presence: Albertsons has invested significantly in its digital capabilities, offering online shopping, home delivery, and curbside pickup services. This omnichannel approach meets the evolving preferences of consumers and helps retain a competitive edge over rivals that may lag in digital transformation.
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Innovative Customer Engagement: The company emphasizes customer loyalty programs and personalized marketing strategies. Their loyalty program, for example, enables targeted promotions and enhances customer retention.
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Focus on Fresh and Organic Products: With increasing consumer demand for fresh, organic, and healthy food options, Albertsons has positioned itself competitively by offering a diverse selection of fresh produce and organic products, appealing to health-conscious shoppers.
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Acquisition Strategy: Albertsons has pursued strategic acquisitions that enhance its market share and operational capabilities. This not only expands its footprint but also enables it to leverage economies of scale.
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Sustainability Initiatives: The company is investing in sustainability practices, such as reducing food waste, sustainable sourcing, and environmentally friendly packaging. These initiatives can resonate with consumers increasingly concerned about corporate responsibility.
Together, these competitive advantages allow Albertsons Companies Inc to maintain a strong position within the grocery sector, adapting to changing market dynamics while meeting consumer demands effectively.
Albertsons Companies Inc, like many companies in the retail and grocery sector, faces several risks and challenges as it navigates the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Competition: The grocery industry is highly competitive, with numerous players ranging from traditional supermarkets to discount chains and online grocery services. The rise of e-commerce grocery shopping, particularly from companies like Amazon and Walmart, poses a significant threat.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain disruptions due to global events, pandemics, or natural disasters can impact the availability of products, leading to lost sales and customer dissatisfaction.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or inflation can affect consumer purchasing behavior. During tough economic times, consumers may trade down to cheaper alternatives or reduce spending.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: A shift in consumer preferences towards healthier and organic options requires constant adaptation in product offerings. Failure to meet these preferences can result in loss of market share.
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Labor Challenges: Recruiting and retaining employees in the retail sector can be challenging, especially in a tight labor market. Increased labor costs and the impact of labor unions can also affect profitability.
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Health and Safety Regulations: Adhering to health and safety regulations, especially in the wake of COVID-19, is vital. Non-compliance can lead to fines and damage to the company’s reputation.
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Technology Adoption: As the industry increasingly relies on technology for supply chain management and customer engagement (e.g., online shopping platforms, loyalty programs, data analytics), Albertsons must keep pace with digital transformation or risk falling behind.
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Private Label and Brand Competition: The growth of private labels from other retailers can pressure margins. Strengthening its private label offerings while maintaining brand loyalty is crucial.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations regarding food safety, labor laws, and environmental standards could lead to increased operational costs for compliance.
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Sustainability and Environmental Concerns: Consumers are becoming more concerned about sustainability practices. Failing to address environmental concerns can hurt brand image and consumer loyalty.
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Debt Levels: If Albertsons carries high levels of debt or has a weak balance sheet, this could create financial difficulties, especially if interest rates rise or revenues decline.
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Mergers and Acquisitions Risks: If Albertsons pursues mergers or acquisitions, there are inherent risks related to integration, cultural fit, and potential regulatory scrutiny.
Addressing these challenges proactively through strategic planning, market analysis, and innovation will be essential for Albertsons to maintain its competitive edge and ensure long-term success.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Albertsons Companies Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Albertsons Companies Inc
Current Assets | 6.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 280m |
Receivables | 897.6m |
Other Current Assets | 5.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 19.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 109.6m |
PP&E | 15.6B |
Intangibles | 3.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 619.3m |
Current Liabilities | 7.4B |
Accounts Payable | 4.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 16.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 7.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 8.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
Albertsons Companies Inc
Revenue
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79.7B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-57.5B
USD
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Gross Profit
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22.2B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-20.1B
USD
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Operating Income
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2.1B
USD
|
Other Expenses
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-1.1B
USD
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Net Income
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998.1m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Albertsons Companies Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
ACI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Albertsons Companies Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Albertsons Companies Inc's profitability score is 58/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ACI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Albertsons Companies Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Albertsons Companies Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ACI Price Targets Summary
Albertsons Companies Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ACI is 24.318 USD with a low forecast of 17.17 USD and a high forecast of 28.613 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ACI is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Albertsons Cos., Inc. engages in the operation of food and drug retail stores. The company is headquartered in Boise, Idaho. The company went IPO on 2020-06-26. The Company’s stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, fuel, and other items and services. The company operates approximately 2,278 stores across 34 states and the District of Columbia under 20 banners including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, Acme, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets and Balducci's Food Lovers Market. The firm operates approximately 1,725 pharmacies, 1,313 in-store branded coffee shops, 399 associated fuel centers, 22 dedicated distribution centers, 20 manufacturing facilities and various digital platforms. In addition, the Company also collaborates with third parties, including Instacart for rush delivery as well as DoorDash for delivery of its prepared and ready-to-eat offerings.
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The intrinsic value of one ACI stock under the Base Case scenario is 38.173 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 19.155 USD, Albertsons Companies Inc is Undervalued by 50%.