Vedanta Ltd
NSE:VEDL
If you don’t study any companies, you have the same success buying stocks as you do in a poker game if you bet without looking at your cards.
Utilize notes to systematically review your investment decisions. By reflecting on past outcomes, you can discern effective strategies and identify those that underperformed. This continuous feedback loop enables you to adapt and refine your approach, optimizing for future success.
Each note serves as a learning point, offering insights into your decision-making processes. Over time, you'll accumulate a personalized database of knowledge, enhancing your ability to make informed decisions quickly and effectively.
With a comprehensive record of your investment history at your fingertips, you can compare current opportunities against past experiences. This not only bolsters your confidence but also ensures that each decision is grounded in a well-documented rationale.
Do you really want to delete this note?
This action cannot be undone.
| 52 Week Range |
233.35
516.15
|
| Price Target |
|
We'll email you a reminder when the closing price reaches INR.
Choose the stock you wish to monitor with a price alert.
This alert will be permanently deleted.
Vedanta Ltd
You don't have any saved screeners yet
Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Vedanta Limited Q2 FY '22 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Varun Kapoor from Vedanta Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, operator, and good evening, everyone. This is Varun Kapoor, and it's my pleasure to do with the Vedanta Limited Earnings Call for Q2 FY '22. So we have with us today, the management team presented by Mr. Sunil Duggal, who is our Group CEO; Mr. Ajay Goel, Group acting CFO; Mr. Arun Misra, CFO of Hindustan Zinc; Mr. Prachur Sah, Deputy CEO Oil & Gas, Mr. Rahul Sharma, Chief Executive Officer of Aluminum, and Mr. Sauvick Mazumdar, CFO, Iron & Steel.So with that, I would like to hand it over to Mr. Duggal to take us through the presentation.
Thank you, Varun. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Vedanta Limited Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. This quarter witnessed the recovery in Indian economy backed by increased mobility, declining new COVID cases and scaled up vaccination. Domestic demand for base metal gains send from robust CapEx spending by the government. Progressive policies of government will provide further impetus to demand for metals like steel, aluminum, copper, zinc and lead. We expect economic conditions to improve further during festive season this quarter. Commodity prices continued to surge due to widening demand supply imbalances. Strong recovery in advanced economies supported by elevated household consumption, public spending, and acceleration in mechanized trade, along with persistent energy crisis, is likely to keep metal and oil and gas market buoyant in quarter 3.Vedanta continued its strong growth momentum this quarter, reporting its highest quarterly and half yearly revenue and EBITDA. We witnessed steady volume performance across business segments and sustained margins benefiting from strong commodity prices despite a challenging cost environment. The focus on prudent capital allocation and deleveraging continues to ensure a robust balance sheet and strong liquidity position.We continue with the track record of rewarding shareholders with an interim dividend of Rs.6,855 crore, amongst the largest in corporate sectors. Vedanta is uniquely positioned to benefit from strong commodity prices, to deliver long-term sustainable value basis for diversified world-class natural resource portfolio. It is supported by compelling part leadership, long life assets with explanation upside and strong management team with track record of delivering growth.Our competitive positioning in India and global markets leaves us well placed to benefit from growing Indian economy and favorable regulatory environment. We are committed to delivering consistent growth through capacity expansion, unlocking operational efficiencies through technology and digitization and targeted acquisition. We are very proud to announce our renewed ESG transformation program in this call. For the last decade, Vedanta has been working steadily to improve its performance on various sustainability and ESG metrics. This journey has seen us achieve a ranking of 12 out of 75 in Dow Jones Sustainability Index. While not leaders yet, these efforts have brought us within line of sight of top global performance. We now aspire to be among the best performers.The last few months, we have seen working very hard to develop a comprehensive strategy on ESG. For this, we have brought on both various experts to guide the process, we have also created an ESG advisory board, mentored by experts with many years of deep ESG experiences, working with the global natural resource measures. We have created a dedicated ESG structure to ensure this transformation is sustainable. This includes constituting a board-level ESG committee, multiple ESG Forum at group and do level for decision-making and communities of practice at the SBU level to drive implementation.We are building world-class enablers to help move the needle now. These include and ERG academy to train our leaders. This is a globally unique initiative, discussing creation of an ESG venture fund to harness external innovation, discussing diversification opportunities through green business, build program and creating an ESG center of excellence for regular monitoring and continued improvement. The combination of all these efforts is to develop our new ESG strategy. This strategy follows the purpose-driven approach that Vedanta has always aspired. Staying close to our route, we have taken our organization tag line, transforming elements and modified it to transforming for good. This is the purpose statement for the entire organization. Ensuring that ESG is henceforth embedded in the way we do our business.Supporting our purpose we have created 3 pillars: transforming communities, transforming planet, transforming the work place. These pillars are further indicative of Vedanta's steadfast commitment to become the best-in-class company, and at the same time, ensure that our communities in larger society benefit from our existence. These pillars are supported by 9 aims, that will serve as guidepost and milestone in our journey. These aims have specific quantifiable targets that will keep us track on our progress. These aims are important, and I would like to go over each one of them. Aim 1, 2, and 3 under transforming community committed us to keep community wealthier at the core of our business decisions, empowering over 2.5 million families with enhanced skill sets, uplifting over 100 million women and children through education, nutrition, health care and welfare. Aim 4, 5 and 6 under transforming the Planet commit to us, net carbon neutrality by 2050 or sooner, which is a big commitment, and I will talk about in the next few slides.Achieving net water positivity by 2030. HZL has already become 2.41x water positive. Now we want to ensure the rest of the businesses does so soon. Innovating for a greener business model, this encompasses our previous ambition of 0 waste, 0 discard and embraces additional concepts such as circular economy, green business diversification like renewable power or hydrogen. Aim 7, 8 and 9, under transforming the workplace commit us to prioritizing safety and health of all our employees. This is our commitment to zero harm, promote gender parity, diversity, and inclusivity and adhere to global business standards of corporate governance. This includes ensuring our senior leadership MTPA that incorporate EAC performance, participation of the Board in EAC discussions.Lastly, I want to talk about our plan around climate change. With COP26 around the corner and the entire world talking about it, it is an opportune time to announce these commitments. Climate change is a real threat to humanity. Every year, we see an increasing number of natural disaster, wipe out and describe the lives of thousands of people. The impact on the larger natural world is equally devastating and no longer be ignored. Scientists tell us that we have to limit global warming between 1.5 to 2 degree Celsius for the planet to stand a chance to exist, and we want to achieve this in the next 30 years.In this context, large business houses such as earth, have not just a fiduciary responsibility, but a more responsibility to act. I believe our clients make commitment to do so and are a step in the right direction. Vedanta is making 10 commitments to stop our impact on the climate.These are 1, net 0 carbon by 2,050 or sooner; 2, use 2.5 gigawatt round-the-clock RE and reduce absolute emission by 25% by 2030 from 2021 baseline, ledging USD5 billion over the next 10 years to accelerate transition to net 0. This is a big and significant commitment. No addition to coal-based thermal power plant in our portfolio, and we will use coal-based power only till the end of our current power assets. Decarbonize 100% of our light motor vehicle by 2030 and 75% of our mining field by 2025.Accelerate adoption of hydrogen as fuel and seek to diversify into hydrogen fuel or related businesses. Account for scope 3 emission of our businesses by 2025. These are emissions that lie outside our boundary with our business partners, logistic providers, business travelers, et cetera. Work with our supply chain and long-term Tier 1 suppliers to submit their GHG reduction strategies by 2025 and aligned with our commitment by 2030, disclose our performance in alignment with the requirement of the taskforce on climate-related financial disclosure, TCFD, a requirement by the investor community. We have already released our first TCFD report in March 2021. Health communities adapt to the impact of climate change through our social impact and CSR programs. Gentlemen and ladies, these are Board commitments and will transform the company, unlock many business opportunities and prevent the planet from warming to catastrophic levels. You'll be hearing a lot more on this subject in the coming days and look forward to active engagement with all of you on this.Now, coming to our HSE performance for quarter 2. It is a sadness that I inform you that 3 employees of our business partners lost their life while they were at work In ESL location for service-related activities. A detailed investigation using ICAM methodology has been carried out, and we are strengthening controls to ensure similar incidents are not repeated at any of our sites. In the past, I've spoken about multiple program and interventions that we have put in place to ensure that we improve our safety performance. To ensure these programs realize their goals, we are expanding our leadership relationship with Dow Jones Sustainable Solutions to help transform the safety culture at GSL and aluminum and power business. We are also engaging with global experts to strengthen our critical risk management system.Now coming back to our business performance and business verticals. First on aluminum, we have yet again witnessed a record performing quarter with highest quarterly alumina and aluminum production. Alumina production was at 11% up Y-o-Y, 6% Q-o-Q. Aluminum was up 21% Y-o-Y and 4% Q-o-Q. Aluminum cost of production was impacted by higher input commodity prices and power costs. But despite these headwinds, we have achieved high EBITDA margins of $1,100 plus, supported by favorable LME prices. In line with the changing market scenario and input cost inflation, we are revising the core guidance to $1,675 to $1,775 per ton. However, we are confident that $150 to $200 cost saving will come post completion of expansion at Lanjigarh and at aluminum smelter, which will move us closer to our aim of becoming one of the top global leader in sustainable Tier 1 cost structure.For the Lanjigarh refinery expansion from 2 million to 5 million ton per annum, we have received environment clearance now for 6 million ton and site mobilization is on track, and the project progress is also on track. Turning to Zinc India, this quarter achieved highest MIC production since underground transition, backed by [indiscernible] and improved recovery, partially offset by slight dip in grips. Metal production in Q2 was down due to planned maintenance shutdown, but ensure smelter readiness to deliver higher volumes in coming quarters.Integrated silver production was down 5% Q-o-Q, in line with net production. With focused dynamic planning, technology assisted mine plan to improve grades and equipment reliability, we are fully confident of achieving the set targets for the year. COP was at $1124 per ton in quarter 2, impacted by higher input commodity prices and mine development. Considering higher input costs, we are revising our COP guidance upward to below $1,075 per ton. Zinc international business is well positioned for long-term value creation. This quarter, Gamsberg produced 39kt of MIC, up 10% Y-o-Y, but down 17% Q-o-Q due to challenges in plant equipment.Completion of ongoing projects in October sought debottlenecking our concentrator will ensure that plant capacity ramp-up and improving mill reliability. Projects are recovery enhancement by 5%, and MIC improvement in December will start delivering results from quarter 3 onwards. And therefore, we are confident of achieving the set target for the year.Costs in Gamsberg showed a 10% rise Y-o-Y due to lower production volumes and commodity prices. This is the changing business scenario, we are revising our core guidance to $1,200 to $1,300 per ton. At oil and gas, gross production for H1 was maintained at 165 kboepd, flat. The volumes were impacted by metro reservoir decline in the field, offset by increase in volume from new wells brought online, continued injection of polymer and gas ramp up. We achieved gas sales of 140 million SCF per day in quarter 2, 17% up Q-o-Q.OpEx cost in the current quarter was $9.1 per barrel, a rise of 9% due to increase in polymer prices, owing to oil price value. However, crude oil prices further rallied during quarter 2 and taxed high of $79 per barrel, which supported our margins. In H2, we will focus on infill while drilling to maximize near-term volumes. In our OALP blocks, 15 wells drilling program is ongoing, with 6 wells drilled till date. We have notified a success in Cambay block Jaya-1 discovery in this quarter, which is being evaluated. In line with commodity headwinds, we are revising our OpEx cost guideline to $9 per barrel, considering the natural reservoir decline, revising guidance of volume to 165 to 175 kboepd for FY ’22.Three key projects, ASP for enhanced oil recovery, exploration, and shale will be driving production volume growth mid to long-term and various initiatives are going on in each of these. For ASP, a modernized approach is being adopted to accelerate injection and first oil, while undertaking end-to-end contracting for overall execution. On exploration, the focus is on drilling across our OALP and PSC blocks and look for early monetization. For shale, we have empaneled global partners to study and execute pilots to establish our share potential.Now coming to iron ore business, Karnataka saw highest half year production of 2.7 million tons, supported by key operational projects increase in NSR despite trade barriers in Karnataka. We saw highest quarterly and half year hot metal production and value-added business through productivity improvement initiatives, where quarter 2 margin was up 50% Y-o-Y, but down 22% Q-o-Q due to higher cooking coal prices and iron ore prices. We are happy to announce the start of commercial production in our recently acquired Gujarat Sesa-Coke plant. We expect ramp up to full capacity by early quarter 4 current year.In Steel business, that is Electrosteel, the hot metal production was up 11% Y-o-Y and 1% Q-o-Q. Saleable production was 293 Kt for quarter 2, up 12% Y-o-Y and 1% Q-o-Q due to improvement of furnaces, post shutdown. The margin was down due to higher raw material prices, mainly iron ore and change in VAP mix. The VAP mix was at 67% in Q2 compared to 74% in Q1.Recently, as you may know, we have won 2 iron ore mines in Orissa, which will increase our raw material security and price stability. In H2, improvement in hot metal production is expected post completion of debottlenecking of blast furnace 3. We are also upgrading our facility through automation and digitization and various other productivity and affect health measures.Now coming to sector. Sector is continuing its turnaround story and saw highest EBITDA margin in quarter 2 and H1. It achieved a record fair chrome production of 19 kt in quarter 2, in line with plant productivity enhancement by 10%. We also saw the record half year old production through continuous operation of gold mines. However, quarter 2 ore production was down due to monsoon. Sector is reviving its project for another furnace to increase production by 60 ktpa. This was a half done furnace.At the end now, I would like to reiterate Vedanta's unique position to deliver long-term sustainable value through continued focus on our strategic priorities and diversified asset base. I am confident that with our renewed ESG journey, we'll be able to assure in a new year of sustainability leadership and be among the world's most respectable, responsible and a non-resource company.With this, I would like to hand over to our CFO, Mr. Ajay Goel for the financial performance. Over to you, Ajay.
Thank you and good evening everyone. We continue the momentum to better our quarterly best ever performance, and this is the third quarter in a row. This quarter has been our all-time high revenue and profitability quarter with the lowest net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.5x in recent few years. Operationally, aluminum division has witnessed highest ever quarterly aluminum production in line with the pots ramp-up at Jharsuguda. Lanjigarh also delivered record alumina production.We delivered highest ever pig iron production in VAB and ferrochrome at FACOR. Zinc and oil and gas volumes has been relatively muted. This quarter, we also rewarded shareholders very well with a dividend of INR 18.5 per share, totaling to INR 6,855 crores. Some of the key highlights of the quarter are: highest ever quarterly EBITDA of INR 10,582 crore, up 62% Y-o-Y with an underlying margin of 40% being an industry leading margin. PAT attributable before exceptional items stands at INR 4,644 crores, depicting a very strong financial performance.ROCE, return on capital employed at 26%. This is up 345 basis points versus last quarter, Q-o-Q. Gross debt stands at about INR 51,000 crore, and with cash and cash equivalents of about INR 30,650 crores shows a strong liquidity position on the balance sheet. Our net debt of INR 20,389 crores is down by 26% Y-o-Y, which is almost INR 7,230 crore. And with annualized net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 0.5x, we continue to be lowest amongst Indian peers. Finally, robust total shareholder return without 6% dividend yield plus stock appreciation in the previous quarter.We have a detailed income statement in the appendix. I want to decode a couple of items from that statement for you. Depreciation charge for second quarter was about INR 2,118 crores, higher by 9% Y-o-Y. Primarily, it is due to predict capitalization at a couple of businesses and higher ore production at zinc business. Quarter-on-quarter, the processing charge remains flat. The finance cost for the quarter was about INR 1,066 crores, down 10% -- down 19% to Y-o-Y and down 10% quarter-on-quarter, majorly due to lower average borrowings and gain on ASI bonds buyback. The average cost for the quarter stood at about 8.2%. Income from investments for the quarter were 579 crore, down 5% Y-o-Y, majorly on account of mark-to-market movement and the change in mix of investments and down by almost 20% quarter-on-quarter, again due to MTM moment and onetime gains that we recorded the previous quarter. The average investment income for the quarter stood at about 4.8% pretax on current portfolio.The normalized EPS stands at about 26%, which is seen as the previous quarter and is in line with our guidance. Normalized EPS, as we know, excludes any tax on exceptional items. I'll now move to EBITDA bridge. So EBITDA bridge Y-o-Y versus last year. So as you can see on the chart, in summary, the significant portion of EBITDA increase of almost 4,000 crores from 6,500 crores to last year to about 10,531 crores this year, has been marked or pricing driven, along with higher volumes at our aluminum business. However, this has been partly offset by higher cost and overall lower volumes branding at our zinc business.In summary, the absolute EBITDA is almost 1.6 x of the last year same quarter. If you look at our EBITDA bridge sequential vis-a-vis the previous quarter, EBITDA for the quarter is higher by 5% quarter-on-quarter. As evident from the bridge, the market or the LME and various regulatory factors have been positively impacted our EBITDA by almost 1,600 crores. This is partly offset by input formality inflation, majorly at aluminum, ESL and iron businesses. On the operations front, lower volumes at zinc and iron businesses offset partially by aluminum, along with higher cost, has negatively impacted EBITDA by 820 crores. Overall, for EBITDA, the higher metal prices and input inflation leaning to overall things, both Q-o-Q & Y-o-Y. Those different magnitudes, which at overall net margin level remains positive and bottom line accretive.Now, I move to next page on the net debt bridge.Net debt as of September 30th stands at about INR 20,389 crore. If you see the chart, our operations are very well positioned and generating healthy cash flows from interim accruals. In spite of payment of dividend in the previous quarter by almost 6,855 crore. The net debt quarter-on-quarter remains almost flat. And as I mentioned earlier, we have deleveraged by almost 1 billion by 7,230 crore Y-o-Y, September to September last year.Moving on to the next page on the balance sheet. We remain focused on managing the balance sheet efficiency with a strong position of cash and cash equivalents of 30,060 crore. The average maturity of term debt is about 3.5 years and with average borrowing cost of 8.2% for the quarter. I'm very happy to report that CRISIL has revised our outlook from stable to positive with AA minus rating. This is again a very welcome uptick. With net debt-to-EBITDA of 0.56, we are lowest amongst Indian peers by a long margin.Now on CapEx side, we continue to focus on organic growth across business portfolio. So, we reiterate our CapEx guidance of $1.1 billion for the full fiscal, where we are focusing on expanding capacities at Lanjigarh and BALCO and completion of various growth projects at oil and gas. These are key for volume growth in near future. So far as H1 is concerned, we spent about $0.3 million, and we remain within our guidance range for the full fiscal FY ’22.Overall, second quarter has been excellent quarter on performance and also on structural improvements. We delivered both profitability and deleveraging, rewarding shareholders very well and with the rating outlook augmentation will leave a stronger balance sheet for the quarter. This effects very well as we assured into the second half of the full fiscal.Thank you very much. And with that, I hand over to operator for any Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Amit Dixit from Edelweiss.
Congratulations on your good performance. First question is on the ESG initiatives, pretty interest by your target to reduce emission backing from 2021 baseline? I mean, not many companies in the world have done that. I just wanted to ask a quick point over here. One is that what about your aluminum power, which is basically powered from thermal? And this is basically the highest kind of coal, I would say, footprint that you -- carbon footprint that you have. And there is nothing -- no alternative that you have especially in site at present. How are you going to reduce that? Second is about bauxite red mud residue. What about that? And certainly, we have seen that they have been, I mean, higher than the peers. So what are you going to do on that front? Then you talked about USD 5 billion of spend, which is a huge spend. Are you expecting some government support over there? That is my first question.
So, I'll go one by one. I'll go by rewards. So we have made our commitment of $5 billion investment. So it will come in the various forms. So one of the examples, I would say, is that we may like to have a company or a stand-alone group company. We will definitely work out the structure, we want to go about it. But the intention is that we would like to create a separate vertical focus really on the renewables. And they could also arrange their own funding. But as we speak, we are in the process of evaluating the different businesses and the models and how shall we be able to feed forward depending on where we will be able to set up this facility.For setting up the facility also, there are various options like, of course, the solar wind. But along with that, the little pumps or battery storage. So that technical study is going on. We have created a group task force, who is running with this assignment, and the discussions are on with the various businesses that which model, what we are, and this also answers your aluminum question that how we have to feed power to the aluminum and in what format we got grid and what are the regulatory charges. So that scheme is being built. As we will close up to the reality of the scheme, which we will come, I think in the next few months and start establishing our facility. We will come back and report to you that what PRB. We agree that the fatality record may not be so good. But over the years, we have improved our record [Technical Difficulty]
Mr. Dixit, does that answer your question?
Yes, so that was my first question. I have a second question also. Can I go ahead?
Sir, give me a minute. Members of the management, are you all able to hear us?
We can hear you. I think Mr. Duggal got disconnected.
Sure, sir allow me a minute while I just reconnect. [Operator Instructions] We all are reconnected. We have the question from the line of Mr. Dixit.
I’m sorry, on our side, I think, there was a bad line. So I hope a part of the answer you could hear at least up to the renewable power and our $5 billion commitment. So like that R&D, the thought also is to whether we would like to put some facility or do some work on the commercialization of the hydrogen as a fuel. And which entities this steel could be used. Coming to our fatalities, I think we have improved over the years, but it also happens that when we acquire new assets in the governance mechanism, the behavior and large packs and even the infrastructure facilities in those companies are not so good.So, we have learned from what we have experienced in the last couple of years. So, learning from that, we are partnering now with the global majors like DuPont Sustainable Solution. We engage DuPont for Hindustan Zinc over the long 5 years, where they were responsible for transformation of the culture and bringing a zero-harm culture. This is how we became almost 2 years fatality-free. And now we are using DSS, DuPont Sustainable Solution, for our ESL and aluminum and power business. So with that, we also want to bring a new framework where whenever the new entity is acquired, we do the complete deep time and the audit to map the risk on all fronts, be at safety, environment, sustainability, governance or whatever the risks are there and take proactive measures so that we do not get such kind of shocks. This is what to do. And then I think, finally, you are asking on the red mud and the other waste. So, we have put up a center of excellence, and where we have brought some R&D experts. We are partnering with the research institutes, partnering with the universities and the global Research institute where we want to partner with them. That's how the sustainable solution for these waste could be brought. But in the meantime, let me also tell you that the solution, which we have found in the interim is that to partner with the cement industry, where they can use red mud as a replacement of bauxite, which is used as a flux in the cement industry. And we have tied up some quantities with a couple of companies.One is under cement and one more is there. Where in some quantity has been tied up. But some of our bulk waste have reached the utilization up to almost about 100%. Like another example in Hindustan Zinc is, we have the 100% Jarosite, which we use to dump in the dam, is being utilized by the cement industry as a replacement of gypsum. So, we are doing all that, letting all our waste and making a comprehensive plan that each aspect of ESG, how we have to address going forward.
That's a very comprehensive answer, sir. The second question is essentially on the transfer of 12,587 crore to retain earnings. So I mean, why it has been done, can we expect some more rewards for shareholders from this account?
Say to this entire intent of capital restructuring, is nothing but a reflection of the movement in the corporate loss, which are evolving over time. So as you would know, on the balance sheet, we'll have multiple reserves or data general users or something called the retained earnings, which is nothing but profit and loss account. We intend to unwind our general results into retained earnings, amounting at 12,500 crore and helps typically ended up with some limitation in terms of NUS. But once we unwind the balance into profit and loans account. In that case, company management and the Board will have higher feasibility in future. So it is an enabling at inaction. Now, the current company that does not replace of transferring any amount into general reserve. And if you do a bit of research, many companies are notable ones, have done the same for the last few years. The entire process takes about 8-10 months of multiple approvals, including the stock exchange and NCLB. This step will give us, as I mentioned, more flexibility, and it is beneficial to all shareholders including [ minority. ]
Sir, if you can just illustrate on flexibility that would be helpful in what areas does it purple flexibility?
If I take multiple – I can quote – and the one, for example, in India somebody intends to pay a dividend. In that case, that one can do only from retained earnings. So, if you don't have sufficient balances, one may get maxed out in terms of feeling. But once we unwind the balance of general reserve into the profit and loss account and that case your headroom will increase and there can be multimodal examples.
The next question is from the line of Sumangal Nevatia from Kotak Securities.
First question is with respect to the aluminum business. If you could just share some more details on what is the core situation there? And what is the inventory we have and the cost inflation you expect. Looking at your cost in 2Q versus your full year guidance, it appears that we are not expecting a very significant cost inflation only to the tune of $50 to $100 per ton. So if you could share some more details on this?
So I will go for this, and then I will ask my colleague also to add. So as far as core situation is there, this has been a global event. Everybody knows that if global coal crisis came there, the 20 mines got somewhat in China. And their coal production stopped and they started importing coal from all over the world. In India, the events took place not only rain, the power demand going up, then the crisis coming up. And the government diverting the total coal to the IPTs and but the good situation is and the good news is that we have been able to maintain our operation in the current context. It was not about the cost of the coal in this scenario, 1, it was about sustaining our operation, 2, this commodity prices, we did not want to lose our opportunity. But we are able to maintain our operation, but the coal stocks from where we were and to where are have also gone up and the situation is much better. But Rahul, over to you for any addition to the reply you want to know.
Well, thanks, Mr. Duggal. I think just to add further, going forward, one is that SC or Q2 result, I think we have been fairly good performance in terms of our volume, costs and also containing our oral cost. And going forward, I can say that the good part is that we have the 100% cold security for the Q3, which is through the linkage and auction. And we are working closely with the Coal India to metallization. That is the positive side of it. And the second, I think all of us, you must have seen that I think things is improving at the Coal India because the situation at ITP, the stock level has gone up also from the $7 million to $9 million plus. And now the nonregulated sector, especially aluminum, is getting that kind of momentum. And then we see that, that should not be the challenge. And as of now, we have a stock of 2 to 3 days, but we are managing, and we see that whatever we have the security for 100%, we have to metallize, and that's our objective going forward.
Okay. Just to clarify, our cost of production is close to $16 50 in 2Q. And our full year guidance is maintained slightly increased to 16 75 to 17 75. So given the current situation of coal, where we don't have any inventory or anything for the fourth quarter and also the alumina prices, we still expect the cost inflation to be around $100 a year or not more than that. Is that the right understanding?
No. Actually, $100 means we are giving the average cost for the year. So if it is average cost or yet, we consider the same volume in H2, I think it gives us a headroom of $200 per ton. So you can see that the cost had gone up in quarter 2 compared to quarter 1 by say, around 8%. And although the situation was very bad in September, which since has improved, as Raul also explained that the number of days of the coal stock have become better. And along with that, this coal securities also get, we are hopeful that this was only a one-off situation, which was there for 1, 1.5 months’ time, and the situation will ease out as we will go forward.As far as the alumina prices are concerned, we know the aluminum price of late have gone very high. But you also know that we have a bauxite security in the domestic Kodingamali mine. And we are also hoping that the government may get permission for the additional capacity. One of permission was also given for 7 lakh ton. With that, we differentiate between the domestic alumina production and the imported Alumina production is higher at this point of time. But having some security up to around 45% from our domestic production. We feel that we should be able to contain cost but the situation has more dynamic, let us see what happens going forward.
Second question is with respect to zinc international. As per media report, there appears to be an evaluation of restructuring the business under excellence to bring all the zinc business under one entity. So if you could just share what could be the thought process time line? And if at all, any transaction would increase such a restructuring what to happen?
This is a board matter, actually, into both. So what discussion takes place in the Board, I may not be able to divulge any information at this point of time. But broadly, I can tell you that this is a natural situation where both the companies can complement and 1 plus 1 becomes 1102. So this is what I can comment at this point of time.
Understood. And just one last clarification, this exercise of converting general reserve to retained earnings, it will take 8 to 10 months for approvals, et cetera. And only then we can have some more flexibility? Is that the right understanding?
That is right. That is right. I mean, it requires for multiple approvals, including NCLT, shareholders, of course, the Board a has busted. And also by saving, it takes about 18 months. In the entry, we don't see any challenges. And as I think our balance for the profit and loss account is about INR 12,000-odd crores. And as we generate profitability quarter-on-quarter, our balance is sufficient for our need for next couple of years.
We take the next question from the line of Ritesh Shah from Investec Capitals.
Sir, 3 questions. First is would it be possible for me to qualify how much is a BRL level net debt? And how much is the debt maturity for FY ’22 and FY ’23? Just a related question over here. What I'm trying to understand is what could be the dividend payout. So if you can help me with the additional data point on the incremental delay that we have, to procure money from Oaktree Capital.
The total VRL external debt is about 8.75 billion, including that the is outstanding of about 750 million, almost 2.2 billion in debt maturity for the next 1 year. And almost similar, I would say, for the F Y23 the year next as well, you may have seen announcements by the VRL a couple of months ago that VRL has deleveraged by almost 0.3 billion in the first half. And they also intend to further deleverage by 0.5 or so. So almost 0.8-odd billion is a deleveraging plan for Vedanta resources. Coming to the point of payment of dividend, I mean, you already have seen in the last month or so, we paid $18.5 per share, total about 6,800 crore. In terms of further plan, I mean, as we would appreciate, it will not be right to comment as of now. This is a matter of board discretion. Inside, typically will be dividend in the first half. And I think it will not be unreasonable to expect something in the near future, but we have to wait and watch for a couple of more months.
That's so. Sir, you said 2.2 billion for FY ’22 and 2.2 million for FY ’23. Is that right?
2.2 billion is a debt maturity due over next 12 months and something similar day after.
Okay. Perfect. Sir, my second question is on agendas for Mr. Duggal. Sir, you indicated 1 plus 1 is 11. I don't have much understanding of the zinc international business. But I think it seems like the ports manage, if I have to look at it from outside, given the quality of assets that one looks at Hindustan Zinc be it zinc, lead or silver. So how should one understand this? That's one. And secondly, I think the timing of any potential transaction, if it is, we are looking at wind prices even if it's again pretty very high. So that's one question. And why not to prioritize or work with the government on Hindustan Zinc divestment, the arbitration that we had spoken about earlier, I think that would do more good to the minority rather than trying to marry Zinc International to Hindustan Zinc.
See, as far as zinc is concerned, I think there are very rare commodities like zinc in the world. And it is very difficult and it would be very difficult to find this new winter assets. So it's a very precious thing to have zinc in the portfolio. You see the R&R of both the companies is almost same. And with the same R&R in Hindustan Zinc, having a capacity of 1.2 mtpa and with the capacity of 300 kt. But there also, the project is on the drawing board, and we are evaluating how the growth will come through, putting up the additional concentrator. And we are also evaluating whether the scorpion refinery could be converted to the sulphide group for treatment of the sulphide ore.As far as the divestment of Hindustan Zinc is concerned, you must be knowing that the final hearing in the Supreme Court in the court of Chandrachud has just been completed, and he has resolved the order and you may also be aware that we have given in writing to the government and the core that we are happy with the open auction of these years. So, I think when the order will come, which is resolved now any day, the court will give no objection and will give a go-ahead to the government. And then this would be auctioned, it is anybody's guess that who wants to participate and we doesn't want to participate. But I will still reiterate that any zinc effects in this world are very precious. And that it is very natural and very pressures.
Sir, last question on capital allocation. Just your quick thoughts on one, where are we on the Gujarat copper smelter? Secondly, fertilizer plant in Rajasthan. Third, we had earlier indicated on aluminum downstream assets. And fourth, on BTC refining assets, basically, is there any thought process? Or how should we understand it?
As far as BPCL is concerned, last year, the EO was invited. And you know that we participated to more PE funds participated. So this was just the expression on trust. We are doing the diligence. FHA has not been finalized as yet. And then the RFP will be called. And then the decision will be taken. So this is where we are at this point of time. And I hope government may like to conclude this before March, who gets but we want to create a separate fund for this. As far as copper smelter is concerned, we are evaluating, and we had given an EY to different state governments, and we are at an evaluation stage as to where we could prefer, but this is at a very initial stage of evaluation. Arun Misra, I request Arun, if you can reply on fertilizer and Rahul, if you can reply on the Aluminum park.
So on the – Arun Misra here. So on the fertilizer portion, we are ready with a business case, and we are now going through the process of filing for environmental clearances, no, there are certain issues between the current existing Chanderiya Smelter and fertilizer plant. Also, we are in the process of recruiting CEO to the business leader for the fertilizer process. I think work on the ground will start in full swing somewhere in January for this fertilizer plant.
No, last time we have talked right on the BALCO, that 414 billet project. And as you know this project is already been approved by our Board, and we are going ahead with that. But we are expecting the environment clearance in the Q3 than this downstream billet project of 420 will kick off.
The next question is from the line of Indrajit from CLSA.
A couple of questions from my side. First, one the Hindustan Zinc and Bank International is that you have discussed. Do we need any kind of government approvals in response and to go ahead with the transaction or a simple board majority of as we do?
I don't comment much on this marriage because you see the parents are different. So on one side, Hindustan Zinc Board is there, another side, Vedanta Board is there. So this is a very initial stage of the discussion which might have taken place, but it will be very difficult for me to divulge any information on this. But all that process will be followed if anything happens. One is this is a board matter because we are in a related business. This is not a new line of business. It does not require a specific government approval as such. But ultimately, after the Board approval, it will require the shareholder approval.
It there a good opportunity to of expanding Hindustan Zinc from 1.2 to 1.5 and also the opportunity of getting Bank International higher side in terms of our capitalization process policies?
No, these are 2 different initiatives, if they are. I mean, one is to capitalize we've given assets and made this marriage work where I said that it will become 1 plus 1, 11. The other is a valuation and debottlenecking, which does not require much of the CapEx.
And lastly, can you help us with how much coal we are getting from our captive sources currently, the mines that we have and also what was the coal mix for Q3 between the auction linkage, imported and captive.
So, Rahul, these are specific information you have ready in your hand. Can you give that?
No, I think I have answered in the previous question. But basically, today, our mine has not been operationalized. And this is purely on the what we are looking through the core India, which is linkage and auction. And we have the 100% coal security for Q3, which I have already said.
Just to add, we are in the process of operationalization of the mines because the situation which we have faced last quarter or last month and the current quarter, we want to make our business more predictable. As we speak, we are taking fast track action on the Jamkhani coal block. And other 2 mines also, we are making and building it steady. Our own vision is that we want to operationalize Jamkhani coal block in next, say, 1 year and Radhikapur and Kuraloi mine block in the next 2 years' time. So that we have a structural reduction in the cost, which has a delta of, say, around $200 per ton from the current level, but we want to insulate and make our business non predictable one. Another good news is that we have got permission for converting one of our 600-megawatt unit at Jharsuguda to CPP, which will become applicable from January 1, 2022, which will also help us to attain the lower power cost.
The next question is from the line of Vishal Chandak from DAM Capital.
My first question was with regard to your 10 commitment on net 0. One of the points that you mentioned is that you will become less water positive. So if you could just elaborate on how do you intend to become less water positive because you mentioned that Hindustan Zinc is already at 2.4x, and given that most of your power plants all of them are all thermal. So how do you intend to become positive on water? That's the first question. And related to that is on EV adoption, as you mentioned, about decarbonizing 100% of your LMVs. So how do you plan to do the addition for this layer, you have some wrap on that?
Sure. So first on water are positive. So you rightly said that we are at 2.41x water positive in understanding that Arun has made a strategy to go to 5x water positive. So I mean, you might be knowing that we have replaced the freshwater through the dams, which we have given to the community with the sewer treatment plant, water, which we took from Udaipur Sewage. So we put up the plant and as we speak, we have a capacity of treating 60 mld of water per day to free to our couple of locations. So this is one. So this is a good model. When we evaluated our other entities, we found that gain is also water positive as we speak. So these 2 entities are located in the state, which are water deficits. And the similar model we want to replicate in our other businesses.So, as we speak, we are on the drawing board, building the strategy because we have the internal benchmarks available with us. And best practice is available with us. So replicating all these best practices, the initial calculation, which is coming is that it is very much possible to become water positive in the next 10 years. So that is why we have made a public commitment that we want to be water positive. And by doing this commitment, we want to put a pressure on upsell to deliver. So when we have made a commitment to the larger world that we want to be water positive, we want to come back to all of you to showcase that we have honored our commitment. The second question was on EV fleet. So, we have declared that we want to convert all our LMV fleet to be EV fleet and to reorganize and mining fleet also to EV fleet. The converting LNB fleet EV is not a very difficult proposition as of now.And we were doing our own math. It says that the lifetime cost per kilometer is 50% of the current cost we use diesel or petrol. So it makes all the economic sense. Only thing is that we have to take action and we have to become more disciplined. So, it is very much possible to tie up with the partners today. We are in discussion with various partners, who can partner with us to decarbonize our LMG operation. As far as decarbonization of the mining fleet is concerned, Arun has signed this MoU with the OEMS, major OEMs like Normed, Sandvik, Epiroc, that he wants to partner with them in Hindustan Zinc to make some pilots underground in some areas, which could be replicated in other areas of the mine.And all of us know that these mining equipment supply OEMs have already commercialized a lot of their machines. So, it is not that it is something like new concept, which we will have to try. Some mines in the world are already using it. And with the focused effort of Arun, I'm sure, after the pilot becomes successful, he'll be able to convert the entire mining fleet of Hindustan Zinc and the levelling of which could be replicated in our other entities and other operations.
Sure. That's helpful, sir. And then my next question was with regard on a possible sale of zinc international assets to expand. You mentioned that in that case, 1 plus 1 would become the 11. So as of now, practically speaking, both these 2 LTDs are under the management of Vedanta, how would change of control within 1 subsidiaries or over subsidiary improvise sales because I understand the best practices would even be shared today itself and transaction-related party transaction, et cetera, are being taken care of. So, how would that now translate into a multiple level of savings or improvement in economics by just transferring one asset into another subsidiary.
Actually, this is at a very initial stage, if it is. And as I said, this is a board matter. And I don't want to speak much on this because this is also more like a compliance issue at this point of time. So I will keep my comments more reserved and not dilute much of my own thoughts and don't want to speak anything which will not be in the best interest of our government, which is also one of our pillar of ESG.
The next question is from the line of Pinakin from JPMorgan.
Sir, my first question is that if you just take a step back and look at it, we have lifetime high commodity prices in many of the base metals. But at the same time, parent entity is very, very leveraged. So that is always the risk or the money shareholders of Vedanta Limited. Operationally, also, some of the businesses have not shown great results. So would not this company at these pricing want to hedge some of commodity exposure and bring in cash flow visibility and stability, not fully 100%, some kind of hedging given where aluminum, zinc, and oil prices are?
As a policy, we do not hedge, but we evaluate the options depending on the situation from time to time. So as of now, we have not decided. The situation is quite volatile. And I cannot comment to you which direction we will go. But as a policy, we do not hedge.
Sir, the second question is on the oil business. We have yet again reduced the production guidance. And consistently, oil has disappointed over the past few quarters, not delivering on the volume growth, now even [Technical Difficulty] rising. And if you look at this quarter in terms of Brent price at $75 a barrel, there was an EBITDA of 1,300 crores. There will be or CapEx and cost results. So what is the strategy in terms of turning around the oil business? Or is this something where the volume growth is looking increasingly difficult to achieve?
No, I get you what you are saying. The volume was more muted. I will help my colleague, Prachur, also to add on. But let me tell you that the last quarter, along with the decline, the major contribution was to come from gas ascertain title. The desired reserves was not to the level of our initial plan. So we could not get the full advantage, which we conceived at some point of time. But now to build the results, some of the billing projects have been initiated and Prachur give more detail on that. But let me also tell you that we are partnering with the government and asking for their support. And 4 key things, government has given the assurance that they may like to help to us. Number one, long-term visibility of the PSC agreement.Number two, our levies are at 70% compared to 30% to 40% for percent with the other oil and gas losing countries. And government is quite favorably inclined to look at it. We have also come with the government that which kind of business requires the marketing freedom. And then, it is a very regulated sector where you require the approval from DGH or ONGC as a partner, whereas in Hindustan Zinc also the government has a share of 30%. We only meet in the Board rooms. So, the government is quite favorably disposed for all these, and we are evaluating all those options like enhance a;; recovery or shale oil to see that whatever the potential is there in our assets and beyond in OLA, how we can capitalize on each one of them and grow the production. Prachur, anything you want to add from what I said.
I just want to highlight one point here is, if you look at the quarter 1 and quarter 2 volumes, being at 165, the first one of the part I would like to talk about is in at oil fields. Traditionally, these are mature fields. And over the last 7 years, this was the first 2 quarters, there was no decline seen in these fields. So from an oil perspective, I mean, the decline was managed through the [technical difficulty]. Our main supplies came -- geological supplies came in the gas business where we due to the subsurface performance, some of the wells did not come as we expected. However, we have taken a project to add more versus gas to recover the production, and as Mr. Duggal mentioned, I think from a government support, the 2 projects that potentially has a large upside that we are working on is especially on recovery of the further improving the [indiscernible] in Mangala in our NBCs. And secondly, the prospectivity of shale and that it is like kind of the success that we have been further monetarizing in the coming March. So that will be my commentary on the volumes.
Understood. Just to a bit deeper, do you think that Vedanta needs a foreign partner to better explore the oil opportunity given that there have been series of disappointments, and there are more and more difficulties.
We are already partnering with the global majors now. Who do in the oil and gas sector is already working with us. So, Prachur, you also explain that how many experts we are engaging. And depending on where we have to add reserves and where the potential is there, all these experts we want to bring on board. But let me tell you the likes of Becker huge, Halliburton, Schlumberger and everyone, whosoever is there in the world, they already worked with us. And they look at, but we are trying to change the contracting and partnership model, so which Prachur can just explain.
Sure. And I think on all these projects that are going through, there have been done through these international measures itself. Secondly, for the forthcoming projects, the way we are working with these partners is where we take a larger level of responsibility from end-to-end, starting from the technical design to execution of these projects, and they are heavily in device upon success. So that model, we believe, will further bring them into the picture, right? And secondly, on the export side, just for your information, 6 months ago, we had the CEO of BT as now a technical adviser, who is full-time is working with us now, all these projects to define how we can make the success.So from an expertise point of view, I think in my view, that is now is to make this recovery, shale and exploration programs and success to add the results and grow the production because the prospective resources are there. And to make this product viable, that is because we was mentioning. We have significantly increased support graph on the government to make this product viable, which in the current limitation may not have been. But now with that support, we’ll go ahead with these projects.
Let me assure you, we are totally committed to produce 300,000 barrels in the midterm. And we are evaluating all those opportunities. So the excitement and the motivation within our team is extremely high, and we are really committed. And with the support of the government and the motivation of the Prime Minister, which has recently assured in one of the meeting he had with the CEOs that each and every support will be given because the country also wants the energy security. So in that direction, the shale oil, the oil recovery, marginal fields, coal apps, optimization of recovery, giving the approvals, giving the liberty to us to add without approval of the authorities and take some more risk.All that we want to do because the oil prices are such that, it enables us to take some more risk. But you know that until the rates are taken, the delivery will not be there. But these are some of the assets where the reserves are already lying, like Q2 that enhance our recovery and some of the other assets like offshore also. But if the pilot becomes successful for shale oil, you see we will take a quick dump, and we will take some big leads going forward.
We take the last question from the line of Raashi Chopra from Citigroup.
I just wanted to clarify on coal. You indicated that there is like 100% coal security for the next quarter. But you have about 2 to 3 days of inventory. So just to understand what you mean by the coal security?
Coal security means the coal is tied up either through the linkage or the auction, the total coal is tied up, that is called the security for the quarter. Hello, am I audible?
Yes, sir. Sir, give me a minute, we just lost the line for the participant.
Can you hear me?
Yes, we can hear you, ma’am.
Yes. So all I'm saying that there's no need to panic with this 2 to 3 days of inventory is what I…
We could manage with one day stock now be 2 to 3 days to 4 days it is going. I think we are much better compared to where we were. And now the coal stocks at the ITPs are going up and becoming better. And the government has also committed that the holiday, which we had given to us or the coal block supplies which they had blocked to us, it is being released steadily.
Okay. And just to reconfirm the number, the debt at Vedanta Resources is 8.75 billion, right?
That is correct, Raashi.
Thank you that was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Varun Kapoor for closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Thank you, Janice. Thank you all for taking the time to join us this evening. If you have any further questions, free to contact either me of the rest of the Investor Relations seat. So here assuming it could be a very good evening. And with that, I will pass it back to the operator.
Thank you very much. On behalf of Vedanta Limited, this concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.