TTK Prestige Ltd
NSE:TTKPRESTIG

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TTK Prestige Ltd
NSE:TTKPRESTIG
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Price: 847.5 INR 0.37% Market Closed
Market Cap: 116.1B INR
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2024 Analysis
TTK Prestige Ltd

TTK Prestige Maintains Leadership Amid Challenges

Despite pressure from market conditions and competition, TTK Prestige has upheld its leadership in key categories. Cost containment efforts involve automation to increase efficiency, with current capacity utilization at 65-70%. Appliance production is primarily contract manufactured, with most vendors dedicated to TTK Prestige. The firm is poised for export growth, with deals near closing that should take effect in about two quarters. TTK Prestige focuses on higher-margin, value-added products, even though this strategy could mean operating with thinner margins compared to some competitors.

Employee Costs and Margins

The company has seen employee costs increase as a percentage of sales, primarily due to the top line not growing as expected. This is despite normal salary increases being in line with or slightly above inflation. The company expects employee costs to revert to historical averages around 7-8% of sales in the long run, potentially reducing to as low as 6.8%.

Automation Investments and Benefits

Significant investments in automation are aimed at reducing blue-collar labor costs and increasing production capacities which, in turn, is projected to improve EBITDA margins additionally. Presently, the company operates with a capacity utilization rate of 65-70%, leaving room for growth without the immediate need for capex in expanding physical capacity.

Manufacturing Strategy for Appliances

The company's appliance segment relies entirely on contract manufacturing. These vendors are primarily dedicated to the company's production needs, with about 90% of their business coming from the company, ensuring a degree of exclusivity and control over production processes.

Export Strategy and Outlook

Exports have been below expectations due to overseas retailers carrying excess inventory post-COVID. However, as these inventories normalize, new customer deals are close to fruition, indicating a positive export trajectory expected in the next two quarters. While competitors may operate at the lower end of the market, the company focuses on value-added, middle to upper market segments overseas, aiming for healthier margins although they may be thinner than domestic margins.

Optimism for the Second Half

The management expresses optimism for a turnaround in the latter half of the year, banking on the country's economic progress and the company's strategic initiatives to capture a greater market share across its product ranges.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q2

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q2 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call of TTK Prestige Limited hosted by Ambit Capital. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand over to Mr. Dhruv Jain from Ambit Capital. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Jain.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Thank you. Hello, everyone. Welcome to TTK Prestige 2Q FY '24 Earnings Call.

Operator

I'm sorry to interrupt. Your voice is not clear. May I request you to kindly repeat.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Can you hear me now?

Operator

Yes.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Yes. Hello, everyone. Welcome to TTK Prestige 2Q FY '24 Earnings Call. From the management side today, we have with us Mr. Chandru Kalro, Managing Director; Mr. K. Shankaran, Whole Time Director; and Mr. Saranyan, the Chief Financial Officer of the company. Thank you, and over to you, sir, for your opening comments.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Good evening. This is Saranyan here. Before I hand over the proceedings to Mr. Chandru Kalro for his opening remarks, I just want to remind the participants of the safe harbor clause. The discussion today may contain certain statements which are futuristic in nature. Such statements represent the intentions of the management and the efforts being put in by them to realize certain goals. The success in realizing these goals depends on various factors, both internal and external. Therefore, the investors are requested to make their own independent judgments by considering all relevant factors before taking any investment decisions.

Thank you. Over to you, Chandru.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Thank you, Saranyan, and thank you, everybody, for joining us on the call for our second quarter FY '24 earnings call discussion.

Just as an introduction, I'd like to say that this was a quarter that was not as good as we thought it could be. We knew that there was a higher base of the previous year when we got into this quarter but we were hoping that things would become better. And we also knew that Diwali this year was a month later, but normal growth, given the rest of the economy growing, we thought will also accrue to this. However, that was not to be because the demand has not been very healthy. You must have been seeing these reports in various quarters of the media. And therefore, we have missed our mark this quarter.

However, in this situation, we have also seen intense competitive discounting that has happened, which we have tried our best to stay away from and not in any way damage the basic structure of the company. And I think we've been very successful. So barring the top line miss, I think our -- largely our profitability is in the band that we want it to be, and we are hoping that the favorable base of the second half of the next year would help us turn around the situation for the second half.

I now invite any questions that you might have on this. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] We'll take the first question from the line of Sameer Gupta from India Infoline.

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

So first of all, any quantification you can give of this late Diwali that would have impacted our 2Q numbers? Just trying to get a sense of if we do a 2Q plus 3Q, would that be largely a Y-o-Y growth which you were tracking in 1Q? Or there is some improvement in underlying demand, which we can basically estimate from here on, your thoughts?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Look, I mean, I think the situation is not that buoyant. I do believe that demand has not picked up as much as it should have. And therefore -- and there's intense discounting that's happening, which we don't want to do. We have, however, launched some very good products during this time. And that, I hope, will give us some better sales.

Now coming back to the quantification of the Diwali, I mean, it is 1 month -- let us say, 3 weeks delayed. I mean, from that point of view if you see and if you say that the Diwali, pre-Diwali sales spike is about 50%, that 50% ideally should accrue of that month sale in the Q3 instead of Q2. It's difficult to put it in a way that whether this is absolutely accurate or not. But if nothing changes, then that's what the quantification would be.

If I take Q2 plus Q3, we would still miss our growth estimates because there has been a cumulative effect of the first half's demand slowdown, if I might say, that we may not be able to catch up. It's only the base effect of the previous year which would help us look slightly turned around in the Q3 and Q4, which is what I'm hoping it will be. That's where we stand at this point in time. I'm sorry, I'm not able to quantify this more than that.

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

No issues, sir. But just to reiterate, the 3Q when you say will miss, it will probably be a negative number in terms of Y-o-Y growth. Is that -- would that be a correct assumption?

M
M. Kalro
executive

No, no, In Q3, we are certainly not looking at the negative on a Y-o-Y basis. On 9 months, it might be still slightly negative.

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

2Q plus 3Q, I was saying, sir. Anyways, 9 months is negative is a fair indication.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Slightly negative. It won't be very much negative, but I think it should be slightly negative given that we missed some business.

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

Got it, sir. And I see that there is still some obsolete inventory that you have written off this quarter. And I remember that last quarter also, we had some of this issue. So first of all, can you quantify this absolute inventory hit on gross margin? And secondly, are we now completely behind this issue? Or there is still some more that can be expected in terms of writing off your obsolete inventory.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Just to clarify, there is no write-off of obsolete inventory. What we have said in the release is that we have liquidated some high cost inventory. There's been no obsolete inventory write-offs. That write-off, which we did last year, I don't think we've added to last quarter. We haven't done anything in this quarter.

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

Got it, sir. One last question, if I may squeeze in. I see the cash flow statement, I see hardly any CapEx done around INR 46 lakhs at a consolidated level. I mean, is this a normal thing that you do? Or I mean, what would be the CapEx guidance for this year?

M
M. Kalro
executive

So a lot of CapEx has happened and it's sitting right now in advances because we have paid advances in that machines haven't been completed. If I am right, Saranyan, it is sitting in loans and advances in the balance sheet.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Where did you see the number for some lakhs you are mentioning?

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

Yes, it's the cash flow statement, purchase of equipment.

M
M. Kalro
executive

So, let me clarify. There is a substantial amount of money that's been paid towards advances for some imported automation equipment, which is happening. I think it is in the region of about INR 18 crores or something INR 16 crores. And that hasn't yet gotten capitalized, so to speak, which is why you're thinking. Actually, we've got a very ambitious fully automation plant at our Hosur factory, which will substantially improve our efficiencies from that unit. So CapEx is on stream and we are doing it with the same zeal that we were doing it earlier.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

[indiscernible] explanation, when we give money to machine fabricators, it goes in advances. So the fabric [indiscernible] it is WIP. When converted in the picture is usable, it becomes a capital investment. So let's wait through this accounting process. .

S
Sameer Gupta
analyst

Got it, sir. And the guidance for FY '24 in terms of CapEx.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

INR 70 crores.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Prakash Kapadia from Anived Portfolio Manager.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

Could you give us some sense on packaging cost? How much is that as a percentage of raw materials? Is it crude-based linked? Is it paper-based linked? Are we seeing any inflationary trend in packaging costs?

M
M. Kalro
executive

So packaging, depending on the category that we are talking about could be between 8% and 12% the total bill of materials cost, give or take, There is no inflationary trend that we are seeing in packaging. If anything else, we have actually renegotiated our packaging costs this year, which you will see the benefits accruing in the second half. And this is linked to paper, and it is linked slightly to crude because of glue.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

Okay. But mainly paper?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Yes, mainly paper.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

Okay, okay. Understood. So you did mention about a lot of competitive intensity. So if you were to just scan through the online channels, we do see a lot of small brands emerging at entry-level products. So just trying to understand how much of the domestic portfolio gets affected to this segment because we are present in maybe entry-mid premium? And which specific products? Is it mixer grinders, is it gas stoves where we are seeing that demand getting affected? Because it can't be across price points and it can't be across products and that translating to lower sales. I was just trying to see if I can quantify that.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Okay. First of all, let us talk about the overall demand situation. The overall demand situation is not as healthy early as it should be, that is point number one. Because the overall demand situation is not as healthy as it should be, the competitive landscape has changed to a lot of discounting that is happening by brands. So these are brands which discount, and I'm not talking about the new unknown brands that you spoke of. I'm talking about regular brands. And there is -- you would have seen it in the shopping festivals of the online and all of the kind of discounts that people have given. This is definitely going to impact us in a small way because I still do believe that people buy brands and price is the icing on the cake.

At the entry level, on the other hand, the price becomes extremely critical. Our portfolio largely is in the middle and the upper middle segment of the market. The entry level was supposed to be handled by judge. Unfortunately, with the brands going down there, Judge has not been able to get that kind of traction. And the overall demand being low, we have missed our top line estimates. I don't know if I've answered your question correctly, but in that order you must take it.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

But sir, if I look at some of the other things happening in India, mid to premium seems to be doing well across. So you look at TVs, you look at laptops, look at washing machines, if I were to dissect that and look at, apart from entry level, all the things are doing fine. So just trying to understand.

M
M. Kalro
executive

The premium is doing fine. The mid to premium is not doing fine. The premium is definitely doing fine. So if you find -- if you take televisions, for example, the larger format televisions are doing well. If you take cars, for example, it's the SUVs and the new launches that are doing well. If you take 2 wheelers, it's the premium end 2 wheelers that are doing well. If you take the mobiles, Apples are doing well. So it's the premium end that is doing -- it is unaffected. When I say doing well, it's largely unaffected. In our case, what is happening is the share of wallet which we had got earlier substantially higher, today has gone back to other services like travel, luggage, things like that, which has meant that the share of wallet our category is getting is lower, which is why the demand is lower.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

And I think a quarter or 2 ago, I had tried to understand this a bit more. In a scenario where real estate has been doing pretty well across the country post COVID. So that has to come in the base and that has to translate into higher sales, right. Because some of the other categories, they've done reasonably well and not seen such a disruption in demand if I were to look at paints or sanitaryware or pipes. So there could be some lag effect but I think real estate has been doing pretty well. So don't we think that should be now a good base for us and that should translate and help us?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Absolutely right. That is why we expect the second half will turn around.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

You yourself said the word lag. [indiscernible] must later.

P
Prakash Kapadia
analyst

Okay. So we're hopeful second half we should see some traction.

M
M. Kalro
executive

You're absolutely right in your analysis on this one.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Achal Lohade from JM Financial.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Sir, my first question is this particular discounting what you're mentioning. Is it in a particular segment? Is it across the segment? Is it like cooker cookware, or is it in appliances or across the board? And also, is it widespread or one single brand is actually kind of distorting the entire market?

M
M. Kalro
executive

It is across categories, really. You see, there is a trend. There is the online channels by major would like to commoditize the category. And when they -- by commoditizing, what they do is they try and get every brand to compete and bid literally like a reverse auction for the lowest price so that their platform attracts more and more sales. So it's not just that one brand is doing it. One brand probably will be doing it more than the others but there is this pressure to increase our discounts.

We have stayed away because for us, online is at a very -- at a certain level, which we would not like to endanger the rest of the channels which we have painstakingly built. And we don't want to commoditize our brand, which is why this is happening. It has happened across categories, whether it is cookers, cookware or gas stove or mixer grinder. It's happening across the board.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

And I would imagine it is more at the entry/mid level rather than premium here? Or it's across the segments as well, price points as well?

M
M. Kalro
executive

No, entry and mid level are more vulnerable to this. The premium end is generally very brand -- it's very sticky for brands. But the middle is where a large portion of our sales come from.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Would you be able to quantify, sir, the mix in terms of middle and...

M
M. Kalro
executive

I don't think I can quantify that. It's different for different categories. It's different...

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Such sensitive information we don't want to share publicly.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Okay. No problem, sir. The second question I had was with respect to the gross margins. Now if I look at the gross margins, I understand I'm sure it is a function of the mix. But if I look at broadly the mix is similar. In fact, it's a little better because the appliances drop is larger than cookers, cookware. How do we explain the compression in the gross margin, sir? I mean, Q-o-Q if I look at, is there a fair amount of seasonality from a gross margin perspective?

M
M. Kalro
executive

See, it's not just category sales that you must see. You must see category and channels also. And I think the higher cost channels, normally like online stocks up in the second quarter. And that is where you are seeing some difference. Actually, these things even out. I mean, now you will see that going the other way hopefully in the Q3, for example. So that evens out. And I think between that, the last year's level of what, 58 -- it should be around 58-odd percent, the material cost. That's where I think it should be, between 58% and 58.5%. Shouldn't be any different.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Understood. And in terms of the new products, can you highlight a bit, is there any white space within our -- I mean, something like these storage -- container storage, plastic container storage or subcategories or subsegments like that? Is there anything big opportunity out there which we haven't yet tapped?

M
M. Kalro
executive

There's a lot of white spaces in terms of smaller categories, which we are obviously looking at. But within the categories we operate in, we have launched several new subcategories. So like for example, we've launched our anodized nonstick cookware, we've launched some nice Triply pressure cookers, we've launched Svachh gas stoves and pressure cookers which have been getting a lot of traction. There are -- there is the induction cooktops with refill counters and pressure cooking mold. Lots of new innovative products that we have launched, and I think that is giving us good traction and the brand, good recognition.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Got it. And sir, if I may ask in terms of the outlook, I know things are tough right now, very hazy. But from a medium-term perspective, is it fair to say that we can look at early teens or mid teens kind of a growth at the company level given the initiatives what you're taking on the product side, new launches side, industry growth and stuff like that? Is that a fair assessment?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Your first line said it all. It is hazy right now for me to take such a stand.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

No, no. But I mean, I'm sure these things will turn around someday. But I mean...

M
M. Kalro
executive

I think let's turn around and then talk about that outlook.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Understood. And sir, sorry I am again going back to the same question. You mentioned that part of the 2Q was impacted because of the delayed festival. But now you said 3 weeks impact, right? So we are in the fag end of October. Is it fair to say that from a Y-o-Y perspective, given the demand scenario, we would be a bit of flattish only for these August, September, October combined. I'm trying to figure out how much is this really about...

M
M. Kalro
executive

See I would look at it as September, October, November and not August, September, October. And I think we will not be flattish. We will come back to growth in this period Y-o-Y.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the next question from the line of Kunal Sheth from B & K Securities. .

K
Kunal Sheth
analyst

Sir, my first question is would you be able to share the market growth and our market share trends for the first half?

M
M. Kalro
executive

The market hasn't grown. Our market share is largely stable.

K
Kunal Sheth
analyst

Okay. So market share is -- so we have neither gained or lost...

M
M. Kalro
executive

I mean, you would have seen in the first quarter there's very little to choose from between players, if you look at it. Because what numbers you're seeing the players that is their sale into market. What the market share number is, it is the sale of -- it is the tertiary sales. So largely, my feeling is that market shares are stable. But the overall market hasn't grown. If anything, it's slightly negative.

K
Kunal Sheth
analyst

Sure, sure. And sir, my second question is around discounting, sorry to harp on this. But sir, given the fact that we are around the festive season, and so what -- is it the case that channel was sitting on a significantly higher inventory and that's why they were very keen to discount? Because discounting right ahead of festive season seems slightly counterintuitive.

M
M. Kalro
executive

No. Discounting is not happening only before business season. It has happened right through Q2. In fact, part of Q1 also was impacted because of this. See the point is when the market hasn't been growing, everyone's getting a little bit desperate. That's what is happening. It's not that before festival this is happening.

K
Kunal Sheth
analyst

Okay. So -- but was it the case? It is generally that market was not growing or channel was also sitting on significant inventory? Or it is just that the market was not growing, and therefore, there was significant pressure as far as discounting is concerned?

M
M. Kalro
executive

I don't think the channel was sitting on very high inventory. But I don't think the channel was in a mood to increase their inventory either.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Having bought, channel will not discount. They expect the discount to come from the manufacturers.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Aniruddha Joshi from ICICI Securities. .

A
Aniruddha Joshi
analyst

Sir, can you indicate about the performance of Judge brand? So where are we in terms of the availability of the product? Is it available across the distribution of TTK? And how do you see the distribution mapping for Judge brand? Also, what has been the offtake and growth rates in Judge brands? And secondly, we have been talking a lot about the new premium brand to be introduced. So any update on that? We have not yet seen any action on that. So when do we see the launch on that account?

M
M. Kalro
executive

So the Judge brand, as I said, I think we have a few questions before, unfortunately has been a victim of all this discounting that is happening, which is because the regular brands itself are going at price point which I should ideally operate with the Judge brand at. So that is why that has been a little bit of a slow thing. Having said that, I think around 30%, 35% of our distribution today has the Judge brand. And I don't know whether you noticed, this time when we were advertising for the festival, we advertised both Prestige and Judge by Prestige alongside each other in the same creative precisely to drive that kind of distribution across the board.

So the Judge brand, while it's not progressed as well as we would have liked it to be, I think it's still made very healthy progress, except that because of whatever I've said earlier. That's why it is slowing it down. On the upper end brand, we don't have any plans to announce at this point in time. It's work in progress, certainly work in progress and we'll come back to you as and when we have something to announce.

A
Aniruddha Joshi
analyst

Okay, okay. Sure, sir. And sir, in terms of the commodity-led pricing, so do you see the benefit is largely in the numbers now? Or do you see any possibility for margin expansion in H2 as well?

M
M. Kalro
executive

See, currently our commodity prices are stable, but the tendency is to pass it all on into the market by everybody else. And therefore, we are not seeing that credibility accruing. That's what is happening in this game. I don't think there will be any margin pressure from a gross margin perspective in the second half. I think you will see it either stable or slightly better than what you have seen in Q2.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the next question from the line of Charanjit Singh from DSP Mutual Fund. .

C
Charanjit Singh
analyst

Sir, if we look at the appliances segment, which always you had a very positive year in terms of the growth which you can see, and this segment has also seen a 20% kind of a degrowth. So within the appliances category, if you can touch upon mixer grinder and other segments, the competition, because that is generally coming from the large organized players who are coming into the even mid and the premium category. So if you can just give us more detailed color on the appliances segment and the competition there.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Competition is also going through the same pressure, if you ask me. I mean, whatever I'm seeing in the marketplace, they are going through the same kind of pressure. They're going through the same kind of lack of growth or even degrowth, in some cases. And there hasn't been too much of a difference. Everybody has gone and tried to close all the white spaces within each category. So everyone is launching products in the upper end and in the middle end and in the lower end within that brand itself, which is what we are also doing.

I think there's not much to choose from, except for some things here and there, like our Svachh hobs, for example, which we launched or for example, I don't know whether you've seen it. We've launched some very unique IoT LED chimneys, which is completely unique, which is not there with anyone. Except for things like this, there's not much to choose from. But everyone is trying to do the same things, if you ask me.

C
Charanjit Singh
analyst

Okay. Sir, if there's a quantification of this discounting, what's the kind of level of discounting which is happening? And in each segment, premium also, is there a heavy discounting happening? And in the entry level, what's the kind of pricing differential which TTK will have versus maybe #2, #3 player?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Difficult to say that because of the number of -- we operate in 27, 28 categories. Each category has its own set of rules. So I mean, I don't think I can answer that question in greater detail.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

We have to average it out because in each category [indiscernible] each model. In each model, [indiscernible] compared to competitor's model, pretty difficult for you to draw some line there.

C
Charanjit Singh
analyst

And sir, from the geographic perspective, generally Southern market has been a very important geography for us. If you can touch upon the Southern market itself, the entry of the new players because some of the players who were not earlier present now expanding into that market, which could create a more sticky competition in that market. So how you are seeing that?

M
M. Kalro
executive

Again, the problem is that of demand. For example, during Onam, I don't think anybody has sold whatever they wanted to sell. So it's an issue of demand rather than anything else. I don't think there is a competitive -- I mean, the lack of competitiveness from Prestige or anything that we have to be worried about from a competitive scenario basis.

C
Charanjit Singh
analyst

Okay. And sir, now we have seen also a lot of online sales happening. And if you look at the numbers what Amazon and all, they are talking about much higher sales growth. So if you can touch upon the growth differential which would be there in online versus the offline channel? And is that also one factor where the discounting is playing out in a big way and impacting our market share?

M
M. Kalro
executive

No. The online space has definitely been an irritant in terms of the amount of discounting. There is absolutely no doubt. Coming back to the growth that they are talking about, I think you will have to get into greater detail whether they have grown in terms of volume or value. According to me, they might have grown in terms of volume but not in terms of value. But that's something that I don't want to argue my case on. They will tell you things that are not necessarily the full story. I believe that, that kind of discounting is not tenable. They have gone overboard this time. We had gone overboard in making sure that things don't go out of line in terms of our channel is not getting too much conflicted with whatever is happening.

C
Charanjit Singh
analyst

Lastly, from my side, in terms of the competitive pressure now going forward, what is your focus in terms of market share or margin? How will you see that? Because if you have to maintain the market share, there might be a dilution in the margin, what we are seeing in some of the other categories with the rising competitive intensity and not abating despite even growth picking up.

M
M. Kalro
executive

See, as long as -- I tell you, I can't take a black or white situation there. What I can do is to make sure that I don't do anything that permanently damages the company's profitability and gross margin and net margin situation. Wherever tactically I have to give away something, I have been doing that with a view that it is reversible and not permanent in nature. During the last quarter, you would have seen that almost anyone and everyone who has reported results has reported a drop in their EBITDA.

Even the 1 or 2 peers who have given results before us this time, you will see that their drop in EBITDA is significantly higher than ours. So we are trying to make sure that our basic structure is maintained. And while doing so, we have not lost our market share largely. We have maintained our leadership positions in our key categories. We have maintained our market share largely. And we believe that the storm shall pass, and we don't want to do anything rash in the middle.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take the next question from the line of Shirish Guthe from HDFC Life Insurance Company. .

S
Shirish Guthe
analyst

Sir, just wanted to understand in terms of employee cost, both in terms of CAGR as well in terms of percentage of sales it has been growing much ahead of the top line even over a longer period, if I ignore the quarter-on-quarter. If you can just explain what should this -- as a percentage of sales, this number should settle at in the slightly longer term, especially in the view of the new automation CapEx that you are doing? And also, there was an announcement regarding the productivity led compensation at Hosur. So maybe if you can explain that.

M
M. Kalro
executive

So the employee cost as a percentage to sale is looking like it's going up because we haven't grown in top line. That, I think, is the basic truth. I don't believe that there's anything untoward that has happened there. Our salary increases have been largely in line of being slightly above inflation. And the LTS, the labor settlement that happened in Hosur also has happened in that same spirit. We are not seeing -- we are seeing this settling down at our long-term averages that were there and that is where it will be.

S
Shirish Guthe
analyst

And this automation CapEx, how much savings are you expected to see? And especially, I think, I believe the employee cost will be the key cost which will...

K
K. Shankaran
executive

One second, automation, if we look at the company's payroll sector, there is a white collar and there is a blue collar. The automation will save some money on the blue collar. It also give us extra capacities. Therefore we will have a larger EBITDA margin going forward once we complete the automation. As regard which our MD pointed out, increases in our salaries have been normal, our cost on blue collar, which is driven by settlements and movement in the DA. Otherwise if we look at, as a company, we have been operating between 7% and 8%. Where the sale is [indiscernible] 8%, where we are growing, it may come even to 6.8%.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Your average settling down will be around 8% is what the point is.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Which is far below the industry average.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Yes.

S
Shirish Guthe
analyst

But for that to happen, even if your top line grows at double digit, employee costs would have to be significantly in terms of low-single digit from here on for that to happen.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

In a lighter vein, unless I pay my employees, they will not have purchasing power. So if you don't purchase, I will have no business. This applies to the entire industry.

M
M. Kalro
executive

See, if you look at last year, for example, we were at 7.8% stand-alone. I mean, the reason your changes go up is because the top line has gone down. That is why you are seeing this.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Achal Lohade from JM Financial.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Sir, just wanted to check in terms of cooker, cookware capacity as of now and what kind of expansion are we looking at over the next couple of years given the CapEx what we are looking at?

M
M. Kalro
executive

So we are not looking at aggressively increasing our capacity through additional factories or additional machinery. However, our capacity will go up because of the automation, which Mr. Shankaran just spoke of. Our ability to run a third shift from the same amount of machinery would go up because it's automation. So there's enough capacity. I don't think I'm seeing any untoward CapEx happening to meet with any growth objectives that we might have as we go along in the next 3 to 5 years.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Got it. Any quantification you can give, sir, what is the current capacity in terms of...

M
M. Kalro
executive

We are utilizing between 65% and 70% at this point in time. With the automation, that utilization will come down in the short run, but we can then use that time to actually produce even more once the automation comes.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Understood. And of the total -- so I presume entire cooker, cookware is in-house, while appliances...

M
M. Kalro
executive

Appliances are contract manufactured, yes.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

So how much you see contract manufacturing is of appliance, sir?

M
M. Kalro
executive

The entire appliances are contract manufactured. We don't make much at all in that. They are all dedicated vendors to us and they are all under contractual manufacturing system.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

When you say dedicated, you mean they are exclusive to us? Is that...

M
M. Kalro
executive

90% of their business is with us, plus in many cases.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Okay, okay. Understood. Sir, we've been kind of looking at significant exports for a while. Any update what is happening? I know things are tough, again, overseas as well. But any concrete steps we have seen taken on the export front if you could highlight?

M
M. Kalro
executive

See, the exports also, if you are aware that many of the -- after the COVID, what happened was many of our retailers were overstocked in inventory. And they have only started normalizing in their inventory now, which is why the exports have not been as good as we would have liked it to be. However, the good news is that we have now come very close to closing some deals with some new customers as well. And I can't talk about it at this stage, but I think that will also give us growth apart from the existing customers growing by themselves. So exports should be back on track in the next 2 quarters or so. That's what I feel.

A
Achal Lohade
analyst

Right. Sir, if I look at the competitors, some of the competitors are doing very good numbers on the export. So is it that we are looking at a certain margin benchmark, and that's why we kind of lose out?

M
M. Kalro
executive

No. The question you are referring to is at the lowest end of the market with a very large retailer. And we are not -- we did not have that equipment until 6, 8 months back. And I believe that we have that equipment now and we can definitely compete in that area. But largely, TTK Prestige prefers to work in the value-added segment, prefers to work with middle and upper end, which is what we work with in India. And that's been our strategy. And we can also offer this, but that is not our primary offering there.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Margins could be thinner.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Yes. The margins are thinner. And you have seen the kind of margin profile of the person you just referred to over the last 3 quarters.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] As there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Well, thank you. That was an interesting session. I must say that these phases come and go, and I believe -- I'm very optimistic for the second half of the year. I believe that things will turn around. I believe that this country is on the right track in terms of its economy, and our category should get back its rightful share of wallet as we go along. And I'm hoping for better times and hopefully a better call next time. Thank you.

R
R. Saranyan
executive

Thank you.

M
M. Kalro
executive

Thank you, members of the management. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Ambit Capital, that concludes this conference. We thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.

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