Tata Power Company Ltd
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Tata Power Q3 FY '23 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please note, this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Dr. Praveer Sinha, CEO and MD, Tata Power, for his opening remarks.

Thank you, and over to you, Dr. Sinha.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Thank you, Vikram. Good evening to everyone, and thanks for joining for the call. On behalf of Tata Power and on my personal sense, I would like to wish all of you a very happy healthy and prosperous 2023. I'm joined today on the call by my colleagues, Sanjeev Churiwala, CFO; Mr. JV Patel, Financial Controller; [indiscernible] from Investor Relations; and few other members from my finance team.

Two days back, the Honorable Finance Minister presented a very balanced budget, which had a lot of initiatives and programs to push the infrastructure sector. The programs were typically in areas of clean energy, renewable energy, battery storage, pump storage opportunity as also the long-term view as to how we will move towards 2030, 500 gigawatts of renewable capacity.

It is heartening to see that the government is also focused on decarbonizing the economy. And I'm sure that all these announcements of the government in the budget, we will be able to move at a very fast pace towards using clean and greener energy in our quest to become net zero.

As you may recall, Tata Power is the first power company in the country to announce its vision to become net zero by 2045. And we are working towards that goal. The big picture policy support that we saw in the budget was also about creating the transmission line from Ladakh to bring clean power, solar power from there into the main parts of the country. Also the support through viability gap funding for battery storage of nearly 4,000 megawatt hours will also help in turning up with clean energy and 24-hour clean energy solutions.

Let me now start talking about the power demand, which we see in last 1 year has grown tremendously. Even in winter months, we are seeing that the peak demand has been in the range of 200 to 210 gigawatts. And we can expect that this will continue to grow as summer approaches. On overall basis, we find that in the month of January itself, there has been a 12% increase in power consumption. And we do expect that this trend will only increase going forward, considering the summer months as they approach us.

Also, in the renewable sector, we have seen in the last few weeks that there has been huge price correction, especially in the prices of polysilicon, vehicles, cells and modules, which will help us to implement many of the projects, which were delayed in last 12 to 18 months because of huge increase in the prices of the solar manufacturing as also in the prices of the various commodities like steel and copper.

In the last quarter, we also saw that the Mundra plant could operate at full capacity, supplying to the 3 states of Gujarat, Maharashtra and Rajasthan. And the recent order of CERC has jest up that the tariff for Mundra becomes cost reflected. The Section 11 orders during the period 5th May to 31st December, has helped us to ensure that the supply of power takes place on a cost-effective basis and the full pass-through of full cost is provided. And the benefit of this has been considered in our quarterly performance.

Moving to the financials. Tata Power has reported an excellent quarter witnessing strong performance from all the business clusters, including our traditional generation business, transmission business and distribution business. Our PAT has grown consistently for the 13 successive quarters, demonstrating a very strong business fundamentals. Consolidated PAT achieved a new record of INR 1,052 crores, which is up by 91%. We also saw a very robust year-on-year growth of 30% in revenue and also a huge increase in our EBITDA by 53% to a record INR 2,818 crores. Our renewable capacity during this quarter has increased to INR 6,072 crores -- sorry, 6,072 megawatts with an installed capacity of 6,918 megawatts and another 22,154 megawatts under various areas of implementors.

During Q3, the renewable company, that is TPREL won 255 hybrid projects from Tata Power Delhi Distribution through a e-auction process. And also, it has won other orders from MSEDCL, which consists of 150 megawatts order worth INR 684 crores.

In addition to this, the company has won a large number of EPC orders and has a large order book of nearly 3,914 megawatts, which includes the internal projects also. Our 4 gigawatt cell and module factory construction activity is at full swing, and we expect the module plant will be ready by September and the cell plant will be ready by end of December. And we do expect that the cell -- that the model reduce from here will be used for the various projects, both internal as well as third party that will be implemented by us.

The TPREL Rooftop business also has seen very good traction in the quarter and 127 megawatts of capacity was installed in the last quarter. In addition to this, 102 megawatts of new orders have been won during this quarter. The Rooftop business, in fact, has a very healthy order book of 368 megawatts worth INR 1,375 crores. The Rooftop portfolio has now expanded to 1,300 megawatt cumulatively with installation right across the whole country. And with this, we have a footprint in nearly 275 cities in the country. It was a good quarter for solar parts also with Tata Power executing nearly 12,000 pumps in Q3.

In the December month only, we executed 6,300 pumps, which is one of the highest for Tata Power till now. We continue to power green mobility in the country and have partnered with Indian Army to set up EV charging points in Delhi cantonment area and are in discussions with many more similar cantonment in other parts of the country. On an overall basis, Tata Power energized 900 public chargers during Q3, taking our network of public and semi public chargers to nearly 3,100.

Tata Power's EV charging network is now present in more than 500 cities with the company adding 18 cities during Q3. We also have installed more than 6,600 home chargers in Q3, taking the total number of home chargers to more than 30,000 -- and what we have seen is that there is a huge amount of traction. And we range concerned that people used to have is no more there while using electric vehicles either within the cities or for their intercity travel.

Our distribution business in Odisha is doing very good and continues to give excellent service, both in terms of reliability and also in customer services, in all the 4 DISCOMS in Odisha. With all our 4 DISCOMS reporting a sharp reduction in AT&C process, which is nearly 26% on an average compared to 36% 1 year back. We expect that Odisha DISCOMs business will continue to post profit in this quarter as well as in the subsequent quarters.

We have installed in fact, 5 lakh smart meters across Tata Power DISCOMs across Odisha, Mumbai and Delhi, which is the highest by any power company in the country.

Moving to the balance sheet. I'm happy to share that our net debt has reduced further by INR 1,350 crores in December quarter. The fall was driven by the company's robust operating performance, lower CapEx, and inflow of the outstanding proceeds from divestment of Arutmin and other investments. Combination of healthy growth in the operational profit and declining debt has further improved the leverage ratio.

Our net debt-to-underlying EBITDA has improved from 3.5% in the last quarter to close to 3.0% in this quarter. Our net debt-to-equity has improved from 1.32 in the prior quarter to 1.23 in this quarter. We are committed to maintain this healthy leverage going forward. With sustainable development at the heart of our operations, we are pleased to see several agencies acknowledging our efforts.

In fact, Tata Power has emerged as the top ranking power utility in the countries by scoring 67 points in S&P rating with 85 percentile. The company has also improved its CDP climate change rating from [ e in 2021 to b in 2020 ]. Tata has also won the Gold Shield Award and the ICA Award for Excellence in Financial Reporting for 2020.

Tata Power continues to steadily move towards its long-term aspiration built on businesses of the future while maintaining a healthy balance sheet. This is clearly visible from the improvements seen in the operational and financial metrics in each passing quarter. We look forward to your continued support. With this, I will ask Vikram to go to the question-and-answer session.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]

We have a first question from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Capital.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

My compliments on a strong quarterly performance. My first question is that revenue for the quarter as per notes to accounts includes an amount of INR 4.39 billion relating to earlier quarters? Could you explain the nature of this income and what has flown to PBT and the PAT level? And does this take care of the entire amount that you had to recognize for Mundra UMPP?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Thank you. I think it's a very important question. The answer would be a bit complex because you have to kind of just bear with me. As you had already seen, we bought this CERC order under Section 11, which talks about complete pass-through of the fuel price. Now this is for the period starting from May to December. Since we are reporting the quarterly accounts, the amount pertaining to the previous quarter, have to be disclosed separately [indiscernible] the results that we have seen. I think the better way to look at is, yes, for the quarter, there's a pass-through, which has been agreed upon.

But I think since it also has a previous quarter results, if you have to look at the complete 9 months result, yes, of course, there will be a backlog that we still need to resolve for, and that is why we are working with the revised PPA to ensure that our losses comes down further.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Yes. that does not answer my question. What is the impact at the PBT and PAT level for the amount of INR 4.39 billion this quarter into earlier quarters?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So I think this is full -- this fully goes into tax, subject to tax, of course. The reason is very clear. The cost was absolutely booked in the period when the powers were applied, and we were looking at the differentiated tariff now, which you received now.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Okay. So what is the update on Mundra UMPP now? What was the -- so I assume that there was no under recovery versus same cost in Q3? Or what was the setoff which was given for the profits that you earn in the [ Indo ] coal mine? And was there any under recovery at all against capacity charges? And how is the present quarter playing out now that the section 11 level benefits have ceased -- and so what is the outlook or how far is the final outcome?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So there are a couple of questions that you have bundled together. In the capacity charges, which as per the CERC order under section 11 have to be completely passed on to the producers. So yes, that we will be getting. There's energy charges which is to ensure that it's a complete pass-through of fuel. Why I use the word complete pass-through fuel, there is this small element of under-recovery because besides fuel there is various other cost elements, which is also there. So there will be some -- and of course, there's a one element of mining profit sharing as well, which is part of the CERC order. And that -- to the extent of the profit mining share, we will have the under recovery.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Okay. So how is it progressing now, now that in January and for the Q4 quarter, how do the benefits continue? Or what are the discussions ongoing and what is the outcome expected?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. The discussions are ongoing. And given that the Section 11 notification with the MoP and now rectified by CERC would respect the revised PPA to be almost on similar lines, but the discussion is ongoing right now.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Okay. So the amount which has been additionally built for prior quarters has that been recovered from the states? Or is there any dispute regarding those amounts?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

No. So I think there are a couple of things again here. Is the amount that we have to receive on account of Section 11, the billing has happened now in the month of January, so it's not reflected as a recovery in December. Those recovery will happen now. And of course, for the previous 3 years, that is -- since the H1, that amount we distributed across various cycles, right? So that's why I'm saying it's very difficult for us to kind of respond on the phone. But what we can do is, for those who are interested, you can drop a letter to Rajesh and Rajesh will provide you the details.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Sure. So just hopping on this one, so benefits under Section 11 has still not been recognized. So these amounts for prior period which are flowing into profit are they relating to what exactly?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

The Section 11 revenues have been fully recognized, that's what I'm trying to tell you. The amount pertaining to the earlier period -- to your earlier question, it's a complete pass-through in the past because the cost that was incurred was already recognized inn the previous period.

S
Sumit Kishore
analyst

Just my last question on the TPSSL business. The order book at INR 154 billion, which is indeed quite strong, but revenue for the quarter, if I look at the solar -- utility-scale solar EPC business, excluding rooftop and pumps is below INR 8 billion absolute terms, and it's down year-on-year. So I understand that certain projects are not -- have got deferred, but what is the outlook here? And the extent of difference seems to be pretty high.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So let me try and decode this item by item. If I look at on a 12-month rolling basis, especially on the large scale utility, we almost installed about 1 gigawatt closing and almost 500 for the next quarter, the current quarter in the pipeline. So for the full year, we can expect about 1.5 gigawatts, which is a pretty decent thing. When it comes to the EPC, that's where we have gone slow, very strategically and deferred some of the projects for the subsequent quarters because we have seen the price of the models and sales were very, very high and off late as you're already seeing that the prices are significantly coming down. And to that extent, you will get those benefits in the subsequent quarters. So that was more of a strategic intent.

On the pump, so we took a very strategic position of choosing the state that we want to supply and choosing the kind of SKUs that we want to supply. This was again on account of high prices of modules and high prices of cells with things now recovering, we will accelerate further now.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have next question from the line of Mohit Kumar from DAM Capital.

M
Mohit Kumar
analyst

My first question is can you confirm the operational capacity of renewables and under construction capacity and the time lines of when you expect this capacity to come up in the sense of what the capacity is expected to come in FY '23 and FY '24 and expected EBITDA this portfolio at 75% level, of this direct capacity.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So we already have an installed capacity of 3.9 gigawatt on a large scale. The total in pipeline is about 2.4 gigawatts. We expect about commissioning of 500 megawatts in the fourth quarter. So for the full year, you should see close to about 1.5 gigawatt of addition in the large scale project. The time line as you said, 500 will already get commissioned in the current quarter out of 2.4 and the way the figure goes this -- we start commissioning next year, over very various quarters, they are in various stages of implementation. And hence, normally, you can expect between 12 months to 18 months for the projects that have just been one and the ones that are in the pipeline, most of them will get executed next year.

M
Mohit Kumar
analyst

Okay. Can you please let us know the coal volumes. I understand the coal volume are slightly softer side in CY '22. Can we expect this coal volume to pick up in CY '23?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Coal volume in what sense to pick up...

M
Mohit Kumar
analyst

Million tonnes, sir. Million tonne in Indonesian mines. [indiscernible].

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Okay. Are you talking about the coal mining? .

M
Mohit Kumar
analyst

Yes. Volumes, yes. Million tonnes, what was the volume for the 9 months? And do you expect this to pick up in this -- in the remaining part? Because what had happened last year, I think it was very, very subdued.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So I think -- there have been static readings over there, which have definitely impacted bit up of mining, but they are in the process of planning for the next year now. I will suggest you drop us a mail and we kind of let you know as to what kind of plans they will have once we kind of know it. For example, in KPC, normally, everyn year would have a mining plan of 50 million tonnes, and it's plus minus 10%, depending upon the various things, including the demand supply gap, logistics issues, it could be veins and whatnot, right? But give and take, now we are every calendar year, they expect to be a mine about 50 million tonnes.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Puneet Gulati from HSBC.

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

My first question is on Mundra. Now that Section 11 is it quite clear [indiscernible], can you provide some sense of profitability at EBITDA level for Mundra and other important metrics for that period, the 9-month period?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I would request you can drop a mail to Rajesh. And as we have said in the previous call, Mundra is no more a separate company for us. It's part of the Tata Power. So we do not call out a separate item for that. But as I said to the previous question, I think we are still under recovery because of the mining profit share. And of course, this order for CERC is only for the period of May to December, right? And as such, in the period of April and May, we'll still have a higher losses. So for us, on a YTD business, we still have a significant recovery. And we just hope that the new agreements that we are proposing or discussing to take care because unfortunately, we have burned a lot of cash in this business over the years.

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

Yes. But I thought the order of CERC was quite clear, right, in some sense that 30% of the coal that you take for Mundra only to that extent, you will have to share the mining profit. In that context, you should actually be making decent EBITDA, isn't it?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

No. If you only look at the quarter because this order pertains to a period beyond the quarter, yes. But then to the extent that we are sharing the profit, the nice profit for the coal that we have been consuming to that extent, it...

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

30%, right? I mean it was only 30% of the coal that you're consuming, not for the full, right?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes, 30% of the coal.

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

Yes. So would it not have rendered the Section 11 period strong EBITDA number?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

What happens is it's important to, again, not just to look at the quarter because...

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

I'm talking about the full Section 11 period starting from May to December. Some sense because that's the number 1 can expect, right? I mean [indiscernible].

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Of course, that is correct. At the EBITDA level, yes, but a better way to look at it, how does it look like for the entire 9 months of duration, wherein we had various kind of arrangements. So I think what's also important is to look forward we should not be making any under recoveries and that's the main point of discussion right now for us.

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

All right. I'll take it separately. But on the Tata Power solar, how should one think about the EBITDA margin? So you explained about the potential revenue growth. How should one think about the margin profile of this business?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

You're talking about solar gross shops, or?

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

No, the solar EPC business. The entire...

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

See, solar EPC, normally, we have been targeting at a PAT margin of 5% to 7%. And again, that is on a portfolio level. Some of them will be lower and some of them will get higher. But on an aggregate level, that is what we want to target. If you look at our business for the first 9 months, it has been said lower than that because, of course, we had pretty higher sales and module prices. And as a result, we have planned current deferment of the projects on the subsequent quarter.

But on a consistent basis, our aim is to kind of have at least a 5% PAT margin of the EPC business.

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

If I have my numbers right, I think Q2 had come down to almost stabilized number, right? It has a nice 9% PAT margin -- back to 3% PAT. So I thought problems should have been solved by Q2, and now they are on a steady PAT.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So if you look at the 3 quarters together YTD, right? YTD, I think it is 3% plus...

P
Puneet Gulati
analyst

Correct. YTD is fine because Q1 was back, right? It was a negative so loss-making quarter.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Correct. That is when we decided to take the second call [indiscernible] some of the projects, including reaching out for the orders, to renegotiate the prices and everything else. And to the extent we see some better team coming in quarters quarter 3 and hopefully, this will dip in the module and sell prices that we see now, and we should be able to improve on that. We are therefore, we're kind of saying that we target a 5% EPC margin, PAT margin.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Anupam Goswami with BOB Capital Markets.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Sir, I'll take the Mundra operational numbers later on. But my question is on the -- this quarter, now that the Section 11 has ceased to operate, do we see any breakeven sort of position in Mundra in a new PPA? Or we do actually see some profit coming also in the Mundra unit?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Are you talking about the fourth quarter from Section 11?

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Yes, fourth quarter after the Section 11.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So our intent is to see that as the PPA can stand in the line of Section 11. At least the principle that has been set in Section 11. So to that extent of mining profit, yes, there might be certain under recovery. But even if that happens, I think we'll have a big relief given the big quantum of losses that we have been making in the past.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

So overall to a bottom line to say that there will be some recoveries continuing in Mundra and maybe the losses will narrow down, but entirely profits will not reflect if I just summarize in one line. Will I be correct in this?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So the idea is to recover the fuel cost. The idea is to kind of see that we keep on getting our capacity charges. But yes, to the extent of the mining profit that we have to share, we have some impact.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Okay. And sir, your capacity charge and fuel costs currently are coming at, at what level, sir? If you can give me a ballpark sort of number.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

We will not have it readily available. But intensively, we're looking at the fuel cost pass-through. But if you drop a message to Rajesh, he might take those numbers and share it with you.

Operator

We have next question from the line of [ Dhananjay Machi ], an investor.

U
Unknown Attendee

Congratulations on the numbers. Can you please update why there is a drop in the revenue and transmission and distribution system from the last quarter?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Sorry, your voice was not [indiscernible]. Okay. So look, I think if you break up between transmission and distribution, transmission is more of a consistent asset, we don't have a profit. When it comes to distribution business, we have kind of done some cleaning up with respect to the expected credit loss, which is kind of looking at the past receivables and trying to recover that. And if not, trying to still get on the P&L.

U
Unknown Attendee

Okay, sir. And any capital utilization, current capital utilization?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Current capital utilization of which business?

U
Unknown Attendee

Average current capacity utilization.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So are you talking about the Mundra plant or it's kind of looking at it segment separately. If you look at the investor deck, which has been uploaded, they have the complete breakup.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Balasubramanian A with Arihant Capital.

B
Balasubramanian A
analyst

Congratulations for great set of numbers. My first question regarding CapEx in solar models. I think the current capacity around 35 megawatts, so what kind of capacity addition is expected in the next 2 to 3 years, what kind of CapEx amount? If you could throw some light on that?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So I think in the previous strategy deck that is already uploaded on the website, we kind of said that I intend it to kind of do 2 to 3 gigawatts every year. We have presented a refreshing for strategy. But yes, our plan is to kind of big time into solar and almost 80% to 90% of our CapEx that we are presently allocating is going through our green business. So I think that trend will continue.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Rajesh Majumdar with B&K Securities.

R
Rajesh Majumdar
analyst

Sir, my first question was regarding our module capacity. So I have a basic question now that the module price has corrected to INR 0.21 or so, what is the feasibility of setting up a plant versus importing modules. So if the prices continue to correct more hypothetically to slightly more lower levels. Is there a long-term viability of this module plant or rather we import at lower prices? That was the first question.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So let me try to respond to this. First of all, when you import modules, you need to pay the basic customs duty. So today, the customer duty is 14%. So even if we are seeing the reduction in the prices of modules, it will always be much higher than what is the price at which we will be manufacturing because what we will be doing, we'll be bringing the wafers, making the cells and the module. And on wafers, there is no customs duty. So there is an arbitrage, and I think the cell and volumes that we will manufacture will be much more competitive, even with the very low prices of the imported volumes that we get from China or any other country.

R
Rajesh Majumdar
analyst

Is it a significant [indiscernible] or still? Or it's like with the fall in prices, it's like would be 10%, 15% or some [indiscernible]

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I just mentioned to you, 40% differential on customer duty.

R
Rajesh Majumdar
analyst

Customer duty. Yes.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So even if theoretically, their prices are 20% lower than Indian prices, it would still be more than the Indian price than it is imported.

R
Rajesh Majumdar
analyst

And sir, my second question was, we will see a considerable increase in the renewable additions now going forward, hopefully, since the prices are falling and there is renewed focus in the sector. But what I've seen is that despite a year of sterling profits from the joint ventures and a strong cash flow, our debt is going up. So in the event of our renewable additions going up to, say, 2, 2.5 gigawatts per annum, will there be a significant increase in the debt level from the current level? Or is it not sustainable?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. I think the way to look at it -- when we look at a contented level, we do a capital allocation across our various businesses. As we speak to you and also as you see in the deck, our net debt has actually gone down by INR 1,300-odd crores in the current quarter. So we have landed with a total debt position of about INR 38,000-odd crores. right? So yes, we kind of allocate our capital, and my location in the solar right now and in the renewable businesses, but we are mindful of a leverage our local debt as to how we manage it.

R
Rajesh Majumdar
analyst

So you don't see the impediment for the long-term growth of the renewables business?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Absolutely not. And I think it's, again, not a correct idea to only look at an absolute debt when the business is really growing, I would rather encourage everyone to talk about the leverage because finally, what matters is leverage. Finally, what matters is the COVID, right, at least. And if you compare our business, given that we are in an infrastructure space to any other players, we have strong balance sheet.

Operator

We have our next question from the line of Anupam Goswami from BOB Capital Markets.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Thanks for taking my question again. Sir, my question on the overall vision of the company, where do we see in the growth-oriented factors? Where do we see the capacity growing? And which segments -- is it only the renewable segment that we are trying to grow? Or are we looking at some transmission lines in those networks because that was also a plan at one time, and we haven't seen any movement over there yet.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

In last 2 years, if you see, we went and took over the 4 distribution company. We added 9 million customers who are earlier existing 3 million. So there has been a huge capacity addition in distribution. If we look at our transmission business, last year, we went ahead and bid out 2 of this test assets. And both those projects are now under implementation.

So we have been quite aggressive in terms of adding capacity in our distribution and transmission. As we have been earlier also sharing with you that there is a cutoff that we consider for any of these projects in terms of what sort of returns we are looking at there.

And while we have been bidding or some of the projects as the prices or the valuations that we are doing, we don't feel it will meet our overall objectives. So -- we are very concerned if the margins are not there. And any bid that we do, we ensure that it meets our overall long-term return metrics. So apart from renewables, we are definitely doing a lot of work in distribution and also in the space of transmission. And as is well good opportunity for us, we will be bidding for all those projects.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Renewable at what run rate are we adding capacity, are we looking at?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So in this year, we have already won to more than 2 gigawatt of renewable capacity customer subscription so that ended -- and all these projects will get incremented in the next 12 months to 18.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Right. And going forward, like FY '24 and '25, should we look at a similar run rate of addition?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes, absolutely. This excludes the group captive. So that also is going at a very fast pace, and you can expect at least 500 to 800-megawatt of the group captive getting added every year.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

So about FY '26 or '27, we'll reach about 8 to 9 gigawatts of capacity, if I'm not wrong.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

No, it will be much more than that. Today, we already have -- we are having installed capacity of 4, under construction is 2, and there is another 1 at 0.5 where we have one work has not started. So we are already at 7.5. So if we keep on adding 2 gigawatts plus the group captive will be much higher than the number that you mentioned.

A
Anupam Goswami
analyst

Okay. Sir, my last question on the -- now that Mundra revising PPA will come. Do we add down the line, do we see any growth or increase in dividend payout?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Well, this is a decision that the Board and the shareholders take. So let us see how the overall performance is there and [indiscernible]

Operator

We have next question from the line of Bhavin Vithlani with SBI Mutual Fund.

B
Bhavin Vithlani
analyst

Could you help us -- capital is already incurred towards manufacturing of solar wafers and solar [indiscernible]

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Sir, we will be spending nearly INR 3,400 crores. So that's the CapEx plan for that business.

B
Bhavin Vithlani
analyst

Okay. Any rough estimate of what percentage of this is already been incurred?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Well, right now, it's the basic work that is going on the civil work and some advances have been given against the equipment. So very difficult at this stage to give you an exact number. But this is something which is under implementation based on the milestones, the payments are being released in the supply.

B
Bhavin Vithlani
analyst

Sure. Just a follow-up on this. The news reports about China government banning the export of solar value chain from wafers than before that, in such a case, do we have a plan of alternate versus China?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

There is no ban on any supply of [indiscernible]. Actually setting up huge capacities there. And for them, it's very necessary that they keep on supplying globally to meet the growth of renewable power. So the type of capacity additions that they are doing, it is very important for them to continue supplying to all large user software -- renewable solar.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Abhineet Anand from Emkay Global.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

Yes. Just trying to understand the profitability for the quarter and 9 months. So we have made a profit of INR 1,050, and it includes around INR 439 crores of the Mundra stock that we are talking about. So is it fair to understand that if I subtract that number, that could be the adjusted PAT? Or are there more adjustments to this?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Are you talking about the subsequent quarters?

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

No, I'm just talking about 3Q sir. So when you reported INR 1,050 crores profit...

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

No. So what is happening is because of the profit for the quarter, while a data power level, we had a deferred tax asset. Even though we have a profit now, we have a reversal of the deferred tax asset. So while you're looking at that INR 459 crores, there's also a reversal of INR 451 crores in deferred tax assets. So by enlarge that is ratifying the overall profit.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

Okay. So largely, the reported number is the industrial profit you are saying that, right?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

In a way.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

Yes. Second is, if I have to arrive at the mining profit, if correct me if I understand it right? I have to add investment companies losses and profit of the coal company, right? Is there anything else that needs to be done?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I guess that is the right approach.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

So if I've done that, I think probably for the quarter, we made INR 700 crores-odd profit versus INR 560 last year on a Y-o-Y basis.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So what happens is, again, you look at the tax element, the deferring tax, there are many other things that have to be counted. What you can do is you can get in touch with Rajesh, and he'll be able to share some more details.

And I think there's something already as part of your investor deck, which is uploaded. That will also give you some understanding.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

Yes. I was just reading that out only because there are 2 calls participants. One is the invested companies and there is a coal mine.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. Looking at Slide 19, yes.

A
Abhineet Anand
analyst

Yes.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Atul Tiwari from Citi.

A
Atul Tiwari
analyst

Just one question on Mundra UMPP, so now that Section 11 as of now is no longer operative and the new supplemental PPA has yet not been signed, so could you share for the current quarter, what is the PLF of the plant? And on what basis are you billing both the fixed cost and the fuel cost? And what are the under recoveries if any?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Well, we don't have an answer for a simple reason that we would expect the agreement to be signed soon as Dr. Sanjeev already said in some of the previous questions, and in those times, we would definitely want to run the plant and [indiscernible] 48%, and I'm sure the other states will also follow. So we'll try and look at it positively, than we're really worried about what will happen.

A
Atul Tiwari
analyst

The current PLF, at least, is the plant running at high PLF or the PLF?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Right now, only one unit is operating and is that also 48% of the power is going to -- so it's a very small quantity that will be done. But as soon as we are able to come to an arrangement to this rate, we will be able to wrap up the generation and supply to the full 1,800-megawatt.

A
Atul Tiwari
analyst

Okay. And sir, this week, there was a news item that the government may be considering to invoke Section 11 again in the [indiscernible]. So have you heard anything on this? And is it likely that the Section 11 could be kind of extended again?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

We've also heard, we've also read in the newspapers and the statements given it by the minister. So let's wait and see.

Operator

We have next question from the line of Girish Achhipalia with Morgan Stanley.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

I have 2 questions on renewables. As per Slide 29-- actually down to 10%. I think it's the lowest ever. What's really happened there? Can you just clarify and if there is any one-off here?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So what typically happens in the winter months, are the low PLF months. And this is typically every year also if you see during these months of November, December, it's very low wind speed and it will pick up. Now it will pick up from...

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Also said it's down 400 basis points.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Previously, it's actually down to the same quarter.

Yes. So -- you know the climate change that keeps on happening. This year, the monsoon rains went up to mid of October, in fact, up to end October, and that's why the wind speeds were very low. We expect that they will make up in the subsequent run. We had also seen that in both quarter 1 and quarter 2 this year, we are very good on a cumulative basis, there is not a huge difference between last year and this year.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Then in terms of debt that is likely to be repaid in the next 12 months on renewables. How much is it? And what is your rate of interest that you're getting your new borrowings and renewables at?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So I think it all depends on the CapEx plan that they have.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

I'm referring to the CapEx plan that you have for the balance under construction capacity. How much are you getting your new debt? And if you are to refinance any debt, how much is the refinancing likely what is the repayment likely?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I think when you look at all the current borrowings that we recently get done...

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Or you could share the number, sir?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Between 7.5% to 8%.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

I was referring to the debt amount also. So what is the debt amount you will have to repay or refinance?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Sorry, the refinance, see, that we'll have to calculate and give you. But all I can tell you is our average maturity period is very good. And to that extent, we are not kind of really worried, but we do have those details available. And unlike many other players in the market, our complete borrowings is mostly domestic and domestic loans. And the short term...

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

How long, sir? Is it 3 years, 4 years, 5 years now, like for the current portfolio?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I think it's about 5 years of overall portfolio last year. And the current one, we have started looking at an even higher tenure. We recently did, I think it's unusual market INR 1,000 crores borrowing at about 7.9% and about 8% for 10-year tenure. The 5-year rates are right now about 7.5% to 7.6%. So that's why I was saying that our borrowing will range between 7.5% to 8%.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Okay. And the module cost that you are -- CapEx that you're incurring now, what will be the -- what will be the margin cost for that? How many cents would it work out to roughly? The manufacturing costs?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Are you talking about the manufacturing capacity?

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Yes, new capacity that you are building and which would come up.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes, they still have some way to go. So it's too early to give any idea of what will be the manufacturing cost because it all depends at what price we get this and then we get the wafer. So -- but what we can tell you is that we will be very competitive based on the projections that we have seen and our manufacturing costs that we have planned. We will be very confident in the Indian market.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

And sir, can you just explain the deferred tax profit that you just hit I mean I couldn't follow why is it coming? And what is it about? And why should it -- is it an extraordinary or not an extraordinary and why?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So I think I just give you some context -- at Tata Power level, which is the Tata Power stand-alone, we had carry forward losses coming because of this merger of the CGP plant that we did last year. We had a huge amount of carry forward losses. To that extent we have deferred tax assets created in the books.

Now as and when we are getting the profits, the deferred tax assets are unwinding, right? So if you see a higher unwinding, it's the good situation, which means that we have higher profits as we pull as that. But then this is noncash and it doesn't really impact our cash position.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

So is it extraordinary or not an extraordinary?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

This is ordinary because we have profit, perfect assets also.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Yes. My question on profit, right? Recurring profit. So INR 1,000 crores minus the post-tax Mundra, post-tax Mundra causing the recurring profit guidance, right?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I'm not very clear on your question.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

So the revenue that you've realized for Mundra for prior period post tax would actually be the recurring profit, right? There would not be any other investment.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So the profit that we have realized and we just kind of went to PAT, that is because of the Section 11, Section 11 CERC order. Now depending upon from 1st of January, if they are able to sign the [indiscernible]

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

I think I'm referring to the quarterly profit for this quarter. I'm not going to quarter 4 -- so quarter 3 profit minus prior period post tax will be the recurring profit for Q3? That's my understanding. So correct me if I'm wrong there. And if I have to make any other adjustment.

S
Sanjeev Churiwala
executive

So since have carryforward losses on a stand-alone basis, we have actually no tax -- but because we have created the deferred tax asset, as and when we realize further, we will be consuming some of those deferred taxes.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

But sir said that this is not an extraordinary -- and hence, I'm just trying to reconcile that.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

[indiscernible] we will get the profit. This will come. The deferred tax aspect will be consumed. So this is ordinary profit, we will continue to defer tax assets.

S
Sanjeev Churiwala
executive

So the maybe we are not very clear on the question. Well, I'll again attempt, we will still put that question to Rajesh and we'll try that and come back to you with a very clear-cut answer. But none of them are exceptional or extraordinary. Other than we get profits, right, in the stand-alone power books, given that we have had the carryforward losses and deferred tax assets. The deferred tax assets will get reversed. And this is a noncash item. It will not impact our cash flow.

G
Girish Achhipalia
analyst

Fair enough. Now I wanted to understand CapEx last bit. So what has been the CapEx plan for 9 months that you have had and for full year, how much is pending? And for FY '24, if you can just give us a broad breakup of different businesses? What could CapEx be?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes. So for this whole year, we're kind of buying at INR 800 crores to INR 1,000 crores. And depending on how much we can accelerate in the current quarter, it depends where we lined up. And of course, given the size of the solar capacity that we're trying to put up, which is about 2 to 3 gigawatts, we could expect anything above INR 10,000 crores CapEx spending next year. Now we are still working on the plans for the next year. But yes, you can at least expect that kind of CapEx to come in.

Operator

We take last question from [indiscernible] from ICICI Securities.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, please correct me if I wrong if I'm wrong. So during the initial remarks, Praveer sir, had mentioned that they had been some asset sales that we had done during this quarter. So which were these assets? And what was the consideration amount?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

No, no. This asset sale was not done in last quarter. We got the money in the last quarter. We had done the asset sale way back in 2015, the Arutmin coal mine. So some of the money was to be received from them. We received in the last quarter.

S
Sanjeev Churiwala
executive

Yes. So I think if you see the cash flow, we have about 40-odd crore that has come in quarter 3. I think we have recovered close to INR 700-odd crores. And that is outward progress because this is a sale that we have done a couple of years back. And then we had engaged with the buyers to not get back our money.

U
Unknown Analyst

So is there any further amount that you're spending on it?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Amount, which is spending that you would expect to come in the next few months.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, what is that amount? How much of it?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

We don't have the exact application there, but let's expect that we were -- anything between INR 200 crores to INR 300-odd crores was coming.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Okay. And sir, second question on Tata projects. So this has been another quarter where the subsidiary has posted a lot -- so sir, how should we see this? Because the fluctuation quarter-on-quarter seems to be quite high. And can we see some stability because now the commodity prices also have stabilized a bit. So can we see some stability going forward in Tata Projects?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

I think you're bang on. While there have been the losses, the losses are not as volatile as was in the last year. And we have very clearly mentioned that we did a lot of cleanup. There have been some [indiscernible] sales, which they are now trying to kind of hold up the losses higher. But yes, I think looking at the current order book of other projects, it seems that the worst should be over now, and we think that the company is in a recovery phase in the next year.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So we can expect some margin improvements going forward?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Yes, we as shareholders would also like to love to see that it was improvements.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, one question on the TPREL distribution. So the purchase cost, I know it's a pass-through, but it has increased significantly over the past 1 year. So should there be any concerns in terms of regulatory asset buildup or any other thing? How should we look at this? Is there any discussion on this front as well?

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

So they get something now that the power purchase adjustments. Right now, I think they are getting nearly 20% increase in terms of power purchase adjustment. So every quarter, we give the details to the regulatory also. And based on that, the commission approves the PPA. So I think at present, they are actually neutral in terms of the power purchase cost increase.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to Dr. Praveer Sinha for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

P
Praveer Sinha
executive

Thank you, everyone, for joining for this call. And in case you have any further details, so please connect with my colleagues, Rajesh and Sanjeev. I'm sure we'll be able to provide you all the required information in detail. So take care and once again, it was a pleasure interacting with you all.

S
Sanjeev Churiwala
executive

Thank you. Thanks. Bye.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Tata Power, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.

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