Tata Motors Ltd
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q2-2025 Analysis
Tata Motors Ltd

Tata Motors navigates supply challenges while maintaining profitability outlook.

In Q2, Tata Motors faced production constraints due to external factors, yielding 86,000 units and a 6% revenue decline. The company recorded a 10% drop in profit before tax but expects EBIT to recover to 8.5% by year-end. Notably, the U.S. market performed well, and despite challenges in China, wholesales should increase as supply issues ease. Tata Motors reaffirms its commitment to achieving a 10% EBIT margin in FY '26, emphasizing structural cost reductions, effective cash management, and a focus on new product launches.

Tata Motors Shows Resilience Amidst Headwinds

In the latest earnings call, Tata Motors demonstrated notable resilience despite external pressures. For the second quarter, the company produced 86,000 vehicles, leading to wholesales of 87,000. This impacted revenue negatively, resulting in a 6% decline for the quarter. However, profitability remained intact, with the company recording its ninth consecutive quarter of positive EBIT, achieving over 5% EBIT in the latest results. Notably, despite a 10% year-over-year decrease in profit before tax (PBT), annual figures suggest a year-on-year increase.

Operational Adjustments and Future Prospects

Despite negative cash flow of GBP 256 million in Q2, Tata Motors plans to maintain its year-end cash guidance. Year-to-date revenue was flat, but an increase in revenue per unit was noted. The company expects EBIT margins to stabilize around 8.5% as operations normalize in the latter half of the year, driven by recovering production and inventory corrections. A specific outlook for H2 promises recovery from supply chain constraints, paving the way for improved wholesales and financial performance.

Regional Performance Highlights

Regional performance varied significantly, with the U.S. market continuing to excel. However, challenges emerged in the U.K. and EU due to a temporary quality hold on 6,000 vehicles. These units are expected to positively impact Q3 performance. Although wholesales in China remained strong, market stress is anticipated to impact H2 sales, warranting caution from investors. The company's strategy emphasizes solidifying its market presence in the U.S. amidst competitive conditions in Europe.

Strategic Focus on EV and Future Investments

Tata Motors is heavily investing in transitioning towards electric vehicles (EVs). Recent investments will facilitate producing zero-emission vehicles, with plans to achieve net carbon neutrality by 2039. The successful rollout of new EV models like the Nexon iCNG is expected to further enhance its market position. As the EV sector continues to mature, Tata Motors is likely to see increased profitability driven by cost management and operational efficiencies.

Concerns and Market Outlook

Despite a strong performance in certain markets, the company remains cautious about domestic demand and external economic pressures. Recent data shows a slowdown in consumer demand and increased competition in the EV space. The analysts highlighted the importance of navigating potential risks, particularly in China where market dynamics are shifting. Tata Motors is committed to closely monitoring these developments while unveiling new product launches and enhancing dealer networks to boost retail performance.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2025-Q2

from 0
Operator

Good day, and welcome to Tata Motors Q2 FY '25 Earnings Call. Today with us are Mr. PB Balaji, Group CFO, Tata Motors; Mr. Girish Wagh, Executive Director, Tata Motors; Mr. Shailesh Chandra, MD. Tata Motors, Passenger Vehicles Limited and Tata Passenger Electric Mobility Limited; Mr. GV Ramanan, Vice President, Finance, Tata Motors Limited; Mr. Dhiman Gupta, Vice President, Finance, TMPVL and TPEML; Mr. Adrian Mardell, CEO, Jaguar Land Rover; Mr. Richard Molyneux, CFO, Jaguar Land Rover; and we also have our colleagues from the Investor Relations team.

Today, we plan to walk you through the results presentation followed by Q&A. [Operator Instructions]

I now hand over to Balaji sir to take over. Over to you, sir.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Thank you, Anish, and good evening, everybody. Good morning to people on the U.S. It's obviously a very sad quarter for all of us here in Tata Motors on the passing away of Mr. Tata. This company was of existence to him, and we thought we'll take this opportunity to continue to pay our respects to him them. Thank you, sir, for continuing to inspire us.

Next slide, please. So the standard safe harbor statement. Nothing new to report here. Next one.

It's been a pretty intensive quarter for us in terms of products and as well as other highlights for the business there. You already have seen some of these pictures already. But I think the callouts, I would say, as far as domestic is concerned, I think the launch of the Nexon iCNG and the 45-kilowatt hour has been an excellent success, forward back curve. We also had an extremely warm ceremony for groundbreaking of the new [ Chennai ] plant that we had. We had the honorable [indiscernible] Tamil Nadu as well as the industry's minister with us and the Chairman as well. This is a project that we are all very proud of. It's something that we are going to create between Tata Motors and JLR to get products to market there. So we look forward to continuing to work in this space. And on JLR side, of course, substantial efforts underway about the whole EV transition with the Halewood factory getting ready for introducing EMA products there. And from a financing side, of course, both RCF [indiscernible] and as well as our ratings continue to keep improving. So over all in all, a satisfying quarter from that perspective.

Of course, not so satisfying as far as the current quarter is concerned, nothing new. We did call this out last quarter of the supply issues that we have faced in JLR and one unforeseen last-minute pullback that we had to do in JLR and continuing demand situation that we did indicate in domestic Indian business. Therefore, despite these situation, the first half has broadly held. But for the quarter, it's been a disappointing quarter with revenues down 3.5% EBIT at 5.6%, down 190 bps and profit before tax and exceptional items at [ INR 5,800 crores ] cost, down about INR 400 crores.

Free cash flow, more on a full year basis with a lot of working capital movement between first quarter, second quarter. On a full year basis, marginally down [ INR 8,700 crores, ] and we would expect to see this reverse going forward. Next slide, please.

Where the growth comes from, we declined by about 3.5%, of which 6.6% -- 6.2% out of that came out of volume and mix, primarily out of JLR and as well as at an overall level. And of course, we did see impact on other parts of the business at [indiscernible] subsequently.

Translation with the pound appreciating vis-a-vis the Indian rupee, you would see a 3.3% increase on the translation side.

And on a margin perspective, tax to the decline in revenue growth, we did see operating deleverage that go right through, and we'll talk about that in greater detail subsequently.

Net debt marginally inched up. Not particularly concerned about it. We should expect to see this reverse and go into net cash by end of the year.

With this, let me hand you over to Richard to walk you through the JLR performance. Richard, over to you.

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Thank you, Balaji. So if we go to the next chart, please. So the summary for JLR is that we were held back by outside forces in Q2, particularly the flood, which restricted our production to 86,000 units in the quarter.

The good news is even with these headwinds, we delivered robust profitability, which does show the underlying resilience of our business, and we expect to bounce back strongly in H2.

So the top row in this chart shows the financial results in Q2. The bottom half is H1, and each of the following charts will follow the same format. So with 86,000 units of production driving 87,000 unit wholesales, this is what has driven revenue down by 6% in the quarter. But even with this, we posted the ninth quarter of positive EBIT in a row, and the seventh quarter of EBIT over 5%. So in addition, even though PBT was down by 10% in the quarter, on a full year basis, it's actually up year-over-year.

Operating cash in the quarter was GBP 256 million negative. That puts us fairly much flat for H1. But even with flat H1 cash, we're still holding our guidance of net cash at year-end. The bottom half of the page, revenue is flat for H1 year-over-year. But with the lower volume, this means revenue per unit continues to rise. EBIT is down a little bit as a percentage, driven by increased levels of sales support. But we also expect EBIT to recover in H2, allowing us to hit our commitment of 8.5%.

Next chart, please. So I won't go through this in detail. Most of the points out here, I'll cover in the following charts. Next chart.

So looking at wholesales by brand. We mentioned the impact of the [indiscernible] impacted particularly Range Rover, Range Rover Sport's MLAs or most [indiscernible] intensive architecture. We only sold 30,000 Range Rover and Range Rover Sport in the quarter versus a normal run rate of at least 40,000.

Defender did benefit a little bit in the quarter as we allocated components. Discovery was flat. And Jaguar, as you know, is in run-out phase as we move towards the extremely exciting launch of the new brand next month in Miami.

From an H1 perspective, Range Rover is still really strong, 14% up year-on-year and Defender is also really robust. Next page. This looks at the same data but by region. On a second impact on top of the aluminium supply issue we had was a temporary quality hold we put on 6,000 primarily U.K. and EU cars. These cars will be wholesaled in Q3. This was the main reason why U.K. EU performance is down year-over-year for the quarter, but the EU market is becoming increasingly competitive as others allocate unsold units to their home market.

The U.S. continues to perform really well. And China remained strong in Q2. I should say, however, and I'll cover China in a bit more detail later on, that the market and the retailer network are showing considerable stress and this will impact H2 sales in the region. But for Q2, we did really well. Wholesales were up.

From an H1 perspective, it's a fairly similar profile, but this does emphasize the emerge of the U.S. as the market where our brand strength and product appeal is growing strongly.

Next chart. So this chart walks from our PBT in Q2 last year, the GBP 442 million to the GBP 398 million we recorded in Q2 this year. If you think at a total level that that's a wholesale level of 97,000 going down to a wholesale level of 87,000, that's actually quite resilient financial performance in a very fixed cost business. If I look at the walk, obviously, they've been negative, the first big negative there is volume. And we lost 10,000 units [indiscernible] by about GBP 214 million.

Net pricing was also negative for us. So variable marketing expense or sales support on an incurred basis was 4% in the quarter versus 1.1% in the same quarter last year. Normally, in the past few quarters, we have been able to more than compensate such moves with contribution cost reductions. And as you can see there, material cost is continuing to come down quite strongly. The high royalty costs in the quarter dragged our net revenue to contribution cost performance negative for the quarter. And be assured material cost, quality and the cost of quality are major focus areas for us as we move the business forward.

On a structural basis, you can see our structural costs are falling, even though we're investing more in marketing. This is driven largely by reduced D&A as we extend our highest life cycles in response to slowing global demand for BEVs. From an FX and commodities perspective, the strengthening of sterling [ hurt ] operational FX that gave us a strong revaluation effect on debt. So no surprises there.

Next page. This takes up H1 PBT and walks into cash. So you can see at GBP 2.14 billion in the middle, that strong operating cash after tax even given the low wholesales in Q2. And although not the case in Q2 individually on an H1 basis, investment spending does remain significantly lower than the amount of free cash flow our business generates.

Looking at the working capital side, the lower production has a sort of a double hit on us because it also means the working capital goes negative as payables fall with reduced production. This has impacted overall free cash flow, which was roughly back to the first half. Those working capital effects are going to reverse back out in H2, which will give us a much stronger cash flow in the second half of the year.

Next chart. Turning to investment. Investment in H1 was just under GBP 1.9 billion, about GBP 400 million higher than the same period last year. This was driven by our BEV transition and our very forward and very exciting new product cadence over the next few years. Engineering capitalization ratio was stable at circa 65%.

Okay. So if I move on to a business update, which I think is next. Let's move straight into China. So definitely worth giving an update of our perspective on China and what's playing out over there. So I think there's 2 main themes. On the left-hand side, there has been industry-wide discounting and overstocking for quite some time. And this has really started to put extreme levels of stress into the retailer industry, automotive retailer industry across China. We are seeing considerable insolvencies in that base. And that means the loss of retail points for us and other manufacturers to access the market.

It also tends to have a bit of a domino effect because the fact that some retailer groups are not able to survive reduces the amount of [ new ] funding and credit that the other ones can get. So there is extreme stress in the distribution structures for vehicles in China. And that's partly related in the middle section, where there are also demand challenges, both industry-wide and in the sectors in which we operate. So premium market down 12%. And the ICE market down 22%.

In that context of performance in the first half of the year, we haven't done badly. Retails on our imported cars was down 4%. Wholesales were actually up. And we've managed dealer inventory very well. We coped really quickly with the loss of retail points.

So what we'll find is, look, China is not something that's going to get solved very, very quickly. and it will definitely give us some weakness in that market in the second half of the year. But from where we stand now in Q2, we've done a reasonable job.

Next chart. So we continue to invest and invest strongly in our reimagined strategy. So this picture is the BEV lines up in Halewood. It's an amazing facility dedicated to BEV production, and it will eliminate tailpipe emissions. But also you'll see near the bottom of the text on the right, it will also reduce our own emissions. So we're taking maybe 40,000 tonnes of CO2e out of Halewood's industrial footprint. So we reconfirm our commitment to our strategy. It means that we will be net carbon zero by 2039. Only BEVs by 2036 and have a BEV derivative of all of our brands by 2030.

Next chart. So financial outlook looking ahead. We've mentioned Q2 was hurt by factors largely out of our control, and we expect to bounce back strongly in H2. So the headroom to holding these commitments, which are GBP 30 billion worth of revenue, greater than or equal to 8.5% EBIT and net cash positive, they are still our commitments. It is worthwhile saying, however, that the headroom to achieving those is tighter than I would like.

Next page Tata Commercial Vehicles. Back to you, Balaji.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Thank you, Richard. Let me now hand it over to Ramanan and Girish to do the sections on the Commercial Vehicles. Ramanan, [indiscernible].

U
Unknown Executive

Thank you, Balaji. I think Q2, the CV industry saw 11 percentage [ line ] year-on-year in terms of volume, largely impacted on external factors of infra slowdown and reduction in mining. And if you see, in terms of our registration market share, we've been kind of steady. On a half year basis, it's at 38.1%. Despite this decline, the passenger segment has also seen growth.

Next page. Funding revenue and financial [indiscernible] revenue largely on account of the market conditions, but have sustained a double-digit EBITDA with 40 bps growth over Y-on-Y. And also on a half yearly basis, the EBITDA has improved at a double-digit EBITDA that we've been able to manage. EBITDA has improved by 120 bps, and this is leading to a strong PBT, resulting in a good ROCE of [indiscernible].

So let me just give you sort of walk on the PBT from Q2 of last year to the current year Q2. Coming to this walk, you'll see that lower volume has kind of impacted us adversely, but favorable pricing and the variable cost benefits have adequately helped us bridge the gap. Overall, we sustain the margin well.

And I would now request Girish to kind of share more on giving some insights.

G
Girish Wagh
executive

Thank you, Ramanan. So as Ramanan mentioned, I think industry volumes declined by around 11% mainly due to the slowdown in infra activities, reduction in mining and also heavy rain impacting the movement of freight. In heavy commercials, intermediates like medium commercial vehicles has seen pickup, the volumes declined by around 24%, 13% and 10%, respectively, whereas passenger carriers grew by 5%. Passenger carriers continue to do well.

Interesting data, which we are now able to track live. I think the kilometers run by vehicles on a daily basis did decline significantly. And on a year-on-year basis on the lowest level, there was a decline of almost 15% to 17%. And we've also seen that the diesel consumption has reduced to almost 15% on a quarter-on-quarter basis.

The good thing though is in October, which was also [indiscernible], I think the running of vehicles have come back to the previous October levels. So now we need to watch for remaining months as to how do they continue at the same level going ahead.

Another good part was despite this year-on-year drop in utilization and a significant drop in utilization, I think the freight rates moderated just marginally, which therefore ensured that transporter profitability, while it came down a bit, but still continue to be at a good level, which is, I would say, a healthy sign for the industry.

Customer Sentiment Index, which is a metric that we track internally. It did moderate due to the seasonal dip. So it is expected to go down in Q2. But it continues to remain at a good level.

On the commodities, whatever increase we have seen in H1 -- Q1 has more or less retracted in Q2, especially steel, which has a higher impact in commercial vehicles.

Going next. So Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles, our overall volumes declined 19% on a year-on-year basis in quarter 2 and around 8% year-on-year basis for the entire first half. And within that, heavy commercial vehicles, intermediate light, medium commercial vehicles and the passenger carriers have been able to perform better than the industry in the first half of this financial year.

Within this, the MCV truck, that is the [ 19-ton ] trucks, actually grew in double digits on a year-on-year basis, while the overall industry declined. Passenger carriers also grew by 3%. We were able to further improve the contribution of digitally generated leads going into retail by up to almost 27%. We are running now at a 30% higher level as compared to first half of last year.

We continue to launch new products and variants to get into micro segments and niche markets. We further accelerated the cost reduction efforts and also improved and maintained realizations across the range despite lower volume. We continue to increase the spares and service penetration, both on a Y-o-Y, of course, and quarter-on-quarter basis.

In electric mobility, we delivered and registered 550 electric buses in the quarter gone by. Until now, we have more than 3,300 buses that is running. Ace EV, I think despite the FAME2 not being there, with the launch of new variants and new value propositions in Ace EV with [indiscernible]. We continue to do well and have shown a Y-o-Y growth both in Q1 as well as Q2. And now we have more than 6,400 vehicles running on roads with cumulative coverage of more than 50 million kilometers. We continue to deliver 99% uptime, leading to very high customer satisfaction levels. And as I said, the volumes have seen a 17% growth on a Y-o-Y basis.

On sustainability, I think we are on track for all our plans. The decarbonization road map in line with the [ SBTI ] [indiscernible] part or the secular economy. And within there, you will see that our Pantnagad plant actually received the Zero Waste to Landfill certification. This is the third plant to receive this certification.

On the smart city mobility, now there are more than 3,300 buses have crossed more than 200 million kilometers cumulatively, and we continue to deliver higher than 95% uptime. So we are now at the last link of deployment of buses under the CESL tender that we had won and more than 2,000 buses have been deployed. We've also deployed 200 electric buses in Jammu and Srinagar, and running very well.

On the PM E Drive, we welcome it, it's such a good scheme. It does address the payment security mechanism that we've been talking about. But we await further details on some of the other points that we've raised in the previous meetings and especially related to an asset like [ mortgage. ]

On the digital business, I think we continue to build the scale and have also established the revenue model. Fleetedge now has more than 710,000 active vehicles on the platform, and a very healthy daily, weekly and monthly active usage, almost 78% multi-active users and 52% weekly active users.

Our machine learning-based fuel efficiency solution, the Mileage Sarathi, is now live on more than 340,000 vehicles, and we continue to deliver a median fuel efficiency improvement of around 4.8%.

In the quarter gone by, we also launched a unique service API as a service, with which fleet owners are now able to share live location as well as the status of the freight to the shippers. So the shippers can therefore, integrate it into their system and have a better track with respect to the freight.

E-dukaan, our digital [ storefront ], has now 34,000 registered buyers, and we are selling more than 28,000 SKUs. Significant penetration in our retail segment for spare parts.

Fleetverse, which is our online vehicle purchase commerce platform, we've achieved now more than 10,000 retails in Q2 and almost half of those are absolutely unique retails. Delighted to note that both Fleetedge and Fleetverse, now we have native mobile apps launched with which I think people can work on it on the move.

Looking ahead, we expect a gradual increase in infrastructure spending to boost the consumption and therefore, improve the demand as we go ahead. October has been a fairly good month with a marginal increase on a Y-o-Y basis.

Within trucks and buses, we will continue to introduce new variants drive our value selling agenda, of course, by improving the value propositions being deliver to the customer.

On small commercial vehicles, where we are challenged on the volumes. We are working on a 3-pronged agenda. First is improving the value proposition, product line [indiscernible] across the range wherein the [indiscernible] of payload and therefore, improve operating economics for the customers. Conversion challenges, which are being seen in this segment, we have been working closely with the financials to unlock this through attractive schemes. And then there is a whole set of front-end transformation in set of initiatives, which are being deployed to improve the entire operating results.

On service and spares, we will continue to drive growth, increase in penetration by leveraging our digital storefront.

International markets, we continue to maintain the shares, margins and, of course, the channel health. We'll continue with the cost reduction efforts, which have been helping us well in the entire first half.

And on sustainability, as I said, we will continue execution of all 3 net zero secularity as well as biodiversity initiatives. So that's about CV. Balaji, back to you.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Thanks, Girish. Shailesh, Dhiman, can you take on the PV please?

U
Unknown Executive

Tata Motors in H1 FY '25 market shares got at 13.3%, flattish on a year-on-year basis. There was a slight decline in our market share due to adverse [indiscernible] mix of catches. However, we saw strong growth during the festive period in October with our market share bouncing back to Q1 level of 13.7% as we secured our highest-ever monthly registrations of 68,500 units.

Our powertrain mix is becoming more emission-friendly and is likely to grow further with the launch of [indiscernible], iCNG, both of which have been very well received in the market. Our CAFE compliance is very below target, and we have a headroom of [ 25 ] grams per kilometer, which goes to show the impact of our multi [indiscernible] strategy.

Next slide, please. Overall, EV industry volumes have been impacted by the challenges in the broader PV industry and the withdrawal of certain subsidies, especially in the fleet segment. While there has been a sharp decline in the [indiscernible] segment post expiry of the [indiscernible] incentive, we have been able to sustain our personal segment market share at 67% despite an intensifying conflict environment with new product launches.

We continue to work on driving growth in the ecosystem to holistically enable mainstreaming of EVs and the consistent growth in charging infrastructure will be a major tailwind going forward.

Next, please. Our revenues declined by 4% on a year-on-year basis, reflecting the broader slowdown in the consumer demand and the moderation of optics we did to keep our channel inventory under control. While our EBITDA margins were steady, EBIT margins declined due to higher D&A charges that we took on our new product launches [indiscernible].

This is the profitability walk on a year-on-year basis. The slowdown in consumer demand and high industry channel inventories have led to a higher state of price discounting in the market. We have, however, been able to offset much of the adverse impact through consistent mix improvements and material cost reductions. What has impacted our profitability is of higher D&A and product development expenses, which we haven't been able to fully absorb due to the loss in operating leverage and some of the new launches happened only for part of the quarter. So their volume ramp-up is still in progress. So it's not got [indiscernible] the full benefit of volumes there.

For the [indiscernible] business margins, they've remained steady on a quarter-on-quarter basis. While the EV business profitability has shown consistent improvement on the back of value price reductions and the profits of new product launches.

Shailesh, over to you.

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

Thank you, Dhiman. Let me start with the industry highlights. The industry registrations and wholesale grew by 5% and 2% year-on-year. And industry registrations were actually 26 months low in September.

Sustained wholesale, which has been happening in the industry at the rate of nearly 350,000 a month, led to a buildup of channel inventory and high levels of discounting ahead of the festive season. SUVs have been sustaining volumes, posting nearly 8% growth year-on-year. While as Dhiman also spoke about [indiscernible] and sedans, which continue to [indiscernible] with 20% [indiscernible] that we have seen.

However, it was [indiscernible] to see that the new launches have been able to create excitement in the market and drive for [indiscernible] for various volumes, we have launched deproducts.

EV industry faced headwinds due to PV industry slowdown and withdrawal of key incentives, particularly for fleet as was also mentioned by Dhiman. The [ FAME2 ] got discontinued. And in certain states, the road tax benefit also was temporarily kind of it had expired and did not get continued in certain states.

Coming to Tata Motors in quarter 2, our registrations and wholesale degrew by 4.5% and 5.8%, respectively. While we had a strong booking pipeline, built up by the new launches, that is Curvv and Nexon CNG. We were only limited to the supply during the quarter. It was only limited deliveries that we could do. in the quarter. And therefore, the full benefit of the new launches would not get reflected in quarter 2.

Punch has sustained as the top-selling model in the industry in first half with more than 100,000 units which got sold. However, market share gains from new products was offset by adverse salience shifts in the industry, which is [indiscernible] and sedans.

We maintained our market leadership in EV segment despite growing compression. And in the personal segment, as Dhiman mentioned in the slide, that we sustained but in fleet segment, we had to take a hit because of the fleet segment not getting the benefit of [indiscernible] after March.

Next slide, please. Talking about industry outlook and TML actions. In quarter 3, we expect retail strong, driven by festivities and the year-end demand. Industry wholesale may be lower than retail so as to reduce the channel inventory ahead of the new calendar year. That is for the industry.

Tata Motors will focus on driving significant growth in retail on the back of new model launches and will be backed by marketing campaigns. We want to strengthen our dealership network in terms of health as well as reach. Continued effort will be taken forward as far as mainstreaming of EVs are concerned with focused market development and ecosystem actions. And we'll continue to intensify the cost reduction efforts to maintain profitability in the intensifying competition environment.

Balaji, over to you.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Thanks, Shailesh. Thanks Dhiman. Just to quickly wrap this up. Cash flow wise, despite a challenging quarter, I think cash profits after tax are sustaining the CapEx spend. And very similar to JLR, we do expect the working capital to continue to reverse as low growth picks up during the quarters coming ahead.

Next slide, please. Ratings have been coming through both at the domestic level as well as international level, both here and in JLR. So therefore, that is heartening. But of course, we still continue to -- as performance keeps picking up, we will continue to keep working with the rating agencies to step this up further.

Next slide. So overall, looking ahead, I think from an outlook perspective, we do remain cautious on the near-term domestic demand. But the festive season that has just gone by as well -- which is a pretty strong one, and the infrastructure investments of the government starting to come through, this should help domestic demand going forward.

And as far as JLR is concerned, the wholesales will improve sharply as the supply challenges ease. However, we do remain watchful on the global demand situation. And we expect the second half of the year to improve significantly and the business to become net debt-free as these issues work themselves out. Priorities are there, has been covered extensively in the business. And let me, therefore, now quickly cut to the Q&A that is there.

P
P. Balaji
executive

I think a lot of questions coming through on the guidance and why are we confident to do it on the JLR side. Let me start with the first one on that one. Kapil from Nomura.

I think it is a tough quarter for the industry and several luxury OEMs have reduced guidance.

Please give us some color on how is JLR able to maintain this guidance in this market conditions? And are you still on track for the 10% EBIT margin in FY '26? Is there any change that you're thinking about it?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Okay. So let me -- obviously, let me cover that. So we are holding our guidance but with very limited headroom left. If you look at TML, so we've mentioned that we had a quality hold on 6,000 vehicles in Q2. Those will be wholesaled in Q3. So that will just reverse back in from timing.

In addition, we did suffer in the quarter. Real supply constraints as a result of the [indiscernible] to aluminium supplier. We only were able to produce 86,000 vehicles in the quarter. Those constraints are largely over now. So we also expect to increase production to allow us to wholesale more rapidly.

So there's a couple of things that lead us to expect that. P&L-wise, we will pick up. On the cash side, I did mention the working capital pickup. That will definitely reverse back to working capital favorably in the second half of the year. Also take a look at the natural seasonality in our business. Q4 last year, I think our cash generation was around GBP 900 million. And we would expect Q4 to be a really a dominant quarter for cash generation again this time around.

So both the natural seasonality and the -- not only the elimination but the reversal of some of the constraints that we had in Q2 mean we are still holding on to our guidance.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Can you also commented on FY '26, Richard?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes. FY '26 follows a similar thought pattern, to be entirely honest with you, 10% is still possible, particularly as the D&A effect of extending out the endpoint of our ICE products will still be very relevant in that year. But again, it is getting tighter.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Shailesh, this coming your way in terms of -- this from Pramod and [indiscernible]. Your car business profitability has been vulnerable, the industry slowdown. What structural changes are you taking to ease the situation in the medium term, including strengthening car dealership networks to handle the current slowdown? As well as reliance on new products is pretty high in this business. How would you diversify?

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

Okay. So -- and the third part, I am also seeing the question, which is on the EV sector. Let me answer one by one. So as far as profitability is concerned, I think Dhiman covered that in quite detail with that waterfall chart that was shown. The whole industry environment was start of discounting in the first half and therefore we had to also discount or to compete in different segments in which we have our products positioned. However, that was more than offset with the cost reduction efforts that we have been driving in the organization. Nevertheless, since we could not have the impact and the benefit of the volume growth and there was increased D&A., it had an adverse impact as far as profitability is concerned.

Having said that, I think the cost reduction actions in the company is being expedited, and we see that it is going to deliver better than what we have delivered in H1. So that is going to be favorable for the profitability. At the same time, some of the new model launches that have happened makes our volume mix also richer. So that should also help. So broadly, I see that in the H2 also with volume growth and leverage benefit that we might get, the profitability should have a favorable impact.

As far as strengthening of car dealership network is concerned, I think we have one manufacturer who have taken sharper offtake cuts as compared to the industry. And that has enabled us with the strongest ever retail that we had in October, in the festive season. That has allowed us to significantly bring down the inventory levels to now, for majority of our dealers, less than 30 days. And median holding days of inventory would now have reduced to 30, 31 days. So therefore, our dealers with those reduced inventory, their finance cost and all would have significantly reduced, and we are very particular about the profitability of our dealership. So I think after October, we have significantly been able to bring back a very positive health of our dealership. So that was on the second question.

The third is on the launches and diversification of our product portfolio. We have already shared our launches for 2 years and all. We have already launched Curvv. There will be hopefully higher EV, which will also be launched in the EV segment. And then we have a [indiscernible] also, which is going to come in the second half or late 2025. So these are the products which are going to come in FY '26. And of course, it will also include the LCVs, especially in the car segment.

Then the third question is on EV segment, which is about product price changes. How do you think the pricing, change in cost. Okay. So it has been a bit volatile as far as price is concerned globally, I would say, for EVs. And the simple reason for that has been steep reduction in the prices of [indiscernible]. And as a manufacturer and leading manufacturer in the country, we have tried to pass that on to customers so that we bring the price of electric vehicles closer the automatic power price in the [indiscernible] segment. So I don't see that now there should be any significant price corrections going forward because now we have come to a more stable level of same prices. So therefore, now we should see the price stability as far as EVs are concerned.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Richard, this is coming your way. This is from Nishit Jalan. What is the -- could you quantify the impact of this production loss on your EBIT as well as holding back the 6,000 units? How much have production got impacted? And what do you believe is the underlying EBIT if you adjust for these two? That's the one.

Second, the quality issue per se. Could you just give a bit of color on what this issue was? And has this been resolved? And lastly, can you also talk about warranty costs that you alluded to, saying it's gone up? Anything that maybe you should be highlighting there further?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes. Okay. Let me take those in turn. So production was only 86,000 units in the quarter, which is at least 10,000 south of where we would have expected it to be. If you take the aluminum supply issue and the effect of the 6,000 units, and the best thing to do, I think, will be to look at our EBIT range over the last 7 quarters, it's been in the range of 6.5% to 8.8%. We would have been fairly much in that range had those issues not happened.

Next question, what was the issue with the 6,000 units. That, look, it was a specific path that we needed to run some additional tests on. It occurred very late in the quarter and we took the conservative approach of not recognizing that revenue at that point in time. The issue is resolved past where they need to be replaced are in process. So it will -- those 6,000 units will appear in Q3 wholesales.

The impact of warranty. Warranty is going up for us, strangely, even though quality is also improving. So even though 12 months in service, the 24 months in service sort of repairs in terms of numbers is coming down, warranty expense in cash and accruals is going up. That's partly due to inflation in terms of the labor rates at our dealers. That is partly due to the nature of the repairs. And it's something that we're very much focused on. So it's a strange environment where the quality of the vehicles is improving, but the amount of money in cash that we're spending on warranty is simultaneously rising.

P
P. Balaji
executive

We just continue to talk about FME as well as dealer compensation in China as part of the same question, all of them are same angles.

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes. So FME has been higher in Q2, and we would expect it to continue at high levels. I mean, essentially, if you look at FME or marketing and our selling expense as one entity in terms of demand generation, both are going up and we would expect FME to flatten out at roughly these rates. We'd expect VME to rise a little bit further in the second half of the year. But for us, remember VME, although we only show you one number, it really is a split of still industry-leading in terms of low VME on Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Defender, and higher VME for us, considerably higher VME on the models that we're running out in terms of Jaguar and also those models that are later in their life cycle that will get replaced when we launch the EMA architecture.

So we only quote one number, but there is a big sort of discrepancy between our car lines and between our [ regions ] in terms of where we spend our VME. Overall, I do expect it to be a little bit higher in the second half of the year, but not massively so.

P
P. Balaji
executive

And last one, in terms of compensation of dealers in China. Is there a challenge there?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Look, there is definitely a challenge with the dealer network and we're having to be very proactive in how we manage both those where the retail points are closing because those dealer groups can't survive and to support the ones that do remain. Obviously, those that do remain have higher areas in terms of where they can sell to. So we're doing it on a one-by-one basis. We're not doing anything generic across the country.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Actually just staying with you for the next question from Aditya Jhawar, Investec. This is about the industry in China between ICE and EV. While it seem that the ICE industry has declined, overall PV industry has reported modest growth led by [indiscernible]. On-the-ground feedback suggest some loss of market share to EVs. Looking at intensive competition across price points, what's your strategy of positioning in our EVs in the Chinese market?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

So I think there is, again, a difference you can draw between those vehicles that we produce and sell locally, which tend to be in the lower-priced segments, lower priced for us is still quite high in [indiscernible]. But they are definitely suffering from [ NEV ] competition. And remember, [ NEV ] is not BEV, by the way. We have to make sure of that. [ NEV ] covers PHEV, range extenders and BEV. And actually, it's range extenders and BEV -- range extenders and PHEVs are quite high in that area. But regardless of that, in the lower segments, absolutely, there is very strong competition from the new entry BEVs impacting the available market for ICE vehicles.

In the top end, there really isn't yet. So there are no local BEVs competing at the price points. All the performance, all the brand that we have with Range Rover, Range Rover Sport, Defender, and we will have with Jaguar once we relaunched the brand. So that area is still to be tested. And most of the competition, I'll use the phrase in the [ Killing Fields, ] but you know what I mean, in the mass sector of the market, that is really, really nasty. It is not so nasty yet in the segments of the industry where we really play and where we really rely for our profitability.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Richard, I'll probably give you a break for now. You can get some water. I'll shift the gears to see if we have not had all the questions that go at the rear end.

This from [indiscernible] from SBI Pension Funds. I think you've covered about the festive season demand, but can you talk about discounting? Can you also speak about the discounting that you're currently seeing? Can we comment on the pricing discipline in the market going forward?

G
Girish Wagh
executive

Right. Okay. So I think as far as the festive season is concerned, we did see a very good improvement in utilization of our trucks, possibility due to increased conversion. At the same time, I think October was the first month, which was post the rainy season, so we've also seen the temporary utilization going up, which also indicates that the infrastructure projects have also started doing well. So that's on the heavy trucks.

As far as actual vehicle demand is concerned, I think the festive season did see an increased volumes in the small commercial vehicle segment. And we did see around 30% month-over-month [indiscernible] volumes in the month gone by.

Now as far as pricing is concerned, I think we maintain our position. We continue to have a very disciplined approach with price being only one part of the value proposition. Many other aspects and attributes, which add value to the customers, starting from product, cost of ownership, the entire annual maintenance contract package, the Fleetedge and the kind of benefit that Fleetedge delivers. So I think we focus on delivering improving value propositions to the customer. And on the back of that, have a very, very disciplined pricing approach, which has continued in the entire second quarter despite the volumes going down. Balaji?

P
P. Balaji
executive

Girish, staying with you for a while. Next question is from Jinesh Gandhi. You covered the first part of the question. Can you also talk about some banks and [ NBFCs ] are highlighting increase in NPS in the CV portfolio? Are you seeing any signs of stress on availability of finance for M&HCV? And also, what's your outstanding order book of [ ACV, ] how is your capacity?

G
Girish Wagh
executive

So Balaji, I think Jinesh also asked for outlook. So I think let me go segment by segment. So amongst the 4 segments that we see in commercial vehicles, the passenger commercial vehicles, that is buses and vans, should see the higher growth in second half followed by growth in intermediate, light medium commercial vehicles. And I think small commercial vehicles and heavy commercial vehicles is something that we'll have to keep a watch on how things pan out.

October has been a good departure from Q2, which has seen a Y-o-Y decline. So that's something that we need to keep on track. And as I said, the daily running of trucks, which we track, has done well in October. We need to keep a track of that as we go ahead and see that it continues at that level.

Now coming to your second question about financing. We don't see any stress in medium and heavy commercial vehicles, even intermediate commercial vehicles at all. But yes, there has been a stress in the small commercial vehicles. We have seen from whatever engagements we have been having with the financials that the [ NPS ] have fallen to some extent. And tax why, as I mentioned in my presentation, for small commercial vehicles specifically, I think we have come up with financing schemes, which improve the value proposition both for the customer as well as the financer. And I think that's something which we are seeing good traction starting from the last month.

Coming to Ace EV. See, we have been working with quite a few anchor customers. Now we have total 62 anchor customers who are our repeat buyers. So they are essentially corporates who are deploying electric vehicles for their last mile distribution to meet their decarbonization target. In the last quarter, we have added 8 such anchor customers, and we continue to increase this. We are also working with quite a few municipalities across the country for decarbonizing their intracity transport. And we also continue to work with a few retail customers who have been taking to Ace EV once they are sure about the lower carrying capability as well as the range. So that's how we are growing the demand on Ace EV. I think as far as capacity is concerned, we are placed well. We can produce 1,000 a month. And as and when required, we can go on increasing the capacity. Balaji?

P
P. Balaji
executive

Shailesh, this is coming your way. India PVs, any comment on growth in [ festive season ] and dealer inventory levels?

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

Yes. So in the earlier question, I commented that it was our highest ever retail/registration. And we focused on reducing the retail [ retainment ] levels to normal level. And therefore, we moderated our offtake also to do that in October and even in the earlier months. So now it is down to 30, 31 days, as I said.

P
P. Balaji
executive

There's a lot of questions on Curvv split between EV, PV -- sorry, EV versus ICE as well as how's the current response. And can you just take all those together?

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

So the ratio of EV as well as on the penetration of bookings as far as EVs are concerned and Curvv has been about 20%, very strong bookings Be aware that the supply has really started in the second half of September. And therefore, before the test drive could reach, we could not really leverage the Curvv sales in quarter 2, but we have very strong bookings that we've received both for EVs as well as for ICE. And from October, really, we started seeing the ramp-up of our production. Also, there have been ramp-up issues in [indiscernible] where we have been making these vehicles. Also there are 3 or 4 critical variants, which are eventually launched. So that has gone delayed, which should get productionized in December. So real supplies and leveraging all the variance that we have announced as far as Curvv is concerned will start being seen from January. So it has been strong, and as I said, 20% is the booking penetration of Curvv.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Richard, this is coming your way. This is from Rakesh, Kumar, BNP Paribas. Does your investment plan has flexibility to be recalibrated if overall demand environment, especially EV demand comes under sustained pressure? Jaguar is obviously committed to be an EV-only vehicle and incremental launches on Land Rover also appears to be EV-heavy. So could you comment on that?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes, sure. So we're in the development of 3 architectures in parallel. So we have MLA, which is the one in which Range Rover and Range Rover Sport is based. EMA, which will be the replacement of the cars below those segments. And [ JEA ] for Jaguar. So each of those will get BEV offerings. So the Range Rover, Range Rover Sport will be the first to get a BEV. It will be on exactly the same architecture as the ICE derivatives, the BEV that there will come out towards the end of next year. But that will mean that basically, you can go into a retailer and buy a Range Rover that is either a diesel, a [indiscernible], BEV, they all look the same.

Next will be the vehicles of the EMA architecture. Those are the ones that are produced in Halewood, where I showed you the picture of the lines earlier on. They will come in early 2026, the first of those will come in early 2026. And the new Jaguar will come just after that. So do we have flexibility? Yes, because all of those things are ahead of us. And there are second and third derivative vehicles in each of those circumstances that we can also push back.

So we do have some flexibility but we are simultaneously making sure that we can offer BEVs for each of our brands because there are still large segments of the market that are going to go that way and we require that for emissions compliance in many places as well. So yes, we have flexibility, largely because our BEV rollout is ahead of us. I guess that's one advantage of that statement being true.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Dhiman, this is coming your way. A couple saying on [indiscernible]. What the current status of the application that you can put out there, including for this Curvv as well as the [indiscernible] application that you have done? And what's the accounting policy that we are following?

U
Unknown Executive

I think for [ PLI, ] the last date for submission of the PLI application was 30th September. We've filed all the documentation on time. The government has already looked at all the submissions that has been accepted. And the various agencies will now be visiting our factories to confirm and do the physical verification. The timelines intended for the government for disbursement of PLI funds go 60 days from 30th September. So since it's already in progress, we accept -- we expect the funds to come in, in the coming months.

In terms of our accounting policy, whenever there is a new scheme announced by the government where the process is still to be established, we don't accrue it in our P&L, and we typically recognize it when the cash is either disbursed or when there is a certainty of the cash disposal -- timing of the cash disposal.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Girish, [indiscernible] growth expectation from Gunjan [indiscernible]. How do you expect full year growth down to panel for the CV industry? And any color on the segment by strength in [indiscernible]?

G
Girish Wagh
executive

So I think let me give an outlook only for H2 because we know what has happened in H1 on a Y-o-Y basis. So in H2, as I said, segment wise, I do expect the passenger, that is buses and vans, to do better than last year. Powered by intermediate light medium commercial vehicles, the same to do better than last year. I think SUV pickup and heavy commercial vehicles is something we'll keep a watch. And I think based on the October numbers, we have a positive bias on H2 numbers for these 2 segments, flat to positive math.

Segment-wise strength, I would say that buses are seeing very healthy utilization, both for school buses as well as intracity, intercity buses seeing healthy utilization and therefore, there is a fair bit of demand here. in intermediate light medium commercial vehicles, there is a clear shift, which is happening towards 19-tonne, the largest segment -- subsegment in that overall line. In heavy commercial vehicles also, we continue to see a shift happening towards the 55-tonne factory trailers for cargo movement. And in small commercial vehicle pickups also, we see a shift happening towards pickup with higher [indiscernible].

I think so in each of the subsegments, there has been a movement happening towards vehicles with higher load carrying capability. So that's the segment-wise kind of you see. Balaji?

P
P. Balaji
executive

Shailesh, this is coming down your way. Sorry, give me a minute, please. This is on [indiscernible]. You've answered the first part of the question on Curvv and order books. Can you also talk in terms of NEXON cannibalization, is there any impact of that? As well as understanding the price cuts that we took on the PV portfolio, the rationale for that as well as the impact on the profitability.

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

First, on the cannibalization, frankly, 1 month has -- we have just seen 1 month. If I have to go by bookings and the retail that we saw in October, we have not seen any cannibalization as far as NEXON is concerned. Actually, we have the highest ever retail of NEXON since 2017 in the month of October, alongside Curvv Cove also, which had a very strong retail as the supplies came in that month.

The second one is on the pricing cut. Frankly, the discounting in the first quarter had gone up for all the manufacturers, and we took a conscious decision to rather cut the prices rather than keep the discount very heavy because it impacts the brand. That is on the PV side.

But as far as EV is concerned, we have taken the price cut because as one of the levers for mainstream in EVs, it was also needed that the EV prices come closer to the rise prices, and we had the benefit of a significant reduction in certain prices and some significant efforts on the localization, which allowed us to do that. And actually, you have seen that despite those steep price cuts that we have taken, our margins in EV business has improved. So that was the rationale.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Richard, this is coming your way on the mix from Rakesh. JLR mix has [indiscernible] in the recent years. 10 years back, the lowest price model was [indiscernible] that used to be the highest selling model, and Defender used to be the lowest volume model. It's reversed now. How much of it is supply constrained led? Or is this the new normal? Can it reverse as demand normalizes in JLR volume growth?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

It's the result of our new strategy. So many years ago, we were very focused on volume and very focused on the car lines that deliver us the volume. Now we're very focused on value and the car lines that deliver the value. So we will not be returning to the old model. We will be focusing on Range Rover, Range Rover Sport, Defender, new Jaguar and Discovery to drive value ahead of volume.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Staying with you, could you also -- just from a couple of saying, [indiscernible] guidance. Any reason for the reduction in guidance from GBP 1.8 billion to GBP 1.3 billion for the current year?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

There's a couple of reasons. First of all, the market is a little bit tougher than we had envisaged it to be and also the scale of the investment that's required to keep the ICE portfolio of vehicles going for longer and simultaneously to invest in 3 architectures worth of BEVs is a little bit higher than we had originally envisaged. Those are the 2 biggest reasons.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Staying with you, 2 more questions coming way. One is from Amyn Pirani and other is from Joseph George, IIFL. Amyn, JPM, is about, you mentioned the headroom of achieving the targets has become very tight. Could you just reflect on the key risks that you are worried about? And what could take this ultimate margin number lower? And how do we intend to -- obviously, it's not said the question, but how do you intend to manage it to deliver your guidance that you've called out? .

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes. So look, I think you have to be a little bit [indiscernible] in this, that if you look at what the industry has had to go through and what JLR had to go through in the last 5 years or so, we've had a series of very major challenges, each of which has hurt us. And then we've recovered and we've come out of it. You can think through COVID. You can think then through the semiconductor crisis, you can think through what happened in the U.K. in terms of [indiscernible] and insurance. Each of those 3, they happened, they hurt us, we've recovered.

China, I think has happened, it hurts us, but still has a little bit of time to play out. And then look, who knows what the next one is going to be. So look, I think if you had to focus any point in terms of where there might be risk for the balance of the year, it will be China. We are, therefore, very aware of that and very focused on making sure that we take whatever actions we need in China in order to defend our positions. And also, obviously, look to see whether there are any opportunities in other markets to offset that. Simultaneously, we increased our diligence in terms of cost management to make sure that we don't rely everything on the revenue side of the business.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Just staying with you. The comment on the depreciation numbers. Those have come down quarter-on-quarter. What should be the sustainable level as we look into the second half of the year? And quick clarification, is the reiteration of EBIT margin driven by lower depreciation rather than strength in EBITDA?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

So I don't think there is a sustainable level of D&A. D&A, we would expect it to be lower in the second half of the year than the first half of the year for exactly the reason I mentioned before and we continue to extend the period of time for which we build ICE vehicles. It will increase significantly when we get to the launch of those vehicles, which, as I've mentioned, is from the back end of 2025 onwards.

In terms of our EBIT margin, you're absolutely right, and you could point out that EBITDA in the quarter that just passed was only 12%, which is very low for us. So we expect part of the recovery in EBIT margin for the balance of the year to be lower the majority of it to be improvements in EBITDA as well as volume recovers. And we are, as you know, a very volume-sensitive business.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Shailesh, this is probably coming your way in terms of -- this is from Ashish from Macquarie. You have spoken of increasing the PV salience to 80% versus 65% currently. Any timelines for the new launches and the white spaces?

S
Shailesh Chandra
executive

What we have announced so far is beyond core some of the EV models that we talked about, which is [indiscernible] EV which is going to come at the end of this financial year. but also [ Sierra, ] both an EV as well as ICE version is what is [indiscernible], what is going to be launched. So in the next 2 financial years, we should start reaching a penetration level of about [ 17% ] and we have said [ 18% ] by FY '30 is what we have committed. It will, of course, include few white space products, but that is not something which we can share at this stage.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Richard, I'll probably close with you given the questions that are coming. There are 2 types of questions that are there. I'll probably go to the one that's come to us on [ WhatsApp ]. In terms of -- given the limited headroom which you have highlighted to in terms of the guidance is out there. can you just talk to -- I know you've covered it many times in the current call, but I think there's still a little bit of clarity needed and the reassurance needed as well as outlining the risks needed. Can you just take us through your thought process for holding the guidance. And I'll probably come to it at the end of it, Richard, after you're done.

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes, sure. And again, I'll treat it P&L and cash. So P&L-wise, we only wholesaled 87,000 units in the quarter. Hit significantly by 2 effects, which are timing reversing, 6,000 units wholesale hold. And I mentioned beforehand that we have at least 10,000 units of lower production driven by the issues we had with aluminium suppliers. Part of those 2 things, obviously, to overlap a little bit.

So that is not just that, that disappears in the second half of the year, it reverses. So we should get considerably higher volumes in the second half of the year. And we are a volume-sensitive business I mentioned also beforehand that in our industry, when volumes reduce, you get a double whammy hit through working capital is your payables fall dramatically. And if you look through the balance sheet, where we ended up the quarter is with payables of just under GBP 900 million whereas the in normal circumstance, they would be north of GBP 1.2 billion. So that will also reverse. So just as you get a double whammy benefit when the volumes go down, you've got a double whammy improvement when the volumes go up. So those are largely the things that drive us to think that H2 is going to be considerably better than H1. I have mentioned that the thing out there that concerns me the most is China, but we are holding our guidance, and we will do our [indiscernible] to get there.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Yes. Just to add to what Richard just said, which also -- keep in mind that the inventory levels for JLR in its markets are quite under control. We have been absolutely [ paranoid ] about ensuring that those inventory levels are kept tight, and that has ensured that the [indiscernible] on the cars that we are actually pushing are completely under control, which is the 3 [indiscernible], Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Defender. And with the breakevens having been substantially reduced, there is -- as volumes come through, this is immediately starts flowing through into the P&L. So therefore, there is a fair amount of focus in terms of how we intend to deliver it.

What can get this go off track, I think ensuring that China stays and improves from where it is today is an important one, if things deteriorate dramatically. And that could skew the pitch. Other markets that are currently holding on for us in these -- the current levels, we have not dramatically shifted volumes over the last 2 years, and therefore, it's been a gradual increase. As long as that trend continues, we should be there. But the overall demand situation does remain something that we need to watch out for. So we don't see anything that is currently necessitating any shift in guidance given our current re-inventory situation and the supply issues that we have had. And obviously, we'll continue to remain watchful on that particular front.

Am I missing anything else? So Adrian, Richard, from your side?

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

No, I think that's a fair add to what I said.

P
P. Balaji
executive

Okay. Maybe then probably the last question that is out there is from Chandramouli, Goldman Sachs. A little bit more on the China side. In the context of European OEMs cutting guidance due to China exposure, could you share what share of JLR, excluding the [indiscernible], the revenue and profit is coming from China? As well as what you're thinking on Chinese OEMs looking to compete with JLR European geography EV business? And this point, the next one is more to Shailesh, which I'll come to separately.

R
Richard Molyneux
executive

Yes. Okay. So look, we -- China is an important market for us, not as important as others. So we sold in terms of wholesales. 28,000 in the first half of the year out of a total of 185,000. So that's the relevant percentage. I think as with other OEMs, normally, revenue is proportionately higher in China than it is in other markets with the FX rates as they are currently standing. So I won't give you a specific number, but you should be able to work it out from there.

Our thinking in terms of Chinese OEMs looking to compete within Europe, yes, but again, at the moment, it's focused on sections of the market. Just treat the European market as one and the Chinese are coming after all of it. They're coming after a very specific segment of it, at least at the moment. That is a segment that ties with the lower end of our existing product called [indiscernible]. So that will have a little bit of competition, but it's mainly targeted at other segments of the market.

There's another question there about battery packs.

P
P. Balaji
executive

I'll take that, Richard, is more for the Indian business. Battery pack costs below $75 per kilowatt hour percentage. What's a rough range of which we are currently there?

Fair to say that the battery pack costs has come down significantly from what they were before. The exact number for obvious reasons, I am not in a position to share. But you've already seen that in the EBITDA [indiscernible] actually starting the increase of the EV business, which just tells you that as they are getting the battery price reductions, we are passing through in terms of pricing. At the same time, we're also improving the profitability of the business. So that's how we are looking at it.

With this, I think we have covered all the key questions that are there. If there is anything specific that we have missed out, please feel free to reach out to our Investor Relations team. Once again, thank you all for your support and patiently getting us with your questions. I appreciate that. And of course, to the teams both here in the room here as well as the JLR team there. Thanks, guys, and see you soon. Thank you.

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