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Supreme Industries Ltd
Earnings Call Analysis
Q1-2025 Analysis
Supreme Industries Ltd
In the recent earnings call for Supreme Industries, key executives discussed the financial performance for Q1 FY '25, shedding light on the company's trajectory and future outlook. The discussion was led by Mr. M.P. Taparia, Managing Director, Mr. P.C. Somani, CFO, and Mr. R.J. Saboo, Company Secretary.
The company reported robust growth, selling 173,835 tonnes of plastic goods and achieving a net product turnover of INR 2,612 crores, marking a 17% volume increase and a 12% increase in product value from the previous year. Total consolidated income and operating profit for the quarter amounted to INR 2,658 crores and INR 425 crores, respectively, reflecting a 12% and 24% growth. The profits before and after tax were INR 357 crores and INR 276 crores, respectively, representing substantial increases of 26% and 27% from the previous year.
Different segments exhibited varied growth patterns: the Plastic Piping system business grew by 20% in volume and 14% in value; Packaging Products segment increased by 8% in volume and 14% in value; Industrial Products segment saw a 12% increase in volume and 3% in value; and Consumer Products segment had a balanced growth of 7% in both volume and value.
Supreme Industries is proceeding with several expansion initiatives. The company is working on increasing capacities in their existing manufacturing units and has secured land for new projects in Malanpur Madhya Pradesh, Jadcherla Telangana, Sangli Maharashtra, and Puducherry. These expansions are aimed at enhancing the production of various piping systems and industrial ball valves. The total installed capacity for plastic piping systems is expected to rise to 835,000 tonnes per annum by the end of FY '25 from 740,000 tonnes as of 31st March 2024.
Despite fluctuations in PVC resin prices, the company remains optimistic about its growth prospects, driven by good rainfall and demand in the housing and infrastructure sectors. The company anticipates maintaining a 25% volume growth in the plastic piping segment with an overall volume growth of 20%. Additionally, the focus on value-added products is expected to boost turnover further, with a projection of realizing around INR 12,000 crores to INR 12,500 crores in revenue for FY '25 with operating profit margins around 15-15.5%.
While navigating price volatility, particularly in PVC, Supreme Industries is confident in its strategic initiatives and market positioning. They continue to expand their product portfolio and increase market reach, ensuring sustained growth despite competitive pressures. The company also highlighted an encouraging response to newly launched products and systems, which bodes well for the future.
Supreme Industries is poised for robust growth with a strategic focus on expansion, innovation, and value-added products. The guidance suggests a strong performance for the year ahead, driven by aggressive capacity expansions and a positive market outlook. This paints a promising picture for investors, emphasizing both stability and growth potential in the company's operations.
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Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to The Supreme Industries' Q1 FY '25 Earnings Call hosted by DAM Capital Advisors Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Aasim Bharde. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, [ Subangi ], and good evening to all, and thanks on connecting for Supreme Industries Q1 '25 Results Call. Apologies on the delay. From the company side, we have Mr. M.P. Taparia, Managing Director; Mr. P.C. Somani, CFO; and Mr. R.J. Saboo, Company Secretary, who will take us through the Q1 performance and their comments.
Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Taparia.
[Audio Gap] P.C. Somani, CFO; and Shri. R.J. Saboo, Vice President, Corporate Affair and Company Secretary, welcome all the participants who are participating in the discussion of the unaudited stand-alone and consolidated financial results for the quarter ended 30th June 2024. The stand-alone results and the consolidated results are already issued. I'll brief on company's products, operating performance and other highlights. The company sold 173,835 tonnes of plastic goods and achieved net product turnover of INR 2,612 crores during the first quarter of the current year against sales of 148,544 tonnes and net product turnover of INR 2,340 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year, achieving volume and product value growth of about 17% and 12%, respectively.
Total consolidated income and operating profit for the first quarter of the current year amounted to INR 2,658 crores and INR 425 crores compared to INR 2,386 crores and INR 343 crores for the corresponding quarter of previous year, recording increase of 12% and 24%, respectively. The consolidated profit before tax and profit after tax for the first quarter of the current year amounted to INR 357 crores and INR 276 crores as compared to INR 283 crores and INR 216 crores for the corresponding quarter of the previous year, recording increase of 26% and 27%, respectively.
The biggest scenario of all the product segment of the company for the quarter ended 30th June 2024 as compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year [ as under ]. Plastic Piping system business grew 20% by volume and 14% in value terms. Packaging Products segment business grew by 8% in volume and 14% in value terms. Industrial Products segment business grew 12% by volume and 3% in value terms. Consumer Products segment business grew by 7% in both volume and value terms. The company has total cash surplus of INR 1,245 crores as on 30th June 2024 as against cash surplus of INR 1,178 crores as on 31st March 2024.
The overall turnover of value-added product increased to INR 925 crores during the current quarter as compared to INR 756 crores in corresponding quarter of previous year. Business outlook. Polymer prices remained range-bound during the quarter, except for the price of PVC resin, which increased by around INR 13 per kilo and increased about 15%. However, PVC resin prices started showing a declining trend from second week of July onwards. Thus, the raw material prices are expected to remain affordable.
Country is witnessing good rainfall in most of the parts, which augurs well for the economy. Demand for housing and infrastructure is good. The company remains positive of envisaged volume growth with an increase in value-added products turnover both for Plastic Piping division and for the company during the current financial year.
Various capacity expansion programs of Piping division are progressing smoothly. Most of the expanded capacities at the existing manufacturing units would be in place during the second half of the year. Various greenfield projects which are taken in hand are progressing well. The company has been allotted required land at Malanpur Madhya Pradesh for a new unit to expand its pipe and fitting Capacities, additional land at Jadcherla, Telangana for further expansion and also completed the purchase of contiguous land to existing plant at Sangli, Maharashtra.
The company also negotiated purchase of additional contiguous land at Puducherry for expansion of Bathware products. Identification and allotment of suitable land in Patna in Bihar and near Vijayawada in Andhra Pradesh are at advanced stage. The company also applied for industrial land at Jammu, [indiscernible] and Kathua district for putting up a Plastics Product Complex. The new greenfield unit dedicated to production of various industrial ball valves at Malanpur has commenced trial production and likely to go into commercial production soon.
With completion of all the expansion plans undertaken during this year, except the greenfield sites, installed capacity of plastic piping system shall lead to 835,000 tonnes per annum by end of fiscal year 2025 from 740,000 tonnes as on 31st March 2024. Orders for equipment have been placed for PP silent pipe system in technical collaboration with M/s Poloplast Gmbh of Austria. The newly launched PERT Piping System and PE single wall corrugated pipes has received an encouraging response. The polyethylene gas piping system is expected to be launched by October this year from [indiscernible]. The company continues to invest and enlarge the product basket in its piping business and to increase the range of value-added products. The company's strategy to focus more on made-up products, from Cross Laminated film is yielding positive results. The division is expanding its fabrication capacity, which will further help and improve overall realizations and margins.
Efforts to expand geographical reach in the world market are yielding positive results. Trials have commenced to manufacture newly developed cross plastic film. The company is hopeful to successfully complete the trial process in the current quarter to pave the way for its commercial launch. The company expanded and introduced various new model of chair & cabinet in its furniture segment. The division continues to add showrooms to improve awareness of its range of premium products. Total strength of showrooms has reached 319 by end of June 2024 from 308 showrooms as of 31st March 2024.
The Industrial Component Division is carrying out capacity augmentation judiciously mostly against confirmed business and projected volumes committed by customers. It is also working to expand its customer base and develop the business in new sectors. With revival in the business scenario of various appliances customers, division expects better growth prospects going forward.
The Fisheries and Fruits & Vegetables sectors in the Material Handling Division are seeing good demand. Division is adding newer markets in western coastal areas for growth in Fisheries, Crates and also building strong network for increase in sales of varieties of dustbins. There is good demand from the soft drink industry. The division is expanding its product range and is in process of establishing manufacturing set up for Bubble Guard Board used in packing boxes and is also expanding capacity for production of PP hollow sheets. The division expects to continue its momentum of growth both in volume and value terms.
Composite LPG cylinder received letter of Intent from Indian Oil Corporation Limited for the supply of 231,035 number of cylinders during the year. The company is actively engaging with the distribution system of LPG cylinders and initiating various promotional activities. The Protective Packaging Division has enhanced its capacity utilization. The strategy to work more on fabricated products has improved profitability. The division has increased its fabrication capacity to cater to increased demand and also expanding its capacity at existing locations apart from looking for a new greenfield site near port in western region to cater to export opportunities and meet increased domestic demand. Identification and negotiation for acquisition of land are at an advanced stage and likely to be concluded by October 2024.
The Performance Packaging Division continues to utilize its capacity optimally and work on post extrusion value added products. The company has placed equipment orders for making windows at its new site at Kanpur Dehat and also at its existing factory at Kharagpur. The company expects to supply windows from these 2 sites in the first half of 2025-2026. Overall, the company focus is to achieve value-added kind of growth along with volume-driven growth in [indiscernible] businesses with focus in mind. Company has planned brownfield expansion again [indiscernible] this year and planned to add 7 new sites, which will enable the company to operate from 36 sites to spare about [ 15 ] states in a country. With increased business opportunity, the company has made CapEx commitment including carry forward commitment of around INR 1,500 crores.
Entire CapEx shall be funded from internal accruals. This is a brief overall summary for the quarter ended in the reference. Thank you for your patience. Now I and my colleagues, Shri, P.C. Somani and Shri R.J. Saboo are available to reply to various queries made by all of you. Thank you very much.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Venkatesh Balasubramaniam.
I had a few questions. The first question is, did you have any inventory gain or loss in the current quarter?
No, no inventory gain.
Okay. Now was June a bad month for growth? Because wasn't there volume growth almost 22% Y-o-Y in the first 2 months of the quarter. And then for the full quarter, you've done 17%, so did something happen in the third month of the quarter? And if at all, what exactly happened in the month of June?
The prices are going up big way, and in the month of June or in first half, the prices went up by INR 8 per kilo, 2x INR 4 per kilo. So customers were concerned like what is going wrong. So then they withdrew the percentage and [indiscernible] selling from the inventory. This happens in the business.
But usually, when prices go up so fast, isn't there inventory stocking and actually you end up selling more?
The increase was no questionably sustainable due to [indiscernible] region of the freight going up Asia to India, majority of input of PVC is coming from Asia to India. Majority 80% of PVC in the country come from Asia. And the freight -- due to rates, it went up suddenly big way. People never believe that this share increase will sustain. And [indiscernible] true. Now the freight rates coming down dramatically. So starting from second week of July, prices went down by INR 4 a kilo. And there after the demand is also very weak, so the company need to give price projections, and we believe the company prices go down again either on 1st August or even earlier.
So these are the reasons the business has been affected in the month of July and going to remain -- affected in the month of June and going to even slightly lower in month of July also.
Okay. Understood. Now even that you -- what I was asking is given that June has been a weak month and July is also expected to be a weak month...
Somewhat 25% growth.
So you think you can do full year 25% volume growth?
We'll maintain.
Actually, Mr. Taparia, you've guided for 20% volume growth overall and 25% for plastic pipe.
25% plastic piping.
Okay. And for overall 20%, that also remains?
Yes.
Yes. Any change to your 15.5% margin guidance?
No. We say it is going to get 15% to 15.5%.
Okay. Last question from my side. A lot of players are telling that Supreme is aggressively cutting prices and it's pulling down industry margins. Any way you want to respond to that? Because some of your competitors are telling you're cutting prices?
I can't respond to rumors.
The next question is from the line of Rahul Agarwal from Ikigai Asset Management.
The first question, just wanted to understand between the Plastic Products segment, which are the products which are seeing faster growth and which are the products relatively slower right now and expected to improve in the following year. That's my first question.
Plastic Products segment has good growth potential. For Packaging segment, it has good growth potential. Material handling has got good growth potential.
Sir, I was asking more for -- within Plastic Piping, which are the products which are doing better and which are the products which can pick up in growth for the balance 9 months.
You classify information.
Okay. No problem. Sir packaging EBIT margins are very volatile, what could be the reason, please?
Because the demand for [indiscernible] Product segment has now come up and cross-laminated film [indiscernible] making look alike product with no property compared to our cross-laminated film. After 3 years, the product -- so now the questions are coming back to us, and we are able to increase our volume and the price of this segment.
Sir, I understand that. But when I look at the EBIT margins reported for the segment, on a Q-o-Q basis, they're very low and they've been very volatile over the last 5 quarters. Is that more a function of the product mix in the segment?
I showed you project to packaging product and cross-laminated film. And our packaging film also, we are going to [indiscernible] very good product.
Okay. Maybe I'll take that offline. And lastly, sir, in terms of CapEx, I just wanted to know what would be the cash CapEx for the year, for fiscal '25. I understand the overall CapEx is INR 1,500 crores. From a cash flow perspective, what would be the cash outflow?
Yes, it could be in the range of INR 1,000 to INR 1,200 crores. We really can't estimate today, but should not be beyond it.
The next question is from the line of Umesh Patel from Reliance Nippon Life.
Sir, a couple of questions. Just wanted to understand -- I mean if I look at the overall margin trend, I mean because of the higher PVC prices, it should go up, but that didn't happen. So does it mean that the contribution of non-plumbing products, particularly agri pipes, was higher and that was the reason for this quarter?
I don't follow your question, please.
I just need to understand the overall EBITDA margin, particularly company has reported 14.7%, and the PVC prices was [indiscernible] up sharply. So does it mean that in this quarter, there was a higher contribution from agri pipes rather than plumbing pipes or pipes due to which the margin was not that much, I mean, reported?
Generally agri pipes serves the low margin.
Right. So what was the contribution of agri versus plumbing for this quarter versus the general trend?
We can't transparently because we know that many places agri pipe is used for housing also. We are principally more in housing segment. We are not a very big player in agri segment. For both the housing segment or Infrastructures.
Sure, sir. You mentioned that -- second question was related to margin profile. As you mentioned that in quarter 1, particularly in June month, there was a spike in the PVC prices by around INR 8 due to which dealers referring to buy it or restocking it. But again, if I look at the PVC prices have went down by INR 4 recently, in last week only. So do we see sharp recovery in margins or restocking will again happen?
We said we will be earning around 15.5% for the whole year. Monthly basically, we can't track it. PVC [indiscernible] because the current price also PVC may not sustain. It will go further down. Company also given already price prediction. We are seeing their customer price prediction.
Right. So does it mean that -- because see, in falling prices, generally, dealers are also refraining to buy it. So again, there will be some issue related to the volume growth. So I just need to understand, I mean, are we still comfortable to achieve 25% piping volume because for the rest of the month, you mentioned that July month is again not good.
Not only committing by words, we are committing investment also. By our investment plan [indiscernible] sites, we are expanding capacity. We're going to hire new site for plastic piping. We are very confident market will grow. We are confident that we will achieve 25% volume growth.
Okay, sure, sir. And how -- the third question was how the industry is panning out? Is it into consolidation phase? Or do we see traction again post budget related to the government-related projects again or it would be through real estate demand, how the things will pan out for the rest of the year?
We don't deal much with government. We deal directly with distributors...
Distributors. Yes, agree. Sure.
We don't do government business.
The next question is from the line of Keshav Lahoti from HDFC Securities.
Sir, I want to understand how was the revenue of Nal se Jal in this quarter? What percent of revenue? Revenue and volume.
Not much volume. Nal se Jal mostly completed, but not much volume. [indiscernible] business will start from September.
Okay. So it should be less than 2%?
We can't say today. September is too much early today.
This quarter I'm asking. It should be less than 2%?
This is rainy season...
Q1, I'm asking. Q1 Nal se Jal revenue should be more than -- less than 2%, right?
Q1 cannot be pursued because a new budget will come up. When a new fund come, only then money will start flowing. So now the budget will be [ around ] tomorrow. Thereafter the business should show. We are talking annual basis, not monthly basis.
No. What I'm trying to understand, as you know, Nal se Jal possibly revenue might wipe off in next few quarters. What I'm trying to understand in Q1, the quarter which has gone by, whether Nal se Jal revenue was less than 2%?
I don't know because the 2% -- it may not be only Nal se Jal. We supply for [indiscernible] project also. So I don't have idea how much going for Nal se Jal. We have no idea. We supply for Infrastructure -- how much we're going for Nal se Jal, we have no idea.
Okay. So what would be the infrastructure volume and revenue in this quarter?
Not much infrastructure. I don't have the number before me.
Okay. Got it. And how has been the CPVC prices in this quarter?
Sorry?
CPVC prices?
Now started going up with PVC -- and CPVC available also and slightly we could increase the price also, no issue.
Understood. We can see some margin compression in pipes in this segment. So it's more to do with change in mix or it's more to do with increased competitive intensity, higher rebate to dealer to push volume? How should we read it?
What margin compression? I don't know what margin compression. What margin compression you're referring, we have no idea.
So if I talk about EBIT margin sequentially also for pipes, it is down by 120 bps. And even if I look year-on-year existed for inventory loss, still pipes EBIT margin is down. So how do we read it?
Q1, you see the major part comes from agri. So Q1 to Q2 compare...
So Q1 if I adjust for inventory loss, which was INR 40 crores last quarter. So that way, still margin is down. So you can put maybe 150 bps to 200 bps margin was down in Q1 due to inventory loss in June '23. So that way, inventory margin...
Last year?
Yes, last year Q1, there was inventory loss. So if you adjust for that, then margin is down by year-on-year also, right?
Basically because of the product mix also.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from of Pujan Shah from Molecule Ventures.
First of all, I just wanted to ask on the PVC pipe. So specifically, we are getting very aggressive on that part. And I just wanted to know how the industry has been shaping up, what is the competitive intensity over there? And how we'll take the -- capturing the growth of the industry?
As on today, we are a very, very small player in the OPVC. The country, there are not many machines making OPVC in the country so the machines are not available. [indiscernible] only one supply and we've got very limited portion capacity. So we are -- ordered with the supplier, but the machines are in delay. So there is no completion intensity pushing the product is not available.
So sir, but I wanted to ask on the machine availability. So as you rightly said, the machine has not been available, so are we seeking any alternative supplier on a domestic player who can supply to us and we can aggressively grow towards that?
We will buy the machine or if you can make the product [indiscernible] requirement with the customer.
I didn't get you.
Somebody giving the machine then we can be the buyer.
Sir, you are not audible. Can you be specific?
If a person giving machine, which can make suitable-oriented PVC pipe, then we will be the customer.
Okay. But sir, I just wanted to understand like there is no specific player to manufacture OPVC machinery in India? Or we have to import or how it is the situation over here?
We are importing and we are discussing with some local producers also. Once the local producer machine is perfected then we will buy.
Sir, I wanted to ask on the same line. We have been a very legacy player in the pipe segment. So -- and we have been pouring into OPVC. So why suddenly we have poured it into OPVC? What are the specific demand drivers in context to last -- from last few years, there has been clean demand over here?
I don't follow what you're saying.
So in the recent past year, you have been expanded in the PVC segment, right? We have been...
Only last year, we purchased a company, we're making OPVC. OPVC now come properly accepted by the government department to supplement ductile iron pipe. So once the government start accepting OPVC pipe in place of ductile iron pipe, then we move into the business, but the supply of machines are very limited today. And we are engaging with local producers of the machine. Once the machines are established, we will be the customer for the local company also. [indiscernible], then we can start much better. Today, there is no product available.
The next question is from the line of Sneha Talreja from Nuvama.
Sir, just wanted to ask firstly, was there any inventory gain in this particular quarter?
No inventory gain.
No inventory gain. And secondly, like you said that there is destocking happening because prices are falling or anticipated to fall. What must be the inventory levels? Is it too low at the distributor level? And do you expect any pickup to happen from August once tried to stabilize this?
Yes, inventory levels are coming down. And definitely, you rightly said, once the price get settled or stabilized then definitely pick up will start.
So on a general some quantum that you can give, like how much low is it on an average, how much is it? And how low is it at this point of time?
It will be very difficult to -- inventory level is...
After 1,000 -- I can't say, but we know very well that demand is reasonably maintaining its level so [indiscernible] in a very big way. This one is very excessive rainy season also. So normally, July month is a low demand month normally. We believe after second half of August, demand become pretty big way as it normally happens. We are quite comfortable.
Understood. Got that. Sir, one last one from my end. Given that you have been stating that you're putting greenfield plants, you've upgraded your guidance for greenfield plants, we do understand your near-term guidance of 25%, which you'll maintain. But given that now there are 6 greenfield plants, which you've never ever put, what's the likely volume growth run rate that you see over the next 4 to 5 years? Just a broad number of some sense on opportunity terms that you are able to see in terms of volumes? That will be really helpful, sir.
Beyond this year?
Beyond this year, right.
We believe it should be maintained between 11% to 12%, 13% or 14% -- 12% to 14% of volume growth may be maintained after -- from 2025 to '26 onwards. We believe it was maybe between 12% to 15%, it'll continue -- government give big push, and we believe that our economy will grow between 7% to 8%. In fact, the investment will continue. And the economy condition will continue on improving. And generally, the PVC [indiscernible] going mostly into building infrastructure and agriculture, demand is [indiscernible]. So we remain quite optimistic.
The next question is from the line of Sonali Salgaonkar from Jefferies.
I have just one question. This is regarding your value-added sales. Sir, could you throw more light on your product pipeline right now, which could potentially contribute to your value-added sales?
No, this is our gas piping system. Our CPVC piping system, our PPR silent pipe system, our PPR for plumbing system, our PEX piping system, our PERT piping system, all our value-added products.
So as a percentage of sales, where do you perceive the value-added sales to stabilize?
I believe it should be between 40% to 44%, what you say?
Company as a whole between 38% to 40%. That is our ambition. So we are hovering around 35%, 36%, 37%. So going forward, should inch up a bit more towards 38% plus in plus.
And this is by when next 1 year?
Yes. We always remain committed to that. So all our efforts and focus is on there.
The next question is from the line of Praveen Sahay from PL Capital.
The first question is related to the plastic pipe utilization. At what level of utilization you are running at? And at what level of peak utilization you can reach to?
We anticipate this year we achieve 75%.
So if I calculate your 25% of growth and average out for last year and this year capacity, you need to have 80% of utilization to reach this 25% of growth. So is it possible for to reach 80%?
This year 25,000 tonne piping. And our capacity end of the year [ 835,000 ] so if you...
You're taking average of opening and closing?
Yes, you are saying -- so it will be between 75% to 80% from that perspective.
Okay. Just related to that, sir, have you ever achieved such kind of high utilization in the past?
No. You see our past average if you look, we've always been 65% to 70%. So the kind of demand that we are looking at, kind of product profile, we have...
No, we are adding some new systems, and we are adding new SKU in our existing capacity system. And we are adding new distributors. We are increasing reach in other states also so that has given good confidence that we will achieve better utilization capacity this year.
Okay. Great, sir. And the next question is related to your packaging segment. So in the packaging margin profile is quite fluctuating. If I look at for last 5 quarters, so -- and while your commentary in your press release is quite encouraging in that sense, like a productive or performance packaging doing very well. So why is that so much of fluctuation in your margin -- EBIT margin profile of packaging?
That maybe demand -- you look throughout the year.
In [indiscernible] season this year during all season a very large volume, should depend on the moment you have volume in a particular quarter.
So we're prepared for the demand fluctuation, exceeding demand every month.
Okay. So it depends on the demand. How much of what product you are selling, the margin profile changes accordingly.
It will be resetting, but the good part here to know all the segment of packaging whether it is Silpaulin, whether it is protecting packaging of performance, mostly we are doing good, whereas in past period, sometimes Silpaulin was again behind because of the market competition of localized products. So now all those things are behind.
The next question is from the line of Utkarsh Nopany from BOB Capital.
Sir, my first question is on the plastic pipe segment. Just wanted to know whether we are sourcing plastic by product capably only or we are also sourcing it through third party at present?
No outside sourcing.
Okay. Sir, second, like given the current demand and competitive scenario in the Packaging segment, can you give some sense what would be our sustainable packaging segment margin over the medium term in your view?
No, our margins which we are now gaining or getting are they -- they are sustainable only.
At around 15%, sir?
Is it EBIT margin or EBITDA margin?
EBITDA margin for Packaging segment?
It should be more than 15%.
More than 15%.
Okay. And lastly, sir, can you just give some sense what would be our CPVC pipe volume growth in the current June quarter?
Volume growth first quarter actually around more than 40%.
The next question is from the line of Rishab Bothra from Anand Rathi.
I have 2, 3 questions. One, by when you think the demerger is possible for the pipe segment? I mean, it's 70% of the revenue. By when can we have demerger of the pipe segment. I believe 70% of the revenue is from pipes.
We don't have any plans.
What for?
For better clarity and understanding purpose.
We don't have any plans. We don't have separate pipe division. We make complex product in every segment.
Okay. Secondly, sir, can we have a breakdown of CapEx in terms of segment, in terms of capacity and in terms of value? We don't have any slide for CapEx as such. And the revenue potential going forward?
We don't have immediately here to share with you.
I think going forward, if you could include this slide in the presentation, that would be very helpful.
We will keep in our mind when we come in the month of October -- we'll talk, we'll take your suggestion. Thank you very much for good suggestion.
Lastly, sir, on the projection -- I mean, you mentioned that 15% to 20% growth overall. So INR 121 billion revenue is achievable in FY '25, according to you?
I told 20% volume growth this year.
Yes, overall revenue, I mean to say, will it be crossing INR 121 billion? [Foreign Language]
This year, the value will be around INR 12,000 crores to INR 12,500 crores.
Yes, that is what I was saying. And INR 1,800 crores of operating profit.
Around 15.5%, between 15%, 15.5%.
Okay. And sir, how do we capitalize the value-added sales? Beyond what percentage of margin does this fall into?
Beyond 17%.
Beyond 17%. So this may keep fluctuating. I mean the value-added sales percentage since this is 17% some product may come up and down. So how do you reclassify quarter-to-quarter basis?
No, no, we classify month-to-month basis also internally and...
This is a very dynamic market. We are doing our business [indiscernible].
The next question is from the line of Chirag Lodaya from Valuequest.
Sir, my first question is on capacity. So after this INR 1,500 crores of CapEx, putting all these 6, 7 greenfield units in place, what will be our expanded capacity, pipes and non-pipes?
No, as far as capacity overall will be how much -- 1 million for piping...
This is all greenfield will not come this year -- but it will come by the end of this year only.
Correct. So I'm trying to understand FY '26 capacities after this INR 1,500 crores CapEx.
Right the FY '26 -- 1.25 million tonnes.
And out of this pipe would be how much?
Pipe would be 1 million tonne.
1 million tonne. Okay. And second question is on, sir, this industrial valve, sprinkler and gas piping system, what kind of investments and capacities we would have put or we're in process of putting?
In the industrial valve -- they're all separate investment. Industrial valve is separate investment with [indiscernible] and certain most are little bit -- it will go into production only from April 2025 so that can be a huge investment that we are envisaging in that business.
Okay. And do you expect any inventory gains in Q2?
No inventory gain. Prices are coming down so I hope there will be no inventory loss.
The next question is from the line of Abhishek Ghosh from DSP.
Sir, when you talk about this 25% of pipe volume growth for FY '25, what is the expectation of industry growth there?
I think we're targeting 12% to 15%.
Okay. So industry will grow at 12% to 15%, and you will grow at 25%, that's the understanding, right?
I was told by the raw material supplier, I don't do -- I can talk -- more guarantee about my company.
Okay. Fair. And sir, just in terms of -- there were lot of talks about the antidumping duties on some of the imports of PVC. So what is the status on that? And how should one look at the PVC prices on account of if there was any antidumping?
Antidumping is -- I also want to know if you can help me, please advise me. It will only know to the DGTR department and Ministry of Finance. I have no idea. 2 departments, Ministry of Finance and a DGTR, Directorate General of Trade Remedies. They know and Ministry of Finance knows. I have no idea.
The next question is from the line of Shubham Aggarwal from Axis Capital.
So my question is on the plastic pipe segment.
So just trying to get -- some kind of get sense of what your priorities in the segment. So I'll frame my question like this. So in the past, you've guided or you -- your decisions have been guided by the ROCE target of 20%. Now in that context, is it right to say that you'll be passing on the cost advantages that you will get from all the capacity expansion that you're doing right now in order to maintain -- and you will still maintain the 20% ROCE target.
What I intend to say is will you retain some part of the cost advantage, which will reflect in the margin and increase the ROCE? Or will you pass it on completely so that the ROCE is at 20%, you get exceptionally high volume growth compared to the market. What is your priority here?
Yes, yes, you are right. You see ultimately, our ROCE credit is not diluted any time. So when we put up the new capacities or new plant and new greenfield, so we try to see capture that market aggressively. And definitely, the most advantages -- or more particularly [indiscernible], you can say, is passed on to the customers.
Right, sir. And that will make you more competitive in the market. Is that right to understand? And hence, your ROCE will be in place and all the advantage you'll pass on to the market for volume growth. So volume growth will be the priority.
Because we've got this huge variety of products -- and we sell systems, we sell solution. So -- we have no issue. We're adding more and more systems. Today we're offering 36 system. This year we're adding 5 new systems. Apart from the 41 systems, which we will have by middle of June next year, we'll be adding several SKU in the existing system. We go and increasing our product portfolio to give full solution to our customers.
Sir, these systems will be margin accretive? That's my last question.
To give better service to our customers.
No, no. I'm saying will these systems be margin accretive per kg basis, will they be margin accretive or not really? Just that's my last question.
It's accretive to volume and accretive to value-added, both. Our focus is to grow by volume, grow by value-added, our focus remains.
So we need to provide the entire system because that is the package what we've to provide.
To provide complete service to customer.
The next question is from the line of Deepak Mandhana from Avighna Investments.
So just wanted to understand basically, when you are saying that the government gas pipelines would be a business for us. In terms of margin, I think that would be a very low margin business. I guess the tender would have -- tenders are generally given to the lowest quotes. Is that understanding correct?
We have not issues about any orders. When I get order, then I will reply you -- in the third quarter.
Okay. And are we ready in terms of the capacity with the order size may come from? Or are we still building that capacity?
We have got capacity to make pipe. We are making capacity to make fittings. Just we are adding several variety of fittings -- most are under construction because we are really supplying complete system. We supply not only pipes, we supply fitting also.
Okay. So in terms of our CapEx, are we CapEx ready for that? Or would we take another quarter for getting that ready?
No, no, CapEx has already been committed. Now the delivery of equipment will take place -- so more will take place.
The next question is from the line of Aditya from Securities Investment Management.
Sir, you mentioned that PVC prices increased by INR 13 per kg this quarter. But when I look at your realization per kg, it has fallen on a sequential basis. So why is that?
No, no. You are saying -- you see ultimately there is a change of product mix. So you really can't compare apple to apple that way. There are so many varieties of systems, product SKUs.
If I have to understand, PVC prices increased by INR 13 per kg, what would have been our price hikes in this quarter for the different products?
On the month of June only -- price went only in month of June. So June price will not reflect in our product price.
So what can the price hikes have you taken in June on a blended basis?
In month of June, the price went up by INR 8. Out of INR 13, INR 8 increase in June only.
And we also increase the prices by INR 8?
In the Month of July, it went down, so there's no increase finally. But in Q2 period -- it is all going down in month of July. It's a temporary change.
The next follow-up question is from the line of Pujan Shah from Molecule Ventures.
Yes. Then just continuing with the same part, I just wanted to understand, what is the expansion plan we have been planning to for the PVC pipes? And in next 2, 3 years, what are the CapEx we have been planned on?
We got one line from the supplier, we have placed order for 9 more lines -- to give you...
I didn't get you. What?
The delivery of the 9 will be placed on the supplier, delivery will be in 30 months? We don't have capacity today.
For 30 working days?
30 months, 2.5 years.
Okay. Okay. Got it. Got it. But -- so what will be the per line expansion, like you have said, 9 lines you have been expanding to. So what could be the capacity of 1 line?
Nine line -- 30,000 tonnes.
It would be 30,000 tonnes.
Additional.
Additional. So currently, we are at 300 -- 3,000, sorry.
It would be 32,000 tonnes.
32,000. And we are at -- currently at 3,000 metric tonnes?
After 2.5 years.
Yes, yes, I got it, sir. We are currently at 3,000, we will expand by 32,000. We will make the total facility by 35,000, right?
Today, we have got capacity of 2,500 tonnes and we are getting 9 lines which is a fresh order, which is going to come in 3-0, 30 months, which will increase our capacity to 32,500 tonnes after 2.5 years you hear it becomes may be -- beginning 2027 or 2028.
Sir, what would be the cost of one line to be installed?
Around INR 40 crores.
INR 40 crores. And that would be okay. Got it. And I just wanted to understand, is this business related to B2B, B2C or how it has been planning to. It has been a distribution-led business?
B2B -- so contracted you will buy and supply to government department -- by government departments. Government purchase more than -- maybe more than 4 million tonnes of GI pipe.
Okay. So how much GI pipe would be replaced by this OPVC pipe?
I don't have capacity. I don't talk much about it. Properly after 2 years -- I will talk to you properly.
The next follow-up question is from the line of Rishab Bothra from Anand Rathi.
I just wanted to understand, we have been increasing CapEx on a regular basis. Have we looked at inorganic growth opportunities at some point of time?
Last year, we acquired Parvati Agro Plast. So we have seen and we have done it also, but no, not too much you see ultimately inorganic growth.
No, we have not increases in inorganic growth.
So has that acquisition been falling in line with our expectations?
You see going inorganic growth.
Okay. Has that acquisition falling in line with our expectation?
Yes. We purchased because it was coming in our lines.
No, no. Post-acquisition, I'm meaning to say.
The acquisition what we've taken we are happy with the acquisition.
Thank you. We are taking this as a last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management of Supreme Industries for closing comments.
Thank you very much. We are very much thankful to all the analysts and our partners for really well excellent analysis question. Myself and my both the colleagues have tried to reply all the questions, whatever raised by them. We thank them very much. Thank you very much.
Thank you all.
Thank you. On behalf of DAM Capital Advisors Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.