Oil India Ltd
NSE:OIL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one OIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 819.05 INR. Compared to the current market price of 475.45 INR, Oil India Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Oil India Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Oil India Ltd. (OIL) is a prominent player in India's energy sector, boasting a rich history that spans over six decades. As the second-largest national oil company in India, OIL is engaged in the exploration, production, and refining of oil and natural gas. The company's operations extend across a diverse range of activities, including the establishment of a robust pipeline infrastructure, exploration efforts in promising regions, and strategic partnerships to enhance its operational capabilities. With its headquarters in Duliajan, Assam, Oil India Ltd. has carved a niche in both upstream and downstream activities, firmly positioning itself as a significant contributor to India’s energy sec...
Oil India Ltd. (OIL) is a prominent player in India's energy sector, boasting a rich history that spans over six decades. As the second-largest national oil company in India, OIL is engaged in the exploration, production, and refining of oil and natural gas. The company's operations extend across a diverse range of activities, including the establishment of a robust pipeline infrastructure, exploration efforts in promising regions, and strategic partnerships to enhance its operational capabilities. With its headquarters in Duliajan, Assam, Oil India Ltd. has carved a niche in both upstream and downstream activities, firmly positioning itself as a significant contributor to India’s energy security.
Investors looking at Oil India Ltd. will find a company driven by growth and sustainability, with a strong commitment to operational efficiency and environmental stewardship. The management has been focusing on innovative technologies to optimize production while reducing costs. Additionally, OIL has made headway in diversifying its portfolio with investments in renewable energy and is exploring avenues in petrochemicals. Given the global shift towards cleaner energy, OIL's proactive stance in navigating this landscape could yield attractive opportunities for growth. With a stable dividend history and a healthy balance sheet, Oil India Ltd. stands out as a compelling investment option in an ever-evolving energy market.
Oil India Limited (OIL) is one of the major national oil and gas companies in India, engaged in the exploration, production, and transportation of crude oil and natural gas. The core business segments of Oil India Ltd can be broadly classified as follows:
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Exploration & Production (E&P):
- This segment is the primary driver of OIL's revenue. It involves the exploration and extraction of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates in various exploration blocks both onshore and offshore in India, as well as in international locations.
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Refining:
- Although OIL primarily focuses on upstream activities, it also has interests in refining. OIL collaborates with other companies for refining processes and products, contributing to its overall operational efficiency and product availability in the market.
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Transportation:
- OIL manages an extensive network of pipelines for transporting crude oil and natural gas from production sites to refineries and other end-users. This segment is crucial for maintaining the supply chain and ensuring the distribution of its products.
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Natural Gas:
- The production, processing, and distribution of natural gas is another key segment. OIL has been expanding its operations in the natural gas sector to meet both domestic and international demand.
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Chemical and Petrochemical Products:
- OIL produces a range of chemical products, including fertilizers (urea and ammonium sulfate) and other petrochemicals, which diversify its product offerings and provide additional revenue streams.
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Renewable Energy:
- In response to the global shift towards sustainable energy sources, OIL has also begun exploring ventures in renewable energy, including wind and solar projects, as part of its long-term strategy.
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International Ventures:
- OIL has expanded its operations beyond India and is involved in exploration and production in various countries. This segment is aimed at enhancing the company's global footprint and ensuring energy security.
Each of these segments plays a vital role in Oil India Ltd.'s operations, contributing to its overall growth and sustainability in the competitive energy market. The company's strategy also focuses on developing new technologies and practices to enhance operational efficiency and reduce environmental impact.
Oil India Ltd (OIL) has several competitive advantages that position it favorably against its rivals in the oil and gas industry. Here are some of the unique competitive advantages:
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Strategic Location and Infrastructure: Being based in India, which has a large domestic market, OIL is strategically positioned to tap into regional demand. The company has a well-developed pipeline network and infrastructure, especially in the northeastern states of India, which facilitates efficient resource transportation and distribution.
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Government Support: As a public sector company, OIL often benefits from favorable government policies, support in exploration and production, and access to certain resources that might be more challenging for private firms, such as concessions and licenses.
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Diverse Operations: OIL has a diversified portfolio that includes upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and other related services. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with price volatility in the oil and gas market.
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Experience and Expertise: With decades of experience, OIL has developed substantial technical expertise in oil exploration and production. This experience translates into more effective operational practices and better project management.
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Strong Financial Position: The company's historical profitability and balance sheet strength provide it with the capacity to invest in new projects and technologies, as well as withstand market downturns better than some of its competitors.
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Environmental Initiatives: OIL is actively involved in sustainability initiatives which can help differentiate it from competitors. Investments in renewable energy and emission reduction strategies can appeal to socially responsible investors and partners.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: The company has established strategic alliances with other firms in the oil and gas sector, allowing for sharing of technology, risks, and costs, which can enhance operational efficiency and innovation.
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Geological Advantages: OIL operates in regions where there are untapped reserves and geological formations that are conducive to oil productivity. This can lead to lower exploration costs and higher yield compared to competitors working in more challenging terrains.
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Government Policy Alignment: The company often aligns with Indian government policies aimed at energy security and self-sufficiency, positioning itself as a key player in helping the country meet its energy targets.
These competitive advantages allow Oil India Ltd to maintain a sturdy position within the oil and gas sector, ensuring it can compete effectively against national and international rivals.
Oil India Ltd, like many companies in the energy sector, faces a range of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and profitability in the near future. Here are some key factors:
1. Price Volatility
- Oil Prices: Fluctuations in global crude oil prices can significantly affect revenue. Sudden drops in prices can squeeze margins and affect profitability.
- Demand-Supply Dynamics: Changes in demand due to economic conditions, pandemics, or geopolitical events can lead to price instability.
2. Regulatory Environment
- Policy Changes: Changes in government policies regarding oil and gas exploration, production, and taxation can create uncertainty.
- Environmental Regulations: Stricter environmental regulations may increase compliance costs and affect operational efficiency.
3. Geopolitical Risks
- Regional Instability: Operations in regions with political instability can lead to disruptions in production or supply chains.
- Sanctions and Trade Policies: Changes in international relations can lead to sanctions that affect market access and operational capabilities.
4. Transition to Renewable Energy
- Sustainability Pressure: Growing emphasis on green energy and sustainable practices may force Oil India to diversify its energy portfolio.
- Technological Investments: The need for investment in renewable energy technologies can strain financial resources and divert focus from core operations.
5. Operational Risks
- Exploration Challenges: Discovering new reserves can become increasingly difficult, especially in environmentally sensitive or remote areas.
- Infrastructure Dependence: Reliance on aging infrastructure can lead to maintenance issues and increased costs.
6. Market Competition
- Domestic and Global Competitors: Increased competition from both national and international oil companies can affect market share and pricing power.
- Substitutes: The rise of alternative energy sources (like solar or wind) poses a threat to traditional oil and gas businesses.
7. Economic Factors
- Global Economic Slowdown: Economic downturns can reduce energy demand, affecting sales volumes and profitability.
- Inflation: Rising costs of materials and services can impact profitability if not managed effectively.
8. Technological Challenges
- Investment in Technology: Keeping pace with technological advancements in drilling, extraction, and refining processes is crucial. Failure to adopt new technologies may lead to inefficiencies.
- Cybersecurity Threats: As digital systems become more prevalent, the risks associated with data breaches and cyber-attacks also increase.
9. Social and Environmental Concerns
- Public Opposition: Local opposition to fossil fuel projects can lead to delays and increased costs.
- Climate Change: Long-term liabilities associated with climate change could lead to substantial financial burdens in the future.
Conclusion
While Oil India Ltd operates in a critical industry, the convergence of these risks makes strategic planning and risk management essential. Adaptation to market conditions and proactive measures to mitigate risks will be keys to sustaining growth and profitability in an evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Oil India Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Oil India Ltd
Current Assets | 167.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 72.2B |
Receivables | 43.4B |
Other Current Assets | 51.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 754.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 337.1B |
PP&E | 399.4B |
Intangibles | 5.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 12.2B |
Current Liabilities | 143.6B |
Accounts Payable | 17.1B |
Short-Term Debt | 43.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 82.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 294.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 194.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 99.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Oil India Ltd
Revenue
|
392.5B
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-202.5B
INR
|
Gross Profit
|
190B
INR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-78.3B
INR
|
Operating Income
|
111.6B
INR
|
Other Expenses
|
-43.7B
INR
|
Net Income
|
67.9B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Oil India Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
OIL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Oil India Ltd's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Oil India Ltd's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
OIL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Oil India Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Oil India Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
OIL Price Targets Summary
Oil India Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OIL is 661.24 INR with a low forecast of 282.8 INR and a high forecast of 845.25 INR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for OIL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Oil India Ltd. operates as an investment holding company. The company is headquartered in Noida, Uttar Pradesh. The company went IPO on 2009-09-30. The firm's segments include Crude Oil, Natural Gas, LPG, Pipeline Transportation, Renewable Energy and Others. The firm also produces liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and transports crude oil and refined petroleum products through cross-country pipelines. The firm is operating in approximately three PEL and approximately 25 PML areas, allotted under the nomination regime in the States of Assam, Arunachal Pradesh and Rajasthan. The firm also holds Participating Interest in approximately six New Exploration Licensing Policy (NELP) Blocks with operatorship in four Blocks and as Non-operator in the remaining two Blocks. The Company’s operation in India includes Assam, Arunachal Pradesh, Mizoram, Tripura, Nagaland, Odisha, Andhra Pradesh and Rajasthan and offshore areas in Andaman, Kerala-Konkan and KG shallow waters.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one OIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 819.05 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 475.45 INR, Oil India Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.