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Larsen & Toubro Ltd
Earnings Call Analysis
Summary
Q1-2024
Larsen & Toubro's Q1 FY '24 results show significant growth, with total revenue rising 24% year-on-year to INR 479 billion. Order inflows surged 57% to INR 655 billion, highlighting robust demand across infrastructure and energy sectors. The company achieved a PAT of INR 24.9 billion, up 46%, despite an 80 basis points drop in EBITDA margin to 10.2%. Looking forward, guidance remains unchanged: 10%–12% growth in order inflows and 12%–15% in revenue for FY '24, while maintaining EBITDA margin targets at 9%. Their net working capital ratio improved significantly to 17% from 20.6% a year prior.
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Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Larsen & Toubro Limited Q1 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions] I now hand the conference over to Mr. P. Ramakrishnan, Head of Investor Relations from Larsen & Toubro Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, Neera, and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. A very warm welcome to all of you into the Q1 FY '24 earnings call of Larsen and growth. The presentation summarizing the performance of Q1 FY '24 was uploaded on the stock exchange and in our website at around 6:00 p.m. today evening. As usual, instead of going through the entire presentation, I will take you through the key highlights for the quarter in the next 30 minutes or so. And post that, we will take Q&A.
Before I start the usual disclaimer, the presentation that we have uploaded on the stock exchange and our website today, including the discussions that we will have in this call, contain or may contain certain forward-looking statements concerning L&T's group -- L&T Group's business prospects and profitability, which are subject to several uncertainties, and actual results could materially differ from those in such forward-looking statements. India has remained an oasis of stability despite the continuing global macroeconomic volatility.
The domestic activity in Q1 FY '24 remain resilient, as reflected by the various high-frequency economic indicators. The purchasing managers index or the PMIs that we call for both manufacturing and services is also indicating a sustained expansion. The growth momentum is likely to continue on a stable ready crop production, expected normal monsoon. Continued warranty in services and stable inflation with a softening bias. Although I did mention a normal monsoon, let me clarify that the distribution of rainfall is as important as the total volume, and we will be monitoring these developments closely.
Secondly, given the healthy balance sheets of banks and corporates, supply chain normalization and declining uncertainty, conditions are favorable for a continued CapEx cycle in sectors like infrastructure, power, that includes renewables, petrochemicals and defense in the near to medium term. When we look outside India, it is our view that although the global economy is turning the corner, but it does face a long road ahead in order to attain stable and sustainable growth.
It is positive to see China come back energy prices being stable, headline inflation on the reverse in many developed economies and supply chain normalization. The Middle East, which is our next big geography for our projects business is stable. We continue to see plenty of opportunities revolving around oil and gas core industrialization and energy transition initiatives in this part of the world. Before I get into the details of the financial performance parameters, I would like to share a few important highlights of the quarter.
The Board of Directors of the company has approved a proposal to buy back to the tender equity tender route equity shares of the company for an aggregate amount not exceeding INR 10,000 crores. Of the INR 10,000 crores excludes the buyback. The proposal is subject to approval of the shareholders. Further, the Board has also approved a special dividend of INR 6 per equity share. Secondly, our defense engineering business has signed a teaming agreement with Navantia Spain for the purpose of submission of a techno-commercial bid for the Indian Navy's prestigious P75 i submarine program.
Thirdly, our daily readership in Maida Metro crossed the 5 lakh mark on July 3, and as recent as yesterday, the metro ridership touched a record 536,000. Our group company, LTI Mindtree has entered the [indiscernible] index from July 13, 2023. I Finally, our Financial Services business achieved the Lakshya 2026 goal of more than 80% utilization of its book 3 years in advance. I will now cover the various financial performance parameters for Q1 FY '24. Q1 FY '24 was a quarter of robust performance across the most of the financial parameters. Our group order inflows, revenues and PAT is up by 57%, 34% and 46%, respectively, over the corresponding quarter of the previous year.
Our NWC 2 revenue that is net working capital to revenue at 17% in Q1 FY '24 has improved 360 basis points over the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Our ROE is at 12.8% on a trailing 12-month basis in June 23, that has gone up by almost 130 basis points over the 12 months TTM as of June 22 and by 60 basis points when you compare with the year ended March 2023. I will now move on to individual performance parameters. Our group order inflows for Q1 FY '24 at INR 655 billion, registered a Y-o-Y growth of 57%.
Within that, our projects and manufacturing businesses secured order inflows of INR 504 billion for this quarter, which is a growth of almost 79% over Q1 FY '23. Our Q1 FY '24 order inflows in the projects and manufacturing portfolio are mainly from infrastructure and hydrocarbon segments. During the current quarter, our share of international orders in the projects on manufacturing portfolio is at 35% as compared to 33% in Q1 of last year. Our share of private orders within the domestic projects and manufacturing orders is at 24% for Q1 FY '24 as compared to 32% in for Q1 FY '23.
During the quarter, orders were received across segments like rail, renewables, rural water supply, transmission and distribution commercial and residential buildings and both onshore and offshore verticals of the hydrocarbon segment. Now moving on to prospects pipeline. We have a total prospect pipeline of INR 10.07 trillion for the remaining 9 months of FY '24, vis-a-vis INR 7.52 trillion, at the end of Q1 last year.
This itself represents an increase of 34% on Y-on-Y basis. The increase is largely due to the sharp improvement in hydrocarbon prospects pipeline. If you recall, we had started or commenced this year FY '24 with a prospect pipeline of INR 9.73 trillion. We normally begin every year with a particular prospect pipeline. And with every passing quarter, the same is updated for the remaining quarters of the financial year. This time around, the prospects pipeline has moved up after our Q1 results, primarily aided by substantial improvement in hydrocarbon prospects that I mentioned a little while ago.
The broad breakup of the overall prospects pipeline at the end of Q1 FY '24 would be as follows: Infrastructure, INR 5.85 trillion as compared to INR 5.47 trillion Q1 last year. Hydrocarbons INR 3.47 trillion as compared to INR 1.02 trillion Q1 last year. Power is at INR 0.45 trillion visa INR 0.6 trillion Q1 last year. And the rest combining of heavy engineering, defense and green energy EPC aggregates to INR 0.29 trillion for the current 9 months vis-a-vis 0.43 trillion that we saw at the end of Q1 previous year.
Moving on to order book. Our order book is at INR 4.12 trillion as at June 23. As our products and manufacturing business is largely India centric, 71% of our order book is domestic and 29% international. Now of the international order book of INR 1.21 trillion, around 87% is from Middle East and 5% is from Africa. The remaining 8% is from various countries, including Southeast Asia. So clearly, the Middle East CapEx in both Infra and Hydrocarbon segment is on an upswing post the stability in oil prices. As far as the domestic order book of INR 2.92 trillion is concerned, the breakdown is as follows or the share of the various constituent customers.
Central government has 12% share, state government 29% and Public sector units are state-owned enterprises 39% and private sector 20%. Approximately around 23% of our total order book of INR 4.12 trillion is funded by bilateral and multilateral funding agencies. Again, 91% of our total order book is from infrastructure energy. You may kindly refer to the presentation slides for further details. In the current quarter, that is during Q1 FY '24, we have diluted orders of INR 17 billion from the order book. And as at June 23, the share of slow-moving orders is less than 1% of the order book.
Coming to revenues. Our group revenues for Q1 FY '24 at INR 479 billion registered a Y-on-Y growth of 24%. International revenues constituted 40% of the revenues during the quarter. In the Projects & Manufacturing business, our revenues for Q1 FY '24 at INR 327 billion registered a Y-o-Y growth of 49%. Moving on to EBITDA margin. Our group level EBITDA margin without other income for Q1 FY '24 is 10.2% a drop of 80 basis points over the Q1 of previous year. This drop of 80 basis points is mainly due to cost pressures in the Larsen EPC projects.
The detailed breakup of the EBITDA business-wise is also given in the annexures to the earnings presentation. You would have noticed that the EBITDA margin in the Projects & Manufacturing business for Q1 FY '24 is at 7.4% vis-a-vis 8.3% in Q1 FY '23. I will cover the details when I talk about the performance of the segments. Our recurring and reported PAT for Q1 FY '24 at INR 24.9 billion is up by 46% over Q1 of last year. The robust PAT growth is delivered on the back of substantially improved activity levels and further aided by improved treasury operations.
The group performance P&L construct along with the reasons for major variances under the respective functions is provided in the presentation. You may kindly go through the same for further details. Coming to working capital. Our net working capital to sales ratio has improved from 20.6% in June 22, to 17% in June 23, an improvement of 360 basis points. Our group level elections, excluding the Financial Services segment for Q1 FY '24 at INR 439 billion INR 344 billion in Q1 FY '23, that representing an increase of 28%.
The improvement in gross working capital ratio on the back of improved customer collections is also flowing into the overall improvement in the net working capital to sales ratio. At this juncture, I would also like to mention that on a sequential basis, our NWC 2 revenue has come down by 90 basis points. That is from 16.1% in March 23 to 17% in June 23. As you may be aware, quarter 1 of every financial year is generally a seasonally weak quarter for customer collections and therefore, the 90 basis points of reduction is well within the guided or the desired range.
Finally, the trailing 12-month ROE for Q1 FY '24 is at 12.8% vis-a-vis 11.5% in Q1 FY '23 an improvement of 130 basis points and improved profitability with every passing quarter is contributing to this improvement in ROE. I will now comment on the performance of each segment before we give our final comments on our outlook for the remaining 9 months of the year.
First, infrastructure. Coming to order inflows, this segment secured orders of INR 401 billion for Q1 FY '24 vis-a-vis INR 183 billion in Q1 FY '23 registering a growth of more than 100%. During the current quarter, the orders were secured in renewables, rural water supply, transmission distribution minerals and metals as well as commercial and residential real estate. Our order prospects pipeline in Infra for the 9 months for FY '24 is at INR 5.85 trillion vis-a-vis INR 5.47 trillion during the comparable period of last year.
This infra prospect pipeline of INR 5.85 trillion comprises of domestic prospects of INR 4.61 and international prospects of INR 1.24 trillion. The subsegment breakup of the total order prospects in intra is as follows. Transportation Infra, the share is 23%. Buildings and factories, 21%, water and effluent treatment, 18% and heavy civil infrastructure, 17%, power transmission distribution, including renewables, 15% and Minerals & Metals at 6%. The order book of this segment has crossed INR 3 trillion mark for the first time and is at INR 3.01 trillion as of June 23.
The book bill for this segment is around 3 years. Coming to revenues. The Q1 revenues for infrastructure at INR 221 billion registered a growth of 56% over Q1 of the previous year, obviously, largely aided by the strong execution progress across multiple jobs from the opening order book. Our EBITDA margin in this segment for Q1 FY '24 is at 5.1% in as compared to 6.5% in the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The margin for the quarter is a function of the job mix that we have and Legacy Kobi jobs nearing completion in the current year.
I would like to highlight the fact that Q1 FY '24 margin is well within our own internal budget estimates for the quarter. We expect these legacy COVID-impacted jobs to conclude possibly by the end of Q2, Q3 of the current year.
Having said that, we are rigorously pursuing customer claims under the terms of the respective contracts. The settlements, however, may happen over a period of time. Finally, although infra margin has taken a subdued, I would say, reporting due to the impact of COVID and commodity prices over the last couple of years, it is heartening to note that the working capital intensity has substantially improved during the same period resulting in stable return ratios over a period of time.
Moving on to the next segment, which is Energy Projects. This segment comprises of hydrocarbon and power. The receipt of both domestic and international orders during the quarter helped the hydropic order book, whereas power business reported muted order inflows. We have a very strong order prospects pipeline of INR 3.92 trillion for this energy segment for the remaining 9 months of FY '24, comprising of hydrocarbon at INR 3.47 and power comprising INR 0.45 trillion.
The order book for this energy segment is at INR 728 billion as of June 23 with hydrocarbon order book at INR 680 billion and power at INR 48 billion. The Q1 FY '24 revenues at INR 66.8 billion registered a healthy growth of 32%, mainly driven by the pickup in execution momentum in the international projects of hydrocarbon business whereas the de-growth in the Power segment is largely reflective of a depleting order book. The Energy segment margin in Q1 FY '24 is at 9.1% vis-a-vis 8.5% in Q1 FY '23.
Execution cost savings as margin improvement in power, whereas hydrocarbon margin is reflective of the jobs at various stages of completion and progress. the breakup of order inflows, the revenues and EBITDA margins of this segment is given as part of Anette presentation. We now move on to high-tech manufacturing segment that comprises our defense and heavy engineering business. The order inflows for this segment for Q1 has been impacted by deferrals in both heavy engineering and defense.
We have an order prospects pipeline of INR 252 billion for this segment for the remaining 3 quarters of FY '24. The order book of this segment is INR 256 billion as of June '23. Healthy execution momentum across both the segments drive a 40% revenue growth in the current quarter, whereas the margin improvement of 170 basis points over the corresponding quarter of previous year, is a function -- largely a function of execution cost savings. Once again, we have given a detailed breakup of order inflow, revenues and EBITDA of both the businesses under this segment in the Alexa to the presentation. On the subject of Defense Engineering segment, I would like to once again reiterate that this business does not manufacture any explosives nor ammunition of any kind including cluster ammunitions or anti-personnel land mines or nuclear weapons or components for such munitions.
The business also does not customize any delivery systems for such munitions. Moving on to the next segment, which is information technology and L&T Technology Services, which comprises of 2 listed subsidiaries, LTI, Mindtree and LTTS. The revenues of this segment at INR 108 billion in Q1 FY '24 registers a top quarter growth of 14% Y-o-Y. Despite ongoing macroeconomic concerns, the deal pipeline for the segment is healthy and a good visibility across all the subsegments that both the companies have.
The negative variance in the EBITDA margin in Q1 FY '24 vis-a-vis the corresponding period of the previous year is largely attributed to increased talent acquisition and retention costs as both the companies in the segment are listed entities, the detailed fact sheets are available in the public domain. Now we move on to Financial Services segment. Here again, L&T Finance Holdings is a listed subsidiary, and the detailed results are available in the public domain.
Q1 rolled around strong retail disbursements, lower credit cost, improved asset quality and a rundown on the wholesale book.
The balance sheet is strong on the back of adequate provision coverage ratios and in-built macro prudential buffers. Financial Services segment achieved 82% utilization of its loan book in June 23 well ahead of the [indiscernible] '26 targets. The retail book growth, asset quality and the return on assets are highly satisfactory. And finally, sufficient capital in the balance sheet is available to pursue growth in the medium term. The stage is set for this business to truly achieve fintech at scale.
Moving to the Development Projects segment. This segment includes the power development business that comprises of Nava Power as 1,400 megawatt coal-based plant in Punjab and Hyderabad Metro. Let me mention here that the profit consolidation for in infrastructure development projects, which is a joint venture that we do at PAT level has been discontinued from Q4 FY '23 post L&T signing the definitive agreement for the entire sale of stake.
The investment in the L&T IDPL joint venture is classified as held for sale. Coming back to the remaining 2 assets in the segment, which is Nava Power and [ Heidabet ] Metro, the majority of revenues in this segment is contributed by NavaPower. Improved ridership aids the revenue growth in Metro. Now moreover, there was some impact of lower power demand in the Q1 of current year due to a moderate summer -- but having said this, the company is doing quite well on the back of a record plant availability factor and plant load factors.
Coming to Hyderabad Metro, some statistics, the average metro ridership has improved from 25,000 passengers a day in Q1 FY '23 to 22,000 passengers per day in Q1 FY '24. Our average ridership in Q4 FY '23, that is Jan to March '23 was 408,000 passengers a day. The ridership in the month of June 23 at 445,000 passengers per day was higher than the Q1 FY '24 average. As I mentioned earlier, the ridership crossed per day crossed the 500,000 mark on July 3 and touched a record high of 536,000 yesterday. The higher segment margin in Q1 FY '24 is primarily due to the improved metro performance and consolidation of Nava profits.
The metro at a PAT level, we did consolidate a loss of INR 3.35 billion in Q1 FY '24 vis-a-vis a loss of INR 3.25 billion in Q1 FY '23. Primarily due to a higher interest cost despite the improvement in daily ridership. Moving on to the last segment, that is others. This segment comprises reality, industrial valves, construction equipment and mining machinery Robert Posing machinery and a residual part of the Smart World Communication business that was transferred to [indiscernible]
The Q1 revenue growth of 50% over the corresponding quarter of the previous year is led by reality and construction and equipment and mining machinery. The margin for this segment during the quarter is largely in line with the corresponding quarter of the previous year. Coming to the last part of my presentation, the outlook. India's economic growth continues to display encouraging resilience despite the continuing global chaos.
Prudent fiscal and monetary policy management from the government and RBI, respectively, has resulted in the partial decoupling of India growth story with the rest of the world. Encouraging real GDP growth with stable inflation as well as manageable internal and external balances can be expected in the near to medium term. Besides the spend in basic infrastructure, a higher government CapEx allocation in the green economy, including clean and renewable energy will provide the necessary impetus to investments in energy transition and larger infrastructure projects.
Outside India, as I mentioned earlier, prospects in GCC countries appear healthy. Major oil producing nations in the GCC are continuing to invest in oil and gas, industrialization and energy transition initiatives that augur well for the company's projects business. In the backdrop of this mix sentiment, the company will continue to pursue its planned trajectory of profitable and return accretive growth. I would like to emphasize that the focus will remain on cash generation judicious capital allocation and distribution of cash to shareholders on a regular basis.
The company has a robust startup prospects pipeline in the medium and is confident of sustaining its growth momentum by utilizing the emerging opportunities with the overarching aim of improving shareholder value on a sustainable basis. Finally, I would like to comment on our guidances for FY '24 before we jump into Q&A. On order inflows and revenue, we are indeed off to a good start in Q1, both in terms of orders secured and the revenue that we have printed. We're confident, we remain confident of achieving can inflow growth of 10% to 12% and a revenue growth of 12% to 15% for the year FY '24. So our guidance on both these parameters remain unchanged. And in fact, as we enter into Q4 -- Q2 FY '24, we are also reasonably well placed in some large orders across intra energy and the defense sectors. On margins, that is EBITDA margin since our progress on margins in the product and manufacturing portfolio in Q1 FY '24 is along the expected path, our guidance for 9% in this segment for the full year FY '24 remains unchanged.
As you may recall, when we were summarizing the performance of FY '23, we also indicated that the margins of this particular projects and Manufacturing segment for the first 2 quarters will be a little subdued considering a substantial completion of the legacy jobs that we secured prior to COVID during COVID and post that, I think the mix of the recently awarded jobs will take a higher share. So the subdued margins is along with the expected estimates that we had already given. On working capital, we would maintain the NWC to revenue guidance of 16% to 18% band for the current year.
Our integrated annual report for FY '23 is published, and we have also captured the key ESG parameters as part of [indiscernible] to this presentation. and have a look at the progress that we have done in FY '23. We intend scheduling a separate ESG call for our stakeholders sometime soon, where we will explain in detail our ESG plans and the progress on various parameters. Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for this patient hearing. We can now get into Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Mohit Kumar from ICICI Securities.
Congratulations on a very, very good quarter and the decision to reward the shareholders. My first question is on the clarification does the current quarter includes high-speed rail order, which we announced on second of July?
So the orders in the infrastructure segment includes the C3 order as you may have aware, this bid happened in 11th of April, early April 2023. And as part of the process, the letter of award was formally issued, but before June itself, we had completed the relevant documentation. And incidentally, since we are executing the C4 package, I also would to say that the preliminary work for the C3 package also has started.
The guidance despite having a very good quarter, our revenue growth and order inflow for the balance of the year, it looks like they are in the single digit below 10% is there a reason to not revise the guidance given that the prospects are good, order book is at a high.
So Mohit, I think when we -- if you recall, when we did our earnings call for Q3 FY '23 in January, we still had a similar question. And as you know that this year, we all are aware that -- the first 3 quarters for India could be really busy. And there is always a chance because of the impending general elections, although the dates have not been announced. So we have to be mindful of that.
So we are taking into account this aspect, although Q1 order inflow has been reasonably robust. But as you know, the ordering momentum can be a little lumpy in [indiscernible] so let's see as we get into Q2, Q3, I think we'll have a better visibility to talk about revising the guidance so as far as order inflows are concerned, we will still maintain that 10% to 12% trajectory. On the revenue execution part, we had given a guidance of 12% to 15% and I'm happy to say that the Q1 revenue growth has been quite, I would say, reasonably good.
But Q2, as far as the project is concerned, can have some impact because of the seasonal monsoon and all so I think in terms of -- but definitely Q2 will definitely at least give us a clear visibility in terms of the execution momentum that will flow into Q3, Q4 maybe at that point of time, we can be a little more, I would say, we can have a better comfort on seeing whether we possibly can touch the on the higher side of the revenue guidance. But at this stage, it is premature to conclude. So we still maintain the band of 12 to 15.
Understood. And my second question is on the margins. The core margin were Y-o-Y were weak. So does this legacy EPC projects, do you think -- when do you think the impact of the legacy projects still were of -- and are these orders before FY '21?
So I think that once again, this is -- we had articulated quite in detail when we closed FY '23 in the month of May when we gave the guidance of 9% for projects and manufacturing with a clear qualifier that the first 6 months could be a little subdued on the back of a major part of the jobs that we have secured until 2021, which is COVID year and thereafter, the jobs when they went into execution, they had -- they both additional brunt of higher commodity prices.
So a major part of these jobs should get completed in the first half or possibly definitely by Q3 of the current year. And it is basis this construct that we have given a guidance of 9% for the full year with a clear view that the first 6 months for Intra could be a little subdued.
Next question is from the line of Ashi Shah from JM Financial Limited.
My first question is on the mention of the commercial property sale during the quarter, which you mentioned in your press release, could you just elaborate a bit on that, sir?
This is -- I mean, as part of the real estate, as you are aware, our realty business comprises of both commercial and residential real estate so in Q1, we completed the sale of commercial real estate in Bombay that gave us almost around INR 80 crores of profits, I would say, that is included in the segment result of the others segment.
And what could be the revenue corresponding to this, if you can add?
Around INR 120 crores.
Okay. Sure. My second question is on the Hyderabad Metro. So.
Once again, that is INR 200 crores, please. INR 200 crores is the revenue and INR 80 crores is the segment result. Sure. No.
Sir, also on the Adama Metro can. So could you elaborate on how much support we have received so far? And -- what is the view on the outlook of getting maybe INR 2,000 crores over the period of 3 years. So are we on track on the revenue or.
Okay. So in FY '23, we had received the government assistance of INR 100 crores. In Q1 current year, we received another INR 150 crores. And as we speak in the month of July, we have received another INR 300 crores. So in all aggregate, we have received INR 550 crores still date, and we expect to possibly get another INR 450 crores, which is the first installment of INR 1,000 crores very shortly.
So it is -- I would say it has been building our overall construct that INR 1,000 crores each of the years in FY '24, '25 FY '23 is what got spilled over, but we do expect the government to help us out disbursing the monies at this honest.
So the line for the partners have been dropped. The next question is from the line of Puneet Gulati from HSBC.
So to speak for the handset.
Can you hear me now?
Yes, please. Go ahead,.
Yes. So congratulations on great numbers. Can you elaborate a bit more on what's driving this execution strength? Is it just the sheer number of projects that you're doing has gone up or the scale has gone up -- what's driving this human growth in revenue?
So Puneet, it's a combination of all the statements that you made. I think the size of the order book and the scale of the projects that we have secured over the last 2 years in terms of larger project outlays, larger project bids. So in terms of the size of the projects and the scale of the project has helped us to achieve this kind of revenue execution momentum and that is what is helping us out.
And as you may be aware, we are also investing a lot on, I would say, construction equipment or project equipments that will enable us to speed up the execution momentum.
Okay. Okay. That's helpful. And secondly, if you can comment a bit more on the competitive intensity in the Middle East. That seems to be a very big market for you. You've shown among growth in the pipeline as well and prospects. Some color there would be very useful.
So Middle East, as we see it now, I guess, it would be a combination of largely the way we see is in hydrocarbon segment. And the next segment that we are seeing plenty of opportunities in sequence of size or opportunities would be the renewables part. And thirdly, other industrial sectors like minerals and metals to the extent. There are -- some of these core industries being set up in that part of the world. But hydrocarbons and renewables are clearly seen as a and an addressable opportunity in the near to medium term.
And as far as competitive intensity is concerned, I guess, yes, the size of the CapEx spend that we are witnessing in some of the countries in Middle East is so large that the few of the companies that have been selected as an approved bidder, I think the size of the kick is so large that each 1 will probably get a fair share.
Okay. So there shouldn't be any risk on the model side at all here at least?
In terms of prospects, I would say that hydrocarbons renewables are a good medium-term prospects in terms of newer orders I wouldn't dare to comment upon whether the prospects will continue to sustain to 3 years down the line. But definitely, in the next 9 months to 12 months, the prospects are addressable, are visible -- it all depends on how much of the share of those prospects gets converted into orders for L&T.
And margins, this 10% kind of margin is -- should be base case here? Or can they go up as well?
So Puneet, whereas it will be inappropriate for me to address the margins for orders that we are yet to secure. But definitely, the Hydrocarbon segment, the business has reported, I would say, consistently stable margins over the last 2 to 3 years. I mean, set aside quarterly because quarterly can be a function of the progress of jobs at various stages.
But definitely, depending on successful project execution, I don't see a reason any major change in the margins profile that hydrocarbons has been demonstrating over the last 1.5 to 2 years.
Next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities.
Congratulations on a great quarter. So first question is on the statement said that the prospect pipeline has been and large part of the last 5 orders from railways and other segments. So what we are seeing is that on the capital goods we order somewhere in hitting the capacity constraint. So we see the coming quarters, there could be some challenges on the execution side because of shortage of equipment.
And you can highlight in this segment out you have seen this kind of buildup happening where the capacity inflation has been gone up from the supply side.
So Parikshit, while I was giving you the order prospects pipeline where I also gave a split of the prospect pipeline for Infrastructure segment for the balance 9 months. I also gave you a breakup ranging between transportation infrastructure, which is the highest to minerals and metals at 6%, which is the lowest across the entire 5 or 6 subsegments that we have.
One second, I wish to reiterate here that the actual set of opportunities that could come in these segments could be possibly even more higher, but we are mindful of the fact that today, the Infrastructure segment itself is having almost a 3 trillion order book for execution. So we are targeting the projects where we have the capacity to execute and also the competition intensity for such kind of a shared lower.
My question was more on the securing equipment part, like the PNG project if there could be potential shortage of our farmers with [indiscernible] the same way across your order got shortage in other segments. Are you seeing any trends where?
Okay. So Parikshit, I'm sorry to interrupt you. As it stands now, because if you see the run up of growth in the Infrastructure segment in revenues also, that doesn't seem to suggest that is there any shortage of equipment for execution or materials. So I guess, at this juncture, I promise you to comment that there is a possibility of infrastructure equipment getting into an obstacle for execution.
Okay. My second question is on IDP now. So saying on what stage we are in terms of closures and most likely when we get approval, there's money coming in.
So at this juncture, as you may be aware, IDPL is a holding company that has 8 operating road assets and 1 transmission line asset. The approvals from agencies like NHI, Ministry of Road and Surface Transport and other customers is in the progress the target is to try to complete it in Q2, but there is a possibility it can slip to Q3.
Last question on real estate. I think F&F has some time back at that they're targeting to be top 5 players and INR 10,000 crores is a target for presales by FY '25. So only the same raise number for Q1 FY '23 Q1 FY '24 on the realistic basis.
So at this juncture, Parikshit, the way we are looking at is, obviously, L&T has captive land parcels across Pavi, Navi Mumbai, Chennai, Bangalore and one parcel in North India as well. So all of this has a potential to develop almost 12 million of residential and 15 million of commercial property development. So this is the overall objective of the reality business that we have in the next 2 to 3 years, I would say.
[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Renu Baid from ice Securities.
Yes, and for the opportunity nor.
Renu your sounding distance on the phone.
My question is any update on the divestment of Nabha Power. And if you can also share what is the value of cash and liquid investments on the paired books at the end of the first half.
Okay. So at this juncture, Renu, it is like this that we don't have, I would say, a serious interest in terms of [ Novo ]power, but we continue to operate the asset. As I mentioned earlier, the asset is doing very well in terms of the -- one of the best performing thermal power plants with a total PLF upwards of 85-odd percent. So it's doing quite well. Coming to the second question, the total investable surplus or what you call as cash, which is lying -- which can be considered for CapEx or which can be considered for even the divestment -- sorry, buyback or so.
At a stand-alone level, we can assume around INR 25,000 crores at a group level, it could be around INR 35,000 crores to INR 40,000 crores because INR 10,000 crores is the total amount of cash, which the ITT companies have. And the rest -- you cannot take [indiscernible] balance as investable surplus. So I would say 25% plus around 35 to 40 is the total group cash that we have.
Got it. And can you share how the sectors or the service or the depot during the quarter?
Sorry, I didn't get you.
The INR 700 crores order, which was the leakage from the backlog -- it is.
Largely in the B&F real estate sector, it was old order that was not moving and that was almost INR 1,000 crores or so. There is a combination of various orders after the completion is no longer a request, so they get deleted.
Next question is from the line of Sumit Kishore from Axis Capital Limited.
My first question is on hydrocarbon prospects, which have increased sharply. Could you give some color on what is driving this increase, whether it is onshore, offshore hydrocarbons overseas domestic and so on?
I think I gave you the breakup of hydrocarbons, both over domestic and overseas. So the total hydrocarbon prospects is at INR 3.47 trillion, okay? And you can take offshore at around INR 1 trillion onshore at IDR 2.3 trillion average. The rest is a combination. I think you can take it that quick. INR 1 trillion as offshore and INR 2.5 trillion as onshore.
Got it. The second question is while the defense prospects for the balance fiscal seem to have gone down as included in that number for heavy engineering, defense and green energy EPC. But I mean, clearly, what we are reading in terms of your press releases, on LNT code developing AIP technology with DRDO, the prospect of 75 even the lightweight tanks that we are reading about over what time frame? And how large can these opportunities be in defense, if you could give some color?
So the -- okay. So let me tell you the order prospects for defense that we have for the balance 9 months, what we believe as tenders will get floated and awards may get announced is aggregating to around [indiscernible] crores. This was actually INR 24,000 crores Q1 last year. But that doesn't mean that the prospects have come down. We are talking of what we believe are addressable opportunities that will come up for bids and get awarded.
So we are really focusing on that. So needless to say, the P75, all those bids are not included in the current product prospects pipeline.
Yes. But can you elaborate on like the conversion of submarines to AIP, the [indiscernible] class? What could be the size of those opportunities for L&T given that you have codeveloped IP with DRD?
Yes. It would be premise for me to give a value aspect to it, Sumit, because at the end of the day, these are jointly developed the scope, how much of L&T gets it or how much goes to be the public sector shipyards. I think at this juncture may not be appropriate for me to comment.
Sure. And finally, on electrolyzers, would you be able to roll out your utility scale electrolyzer this year from Hazira? Or is it going to spill over into next financial year? What is the scale of setup that you're doing for electrolyzers?
So this has been filed in the stock exchange today for the benefit of all. So L&T Electrolysis Limited as a subsidiary has been incorporated and the Board has approved an overall investment of around INR 500-odd crores to set up this [indiscernible] factory. And this is going to happen in Hazira in our heavy engineering campus and we expect the factory to get commissioned possibly in the next 9 months or so.
What is the capacity?
It will catch up to electrolysis sizes up to 4 megawatts.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Amit Mahawar from UBS Group.
Yes, I just have a quick question on the ROE trajectory. Now that buyback is already works, do you think FY '26 corridor for ROE of 18%, can see an upside risk, especially given next 2 years, the execution and margin ramp up in core that we can see. So any color there?
So Amit, I think I have mentioned the bridge of 12% to 18%, okay? So the capital allocation part is what is now to the buyback and higher amount of dividends, which will enable us to improve by 150 to 200 basis points. The second and more important thing is on the concessions part of our business, which is essentially L&T Metro. Hopefully, I think it should come back on track on the timely receipt of the state government assistance and also the monetization so that definitely the next 2 to 2.5 years, I think -- I mean, we will be seeing a good amount of progress.
We expect a good amount of progress in terms of metro operations becoming. Turning around the corner at least in the next 2 to 3 years. And as far as the projects and manufacturing business is concerned, I guess, with the kind of order book we have and the opportunities that we are looking at both India and Middle East will sustain itself into improved margins from at least '24, '25 onwards. But the more important part in terms of the value capture in the projects and manufacturing portfolio, Sumit, would be the working capital intensity that we are bringing it down from almost 23% in that segment to almost 18% now.
Okay. Got it. And sir, second, a quick question on Middle East, particularly Saudi we seem to be getting a lot of business attention there. Will we -- that entail significant investments in that region for us? And how do you see the scenario vis-a-vis what we saw 10 years ago when there were a lot of competitive scenarios impacting profitability. So how do you impart more comfort on that region as far as our strategy is concerned.
So as far as Altis concerned, the 2 opportunities that we are targeting, I would say, in terms of priority or aggregate size, obviously, is hydrocarbons and secondly is the renewables part as part of the new city development. Over a period of time, I guess the amount of opportunities into other sectors on our -- besides renewables, including water and all, will shape up. The Kingdom is going through, I would say, a big transformation in terms of approach to both investment and mindsets, and this is something quite favorable.
Competitive intensity, I would say, as far as hydrocarbon is concerned, is with a select few set of bidders. And as I mentioned in response to an earlier question on the same subject, I think the size of the CapEx is so big in terms of next 12 to 18 months, I guess every one of us will have a fair share of the size of the pipe.
Next question is from the line of Aditya Mongia from Kotak Securities.
Congratulations for a good set of numbers. I limited it to one question, which is on hydrocarbons, probably proving you slightly more on this one. See this almost trebling of pipeline that you have seen for a 9-month basis. Is this something that can sustain the Street still rupee numbers? Or do you see the case of INR 1 trillion number coming back at some point of time in the future.
If you can give me some more color on the geographies and areas where investments are happening. It will just give us more sense on the sustainability of this number?
So Aditya, I guess you are right to say that the hydrocarbon pipeline prospects itself at $3 trillion this time around. We are only looking at the prospects for the next 9 months. It would be a little speculative for me to comment as to in June '24, whether the prospect pipeline will be equal to those more than this. But definitely, in the next 12 months, the opportunities that we are looking at [indiscernible] more so from repair is quite significant. Besides KSA, there are 1 or 2 other countries in the MENA region, GCC region, where we do see favorable opportunities to come our way.
Maybe I'll just kind of ask a little question over here, not a new one. Your subsidiaries in KSA have seen a lot of volatility in the top line. I don't know whether that is indicative of the way things happen but what is changing at this point of time for us to be believing that the change in mindset over there is something that can lead to medium-term gains for us, which are more sustainable?
So when you talk about medium-term gains, I'm sure you're referring to margins. I did mention that hydrocarbons margins has been consistently in that 9% to 10% band over the last 2 years or so. And with the kind of order book that we have across both India and outside India, I don't see any reason for us to comment upon whether there would be a significant upturn in margins or a downturn.
The only fact I would like to put across here is -- we have to be mindful that the execution has to be in line with the planned time lines. If that happens, I guess, that will be something our credibility in the system, which we have already done. And hence, that's one of the few important reason that L&T has been getting consistently large orders from this part of the world and so far of hydrocarbon is concerned because of the favorable experience that the customer has seen while L&T has executed the jobs in the recent past.
Next question is from the line of Ashwani Sharma from ICICI Securities.
And congratulations to the entire entity for a strong performance. Just a quick one. So we have exceedingly done really well in Saudi over the years. We were #1 international contractors in [indiscernible] so do you think that we can replicate this success in other GCC geographies? Is there a strategy to capture in FY '24 or '25?
So Ashwani, I guess, as a contractor, we are approved in -- we are an approved or, I would say, a selected bidder or accredited bidder in most of the major customers across the various countries in the Middle East and the MENA region. So today, as we see it, it is possibly Saudi and 1 or 2 opportunities outside of Saudi where we are seeing a sizable amount of business traction that can happen.
But we would also be mindful that you should have each and every country in Middle East talking about projected jobs, not only when those jobs are addressed, then we can quote. So today, we are seeing is the maximum amount of opportunities coming from KSA.
Okay. And the last one and second, the quick one. On the offshore wind business, which you have recently formed, I wanted to understand what kind of opportunities over there you see.
We are still working on offshore wind is -- obviously is for us, it is a natural extension of our offshore hydrocarbons competencies that we are going to leverage upon. At this juncture, we are looking at technology because that also requires some amount of technology inputs for us to position ourselves like the way we are now putting across to put up this electro laser plant for catering to sizes up to 4-megawatt electrolysis.
Similarly, for offshore wind also, we are looking to increase our capabilities out there, leveraging our offshore hydrocarbon competencies that we have.
Next question is from the line of Deepa Christian from Macquarie. Deepak your voice is breaking. The next question is from the line of Ankita Shah from Elara Capital.
So given the very strong prospect pipeline that we have and you are expecting a good momentum in flows going forward. So what is the kind of capacity expansion in terms of CapEx that you're looking at?
CapEx is a function of the type of orders that we get Ankita for very large orders like, for example, when we talk about C3, C4 and all these coastal road packages, the various project-specific CapEx that we have to take is actually built into the project bid cost itself. Having said this, it would be appropriate for me to comment given the fact that we are having such large jobs and the possibility of getting rather size jobs, the CapEx requirements in this segment of projects and manufacturing could range between average between INR 3,000 crores to INR 4,000 crores each year.
And you all the very best and any congratulations on the strong performance.
The next question is from the line of Bharanidhar Vijayakumar from Spark Capital.
It's little feeble. I think you have to come closer to the handset,.
Okay. Is it better now?
Yes, okay. I can hear you. Go ahead.
We have demonetization pipeline, Hyderabad Metro, about 18.5 million square feet. What is the status? When are we likely to receive money, how much in FY '24 and '25.
So okay, 18.5 million square feet is the total TOD rights that we have. The monetization is not for the entire 18 Against 18.5%, we have developed around 1.5 million square feet of POD, which we expect to monetize. Hopefully, we should see some of that happening in the current year. We had some.
Yes, we had some target of number to be received from POD per year. How much would it be?
So the target, Bernie is this we have mentioned earlier also that the TOD monetization will fetch the Metro SPV around INR 2,000 crores in terms of the total cash that they'll be able to collect against the developed DOD parcels. And this will -- this cash will enable us to bring down the debt -- so INR 2,000 crores is the estimate that we are considering for DoD monetization. And in terms of the time lines, should happen -- some part of that should happen in the current year itself or a major part. But it's a -- we are progressing satisfactorily on that. Let us see how it shapes out in the current year.
Okay. Second question on the power T&D prospects, we see government of India trying to push renewable auctions and a lot of auctions have happened. Though we are not a big player in India. Do we see good inflow from this segment this year?
Okay. So the share of power T&D in infrastructure, the order prospects that we have for infrastructure at [indiscernible] and the share of Power T&D is almost 19% of that. And it is equally split. In fact, it is tilted more towards almost 55% is international, and the balance, 45%, is domestic.
Yes. No, I was asking about the renewable portion there. Would we be expecting good inflow there given Indian renewable auctions are increasing?
The international portion consists largely renewable. The domestic is all the classic traditional power transmission distribution projects, including substations and so on.
Okay. Got the answer, sir. All the.
Next question is from the line of Sanjay Kumar from to Financial.
So on solar, I understand we don't want to do solar panel manufacturing because commodity and 50 gigawatt capacity coming through PLI. But does that mean we lose out to integrated developers, like say, Tata what would be our market share in solar EPC? It looks like we are not focusing on solar in India at all.
So we have done a lot of solar renewable projects in the recent past -- in the past in India, we are now focusing more of such opportunities outside of India it doesn't mean that we are not taking those kind of opportunities. In response to the earlier gentlemen's question, as I said, there are some solar renewable prospects in India also. But our focus is to take more of such projects outside India. The more important point is that the India solar projects that we are looking at now in terms of size and scale, it's a little smaller, whereas the overseas solar projects are opportunities that have begun scale.
Okay. Okay. Got it. And second, can you talk about the orders in U.S. because U.S. is spending a lot on construction, which we are seeing in jobs data and even project announcements. But for us, U.S. and Europe country grew 15% to inflows in revenue, but less than 1% to backlog for the last 3 years. So it seems to be a short cycle orders. So are we focusing there because what kind of orders are we in?
So Sanjay, what you see in U.S. and all, they are all reflecting nothing but the revenues of TTS portfolio, which has also put in order inflow. So as a EPC contractor, our order prospects pipeline currently does not undress any Western World orders at this juncture.
Okay. And on high-tech manufacturing, selling?
Having said this, I mean there are obviously opportunities. When you talk about making complex pieces of equipment, largely for the petrochemical sector, so that's more of an export job, which our heavy engineering does. But outside of that, U.S. infrastructure or European infrastructure, they are largely restricted to the respective contractors of those regions only.
And on it, are we looking at semiconductors or small modular reactors for nuclear.
Semiconductors at this juncture, no comments as far as modular reactors are there. We are working, but it's a little premature for me to comment in detail.
As there are no further questions, I now hand the conference over to Mr. P. Ramakrishnan for closing comments.
So thank you all for taking your time to attend this call. I hope all the queries have been answered. In case if you have any further clarifications, please feel free to reach out to me or my colleague, Harish. We will be there to clarify. Thank you. Thanks, once again.
Thank you very much. On behalf of Larsen and Toubro Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.