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LIC Housing Finance Ltd
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Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the LIC Housing Finance Q2 FY '23 Investor Conference Call hosted by Axis Capital Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Praveen Agarwal from Axis Capital. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, Lizan. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the earnings call of LIC Housing. From the management team, we have Mr. Y. Viswanatha Gowd, MD and CEO; and Mr. Sudipto Sil, CFO, to take us through the key highlights of the results. I would request Mr. Gowd to take us through the highlights, post which we'll open the floor for Q&A. Over to you, Mr. Gowd.
Thank you, Praveen. Very good morning to all of you. I extend hearty welcome to all of you for the post-earnings conference call of our LIC Housing Finance Limited. As you are aware, LIC HFL declared its Q2 FY '23 results yesterday. I have with me our COO, Mr. Ashwani Ghai and also our Sudipto Sil, CFO.
Prior to detailing the operational aspects, I would like to highlight that in the current fiscal year, RBI had increased the repo rate by 190 bps in 4 consecutive MPC meetings in line with the monitory policy tightening across the world due to inflationary pressure. Consequently, the company also raised its LHPLR by 175 basis points in the current fiscal year till date.
The key highlights of the quarterly results are as follows: Total revenue from operations were INR 5,086 crores as against INR 4,708 crores for the corresponding quarter of the previous year, it is up by 8%. Outstanding loan portfolio stood at INR 262,336 crores against INR 237,660 crores as on 30 September 2021, reflecting a growth of 10%, out of which individual home loan portfolio stood at INR 216,771 crores as against INR 188,348 crores. It is up by 15%, and now it comprises around 83% of the total portfolio.
Total disbursements for the quarter were INR 16,786 crores as against INR 16,110 crores, it is up by 4%. Out of that, the disbursement in the individual home loans were INR 14,300 crores as against INR 14,330 crores disbursements. And then disbursements in the project loans were INR 407 crore against INR 353 crore for the same period previous year. It is up by 15%. Disbursement for the quarter has been stable, and also there has been sequential improvement in the same. Housing demand continues to be fairly strong as we enter into festive season and into the second half of the year, disbursements in the homegrown segment appears to be stable. The success of our HomY app has helped our company to improve penetration in the young homebuyer segment. Sanctions through HomY app during Q2 FY '23 were INR 9,159 crores.
Net interest income stood at INR 1,163 crores as against INR 1,173 crores for the same period in the previous year. Net interest margin for the Q2 FY '23 stood at 1.8% as against 2% for Q2 of FY '22. There has been a sharp decline in the NIM sequentially from Q1. As a conscious exercise, we have been retaining retail assets for better portfolio growth, especially on increasing rate environment. Consequent to that, there has been some impact on modification loss to the extent of about INR 275 crores and has dented the NIMs for the quarter and also due to some lags in transmission of higher rates on the portfolio. Also with 115 basis points of repricing effective an entire portfolio from 1st October 2022, there is likely to be significant increase in the interest income in the current quarters.
Profit before tax for the quarter was at INR 378.85 crores as against INR 308.95 crores in Q2 of FY '22, a growth of 23%. Profit after tax for the quarter stood at 304.97 crore as against INR 247.86 crore for the same period previous year, with a growth of 23%. In terms of asset quality, the Stage 3 exposure at default as on 30th September 2022, stood at 4.9% as against 5.14% as on September 30, 2021.
Total provisions as on 30 September 2022 stood at INR 6521.89 crore, reflecting a provisioning covering of 44% as against 43% as on 30 September 2021. This includes INR 535.50 crore for COVID-19-related provisions. ECL provision for assets we categorized as NPA as per RBI notification dated 12 November 2021 is INR 118.37 crores. There has been some improvement in retail assets but it is over INR 700 crores across IHL, NHI and NHC. However, there is increase in NPA in the project by INR 540 crores. Overall, there is a decrease in Stage 3 sequentially.
Also, during the quarter, we have taken a technical write-off of INR 191 crore in retail asset category. On the funding side, we witnessed an increase in cost of funds, which were 7.1% as compared to 6.76% as of 30 September 2021, attributable to consecutive repo rate hikes of 90 basis points by RBI in Q1 '23 and 100 basis points in Q2 '23. Incremental cost of funds also have inched up and stood at 6.89% for Q2 FY '23.
With this brief introduction, I would like to invite you for your queries. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Nuvama.
Sir, why did margins declined so sharply, you said as a conscious decision to retain retail assets and also some lags? So could you explain in detail what led to such a sharp margin decline? Because I thought in the last call, we had guided to stable, to maybe slightly better margins. So that is my first question.
Okay. Yes, please continue.
Yes. My second question is that the leverage ratio is on the higher side. Now it's across 10, not on an average on a total asset basis. So any thoughts on that on equity raise? And the third is on NPL. So NPLs stay higher than the 4Q levels and they have inched up even in third quarter. So any thoughts on that?
This is Sudipto here. Of course, we just discussed about in the opening remarks, our MD mentioned about the retention, et cetera. As far as the margin is concerned, yes, obviously, there has been a sharp decline in Q2 as compared to Q1 and also year-on-year. What was mentioned in the opening remark is that -- and if you recollect in the previous calls, we have said that we are trying to retain assets, especially the high-quality retail assets we are attempting as a conscious strategy to retain those assets, especially in an increasing rate environment. And this also was as a conscious effort to move those assets from the fixed rate interest regime to the floating rate interest regime. And that is exactly the reason why this has happened.
There has been obviously an upfront discount or reduction in interest rate that was offered to those customers because they were basically very high-quality customers, almost like a 0 NPA customers. But the overall thought there is to ensure that we are able to retain those customers with a long residual life in a floating related environment. And if you actually look at the fact after the retention was done, we had also increased the interest rates on the PLR several times to the tune of almost 175 basis points in the last 4 months or so. So that is the reason why this impact of INR 275 crores, which we had discussed in the beginning of the call. That is the reason why this has to be done as per the accounting treatment under the IndAS.
Got it. But in these assets...
Yes, for the full year FY '23, we're very confident that we can deliver an improved our FY '22 margins.
Okay. Got it. But this was like a proactive decision or there were actually a lot of prepayments or takeovers and that's why you choose this?
See it is a combination of both. We are in a competitive industry, and there will always be competitive pressures and people who would like to move out. So it is actually a conscious effort, a conscious decision taken that, yes, we need to retain good quality, high-quality customers with very good CIBIL scores. And also we have to ensure that they are not in a fixed rate regime because in an interest rate environment, which is increasing, a fixed rate regime is actually not conducive for the overall annum. So it's actually a decision taken on good accounts. And it is actually a decision which is taken keeping the next several years in my -- not only 1 quarter.
Got it. And now is all the conversion fully done? Or you could see some more in the third quarter or so?
Yes, unlikely, unlikely. Very unlikely.
Okay. And on NPL and leverage?
Leverage, I think we are comfortable. In fact, if you look at the Tier 1 and especially with the skill-based regulation kicking in, the requirement of Tier 1 actually is lesser than the earlier NHB regime, which used to be around 10%. Now the Tier 1 has been -- requirement has been reduced to 9%. But overall, if you look at the leverage, it is still within the -- I mean, substantially within the range of the allowable limit. It is about a little less than 10%, 9-point-something.
Okay. And NPL? And also the technical write-off, what was that on and it's through the P&L. Is it or it's...
See, actually, the -- there has been some improvement in the last call. We had said that there will be an improvement on the recovery. It was visible if you recollect. And within the quarter itself, we have been able to, I mean, improve the collections and reduce the NPLs by almost INR 800 crores, and that has happened through on-ground collection. There has been some deterioration in the asset quality in the project loan side. And also the percentage is getting further distorted because the outstanding loan in the project loan category has also come down sequentially by almost 5%, which on that base is quite significant.
Pertaining to your other query on the technical write-off. Yes, the technical write-offs mean that the on-ground follow-up recovery, we will -- everything continues as it is, but this is -- these are loans which have been more than 3 or 4 years NPA, more than 4 years NPA, and they have been fully provided for. So this is actually done through the P&L as is required in the IndAS accounting system.
The next question is from the line of Dhaval from DSP.
Sir, just on margins, again, so on the yield side, you mentioned that certain loans were converted from fixed to floating. If I look at the data, about 2% is the increase in floating, which translates to about INR 5,000 crores. So what's the impact the NII impact of this fixed to floating? If you could just quantify to get a sense of what's the overall magnitude of change that we've seen in this particular quarter? And the other related point is we -- apart from this impact, we highlighted last quarter that from 1st of July, we had taken 60-odd basis point PLR hike. We do not see the impact in the numbers in this quarter. Any specific reason again?
Yes. Dhaval, actually, if you -- I'll take your second question first. If you actually look at the spreads and you compare it with the average cost of funds, the spreads actually are reflecting a 7 basis points expansion over June numbers. And you know that the cost of fund has increased point-to-point by about 40 basis points. So the translation of 60 basis points on the PLR generally happens with a lag because not all the accounts are eligible for repricing, especially the NPA accounts and accounts which have been freshly disbursed. But apart from that, it has been translated. But that 7 basis point is because there has been a corresponding 40 basis points increase on the cost of funds during the same period.
But certainly, it has got translated. You are probably not getting to see it reflected on the margins I understand that is your query and that has happened because of the reasons that we just discussed because of certain lumpy items in the -- on the negative side of the income has probably weighed down the increases. And also, one has to keep in mind that sequentially, there has been a shrinkage in the project loan portfolio by INR 700 crores. And year-on-year, it has come down by almost INR 2,000 crores. Project loan is the high-yielding portion of our book, which earns us interest -- average interest of around 12% to 13%. So there also, there is an impact of reducing interest income on the project loan, which has led to a reduction in the overall increases on the revenue from operations.
Compared to last year, more than 20% reduction is there in the book size, per loan.
Yes. So that is also having an impact. That is the reason probably why you are not getting to see the increases in the income corresponding to the increases in the splits.
Sir, could you quantify the specific impact of fixed to floating in absolute rupees crores, what's the kind of impact it we have taken?
See I'll tell you, exactly what I'm telling that is precisely what we said, the INR 275 crores is the accounting loss that has been -- or modification loss that has been accounted in this quarter.
Apart from that, any other item?
Yes. Apart from that estimate at about INR 95 crores reduction in the interest income from the project loan side, these are the 2 bigger impacts.
So if we adjust even...
Around INR 360-odd crores.
Yes. So even if you adjust these 2 items, the NII would have been INR 15 crores, INR 30 crores or INR 15 crores, INR 25 crores approximately compared to INR 16 crores, INR 10 crores...
No. It would have been closer to that because there also is the fact that there has been increases on the cost of funds side. The interest income notional gain on the net of the increases in the spread side would have resulted to INR 200 crores, around INR 220 crores is the actual increase in the cost of funds. So INR 20 crores come out from that. So there are small, small pieces which keep on...
Adding impairment of around INR 70 crores.
Yes. So these are small, small INR 20 crores, INR 30 crores from here and there, but majority of these 2 are this INR 275 crores and this INR 95 crores.
Got it. But the point is that only...
That means total will be on INR 450-odd crore will be the difference.
Yes. So the point -- because actually the first part, which you replied saying that actually the spreads have expanded. My point is that even if you adjust for the new cost of fund, the delta -- INR 200 crore delta we saw in the interest expense line, even adjusted for that, the NII is not going up, which is the whole point that there is some other impact which we are not able to figure out. To say that...
These are the only 2 major impacts. Actually, these are the only 2 major impacts.
That's all, nothing else in that.
Obviously, there will be cases of normal retirement of existing loans, which would have been going at higher cost. That also is there. That is a normal behavior. So there is nothing abnormal. So every quarter, there will be this kind of normal repayment led decline in interest income if the high cost loan goes off the book in a normal manner, not in a pre-closure manner.
The next question is from the line of Abhijit Tibrewal from Motilal Oswal.
I mean kind of coming back on the NII and the margins, while you have explained what led to the sequential decline in NII. I mean what we're trying to understand is, I mean, what proportion of this could recur again in the third and the fourth quarter? I mean components of modification loss or this continued reduction in interest income from project loans and a couple of other things that you highlighted a smaller basis, what part of it could again recur in the third and the fourth quarter? Alternatively, if they will not recover. Is there a case for estimating a strong recovery in margins, especially in the fourth quarter of this fiscal year?
Yes. Third quarter only from first of October, there is a pending increase of 115 basis points in the entire pool of loan book. That is around INR 2.5 lakh crores. And that has already kicked in because whatever increases in the PLR, we had done in the second quarter in August and September, that has already translated from 1st of October. So that impact will certainly be a positive accretion to the -- to not only the spread, but also to the net interest income.
So that is one thing which is there to the extent of what is going to be the prepayment on project loans. I mean, I think the project loan portfolio has shrunk to an extent that further exits are very limited, especially the high yielding. And there also, if necessary, we might actually retain good assets and offer a better rate of interest. So that is, again, a commercial call that we will be taking as and when such situation arises. And disbursement growth on the project loan is expected to nullify such shrinkages in Q3 and Q4.
And already in the current quarter, Q3, the -- even the month just now ended also has some good results almost in the collection efficiencies.
Understood. Sir, the other question again is...
It is understood that whenever any such retention is done, it is done on assets where the credit cost is 0 or near 0. So the asset quality is of primary focus that is...
It's there for long.
And the repayment on those assets are substantially long so that any kind of -- these kind of front-ended losses will be more than offset by the continued earnings on those assets on. And especially if it is a conversion from fixed to floating in a high increasing rate scenario.
Understood. Sir, I mean, again, a related question here, I mean, I recall, even last quarter and this quarter, we talked about, I mean, various retention exercises that we've taken. And like you explained for top-notch quality customers where credit costs were very low or 0 like you explained. So is there a significant kind of pressure on customers wanting to take balance transfers. But I mean, primarily because of the interest rates, which are being offered and because of that, we had to do this retention exercise. And like you have another 2% of fixed rate book outstanding. Can we expect that, let's say, over the next 2 quarters, these 2% customers will also be converted into floating rate and would lead to, again, some kind of an NPV impact or a modification loss?
See, actually, the retention of good quality assets is always a desirable proposition rather than allowing the assets to go and consume further expenses to originate further new assets. If you have got a track record tested customer, it is always better to retain such customers. And obviously, everybody will be looking out for such customers. But if you are having those customers within your fold, then you should be able to retain them. So that is a strategy that asset growth has to be given that propriety. But more importantly, it is not an asset growth, which is given priority irrespective of quality. It is an asset growth, which is given priority with the best quality...
And with the long duration also.
And with a significantly long duration, which will continue to earn in future.
Correct. That's what it is.
Understood, sir. Sir, last question is on the asset quality bit. Firstly, if you can share the product-wise gross Page 3 numbers that you shared on different product segments. So home loans, nonhousing individual, commercial and project loans as the first. And secondly, just -- last quarter, you talked about -- I mean, there could be potential slippages from the restructured pool. So firstly, how has experience been on that front in the second quarter. And in the third and the fourth quarter, is there a reason to believe that, I mean, in the restructured pool wherever moratoriums are going to open in the third and the fourth quarter, we could see some slippages from the restructured pool that particularly in the second half of this fiscal year.
Especially in the -- what you call, there is a slight improvement as far as asset quality is concerned. And even compared to earlier quarters, both in -- of course, there is slippage in the earlier quarters even into our developer book. Now retail segment is showing good improvement. And going forward, that should still improve. IHL, if you look at only IHL now in dual housing loan, our Phase 3 level is I think the ratio comes to around 1.68 Stage 3. MHC is around 22.38%. And nonhousing individual, it is at 6.85%. And project is around 42.24% as far as the Stage 3 things are concerned across all products.
Sir, project, did you say 22.24%.
42.24%.
42.24% because books also -- book size has come down. There is shrinkage in the book side over last year [indiscernible] more than 20%. Obviously, even the absolute volume has not gone up in the quantum, but the percentage cost.
And sir -- and finally, what is the expectation of slippages from the restructured pool?
Restructured pool has been behaving slightly, I would say, stable -- and in fact, what we had indicated in the previous call also that there will be recovery on the other side, especially in the retail side, that is something which is working out well. So INR 700 crores of NPA has been reduced on the retail segment, and that has happened across individual home loans as well as the LAP loans, et cetera. So there is certainly some decent improvement.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Mayank Bukrediwala from Citadel.
I harp on the same question that Dhaval was asking. Just want to clarify so that INR 277 crores, the impact of NPV is passed through the interest income line. The question is, if I add that back also and adjust it, and if I adjust the other INR 90 crore also, your loan yields this quarter on a calculated basis appears to be at best flat. While we had taken a 60 bps PLR increase at the very start of the quarter. So just wanted to understand, is there any other impact? Or has there been an issue in passing through the rates? That's question number one.
And the second is you're speaking about sort of retaining customers, the good quality ones. But right now, we are actually at a relatively large differential versus banks at the rates that we offer because banks have ballpark passed 100 to 140 bps rate to their customers, while we have passed close to -- I mean, until the last quarter, 60 bps, but there's still some gap versus what we have passed versus the banks. So why are we seeing this pressure to retain the customers. Ideally, we should have some bank customers move to us because I think our rate is still relatively lesser compared to the bank.
No, Mayank, your second question regarding that, there is a gap. Actually, the data is on the -- it is on the back book. And it is already communicated. The effect will be from 1st of October.
Yes. So the question is you ideal at least until now, you would not have seen any pressure at all because...
No, it doesn't work that way because once there has been a PLR hike announced in public domain, it is very clear that it will get impacted and the dates of impact are also predetermined like 1st October, 1st January, et cetera. The difference, what you said in the beginning of your query -- your first query is that, yes, there is a lag because in our case, we reprice it on a quarterly basis, that is 1st October, 1st January, 1st April and 1st July. So that is one of the reasons why there is a transmission lag that also we -- our MD mentioned at the beginning of the call. But having said that, the fact is that what...
It is like that we took at the very beginning...
60 basis points? Yes, I'm coming to that. The 60 basis points, which has happened in June, that is effective from 1st of July, for which we get a 2-month benefit that it is payable. It is due from July, payable August because that is how the EMIs are done across the country. In the industry, it is on an [arrears] basis. So the INR 200 crores is the impact of that transmission, which should have actually got reflected in the interest income.
For 2 months, which is at least we should see...
There has been a INR 220 crores of interest cost also which has increased during the similar period. So that has got netted off.
INR 240 crores.
INR 240 crores. So that thas more or less netted down. Now your query is that what is the gap between the June NII and the September NII, -- is that right? .
I'm not talking at the NII level. I'm simply talking at the yield level. Just at the yield level, if I just look at the yield and add that INR 277 crores plus INR 90 crores, even then the yield does not really go up when you have taken at least 2 months of 60 bps repricing...
No, it has actually -- Mayank, it has actually come because if you compare the yield on the assets between June and September, there is a 47 basis points increase in the yield -- overall yield. And there's a 40 basis point corresponding increase in the cost of funds. So the yield of 47 basis points has actually come.
Okay. I'll recheck my numbers.
Please check. There is a 47 basis points increase, which has actually happened on the yield side. Point to point basis.
The next question is from the line of Umang Shah from Kotak Mahindra AMC.
Just wanted to confirm, and these have mentioned that FY '23 full year margins should be better than FY '22? -- just wanted to confirm that.
Full year basis.
On a full year basis? Okay. So FY '22, we were 2.3% on a full year basis, FY '23, we should be better then?
2.29%.
Yes, 2.29%. That's correct. Okay. The second question is on what proportion of our loans would be, let's say, partly fixed come floating, if at all, we have such loans?
There will be some very small, maybe around 1% or so.
Okay. So basically about -- fair to assume that about 97%, 98% of our loans will be purely floating in nature?
Correct, correct.
Yes, correct.
Okay. And just last data point. What's our outstanding restructured book now as on end of September?
[INR 3,466 crore].
One point some percent, more than 1%.
And what proportion out of this would still have moratorium on it?
This is the moratorium piece only. This is what -- this is the amount which is not exited from the moratorium NPA. So that is the reason why it is still considered under the OTR pool.
The next question is from the line of Kunal Shah from ICICI Securities.
So first, INR 275 crores in fact is on what quantum? If you can just mention by quantum that will be -- is it on INR 5,000 crores, which is reflected from say, fixed to floating or it is on entire INR 15,000 crores wherein we gave the benefit last time, okay, to retain the customer? And what was the yield reduction, okay, because -- so if you can just first, let me know the quantum?
About INR 9,000 crores.
Sir, on INR 9,000 crores, this is almost equivalent to 3%.
No, it is not 3% because it is actually -- it does not work, I mean, linearly. It is a front-ended calculation depending upon the residual life of the asset which is estimated around 9 years or so.
Yes. So INR 9,000 crores of exposure and INR 275 crores impact, so that maybe in percentage, it clearly translates to 3-odd percent.
No. It is not 3%. It is not 3%. The reduction is not 3% -- it is the NPV of the deduction...
Yes. No, no, I understand that. I'm saying not the reduction. I'm just saying that impact or the modification loss is 3% of the exposure through NPV.
Yes. That way, if you just linearly calculate, yes.
Yes, yes. And what would be -- so when we look at it, now after all the modification and all, how much is the yield that will accrue in future on this portfolio?
Yield in terms of -- the increase in yield you mean to say?
Yes, yes, yes.
Yes. See, just -- your calculation is not correct because first of all, it is not a 3% reduction. That 3% you had actually...
I'm not saying 3% reduction . I'm not saying reduction. That is okay. 3%, I understood. Let us keep it aside now. Now what could be increasing rate?
So that calculation is not correct. So just to give you an indication, whenever from the point when we had started converting these loans from that point-to-point, we have increased our PLR by 175 basis points.
Floating all perfect.
And it has come to floating. These are all floating. And point-to-point rate increase is 175 basis points. Of course, it has not happened in one particular day. It has happened throughout the quarter.
Yes. 60 plus 115. So that 175 bps entirely is passed on by way of the benefit? Or how is it in terms of the reduction? In terms of the benefit to those clients, it's been 175 basis points benefit, which has been passed when they converted?
Yes, yes. Roughly, you can say. Now it has been almost netted off.
Okay. And going forward, this book will now yield 8-odd percent only or it will yield a higher number?
No. Currently, it will yield more than 8%. It will be -- at current level, it will be around 8.5%.
It is the present [indiscernible] floating rate.
As of floating rate, it will be charging 8.5%.
Okay. And then 115 bps impact, which comes through from effect from November that will now, again, not have any implication on this book?
No, I'm considering that also because it is already affected from 1st October.
No, but September results, it might not be there. So is it the...
September result is certainly not there. It is certainly not there.
So will it further come?
Yes, it will come in Q3. The benefit we'll be seeing in Q3.
Okay. Got it. And again, sorry, yes, that's not this thing. And when we look at it in terms of the restructured pool. So last time, the commentary was INR 3,100 crores, out of which INR 2,100 crores was individual and 1,000 was wholesale. So the slippage which has happened of INR 450-odd crores in projects, is it from the restructure or it is outside of this restructured of INR 1,000 crores because that numbers...
Can you please repeat the last portion?
NPA in the project book, you said that was INR 550-odd crores. Now delinquency slippage as INR 540-odd crores. That is from the restructured pool or that is outside of restructured pool?
Yes. Half of it roughly is pertaining to a restructured book.
Okay. So that has already slipped.
Around INR 350 crores is from the restructured book.
INR 350 crores is from the restructured book. So then why actually last time INR 3,100 crores of restructuring and even after the slippage, now what we have disclosed is INR 3,466 crores of restructured pool because there is the movement which has happened and it has moved out of the moratorium and slipped as well, then why there is an increase actually?
No, there is this INR 370 crores has already been removed from the restructured asset -- restructured pool. As of 30th June, it was not there.
Okay. It was not there, but it slipped in this quarter. Maybe it was already out of moratorium last time itself, okay.
Yes. It was not there yet.
Okay. So still there is INR 1,000-odd crores in the individual outside of it. So when we look at it INR 3,466 crores, how much is individual and how much is project?
Just a minute, we'll give the break up to you.
Corporate is around INR 2,093 crores. And the other one INR 1,373 crores.
So last time, corporate was INR 1,000 crores.
No, no, no. INR 1,000 crores has exited.
Because last time, I thought number was INR 3,100 crores out of which you mentioned INR 2,000 crores toward the retail and INR 1,000 toward nonretail.
It was INR 2,200 crores and INR 1,544 crores. What has exited -- what has exited you're right, that number exited.
Okay. Okay. Got it. And any risk on the slippage, which we see from this pool because we have already seen INR 875 crores of slippage from the pool that was outstanding as of March to any further slippage, which we expect from here?
Going forward, I think now we are actually -- we are not facing any such big slippage but maybe very small insignificant amounts will be there.
Now with the passage of time, we are getting some more, I would say, clarity that probably the qualities at least for the time being, is holding up.
Okay. And lastly, in terms of the scale base, would there be a requirement to increase the coverage on Stage 1 and Stage 2 because that's still at 6 -- odd basis points...
That June 6 circular was already operational for housing finance companies for many years. And this June 6 circular only has been incorporated in the skill-based regulation.
Okay. So we can still continue with 6-odd basis points of provisioning on Stage 1.
Correct.
We'll move onto the next question that is from the line of Ashwini Agarwal from Edelweiss Mutual Fund.
What in the financial instrument, which you had written down roughly INR 190 crores, was it fully provided for?
Yes, it was really provided for it is actually not one account. It is almost 950 retail accounts.
Yes.
But if it was fully provided off, then why it had to be written off because it is going to be fully...
As per the IndAS, what actually happens is that you have to pass it through the P&L. It has to be passed through P&L, irrespective of the fact that there has been a provision or not.
But is it in double accounting, but you have already provided.
It is not, in fact, we had also iterated on this internally, but it is not that way. In the IndAS, what actually happens is that, see, there are two different systems of provisioning that happens that is RBI-based, IGAAP based on RBI at norms and the IndAS ECL, which is basically on the probability of the total loss given default and which actually depends upon the value of underlying security. So when we actually move it, for example, a loss asset, which is more than 5 years or more than 51 months, then as per the RBI IRAC norms, it is a fully provided loss asset, right? But as far as the ECL is concerned, it does not necessarily follow that same pattern of provisioning. The provisioning depends upon the PD, the probability of default, LGD that is the loss given default and the value of underlying security, which drives the loss given default. So what actually happens is that when you write off something which is fully provided as per the RBI IRAC norms, you have to also pass an entry to ensure that the entire asset is removed from the ECL provisioning.
Okay. So you mean to say in ECL provisioning terms, it was not fully written off, so you had to do it?
It might have been fully provided. It is not return. It might have been fully provided. But irrespective of that, you still will have to move it to the P&L. And there is no double accounting. We have checked that. But good question.
And secondly, the fixed rate loan, which was -- which was converted in this quarter, when was this generated? Because if I recollect properly, RBI had clearly said that fixed rate loans -- housing loans cannot be generated. So when was the...
Who said that, fixed rate loans today also are being sold. It cannot be fixed-cum-floating. Even there also, there is no such -- it cannot be a step-up kind of a teaser loan. But fixed rate loan today are also being sold. Every company and bank has got a fixed rate loan offering. You can also take a fixed rate loan from any bank or HFC [indiscernible].
When are these loans generated?
They would have been generated about 4, 5 years back.
And sir, another last thing, which I wanted to know, in the rising interest rate scenario, why would a customer typically move from a fixed rate to floating rate?
No, it is not the customer who necessarily has to move us. If the company is facing, I would say -- or I would say, put it this way, if the company feels that we are better off in a rising rate scenario for a longer period of time to move it to a floating rate, that is the initiative that the company will also take.
Okay. And sir, my last question, you had earlier guided for roughly 2.2%, 2.3% NIM for the entire year and 1.2% ROA. Do we still stand by that?
Last year's NIM was 2.29%. A few minutes back, our MD has also said that we will do better than last year's NIM on a full year basis.
And ROI of 1.2%.
2.17% for the half year.
And what about return ratios ROA? Will we be around...
ROA will be also correspondingly increased. We cannot have a ROE and NIM movement without a corresponding ROA improvement. And 115 basis points of repricing is already effected from 1st October. 1st October means that you will get an impact from -- for 2 months during the quarter, November, December. But there has been 175 basis points increase, which will translate to an obvious improvement in the ROA. And as I mentioned just a few minutes back, the spreads have already started reflecting some increase over June.
The next question is from the line of Rikin Shah from Crédit Suisse.
I have three questions. First...
Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Shah. We are not able to hear you clearly.
Just a moment. Am I audible now?
You're audible.
Yes. So looking ahead, if we look at the yield on advances, which as of first half was 8.6%. Now with 115 basis points of increase from 1st October, do you expect that this could probably be increasing by 90, 100 basis points from the current run rate in the second half. Is that a fair understanding? Or that may not play out?
No, I will -- going by the previous, I would say, instance, there are some NPLs on which the yield benefit does not accrue because obviously, you don't collect anything. Secondly, whatever disbursement you do during the quarter that also doesn't get covered under this immediate rate hike. So in the previous one, that 60 basis points has led to a 47 basis point yield improvement. Going by that, you can expect at least an 80 to 90 basis points yield improvement.
Okay. And in terms of the weighted average cost of funds, which is at 7.1%, how do you foresee that moving in the second half?
I would say that a good amount of the impact has already been absorbed because the successive rate hikes, most of the liabilities, which are on the floating rate side was linked to the repo and the external benchmark that is the 1-year T-bill, 364 days T-bill. Going by that, I would say the majority of the impact for the rate hike that has happened has been factored in. You will get one more impact a little bit, maybe 15 to 18 basis points impact will come because of the rate hike of September, 50 basis points repo hike of September will translate to around 15 to 18 basis points increase in the weighted average cost on the entire book. And then we have to see what is the increases by Reserve Bank going forward in December that will outline the future increases. But as far as the overall cost of fund is concerned, one thing is very, very clear that whatever are the repo policy rate hikes, the cost of funds will increase by about less than 50% of that on the entire book.
Okay. Understood. And sir, if I just triangulate these numbers, 80 basis point increase in the set yield and another 20 basis points increase in cost of fund, assuming no further rate hike, the margins should increase by 60 basis points. So the spread should increase by 60 basis points in the 3Q?
Correct.
Okay. Fair enough. Second, just a clarification on this INR 191 crores retail write-off. I heard your explanation on difference between the RBI IRAC and the IndAS norms. But let's say, if this asset was INR 100 asset. And even as per ECL, you had provided completely as you stated. So the provisions against that was INR 100. So now why is there a need to further provide or to write it off or why additional charge on the P&L to write it off?
Actually, you have to remove the entire assets from there. What is the outcome of it? Or what is the impact of it? So when you actually pass it through the P&L and you do not -- and which means that notionally, your provision on ECL remains intact. It means that you are actually having a slightly better provisioning coverage ratio.
So if your ECL provision was already hiked...
On the remaining assets, on the remaining part of the Stage 3 assets.
So basically, what you are saying is that to maintain the overall stock of ECL coverage you had to kind of take additional charge in the P&L so that the overall ECL coverage doesn't go down.
Absolutely correct.
So basically, this charge is not related to the write-off that we did, but it is just to maintain the coverage levels, you took this additional...
Yes. But the only thing which I would like to submit is that had it been under the RBI IRAC and IGAAP, then probably this entry would not have been required.
Sorry, could you clarify this a bit more, so that I understand better?
Had it been a fully provided case under the IGAAP, RBI, IRAC norms and then you want to write it off then probably this entry would not have been required.
IndAS [Foreign Language].
Okay. So this was fully provided under IndAS, but not under IRAC and hence, this thing?
Something like that, yes. I think we got it the other way around.
Okay. This is still a bit confusing, but I'll move on. Just on the restructured part out of total INR 3,466 crore, you did mention the split between the corporate and retail. Could you repeat that? And also, I would like the split of this same amount, what would be in the Stage 2 and in the Stage 1?
Stage 2, Stage 1, I'll not be able to give you offhand. But as far as the OTR is concerned on the -- as on 30th September, it is INR 2,093 crores, INR 2,093 crores on the -- this is the Stage 3, INR 2,093 crores on the corporate side, that is the builder side. And on the retail side, it is INR 1,374 crores. And Stage 2 -- actually, the entire OTR, this OTR is actually Stage 2.
So entire INR 3,466 crores is sitting in your Stage 2?
Yes. But Stage 2 has got other assets also, but this one is -- I mean, the entire OTR is in Stage 2.
Okay. So last quarter, INR 1,000 crore was in Stage 1. Now all of this is sitting in Stage 2.
Correct. If you recollect in the last quarter, what we have done is that we have moved that you'll find the reference in the call also. We had moved the assets in the last quarter itself to their status pre-existing before the impact of OTR.
Okay. Got it. And the last one is in the absolute amount terms, what would be the NPA number for nonhousing individual and nonhousing commercial? Last quarter...
Nonhousing individual, this Stage 3 is INR 1,740 crores that is for the NHC. NHI is INR 1,766 crores.
The next question is from the line of Piran Engineer from CLSA.
Just to clarify once again on the spread thing. So 4, 5 years back, there were these fixed rate loans and we've now been repriced downwards technically, and that's why we have an NPV loss of INR 275 crores?
Correct.
But so in the last 2 years, when interest rates are much more benign, isn't it logical that they would have done it back then? And also, why did we not leave it as fixed rate loans, unless we are expecting significant further floating rate hikes in the next coming years?
So your first question is that when it was actually going down, it would not have been positive for the company to reduce it at that point in time because it would have led to erosion in the yields.
No, but the borrowers have wanted it, right? The borrower would have wanted it?
The borrowers would have wanted it, but probably from our side, we have somehow managed to convince that this is not the correct time to move. And now we have affected that movement.
Okay. Fine. And just in terms of your retained INR 9,000 crores of retail assets from BT out. Again, the question here is that the banks have also increased rates a lot. So how -- where would they BT out if at all?
Yes, I'm not getting your query.
Not a BT. BT has not gone...
No, no. So you'll try to retain INR 9,000 crores of home loans and you'll give better rates, right? The point is in this retention strategy. There was no other choice for the customer but to be with you all because he could not have gone through banks...
No, no, no. That is not correct. That is not correct. You have to understand that the -- for most of the other -- I mean, most of the banks there is a substantial difference between the onboarding rate and the back book. So the onboarding when it comes with a lot of offers and discounts and waivers of processing fee, et cetera just to onboard the customer, but the back book is different, the existing customer, and there is a gap between the existing customer pricing and the customer pricing for the onboarding or for the promotional offers. There is always a gap across all banks in the system.
Got it. So your best quality customer, absolutely prime CIBIL score 800 and at floating rate today, what will be this rate after all the PLR hikes we have taken?
8.3%.
8.3 is the lowest. That's the best guy, right?
Correct, correct.
Got it. And sir, this INR 95 crore reduction in interest income from project loans, what exactly is that about because we haven't discussed that.
Because of the shrinkage in the portfolio, number one. And number 2 is that, as we mentioned, the INR 540 crores of assets have been classified as NPLs in this quarter, so reversal of income on that.
Got it. And just lastly, we've seen a 10% jump in the OTR book from INR 3,100 crore to INR 3,460 crores. So really what explains that? Is this accumulation of interest or...
No, there is no such -- I mean there is no such accumulation of interest because that is not there. Maybe some residual accounts would have been there.
[indiscernible].
INR 3,466 crores is the final.
correct.
No, no, but it was INR 3,100 crores last quarter and restructuring has -- it was not done incrementally in the quarter, so it increased.
So it could have been the case that some part restructuring, which would have been affected that has -- there is no slippage. That is just restructuring.
It has moved out.
Last year, it was INR 3,766 as on June, INR 1,544 crores and INR 2,222 crores. INR 300 crores has actually come down, not the other way around.
Okay. Okay. Understood. And just...
Sorry to interrupt...
INR 3,100 had moved out. I think the number that you are getting confused is the INR 3,100 crores had moved out of the OTR last quarter.
Overall percentage is around 1.3% only, [1% to 1.3%].
Okay. This makes sense. Just one request, sir, if many of these numbers are not in the PPT, if you could just enhance the disclosures in your PPT...
Certainly, we can include. Yes, yes.
That would be really helpful, it just makes it much easier.
So this OTR number is actually a published number. It is not accounted as published the full detail.
Not just OTR, just only in general and [contrasted] of all the one-offs that happened in a quarter that'd be helpful.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Roshan Chutkey from ICICI Prudential Mutual Fund.
On this 275 crores.
Mr. Chutkey, can you speak a bit louder, you're sounding very soft.
Am I loud?
Slightly better.
Yes. On this INR 275 crores, that's a basic question. Why did you have to do the NPV calculation at all for this INR 9,000 crores assets basically?
That is required as per the IndAS guidelines, IndAS 109.
Yes. No, I was just trying to understand, is it because of the fixed to floating? Is it because we never saw any other lender do this kind of a thing when you reduce the rates or increase the rates, right? Why would you do the NPV calculation? And it's just the interest income that you -- for example, if it moves from 7% to 8%, rather the otherway around then you'll have a hit of...
No, no. Actually, Roshan, it is not that way. Whenever there is a modification of any financial contract, there has to be either a modification gain or modification loss. Wherever there is a modification. Now when we are moving some assets from fixed to floating or it can also happen from floating to fixed either way, then this will be treated as a modification. And then it has to be calculated to what was the rate of interest, which was applicable on the earnings that were applicable on an EIR basis that is expected interest rate what was it earning prior to the modification and what is earning post to that? So -- and whatever is the difference, that has to be applied over the residual life of the asset and discounted at the present value. And that is how it is absorbed.
The logic behind that as per Index is that all your assets are either financial assets or financial liabilities and whenever there is a modification of any of the financial assets, vis-a-vis to its earning capacity on a particular day. Then it has to be accounted for in the value. And it has to be taken through a P&L impact. That is very clear. That is the standard 109, IndAS 109. The reason why it probably has not been visible is that probably the number had been small so it would not have, I mean, resulted in any major kind of a requirement for clarification because here, the number is very large. That is the reason why it is getting reflected.
We'll move on to the next question that is from the line of Sandeep Jain from Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.
Just one clarification. On the ECL side and the write-off has to be moved to the PL side. Has our PD and LGD has increased -- assessment of PD and LGD has increased from the last quarter or last year or so?
No, not at all.
Okay. Just I'm trying to understand from the last question when you have answered that we need to maintain the similar amount of...
It is actually enhancement of the PCR. Enhancement of provisioning coverage, which we have seen, total assets coverage ratio has also increased sequentially from 2.4 to 2.58.
Okay. So now that there is some confusion. I'm really sorry for this question, but see, generally, what used to happen is whenever we have provided for some assets, and that asset is getting write-off. There is no need to take on to the PL. That is a very logical way, right?
No, that is not the way -- as I told you in RBI that is different because here, there are two differential calculations. So that is not the case in case of IndAS. It is not the case in IndAS.
So say here is, I understand is INR 100 crores, INR 200 crores of amount have...
Last quarter also, we had written off something around INR 30 crores that had to be also passed through the P&L even that was fully provided.
No, I understood. For example, if I am...
We had done a technical write off of about INR 30-odd crores. I mean between INR 20 crores and INR 30 crores. So that was also pass through P&L. It is not a practice that we are adopting now.
No, I understood that. Okay. No issues. I'll take it offline. What I'm trying to understand is the suppose if there is some large account or some other account can come, and we have already done a quite amount of good PD and LGD on those accounts and all. And if that account needs to get write off, then you cannot take that provision from them. You have to pass it to whatever may be the amount?
Whatever is the asset value that has to be passed through a P&L account.
You cannot touch the ECL rated provision?
No. You cannot do it.
You cannot do it?
You cannot net it from the ECL, the very purpose of that is to reflect it to P&L. Otherwise, there is no space for it in the entire P&L, it will vanish, will just get removed without any -- I mean, nobody will get to know also if it is not pulled it through P&L.
So our ECL-based provision coverage will further increase if that is the case?
It has increased, it has increased. If you see the details that is there on the presentation, it has increased. In fact, every quarter, it has been increased, the PCR has been increasing every quarter. [1 years old] gone out of the system. It is there within the company as a provision.
The next question is from the line of Nischint Chawathe from Kotak.
Just trying to understand from a borrower point of view, these 9,000-odd borrowers for -- who moved from fixed to floating. I mean what is the proposition for them? They're probably paying 7% fixed,and they're now moving to 8% floating. So is it something that you are giving this kind of a discount to them on the principal amount and which is where -- which is where they're willing to convert, I mean, why this can be...
How there can be a discount on principal, Nischint.
But that's what I'm trying to understand what is it is for them for...
The rate of interest has been given -- has been a discount itself. Rate of interest, that is the reason why the modification loss is arising out of the first -- in the front -- in the first case.
Moreover they will be for long term also.
So these customers would earlier be paying, what, 9% fixed or something like that?
So not 9%, but around 8.5% of thereabouts.
Okay. And then that has probably now come down...
Depending upon credit trading, et cetera, and amount, et cetera.
So the 8.5% fixed, which probably came down to 7.5%, so you had to do this adjustment...
Correct. Correct. But now the 7.5% is on floating.
That you have again raised it back to whatever amount...
Correct. The reason is that, today, we are in an increasing rate scenario, so everybody would like to have a fixed rate of interest. But whenever the rate of interest reverse - cycle reverse is maybe 1 year down the line, 1.5 years down the line, if the loans are still on fixed, there will be exits -- because at that point in time, nobody is going to pay a higher rate of interest at a steep difference to what market is offering. So you have to keep the long-term interest in mind in terms of the entire life cycle of the loan.
Definitely. And excluding these 2 adjustments from the interest income line item, you said that your yields are going up by around 40-odd basis points. This is on a year-on-year basis, which is second quarter versus second quarter or cost versus second?
June to September.
That is on the quarter-on-quarter basis, the thing that you're looking at 40-odd basis points.
Yes, yes.
Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraint, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments.
I thank you all for your active participation. I think from our side, we -- because always there will be good demand for housing, the demand is robust across all places and all the regions have already charted out a very good strategy. I think Q3 going forward will have a far, far better NIMs and also excellent performance across all the parameters. Thank you once again. Wish you all the best.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Axis Capital Limited, that concludes this conference call. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.
Thank you.