J B Chemicals and Pharmaceuticals Ltd
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q2

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to J.B. Pharma's Q2 FY '23 Earnings Conference Call as on the 14th of November 2022. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jason D'Souza, Vice President at J.B. Pharma. Thank you, and over to you.

J
Jason D'Souza
executive

Welcome to the Q2 earnings call of J.B. Pharma. We have with us today Mr. Nikhil Chopra, CEO and Whole-Time Director; Mr. Kunal Khanna, President; and Mr. Lakshay Kataria, Chief Financial Officer at J.B. Pharma.Before we begin, I would like to state that some of the statements in today's discussion may be forward-looking in nature and may involve certain risks and uncertainties. A detailed statement in this regard is available on the Q2 FY '23 investor presentation that has been sent to you earlier.With this, I would like to hand it over to Mr. Nikhil Chopra to begin the proceedings for the call for his opening comments, after which Mr. Lakshay Kataria will address the financial highlights. Over to you, sir.

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Thank you, Jason, and good afternoon to everyone, and a warm welcome to those joining us today for our discussion on the operating and financial performance for J.B. Pharma during quarter 2 and H1 FY '23.I will begin with a commentary on our quarter 2 performance and share the perspective on the business. I will be followed by our CFO, Lakshay Kataria, who will bring the financial perspectives to you. Following the remarks, we'll be happy to address queries that you may have over a discussion.Dear friends, I'm happy to -- I'm pleased to share a healthy set of numbers on the top line during quarter 2, supported by healthy traction in domestic market and continued momentum in the international operations. In quarter 2 FY '23, our revenues showed 36% improvement to INR809 crore. In the domestic market, we continue to see a broad trend for our business with a revenue of INR434 crores. Organic growth for the quarter was mid-teens. Once again, J.B. outpacing industry growth in quarter 2 FY '23, and we remain to be the fastest-growing company in top 25 as per IQVIA MAT September '22 data. Our key brands have continued growing larger and to share some statistics: Metrogyl gained 56 ranks to rank at 149 number; Cilacar T gained 76 ranks to 212 number; Nicardia gained 27 ranks to be at 218 numbers; Cilacar gained 6 ranks to be 48 ranked brand, and Rantac gained 4 ranks to be 41st rank brand. These are all net figures for our key top 5 brands. Prescription wise, J.B. ranked 15th in IPM with quarterly prescriptions increasing to 4.12 crores in quarter 2 FY '23 from 2.65 crores in quarter 2 FY '22, showing a growth of 55%.Just to give a brief highlight of what has been happening in our inorganic business that we acquired in last 6 to 8 months. Our portfolio of acquired brands have shown a robust 25% growth in quarter 2 FY '23 as per IQVIA data and on a like-to-like basis. As per IQVIA data, the acquired portfolio from Sanzyme has performed well, where Sporlac grew 50% and retained #1 rank in its covered market space, Azmarda which represents an extension of our leadership portfolio in cardiology segment has delivered 46% growth. Heart failure is a relative a new sub-segment and vastly underserved. During September 22, Azmarda featured in IPM top 300 list also. We are presently in the investment mode for Azmarda and are witnessing good results month-on-month. Our teams on the ground are fully geared up with a portfolio from hypertension to the prevention of heart failure.Coming to international business, our international business reported a strong trend with growth seen across all segments. CMO revenues were the highest that we recorded and that was translated into best-ever sales in our international business. CMO revenue was 64% higher in quarter 2 FY '23 year-on-year. This segment today accounts for 28% to our international sales and in H1 FY '23 from 20% in FY '22. Within CMO segment, now J.B. has earned a global niche in production and marketing of lozenges, especially in medicated and herbal varieties. Our teams are constantly at work with research in lozenges and liquid formulation with important clients, and we shall continue investing for further scale of this business. Our formulations and API segments also delivered double-digit performance with our home markets of South Africa and Russia performing as per our expectations. Momentum continues to build up in our international operations, despite the situation that we are facing in Russia and CIS region has presented us with a favorable demand scenario. Our approach in this region is that of caution and we are mindful of managing the health of our operations and have been keeping watch on key parameters, including receivables.J.B.'s progress is built on solid foundation with emphasis on core therapies. We are seeing strong traction in our top-performing brands and acquired brands in the domestic market, which are consistently delivering market-leading performance. With a combination of line extensions and [ forging ] into new products, we are driving this momentum forward.Moving on to how do we see the business shaping in the coming period. Within domestic markets, we seek to make our key brands even stronger with a sharp focus on building brand franchisee in terms of market share and higher prescriptions. We have already completed the integration of our acquired brands and are also well placed to manage post LOE events for our acquired brands like Azmarda. With the extensive portfolios we offer in focused therapies, we are better placed to manage product life cycles with a view of building upon our shares in those therapies. We expect our domestic business to continue outperform the market growth, thereby a mix of organic and inorganic growth will allow us to maintain sustained momentum in our domestic business. Our view on our international operation is also attractive. As you all know, we have focused on select markets with the right products. We are optimistic about driving good growth -- good sales growth. Our position in export formulations, especially the ROW market has improved quarter-on-quarter, the traction we are seeing in our portfolio.Over the next 6 months, we will also focus on filing new products for our export formulations market, which would help us for long-term perspective. Our revenue levers are in place and we are emphasizing better operating efficiencies and higher productivity in businesses, which together are forming the base for our sustaining our operating margins in the light of cost pressures across businesses.I just now to close my opening remarks and would like to request our CFO, Mr. Lakshay, to address you with a perspective of financial performance. Thank you all, and over to you, Lakshay.

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

Thank you, Nikhil. A very good afternoon to all of you, and welcome to our earnings call. I shall now cover the highlights of our financials for Q2 FY '23. On the revenue front, the domestic and international business stood at a mix of 46:54 of the total revenue, respectively. While the domestic business recorded mid-teen growth organically, strong performance of our acquired portfolio that Nikhil mentioned earlier, helped maintain another quarter of INR400-plus crores revenue in the domestic business. J.B. Pharma's international business continued its strong momentum and grew at 28% year-on-year to deliver INR375 crores in Q2 on back of good performance in all the 3 business segments, that is export formulations, CMO and API.Gross margins for the quarter were at 63%, similar levels versus last quarter and compared to 65% in the previous year. The margins saw an impact of inflationary pressure on input costs and packing material costs and also impact of lower margins from Azmarda. As the quarter progressed, we witnessed further softening in areas like international [ stage ]. However, the raw material costs largely continued to hold at elevated levels. The global scenario remains volatile. We are cautious and continue to monitor the situation, specifically with respect to fuel and energy prices.As we had mentioned earlier, we aim to maintain our EBITDA margins between 24% to 26% for FY '23 with focus on revenue growth. During the quarter, our operating EBITDA for the quarter was at INR202 crores compared to INR140 crores and was an increase of 44% year-on-year. During the quarter, other expenses as a percentage of sales improved despite normalization of marketing expense on a lower COVID base in the same quarter last year and higher utility and fuel prices. As indicated in prior quarters, depreciation during the quarter was high because of amortization of acquired brands.Profit after tax for the quarter was at INR111 crores, which is an increase of 13% from INR98 crores in quarter 2 FY '22.Lastly, on the cash flow front, for H1 FY '23, the cash flows were steady. The borrowings of the business increased to INR350 crores compared to INR26 crores as of March '22 on account of acquisitions. Cash and investments as at end of September '22 was at INR203 crores compared to INR57 crores as of 31 March '22. The strong cash flow momentum for the business continues, and we are seeing a healthy conversion from EBITDA to free cash flows for the organization. Our working capital metric that is inventory and receivables saw improvement vis-a-vis March '22. We are confident that the cash flow momentum from operating business will continue.With this, I may now request the moderator to please open the forum for discussion.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Rahul Jeewani from IIFL Securities Limited.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Yes. Sir, can you please comment on what has led to strong growth in your acquired brands of Sporlac and Azmarda? You spoke about the fact that you are in the investment phase for Azmarda. So what are some of these investment measures which you are taking? And given the strong growth which we have seen on Azmarda this year, how do you view -- or how do you see this brand growing next year given the fact that Jan '23 the [ debate in ] for Azmarda expires?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Rahul, overall, let me first answer your question on what is happening for Sporlac and Azmarda, what is happening on the ground. As what earlier we had commented, that when we acquired the Sanzyme as a asset, there were 3, 4 levers that we thought will help us in terms of inching up the revenues and improve the profitability, which has helped us. First off, that was overall synergy that we see in the prescriber base. We already have experience of handling mass brand, which is a combination of Rantac and Metrogyl, which all has helped us to manage Sporlac brand very well in this last 6 to 8 months. Also, overall, Sanzyme as a asset was underpenetrated and underrepresented in many parts of the country. So in some parts of the country, we have looked at in terms of how do we improve the share of voice with the help of team members on the ground. That also helped us. And we have also gone into some of the life cycle management for Sporlac as a brand. Not only Sporlac, but if you look at other parts of the Sanzyme asset we have acquired, which is a combination of specialized probiotic like Lobun, Oxalo, our infertility portfolio, each part of that portfolio has given us good jump in revenue. So that has let us overall helped us for Sporlac and Sanzyme.From a perspective of what is happening in the field of heart failure, I think the share of voice has overall improved with a team -- a strong team of 200 people on the ground. What we saw the opportunity majorly in the career of cardiologist in many of the big hospitals, getting into account a point of diagnostic for 2D and 3D echo, more and more patients getting diagnosed. Adoption of patients to the therapy that overall has helped us in terms of what we started with when we acquired this brand was close to around INR6 crores, INR6.5 crores and today, we are close to around INR9 crores to INR10 crores. So this is where we stand.Post LOE, what is going to happen and this earlier also, we have shared in terms of we will see a influx of around 50, 70 nurse coming in. Overall, the cost of therapy will come down. Volumes over a period of time in next 1 year should go by 2 to 3x. So we see huge opportunity. Talking more from a patient perspective, the suffering of heart failure in India is big. 12 million to 15 million patients are potential sufferers of heart failure when we talk to the cardiologists and what data suggests. And today, only 10% to 15% of them are getting the treatment. So diagnosis, looking at what more we can do, looking at how we can closely work with cardiologists as a specialty, that all the things we have been doing, and we'll continue to do all those things. And that is where we stand with these 2 acquisitions, what we have done.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Sure, sir. Just 2 follow-ups on Sporlac and Azmarda. So for Sporlac, have you launched the liquid probiotics, which we -- you were supposed to launch in the domestic market? And given the strong growth, which we are seeing in Azmarda this year, do you think that this high base will become a headwind for us going into next year as far as Azmarda's growth is concerned?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So let me answer the first part of the question. Second part of the question, Kunal, will take over. Sporlac, we have launched a couple of formulations. We have launched a version of sachet, that is in the form of Sporlac GG. That is what we have launched. We have not -- that also goes for pediatrician as a specialty only. That is where we stand. You will see us launching 1 or 2 more versions of Sporlac in the field of gastroenterology and women healthcare. That is what is going to happen with Sporlac as a asset.Kunal, do you would like to take the question on Azmarda, how things are going to shape up in volume pricing?

K
Kunal Khanna
executive

Yes. So on the Azmarda front, Rahul, yes, we have been able to significantly grow the brand over the last 6 months. But as we have maintained that, given the overall potential which we see, even if there is some price erosion, which will happen, we believe volumes will be able to neutralize a significant part of that price erosion. That's point number 1. And the second thing is, overall, from a margin standpoint, we'll still be at a better position despite this price erosion because we'll be looking at local sourcing options. So that's the key takeaway. Overall, it will just add to our profitability despite the price erosion because some level of that will get neutralized because of volume uptick, and there will be significant benefits, which we get on the local sourcing front, which will help us drive margins better.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Sure, sir. And my second question is on your CMO business. So last quarter, we had indicated that the CMO business would see a sequential moderation in 2Q, but we have been able to maintain the momentum in 2Q as well. So how are you looking at growth in the CMO business going into second half of this year and for next year?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So fortunately, Rahul, the CMO business, what we have -- what we scored the century in quarter 1, same continues to happen in quarter 2. And just to share with the group, I think we are placed in a sweet spot, if you look at order book for quarter 3 and quarter 4, so that is helping us. See, overall, the strategy for CMO business is not for a quarter or not for a year. We are looking at long-term perspective. And earlier also I have shared that we want this business to be close to $100 million for us, and we want this business to contribute mid- to long-term 20% to overall J.B. business. So a lot of emphasis has been put in terms of what we want to do with this business in terms of new development of lozenges, looking at adding new partners in terms of where we stand, but these are all things take time. Quarter 3, quarter 4, what I can share at this moment of time, order book is healthy. And looking at next year, I think the fundamental work that we are doing in this field should overall help us in terms of the better place as compared to where we are today.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Sure, sir. And on the CMO business, have you been able to get any new clients in this business? And the product launches, which we have been talking about on the CMO business. So some of those new launches have happened.

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So with existing partners, we have added a couple of products. That is what I can share at this moment of time. Adding new partners that has not happened, but that has got its own gestation period. As and when it happens, we'll be more than happy to share.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Rashmi Sancheti from Dolat Capital.

R
Rashmi Sancheti
analyst

Sir, again on CMO segment, based on a very strong order book now, do you upgrade your guidance of P&L for the entire year? We have given 15% growth. And do you think that now the growth would be higher in this year?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So growth would be higher as compared to where we stand and what we have guided. But also, Rashmi, what I shared earlier when Rahul was talking, please understand from where we are coming. This is a business we do with many of our partners. In this business, we are not looking for a quarter or for a year. We are looking at a long-term perspective in this business. Earlier also what I have committed that 60% business should come from India formulation, short to midterm. And 20% of business mid- to long-term, we are aiming at how do we at least get from the CDMO part of the business. So that is where we stand. So things have helped us in terms of post-COVID anti-inflammatory backed up lozenges are in good demand. But fundamentally, we want to strengthen the base of this business. That is why some fundamental work what I shared in terms of the developmental work which is happening and with our teams at Daman and we want to extend our offering beyond the world of cough and cold. That is what we are trying to do.

R
Rashmi Sancheti
analyst

And sir, on the export formulation, this time, we have grown at 17% during the quarter. Is it an individually comment on each market like on U.S., South Africa, Russia, then rest of the world, what is the kind of growth in CC terms we are seeing? And how do we see these markets performing for the annually -- on an annual basis?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

See, Rashmi, we don't divulge the geography-wise overall performance. But just to share with you, in terms of rest of the year, you will see growth, plus [indiscernible] near- to mid-teens in these markets. Overall, we have seen some demand coming back in [ DGX ] RoW market, where the growth was flat here in quarter 2, we have seen double-digit growth, which gives us confidence that second half of the year, combination of RoW, U.S., Russia, South Africa, we will be able to show mid-teen growth.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Abdulkader Puranwala from Elara.

A
Abdulkader Puranwala
analyst

Sir, just wanted to understand --. Am I audible?

Operator

It seems the management is unable to hear us. So, please be on the line while I check the connection. [Audio Gap]Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for patiently holding. Abdulkader, we request you to please repeat your question. We have the management line joined with us.

A
Abdulkader Puranwala
analyst

Sir, 2 questions from my end on India business. So you explained the key brands, [indiscernible] you have acquired. But within the quarter, how was the performance of the base brand of Cilacar, Rantac if you could please throw some light there, and what is driving this growth?And secondly, in terms of our MR productivity, so now that the India business seems to have crossed a earlier threshold of INR100 crores per month run rate. Where do we see the productivity inching up considering that there is a little bit of [indiscernible] also added post the previous acquisitions?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So if you have -- for the quarter, if you look at our [ exit ] part of the business that is Rantac and Metrogyl, they grew at high single-digit. And chronic part of the business, if I would talk about Cilacar, Nicardia and some of the -- that grew at mid-teens, and that was in line with what we have planned.In terms of MR productivity to talk about, this year -- by the end of this year, our MR productivity should be close to INR6.5 lakh. That is where we stand. And from an addition perspective, if you look at, we have added 200 people for our team for Azmarda. Otherwise, there is no addition of people on the ground. We -- when we acquired Sanzyme as a business, there were 250 -- close to 250, 300 people who came in. So we have 1,600 crore -- 1,600 people organically who are working for J.B. as medical apps, 300 from Sanzyme and 200 from Azmarda, total team stands to around 2,100. That is where we stand. So from a productivity perspective, this is what we want to achieve, probably at the end of this year.

A
Abdulkader Puranwala
analyst

Got it, sir. And just one final question on the CDMO. So, sir, at this quarterly run rate of INR110 crores. So what is the capacity which is currently underutilized and what is left?

K
Kunal Khanna
executive

See, purely from a capacity standpoint, we can grow up almost 20% to 80% what we are currently manufacturing. There are some packaging debottlenecking initiatives which are underway. But we have a very strong manufacturing capacity, which can be utilized to almost double the business from where we stand right now.

A
Abdulkader Puranwala
analyst

Understood. Thank you, and wish you all the best.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Tausif from BNP.

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

Yes, it's Sriraam here. Sir, firstly, on domestic business, I mean, I think they are performing very well, and we have closed 3 transactions this year and all seem to be doing either in line or better than expectation. How should we look at M&A transitions going forward? And any specific category that you want to strengthen further from here on through acquisitions?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So we are evaluating assets in terms of inorganic opportunities as and when it is coming. We would like -- given a choice, we would like to acquire something in the world of cardiology, pediatrics, nephrology, respiratory, that is what we have stated earlier. And the 3 assets that we have acquired have performed well as per what we were expecting. And we will -- the ambitions with the right portfolio, quality products that we have got, we want in India to serve more and more number of patients. You can -- what I shared earlier that today from a prescription perspective, we are 15th ranked company. So like mass brands like Rantac, Metrogyl, which we already had. And now with Sporlac being there, we are able to generate 1.5 crore prescriptions in a month, close to 5 crore prescriptions in a quarter. So that overall is making J.B. as a company, reaching all the corners of the country. And that we would like to do more and more in the coming times.

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

Sure, sir. That's helpful. And sir, for these businesses, we don't need to add any MR assets, right?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

No. No need. Actually, 3 to 12 months, we need to add anything.

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

Sure. And secondly, on export business, I mean, it seems to be doing very good from the last 2 quarters. So is it possible to share what would have been the constant currency growth in this quarter? And any specific market that would have done much better for us? Which markets would have done better?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Sorry, what was the first line?

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

Constant currency growth in export formulations for Q2.

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Lakshay?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

Nikhil, I'll take that, yes. So from a currency perspective, we've seen some gains. So you can look at maybe 5, 6 points being shaved off in terms of the currency gains, balance largely coming from the volume side.

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

Okay.

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

Nikhil, do you want to pick up the question on the markets?

K
Kunal Khanna
executive

See, on the market side, for international business, there are parts of Asia Pac, Middle East and Africa will still continue to be our growth and focused areas. Apart from these, on the home market front, we have like Nikhil stated, on Russia, we are just very cautious. So it's not that we'll be investing significantly there within the external market situation. South Africa continues to be a big growth driver for us, both on the public and private side. And we see big opportunities for our South Africa business from a mid- and long-term perspective also. So this is the overall summary on international. And as Nikhil mentioned in the commentary also, to further capitalize on our existing relationships, there will be filings in these international markets, which would really help us to commercialize new products in these existing markets over the next two to three years.

S
Sriraam Rathi
analyst

And lastly, on gross margins, I mean, I think Azmarda is definitely impacting that, but how should we look at going forward? I mean, assuming that the freight charges are now cooling off and maybe going forward raw material costs may also start normalizing. So how should we look at the gross margin going forward?

K
Kunal Khanna
executive

From a gross margin perspective, if we really look at it, I think I think material cost as a basket, we are not seeing significant cooling off. There are some pockets where aluminum, et cetera, has seen some softening. But I think, again, given the scenario in Europe, we are very watchful in terms of how things pan out. So as far as quarter 2 is concerned, we pretty much saw I think the elevated levels of material costs, and that's how we see things sort of going forward. And from a perspective of the fuel prices and the freight prices, those have been the other operating expenses. Those don't necessarily impact the gross margin to be inefficient. So I think the long answer short is, I think we continue to expect the cost side to continue to where it is right now from a quarter 2 perspective.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Shrikant Akolkar from AMSEC.

S
Shrikant Akolkar
analyst

Again, I have a question on CMO business. So this year, we have benefited because of the cold and cough infections during the summer time. So I was wondering, do you expect something like that benefiting in next year also?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

See, we are not too stressed about the cyclical variations. The important thing is, we are broadening our portfolio as well. And we are working on life cycle management for the big brands which we are currently supplying to our principal partners and going beyond the conventional cough and coal therapeutic segment. We have always maintained -- when we look at finished dosage formulation, lozenges as a category, we wanted to look at areas like immunity, sleep, motion sickness, all those things are underway or under developing with our partners, not really restricted to cough and cold. So yes, this year, certainly, one has seen an unprecedented demand surge because of demand in certain parts of Asia Pac with our principal partners really picking up. But as we look at the mid and long-term investment opportunity, we are certainly broadening our portfolio to mitigate any such dependence.

S
Shrikant Akolkar
analyst

And then on the capacity utilization, you talked about 70% to 80%. So what is the goal to achieve? And in terms of timeline, what is the goal to achieve?

K
Kunal Khanna
executive

See, the way to look at it is, last year we were doing close to 4.5 crores to 5 crores lozenges per month. This year, we are already managing close to 9 crores lozenges per month over the last three to four months. We can easily take this to almost 15 crores to 16 crores lozenges after debottlenecking of some packaging initiatives as underlying before. Over the next two, three months itself, if demand holds, then including manufacturing and packaging, we would be in a position to do almost 12 crores lozenges per month.

S
Shrikant Akolkar
analyst

And last question on Ranitidine. So we saw that coming out of price control. So if you can talk about what was the trigger for the government to take it out from the [ DCPO ]? And how should we see next year whether you will take a good price hike in Ranitidine?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

See, there are certain -- it was not Ranitidine alone which got out of the attention. There were quite a few mature products, mass mature products, products like Atenolol, which were -- which actually came out of price control and the government could have given due consideration that these are the products which are really reaching the last mile. I mean, these products have already seen a significant hike in the intermediate and material costs which are very relevant for Ranitidine and if you see the material cost, the way they have spiked up.They have given due considerations. And anyway, the cost of therapy, when you look at products like Ranitidine and Atenolol is, these are the most affordable products. So the government may have given due consideration of how to ensure that the supply continuity and accessibility for these drugs remain maybe moving them out of price control will be the prudent decision. Apart from that, we cannot really comment on why their decision on this list of 20, 25 medications.

S
Shrikant Akolkar
analyst

And last question with your permission is on Sanzyme's IVF business. So if can talk about the opportunity size and overall outlook that we have potentially competition also?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

IVF is a very competitive market. But having said that, we are looking at additions of products which go beyond the core IVF portfolio because we already have relationships with these IVF and IUI centers. For example, we've also launched our product, dihydrogesterone, which you would have seen, there was a monopoly by one of the largest multinational brands. And in the last 12 to 16 months, there have been domestic companies who have been able to manufacture and source this product and have been able to establish reasonable presence and gain market share. We are also doing reasonably well. So we will continue to broaden our portfolio rather than only restrict to core hormone and IVF therapy to expand our presence on the gynac side.

S
Shrikant Akolkar
analyst

And finally, if you can reiterate the size -- the opportunity size for the IVF business in India?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

The IVF overall, it runs into close to INR1,200 crores to INR1,400 crores plus.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Cyndrella Carvalho from JM Financial Limited.

C
Cyndrella Carvalho
analyst

I just wanted to understand, when we are looking at our prescription growth in the domestic market, how should we understand this from a little bit from brand level or therapy level? What are the key drivers here which is driving such a high prescription growth for us? And what are the key strategies which are helping us here?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

See, overall, if you look at the market growth, Cyndrella, market growth is also close to 40%, and this is on a week base of last year. But when you look at from a J.B. perspective, overall, our mass brands, particularly in the first half of the year, continue to do well because of the acute season dominant. There were steady flow of growth for our chronic part of the business, which is a combination of Cilacar and Nicardia. But what has happened for J.B. that we were generating around close to -- taking into consideration full portfolio, we were earlier generating close to around 1.2 crore prescriptions. Now with the acquired portfolio, we are able to generate 1.5 crore prescriptions every month and close to around 5 crore prescriptions in a quarter. So that is where we stand from a prescription perspective.Why I talk about prescription because that is a fundamental to overall business that you do when you talk about your primary or secondary sale. And from a prescription perspective, we are a 15th rank company and growing at a better pace as compared to industry. So that gives us confidence in terms of the portfolio that we have, the portfolio that we have acquired is making J.B. now a known company in the offices of medical practitioners.

C
Cyndrella Carvalho
analyst

If I understand in terms of our seasonality in the overall portfolio, again from a domestic perspective, second half will be -- how is the outlook for the second half from a seasonality perspective?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Quarter 4 will be somewhat soft, but quarter 3 would be in line with probably -- in line with what we have performed because now the mix also for us is somewhat we are trying to look at -- not easy in a short period of time to change the mix, but if you look at the chronic contribution, it is now close to around 52% as compared to which was 45% around one and a half year ago. So that is helping us in terms of bringing more stability to the business as compared to depending on the season.

C
Cyndrella Carvalho
analyst

And one last question. How should we look at the top-line growth? I mean, the amount of top-line growth we are seeing, how should we look at it over two to three years' time? We'll have LOE also coming in plus this top-line growth. From an EBITDA perspective, how should we see like going down, like tackling down to the PAT level. So any color on that? Because we understand the cash level of course, but any sense on that will be helpful.

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So the aspiration is, -- now what we'll achieve will be shown over a period of time. The aspiration is that we should be growing at mid-teens top-line and profit should grow better than the top-line. So 14% to 16% top-line, 16% to 18% bottom line. That is what we keep in consideration when we look at it in terms of planning our budgets and figures for next two, three years.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Rahul Jeewani from IIFL Securities Limited.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Now on the base business in first half, we have seen mid-teens kind of a growth on the organic base portfolio. So if you can split that out between contribution from volume, price and new introductions. And with respect to some of the new therapies which you have entered, which is respiratory, pediatrics and nephrology, how has been the traction been in some of these newer therapy areas for us?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Overall, if you look at mid-teens growth that we have achieved for H1, 7% to 8% would be price-driven growth, 5% to 6% would be volume-driven growth and 3% to 4% will be the introduction which are contributing to the growth. I can't go in detail, Rahul, in terms of -- but overall, just to share about the new portfolio that we have launched, they are helping us in terms of getting the prescription growth that I shared as compared to market in the clinics of chest physicians, pediatricians, physicians, nephrologists, that is what I can say.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

And would you like to comment anything on Sitagliptin? How that launch has been for us?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Very early, very early. Two, three months, very early to share about Sitagliptin.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

And just a few questions for Lakshay there. Sir, if we now look at your gross margins, your gross margins have stayed flat sequentially despite Azmarda growing very strongly during the quarter, which implies that your base business would have seen some sort of a profitability improvement. So how are you looking at your base business gross margin ex of Azmarda going forward?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

Like I mentioned, from a margin perspective, the costs have now on the input side largely peaked. We're now expecting this to remain stable. And that's how -- whether I look at base business or Azmarda, that's how things will be. So peak costs are down into the P&L in Q2 and we see this going forward for Q3 and Q4 as well. Hope I've answered your question.

R
Rahul Jeewani
analyst

Yeah, sir. So just on the imports from China, what is the contribution to us? And I think we source Metrogyl's API from China where we had seen significant cost escalations. So have we started seeing cost moderation on Metrogyl API as well?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

We haven't seen any moderation as yet on the Metronidazole API. In fact, the cost is very similar to what it was almost two to three months back.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Kunal Randeria from Nuvama Wealth.

K
Kunal Randeria
analyst

Sir, just one clarification needed on Ranitidine. You seem confident that the government will not maybe ban this molecule. So is this based on your conversation with the government authorities?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

See, with respect to Ranitidine, I think technically there have been quite a few studies which have been done over the last three years' time to link the NDMA levels with the carcinogenicity of this product. And all of them -- and these are not studies which are being locally conducted, these are studies conducted by FDA and EU regulatory authorities. And it's clearly established that there is no risk of NDMA being linked to a carcinogenicity for Ranitidine.Ranitidine globally as well continues to be in the WHO GMP list. There have been some companies who may have kind of withdrawn the product because of their focus on PPI versus H2RAs and giving all the issues which happened almost four months back. But clearly, enough clinical evidence, this product has been there for almost 30, 40 years. And the recent studies suggest that there is no cancer risk associated with the NDMA levels.The Indian government had never kind of intended to put any restriction on limitation on this particular product. There is certainly no linkage of this coming out of [Indiscernible] or future outlook of this product not being there in the market because this is not the only product which came out, it was backed up with almost 25 products. So we really see no risk of that. And in addition to that, we have been taking a lot of initiatives to keep ensuring -- see, NDMA is a inherent system issue which is not only there for Ranitidine but other molecules like Metformin.So how can we improve that? We have been taking continuous improvement initiatives. At API level, we have kind of gone into non-detectable limits of NDMA. So those are the improvement initiatives which we are taking for the product as well.

K
Kunal Randeria
analyst

That's helpful. But just to maybe push you a bit more on this, because a couple of generic companies had sort of gone for $0.5 million kind of settlement with the litigant in the U.S....

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

In those settlement litigations, clearly, those large pharma cos clearly represented what the scientific findings were and kind of fought against the litigation which was there. And in fact, we also hear that some of those same names want to kind of pursue the product once again given the recent findings from these studies.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Sayantan Maji from Credit Suisse.

S
Sayantan Maji
analyst

So I have couple of questions. So first is on Cilacar. So Cilacar -- have we seen any expansion in coverage among the cardiologists? And is there any plan to scale this up as well given that this is a large opportunity area for us?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Not only at the level of cardiologists, but equally, the opportunity lies across specialty when we talk of -- majorly our people on the ground, a team of 500 people, when they promote Cilacar, they are promoting to cardiologists, physicians, nephrologists. And also, I'm happy to share that in patients with -- patients who are suffering with -- who are diabetic hypertensive, Cilacar T, which is a combination of Cilnidipine and Telmisartan, is a drug of choice. And if you look at IMS figures for this brand, it is now close to INR120 crores and going at a pace of 30%.And what I shared that it has now been 76 ranks in the last one year. So it has become a drug of choice. Equally, teams have been working closely, not only with the healthcare professionals, but also with the consumers in terms of how do they adhere to therapy for long-term benefit. So we continue to look at how do we -- how do more and more number of physicians -- when I'm talking about physicians that is doctors adopt this brand and at least that can be helpful to more and more number of patients who are suffering from hypertension.

S
Sayantan Maji
analyst

So is there -- so basically, what I was hinting at is, is there any benefit that we can leverage from promoting Azmarda and leverage the relationship with cardiologists to promote this as well. So do you see any initial indications with...

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

100%. If you look at the medical fertility and with the -- with what we have done in the area of heart failure, the agenda going ahead is to prevent the progression of hypertension to heart failure. So it's a combination of Cilacar and Azmarda where our teams have been working together and at least help overall the patients who are suffering, who are undiagnosed hypertensive, who are -- who conceptually are -- hypertension is not controlled and that has to be prevented to go into the area of heart failure. So this acquisition of Azmarda and now the number of patients that we are catering to has overall helped us to improve our presence in the world of hypertension, and this will happen more in the coming time.

S
Sayantan Maji
analyst

My second question is on the new divisions, respiratory and pediatrics. So in respiratory, we had a few launches. We had launched Nintedanib and N-Acetylcysteine, which is Viscojoy and Dispred. So has there been any further launches or are we planning to scale these molecules up and grow these in this particular therapy?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

If you look at a couple of launches that we have done, that is -- one is N-Acetylcysteine as a mucolytic agent, our brand Viscojoy, and the combination of N-Acetylcysteine with Acebrophylline, Viscojoy AB that we are now -- it was around INR50 lakhs -- it's close to around INR6 crores brand. Equally, anti-allergic, which is a combination of Montelukast Levocetirizine, which we have formulation for tablet, syrup, Akair LC, which is also now close to around INR6 crores run rate a year. These two brands have done fairly well.Dispred, we have launched a new line extension in the form of 16 milligram. That also is helping us in terms of the family available now which is available in the Methylprednisolone. Also, we have ventured into the world of nebulization with half a dozen nebulized products that we have launched in the field of respiratory. But that traction, you will see in the season time, probably from November to Feb that should help us to ease the revenue.

S
Sayantan Maji
analyst

And for pediatrics, the key brands right now are Rantac syrup and the Sporlac what we have launched right now. So...

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

Rantac is there. We have Laxolite. We have Z Cof syrup. We have half a dozen formulations now. Also the brands that we have acquired from Dr. Reddy's which is a combination of [ Z&D ] and also antibiotic [Indiscernible] So we have now a good mix of portfolio which our teams have been doing and we cover close to around 25,000 to 30,000 pediatricians. J.B. as a company is now in the field of probiotic, is in the field of supplements in the form of zinc, antibiotic, Rantac syrup. So we have got a good mix of portfolio. And overall, we are getting good traction in terms of prescriptions from pediatricians and other specialty and this will only improve.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Sonal Gupta from L&T Mutual Fund.

S
Sonal Gupta
analyst

So just wanted to ask one on Azmarda given that the LOE is in January. So do we see a couple of months of no primary sales ahead of that? I mean, so this quarter could -- Q3 could be impacted as a result of that? And then post whatever pricing settle -- I mean, you could launch with a newer price post the LOE. How do we see the cadence there?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

So there may be a cooling period of 10 to 15 days, but not to the extent as stated by you a couple of months. We will certainly have a cooling period to ensure that the stock which is there in the market gets liquidated and then we refill the channel with newer prices. The good thing about this product is that there is a very strong secondary velocity and demand, as a result of which the channel does not carry a significantly high inventory. So whatever cooling period will be there, we'll try to restrict it to a couple of weeks and then see how the on-ground situation pans out.

S
Sonal Gupta
analyst

And just on the headcount, just a clarification. I think previously, you've mentioned about 2,500 MRs, now you're stating 2,100, just clarifying on that number?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

2,100 plus the manager. So the actual frontline sales force is 2,100 plus you have the managers, which comprises of area managers, regional managers and zonal managers. That's the general industry.

S
Sonal Gupta
analyst

So I mean, like my understanding was the break-up was like 2,000 for J.B. and then 300 for...

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

No, no, I will tell you. I will just clarify. 1,600 for J.B. and around 300 for Sanzyme and 200 for Azmarda. So 2,100 is the number. Then we talk of medical and the industry practices that you calculate your per person productivity depending upon our frontline reps.

Operator

We'll take the next question from the line of Rajat Setiya from iThought PMS.

R
Rajat Setiya
analyst

Sir, we did INR434 crores in domestic business this quarter. What could this number be without considering the acquisitions?

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

This is full business that we have reported, which is a part of -- that is what we have reported.

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

So if you're asking actually essentially the contribution of organic versus inorganic acquisitions, broadly, you can acquire portfolio runs into close to INR82 crores to INR84 crores. That's the number.

R
Rajat Setiya
analyst

And the other question was about the ESOP cost that we will be incurring in FY '24 and '25?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

So basically, this quarter, we had a cost of roughly about INR18 crores. This fiscal will be about roughly INR71-odd crores. And as we had guided earlier, you will start seeing a step decrease in the ESOP cost. So next year it should be in the range of INR38 crores to INR40 crores and then maybe INR25 crores to INR30 crores in the following year. So you will see a step-down improvement in the ESOP cost.

R
Rajat Setiya
analyst

And what will be the total number of shares -- increase in total number of shares because of the ESOP?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

If we look at the overall scheme that the board has approved, it's roughly about 3 million shares.

R
Rajat Setiya
analyst

And sir, on the debt side, what are the debt metrics that we will look at now that we have become a net debt company for the first time and we still have our plans to acquire new brands and maybe full fledged companies as well? So what kind of debt levels we will -- and no debt levels, but the kind of, let's say, debt metrics like debt by EBITDA or debt by equity, we would like to limit ourselves to?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

So I can't give you a specific number, but I think directionally, what we can tell you is we'll be very, very conservative to the usual industry thresholds on debt to EBITDA. We do not want to stretch our balance sheet too much. And we have a reasonably good cash generating business. If you look at our first half, we've generated almost INR280 crores of cash from operation. So we will look at how do we get a good balance of own generated capital and debt and most of the growth.

R
Rajat Setiya
analyst

And finally, we are also open to acquire full fledged companies or we will continue to acquire smaller-sized brands or part of the companies?

L
Lakshay Kataria
executive

We are open to acquiring companies as well. It is a matter of what opportunity sort of comes away and that makes strategic and financial sense.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that would be our last question for today. I now hand the conference back to Mr. Jason D'Souza for closing comments.

J
Jason D'Souza
executive

Thank you, Aman. I would like to just hand it over to Nikhil Chopra for any closing comments.

N
Nikhil Chopra
executive

First of all, thank you all for attending the conference call. And we'll continue to focus on our entire strategy that we have spoken earlier in terms of -- along with the revenue drivers, which are there in place in terms of top-line, in terms of EBITDA, profitability, which we aim always should be better as compared to top-line growth.Also, what we have kept in mind in terms of how do we look at improving the productivity and also looking at the cost optimization initiatives, which are fully in place which will only help us in creating strong operating leverage, which will help us to maintain our margins in an environment which you all understand is full of headwinds. And we'll continue to engage with you in the coming time in our conference calls and would like to update you in terms of what has been happening in the company.Net-net, as a company, we want to create value for our stakeholders, our shareholders and look at how more and more J.B. as a company we can serve more and more number of patients in the coming time with the quality medicines coming from the house of J.B. Thank you all. Thank you all for patience hearing. We'll be connecting in our coming conference call with all of you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of J.B. Pharma that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. And you may now disconnect your lines.

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