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Grasim Industries Ltd
Earnings Call Analysis
Q2-2024 Analysis
Grasim Industries Ltd
The global economy is slowing down, with the impact varying by region and sector. The U.S. has demonstrated resilience, highlighted by strong Q3 GDP growth and stable consumption, but Europe faces tougher economic conditions, and China is again slowing down. Central banks in major economies maintained interest rates in October and November, and the U.S. Fed remains hawkish on the inflation front. Domestically, India's economic indicators show some improvement, although below normal rainfall could have impacts, notably in agriculture. The festive season and a return to normal trade patterns post-lockdown could influence the domestic consumption trajectory.
The company reported consolidated revenue growth of 10% year-over-year, reaching INR 30,221 crores, and consolidated EBITDA increasing by 19% to INR 4,509 crores. This growth was largely driven by the cement and financial services verticals, specifically the performance of UltraTech Cement and Aditya Birla Capital. On a stand-alone basis, however, revenue declined by 4% to INR 6,442 crores, with EBITDA down 21% year-over-year to INR 1,354 crores. Notably, standalone businesses' volumes increased for viscose and caustic soda by 24% and 3%, respectively, but global price declines and increased imports affected realizations.
Specialty Chemicals and the Paints divisions are points of emphasis. The epoxy business saw a 25% volume increase year-over-year. The company's expansion into paints is progressing, with launches and operational milestones being met. Birla Pivot, the B2B e-commerce venture, has shown promising growth, reaching a revenue milestone of INR 100 crores in the quarter and moving towards a monthly revenue rate of the same. The company is concurrently investing in private labels like ceramic tiles, doors, and plywood, witnessing a healthy repeat rate. A significant capital expenditure plan, the largest in the company's history, is underway, and a rights issue of INR 4,000 crores has been announced to support this CapEx, along with debt retirement and other corporate activities.
Despite some improvements, international demand for textiles remains subdued. Pricing stability is a challenge, with input cost volatility in raw materials like coal and caustic soda. Management refrained from providing long-term pricing guidance, acknowledging the uncertainties in this volatile environment. Losses from newer business segments such as paints and B2B e-commerce were attributed to initial setup costs, with most of the expenses borne by the paints division due to team expansions. Management is optimistic that continued investment and growth in standalone and core businesses will yield long-term benefits, despite these initial losses.
Investor queries highlighted concerns about Grasim's valuation, capital allocation, debt levels, and shareholder distributions. The executive team underlined continued investment in core and new business areas, leveraging existing plant capacities, and a focus on high-margin specialty products. The company's robust balance sheet and low debt-to-equity ratio were emphasized as strengths. Management expressed confidence that the deliberate growth strategy, particularly in the paints business, will gradually manifest in shareholder value and market valuation, addressing the current discount observed due to its holding company structure.
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Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Q2 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call of Grasim Industries Limited. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Ankit, Head Investor Relations from Grasim Industries Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Yes. Thank you. I wish everyone on the call a very happy and prosperous Samvat 2080. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Grasim financial results for second quarter of financial year '24. The financial statements and presentation are available on our website as well as on the website of stock exchanges.
For safe harbor, kindly refer to cautionary statement highlighted in the last slide of our presentation. Our leadership team is present today on this call to discuss our results. We have with us Mr. H. K. Agarwal, Managing Director; and Mr. Pavan Jain, Chief Financial Officer, Grasim Industries. Also joining the call, we have our business leadership team. We have Mr. Jayant Dhobley from Chemicals, Fashion Yarn & Insulators business; and Mr. Himanshu Kapania; and Mr. Rakshit Hargave from Paints business.
I would now welcome Mr. Pavan Jain for his opening comments, post which we will open the floor for Q&A. Over to you, sir.
Yes. Good morning. I hope you all had a joyful and sparkling Diwali celebrations. We, from Grasim management, wish everyone on the call a very happy and prosperous new Samvat. It is a pleasure to be with you all for discussing our quarter 2 results on this call.
First, I would give some highlights on macro and business environment and then would cover our financial performance for the quarter under discussion. Global economic activity and trade are witnessing slowdown, although unevenly across geographies and sectors. While in the U.S., economy is showing sign of resilience with tightness in labor market, better-than-expected Q3 GDP and stable domestic consumption, there exists tough economic scenario in Eurozone.
It appears that China is again witnessing signs of slowdown. The latest trading of GDP showed that U.S. economic activity rose by 4.9%, while it is contracted by 0.1% in Germany and Eurozone and is estimated to have contracted in Japan and U.K. as well. Tightening financial conditions in response to monetary actions to address still elevated inflation, persisting geopolitical tensions and growing geoeconomic fragmentation render the global outlook as results.
In October, November '23, U.S. Fed, ECB, BoE, BoJ and Bank of Canada had held the rates, and they have not announced any change. Fed's policy statement remained hawkish, as it reiterated that future rate hikes cannot be ruled out if inflation continues to remain elevated. China's expected reopening boom based on the export growth and consumption revival doesn't seem to have materialized on expected lines.
As the macro global environment continues to remain volatile, weakness is seen in realizations of global commodity segments, in which we operate like viscose and chlor-alkali.
On the domestic front, RBI's policy kept status quo on both stands as well as on rates. Growth and inflation estimates were also retained at the same level of 6.5% and 5.4% respectively for financial year '24. India witnessed below normal rainfall in 2023 after a span of over 4 years of normal and above normal range with a deficiency of 6% below LPA during this monsoon. Though in the rainfed agriculture region, also called as monsoon core zone, the rainfall received was normal at 101% of LPA.
During the quarter, most economic indicators showed signs of improvement, CPI inflation inched down, IIP saw an uptick in August '23 and September '23 after falling for 2 consecutive months. Sector-wise, both cement productions and steel consumption recorded growth, while garments and chemicals witnessed negative growth, which could be largely attributed to lower growth in exports, as these sectors have significant export-led demand.
The ongoing festival season, which also coincides with the harvest time in rural area, will be crucial. In the larger textile value chain, the pent-up demand seen in 2022, post lifting of the lockdowns, is witnessing normalizing trades in 2023. Additionally, the inventory trades are also normalizing, though focus of majority of the brands remain on reducing inventories and moderating buys.
Coming to our financial performance for the quarter. The consolidated revenue grew by 10% Y-o-Y to INR 30,221 crores, consolidated EBITDA grew by 14% (sic) [ 19% ] Y-o-Y to INR 4,509 crores. The growth was driven by cement and financial services businesses, as both UltraTech Cement and Aditya Birla Capital posted robust results.
At stand-alone level, revenue degrew by 4% to INR 6,442 crores, and EBITDA degrew by 21% Y-o-Y to INR 1,354 crores. The sales volumes in stand-alone businesses Viscose and Caustic soda recorded growth of 24% and 3%, respectively, on a Y-o-Y basis. The impact from global decline of prices as well as the mismatch in demand supply, which resulted higher imports had a direct impact on realizations for viscose and chlor-alkali businesses.
In Specialty Chemicals, our epoxy business has recorded volume growth of 25% Y-o-Y and the expanded capacity of epoxies under commissioning and expected to be operational in Q3. We have announced our brand for Paints business, which is Birla Opus as a mother brand. Sub branding and go-to-market strategy are progressing as per internal estimates.
Also, as stated earlier on commercial launch, happy to share that the company has received consent to operate for 3 of the plants, namely Panipat, Ludhiana and Cheyyar. Birla Pivot, which is B2B e-commerce business has launched -- was launched last quarter and it has crossed a milestone of INR 100 crores -- in the quarter gone by revenue of INR 100 crores and now inching towards monthly revenue run rate of INR 100 crores.
As highlighted earlier, on private labels, we have launched Birla Pivot tiles -- ceramic tiles and also exploring other categories like doors and plywood. The company is witnessing high -- healthy repeat rate from the direct buyers in certain segments.
In its transformational growth journey, Grasim is implementing its highest ever capital expenditure plan, as you all would be aware that the Board has approved fund raise of INR 4,000 crores by way of rights issue in the Board meeting held on 16th of October '23. Proceeds from the rights issue would be used for ongoing CapEx and retiring debts as well as for general corporate purposes.
At this point, we would not be able to share more details about right issue and request you to avoid questions specific on this. We will share additional details with all in the due course of time.
We now open the floor for Q&A.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.
Yes, can you hear me? Hello? Hello?
Mr. Navin, we are unable to hear you. I request you to unmute your line from your side, please.
Hello, Am I audible? Hello? Hello?
Yes, sir, we can hear you now, sir.
Okay. Yes. So good to see VSF margins recovering on a Q-o-Q basis. So my first question was on VSF, that despite the fall sequentially in the realizations, margins have still improved at -- on a Q-o-Q basis. Now if my observation is correct, since August, I think there has been almost like a 8% to 10% kind of a recovery in global VSF prices, especially China, if I'm not wrong.
So does it mean that we can expect further margin improvement in Q3 or cost could like come back with the lag and there could not be much further improvement? And just here on this, I would also like to request your views on more steady state margins for VSF. In the sense, if I look at last 20 years, FY '03 to FY '23, the EBITDA per kg is roughly INR 25, INR 26 in VSF. Can we take that as a steady state number or in the current scheme of things like more like 2021 is a fairly stable kind of a margin expectation over the medium term?
Good morning, Navin. Thank you for your detail analysis on VSF profitability. So international prices for VSF have remained under pressure in Q2 also and currently. In China, there was some improvement in Q2 and prices have not improved that much, as you said, but they have been more steady. And of lately, as published information will show that the prices are inching down a bit.
Having said that, the margin improvement in Q2 was -- though the prices came down, but volume increased significantly so that gives operational leverage as well as input prices also came down. Caustic soda was the main item, sulfur, coal and pulp to some extent. So these commodities now are very volatile. Caustic prices have started to stabilize and inch up.
Coal prices have also started to inch up. So difficult to predict really whether margins will remain steady. We hope that margins remain stable. But then it is anybody's guess about so many volatile factors. So this is the situation.
Helpful. And on my second question, the view is basically about steady state margin, if I have -- like I said, 20-year average seem like INR 25 a kilo. So if I were to take a view on the next 4, 5 years, because as you rightly said, commodities can be volatile in the interim. But if I were to take a slightly longest view, 4, 5 years, is it fair to assume that INR 25 a kilo can be an average profitability expectation? Or do you think because antidumping duty is no longer there? And...
See you people are more knowledgeable about how to build scenarios and how to build profitability. I think it will not be fair for me to say that we all know the facts that antidumping duty is not there and what is the current situation. So you can build different scenarios. I would rather refrain from guiding you on which numbers and what -- out of the 2 numbers you have said.
Like -- in the long run, yes, we also hope and we aspire that the long-term average should hold, but difficult to tell you like whether it will turn out to be good in the next year, 3, 4 years, as you said. So in the long-term, yes, we all remain optimistic.
Sure. And just one more question before I get back in the queue. The losses from the other new businesses, let me put it, because I think B2B business or paint business, they have been, I think, quite sticky since the past few quarters, rightfully so, there are new businesses.
So I just wanted to understand because I believe EBITDA losses are more like INR 100-odd crores in the current quarter, maybe INR 115 crores to INR 120-odd crores from these new businesses, which were around INR 80 crores, INR 90 crores in the past 1 or 2 quarters. So would request a broad breakup of this? Is it more from the paints? Is it more from B2B? And then how should one look at these losses in the coming quarters?
So Navin, of course, the new businesses helped their initial costs, which are being charged to P&L. So obviously, the higher part is from the paints business. B2B is not a significant number. So I think once we reach a level where we need to separately disclose these numbers, we will report in our results.
But as of now, I mean, the numbers are not very large. And yes, the higher part is from the paints business. Large teams have been already hired in all the areas of the paints business. So the cost, which is not getting capitalized is being charged through P&L.
Our next question is from the line of [ Nilesh Saha ] from Julius Baer.
Yes. Am I audible?
Yes, sir.
Okay. I think I just want to thank the team for sharing more granular information about paints, right, especially just in this call [indiscernible] right? My question is slightly more long term, right? I think Grasim as a company serves 2 functions. First, that it is the holding company of various entities of The Birla Group. And second, it also has operating companies of its own, right?
I'm just interested to understand how the management and the Board thinks about capital allocation in the long term because we have paints that is going on. But in the comments, you mentioned also some other categories like tiles, plywood, right? Does the management -- over time, you have seen also a debt increase and now you're doing the rights issue, right? I know that you would not comment on the rights issue right now. But structurally, do you have a view on what kind of sort of debt to equity would like this company to be? And what kind of distribution would you like your shareholders to have, right, from both the operating and the investment verticals of Grasim, the company?
Yes. So see, first of all, let me try to explain how the company works in the sense that we have at stand-alone level 2 core businesses -- existing core businesses, which is our viscose and chemical businesses. And we have entered into 2 new businesses, which is paints -- decorative paints and B2B e-commerce. And apart from that, we have other businesses like textiles and insulators, et cetera.
So these are the stand-alone businesses. Right now, the large CapEx plan is for the paints business, but we are continuing to invest in our core businesses as well. The capacity expansions have been recently completed in viscose business and also in the chemical business and chemical business is still remaining some part of the capacity expansion. CapEx will be completed in next financial year.
So we are continuing to invest in the core businesses. We are investing in the paints business, large CapEx, we have announced of INR 10,000 crores, part of which will be spent during current year and balance in the next financial year. In B2B e-commerce, there's no major CapEx.
And then regards to your comment for the plywood and doors, et cetera, these are private label brands we are exploring. We have launched our ceramic tiles, plywood label, but we are not manufacturing. We are not setting up any manufacturing capacity in our B2B business. We will have our contracted manufacturing relevance with the vendors who can meet our requirement of quality and the delivery time lines, et cetera.
These are private label brands, contracted for manufacturing from outside company. So that is the status. Regarding debt to equity, we have a very strong balance sheet against our net debt worth of more than INR 50,000 crores. Our debt levels are only INR 8,000 crores. And in debt-to-EBITDA also, we have very healthy levels. We don't expect this to cross [ about 3.5 ] et cetera, even with the full CapEx of the paints business in the next financial year. Hope that clarifies your point.
Anything you want to comment on distribution. See the meta point I'm asking, right, as management, I hope you guys also realize that Grasim, the company, is undervalued, right? And there are certain questions that investors have for the company to really get the valuation that I think you would also feel, right, that you should fairly play that. And one of those are distribution, more -- so any thoughts on that right.
So valuation is -- I mean, how the market perceives, but -- yes, so there are large holding company discount we can see as far as Grasim's valuation is concerned. I think the way we are operating, we are investing in our core businesses and the new businesses is the share of the stand-alone numbers increase in the overall P&L of the company -- the consolidated P&L of the company. We expect the valuation should be -- that should be reflected in the valuation.
Our next question is from the line of Sanjeev Kumar Singh from Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
I have 2 questions. First, on the VSF business. So there has been [indiscernible] in China, it's around 85%. Inventory levels are coming down. So which are the factors which you believe that keeping the prices subdued in international markets? It is due to better costs. So can you comment something on the trade purchasing manufacturer? Or if the demand in the value chain is really weak? And secondly, how do we expect the demand supply in the second half?
Sanjeev, will you repeat your second comment, I could not hear it clearly.
So how do you expect the demand supply to be in the second half?
So international demand for textiles in general has been subdued for last 4 or 6 quarters. The international brands have been cuddled with huge inventory for multiple reasons, and they have been trying to correct their inventories by purchasing less. So when the brands purchase less, then the entire value chain also reflect activity to work on. And that has been going on for quite some time, but still the inventory levels remain elevated, mainly because the sales has not been as robust as it used to be.
So that is a fact, and we all believe that it may take some more time. It is anybody's guess. Every time people say next 2 quarters, next 2 quarters, but the next 2 quarters, we still have been seeing the same situation so say with confidence. So now new geopolitical factors keep on coming to our surprises.
In China, the inventory levels have come down. I think that was because of the expectation of the demand in the holidays in China, et cetera. But now again, we see that Chinese economy is showing some signs of slowdown. So we will have to wait for clear trend to emerge what is really happening at the -- on the ground in China.
And the margins are impacted by -- or improved by input prices in the last quarter. And that trend is now a little bit uncertain in the same way because some of the input prices have started to stabilize [indiscernible] but we have to see how the things come because there are so many pools and counterpools working, so difficult to fill it with very confidence -- much confidence.
Second question is on VFY. So as I believe that there has been some antidumping duties on VFY, which has been levied recently. And in the presentation also, you have mentioned about better on VFY prices due to competition from China. So what was the impact on margins if you can comment? And has there any improvement in the pricing scenario recently?
This is Jayant Dhobley. So there is only a DGTR step that has happened on the VFY antidumping duty. It is not yet approved by subsequent ministries. So that is work in progress. As far as Chinese imports are concerned, as you can imagine, domestic consumption in China is very low. And that is putting a lot of pressure on Chinese producers to export. And that, combined with -- as Mr. H. K. Agarwal was mentioning earlier, lower textile demand in India during the festival season, at least less than what was anticipated, has caused a downward pressure on the kilometer prices.
So to summarize, there is only a DGTR recommendation on it. There is not yet a final decision. China domestic consumption is low, India demand is low, and that is putting pressure on kilometer prices.
Our next question is from the line of Nirav Jimudia from Anvil Research.
I have 2 questions so one on the chemicals. Sir, in this quarter, our ECU was INR 32 a kg, and you mentioned that the chlorine demand was slightly weaker because the downstream of chlorine was not doing well. So if you can just help us walk through what was the -- how much was chlorine negative this quarter? And what was it Q1 of FY '24?
And along with it, if you can just clarify that, was there any change in the average power cost per unit this quarter for the caustic soda business? Because I could see that if you just break it down in terms of the cost of production, there was a slightly increase in our cost of production for the chemical business. So was there any change in the average cost of power this quarter?
So actually, average cost of power has been favorable for us so I can take that question straight away. The second is we break out ECU, but we do not break out the components of ECU in terms of what is our caustic and our chlorine price, and we -- so it's unlikely that I will tell you what exactly the chlorine number is.
And look, we are different from many of our local competitors, right? We are spread all over India, which means that we have different dynamics and different geographies. And that makes our ECU picture more balanced towards the Indian market than some of our competitors. So I think we are happy to give you only ECU numbers at this stage.
I think it's, of course, worthwhile noting that there are 2 main downstream industries of chlor-alkali. The first one is viscose. From the caustic, industry is mostly at a global level textiles, which, as you all know, has been soft, not only on the viscose side but also on the cotton side -- particularly on the cotton side, which is a bigger demand driver for us.
And downstream of chlorine, you mostly get into products like agrochemicals, plasticizers, pharma intermediates, et cetera, which are also currently not having a strong demand. You guys are tracking the chemical industry. You know how the agrochemical players are doing in this industry today and we are, of course, suppliers to this industry, right?
So these are the 2 topics, which are curtailing us on the demand side. Caustic as -- power, as I mentioned earlier, is actually a favorable part for us. We have had a couple of operational issues in our chlorine derivative plants, which have resulted in some higher maintenance-related costs and stuff like that in this particular quarter, which may point to why you're seeing certain cost numbers to be on the higher side.
Got it. Sir, is it possible to quantify that onetime maintenance cost, which could not be repeated next -- from next quarter?
No, I would not get into -- no, I would not get into that.
Got it. And sir, you mentioned that Specialty business, which is epoxy. We have seen close to 25% volume growth on a Y-o-Y basis. So has that also helped in improving the absolute EBITDA also on a Y-o-Y basis? Or the spreads have come down and that has helped us to maintain the Y-o-Y EBITDA numbers for the epoxy business?
So our epoxy profitability growth has been in line with volumes.
Okay. So we could see 25% increase in the profitability also there?
So I will not answer further than what I just shared...
But sir, was this driven more by the mix of specialty volumes? Or it was because more of the commodity volumes were placed in this 25% volume growth?
So we classify our specialty business entirely as epoxy. So this is the entire epoxy volume.
Okay. Okay. Sir, on the VSF side, we could see...
Sorry to interrupt, sir. May we request you to join the question queue for follow-up questions please, as there are several participants waiting for their turn.
Our next question is from the line of Gaurav Nigam from Tunga Investments.
Yes. Sir, I have one question on the -- to start with on the paints business and a conceptual question. As this business has been very important decision makers, one is the consumers and second is influencers like dealers and contractors. When you think about Birla Opus as the new paints brand coming in the market. So at the conceptual level, what are the levers that this new brand have to influence these 2 important stakeholders?
So thank you for asking this question. And I would want to give a slightly generic answer that for influencing both the consumers and contractors, there are established practices in the market, and we will also look at to do some new things, which you will come to know when we launch. But obviously, we take both these consumer sets and these contractor influencer sets very, very seriously, and we have a very defined plan in terms of how to address that.
Got it. Okay. Okay. Okay. And sir, just a follow-up question on this. How should we think about the profit pool of the paint industry over the next 2, 3 years?
Well, if you take a look at whatever other results are available in the public domain, but going ahead, we will not be in a position to comment because it is a factor of various things, including input prices and all on which we don't really have a view so...
Yes, it is very difficult to comment about industry numbers. I think you have all the numbers available of the listed companies. So how it will pan out for next 2, 3 years, it is very difficult to say. I think we would refrain from making any statement there.
Got it. Got it, sir. And just maybe last question on the sale. When you think about this paint industry, right, so we have both, one is the retail segment and one is the industrial segment. So when we are entering the segment, are we entering both or we are targeting only 1 of the 2 segments?
So we have maintained that we are entering into the decorative segment that...
Our next question is from the line of Prateek Kumar from Jefferies.
My first question is a clarification on textile demand in India. So you have mentioned like VSF demand benefited from strong festive demand probably in textiles. But for VFY, we are saying that the demand is slow and that has also hurt the segment profitability and prices. So are these different segments which we serve for both these products?
Yes. So this is Jayant Dhobley. I'll take this question. So as you know, VFY is a filament yarn. And within that, you have multiple categories, spots spun, pool spun, continuous spun. The particular market, which has not been picking up really is the embroider market, the -- what you would call you know for occasions, right, which is a very different segment than, for example, where staple fiber goes and then it subsequently spun into yarns. So the VFY demand issue is mostly related to ethnic wear, which is used in the -- in occasions, right, engagements, marriages, et cetera, et cetera. That is where the demand gap is.
The textile industry is not one monolithic hole, right? Within the textile industry, there are many segments. There are many price points. There are different consumer buying patterns so one specific niche in which we have usually a good exposure is affected and that is ethnic wear for occasions. I hope that answers your question.
Right. And this 24% volume growth in the segment of VSF this quarter, is it the industry growth also likewise? Or we have gained some share from imports, which were like sort of getting dumped into Indian markets like in the past few quarters?
Yes. So there is definitely less imports on the VSF during the quarter. That is there. But the industry in India domestic textile value chain also had more activity, I think, in anticipation or in preparation for the festive season. Now how much real sales happen at the market level at consumer level, that data will come soon. But the textile value chain prepared for that expected festive sales. So we have to see how the things continue in the current quarter. There was more consumption in the quarter 2.
Okay. And regarding your new businesses for paints. So we are looking to start like 3 plants by Q4. So -- I mean, all these plants are expected to commission by March or like -- is it like a staggered commissioning? And as a result, also is the product launch, particularly also planned like by March or like slightly earlier in the paint segment.
And in the -- in your B2B e-commerce segment, you said you're reaching now quarterly -- monthly run rate of INR 100 crores in revenue. Are there any specific like target for FY '25 in terms of revenue in first year -- full year of operations?
I would like to reiterate again what we shared in the last call, is that we will be launching our paints in Q4, so which is in the period January, February, March and also the 3 of our plants, which we have disclosed also in the report that you have in Ludhiana, Panipat and Cheyyar. They've got their CTO. So they are expected to become operational in Q4. And accordingly, it will happen.
Yes. So we are not saying which month, et cetera, we are saying in Q4, we will have all these 3 plants operational. And accordingly, we will also launch the product in the market. It depends. And in B2B, we are -- what we are saying is we are inching to our INR 100 crores monthly run rate, not that we have reached that INR 100 crores monthly run rate.
But any specific targets in this segment also, we have like for FY '25 as a full year of operations?
No, I don't think we can share any numbers of the targets, et cetera, on this call. But of course, we have the -- when the plan is approved, we all -- have all the data when the business decision is taken. But it will all depend upon how the overall building material category works in the overall country. And how the people move from physical to digital that will help in understanding the numbers for the future.
Sure. And my last question, if I may. I know this Aditya Birla Renewables is a subsidiary. So I think I saw the capital employed has gone to INR 5,600 crores and rising rapidly quarter-after-quarter. So what exactly we are doing in this? And what is the outlook on CapEx and how it is funded?
So the capital employed is increasing as we are implementing new projects. There are projects under implementation of about 1 gigawatt, and we expect by next year, first quarter, all those capacities to be commissioned, okay? And that is how the capital employed is increasing in the business, the results of which will be reflected in next financial year, okay? And -- as far as the funding is concerned, we are having about 20% to 25% from equity and balance from debts. It depends on each project -- project to project.
Our next question is from the line of [ Lakshminarayanan ] from Tunga.
Yes. A couple of questions. One is that you have launched the paint home consumer thing in 8 cities. What has been the response so far?
Okay. So are you referring to “PaintCraft”?
Yes. The PaintCraft.
Okay. Okay. So “PaintCraft” is a test launch. And like we said last time, it is to test the SOP and the processes. And we have put this in 8 cities and the feedback is satisfactory. As you would know, we don't have our own products. So we are using products from the market, and it is of a pilot nature.
Got it. Got it. Sir, and if you look at the paint industry, it's -- I just have the listed companies. It's around INR 53,000 crores, is the approximate revenues and they generate close to around INR 7,000 crores profit after tax, right? Now with -- whether -- of course you enhance the revenues of the industry pool or -- and are you intend to reduce the profitability of the market? It says both. I just wanted to understand your view.
So our view is that we don't want to make any comments which are forward-looking in terms of what we are going to do. So we will come to the market with our strategy and then you will see how we perform, but no comments on this.
Why will let me players like to reduce the profitability of an industry.
Sir, the line from Mr. Lakshminarayanan has dropped, maybe move to the next participant. Next question is from the line of Dheeresh Pathak from WhiteOak.
Sir, what is the dividend distribution policy and the company...
Sorry to interrupt Mr. Pathak. May we request you to use your handset please.
Yes, I'm using the handset. Is it audible now?
Yes, sir.
So yes, sorry about that. Sir, what is the dividend distribution policy?
So our dividend distribution policy is that we will have the distribution of about 25% to 45% of the profit -- net profit distribution is a dividend by the company. And we have also stated that we will see that whatever we get from our subsidiaries as dividend, we at least that much we distribute to our shareholders as a dividend.
Okay. So the higher of this stand-alone -- 25% to 45% of stand-alone net profits or the dividend amount received from the subsidiary?
Not exactly higher of, but yes what we are saying is -- the range is the 25% to 45%. Within that, we will see that at least we distribute whatever we get from our subsidiaries.
Understood. Sir, second question is Aditya Birla Renewables. So what has been the thought process for like when you are investing for 1 gigawatt assets with this 25-75 equity debt in mind? What sort of hurdle rate payback period, whatever you thought through when you make this capital allocation decision. Can you explain the thought process there?
So I mean, each project will have different returns, dynamics, et cetera. But we have our internal hurdle rates, et cetera, based on which we decide about the capital allocation. And most of -- and some of the projects are for the group companies also where we have different kind of risks associated than the projects for the public utilities kind of projects. So it will vary -- the returns will vary between -- I mean among the different projects.
So that I understand. But at a portfolio level -- so first of all, how much of this 1 gigawatt is for group companies? And at a portfolio level, what returns have you underwritten on equity IRR basis?
It will depend upon -- I mean, different projects, it could be around, I think, anywhere between 13%, 13.5% to 15%, 15.5% kind of range.
13% to 15% equity IRR, okay. And how much of this 1 gigawatt is committed to group companies?
I will not be able to give exact numbers, but roughly about maybe 35% to 40% is for the group companies. The rest is for the public utilities. It is just an approximate number.
Why 13% to 15% made economical sense to you? Why was it a good hurdle rate?
Which is, I think, the weighted average cost for the business, considering the higher level of debts is -- I think we have returns on equity better than that.
Mr. Pathak, may we request you to rejoin the question queue. Our next question is from the line of Sanjay Kumar Elangovan from ithoughtpms.
Most questions answered, just one on chemicals. I wanted to understand our capital allocation plan going forward, given the volatility in the chemicals, sir, is the base product, chlor-alkali, which is still a focus segment. And how is the market expected to grow in the next 5 to 7 years?
So you've asked a somewhat broad-ranging question. So look, the chlor-alkali market more or less grows in line with GDP because it's such a basic material that is used across all industrial segments. You can always go back testing to see, you will see usually depending on which particular year it is, it will be GDP plus or minus some range, but that's the order of magnitude.
If you look at our capital allocation policy, what we have declared so far is we are continuing to invest in chlorine derivatives. We are running epichlorohydrin project, which will be completed in calendar year '25. We are continuing to focus also on smaller chlorine integration projects. Beyond that, I think it would be very difficult for me to make a broader statement on where we will allocate capital needs in the chlor-alkali value chain.
Now having said that, I think we have declared before and I can reemphasize right now is we are also in the process of commissioning our epoxy capacity in Vilayat, which will actually double our current capacity from 123 KTPA to twice that size. So that's about as directional as I can be.
And that capital is already invested...
Yes. And that capital is already invested.
Okay. And the plant that's coming online in FY '25, what is the CapEx amount?
The ECH we have declared about INR 425 crores...
So the ECH is the bigger CapEx compared to the other chlorine derivatives which is, I think, somewhere around INR 400 crores -- INR 425 crores of ECH plant, 50,000 tonnes per annum, which will get commissioned in FY '26.
Calendar year '25, FY '26.
Okay. So outside of this INR 400 crores, so we don't have any visibility for further CapEx in this segment?
Just normal ongoing project for maintenance -- derivatives that we do for maintenance.
And any -- at least in the planning stage, are we looking at more specialty chemicals? If there is, what kind of products are we looking at? As a country, we still import a lot of PVC resins.
Yes. So that's the question, I can only partly answer and that is, yes, we are looking at further expansion, including Specialty Chemicals. I will avoid to answer the very specific question that lost on PVC. That would be beyond the scope of a results call for this quarter.
[indiscernible] we are not entering into PVC.
Yes. So we are not entering into PVC...
That was the question. Yes, we have no plan to enter PVC. That was the question...
So -- see I think we -- what we can say is that we have entered into an agreement with Lubrizol, and Lubrizol is setting up a CPVC plant at our Vilayat chemical plant, which we already announced that it is a 50,000 tonne first phase, and the total capacity will be 1 lakh tonne CPVC plant.
Yes. But this is different from the normal PVC resin what was the generally understood. Yes, if your question was, are there any plans of Grasim to get into polyvinyl chloride production, the answer is no.
Okay. And from the CPVC resins of forward integration into pipes, is that a possibility or we even explore?
So forward integration of CPVC, as you know, this is a project that we are doing together with Lubrizol. Lubrizol is doing the capital investment. I will refer you to their press announcement, which indicates what money they are putting in, in forward integration of CPVC, essentially an extrusion. They're very clear in their press release. You can refer to that.
So may we request you to return to the question queue follow-up questions, as there are several participants waiting for their turn. Our next question is from the line of Nirav Jimudia from Anvil Research.
I had a question on the VSF business. So this quarter, we have seen our specialty VSF volumes going up. So that was one. And secondly, if we see our results bucket, there are 2 cost line items. So 1 is power. So if we see on a Y-o-Y basis from INR 1,202 crores, it has come down to INR 1,018 crores, and other expenditure, which was like INR 963 crores, has come down to INR 900 crores.
So this increase in the VSF profitability, when you mentioned that there was a benefit of the input cost. But was it also because that our specialty volumes were better and there was the decrease in the other expenditure and the power cost that has also helped us in improving the EBITDA this quarter?
So which number you're referring to Nirav? Can you repeat those numbers?
Yes. So if we see our stand-alone results for this quarter, there's a power cost -- power and fuel cost, which was INR 1,203 crores in September quarter last year. And this September quarter, it is INR 1,018 crores. And other expenditure, which was INR 963 crores last quarter last year, this quarter, it is INR 900 crores. So if you can just help us explain that was this decrease in the power and fuel cost and the other expenditure predominantly for the VSF business, and that's why we have seen the improvement in the profitability, coupled with the fact that our specialty volumes have also gone up this quarter?
So these numbers Nirav, which you are referring to in the results, these are combined numbers of all the businesses...
Correct, correct.
And these 2 large businesses are, of course, the VSF and chemicals business. The power cost is the key cost in chemicals business, not as much as in VSF business. So the power cost benefit is, I can say, largely in the chemical business. Of course, the coal prices have come down, that has helped in the reduction in the power cost -- power and fuel cost. And also, we are having the larger part as a renewable energy business that is also helping in reducing.
But the main component of this is in the chemicals business and not in the VSF business. And the other cost is, of course, again, all the businesses. I will not be able to give the exact business wise breakup. But I think...
There are many factors like sometimes special repair, timing issues or some adjustments or something. But it is not something that will be meaningful or material to help you in your analysis.
Got it, sir. And sir, on the second point of the premium for the specialty VSF as well as the volumes for the specialty VSF. So was the premiums maintained this quarter on a sequential basis? And with this increase in the volume that has helped somewhat in improving the profitability.
I don't know from where have you picked up this volume information...
No, no, sir. We gave in the quarterly presentation. The breakup in terms of the gray VSF volumes and this specialty VSF volumes. So this quarter, our overall volumes have gone up. So if we just do that math in terms of...
The overall volumes have gone up, but specialty volume have not gone significantly different from the previous quarter...
I think it has gone up by INR 6,000 crores -- 6,000 tonnes, if I'm not wrong.
Yes, we have the specialty percentage. So it was 18%....
It is percentage, not the total sales. It is not increase in the volume. Volume increased just 2%, 3% Q-on-Q.
1%, 1%.
So the profitability on the specialty VSF is better. The realization is almost 20% higher than the normal VSF realization. And the profitability is somewhat better. So we always work to develop and grow the specialty part for multiple reasons, including better profitability, better product, et cetera. So -- but there is not that significant change as what you have understood.
Correct. Because the last year...
You can connect separately for...
Yes, I'll come back separately on that. Sir, just the last bit of clarification, have we taken any sort of price hike for VSF this quarter?
Last quarter, no.
Okay. So it was same as of Q1, right?
No. Q2, prices came down.
Okay. It actually came down for the gray side.
Yes, yes.
Our next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.
Sir, 2 questions. One, I would just want to inquire about the working capital requirement for the B2B e-commerce. So then initially, the announcement of Grasim flooring into B2B commerce was made, the CapEx allocation given was about INR 2,000 crores. And I understand that a large part of it will be for working capital and also heartening to know we are crossing the INR 100 crore per month kind of a revenue run rate.
So at the current run rate -- and of course, it's growing, but I want you to understand how much can we pencil in or estimate a broad net working capital requirement of current run rate of INR 1,200 crores annualized revenue?
So I don't think we can give you the exact number of working capital of the B2B as a business separately. But let me again repeat that we have not crossed INR 100 crores monthly revenue rate. We are inching towards that. What we are saying is that INR 100 crores for the quarter we have crossed Q2 and as we are moving from month-on-month, we are inching towards INR 100 crores of monthly revenue rate.
And for the working capital number, I think the number is not readily available right now. We can give you separately. Ankit can share if required.
Sure. And sir, just one last question on VSF, current utilization, I mean, for the segment, it's fairly high, rather near optimal full utilization. So wanted to understand if there is any CapEx plan that we can expect in terms of expansion for domestic VSF capacity? Or there is a slightly different plans of maybe utilizing or leveraging on the group's global capacities and using those volumes into India.
So we have scope to increase our production from our existing plants in India. We are working on various operational plans, how we can leverage maximum our plant capacities. So that is first. And immediately, there is no significant investment plan for big investment increasing the capacity, but small debottlenecking, small things are continuous process in Grasim, as you know.
So that was the last question of our question-and-answer session. Due to time constraint, that was the last question. We thank Grasim management for the conference. On behalf of Grasim Industries Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.