GAIL (India) Ltd
NSE:GAIL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GAIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 258.42 INR. Compared to the current market price of 188.8 INR, GAIL (India) Ltd is Undervalued by 27%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
GAIL (India) Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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GAIL (India) Ltd., established in 1984, has emerged as a cornerstone in India's energy sector, playing a pivotal role in the country's natural gas distribution and transmission landscape. Originally set up to harness and utilize gas from the prolific natural gas resources of the country, GAIL has since expanded its operations across multiple energy frontiers, including petrochemicals, liquid hydrocarbons, and renewable energy. With an extensive pipeline network stretching over 3,800 kilometers and a commendable market presence, GAIL has positioned itself as a leading facilitator of sustainable energy solutions, aligning with India's ambitions of decreasing dependence on fossil fuels while pr...
GAIL (India) Ltd., established in 1984, has emerged as a cornerstone in India's energy sector, playing a pivotal role in the country's natural gas distribution and transmission landscape. Originally set up to harness and utilize gas from the prolific natural gas resources of the country, GAIL has since expanded its operations across multiple energy frontiers, including petrochemicals, liquid hydrocarbons, and renewable energy. With an extensive pipeline network stretching over 3,800 kilometers and a commendable market presence, GAIL has positioned itself as a leading facilitator of sustainable energy solutions, aligning with India's ambitions of decreasing dependence on fossil fuels while promoting environmental sustainability.
For investors, GAIL represents an attractive opportunity with its robust financial performance and strategic vision toward long-term growth. The company benefits from strong government backing and favorable policies designed to enhance gas infrastructure in India. As the nation strives for energy security and diversification, GAIL's investments in modernizing its facilities and expanding its operations into emerging areas like city gas distribution and LNG terminals highlight its commitment to staying ahead in an evolving market. With a history of steady revenue growth, competitive dividend payouts, and strategies aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2040, GAIL stands at the forefront of a transformative energy landscape, making it a compelling consideration for those looking to invest in a sustainable future.
GAIL (India) Ltd. is a state-owned natural gas processing and distribution company in India and operates in several core business segments:
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Natural Gas Transmission: GAIL owns and operates a vast network of pipelines for the transportation of natural gas throughout India. This segment is crucial for supplying natural gas to various sectors, including power generation, fertilizer production, and industrial users.
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Natural Gas Marketing: GAIL is involved in the marketing and sale of natural gas, including imported liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company plays a pivotal role in promoting the use of natural gas as a cleaner fuel alternative in industries and households.
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Liquid Hydrocarbon: This segment primarily deals with the processing and distribution of chemicals derived from natural gas, such as LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) and other liquid hydrocarbons. GAIL is significant in providing LPG for domestic use and industrial applications.
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Petrochemicals: GAIL manufactures and markets various petrochemical products, primarily from its integrated petrochemicals complex. This includes products such as polyethylene and polypropylene, which are essential raw materials for numerous industries.
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Renewable Energy: In response to the global transition to cleaner energy sources, GAIL is increasingly investing in renewable energy projects, including biofuels and solar power, to diversify its energy portfolio.
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City Gas Distribution (CGD): GAIL is active in the city gas distribution sector, providing piped natural gas (PNG) to residential customers and compressed natural gas (CNG) to vehicles in various cities across India.
These core segments highlight GAIL's critical role in the energy sector of India, aiming for sustainable growth while contributing to the country's energy security and environmental goals.
GAIL (India) Ltd., a major player in the natural gas sector in India, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Integrated Operations: GAIL is involved in the entire natural gas value chain, including exploration, production, processing, transmission, and distribution. This vertical integration reduces dependency on third parties and enhances operational efficiencies.
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Extensive Pipeline Network: GAIL has one of the largest natural gas pipeline networks in India, facilitating cost-effective transportation of gas across the country. This extensive infrastructure gives GAIL a logistical edge over competitors.
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Government Support: As a public sector enterprise, GAIL benefits from government backing, which can translate into favorable regulatory conditions, easier access to land, and financial advantages, including lower borrowing costs due to government guarantees.
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Strong Financial Position: GAIL has a robust balance sheet and strong credit rating, which allows it to invest in large-scale projects and sustain operations even during downturns, unlike some private rivals that may struggle with financial constraints.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Beyond natural gas, GAIL's operations extend into petrochemicals and LPG, providing a buffer against sector-specific downturns and allowing for cross-utilization of resources.
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Research and Development (R&D): GAIL invests in R&D for new technologies and processes, enabling it to innovate and improve efficiency in operations and product offerings. This focus on technology can provide a competitive edge in the energy sector.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: GAIL has established various strategic partnerships and joint ventures which enhance its project execution capabilities and broaden its market reach, both domestically and internationally.
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Sustainability and Green Initiatives: GAIL is increasingly focusing on sustainable energy solutions, including biofuels and hydrogen, positioning itself favorably in the context of global energy transitions and increasing regulatory scrutiny on carbon emissions.
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Market Leadership and Brand Recognition: Being a pioneer in the Indian natural gas market, GAIL enjoys strong brand recognition and has established relationships with key stakeholders, including customers, suppliers, and regulators.
These competitive advantages allow GAIL to maintain a strong foothold in the Indian natural gas market and compete effectively with both domestic and international players.
GAIL (India) Ltd., being a major player in the natural gas sector, faces a variety of risks and challenges that could impact its operations and profitability in the near future. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory Risks: The energy sector in India is heavily regulated. Changes in government policies, regulations, and environmental laws could impact GAIL's operations, cost structures, and profitability. Any delays or changes in regulatory approvals can also affect project timelines.
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Market Competition: The entry of new players and competitors in the gas sector can intensify competition. This might lead to price wars or loss of market share in certain segments.
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Fluctuations in Natural Gas Prices: GAIL’s revenue is closely tied to the prices of natural gas. Volatility in global oil and gas prices can impact margins and may lead to uncertainty in revenue streams.
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Infrastructure Development Challenges: GAIL is involved in extensive infrastructure projects, including pipelines, storage facilities, and LPG plants. Delays due to land acquisition issues, environmental concerns, and financing can affect project completion and operational efficiency.
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Technological Disruptions: Advances in renewable energy technology can impact demand for natural gas as countries increasingly focus on sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. GAIL must adapt to the changing energy landscape and potentially invest in alternative energy sources.
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Economic Slowdown: A slow economic growth rate can lead to reduced demand for energy products, which may adversely affect GAIL's sales and overall revenue.
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Supply Chain Issues: Disruptions in the supply chain, whether due to geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or logistical hurdles, could impact GAIL’s ability to procure and distribute gas effectively.
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Environmental and Sustainability Concerns: Increased scrutiny regarding environmental impact and sustainability practices may lead to higher compliance costs or require shifts in business strategy towards cleaner energy options.
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Foreign Exchange Risks: As GAIL engages in international operations and trades, fluctuations in currency exchange rates can influence profitability, especially if there is significant reliance on imported resources.
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Operational Risks: Since GAIL operates in hazardous sectors, there is an inherent risk of accidents, which can lead to operational downtime, legal liabilities, and damage to reputation.
By assessing these risks and implementing strategic measures, GAIL can better navigate the challenges ahead and sustain its growth trajectory.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
GAIL (India) Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
GAIL (India) Ltd
Current Assets | 202.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 32.5B |
Receivables | 96.5B |
Other Current Assets | 73.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 1T |
Long-Term Investments | 222.4B |
PP&E | 756.8B |
Intangibles | 31.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 33.9B |
Current Liabilities | 216.4B |
Accounts Payable | 66.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 150B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 260.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 151.4B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 109.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
GAIL (India) Ltd
Revenue
|
1.4T
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.1T
INR
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Gross Profit
|
271.2B
INR
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Operating Expenses
|
-147.9B
INR
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Operating Income
|
123.2B
INR
|
Other Expenses
|
-10.3B
INR
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Net Income
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112.9B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
GAIL (India) Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
GAIL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
GAIL (India) Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
GAIL (India) Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GAIL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
GAIL (India) Ltd's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
GAIL (India) Ltd's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GAIL Price Targets Summary
GAIL (India) Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GAIL is 243.47 INR with a low forecast of 149.48 INR and a high forecast of 309.75 INR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GAIL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
GAIL (India) Ltd. engages in the exploration, production, processing, transmission, distribution, and marketing of natural gas. The company is headquartered in New Delhi, Delhi and currently employs 4,705 full-time employees. The firm's segments include Transmission Services, Natural Gas Marketing, Petrochemicals, LPG And Liquid Hydrocarbons and Other segment. Its Transmission Services segment includes natural gas and liquid petroleum gas (LPG). Its Other segment includes City Gas Distribution (CGD), GAIL Tel, exploration and production (E&P) and power generation. The company has interests in the sourcing and trading of natural gas, production of LPG, liquid hydrocarbons and petrochemicals, transmission of natural gas and LPG through pipelines. The company owns and operates a network of approximately 13,340 kilometers (km) of natural gas pipelines. The company is also focused on expanding its presence in renewable energy, such as solar, wind and biofuel. Its subsidiaries include GAIL Global (Singapore) PTE Ltd, GAIL Global (USA) Inc., GAIL GAS Limited, Tripura Natural Gas Co Ltd., Bengal Gas Company Limited and Konkan LNG Limited.
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The intrinsic value of one GAIL stock under the Base Case scenario is 258.42 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 188.8 INR, GAIL (India) Ltd is Undervalued by 27%.