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Earnings Call Analysis
Summary
Q2-2024
Gabriel India Limited reported a robust second quarter for FY2024, with revenues hitting INR 865 crores and growth over the last half-year being 9.6%. The EBITDA improved by 31.4% compared to the previous year, with margins inching up from 8.6% to 8.7%, and PBT margins from 7.2% to 7.3%. The Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) stood firm at 38.1%. Investors can take note of the company’s interim dividend declaration of INR 1.5 per share. The passenger car market remains strong with a 7% growth, particularly in SUVs, while two-wheeler performance was flat, despite steady scooter sales. The commercial vehicle segment also saw more than 10% growth. A temporary dip in exports is expected to recover this quarter, and noteworthy is the company’s near 80% share of business in EV two-wheelers.
Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Gabriel India Limited Q2 -- Second Quarter Financial Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict.
[Operator Instructions] please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Manoj Kolhatkar, Managing Director of Gabriel India Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Thank you, and good afternoon. A very warm welcome to this call. So I'm joined on the call by Rishi Luharuka, our CFO; and Nilesh Jain, our Company Secretary; and our IR Advisors, SGA. So of course, I mean, all of you must have had time to look at the results that we published after our Board meeting this morning for the quarter ended September 30, 2023.
So what I'll do is, I'll take you through the presentation. And also, while I go through presentation, I might also speak a bit on the industry as well and try to give a context of where overall the industry is heading in terms of the automotive -- I mean, segments of automotive industry.
Coming to Slide 5. This is -- I mean, of course, the summary slide for the quarter that went by, which is July, August, September, we got revenues of INR 865 crores with EBITDA of INR 75 crores and PBT of INR 630 crores. So as you can see, we have sustained our...
[Indiscernible].
Request, if we would keep it on mute because I'm hearing some disturbance.
So thank you. So yes, I mean, our EBITDA margin on percentage has improved from 8.6% in Q1 to 8.7% now. And similarly, you see the same improvement in PBT from 7.2% to 7.3%.
Moving to slide -- the next slide, Slide #6. Again, for Q2, H1, let's go to the H1. If you see Slide 7, which talks about H1 since we finished half year, revenue was INR 1,670 crores, so the highest ever revenue for a quarter. And growth compared to last half year was 9.6%, and I'm happy to share that the EBITDA improvement for the same half year is 31.4%. So this is what we have been trying to do, as we have discussed in several calls earlier, trying to improve our margins quarter-on-quarter.
Coming to Slide #8, which is the -- again, the financial track record in terms of quarter-on-quarter and FY is listed there. So I'm not repeating the figures, but just to share that our Core 90 savings program, which me and Rishi have shared with you all along, that is going on strong. EBITDA margin has increased by INR 6.3 crores and net margin increase is by INR 5.3 crores.
Moving to Slide 9, which is the, again, trend in the graphical format. So margin trend is very clear there. And so is the ROCE. So ROCE for this quarter was 38.1%.
Coming to Slide #11, again, the financial numbers in again a graphical format. And Slide #12 is the key ratios. But the important thing here is, of course, we declared our interim dividend today at INR 1.5 per share, which is almost 24% payout ratio. This is the interim dividend for the year.
Slide #13 shares the segment mix. This is -- I mean, you can see clearly that the Passenger car segment mix has improved. It has gone to 25%. And 2-wheeler has reduced to 61%, which is more by the way of improved share of business in Passenger car as well as overall Passenger car market doing well. Since we are on this slide, I'd like to share that the market has -- Passenger car market is holding steady and showing a really robust performance as far as the industry is concerned.
In the first half, we have already done 2 million cars, and the main growth is in -- as was seen earlier, main growth is in the SUV segment, where Gabriel is also very strong. So we have seen almost a 7% growth in terms of the Passenger car. And with a robust pipeline, our waiting list, our order book for Passenger cars, we are very sure that this year -- in the whole year, we see another record for the Passenger car segment in India.
Two-wheelers is more or less flat, while there was a thought that this might improve in terms of the overall sentiment since the market has absorbed the price increase that has taken place and the rural segment is -- the sentiment is coming back, but we are still yet to see strong numbers in two-wheelers. And coming to electric vehicles within the two-wheelers, I mean, the scooters are steadily selling around 60-odd per month, which had come down to 45,000 after the same 2 was removed in May, but it's coming back now to 60%, 63%. And this month, obviously, we are expecting and the whole industry is expecting really record sales in all segments. I mean the stock levels for Passenger car around 50, 55 days at the dealers. This is more in terms of -- in expectation of the solid demand that everybody is seeing. And even in 2-wheeler, the stock demand is pretty robust.
Coming to commercial vehicle, which is 12% of the segment mix, as we can see from the Slide 13. That segment also has done well with more than 10% growth. And we are actually seeing an increased buying by commercial vehicle manufacturers in the last couple of -- I mean, last month and this month and going forward. As what we are being told is there is a revival of the replacement cycle by the fleet. So this is helping improve the commercial vehicle pickup in the industry. Now on this slide, in terms of the channel mix, 86% is OE, 12% is aftermarket. So that remains more or less unchanged.
Slide #14 is on the balance sheet. I think you've had a look at the figures. Cash flow is also Slide #15. The debtor days -- I mean, the inventory days have reduced, which is what our focus on cash is -- continues to be very strong, and we will continue to try to improve this further. So this is -- in terms of -- so Slide #16 is our cost reduction drive, our core initiative, which is helping us immensely in terms of improving our margins that continues. And 17 just recapture the vision, which is to be among the top 5 based on 4 founding blocks: the exports, domestic dominance, M&A and technology.
Now Slide 19 is the slide on exports. Yes, the quarter did see a dip in exports mainly because our exports to Colombia were very low because they had stocked up earlier. The production should revive in this quarter. Definitely, it may not come to the level of INR 31 crores, which we had in Q1, but it will be close to that.
Coming to the individual segments. This is Slide #21 is on the 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler segment, where our market share is now 32%. We have got the business award for the HMSI commuter segment, which is Shine 100, that continues to do well. And in addition, of course, on the new platform of Ola, the S1 Air and the Gen2, both -- continues to be 100%. We've also got some new orders from Gogoro and Ather, et cetera, including the PI, the TI, the tube investments vehicle as well.
Going forward -- if you go to Slide #22, which is the -- which is a good story as far as Gabriel is concerned. Our penetration in EV 2-wheelers is very strong, and our share of business is almost 80% because now, in fact, all the top manufacturers use Gabriel suspension. So you -- be it Ola, TVS, Ather, except Bajaj there, I mean, all of them, you can see on the Slide #22 in the box, use Gabriel suspension. So that is good news.
And Slide #23 is on the bicycle -- e-bicycle suspension, which I had shared in several last calls. This is some new foray as far as we are concerned. We have given the first 1,000 front fork in Germany. And in fact, our team members were there in Germany to understand firsthand feedback from the dealers. The feedback is quite positive as far as quality is concerned. We only have to improve further in terms of the rate, which is being addressed, and we are going to give even lightweight suspension and see how it goes from there.
Coming to the next important segment, which is Passenger car, where we saw the improvement as far as segment mix is concerned. This is mainly because the UV segment grew at 30%. And we have got the Maruti Jimny, the Grand Vitara, the Toyota Hyryder, Thar, XUV 700. All these vehicles are with Gabriel. So this definitely -- and of course, the Brezza -- the Maruti Brezza is also with Gabriel. So all this translated into good sales. And thereby, we improved our market share also and overall segment mix of Passenger car has improved.
We also have won a new platform from Maruti Suzuki, which is again SUV segment car. And there is also, I mean, a plan of Maruti of making Jimny, I mean, making Maruti India base for the Jimny exports. So this will also improve our -- they have revised the Jimny production upwards for next year. This is also good news for us. And yes, this Slide #24 shows the pictures of all the SUVs. I missed mentioning the Volkswagen and Skoda SUVs, which are also doing well. We are 100% source to them as well.
Coming to Slide 26, which is the commercial vehicle, where we have a dominant market share. That, I mean, of course, mirrors the industry, and we are looking at some breakthrough in export orders in terms of commercial vehicles, building on the DAF order that we have already got in terms of cabin dampers. We already got RFQ for some axle dampers from DAF of Netherlands. So that should definitely add to our overall content per DAF truck going forward.
Railways, we -- I mean, nothing new to share here other than to say that, yes, we are there on everything that railway needs -- Indian Railway needs. And also the volumes are doing a little better than what we had expected. And I would say even for this year, the same trend should continue.
Aftermarket, again, good growth. We have achieved 9% growth over Q2 of last year. And even if you see H1 half year to half year, it's 11% compared to last year. Yes, the aftermarket, as such is getting a little difficult in the current month, but we will continue to maintain this good growth portfolio -- good growth trend in aftermarket as well.
In terms of M&A, which was one more key foundation blocks of our vision, as you know, we have done the Inalfa Gabriel Sunroof Systems in Chennai. Happy to share that we have already dispatched our first sunroofs assembled in our factory in Chennai, and they have been supplied to Hyundai. These are, of course, for samples. Fitment trials is happening, so -- but I mean, happy to share that the [ XZR ] line, including the robos and the PU encapsulation machine, et cetera, everything, including the people after being trained in Korea are all ready. Now geared up fully for start of production in January.
Also, I had shared last time that we have opened a Gabriel Europe Engineering Centre called GEEC -- we call it GEEC. These are the actual pictures that you see of our engineering centre. The 2 photos that you see are actual engineering centre photos. You can see some of our team members also there. And this has already started functioning. We have 2 expat employees on board, and the plan is to keep on improving this. This is located in Genk in Belgium, right next door to the Ford proving track, which is a very strategic location when we have to do the testing for the vehicles that we will do. This is particularly working in the area of semi-active suspension, where you have developed the 4-wheeler as well as the 2-wheeler, the trials are going on.
And the tech centre, I had already shared. So I'll not share further on the presentation. Now it's -- I'll hand it hand it over back to the moderators and keen to listen to your questions, your inputs and suggestions. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes with Mumuksh Mandlesha with the company of Anand Rathi.
Happy festive season to the management. Sir, starting with just a few questions on the results, the gross margin was lower Q-on-Q. Should it be because of the lower aftermarket and export share, sir? And if I can ask further, the employee cost also has jumped by 9% Q-on-Q. Any reason for that? And what could be a sustainable number for the employee cost?
Mumuksh, we are not able to hear your question. Can you take the receiver and pull away from the mouth and speak?
Yes, it now's clear, sir? Better, sir?
Yes.
Sir, I was asking is that the gross margin was lower this quarter, Q-on-Q. Should the adverse mix, the reason for the gross margin because the aftermarket and export was low in Q2? And also on the employee cost, which has jumped 9% Q-on-Q, any reason for that? And what would be a sustainable number for the employee costs going ahead?
So the gross margin, if you see is -- you are talking about Q-o-Q, not Y-o-Y, right? Okay. Yes. So that is obviously just a mix. Yes, exports is, as I said, the exports are a little down is the factor of the mix that has happened to some extent. What was your second question?
Sir, employee cost had jumped 9% Q-on-Q. Any increase -- any reason for the increase, sir?
Okay. I am assuming you're saying move to the employee cost, right?
Yes, employee costs.
Potentially, we've done some amount of restructuring in terms of the compensation structure. And as a result, there has been a little extra cost in this quarter on account of actual valuation that is what is impacting the employee cost.
So this number can be stable number, right, sir?
Yes, more or less, it should be in that range.
Got it, sir. And sir, 3-wheeler [Technical Difficulty].
Your voice is cracking up.
Okay. Better, sir, now sir?
Yes.
Yes. So I was saying, sir, 3-wheeler EV share, which is around 8% currently. And so what would the plans to ramp up that as the 3-wheeler EV also seeing good potential, sir?
Even an EV share, we are actually -- if you see the organized players, we are very well entrenched. So the kinetic green and the Mahindra Trio and Bajaj EV 3-wheeler, I mean, all 3 are with clutch. So these are the main players, but if you see when there's a mix of many players that are also happening there. That's why we might -- we are a little low on the 3-wheeler compared to the 2-wheeler EV segment.
Right, sir. And sir, on the suspension business, are we seeing some of the competitors in both India and overseas, a place in terms of profitability? Do we see opportunity of acquisitions in the suspension area?
Mumuksh, I mean, yes, of course, I cannot be specific. But yes, there are definitely opportunities globally. And -- in fact, we had looked at one opportunity earlier, but for obvious reason, we cannot. But yes, there are -- to answer your question, there are -- definitely are opportunities in the globe. And as we discussed, we are scanning for any possibility.
Got it, sir. And just lastly, on the sunroof side, any new update on the order wins, sir? And also on the suspension side, you have mentioned about the Gogoro. So can you talk about the potential of this new order win, sir?
Regarding Gogoro, I'll come back to that. The order is not very big, but yes, we have won the order. I'll just come back to you on the figure. On the sunroof side, our focus, of course, is currently to get this SOP where you've got the order from [Indiscernible] started. Primarily, as I've shared, we have discussed with several Indian OEMs. So we have got -- I can only say that we have got some RFQs, and we are in discussions and responding to those RFQs as of now. So no new order wins, but yes, our discussions are on. The good part is starting only we announced in the month of May, and we already have got a couple of RFQs.
And just on the Gogoro, sir?
Gogoro is -- the peak sale value is INR 20 crores, annual sales.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from the line of Viraj with the company SiMPL.
Just a couple of questions. First is on the employee cost, just a clarification. You said that the run rate of INR 50 crores is what we should kind of revert to back in Q3, right?
Yes. I mean, at a similar volume, yes, Viraj.
Yes. So I think there's roughly around INR 4 crores of impact because of revision and gratuity.
Yes. And there are also increases in the minimum wages that has also been taken care of.
Okay. Got it. Second -- so second question is on the engineering and R&D centre in Europe. Just to give a perspective, what kind of investments you would have to make on an annual basis in terms of P&L?
Right now, the investment is not much. I mean we are not putting any big investment there other than some testing equipment. That will also come mostly in the next financial year. It will be more of people cost that will be there because we'll be engaging people, and we don't want to duplicate the test facilities, both in Gabriel Chakan as well as there. So we'll do a minimum investment model and do all the main testing in the tech centre in Chakan.
Okay. So once the centre is full fledged up and running, any -- do you have any particular budget in mind in terms of how we're looking at it? Is it more of a cost center or we would also kind of...
As of now, that is a model, but we -- I mean, if you want to...
Viraj, essentially, it's a center that is going to only work on the future technology. The idea here is to generate intellectual properties, whether registered or not. So effectively, whatever we are going to spend either in Belgium or whatever counterpart we are going to create or we have competed in Pune tech centre facility, that is going to be a part of the patent cost. It is to be clear capitalized value. Roughly, given our plans, INR 10 crores, INR 12 crores a year is what we are looking at in terms of investing every year towards this.
Okay, sir, that will be capitalized. Okay. Second question is largely on the Inalfa JV. So you said that we have commercialized. So we have kind of -- the plant is ready, and we have started with the treatment trial. So the initial capacity will be 4 lakhs, that's right?
2 lakh.
Sorry?
2 lakh, 200,000.
Sir, we only talked about setting up 2 lines, one each of 2 lakh unit?
So 200,000 would be the capacity currently.
Okay. And in terms of ramp-up, how should one really understand?
Well, we'll start from the month of January and the ramp-up will be steep in terms of rupee crore. We realize that we really cannot be sharing those figures. So effectively, each line is 200,000. We are currently starting with one line and depending upon the future orders, we'll be adding more lines. And the first year itself, we would be utilizing roughly around 60% of the capacity.
Understood. And just any update given the other new product initiatives. So I think what we talked about is in the second half, we may have something in terms of probably one more product addition or anything on those lines?
Next fiscal is what we are planning the second part because it's really just integrating this Inalfa right now. And also in terms of new product addition, we have started the e-bicycle front fork. That is also something that we have started. So yes, we'll have to wait for the next fiscal.
The next question comes from the line of Amit Hiranandani with SMIFS Limited.
Congrats for a good set of numbers. Sir, first on the CV side, so we are happy to see that Gabriel India has high market share in the CV segment. Can you please help us with a secret ingredient of maintaining such a high share? And how much of the same is sustainable for the next 5 years? And also, if you can highlight who are the existing competitors in this category?
Yes, Amit. Thanks for your remarks. So on CV side, we have held this kind of market share for quite some time. And as you know, there have been players in this segment, but it's a mix of several things. One is the experience, mainly in terms of understanding the CV market, having the competence in terms of development of the products which offer value to the commercial vehicle customers. And while keeping in mind the cost also is important. So that experience resides with us. And yes, of course, the customer relationships.
And the other part is in CV, it's a high variety and low volume gain. It's a little different when compared to passenger or -- I mean, obviously, I'm not comparing the 2-wheelers which are high volume. This is high-variety, low volume here. So that is something that we have learned and we do well at it. So these are some of the factors that hold us in good stead as far as CV is concerned.
And yes, our response, our service levels in terms of quality, cost, delivery, have been excellent in terms of product development, I'm happy to share that just a couple of weeks back, we won the technology and innovation award from always competing with the best in the technology competing with bases and Continentals of the world. Gabriel was awarded this Technology Innovation Award for our product -- not for a product, in proprietary products, in fact, in the entire space of proprietary products. So all this put together, I think this whole -- this augers well for us.
Happy to hear that you're winning new innovating at competing with the global players.
Not only the current business, but we are in we are developing new products for them as and when they want. And as we speak, we are working on new products to address the global CV industry as well. And your other question was on going forward 5 years, whether we'll be able to hold the market share. Well, I think you've done that for solar. So I would say that yes, should continue.
Sir, my second question on the Sunroof business. So just curious to know why Gabriel is a little slow in Sunroof capacity expansion the company setting up only 2 lakh units capacity, whereas your competitor we best already has place capacity and this going to near double to 9.5 lakh units in the next coming few years. So just your remark on this, please.
Yes. So base has been here for some timing last has been a year for at least -- I mean, over 2 years. So we have just announced this venture in the month of May. So as I said, the important thing would be for us to get this one line fully utilized, and I believe we have worked on the second line. And of course, you're working to get new business orders from the other -- other than Hyundai Care customers, so...
Okay. Okay. Sir, continuing with this, so approximately our estimated sunroof industry size is about 13 to 14 lakh units in FY '24. And I just wanted to know if you have this data out of this number, how much percentage roughly is exported from India? And if you can name a few of the models, which get exported with sunroof?
You're talking about sunroof exports or the...
The car with sunroof, which get exported from India.
Amit, unfortunately, I don't have that figure. But, yes, I mean, OE wise, it is different, so difficult for me to revert on that. But let -- we'll get back to you.
Okay. Sir, just last one question on the 2-wheeler side. So how much more is the price of one shock absorber and electric 2-wheeler, or if you can throw some percentage how much is the realization is higher in the EV?
So yes, Amit, you answered this earlier in the sense that there's practically no difference between EV and non-EV shocks, especially in 2-wheelers. So the price also, in fact, our realization may be a little better in 2-wheelers because these are new players. So realization is better, but as far as product is concerned, it's pretty much the same.
No, I mean, the competitive with the EV 2-wheeler versus EV -- sorry, 2-wheeler IC. So the 2-wheeler EV shock as our price is a little bit higher, right?
It is higher, but the product remains more or less the same.
The next question comes from the line of Akshay Karwa with Anand Rathi.
A couple of questions from my side. Sir, could you talk about the industry performance in H2? How do you see the growth for the 2-wheeler industry, passenger vehicle and commercial vehicles any production schedule that has been shared with you, which really helps with growth, sir?
Yes. So as we mentioned, the EV order book looks to be quite strong. The EV players are going for replacement demand, I mean, the fleet replacement cycle. The EV order seems to be quite strong. Coming to Passenger car, I already mentioned the order book has come down slightly at least, and now you have vehicles available. When you go to bike, it has just come down, but order book is strong. So even EV could definitely fall in the range of 8% to 10%, EV will be definitely 10-plus percent. But 2-wheeler is what I've mentioned that while the expectation that it should improve, but we are still seeing a very flat kind of ICE 2-wheelers.
ICE 2-wheelers. Got it, sir. And sir, lastly, sir -- lastly, on the electronic suspension, just a basic question. So when do you think the average Indian customer would want to move towards such kind of suspensions? How do you see this market evolve from traditional suspension that we have today to electronic suspensions like where do you see -- when do you see such kind of a shift happen? And what would be the approx. price difference today, so doing the same?
So the electronic suspension is even if you see globally, it does not come in March market cost where the average price of car itself is very high in Europe or U.S. or Japan, developed nations. Basis, the percentage of active suspension or semiactive basically electronic suspension is pretty low, with less than 20%. So for that to come to India in a March market is [indiscernible]. Nevertheless, you should have the product in your portfolio as far as technology is concerned. And manyatimes, it so happens that the higher variant or the highest variant will have the -- they may give an option at an additional cost because cost of this is so high. In some models, it is given at additional cost to one sector, which has been still considered as additional cost.
Got it. And what would be the approx. highest difference? So let's say, I found that traditional suspension is 1x. So how much would be electronic suspension would be the bet, like a ballpark number, sir?
It'd be more like 2, 3x.
Next question comes from the line of Jay Kale with Elara Capital.
Sir, my first question is regarding your orders. So if you see -- you've got a pretty decent share and increasing share in 2-wheeler ICE with 2-wheeler EVs. And also in the passenger vehicle in the UV side, you're getting decent orders. Could you comment a little more about your order outlook for passenger vehicle EV side? Because typically, now probably in the next 12 to 18 months, you will see a lot of EV in EVs being launched by the legacy OEMs in India and the development time would be closer to at least 2 to 3 years or maybe at least 24 months. So any color you can throw on that piece of the business? And is the order win getting order wins and that piece a little more difficult or easier if you can just throw some light on how the competitive landscape is different in that segment versus your other 3 pieces?
Yes, Jay, so if you see the EV Passenger car, the penetration is at 1%. And again, while there was a good improvement somewhere in Q4 of last fiscal, the volumes are more or less -- if you see last 4 to 5 months, it's around 7,000 in that range, 7,000 to 8,000. So it's will still take time because, one, the cost is still high, and people still don't buy it as a first car. It is all still second car consideration. So it will still take some time for that market to really penetration to improve in terms of EV 4-wheelers.
Having said that, our, let's say, penetration or share of business in EV Passenger car is low because the main player there is Nexon. Nexon is -- the Nexon EV itself is about 70% of the overall EV market in passenger cars. So that's why where we are not existing. However, we have got a new model of Tata Motors, which we are developing currently, which will go on the EV as well. It has got both ICE and EV. So we are there. So that will definitely start.
We are there on the -- it's a very small volume, but the users to throw -- like EC3, that has been introduced. We are there on that model that is 100% with us. And we are there on [ MG ]. So these are the main -- I would say, the main 3 EV players in India and for this Mahindra SUV. Again, that platform is not with us. It's the same suspension.
So your other related question was -- I mean, is it something different or are there some different considerations? No, I don't think so. It's just a tuning of the shock observer, has to be done differently. It's pretty much the same technology and the same product. Only it has to be engineered to meet the rider handling characteristics, which are needed be changed because the EV weight distribution is totally different and the battery, it's all heavy at the bottom. So to that extent, it changes.
Having said that, we are also investing further in our tech centre in noise testing equipment so that we are very well prepared to ensure that our suspension is as silent as it can be because the in-cab noise is obviously going to reduce as we go along. So that's what I had to share as far as EV 4-wheeler is concerned.
Understood. This is helpful. And second, on your margin side, we've now come to a steady state 8.6% margin, at least in the last couple of quarters. You had historically mentioned that your target is to reach 10% or double digits irrespective of the commodity scenario or the mix scenario, it's more about your internal cost efficiencies. We have seen some bit of benefit on the commodity side probably in the last couple of quarters. So how should one think about your margins in the next 1 or 2 years? Are we on track to reach that double digit with -- without the commodity benefit coming in?
So Jay, actually, on the contrary, this quarter, you are seeing a bit of an impact on the gross margins. That's on account of different index being used by different customers and on the supplier side. so close to 0.3% impact is on account of sort of commodity rather than a positive effect. So in line to what we have been saying that irrespective of the commodity, we have the endeavor of reaching the double digit. We are on that track. We have sort of exhibited in the last 2 quarters. The plan is to continue with this trend. And again, in terms of what will be the secret sauce, well, 490 is the answer, which is essentially encompassing all the projects that we have planned to undertake to these double digit.
The next question comes from Nikhil with SiMPL.
I hope I'm audible.
Yes.
Congratulations on a good set of numbers. Just 2 questions. One is continuing on this margin trajectory of double digits. Now when we had met last time, you had mentioned that if we categorize our margin across buckets, an increasing PV contribution actually puts a pressure on our margins. Now in order to reach that 10% or double-digit, how would the mix between the different categories have to play out? So which of these categories you would say or segments you would say have to scale up so that even though our EV order mix keeps on increasing, our margins can reach at double digits, that is one. And second was, I'm just curious to understand, we had a very strong R&D center in Chakan, which we had visited and we have done a lot of work on the R&D side. Why did we put a R&D centre in Belgium? Was it like on behest of our customers or what strategic advantage does this give us?
You talked about Japan, which was that name, sorry?
Sorry?
You said the term, Japan, I didn't understand...
No. I didn't say anything on Japan. So I said why did we put a R&D centre in Belgium while we have a centre in Chakan. So just wanted to understand what advantage does it provide?
It's not Japan. It's Chakan.
Yes. I'm sorry.
I heard it as Japan. Okay. So I'll cover the first question, Nikhil. Thanks for the compliment. See, as far as the EBITDA margin, yes, certainly, the mix has to play a role there. That's why we are targeting, obviously, adding products to the aftermarket using our range, getting 3 areas in product also traded like using stable -- brand name of, that is one part. The second is the railways. So we have developed all the products for railways. So railway, while the top line is not very big, I've always maintained, but it does contribute to the bottom line. It will definitely play a part in terms of margin improvement towards product mix.
The third would be exports, where we are working on. As I said, we have now the DAF, where we are supplying the cabin dampers. Now finally, we have got -- as what we had planned for, we have now got the axle damper RFQ as well. So exports will also play an important role in terms of margin improvement and sustenance. So these would be the areas whereby we will try to address it through the mix part.
Having said that, Passenger car, we did mention, it is the most, I mean, competitive market. But nevertheless, we have -- as we have discussed, we have been pursuing with OEMs for some compensation. And yes, we are also looking at some improvement in terms of the realization as far as passenger car is concerned, even in the current scenario. That was for the first part of margin improvement.
Second, you asked about why we are set up in Belgium. Now this centre has been developed -- set up mainly to address the Passenger car segment, mainly also to get some expertise on the semi-active suspension, which is mainly in the Passenger car. Two-wheelers also use to a very small extent, and we are working -- actually developed our first 2-wheeler. We ran it in the test track in Belgium already last week. But the main focus is for semi-active suspension in Passenger car segment. And that is where the skill and the competence resides.
Europe is -- as you know, Europe -- the technology levels of Europe definitely are as far as Passenger car is concerned, we all would agree it is among the best. And that knowledge does not reside in India for sure. I mean we actually don't even have anybody with that experience in India. And we have narrowed down on a geography which is right next door to the Ford proving track, which gives easy access for us to do the testing.
Second, it is also a good area, very close to Netherlands, close to Germany, close to France. So it is very easily accessible for us to locate somebody there and visit any customer within literally 3-hour drive, 1-hour to 3-hour drive. And the third point is there are a lot of good universities around that area, where we are able to access some good talent as well going forward. So all these 3 put together revenue, it was to be in Europe. So we finally narrowed down to Belgium in -- and the facility there is also quite a beautiful facility at a very, very reasonable price.
Based on this technology R&D investment, which we are doing, is there any related products, which you can develop and probably try to enter a similar product to a suspension or related or ancillary kind of a product because we are investing like INR 10 crores every year behind this R&D. So it is only for one product or do you think we can develop more products using this technology advantage? And secondly, on the margin side, is exports, aftermarket and the other pieces have all to add up? Would you say that these 3 or 4 segments have to become like 20%, 25% of our business for us to reach a double-digit margin?
Absolutely. So we have clearly said long-term ambition also has been to take exposure aftermarket to that range of 20%, 25% definitely, that's the plan. Second, if there's any other product, right, it will be mainly for -- this will not -- as we see this help in any other product. But once you have a footprint in Europe, it opens up doors. It definitely opens up doors. We've already seen some benefits in terms of some new opportunities have come up. Unless you have feet on the ground, things won't happen.
The next question is from Rajit, who is individual.
Congratulations on a good set of numbers. I just had a few questions. One is on the utility vehicle segment. Our utility vehicle segment has been outperforming the other segments of the Passenger cars for quite some time now. Do you think that trend is sustainable? And do you see similar kind of growth going into FY '25 as well?
You mean the Utility Vehicle share of the market?
Yes, the share of the market as well and your growth within the Utility Vehicle segment.
Yes, definitely. I mean we are definitely seeing this UV -- see, currently, the UV forms about 52%, 53% of -- 52% to 54% of the overall Passenger car pie. It is expected to reach to a level of 60% to 65% in India. So there's definite room for it to grow further. Entry-level sedans as well as the hatchbacks are the ones that are taking a beating. So this will -- the UVs will definitely improve. And as far as we are concerned, I mean, Gabriel, we have a good order pipeline for the UVs.
So let's say, we are now working at Volkswagen for the current UVs. We already have got the new platform nomination. We have got a new SUV of Maruti that order also is with us. And there is also one Tata Motors vehicle, which is with us. So yes, certainly, we see a good traction with regard to Gabriel and SUV segment.
Right, sir. And another question on -- going back to the JV for the sunroof, earlier, I think there was an estimate or a number which was shared of a peak turnover of more than INR 1,000 crores. Was that -- I mean, I believe that would include both the lines, the four lucky lines. Now we are saying initially, we will only focus on the 2 lakh capacity. So does that mean for now, we are looking at a peak turnover of approximately INR 500 crores? And the related question actually is, I mean, recently another industry participant signed an LOI, set up a JV for sunroof. So does that have anything to do with them, I mean, looking at a lower number?
No, no, no. It's nothing to do with that. We had announced this number earlier itself, not today. So INR 1,000 crores was with 2 lakhs, yes. It all -- as I said, it takes time. We have been lucky that we got the first order quite soon. I mean we have put up the plant in July and we are supplying from January. It doesn't happen normally. But that's due to the partner and the order that we have with Hyundai KIA.
So initially, it's -- I mean, the first line will stabilize and then the second line will come. I mean I don't think that we are taking any -- let me put it this way, we are not going to leave any opportunity unanswered as far as sunroof is concerned. And if it calls for us -- if the demand is so that we have to put up one more line, let's say, even in a different geography, we are completely ready for it.
And Rajit bhai, we are not changing the numbers that we had shared earlier. We are saying that as of now, we are stabilizing the first line. And thereafter, we're going to follow it with the second line.
The next question comes from Viraj with SiMPL.
So one of the first line which we set up. So I think 60%, if you look at targeting 50% in the first year itself, it's a very good scale up which we are looking at. So in the second line, what is typically a lead time for one to establish it? Either at existing or any other new location?
Sorry, Viraj, can you repeat it once more?
Yes. So I'm saying that for us, looking at around 60% utilization in the first year itself, it was a very good target to achieve. But if we are to look at adding second line, usually, what is the lead time for one to do that? Either at a new location or existing?
No, existing location, we have ensured that we have enough space to put one more line. I mean that's how we have planned it in that Chennai factory itself. So putting up a new building is not required. But getting the new line, that development period would be close to 30-odd weeks.
Okay. And the supply ramp-up, which we're looking at will include both Hyundai and KIA as well because I think even for Seltos, we were earlier looking at?
Hyundai and KIA, not Seltos, but these are on the model of KIA.
Okay. So this will include -- the 60% would include both the OEs?
No, it only include Hyundai. This is only Hyundai. The KIA one will kick in from January 25. Okay? It will take the utilization even higher.
Understood. And once the operation kind of stabilizes, I think earlier, we had shared our double-digit operating margin after adjusting for all the royalty payouts. So this still holds true for the business.
Yes it is.
Okay. And last question was on the CapEx part. We earlier shared about plus INR 100 crores CapEx on the stand-alone entity. But if we look at the first year half, we've kind of spread around INR 35 crores. So are we still -- is there any revision, or are we still looking at that kind of a CapEx outlier?
So we have -- I mean INR 100 crores to INR 120 crores of the CapEx on stand-alone was sort of the total commitment that we will do. The cash flow will be obviously different in different parts of the peer. Our rough estimate still stands at INR 100 crores. It can be a little -- sort of the payout can happen overflow in the '24, '25 as well.
The next question comes from Amit Hiranandani with SMIFS Limited.
Sir, any talks with the group for reducing the royalty payment?
Amit, we did discuss when we met last time that we, of course have noted all your inputs. It's all that we can say right now.
Okay. Sir, how much royalty Gabriel has paid to its technology partners in FY '23?
In FY '23. Amit, I'll come back to you. It's around, yes, it's around $40 million. I'll come back.
About INR 4-odd crores.
But that's there in annual report as well, yes.
Okay. Sir, just last question on the FSD tax. So any client addition or product wins on this FSD side?
Yes. So we are working with 2 clients to other OEMs like this technology, not yet resulted in a business, but we have developed the suspension. We are actually fitting it on their vehicle and testing it out.
The next question comes from Rehan, a private investor.
Hello?
Yes, yes. Go ahead.
Sir, just want to understand the competitive landscape in the PV segment. You are a 25% share. How much would be the other players?
So number one is Tenneco. They have, I would say, close to 40%. And the other player is Mando, who is Anand Group JV company only. It is the Hyundai and Kia, which is about 25%.
Okay. Sir, Motherson is not in this space?
Yes, they have a JV with -- it's Motherson Magneti Marelli. There is only one plant, which mainly does export to -- back to Italy.
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Manoj Kolhatkar for his closing comments. Please go ahead.
Thank you. So thank you. Thank you all for those interesting questions and your opinion. So -- yes, we are quite happy that we have been able to deliver on what we have been telling in terms of margin improvement, in terms of [indiscernible] growing ahead of market. Yes, and we are very excited with this new JV and the new sunroof plant. And I was there last week. It was very heartening to see the first new products being dispatched to our customer. So yes, I think it's a good note for all of us to start the festive season. So all I can wish everybody is very, very happy and safe Diwali and a prosperous New Year and look forward to meeting you in the next call. So thank you, thank you so much.
On behalf of Gabriel India, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.