Bajaj Auto Ltd
NSE:BAJAJ-AUTO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BAJAJ-AUTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 6 571.55 INR. Compared to the current market price of 9 452.15 INR, Bajaj Auto Ltd is Overvalued by 30%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Bajaj Auto Ltd. Overview Bajaj Auto Ltd., a pivotal player in the global automotive landscape, stands as one of India’s leading motorcycle and three-wheeler manufacturers. Established in 1945, the company has evolved from a modest enterprise to a powerhouse that not only dominates the Indian market but also exports to over 70 countries worldwide. With a diverse product range encompassing motorcycles, scooters, and commercial vehicles, Bajaj Auto has consistently emphasized innovation and quality. The company’s strategic focus on research and development has led to the creation of fuel-efficient engines and cutting-edge designs, positioning it favorably in a highly competitive market. As...
Bajaj Auto Ltd. Overview
Bajaj Auto Ltd., a pivotal player in the global automotive landscape, stands as one of India’s leading motorcycle and three-wheeler manufacturers. Established in 1945, the company has evolved from a modest enterprise to a powerhouse that not only dominates the Indian market but also exports to over 70 countries worldwide. With a diverse product range encompassing motorcycles, scooters, and commercial vehicles, Bajaj Auto has consistently emphasized innovation and quality. The company’s strategic focus on research and development has led to the creation of fuel-efficient engines and cutting-edge designs, positioning it favorably in a highly competitive market. As urbanization and the demand for affordable transportation soar, Bajaj Auto’s robust production capabilities and strong brand equity place it on a trajectory for continued growth.
For investors, Bajaj Auto represents a compelling opportunity not only due to its established market position but also its commitment to sustainable practices and electric mobility solutions. The company is increasingly aligning its operations with global trends toward eco-friendly vehicles, which is likely to enhance its appeal to environmentally conscious consumers and investors alike. With a history of delivering strong financial performance and impressive return on equity, Bajaj Auto’s focus on expanding its international footprint and diversifying its product line makes it a sound addition to any portfolio. By prioritizing scalability and resilience, Bajaj Auto is poised to not just navigate the evolving automotive landscape but to thrive as a leader in the industry.
Bajaj Auto Ltd., one of the leading two-wheeler and three-wheeler manufacturing companies in India, operates primarily through the following core business segments:
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Two-Wheelers:
- Motorcycles: This segment includes a range of motorcycles targeted at different consumer segments, from entry-level models to high-performance bikes. Popular models include the Pulsar, Avenger, and Dominar.
- Scooters: Bajaj also offers scooters, primarily targeting urban consumers looking for mobility solutions. The Bajaj Chetak electric scooter is a notable product in this segment.
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Three-Wheelers:
- This includes the manufacture and sale of auto rickshaws, which are essential for public transportation in many parts of India and other countries. Bajaj’s popular models in this segment include the Bajaj RE, commonly known for its durability and fuel efficiency.
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Electric Vehicles (EVs):
- In response to the growing demand for sustainable transport solutions, Bajaj Auto has also ventured into the electric vehicle sector, offering electric two-wheelers like the Bajaj Chetak EV.
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Spare Parts and Accessories:
- The company also generates revenue through the sale of spare parts and accessories for its vehicles, which supports its core business and adds to customer engagement through after-sales services.
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International Business:
- Bajaj Auto exports a significant portion of its production to various international markets, making it a key player in the global two-wheeler and three-wheeler markets. The company has a strong presence in regions like Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia.
These segments are vital to Bajaj Auto's overall business strategy and contribute to its revenue, market share, and brand reputation in the highly competitive automotive industry. The company emphasizes innovation and strong distribution networks to maintain its competitive edge.
Bajaj Auto Ltd. has established several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the automotive industry, particularly in the two-wheeler and three-wheeler segments. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Bajaj Auto has built a strong brand over several decades, synonymous with quality and reliability. This brand equity attracts customers and fosters loyalty.
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Robust Product Portfolio: The company has a diverse range of products, including motorcycles, scooters, and commercial vehicles. Their ability to cater to different market segments, including urban and rural areas, enhances their market position.
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Innovative Technology: Bajaj has been at the forefront of adopting and developing new technologies in its vehicles. This includes fuel-efficient engines, innovative designs, and advanced safety features, making their products appealing to consumers.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest manufacturers in India, Bajaj Auto benefits from economies of scale. This reduces per-unit costs, allowing them to price competitively while maintaining healthy margins.
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Extensive Distribution Network: Bajaj has a well-established distribution and service network across India and in several international markets. This supports effective market penetration and customer reach.
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Strong Export Presence: The company has successfully expanded its footprint in international markets, particularly in Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia. This diversification reduces reliance on the domestic market and buffers against localized economic downturns.
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Focus on R&D and Innovation: Bajaj invests significantly in research and development to innovate and improve its products. Their focus on developing fuel-efficient and environmentally friendly vehicles positions them well for changing consumer preferences and regulations.
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Cost Leadership: Through efficient manufacturing processes and supply chain management, Bajaj Auto maintains relatively low production costs, allowing for competitively priced offerings without compromising on quality.
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Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: Bajaj has formed strategic alliances and partnerships that enhance its technological capabilities and market reach, providing a competitive edge over rivals.
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Brand Extensions and New Segments: The company continually innovates and explores new segments, such as electric vehicles (EVs), adapting to market trends and consumer demands.
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Financial Resilience: Strong financial management and healthy cash flow generation allow Bajaj Auto to invest in growth initiatives, such as new product development and market expansion, while navigating economic downturns effectively.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Bajaj Auto Ltd. to sustain its market leadership and innovate in responding to industry changes, consumer preferences, and competitive pressures.
Bajaj Auto Ltd, one of India's leading motorcycle and three-wheeler manufacturers, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. These can be categorized into various areas:
1. Market Competition
- Intense Competition: The two-wheeler and three-wheeler segments are highly competitive, with several domestic and international players vying for market share. Price wars and aggressive marketing strategies by competitors can impact margins.
- Emerging Rivals: New entrants and startups, especially in the electric vehicle (EV) segment, may disrupt traditional markets, necessitating a constant evolution of product offerings.
2. Regulatory Challenges
- Government Policies: Changes in government regulations related to emissions standards, safety norms, and import/export duties can affect production costs and operational efficiency.
- Electric Vehicle Incentives: The effectiveness of government incentives for EVs could dictate the pace of transition in consumer preference towards electric models.
3. Economic Conditions
- Economic Slowdown: The overall economic environment, including effects from inflation, increasing interest rates, and a slowdown in consumer spending, could negatively impact sales.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: External factors like global supply chain issues, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions could impact the availability and cost of components, affecting production schedules.
4. Technological Changes
- Shift to Electric Vehicles: Transitioning to electric vehicles requires substantial investment in R&D, as well as changes in manufacturing and supply chain logistics.
- Digitalization: Adopting digital strategies for sales, marketing, and customer engagement is increasingly important. Failing to innovate could lead to loss of market relevance.
5. Consumer Behavior
- Changing Preferences: As younger consumers become the primary market, their preferences may shift towards sustainable and technologically advanced vehicles, requiring Bajaj Auto to adapt quickly.
- Impact of Shared Mobility: The rise of shared mobility solutions might reduce the demand for personal vehicles, especially in urban areas.
6. Financial Risks
- Currency Fluctuations: Since Bajaj Auto exports a significant portion of its products, volatility in foreign exchange rates can affect profitability.
- Rising Input Costs: Increases in raw material prices (like steel and plastics), particularly in a volatile global market, can squeeze margins.
7. Brand Perception and Issues
- Quality Control: Maintaining high quality and customer satisfaction is crucial. Any lapses can damage brand reputation, with long-term impacts on customer loyalty.
- Sustainability Concerns: Increasing scrutiny from consumers regarding environmental impact may pressure Bajaj Auto to adopt sustainable practices.
8. Labor Relations
- Workforce Management: Labor strikes or issues related to labor conditions can disrupt production. Maintaining good relations with workers is vital for consistent output.
Conclusion
To navigate these challenges, Bajaj Auto must be proactive in its approach to market dynamics, competitive strategies, and technological advancements. Strategic planning, investment in R&D, and focus on diversification into new segments like EVs will be crucial in sustaining growth and mitigating risks in the coming years.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Bajaj Auto Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Bajaj Auto Ltd
Current Assets | 161.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 95.5B |
Receivables | 41.1B |
Other Current Assets | 24.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 297B |
Long-Term Investments | 224.7B |
PP&E | 32.8B |
Intangibles | 259.6m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 39.3B |
Current Liabilities | 105.8B |
Accounts Payable | 69.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 19.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 17.3B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 42.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 32B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Bajaj Auto Ltd
Revenue
|
489B
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-343.7B
INR
|
Gross Profit
|
145.3B
INR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-51.9B
INR
|
Operating Income
|
93.4B
INR
|
Other Expenses
|
-19.7B
INR
|
Net Income
|
73.7B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Bajaj Auto Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
BAJAJ-AUTO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Bajaj Auto Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Bajaj Auto Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BAJAJ-AUTO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Bajaj Auto Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Bajaj Auto Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BAJAJ-AUTO Price Targets Summary
Bajaj Auto Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAJAJ-AUTO is 11 010.82 INR with a low forecast of 7 297.25 INR and a high forecast of 14 700 INR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BAJAJ-AUTO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Bajaj Auto Ltd. engages in the manufacture and market of motorcycles and three-wheeler vehicles. The company is headquartered in Pune, Maharashtra. The company went IPO on 2008-05-26. The firm is engaged in the business of the development, manufacturing, and distribution of automobiles, such as motorcycles, commercial vehicles, electric two-wheelers, and parts. Its segments include Automotive, Investments and Others. Its motorcycles include Boxer, CT, Platina, Discover, Pulsar, Avenger, KTM, Dominar, Husqvarna, and Chetak. Its commercial vehicles include Passenger Carriers, Good Carriers, and Quadricycle. The firm's geographic segments include India and the Rest of the world. The firm's plants include the Waluj plant, Chakan plant and Pantnagar plant. The firm has five overseas subsidiaries: PT Bajaj Auto Indonesia, Bajaj Auto International Holdings BV, Netherlands, Bajaj Auto (Thailand) Ltd., Bajaj Auto Spain S.L.U. and Bajaj Do Brasil Comercio De Motocicletas Ltda and two Indian subsidiaries: Chetak Technology Ltd. and Bajaj Auto Consumer Finance Ltd.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one BAJAJ-AUTO stock under the Base Case scenario is 6 571.55 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 9 452.15 INR, Bajaj Auto Ltd is Overvalued by 30%.