Adani Total Gas Ltd
NSE:ATGL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ATGL stock under the Base Case scenario is 136.42 INR. Compared to the current market price of 690.2 INR, Adani Total Gas Ltd is Overvalued by 80%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Adani Total Gas Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Adani Total Gas Ltd., a joint venture between the Adani Group and TotalEnergies, stands at the forefront of India's burgeoning natural gas sector. Founded in 2004, the company has rapidly evolved from an emerging player to a key contributor in transforming India's energy landscape. Through its expansive network of city gas distribution and the provision of compressed natural gas (CNG) and piped natural gas (PNG) to domestic, commercial, and industrial customers, Adani Total Gas is well-positioned to leverage the country’s shift towards cleaner energy sources. With India's ongoing push for sustainable energy solutions, fueled by government policies and growing public awareness, Adani Total Ga...
Adani Total Gas Ltd., a joint venture between the Adani Group and TotalEnergies, stands at the forefront of India's burgeoning natural gas sector. Founded in 2004, the company has rapidly evolved from an emerging player to a key contributor in transforming India's energy landscape. Through its expansive network of city gas distribution and the provision of compressed natural gas (CNG) and piped natural gas (PNG) to domestic, commercial, and industrial customers, Adani Total Gas is well-positioned to leverage the country’s shift towards cleaner energy sources. With India's ongoing push for sustainable energy solutions, fueled by government policies and growing public awareness, Adani Total Gas is intricately linked to the broader narrative of natural gas adoption as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil.
Investors looking at Adani Total Gas will find a company with a bright growth trajectory, bolstered by strategic partnerships and investments aimed at expanding its geographical footprint. The company not only showcases robust financial performance but also emphasizes sustainable practices, reflecting a commitment to integrating environmental and social governance (ESG) principles into its operations. As the demand for energy continues to rise, particularly in urban centers, Adani Total Gas is poised to capture significant market share in the Indian gas distribution sector. With a strong backing from the Adani Group's diversified portfolio and TotalEnergies' expertise, the company represents an attractive opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the rapidly evolving energy market in India.
Adani Total Gas Ltd. is primarily engaged in the distribution of natural gas in India. Here are the core business segments:
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City Gas Distribution (CGD): This is the primary segment of Adani Total Gas Ltd. The company focuses on providing piped natural gas (PNG) to residential, commercial, and industrial users within designated geographical areas. The CGD business is aimed at promoting the use of cleaner fuel alternatives.
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Compressed Natural Gas (CNG): Adani Total Gas also operates CNG stations to supply compressed natural gas to the transportation sector. This includes fueling vehicles like buses, taxis, and trucks, positioning CNG as a cleaner alternative to traditional fuels like diesel and petrol.
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Retail and Commercial Gas Supply: This segment caters to various commercial establishments and industries, providing them with natural gas for their energy needs. This could include hotels, restaurants, manufacturing units, and other businesses requiring a consistent gas supply.
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Infrastructure Development: In addition to gas distribution, the company is involved in developing the infrastructure necessary for its operations, including pipelines, storage facilities, and metering stations.
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Renewable Energy and Sustainability Initiatives: Although still a developing segment, Adani Total Gas is increasingly focusing on sustainable practices and exploring avenues for integrating renewable energy solutions into its operations.
These business segments enable Adani Total Gas to tap into the growing demand for cleaner and more efficient energy solutions, aligning with India's energy transition goals. The company's strategic partnerships and investments further bolster its position in the gas sector.
Adani Total Gas Ltd has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the energy sector, particularly in the natural gas market. Here are some key advantages:
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Integrated Business Model: Adani Total Gas operates as part of the larger Adani Group, which provides it with a diversified portfolio and synergy across various sectors, including logistics, renewable energy, and infrastructure. This integration can enhance operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
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Strong Distribution Network: The company has developed a robust network for the distribution of natural gas, including a large number of city gas distribution (CGD) projects across India. Their extensive reach enables them to tap into emerging markets and maintain a competitive edge in service delivery.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaboration with global energy players like TotalEnergies strengthens their market position and provides access to advanced technologies, best practices, and international expertise. This partnership can enhance innovation and service offerings.
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Growing Demand for Natural Gas: With an increasing emphasis on cleaner energy sources, Adani Total Gas is well-positioned to benefit from the rising demand for natural gas in India. Their emphasis on sustainability aligns with global trends toward decarbonization.
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Investment in Infrastructure: The company has a strong focus on investing in infrastructure development, which is crucial for scaling operations. By investing in pipelines and distribution networks, they can capture a larger market share and reduce logistics costs.
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Regulatory Licenses and Compliance: Being one of the leading players in the CGD space, Adani Total Gas has secured essential regulatory approvals and licenses, which can be a barrier to entry for new competitors. Their established compliance mechanisms can facilitate smoother operations in a regulated industry.
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Innovation and Technology: Continuous investment in technology and innovation helps Adani Total Gas improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer service. This focus on adopting cutting-edge technology can provide them with a significant competitive edge.
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Robust Financial Backing: As part of the Adani Group, the company benefits from substantial financial resources, enabling it to undertake large-scale projects and withstand market volatility better than smaller competitors.
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Diverse Customer Base: With a range of customers from residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, Adani Total Gas is diversified enough to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single customer segment.
In summary, Adani Total Gas Ltd leverages its integrated business model, strategic partnerships, extensive infrastructure, and commitment to sustainability to maintain a competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving natural gas sector.
Adani Total Gas Ltd, like any other company in the energy sector, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth trajectory. Here are some key risks and challenges the company may encounter in the near future:
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Regulatory Risks: The gas distribution sector is heavily regulated, and any changes in government policies, such as pricing regulations, subsidy adjustments, or stricter environmental norms, could adversely affect operations.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Any disruptions in the supply of natural gas, either due to geopolitical tensions, changes in trade policies, or logistics challenges, could impact Adani Total Gas Ltd’s ability to deliver to its customers.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing scrutiny and concerns over climate change and environmental impacts may lead to stricter environmental regulations, influencing the company’s operational flexibility and costs.
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Competition: The energy sector is competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. Increased competition from other gas suppliers or renewable energy sources can pressure market pricing and profit margins.
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Market Demand Fluctuations: Changes in customer demand for natural gas, influenced by factors such as economic conditions, technological advancements (like the growth of electric vehicles), or a shift towards renewable energy sources, could affect revenue.
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Debt Levels: If the company carries a high level of debt, it may face challenges in managing its financial health, especially during periods of low revenue or increased interest rates.
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Infrastructure Development: Delays in the development of necessary infrastructure, such as pipelines or distribution networks, can hinder the company's ability to expand its services and reach new markets.
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Technological Advancements: The advent of new technologies, such as hydrogen energy and battery storage, may shift energy consumption patterns and reduce reliance on natural gas, impacting long-term demand.
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Foreign Exchange Risks: As a company operating in India, fluctuations in currency exchange rates could affect costs, especially if international suppliers are involved.
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Public Perception and Reputation: Increased public awareness and activism regarding fossil fuels could lead to reputational risks, which may impact customer loyalty and investor perceptions.
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Pandemic Risks: Ongoing or future public health issues, similar to the COVID-19 pandemic, could disrupt operations or affect customer demand.
Mitigating these risks involves strategic planning, diversification, maintaining a flexible operational structure, and a robust risk management framework.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Adani Total Gas Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Adani Total Gas Ltd
Current Assets | 10.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 4.8B |
Receivables | 4.1B |
Other Current Assets | 1.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 55.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 7.4B |
PP&E | 46.3B |
Intangibles | 485.3m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.4B |
Current Liabilities | 18.1B |
Accounts Payable | 3.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 4.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 9.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 12B |
Long-Term Debt | 9.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Adani Total Gas Ltd
Revenue
|
49.2B
INR
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Cost of Revenue
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-32B
INR
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Gross Profit
|
17.2B
INR
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Operating Expenses
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-7.4B
INR
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Operating Income
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9.8B
INR
|
Other Expenses
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-2.9B
INR
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Net Income
|
6.9B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Adani Total Gas Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
ATGL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Adani Total Gas Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Adani Total Gas Ltd's profitability score is 59/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ATGL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Adani Total Gas Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Adani Total Gas Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ATGL Price Targets Summary
Adani Total Gas Ltd
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ATGL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ATGL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Adani Total Gas Ltd. operates as a gas distribution company. The company is headquartered in Ahmedabad, Gujarat and currently employs 466 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2018-11-05. The firm is a wholly owned subsidiary of Adani Enterprises Ltd. The firm is focused on developing City Gas Distribution (CGD) Networks to supply the Piped Natural Gas (PNG) to the Industrial, Commercial, Domestic (residential) and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) to the transport sector. The firm has set up various city gas distribution networks in Ahmedabad and Vadodara in Gujarat, Faridabad in Haryana and Khurja in Uttar Pradesh.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ATGL stock under the Base Case scenario is 136.42 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 690.2 INR, Adani Total Gas Ltd is Overvalued by 80%.