Ashok Leyland Ltd
NSE:ASHOKLEY
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ASHOKLEY stock under the Base Case scenario is 207.46 INR. Compared to the current market price of 223.96 INR, Ashok Leyland Ltd is Overvalued by 7%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Ashok Leyland Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Ashok Leyland Ltd
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Ashok Leyland Ltd., a prominent name in the Indian commercial vehicle sector, has crafted a compelling narrative over its storied existence since 1948. Founded by the visionary industrialist Raghunandan Saran, the company has steadily evolved from a small assembly operation to one of the largest manufacturers of buses and trucks in India. Notably, Ashok Leyland caters to a diverse range of transportation needs, offering solutions in sectors such as passenger transport, freight logistics, and defense mobility. With a robust portfolio that includes vehicles powered by alternative fuels and a commitment to sustainability, the company positions itself at the forefront of the green revolution in...
Ashok Leyland Ltd., a prominent name in the Indian commercial vehicle sector, has crafted a compelling narrative over its storied existence since 1948. Founded by the visionary industrialist Raghunandan Saran, the company has steadily evolved from a small assembly operation to one of the largest manufacturers of buses and trucks in India. Notably, Ashok Leyland caters to a diverse range of transportation needs, offering solutions in sectors such as passenger transport, freight logistics, and defense mobility. With a robust portfolio that includes vehicles powered by alternative fuels and a commitment to sustainability, the company positions itself at the forefront of the green revolution in transport. Its dedication to innovation is illustrated through significant investments in electric vehicles and advanced technology, promising not just to keep pace with, but to lead the industry into the future.
From an investor's perspective, Ashok Leyland presents a combination of growth potential and resilience. The company's strategic initiatives focus on expanding its market share domestically while also exploring international markets, particularly in regions where infrastructure development is on the rise. As urbanization accelerates and governments push for cleaner transportation solutions, Ashok Leyland's proactive shift toward electric and hybrid vehicles aligns well with global trends. Financially, the company has demonstrated a consistent performance, marked by a steady increase in revenue and profitability over the years, even navigating through economic downturns adeptly. With a strong brand reputation and an agile supply chain, Ashok Leyland stands as a compelling investment opportunity in an increasingly competitive landscape, appealing to investors who seek both solid fundamentals and visionary growth.
Ashok Leyland Ltd. is a prominent Indian automotive manufacturer primarily known for its commercial vehicles. The company operates through several core business segments, which include:
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Commercial Vehicles: This is the largest segment for Ashok Leyland, encompassing a wide range of heavy, medium, and light commercial trucks. These vehicles are used for transportation in various sectors, including logistics, construction, and agriculture.
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Buses: Ashok Leyland is a leading manufacturer of buses in India, catering to school, staff, and public transport segments. The company produces various models tailored to different passenger capacities and use cases, focusing on comfort and efficiency.
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Defense Vehicles: Ashok Leyland has a dedicated division that manufactures specialized vehicles for defense applications. This segment includes tactical vehicles, logistical support, and equipment for military operations.
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Engines and Parts: The company also produces engines and other components used in its vehicles and for third-party sales. This segment contributes to its overall manufacturing capability and revenue stream.
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Electric Mobility: With the growing emphasis on sustainability and green energy, Ashok Leyland has ventured into electric vehicles (EVs), focusing on electric buses and trucks. This segment aligns with global trends toward eco-friendly transportation solutions.
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Exports: Ashok Leyland has a strategic export business, supplying vehicles and parts to international markets. This segment helps the company diversify its revenue streams and gain from emerging markets.
These core business segments reflect Ashok Leyland's aim to be a leader in the Indian automotive industry, with a commitment to innovation, quality, and sustainability.
Ashok Leyland Ltd, one of the leading commercial vehicle manufacturers in India, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Strong Brand and Legacy: Established in 1948, Ashok Leyland has built a strong brand reputation over the years. Its legacy in the commercial vehicle sector creates customer trust and loyalty, which is vital for competitive advantage.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: The company offers a wide range of vehicles, including trucks, buses, and defense vehicles, catering to various sectors like logistics, public transport, and defense. This diversification allows them to mitigate risks and tap into multiple revenue streams.
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Focus on Innovation: Ashok Leyland invests significantly in R&D, which has led to the development of advanced technologies, such as electric vehicles (EVs) and alternative fuel solutions. This focus on innovation enables the company to stay ahead of regulatory changes and shifting customer preferences.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Collaborations with leading technology firms and alliances with global automotive players enhance their technological capabilities and market reach, allowing for a competitive edge in both domestic and international markets.
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Robust Distribution and Service Network: A well-established network of dealerships and service centers facilitates better customer service and support, ensuring high levels of customer satisfaction. This extensive reach is a significant advantage over competitors with limited service networks.
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Cost Efficiency and Scale of Operations: Ashok Leyland benefits from economies of scale due to its large-scale manufacturing capabilities, which help in maintaining cost competitiveness. Efficient supply chain management further reduces operational costs.
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Strong Financial Performance: A solid balance sheet and consistent financial performance provide the necessary resources for investment in growth initiatives and weathering economic downturns better than many competitors.
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Focus on Sustainability: With increasing emphasis on environmental responsibility, Ashok Leyland’s initiatives towards sustainable mobility solutions, including electric and hybrid vehicles, align with global trends and customer expectations, positioning the company favorably in the market.
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Government Ties and Support: Being a significant player in the public transportation sector, particularly buses, Ashok Leyland has beneficial relationships with government bodies, which can lead to preferential treatment in tenders and contracts.
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Local Market Understanding: With a deep understanding of local customer needs and conditions, Ashok Leyland can tailor its products and services effectively, making it a preferred choice in the Indian market compared to global competitors.
These competitive advantages, when leveraged effectively, contribute to Ashok Leyland's resilience and potential for growth in an increasingly competitive automotive industry.
Ashok Leyland Ltd, a significant player in the Indian automotive sector, particularly in commercial vehicles, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its performance in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Economic Fluctuations: Changes in the macroeconomic environment, such as fluctuations in GDP growth, inflation rates, and overall economic activity, can affect the demand for commercial vehicles. A slowdown in economic growth can lead to decreased sales.
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Regulatory Changes: The automotive industry is subject to stringent regulations regarding emissions, safety, and fuel efficiency. Changes in these regulations, particularly with the push toward electric vehicles (EVs), can pose challenges for traditional manufacturers like Ashok Leyland.
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Technological Transition: The industry is rapidly shifting towards electric and hybrid vehicles. Ashok Leyland needs to invest significantly in research and development to compete effectively in this space. Failing to innovate and adapt could result in a loss of market share.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Ongoing disruptions, such as semiconductor shortages or rising raw material prices (like steel and aluminum), can impact production schedules and profitability.
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Competition: The commercial vehicle space is highly competitive with established players and new entrants, including those focusing on electric vehicles. Increased competition can lead to price wars and reduced margins.
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Foreign Exchange Risks: Given its exposure to international markets, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates can impact costs, particularly if raw materials are imported or if there is revenue earned in foreign currencies.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: There is a growing preference for greener technologies, which may drive demand for electric vehicles. If Ashok Leyland does not adapt its product offerings in line with these shifts, it risks losing market relevance.
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Debt Levels: If the company has high levels of debt, rising interest rates could increase the cost of servicing that debt, affecting financial health and operational flexibility.
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Infrastructure Development: The growth of commercial vehicle demand is closely tied to infrastructure development. Delays in government projects or a slowdown in infrastructure spending could adversely affect sales.
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Global Market Conditions: As the company looks to expand its footprint internationally, it could be affected by geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and varying economic conditions in other countries.
Addressing these risks effectively requires strategic planning, investment in innovation, close monitoring of market trends, and proactive engagement with regulatory bodies and industry stakeholders.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ashok Leyland Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ashok Leyland Ltd
Current Assets | 289.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 88.9B |
Receivables | 149B |
Other Current Assets | 52B |
Non-Current Assets | 386.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 18.2B |
PP&E | 60.4B |
Intangibles | 25.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 282.8B |
Current Liabilities | 266.6B |
Accounts Payable | 68B |
Other Current Liabilities | 198.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 319.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 268.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 51.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ashok Leyland Ltd
Revenue
|
468.2B
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-295.7B
INR
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Gross Profit
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172.5B
INR
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Operating Expenses
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-98.8B
INR
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Operating Income
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73.7B
INR
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Other Expenses
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-49.2B
INR
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Net Income
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24.5B
INR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ashok Leyland Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
In Q2 FY '25, Ashok Leyland saw a 9% decline in revenue to INR 8,769 crores, primarily due to a 12% drop in the MHCV industry. However, net profit increased by 37% to INR 770 crores, with improving EBITDA margins at 11.6%. The company is on track to achieve mid-teen EBITDA and intends to maintain product pricing amidst rising competition. Positive trends in fleet utilization and government spending are expected to bolster the industry outlook for the second half. Additionally, a strong balance sheet with net debt reduced to INR 501 crores enhances its position going forward.
What is Earnings Call?
ASHOKLEY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ashok Leyland Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ashok Leyland Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ASHOKLEY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ashok Leyland Ltd's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ashok Leyland Ltd's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ASHOKLEY Price Targets Summary
Ashok Leyland Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ASHOKLEY is 255.18 INR with a low forecast of 161.6 INR and a high forecast of 333.9 INR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ASHOKLEY is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ASHOKLEY Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ashok Leyland Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of commercial, defense vehicles and power solutions. The company is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu and currently employs 10,101 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the manufacture and sale of commercial/passenger and defense vehicles and power solutions. The company also provides financial services relating to vehicle and housing financing. The company manufactures medium and heavy commercial vehicles, light commercial vehicles, and power solution systems. Its commercial vehicles include vans, lorries, over-the-road tractors for semitrailers. The company provides a range of trucks, which include trippers, haulage, and tractors. The company offers a range of power solution systems, which includes agricultural engines, diesel generators, industrial engines, and marine engines. The company offers a range of defense vehicles, which includes ALS Driving Simulator, BMP COMPREHENSIVE UPGRADE, and BMP REPOWERING. The company offers buses for intercity, stage carrier, school and college and city. The company also manufactures chassis fitted with engines for motor vehicles.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ASHOKLEY stock under the Base Case scenario is 207.46 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 223.96 INR, Ashok Leyland Ltd is Overvalued by 7%.