Amber Enterprises India Ltd
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q3 and 9 months FY '23 Earning conference call hosted by Amber Enterprises India Limited.

[Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Jasbir Singh, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Hello, and good morning, everyone. On the call, I am joined by Mr. Daljit Singh, Managing Director; Mr. Sudhir Goyal, our CFO; Mr. Sachin Gupta, CEO of RAC and CAC division; and SGA, our Investor Relations Advisers. We have uploaded our results presentation on the exchanges, and I hope everybody had an opportunity to go through the same.

I hope that you all must be aware that Amber was a pure room AC play when it got listed in January 2018 with revenue base of around INR 2,100 crores, and finished goods RAC contributing significantly in its revenues. During these 4 years, out of which 2 being COVID years, Amber has successfully diversified into 4 business verticals, namely Room AC and Components; electronics; mobility applications and motors. I'm glad to inform you that all 4 cylinders are firing well and are on growth -- strong growth trajectory. Today at a higher base of revenue, finished good RAC contribution has substantially come down at consolidated revenue.

I would now brief you about each business vertical division-wise performance, including its highlights and financial performance. Room AC and Components division. In 2022 calendar year, rooms AC industry witnessed a change in the manufacturing landscape, wherein some of the big brands shifted their strategy from outsourcing of RAC to in-house AC assembly with varied level of backward integration in order to take benefits from the PLI scheme. This change in strategy of brands of the in-house assembly of ACs increased the requirement of components manufacturers, and Amber is one of the most preferred choice of customers for providing component solution with its pan-India presence in vicinity to customers.

We, at Amber, anticipated this shift in the industry and therefore, scaled up our capabilities for components manufacturing, which includes facilities like Chennai; in Supa, Pune; Sri City area and Pantnagar. Our components business grew by 109% in quarter 3 FY '23 from between INR 545 crores in Q3 FY '22, to INR 1,137 crores in Q3 FY '23. Share of RSV in total consolidated revenue is going down with increasing share of components, and we expect the trend to remain so in near future.

Our strategy going forward is to maintain share of 26% to 28% in the manufacturing footprint of room AC industry. Apart from room AC and its components, this division is also gradually gaining its presence in other segments such as components for refrigerators, washing machines, microwave ovens, water purifiers and fans. At industry level, room AC industry in Q3 witnessed a muted quarter, for October and November '22 witnessed lower sales, and we saw demand picking up from mid-December '22 onwards.

We expect the summer of 2023 to be buoyant with a strong summer driving pent-up demand. We are bullish about good summer, which begins at the end of February and lasts till the end of June. In long-term, the Indian AC market is expected to grow at a double-digit CAGR. The industry will continue to focus on a new innovative health and environment-friendly products, changing lifestyle along with increased affordability will fuel market growth.

As far as financial performance of this division is concerned, RAC and components for 9 months FY '23, revenues stood at INR 2,822 crores versus INR 1,587 crore in 9 months FY '22, representing a growth of 78%. As far as quarter 3 FY '23 is concerned, it's clocked a revenue of INR 1,025 crores versus INR 685 crores in Q3 FY '22, up 50% growth. The growth is fueled by a strong order book, new customer addition and expansion in newer geographies like Chennai, Sri City, Supa, in Pune and Pantnagar areas. Components division includes -- this division, which includes AmberPR and Pravartaka.

I'll now take you through our electronic division highlights, which include IL JIN and Ever. This division has successfully entered into 2 new verticals, which are hearable and wearable and telecommunications. We have been able to onboard marquee customers in these 2 new verticals. And so we expect a growth of more than 50% in this division in FY '24.

Electronics Division revenue for 9 months FY '23 stood at INR 710 crores versus INR 371 crores in 9 months FY '22, a growth of 91%. Operating EBITDA margin for 9 months FY '23 stood at 4.2% versus 3.2% in 9 months FY '22. We're also expanding the manufacturing footprint of electronics division with new facility in South India. Commercial production of ILJIN, Chennai commenced in December '22, and expect to add 4 new customers in IL JIN, Chennai plant. It has started with one large customer right now, and we expect that 4 new customers will be added in FY '24 in ILJIN, South India.

As far as Mobility Applications division, which includes Sidwal, the revenues for 9 months FY '23 stood at INR 310 crores versus INR 206 crores in 9 months FY '22 with operating EBITDA growth of 49% on a year-on-year basis for 9 months FY '23. Government's thrust on modernization of railways is providing positive traction for this division. In fact, we have gained orders for Vande Bharat Express and new RRTS, which is going to be Delhi-Meerut new category of trains, which are going to be launched very soon.

In Indian Railways business, this division added new country business as a new product category to increase our wallet share within existing customers. Apart from railways, all other segments of this mobility division, such as metros, defense, precision air conditioning for telecom and bus air conditioners are on our growth path. Order book for this segment stands strong at more than INR 700 crores.

As far as Motor division is concerned, it is rapidly growing. And for 9 months FY '23, revenues for this division stood at INR 202 crores versus INR 156 crores in 9 months FY '22, representing a growth of 30%. Operating EBITDA margin for 9 months FY '23 stood at 12.8% versus 10.2% in 9 months FY '22. We have also received BLDC motor approvals from few customers and further few are in process. The strong order book with new product addition and geographical expansion gives us visibility of more than 30% growth for FY '23 -- and FY '24. Motor division is gradually gaining confidence with export customers, and expect its export business to grow by 30% to 40% in FY '24.

I will now take you through the consolidated financial highlights. On the revenue base, for 9 months FY '23, the revenue stood at INR 3,924 crores versus INR 2,270 crores in 9 months FY '22, marking a growth of 73%. For the quarter Q3 FY '23, revenue stood at INR 1,348 crores versus INR 975 crores, a growth of 38%. On operating EBITDA for 9 months FY '23, operating EBITDA stood at INR 271 crores versus INR 163 crores in 9 months FY '22, a growth of 67%. For Q3 FY '23, operating EBITDA stood at INR 89 crores versus INR 74 crores in Q3 FY '22.

Operating margin -- EBITDA margins for 9 months FY '23 and Q3 FY '22 stood at 6.9% and 6.6%, respectively. Q3 FY '23 and Q3 FY '22 operating EBITDA is before impact of ESOP expense and other non-operating income and expenses.

On finance cost and depreciation, finance costs and depreciation increased to INR 29 crores and INR 36 crores as compared to INR 12 crores and INR 27 crores in quarter 3 FY '22, respectively. The increase in finance cost and depreciation -- is largely due to CapEx incurred during the period and increased interest rates.

With the thrust on building domestic manufacturing capabilities through PLI schemes for promotion of domestic manufacturing of air conditioners and phased manufacturing programs, the industry expects not to be dependent in the coming years on the vagaries of foreign supply chains and dollar fluctuations that affect prices and operating margins.

Thank you, everyone, for joining on the call. With this, I shall open for the Q&A session.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have the first question from the line of Dhananjai Bagrodia from ASK Investments.

D
Dhananjai Bagrodia
analyst

I wanted to ask you how many units of room AC would have been sold in Q3 this year? And versus how much would be last year?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Well, we are -- we have stopped giving the volumes for the room air conditioners because the strategy is now value-based proposition in the complete manufacturing footprint point of view. And in the past, we saw that this business -- this volume was picked up by our customers, and it was treated as a very -- tool to negotiate further. So this has become a company-sensitive information, and we will not be able to provide you any further information on this.

D
Dhananjai Bagrodia
analyst

Any breakup between room AC and room AC components?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Room AC and room AC components. Yes, in 9 months, if you see, out of total INR 2,822 crores, INR 1,137 crores is the components.

D
Dhananjai Bagrodia
analyst

Sure. And sir, your CapEx split is INR 400 crores. What would that split be between?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Please say that again.

D
Dhananjai Bagrodia
analyst

Your CapEx of INR 400 crores, what will the split be between which divisions?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

No, no, no. Our CapEx will -- is not INR 400 crores. In fact, because of the strategical shift of brands going in-house, we took a very aggressive stand for -- from the long-term perspective, and we increased our CapEx by putting up our 4 new facilities this year. And the CapEx will be beyond INR 600 crores, close to about INR 625 crores to INR 650 crores. This is because we have not only brought in a greenfield facility in Sri City, plus we have added 3 new plants in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, which was not anticipated earlier. That is for components of heat exchanges, injection molding machines, for copper tubing, electronics, PCBAs and cross flow fans, and compressor parts for refrigerators. So all these new additions have been from the aggressive point of view, and that's why the CapEx will stand about to be in tune of INR 625 crores to INR 650 crores range.

D
Dhananjai Bagrodia
analyst

And sir last question...

Operator

Mr. Bagrodia, kindly come in the queue for follow-up questions. We have the next question from the line of Dhruv Jain from AMBIT Capital.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Sir, I had a question on the stand-alone gross margin. So we've seen a very sharp decline there. So if you could just point out what's the reason for that? And how should we think about this going forward?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

So the standalone, the margin is hit -- in the percentage terms, it is hit by -- because of our new facilities, which have been onboarded within this year due to the expenses which has come up. From quarter 1 onwards, you will see it improving because now all the new plants have started commercial production.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

I was talking about the contribution margin specifically. Is it because we are doing a lot more components in the standalone business?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

So there are 3 things which have got added. One is components, of course, we have added. And within the components, we have also added subassembly businesses, which are at a little less margin because that is kind of a pass-through entity where customers asked us to add on a couple of more components and give us -- it is like a bought out items, which are added on to our components and then sold to the customers. So that's the reason where we don't get complete 8% to 10% of EBITDA on those kind of pass-through things. That's why the percentages will look a little bit lesser as compared to them. But as far as the components are concerned, we enjoy the range bound of 8% to 10% margins.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Sure. And sir, I had a question on...

Operator

Mr. Jain, I would request you to kindly come in the queue for follow-up questions. We have the next question from the line of Aditya Bhartia from Investec.

A
Aditya Bhartia
analyst

Sir my first question is on the Electronics segment, wherein you mentioned that we are anticipating over 50% growth next year. And within which we have added wearables and hearables as well as telecom. We just wanted to understand what proportion of growth is coming from AC business related to electronics, and how much is coming from telecom and wearables and hearables? And within that, would we be getting the benefit of telecom PLI and which are the customers that we are working on the telecom side?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Aditya, the AC contribution is growing at around about 25% to 30% in that division. We've successfully onboarded many customers from room air conditioners front, both in OEM as well as ODM category. In OEM, we are assembling the PCBAs as per their design. And in ODM, we are giving our own designed PCBs. So both are -- both strategies are moving forward giving us a positive growth for the PCB assembly for ACs towards 25% to 30%.

As far as the telecom and hearable and wearable is concerned, we are -- I think that's pretty much on the growth path. These are new customers, which we have added, new business verticals. I believe the major chunk of growth will come from all the 3 factors because not only air conditioners in consumer, durable and home appliances, we have now onboarded customers for fans, customers for microwave, refrigerators, washing machines. And on hearable and wearables, we have started smartwatch assemblies plus the PCBAs for that. And in telecom, we are doing 5G equipments, such as OMPs and [indiscernible] BBUs. So those are the kind of diversified portfolio electronic business has built up.

A
Aditya Bhartia
analyst

And who could be the customer, sir, for wearable, hearable? I remember you had earlier spoken about…

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Again, we will refrain giving any customer's name because it's a company-sensitive information.

A
Aditya Bhartia
analyst

Understood. Understood.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

These are large customers, I can only tell that.

A
Aditya Bhartia
analyst

Okay, sure. And the idea is to deal with...

Operator

Mr. Bhartia, for follow-up questions, I request to kindly come back in the queue. [Operator Instructions] We have the next question from the line of Sonali Salgaonkar from Jefferies India.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

So my first question is regarding the industry restocking level. What is the kind -- what are the trends in restocking that you are looking at after the implementation of the new BEE loans? And what is the current channel inventory that we can talk about? Plus what is the price hike that we will be taking for the new models and whether it will be margin accretive or not?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Well, as far as the price hike is concerned, all of the brands have already taken the price hikes in the market. You would have seen that the air conditioners prices were increased -- have already got increased by INR 1,200 to INR 1,300 because of the BEE table change.

And as far as the inventory levels are concerned, industry was quite optimistic for quarter 3, but which ended up to be a very, very muted quarter for industry. October and November, hardly any sales. And then mid of December onwards, we saw the sales coming up for any goods -- room AC, and both primary and secondary.

Inventory levels is very -- it is completely at a varied levels, with some of the brands sitting still at a very high inventory levels, but some of the brands are not having that inventory and their sales is moving pretty well. So it's -- there is no thumb rule which everybody is following. It's everybody is at a different level on the inventory side.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Understand. Sir, my second question is regarding what is your net debt level as of December versus September? And also about the CapEx, I just wanted to clarify, the INR 625 crores to INR 650 crores you are expecting in FY '23, right? So what about your expectations in '24?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

So on the CapEx front, Sonali, we will be doing about INR 625 crores to INR 650 crore this year. But next year, our CapEx is going to be around INR 250 crores to INR 275 crores maximum. As far as net debt levels are concerned, today, we are sitting at about INR 900 crores of net debt level. Whereas we expect to close the financial year -- current financial year, in approximately INR 450 crore to INR 500 crore range.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Okay. So how will you pay down that debt, sir? I mean, is there a seasonality to that? Or -- because that's just one quarter…

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Yes, basically because the season starts and you know we start getting our payments from customers. Right now, because of the inventory buildup, the debt looks high.

S
Sonali Salgaonkar
analyst

Got it. And this CapEx...

Operator

Ms. Salgaonkar, we request you to kindly come back in the queue for follow-up questions. We have the next question from the line of Niteen Dharmawat from Aurum Capital.

N
Niteen S Dharmawat
analyst

Sir, you mentioned about telecom sector and some 5G equipment manufacturing. So can you elaborate that? And if we have done any foreign collaboration for that? That is my first question.

Second question is what is the peak revenue that we are anticipating with the current capacities that we are having?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

So in the telecom sector, we have not done any joint venture or transfer of technologies. This is a pure OEM play which we are offering because we are a diversified PCB assembly. In telecom, you normally use multilayered PCB assemblies. And we have that capabilities. And because of our geographical presence in India, we got this order because the customer wants in both South India and North India. And currently, we have started with the equipment such as BBU and RRH and some antennas plus [ OMP ] devices. So these are all used in the 5G equipment, which is basically delivered by other big companies.

As far as the capacity of revenue is concerned, all the divisions are at different capacities. Today, if we see about the gross block, I think we can easily go to 5x of the gross block of what we have today, as a peak kind of revenue base.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Aniruddha Joshi from ICICI Securities.

A
Aniruddha Joshi
analyst

Sir, on Ever and IL JIN, the margins are far lower than the PCBA players that we see, which are recently listed or otherwise in the market. So at current level of EBITDA margin of around 4-odd percent and the working capital, do you see these businesses generating return ratios in excess of cost of capital? And when do we see the margins improving in this?

Secondly, can you also elaborate a bit more on the export strategy which you had spoken in earlier concall also? And any update on that?

And lastly, the tax rate is higher than 25.5% in 9 months. So what should be the guidance for tax rate for FY '23 as well as FY '24?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Yes. The tax rate is basically because of the MAT. I think I'll leave that question for Sudhir to answer and then I'll answer your other 2 questions.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So as you know, that -- earlier it was also discussed that we have a MAT credit available because of which we are not moving to the new tax regime, which is at 25.17%. Actual cash tax outflow for the Amber [ Enterprises ] on stand-alone, I'm talking, is around 17%. Balance will be utilized to through the MAT. And once we utilize the MAT credit, which is to the tune of INR 35 crores to INR 40 crores, then we'll go to the 25% tax rate.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

And now answering your margins on the IL JIN and Ever subsidiaries, we are in this range of 4%, 4.5% business. So we have businesses in this division from 3% to about 6.5% division. Largely, if you see the consumer durable and smart hearable and wearables are in this range only, even if the peers would be comparative. Auto and industrial and defense is at different levels, which we are not into right now.

So going forward, in a long-term strategy, yes, we do have plans to enter into those segments, which will help us to increase our margins. But however, even at the lower margins of 4% and 4.5% of EBITDA levels where we are, the return on capital in [indiscernible] of this division is above -- close to about 23% right now. And it will enhance going forward because the CapEx requirement is not more, but whereas we are expecting a growth of more than 50% in this division.

As far as the export strategy is concerned, we have 2 strong export strategy. One is on the components and second is for the finished goods. On components, as I highlighted during my call that we are expecting in the Motor division, which is already exporting right now. We expect the export business to grow by 30% to 40% by FY '24.

And for the finished goods, we are at the stage of almost approvals -- getting approvals from some customers. First milestone was to get the products ready for those geographies. Second was to get the clearance of the BEE loans because this is a regulated product by every country. So those 2 milestones in 3 basically finished good [ category ] we have received. And now we are having -- we are endeavoring our foot in the door strategy.

These customers have been buying from almost about 25, 30 years from China and Thailand. So first of all, we must have the foot in the door with small volumes, which we expect to demonstrate by FY '24. And then the gradual share of business will start happening from FY '25 onwards.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Sandeep Tulsiyan from JM Financial.

S
Sandeep Tulsiyan
analyst

Sir, my first question is regarding all these new investments that we have done in the new capacities. What is the broader capacity or the average utilization at which we are operating probably where you expect to end FY '23? And where do you expect this capacity utilization to get ramped up followed by FY '24?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

So the new plants are just beginning. So the capacity utilization will be somewhere in the tune of 25% to 30% only. And by next year, we should have about 50% of capacity utilization in these new plants. On what -- all the divisions are at a different capacity utilization levels. So I think looking at the complete balance sheet of capacity utilization, it will not be a right approach because electronics is at different capacity utilization, motors is at different -- in motors case, if I speak, we are sitting at right now, 50% of capacity utilization in FY '24. We have just shifted the motor plant to a new factory. So we have decent capacities there. In Sidwal, we are sitting at a capacity utilization of almost 65% to 70%. And in room AC and components, as we have just begun, the new plants are at 25% to 30%. The old plants are running at 75% to 80%.

S
Sandeep Tulsiyan
analyst

Got it. Second question is, sir, bookkeeping. If you could also share the gross debt number at the end of 3Q? And also the ForEx loss and ESOP number, if any, in 3Q that you have provided?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Yes. So gross debt as in 31 December is INR1,350 crores. Total resource expenses in the 9 months is INR 19.9 crores. And there is a ForEx loss, which largely happened in the quarter 1, but overall, it is INR 32 crores in the 9 months at the group level.

S
Sandeep Tulsiyan
analyst

ESOP in 3Q was how much?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

ESOP in the 3Q is INR 7.32 crores.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Madhav Marda from Fidelity International.

M
Madhav Marda
analyst

Just wanted to understand, given you've added a lot of capacity recently, would it be fair to say that there is a lot of operating leverage from fixed cost in the business, it seems, play out in the next 2 to 3 years? Because INR 650 crores for our business is a very, very large CapEx which we've incurred. So I just want to understand how that can play out and then how much time do you expect to ramp up the new capacities to peak utilization level?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Well, Madhav, you are right, because we don't need to do such large CapEx again. That's the reason why we are guiding that next year, it's going to be in the range of INR 250 crores to INR 275 crores only. And as mentioned, that capacity utilization of the new plants are only at 25%, 30%. So definitely, the operational leverage will come going forward. And you will see the return on capital employed going up because of that operating leverage.

M
Madhav Marda
analyst

Okay. And the ESOP expenses, when does that start tapering off, is that FY '24 or '25?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Sorry, come again, please, Madhav?

M
Madhav Marda
analyst

The ESOP expense which we are incurring, does that start going down from FY '24 itself or FY '25 that will go away?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

No, no. It is going down from FY '24 itself as well.

M
Madhav Marda
analyst

Okay. Got it.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So ESOP expense is always in the first year, it's largest, then it's falling down every year in next 4 years.

M
Madhav Marda
analyst

Got it. And did I hear right...

Operator

Mr. Madhav, request to kindly come back in queue for follow-up questions. We have the next question from the line of Keyur from ICICI Prudential.

K
Keyur Pandya
analyst

Sir, just want to understand, first of all, on the stand-alone side, are gross margin and EBITDA margin. So on steady state basis, what kind of profitability should we expect? And does it -- I mean, it depends on our price hikes or with lower commodity prices we should be able to get those steady state margins? That is my first question.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

See, the price hike, as explained in earlier quarters also, we have a price variation clause applicability with all customers. So it happens with a quarterly lag. Now like in Q3 also, we took a price hike, but since the industry was muted, so there were hardly any numbers on the complete components as well as this.

So the range of -- complete in percentage terms, it's very difficult to tell, because we are now catering to various components, which have various range of EBITDA margins.

The finished goods range is very different and the subassembly range is very different. So it will be very difficult to predict what customer wants from us. They keep on changing their strategy from finished goods to components to subassemblies or all the 3 together or at least 1 of them. So it will be very difficult to say what number, in the percentage term is concerned.

As guided earlier, I would like to guide again that looking into our balance sheet on the percentage terms is not the appropriate way, because of the diversified business verticals we have from 4% to 20% plus EBITDA margin businesses. I think what we would like to guide again in this call is that we will try to deliver a range bound of 30% plus absolute EBITDA number going forward.

K
Keyur Pandya
analyst

And that will be higher than your sales growth? So basically, your EBITDA growth will be faster than sales growth with operating EBITDA is lot of CapEx and lot of OpEx already in the numbers?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Yes. It will depend on what kind of revenue we get in case electronics starts moving very -- on a high trajectory of 100% growth kind of a thing, then definitely, this will -- this statement is not correct. But in case it remains in the 25%, 30% range, yes, then the percentage of EBITDA and PAT will outnumber there.

K
Keyur Pandya
analyst

And the second question you have partially answered, but the similar guidance remains for FY '24 as well?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Yes. I think, similarly -- similar guidance for FY '24 and '25, that will maintain that absolute growth of EBITDA.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Rakesh Wadhwani from Monarch AIF.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have one question. My first question is regarding component supply or supply chain because there were some articles, because of the COVID crisis in China, the factories have been shut down. So just want to understand has compressor or other component supplies coming?

And second thing, just wanted to confirm, you said INR 2,822 crores is a 9-month sales from RAC and components. So can you please just confirm the amount for the components and RAC? That will be great.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So out of INR 2,822 crores, INR 1,137 crores is components, which is pure components, supplied to all the customers we have.

On the supply chain due to the COVID in China, what we did is we preplanned the shipments from China because of not that we knew that COVID is coming, but because of the Chinese New Year. And that helped us to navigate out of this situation. So we were not affected because of COVID situation in China. But now as everything is opening up, so things are very streamlined right now.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Praveen Sahay from Prabhudas Lilladher.

P
Praveen Sahay
analyst

So sir, my question first related to the motor. As you had guided, there is order from BLDC motor and also the large order for export. Is that going to be a similar margin in that trajectory what we are reporting in these orders?

And the second question is related to the Sidwal for this quarter has seen a deterioration in the margin. What's the reason for that?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So in motors, basically export is a similar margin to domestic manufacturing. But BLDC category is a slightly lesser margin, because of this product continues to be in the pressure due to the China supply chain.

Chinese are still flowing it at a very cost price. But yes, moving forward, as the scale comes in this category, we will bring this -- we expect that margins can be improved for this.

But overall, PICL is doing well. PICL has already demonstrated its trajectory from 5% EBITDA company 3 years back to almost 10% to 12% right now.

And as far as the Sidwal quarter 3 margins are concerned, that is purely because of the product mix and some delay in supply, where we got some LD clauses applicable. But if you see on the 9 months case, I think we are maintaining the same kind of margin of 21% odd. As far as the full year is concerned, I think we expect that FY '23 will close by in the same range as 9 months number, percentage terms.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Abhishek Ghosh from DSP Investments.

A
Abhishek Ghosh
analyst

Sir, in terms of Sidwal, what will be your overall market share? And given that there's so much of happening around railways, metros and other things, how do you expect the -- overall, this business to be in next 2 to 3 years? Any thoughts, sir?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Abhishek, this business is pretty much on a decent growth trajectory because of the complete infrastructure and upgradation push and urbanization of transportation, which is required by Ministry of Urban Development.

I think, if you talk about the share of business in railways, HVAC systems, we will be almost about 50%. In metros, in India, we will be about 60% share of business holder for the -- all metros, which we are catering to right now.

As far as the other categories are concerned, buses, we are very less. In bus, we still need to ramp up our share of business. We will be at about close to about 5% or 6% at the moment. Whereas in defense and precision air conditioning, I think that is where we enjoy close to about 60% to 70% of the market share.

A
Abhishek Ghosh
analyst

Okay. Sir, my second question is in this current quarter, we have seen, while Sidwal margins have been weaker, but both in PICL and in, your electronics part of it, you have seen healthy margin improvement. Are those sustainable? How should we look at it?

And for the PCB part of it, will you also look at you know the industrial and the defense part of it, will you kind of look at, because since you have the basic capabilities, if you look to also diversify into that segment? These are my only questions.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Well, we keep on diversifying the -- now since the divisional CEOs are navigating their divisions into growth trajectory. So definitely they have the diversification plans already. But these kind of businesses of defense and railways kind of applications, it takes time to onboard customers and get the approval. So it’s -- these are high entry barrier businesses.

Yes, we will definitely try to attempt, but that will be in the basically long term, not on the short term basis. As far as short term is concerned, the scale and efficiency at which we are going, we expect that we will be able to maintain that...

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the line for Mr. Goyal has disconnected. Please stay connect as we connect to the management.

[Technical Difficulty]

Mr. Goyal, you're reconnected. You may go ahead.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Yes. Thank you. So as far as the maintainability of the margins are concerned, in the percentage terms, it is very difficult to guide anything on the percentages. But again I would like to guide that on a consol basis, we will maintain what we have guided. So that's the guidance we want to give.

In each and every division, since we are now moving into a very diversified portfolio, it is very difficult to predict what kind of percentages we will be able to demonstrate. Yes though the endeavor is to grow the percentage of margins, but when you sit in the front of a customer, if -- sometimes you start on a low margins and then you increase on a towards a higher trajectory, you have to take these calls. So percentages of each division will continue to vary from quarter-to-quarter, but on a consol basis, on a yearly basis, we will maintain what we have guided.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Sandeep Dixit from Arjav Partners.

U
Unknown Analyst

Just coming to your margins, your ESOP costs, why do you think they are one-offs? This is part of your operating expense, no?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Yes. It's part of the operating expense, but it's a non-cash item. And this is one-off because we are not very regular in given the ESOPs. It is first time -- 2 times only we have given the ESOPs. And that will -- the impact of the same will be over in the next 2 to 3 years' time.

U
Unknown Analyst

My second question is, you mentioned that raw material costs have gone up 1.5%.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Right.

U
Unknown Analyst

And that's the primary reason for the contraction in margins. When can we expect it to sort of come back to the 6%, 7% kind of a range?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So like Mr. Jasbir sir has said that, we are not looking in the margins in the percentage terms. We are largely focused on that how we can improve our margins in the absolute term on each component and each product. So if there’'s a pass-through of a product is there, so percentage terms varies a lot. So that is why we focus on that, how we can get the better margin absolute amount.

U
Unknown Analyst

So I should stay focused on that 30% growth in EBITDA on an absolute number rather than the margin? Am I right?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Right. Absolutely.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Ronak Vora from AUM Fund Advisors.

U
Unknown Analyst

Am I audible?

Operator

Yes, we can hear you.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. Sir, what was the operating cash flow in the first 9 months? And I want to know the split in terms of term debt and working capital debt for INR 1,300 crores of gross debt?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So in the gross debt, the term debt is around INR 600 crores. I don't have the exact number, but it's around INR 600 crores on the term debt. And what was the other question?

U
Unknown Analyst

Operating cash flow for the first 9 months and for the Q3?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Just a sec. Just give me 1 minute. I'll give you that number in some time. You can continue with the other questions. Just give me 1 minute, I'll just answer this question.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Sir, my second question is, whenever we negotiate with our customer, you said that it's okay for us to start with lower margins and then inch it up when the business is growing. So what is the baseline ROCE or return ratios that we look for when we negotiate with a customer?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Well, it's a simple fundamental principle, that in case, we are unable to get our money back in 4 years to 5 years, we don’t go ahead. That’'s the fundamental base.

Percentages doesn't matter. Sometimes you have to take a strategic call with your customers and sometimes you have to support them, as being the long-term association. And sometimes they support you. So it’'s just like once you are a strategic partner to any customer, you have to move hand-in-hand with their situation. And you need to take those calls. But largely, whenever we invest, even INR 1 is invested, if any return is coming beyond 4 years to 5 years range, we don’'t invest.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay, sir.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Operating cash like you asked, operating cash is INR 150 crores, including other income.

Operator

We have the next question from the line of Aakash Javeri from Perpetual Investment Advisors.

U
Unknown Analyst

My first question is with regard to BLDC for fans. So how big is the market -- how do you see the penetration and who are we competing against? And what would be the margins like?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

We are not delivering products for BLDC for fans. What we are doing is, we are doing basically PCBAs for BLDC fans. Whereas in the BLDC motors we have created these products, developed these products for heating, ventilation, air conditioning applications. So we started with the BLDC for inverter splits and windows as well as for VRV applications.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And so how are the existing motor manufacturers you are not being able to compete?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Well, that’'s a very difficult question to answer on their front. But I think we are very focused in heating, ventilation, air conditioning and primarily because of our R&D capabilities as well as the complete Pan-India presence which we have and the customer base which we have. This is a product that'’s —-- it’'s a functional components, and in functional components, the final products’ performance depends on the functionality of such kind of components.

The validation assessments are pretty long. So no customer will give you approval without validating their product for at least 2 to 3 seasons. That is the first leg of entry barrier.

And second is, they do not give you 100% share of business on day 1. They practically, gradually grow you from 5% then to 20%, then to 30%. So it’'s a trajectory of 5 years to 6 years with each and every customer which we have traveled.

U
Unknown Analyst

Understood. And you mentioned about the export...

Operator

Mr. Javeri, request you to kindly come in the queue for follow-up question. We have the next question from the line of the Dhananjai Bagrodia from ASK investments.

U
Unknown Analyst

Can you hear me?

Operator

Yes. Your voice is a bit low, request you kindly come on the handset mode.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. Is this better?

Operator

Yes. Please go ahead.

U
Unknown Analyst

So with more of the players now with PLI -- applying for PLI with their capacity is going to come on this year for components, would that have any impact on our component business, question one?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

We haven’'t seen -- I mean, the PLI basically was for only components. PLI was not for benefit. So, any applicant who has applied, all of them are putting up components. So let us see. There were total 10 components, out of which copper, aluminum and compressor is not our foray. So that is not something which we should compare.

Then when it comes to other components like -- Amber was the biggest company or the biggest PLI applicant basically in the component space, other than compressor and copper and aluminum, which has applied in all categories. So we haven’'t seen any such company which has applied in all such categories across Pan-India. So and we are eligible the threshold limits are very much doable and we are very much on track for that PLI incentive.

But nothing has changed. In fact because of the PLI, Amber has won lot of awards and contracts which you all are witnessing right now in the revenue of stream for consolidated part.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sir, the question is we're not seeing anything from the other competitors yet in terms, because their factories have not started yet, operationalized?

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

No. First of all, let us see. I mean the large PLI players are the brands. So they are there anyway putting up like if you talk about Blue Star, their factory is ready. They’'ve already started production, even they've started production.

Then Daikin factory is almost ready, they will be starting production soon. Voltas Pantnagar has already started. Chennai, they will start by next year.

So the shift has already happened. And we are beneficiaries of the shift, because of our strategies of being into components and finished goods in both the categories. So I think probably the reason why we benefited is, because of our Pan-India plus the wide area of 70% of bill of material which we can address.

Some of the companies have gone for high backward integration. Some of the companies have chosen not to go for higher backward integration. So depending on their level of backward integration, we have entered into the component strategy with them.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And sir, what would be your guidance for next year?

Operator

Mr. Bagrodia, we request you to kindly come in the queue for follow-up questions.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Well, I'll answer that question. Our guidance, as I mentioned on the call is that we will try to maintain our share of business of the manufacturing footprint of room AC industry towards 26% to 28%.

Operator

We have the next question on the line of Dhruv Jain from AMBIT Capital.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

I had one question, actually two related to CapEx and fixed assets. So one is that, I think there has been a slight increase in your FY '24 CapEx guidance. So if you could just let us know what's changed there?

And on the fixed asset part also, we've seen in the last 2 quarters or so, you're booking an item, called -- I mean, a loss on sale of fixed assets. So if you could just throw some light, what's that? I know it's a very small number, but if you could just let us know, that would be great.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

So it is normally like whatever assets are being written off and not usable and they are asking for more maintenance, so that we have sold off. So that is why there is a small amount of asset written off. Otherwise there is no big asset which is being sold off.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

Also, about increase in CapEx. I think the earlier guidance is [indiscernible].

Operator

Mr. Jain, we are unable to hear you very clearly. Request you to go off the speaker phone?

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

And also, if you could let us know about the increase in CapEx. I think the earlier guidance for FY '24 was about INR 200-odd crores. So now you're talking about INR 250 crores to INR 275 crores.

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

I don’'t remember that we've given just INR 200 crores of CapEx, because of '23 plants and plus the --— our endeavor to continue our R&D initiatives. And some new opportunities which are with our subsidiaries, not Amber, but subsidiaries are having very good opportunities. That’'s the reason why we are increasing this guidance. I mean, if we have given on INR 200 crores, but I think I remember giving this INR 225 crores to INR 250 crores as a guidance.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

And sir, so the RAC guidance doesn't change, right? I think mid-teens.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Yes. No, that doesn't change. So that the RAC is definitely -- we are now moving in tandem to the industry. So if we maintain our 26% to 28% share in the manufacturing footprint, I think that's a pretty decent market share to have, whether it be finished good or whether it be components.

D
Dhruv Jain
analyst

No. I was talking about the return on capital.

Operator

Mr. Jain, we request you to kindly come back and follow up in the queue for follow-up questions. We have the next question from the line of Sandeep Tulsiyan from JM Financial.

S
Sandeep Tulsiyan
analyst

I have a couple of follow-up questions. First thing, you mentioned on the margins that, of course, finished goods as a share is coming down because brands are doing assembly in-house. But at the same time, we have picked up some subassembly business, which is, again, a lower margin business for us.

So broadly, if you could categorize in terms of your percentage of sales, how this mix was between finished goods components and I'm assuming subassemblies was very low in the past. And how this has changed and going to pan out? Or probably where you are currently, if you can give us some broader sense to understand the margin?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

Well, you see when we got listed in 2018, we were close to about 80%, 85% banking on room AC. And the revenue base at that time was INR 2,100 crores. Today revenue base has almost tripled, and the RAC banking has come down to 40%. So other 60% is the businesses of other divisions plus the component businesses. And it'’s a diversified portfolio. It'’s very difficult to say how in future it will be panning out.

You never know how the customer shifts their strategies sometimes. If outsourcing starts again, the percentage will go up. But as far as 2, 3 years are concerned, we see the horizon that RAC banking will be in the tune of 35% to 40% in the balance sheet, rest will be all components and subassemblies plus other divisions.

S
Sandeep Tulsiyan
analyst

That was more to understand between the difference between subassemblies and components, because some assemblies is essentially what is pulling down the margins, right?

S
Sudhir Goyal
executive

No. See, let us understand first that, subassembly are basically a component and then added the -- on top of it, we add some bought out items. The 100% business is not subassembly. So we have businesses only for pure components sale also, which is at a higher margins. And when you are sitting with the customer, you can’'t say no if we want to put up certain 3 or 4 more components on it, and give it — supply to them on just in time basis, and also maintain the inventory levels, plus deliver them the complete kit solutions. So that is a very added advantage to you, that by having that subassemblies, whether it is at lower margins, you are not putting any CapEx for that. There is hardly — and in fact you earn out of that to compete who are doing the subassembly work.

So we are not bothered about that lower margin percentage or something like that. I think that’'s why I’'m repeating again and again, in past also I would like to repeat it, this time again, that please don’'t look at our balance sheet towards percentages of margins.

Percentage of margins are function of product mix, component mix, finished goods, subassemblies, everything will keep on changing from quarter-to-quarter. It’'s very difficult to predict or forecast any kind of trends here, because it’'s all customer driven.

And it is also function of commodity and currencies. If commodities go up, the percentages will look down. So we would like to guide that, we will maintain that 30% plus EBITDA range for the next 2 to 3 years’ time, on the absolute number growth.

Operator

That was the last question. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Jasbir Singh for closing comments.

J
Jasbir Singh
executive

Thank you, everyone, for joining on this call. I hope we have been able to address your queries well. For any further information, kindly get in touch with Manish, our Strategic Growth Adviser, our Investor Relations Advisers. Thank you very much, and have a good day ahead.

Operator

Thank you, sir. On behalf of Amber Enterprises Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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