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Aether Industries Ltd
NSE:AETHER

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Aether Industries Ltd
NSE:AETHER
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Earnings Call Analysis

Q4-2024 Analysis
Aether Industries Ltd

Fire Incident Impact and Future Outlook for Aether Industries

Aether Industries saw a substantial revenue impact due to a significant fire at their manufacturing facility in November. The company's revenue dropped to INR 6,373 million in FY '24 from INR 6,606 million in FY '23. EBITDA margins fell from 30% to 25%. However, the company expects revenue growth from the launch of new products and expansion projects in FY '25. They are commissioning a new solar power plant in phases, initiating new product lines, and expanding their R&D capabilities, which is expected to boost future revenue.

Navigating Tough Times: Aether Industries' Response to Challenges

In the latest earnings call for the fiscal year 2024, Aether Industries faced significant challenges due to a fire incident at their manufacturing facility. As reported, the company lost approximately INR 150 to 200 crores in revenue due to the halt in production at their Site 2, a setback that temporarily affected their operational capabilities. The management was quick to emphasize that their priority post-incident was the well-being of injured employees and their families, illustrating a commitment to corporate responsibility amidst adversity.

Revenue and Profit Highlights

For FY '24, Aether's total standalone revenue was INR 6,399 million, which marks a decline from INR 6,676 million in FY '23. The EBITDA fell to INR 1,619 million, yielding an EBITDA margin of 25%, down from 30% the previous year. Additionally, the PAT (Profit After Tax) saw a notable reduction, culminating at only INR 825 million, reflecting a PAT margin that dropped from 20% in FY '23 to 13% in FY '24. The consolidated financials showed similar trends, reinforcing the impact of external pressures on both the top and bottom lines.

Operational Updates and Future Plans

Aether Industries is taking steps to bounce back, with plans set for the gradual resumption of operations at Site 2 expected to culminate in full capacity by the end of Q1 FY 2024-25. The management indicated that most of the affected production would be back online following necessary safety approvals, reflecting their focus on ensuring operational integrity. Furthermore, as the company moves forward, they anticipate significant contributions from their newly commissioned Site 4, focused on oilfield drilling services, expected to start production in phases from Q1 FY 2024-25.

New Ventures and Technological Advancements

The company is set to broaden its product offerings through new sites. For instance, Site 3 Plus Plus, involving an investment of INR 200 crores, is projected to be fully operational by Q4 FY 2024-25, adding an array of innovative products to their catalog. Additionally, a 15-megawatt solar power plant investment aims to reduce electricity costs across production sites and improve sustainability efforts. This investment is phased to come online gradually, starting in May 2024.

Strategic Partnerships and Growth Outlook

Aether has formed strategic partnerships with major global firms, including collaborations related to novel converged technology with Saudi Aramco. As the company continues enhancing its R&D investments, it expects these initiatives to bear fruit in increased revenues soon. Aether anticipates that the pricing pressures experienced recently will ease in FY 2024-25, allowing the company to improve its margins significantly while maintaining a strong order backlog.

Conclusion and Investor Guidance

Aether Industries’ management remains optimistic about recovering lost revenues and capturing market share, projecting that despite the challenges, they can replicate or even exceed the previous year's revenue run rate in FY 2024-25. Investors can look forward to a return to stability in operations, driven by operational improvements and new products, which are expected to become a major revenue contributor in the near term. With renewed production efforts and an emphasis on safety and innovation, Aether Industries aims to regain its position in the market and deliver value to stakeholders.

Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q4

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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen. Good day, and welcome to Aether Industries Limited Q4 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call hosted by HDFC Securities Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Nilesh Ghuge from HDFC Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

N
Nilesh Ghuge

Thank you, [indiscernible]. Good afternoon, all. On behalf of HDFC Securities, I welcome everyone to this Aether Industries conference call to discuss the results for the quarter and financial year ended March 2024.

From Aether Industries, we have with us today Dr. Aman Desai, Promoter and Hosting Director; Mr. Rohan Desai, Promoter and Holding Director; Mr. Faiz Nagariya, Chief Financial Officer; and Ms. Shubhangi Desai, Executive IR.

Without further ado, I will now hand over the floor to Ms. Shubhangi Desai to begin with the earnings call for 4Q FY '24 and financial year '24. Over to Shubhangi.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

Thank you, Nilesh. Good evening, one and all. Today, on May 21, 2024, our Board has approved the financial results for the fourth quarter and financial year ended on March 31, 2024 and we have relieved the claim to the stock exchanges as well as abated the sales on our website. Please note that this conference call is being recorded and the transcript of the same will be made available on the website of Aether Industries Limited and Exchange. Please also note that the audio of the conference call is the copyright material of Aether Industries Limited and cannot be copied key broadcasted or attributed in [indiscernible] with a specific return consent of the company.

Let me draw your attention to the fact that on this call, our discussion will include certain forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections or other estimates about future events. These estimates reflect management's current expectations on future performance of the company. We know that the estimates and [indiscernible] risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what is expressed or implied. Aether Limited or its officials do not undertake any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events or otherwise.

Mr. Rohan Desai will begin by [indiscernible] Aether business outlook, then Mr. Faiz Nagariya will cover the financial highlights for the period and review. And Dr. Aman Desai will share the ongoing expansion and strategy of the company going forward.

Now I shall hand over the call to Mr. Rohan Desai for his opening remarks. Over to you, sir.

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Thank you, Shubhangi. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us today. I want to address our recent quarterly performance, which was unfortunately impacted by the significant fire accident. The first most priority of the company immediately after the accident was towards the injured and for the family member of the [indiscernible]. And we have done our very best for them and their families.

Coming to the business, while this event has certainly present challenges we turn to assure you that we are fully committed to addressing the situation and mitigating its effect. Our team is working tirelessly to rebuild that is lost, get the production stream online in [ phase ] right manner after getting necessary statutory approvals and ensure the safety of our employees and facilities.

During the back of this quarter, we had announced that we had restarted 50% of the facility post this accident. This [indiscernible] manner and hence, the effect we've seen in our performance.

Our sales response by effective price management systems minimize the [indiscernible] of a supply and enabled us to lead our commitments to our customers to the best our abilities. The other half of the affected sight 2 is expected to be operational soon with all the safety protocols in place. We are expecting to receive revocation of the closure order of sight 2 to resume operations to the extent of 75% and 100% of the environmental clearance capacity shortly.

We have taken several onetime hits on our books, which has impacted our bottom line. We appreciate your patience and support as we navigate through this challenging time together.

There has been several positive developments in this quarter. We had announced the successful pilot in our [indiscernible] plastics with our customer [indiscernible] Also, we had announced the appointment of our new CTO, [indiscernible], Dr. [indiscernible], who has taken up this role after already 3 years with us for 3-plus years. We have also invested in 15 megawatts of solar power plant, which will make us 95% foreseeable on renewable electrical energy in 3 sites. And last but not the least, we have commercialized sight 4, we start the production line for oilfield drilling services businesses. Dr. Aman will be sharing more information in the short period of time.

In spite of the pricing pressure and the fire accident by sight 2, we have been able to sustain the market of our product and we are seeing a good inflow of orders in our existing vortices. Our last time manufacturing business model contributed to 59% of the total sales in this quarter, [indiscernible] to 14% and contracts less exclusive manufacturing was at 26%. Robust growth in all the 3 business segments is expected in the current financial year 2024, 2025. We will have the price to fully get operational by quarter 1 of 2024, '25, wherein we are expecting the revocation orders for site 2 to come any time from the operations.

Now let us discuss on the growth outlook from here on. We have commissioned our Site 4, which is under 100% wholly owned subsidiary, [indiscernible]. This has been created largely for 1 of the top 3 biggest oil services company. We had announced a letter of intent with this company in the recent past leading to the creation of this site, and we expect to be announcing [indiscernible] strategic supply agreement with this customer shortly.

Production and the supply of the products from site 4 to the customers will be increasing in phases, with the first phase beginning from quarter 1 financial year 2024, '25. While the coming quarters, we anticipate a very significant revenue contribution from site 4 this oil field [indiscernible].

Site 3, which was commercialized in January 2023, has seen pricing pressures also. And we have not been able to get the desired results but we expect the pricing pressure to ease out soon, and we will get the entire results in financial year 2024, '25. Commercialization of Site 3 plus plus and launch of 3 to 5 products in site 3 plus plus the LSM model in quarter 4 financial year 2025 is on track.

Commissioning of the new 15-megawatt solar power plant, we'll be adding to [indiscernible] of electricity expenses, which will be done in 3 phases. Phase 1 will come online in the end of May 2024. Second phase will cut online by July 2024, and the last phase will start in September 2024. Each phases would be of 5 megawatts capacities.

We have also successfully expanded and commissioned the pilot plant. This will further lead to enhancement and [indiscernible] scale up of newly developed products in R&D, which are to be large in the near future. With expanded pilot plant also helps us in expanding our client business model in a significant footing.

I would now request Faiz to take you through all the financial highlights of the company. Over to you, Faiz.

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Thank you, Rohan. Good evening, everybody. Here we present the financial results of Aether Industries Limited for Q4 and final year '24.

The total revenue of the company in standalone stood at INR 6,399 million in financial year '24 is against INR 6676 million in finance resulting in EBITDA of INR 1619 million in financial year '24 million as against INR 2028 million in financial year '23. EBITDA margin stood at 25% in FY '24 as [indiscernible] 30% in FY '23.

The PAT amounted to [indiscernible] million in FY '24 as INR [indiscernible] million in FY '23. The paid margin stood at 14% in FY '23 against 20% in FY '23.

The consolidated financials year with total revenue of the company stood at INR 6,373 million in financial year '24 as against [ INR 6,606 ] million in financial year '23, resulting in EBITDA of INR 1,577 million in financial year '24 as against [indiscernible] million in financial year '23 million. The EBITDA margin stood at 25% in FY '24 as is 30% in FY '23. The paid amounted to INR 825 million in FY '24 as against INR 1304 million in FY '23. The paid margin stood at 13% in FY '24 as against 20% in FY '23.

The loss in Q4 is attributable to deferred tax provision in [indiscernible] Chemicals Limited to the operation started in March '24 and capitalization of various fixed assets. that is INR 11.03 million. Otherwise, there is a PBT of INR [indiscernible] million, and there is a cash profit as well.

The main reason for the reduction in the revenues in Aether Industries is attributable to the fire accident at our site 2 in November 2023 within the production at our manufacturing facility two was stopped for a couple of months. The reduced revenues and other exceptional expenses related to the accident like compensation paid to the families of the [indiscernible] payment to GCB, medical treatment expenses of the workers who were hospitalized and increased insurance [ payment ] of our IR policy resulted in the reduction in EBT margins eventually.

The amount of such onetime cost is approximately [ INR 70 ] million for the quarter. We incurred an incremental impact of approximately [ $30 ] million on account of increase in insurance premiums to fire accident in this financial year '24. Further, we have also incurred a loss of INR 138.97 million on account of damage of inventories in process and finished goods, which were either in the [indiscernible] equipment and on the soft floor when the fire accident happened. [indiscernible] is being assessed as various equipments are being inspected as results and results and outcome are expected to be released by the end of this month.

We have both submitted our first claim of INR 1,000 million to the insurance company towards stocks, fixed assets, loss of profit, et cetera. And we have applied for an on account payment of INR 210 million to the insurance company csome, which has been approved, and we expect the payment in due course [indiscernible]

Acceptance of on account payment also [indiscernible] that a claim is accepted by the insurance company, which will be settled in next few months. Due to the fire accident manufacturing facility 2, that is plant 2 majorly affected, [indiscernible] could not be done in the entire December 2023 and January 2024. And hence, this also led to the reduction in the finish goods and semi-finished goods inventories, resulting in a reduced margins as well.

Though when we received the [indiscernible] orders from the authorities, we started building up stocks of RM, manufacturing started resulting in increasing stocks of SSG as the production is going on for various [indiscernible]. I'll stpe here and request Dr. Aman Desai to share update on [indiscernible] plans and strategies going forward.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Good evening, everybody. Despite the unfortunate turn of events in this fiscal year, impacting our profitability and our overall performance, our team's resilience and dedication have allowed us to navigate through this difficult situation.

Our swift response and effective practice management system that revised the disruption of our supply chain and enabled us to meet our commitments to our customers [indiscernible]

Operator

We are losing your audio. Can I request you to speak a little louder, please?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. The problem. [indiscernible] we know it is not horrible. In January, the unaffected plants of our fire impacted site 2 resumed operations after an initial closure by the GPCB. The other half of the affected site 2 is expected to be operational very soon with all the safety protocols in places. We are expecting to receive revocation of the [indiscernible] of site 2 to resume operations to the extent of 75% of our capacity in the next coming days.

With that, let me put forth the strategic developments that have been executed and which remained the key drivers during the period end [indiscernible] We announced the first commercialization of the novel converged [indiscernible] technology, which we have developed in collaboration with Saudi Aramco, and this first commercialization was led by one of the largest U.S.-based additive manufacturer actually [indiscernible]. This brings on the numerous years of joint work turn so far on the Converge platform with [indiscernible] technologies company.

As we speak, we are continuously working to widen the array of [indiscernible] application in the case industry. We are [indiscernible] on the fact that the successful product launch by [indiscernible] is the first of many with an aim to serve the customer by providing [indiscernible] solutions as these first launches of the [indiscernible] poly technology beginning. We are hoping now to see a rapid growth in the commercialization and sales of the [indiscernible] and sustainable [indiscernible].

We're also proud to partner with [indiscernible] for a first of its kind life cycling process, creating a pathway of secular plastic future. This technology provides an economical and presumable solution for [indiscernible] recycled plastics. This project is a plan to unfold in spaces with an initial startup operations already commenced in the first quarter of the fiscal year '25 at the newly built balance plant dedicated to the project.

[indiscernible] technology has the best potential, and we are excited to begin preliminary discussions with [indiscernible] already towards the full-scale commercialization at [indiscernible] of this technology in the very near future.

In the recent past, we have announced partnerships [indiscernible] of Netherlands and [ Otsuka ] Japan. Both these partnerships remain robust. We [indiscernible] exclusive research, development and supply partner for [indiscernible] and [indiscernible] platforms. This upcoming fiscal year, we'll see substantial revenue contributions coming up for the first time from our partnership with [indiscernible] thus transforming the work done over the last several years in building this partnership into a substantial commercial business.

We also recently announced the execution of an agreement with a major global [indiscernible] battery producer, whereby giving an announcement for our foray into specialized electrolyte additive products. We have partially conditions -- commercialized big products already and expect full commercialization in our upcoming sites, 3++ and [indiscernible]. That is really this partnership is developing quite well, and we expect additional benefits from this partnership, which we will also announce in due course of time.

Our R&D and pilot plant assets, infrastructure and manpower continued to increase quarter-on-quarter, even in the [indiscernible] affected quarters. This reflects on the continued fullness of our R&D pipeline with numerous projects across all business models. Even with the recent [indiscernible] tax our [indiscernible] portfolio has, in fact, grown year-on-year, and we anticipate the upcoming fiscal year, we'll see a significant expansion of this grand portfolio with new projects and new customers being added across industry spectrum and a few of these products making the [indiscernible] transition from the [indiscernible] portfolio to the contracts manufacturing portfolio.

We have also given guidance on the higher fill changes that we are planning to bring about, especially in the wake of [indiscernible], in line with that. We have announced Dr. [indiscernible] as our [indiscernible] who has already been associated with us since the last 3 years as the [indiscernible] development leader for Americas. He's a very well recognized R&D professional with the carrier spending more than 30 years at the [ Dow ] Chemical Company in the U.S.A. at an R&D director level. He will be jointly overseeing the R&D and technology verticals of the company. Under his leadership, we look forward to maneuvering to greater heights in strategic innovation and technical leadership in cementing our place as a premier partner for chemical development, scale-up and manufacturing across the industry spectrum.

We have commissioned successfully our Site 4 under our 100% fully moving owned subsidiary, [indiscernible] Specialty Chemicals. This has been created largely for one of the world's 3 biggest oil field services company in the U.S. We have announced [indiscernible] with this company in the recent past leading to the creation of this Site 4, and we expect to be announcing the finalized strategic supply agreement with this customer in the coming weeks or even days.

Production and supply of products from this side for to this particular customer with increasing phases with the first phase beginning in this first quarter of fiscal 2025. By the coming quarters, we anticipate very significant revenue contribution from this site 4 in the oil field services domain.

[indiscernible] our greenfield manufacturing site, 3 plus plus and site 5 is advancing well with all the regulatory approvals in place and civil work going on as planned, and the machinery and equipment also being installed in site 3 plus plus. We anticipate the commissioning of pipe 3 plus plus by the end of this upcoming fiscal year. We are going to launch several exciting new products in this site 3 plus plus, for both the large-scale manufacturing business model as well as in contract exclusive manufacturing business models. These products are as always made and offered by us for the first time in India, have their genesis in our core chemistry and technology competencies and have been painstakingly developed in our R&D labs and with production ready in our pilot plant.

The product under planning for the Site 3 plus plus includes some of these new electrolyte additives and 2 large molecules moving from the CRAMS portfolio to the contract explicit manufacturing portfolio and pipeline molecules under our large scale manufacturing business model played by us for the first time in India.

Site 5 is developing quite well from the [indiscernible] perspective, it is a mega production site. So 16 production blocks and it's shaping up very well to become the true phase of production of Aether Industries with world-class engineering, technology and safety and sustainable systems.

At the very end, I do want to touch upon the tragic and unfortunate accident in our manufacturing facility in site 2 in the last quarter. As Rohan had mentioned at the start of this call, the topmost priority of the company, our management and our family has been towards the aged and the family of the deceased. We have tried our very best to stand by them, and we will continue to do so for the life times of these immediate families.

This was a major accident. We have responded by undertaking comprehensive and systemic changes in the safety protocols and processes of the company. Each and every single operation being conducted in R&D, pellet plant and production for all the sites in the company have [indiscernible] for safety and only then have operations been resumed. We have spent several weeks in drawing up an elaborate corrective and preventive action plan, which focuses equally on the short term, the medium term and the long term. This plan has already been implemented and validated for the short-term actions and is being implemented with utmost seriousness for the medium term and long-term actions.

Rigorous implementation of this plan remains the company's top most priority and it was also my personal top most priority as a company, as a family and as the person leaving the operations to VR and I am committed to ensuring that such an event will never ever happen again at Aether Industries.

Finally, I do want to express our [indiscernible] to all our colleagues, our stakeholders and our value investors in their continued faith and trust in us and I assure you that we are working tirelessly to ensure that we deliver value to you and live up to our promise and potential.

Shubhangi, back to you.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

We shall now request the moderator to open the forum for question and answer.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Rohit Nagraj from Centrum Broking.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

So first question is in terms of competition from China. We've been hearing across the board that there has been competition from China, which has cropped up over the last couple of years. So have we faced any competition? And because of the incident, is there any irreversible market share loss that we are experiencing. That's the first question.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. On the pricing side, we are seeing a lot of pressure from [indiscernible] because the raw materials have also reduced and obviously [indiscernible] to their original state. So we are picking good competition in terms of pricing.

However, we have only lost certain market share in certain products because of our inability to produce because we have only 50% of our [indiscernible] plant, which is online. So that product is where we have lost market share, but we are very, very confident that we will regain this market share in Q1 and Q2, respectively, and we'll be back to our orignial state.

We have commitments from the customers and their readiness from on the customer side on their willingness to buy from Aether. So we are not worried on the existing molecules. And we are already taking a lot of orders with anticipation of the restarting of the plant as per our internal time lines.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

Sure. That's helpful. Second question is in terms of the [indiscernible] so if you could just give us a time line as to when commercialization of these projects will happen? And what kind of revenues that we are expecting over a period of time. So maybe a [indiscernible] utilization based on the current CapEx and how the trajectory would move maybe in FY '26, '27 in terms of overall revenues?

A
Aman Desai
executive

All right. So we are talking about site 3 plus plus. To start with, Site 3 plus plus is INR 200 crores of investment, and it is expected to top online and stabilize in Q4 of this financial year 2024, '25.

Site 4 is already up and running, and we are seeing the output and the sales happening in phase right manner where it is being ramped up in this current quarter, that is Q1 of 2024, '25. And we attained its full potential in Q2 and Q3, respectively, of this current financial year, '24,'25.

And talking about site 5, we will be -- we are estimating all getting online in the phase wise manner where the first phase will get online in December of 2025 which will stabilize in the last quarter of 2025, '26, and the potential will start unlocking in '26, '27 call that site. This is an expansion of INR 500 crores of revenue -- sorry, I mean capital investment, out of which INR 300 crores would be productive assets and INR 200 crores will be nonproductive assets. That is the [indiscernible] the length of [indiscernible] around which we need to build up for 16 production blocks. Does this answer your question, Rohit?

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

Sure. Just one more clarification. In terms of the usable asset base, what would be the asset turns that we are looking at?

A
Aman Desai
executive

At maturity, after a period of 2 years of stabilization of the plant, we are looking at 2x of the investment done in the plant.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of [ Dhruv Shah ] from [ Dalal and Versa Stock ]

U
Unknown Analyst

So my first question...

Operator

Dhruv, sorry to interrupt you. Can you speak a little louder please?

U
Unknown Analyst

Am I audible now?

Operator

A little better.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. So my first question is with respect to your CRAMS business. If I look at your full year revenue, it has been kind of flattish. Can you justify what is the reason behind this flattish growth?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes. So quite a few of them. So on the rate of the accident, quite a few of these projects were put on hold. And there's almost a period of overall, I believe 2 months where we put a lot of things on hold because I mentioned in my speech, we had done a thorough safety review of every single operation and every single project. And for that matter, we have put quite a few projects on hold and quite a few of the bigger projects were put on hold for a longer time for these safety reviews. And so we are looking at this one quarter where we were delayed by our [indiscernible] the milestones and all of these project sensors.

In fact, we were hoping to have a showcase a significant growth on the trends year-on-year. But in spite of this setback of 2 to 3 months, we have still been still grown on the trends by a couple of percentages, I believe, and that reflects on how strong the pipeline was.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sure, sir. Sir, my second question, what was your average selling price per KG for the full year?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

At the moment?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Average selling price per KG was INR 1,509.

U
Unknown Analyst

INR 1,509?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. And sir, like what is your outlook on this? Are you seeing any improvement in prices because the prices have been falling only. So are there any green shoots that you are observing in terms of prices?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Currently, Q1 and Q2, no. We are not expecting any price to be correcting, but we are seeing a good demand at least to start with, which is a very, very positive note. And with the demand, we hope that from Q2 onwards, the pricing will go towards the north.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sure, sir. And my last question was with respect to your [ agrochem ] sector. So what is the scenario over there? Are there any improvements over there? Because I think so earlier you had mentioned that some deals were delayed, not canceled. So are they back with us or they're still not with us yet?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes. So we are not a major agro player as such. The old approximately 30%, 35% of our sales comes out of 4 products, which are in agro. And we are not seeing demand trouble in these 4 products. However, the pricing pressure is still true in all these -- on these 4 products.

U
Unknown Analyst

Sure, sir. And just one last question, if I could squeeze in. Sir, there has been some significant increase in your noncurrent borrowings. So can you please mention what is that regarding?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Non-concurrent is the working capital requirements, which we have started taking because we had taken INR 35 crores in the working capital. So this...

U
Unknown Analyst

Your voice wasn't audible. Can you please repeat that?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes, the noncurrent borrowings are the working capital [indiscernible], which we are [indiscernible] with the banks. So these are towards the CC, PCFC and [indiscernible] we are using from the banks.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of [ Inderjeet Bhatia ] from HDFC Securities.

U
Unknown Analyst

First question is, would you want to kind of put a number as to how much of revenues we lost in the previous quarter because of this unfortunate accident? Is there some [indiscernible] of that?

A
Aman Desai
executive

We lost our look close to -- to INR 150 crores to INR 200 crores of revenue, which we are assuming in 2 quarters. I mean, 4 months.

There are many -- there are many aspects we lost 1 quarter in site 4 also, which we are anticipating to get as a revenue. which is oilfield drilling services, which was also delayed because we wanted to do the safety reviews check again in the existing site and Site 4. And also, we had a [indiscernible], which was [ kicked ] in by our customers. which we passed with flying colors, [indiscernible].

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So this is -- when you say INR 150 crores of revenue loss, is this revenue delayed which is all expected to come into FY '25? Or do you think some part of this is actually lost because those orders do not exist any longer with us because customers might have shifted it.

A
Aman Desai
executive

No. So it has been pushed a quarter back. So we are not going to recover it in this financial year [indiscernible].

U
Unknown Analyst

Got it. Got it. Second is now with the -- you said that we are not large players in agro, but if I recollect, Agro was still a fairly substantial portion of our revenues. If you could kind of just let us know as to what percentage do you think would be agro in FY '25 or FY '26 once all these new capacities come up?

That is one. And the second is in any of your existing contracts or the new contract that you have kind of got, has there been any change in pricing or any kind of extra cost that is associated either because of the accident or just generally because of, say, the environment changing?

A
Aman Desai
executive

No. So no additional cost has been fulfilled by Aether or -- there is no discount, which will be given by Aether because of the accident. We are anticipating 30% to 35% of our total top line to the agro for this financial year.

Operator

Next question is from [ Atish Ramada ] from Fortress Group.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have a few questions regarding the converged [indiscernible] opportunity. Firstly, so you've previously mentioned that the addressable market size for the Converge [indiscernible] opportunity is about 850,000 tonnes per annum. Can you maybe quantify the TAM in dollar terms?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So it's 150 [indiscernible] would be at the average selling price of $4 to $5 per kilo -- sorry, $3 to $5 a kilo.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Okay. So just harping upon that point, I mean, considering that the coverage [ polyols ] are more value-added products compared to the other polyols used in case application. Are they being priced at a premium compared to the other polyols in the market?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. It is priced at a premium. It is it is approximately 35% -- 30% to 35%, depending on the volume, which you require it at 32%, 35% premium.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Okay. And just a quick follow-up on that. So for the various case applications that you're targeting, what percentage of the end-use applications total COGS would be attributable to polyols? I understand that the exact figure would be difficult to estimate, even a range would be very helpful.

A
Aman Desai
executive

So that would be difficult to estimate, I think.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Krishan Parwani from JM Financial.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Just 2 small questions from my side. First is on the volume or revenue growth, which you are targeting FY '25, given some new plants are coming up and there would be certain impact inside 1Q '25. So just some thoughts there.

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes. So Q1, we are anticipating the site to come online. So at any time you are expecting that [indiscernible] to be circulated and so we can push and move ahead full steam in site 2 and site 4 has come online. So that will contribute quite a lot in financial year 2024, '25.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Okay. So you -- at this point, you are probably not putting a number to the growth guidance that you have. Is that understood?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

No, really not.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Yes. No problem. And the second question I had was on the working capital days. So how much of the moderation you are expecting in FY '25, given I think we had some higher working capital days in '24. So how do you ...

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Krishan, can you just speak bit louder? I cannot hear you.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Sure, sir. So I was actually asking like, was there any particular reason for higher working capital days in FY '24? And how much of moderation we are expecting in FY '25?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

So the main reason for the increase is attributable to the inventory days, wherein the working progress, inventory has gone up. So we had a fire incident and then the size to relocation for part was received. And we started the production in February. So there was -- this production was going on. So this work in progress inventory has been higher this side. And if this is moderate, and we will again come back to the normal scenario and normal terms by end of this finance a '25 for sure.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Perfect. So essentially, it was because of the fire incident Understood, understood.

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes, product [indiscernible] loss to be started. There, the raw material is good, the inventories are [indiscernible] all in control. There's no such problem.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Perfect. So we can expect it to be a normal level once again?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Correct.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next follow-up question is from the line of [indiscernible] Mahan from Fortress Group.

U
Unknown Analyst

Just a couple of more follow-up questions on the electrolyte additives opportunity. So the electrolyte additives that you're currently developing, how fungible are they? Can they be used across different electrolyte salts and solutions? Or are they specific to a specific electrolyte salt such as, say, a lithium [ exoraphosphate ]?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes. Thanks for the question. Great question. We are focusing only on the organic molecules, small organic molecule [indiscernible] additives, and that's a very specific subset of the electrolyte additives. So we are not going after salts. We are not going after the solvents. We are not going after the salt additives. We are going after the organic small molecule electrolyte additives only, which plays to our strength of our core competencies of chemistries and technologies. And so the -- so that's the first part of the answer.

The second answer is that these are commonly used. So two out of the three that we are developing are very commonly used electrolyte additives in almost every single formulation of lithium-ion batteries. And so they are going to be broadly applicable and marketable to the entire world of the lithium ion battery formulation partners. And the chemistry play and the technology play to our strengths of core competencies and therefore are fungible in our manufacturing assets.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So my understanding is that you plan on sending the first validation batches to the clients by the end of this calendar year? Is that correct?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

That is correct, yes. hopefully before that.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay, okay. So I mean when do you expect commercialization of the additives by?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

So the commercialization will be partially done by the end of this calendar year, and the full commercialization will happen in the site 3 plus plus, which will [indiscernible] by the end of the fiscal year or the quarter thereafter.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next follow-up question is from the line of Rohit Nagraj from Centrum Broking Limited.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

Yes for the follow-up, so we have recently elevated [ doctor ] for the CTO position. So what is the structure that we are working with, I mean, in terms of the total staff cost, how much is the percentage for the expat and to retain them for a fairly long period of time, what is the incentive structure or probably sub structure that we have formulated. If you can just give some color on this.

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes. So we are very excited to have Jim on the Board and Jim's personally going to be [indiscernible] 20 years now. And we get with the company for 3 years already. And he told you one of the best process scientists in the world that I know, and I know quite a few. And so we expected to have him when he joined us, obviously for a good package, but also and benefit, but also because we believe in the story and of the [indiscernible] that we said, and he's very excited to be working with us. And so this -- I won't share the details here, but there are several aspects of the overall package that we have put together for him and it includes obviously attractive [indiscernible] as well.

He already had [indiscernible] from the development leader position that he was in, and this gives additional benefits to him as well. And so we work very closely. He is [indiscernible] for a month every quarter. and he's working in the Indian time zone partially over there in the U.S. for core [indiscernible] with the projects over here and then partially in the U.S. time on for the [indiscernible] developments activities. And so it's already contributing immensely to all the projects and it's a parallel structure. To me, if you will, in terms of the R&D and technology development of the company. And so it's very, very positive. Hopefully that answers some of your questions.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

Right, right. And a similar structure in place even for the other experts working from other geographies?

A
Aman Desai
executive

The other business development team has resulted and a reasonably good package compared to the [indiscernible] that's already in place. So the design of the structure is that in such a way that it is expandable for the near future, if any [indiscernible] to join.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

Sure. And just one clarification in terms of FY '25. Given that the unfortunate incidence has happened and probably will get the revocation order in some time. Is it safe to assume we will be able to do at least similar kind of revenue run rate, what we did in FY '24? Barring the new projects which have come onstream in terms of the Site 4 and the upcoming projects.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Obviously, Yes, for sure.

Operator

Thank you very much. As there are no further questions, I will now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

Thank you, everyone, for participating in the call. We hope that we have addressed majority of your questions. If you still have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to us. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. On behalf of HDFC Securities Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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