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Aether Industries Ltd
NSE:AETHER

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NSE:AETHER
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Aether Industries Q1 FY '24 Earnings Call hosted by HDFC Securities. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Nilesh Ghuge from HDFC Securities Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

N
Nilesh Ghuge
analyst

Thank you, Yusuf. Good afternoon, all. On behalf of HDFC Securities, I welcome everyone to this Aether Industries conference call to discuss the results for the quarter ended June 2023. From Aether Industries, we have with us today, Dr. Aman Desai, Promoter and Whole-Time Director; Mr. Rohan Desai, promoter and Whole-Time Director; Mr. Faiz Nagariya, Chief Financial Officer; and Ms. Shubhangi Desai, Executive IR.

Without further ado, I will now handover the floor to Ms. Shubhangi Desai to begin with the earnings call for Q1 FY '24. Over to you, Shubhangi.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

Today on July 26, 2023, our Board has approved the financial results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2024 and we have released the same to the stock exchanges as well as updated the same on our website. Please note that this conference call is being recorded, and the transcript of the same will be made available on the website of Aether Industries Limited and Exchange. Please also note that the audio of the conference call is the copyright material of Aether Industries Limited and cannot be copied, rebroadcasted or attributed in press or media without specific and written consent of the company.

Let me draw your attention to the fact that on this call, our discussion will include certain forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections or other estimates about future events. These estimates reflect management's current expectations on future performance of the company. Please note that these estimates involve several risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what is expressed or implied. Aether Industries Limited or its officials do not undertake any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events or otherwise. Dr. Aman Desai will begin by sharing the ongoing expansions and strategy of the company going forward, then Mr. Faiz Nagariya will cover the financial highlights for the period under review, and Mr. Rohan Desai will share a broad overview of Aether's business.

Now I shall handover the call to Dr. Aman Desai for his opening remarks. Over to you, Dr. Aman.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Thank you, Shubhangi. Good evening, and a warm welcome to everybody on this call. I hope everybody is doing well, and I'm very happy to connect with all of you once again and discuss the performance of our company for the first quarter of the fiscal 2024.

To begin with, in terms of strategy and expansions, all our expansion plans are advancing well as charted, and the strategies laid out for our growth trajectory are firmly in its place. Despite the current headwinds, which we believe are temporary, we stand strong on our core competencies of class-apart infrastructure, state of art technology, a focus on core chemistries and technologies and integrated systems. We have been investing strategically in these areas as well, continuous investments in the human capital at Aether as well as research and development emphasize their pivotal role in the sustained growth of our company.

We have successfully raised INR 7,500 million or INR 750 crores through qualified institutional placements or QIP by issuing 80.12 lakh equity shares, 36 qualified institutional buyers, which will be deployed for funding CapEx for Site 3, Site 5, meeting working capital requirements and general corporate proposes. The agro sector is currently witnessing an inventory reset year, which has hampered both our large scale manufacturing as well as our contract exclusive manufacturing business model, foraying of the Chinese competition and restarting of the Chinese industry into a few of our products in the pharma sector has also impacted us. But for the most part, I do believe that we have been able to reasonably come through in this quarter because of our strong portfolio as well as the diversity in our business model as well as the end industry application sectors.

In the material science and oil and gas sectors, we are, I do believe, pioneers in the country in terms of tying up with the innovators of these fields in their R&D platforms going on towards commercialization. And we have also made a few important announcements in this regard in this quarter, which I'll speak shortly about.

In the CRAMS business model, we continue to see good growth, which helps us to continuously collaborate with the elite technocrats across the borders and the contribution of large scale manufacturing has remained dominant in this quarter, which is on the backdrop of the commercialization of new products in the new sites that we have upcoming that we have launched in this quarter and the last quarter. There is definitely a slowdown in the agro sector in this year as agro companies are now destocking in a significant manner, but this is a cyclical event just like the pharma companies were undergoing in the last year.

We do believe firmly this is a short-term phenomenon and the things will settle out in the third and the fourth quarters of this fiscal year. Demand certainly has been hit back in this quarter due to aggressive Chinese dumping. But as is always the case, with this Chinese dumping scenario, China will not be able to sustain this as there are various other geological and economical factors in play in China, which does portray a good future for the Indian specialty chemical market beyond the current temporary headwinds. A major development that came along from our side during this quarter was the execution of a letter of intent with one of the three major global oil field services companies based in the U.S.

This LOI, letter of intent, paves the way for the execution of a strategic supply agreement between the two companies within a few months of the LOI execution. The LOI specifies four strategic products of this new customer that will be contract manufactured by Aether as the first set of products. The individual volumes of these 4 products, as is mentioned in the LOI totals to 16,000 metric tons per year with a significant revenue potential to the north of INR 300 crores per year from the fiscal '25, which is the next fiscal. And we do hope to see some contribution of this in the last quarter of this fiscal year as well. These products will be supplied to the global energy and oil and gas locations of this customer, including a significant supply within India, which will be in support of the Make in India movement. This project is being undertaken by us at Site 4, under Aether's Specialty Chemicals Limited, which is 100% only owned subsidiary of Aether, and the project work has already begun and is actually in full swing as we speak today.

Another important announcement that we did during this quarter was the signing and the finalization of the licensing agreement with Saudi Aramco Technologies Company for the commercialization of the sustainable converge polyols technology. After working collaboratively over the last many years in the CRAMS business model, we are now proceeding towards the commercialization of these sustainable polyols and we are very excited to be starting off on this path.

We continue to make robust investments towards R&D. Our R&D expenses for the first quarter stood at INR 124.6 million, i.e., 7.6% of our total revenues for the quarter were going towards R&D expenses. The strength of the R&D team grew from 233 in quarter 4 of fiscal '23 to 262 in quarter 1 fiscal '24, that is this quarter. As always, the pipeline in R&D is fully backed up for future molecules with plans to launch these molecules in the upcoming years in the Site 3+, 3++, Site 4 and Site 5 greenfield manufacturing sites in the business models of large-scale manufacturing as well as exclusive/contractual manufacturing. In this quarter itself, we have exhibited at the most important specialty chemical trade shows globally, which are the ChemExpo show in Mumbai, the Chemspec Europe show in Switzerland, the CPHI show in Japan, Tokyo, and the Chemicals America Show in Savannah, U.S.A., which gave us significant insight as always, on the prospects of opportunities, the growth going forward as well as continued meetings and tie-ups with some of our most important customers in the U.S.A., Europe and Japan.

We are, as always, committed to what we have said in the past and will continue to deliver. We see a good turnaround in the third and the fourth quarters of this fiscal year. And are hopeful to close at the fiscal year with good numbers and margins, along with the various other developments, which we've always talked about, and which are in the pipeline.

With that, I would like to conclude speaking, and I will now request our CFO, Faiz, to touch upon the financial highlights for the period under review. Faiz?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Thank you, Dr. Aman, and good evening, everybody. I'm glad to inform that the total revenue of the company stood at INR 1,638 million in the first quarter of fiscal year '24, reflecting a flattish when compared to quarter 1 of fiscal year '23. The EBITDA has also been flattish year-on-year basis from INR 486 million to INR 475 million, thereby resulting in EBITDA margins of 29% in Q1. The PAT for Q1 for financial year '24 stood at INR 302 million, which has also been flattish year-on-year based on Q1 of financial year '23. PAT has been 18% as a percentage of the total revenues. The debtor cycle of the company is still stretched, but we have been able to bring down the debtor marginally from 145 days as on 31st March 2023 to 139 days as on June 30, 2023. We are continuously working on this area and are confident to bring it down much better by 2024 end.

Now I would request Mr. Rohan Desai to share a broad overview of Aether's business. Over to you.

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Thank you, Faiz, for the -- sorry. The entire chemicals industry is currently facing tough times with various segments experiencing stock corrections especially agrochemical segment. Chinese companies have been dumping material into India after reopening their production facilities following the COVID lockdown, and the Chinese currency has also devalued significantly to aid in their dumping activities. Despite these challenges, there is a hope for demand normalization as orders are in hand to be supplied from quarter 3 of this fiscal year, which is expected to bring things back to normal.

While raw material prices have stabilized on the lower side, benefiting the company with reduced COGS, the selling price of all the finished products have also corrected quite a bit. It has been for the first time in the history of the company that we have seen reductions in the average realization of the price of the products, which has gone down up to INR 100 per kilo as compared to the last quarter and the current quarter. With the new products that we have launched in the Site 3, the increase in turnover of these products will help us to achieve the realization much more better in the quarters to come.

To save on major overheads like electricity costs, the company has installed 16 megawatts solar power plant providing optimum outputs for 3 units of Aether Industries Limited. For further discussions for a hybrid power plant, deal is already in advanced stages which is projected to cover 80% to 85% of the total electricity cost of all these 3 units with plans to increase the capacity for future expansions. Continuous discussions with steam service providers has led to a decrease by 17% in the steam utility cost in the last 6 to 8 months.

Coming to the three independent business models. In quarter 1 of financial year 2024, we have seen 63% of our total top line coming from large-scale manufacturing business model. 16% of our total top line coming from contract research and manufacturing services business model. And our third business model, which is contractual exclusive manufacturing contributed to 20% of our total top line. As always, we remain committed to delivering value to our shareholders and investors. With short-term challenges persisting, we firmly believe in the resilience of our business and the underlining fundamentals that have allowed us to thrive in the past.

We are confident that these qualities, coupled with adaptability will guide us through the trying period and position us for sustained growth in the future. Thank you, and back to you, Shubhangi.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

Thank you, Mr. Rohan. We shall now request the moderator to open the forum for question and answer.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] First question is from the line of Noel Vaz from Union Asset Management.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

I just had one question. So what I wanted to know is -- regarding the new molecules which are expected to come up in Site 3, I think you had mentioned that the realization should be better than the current realization that the company enjoys. So which particular segment which would this be coming from?

A
Aman Desai
executive

They are coming from pharma segment. We are talking about Site 3, they are coming from pharma segments only, pharmaceutical segment.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

And expected revenue would be how much approx?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Expected revenue of Site 3 at maturity, which will be achieved in 2 years will be INR 400 crores.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

Okay. Also, one other question. So I had a series of questions about the polyol segment. So I just wanted to know what exactly are the -- is the realization that we are aiming for in that particular segment because I just had some doubts on that. So realization and capacities, what exactly are we looking at right now?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So as low as $8 and as high as $13 per kilo.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Shatadru Chakraborty from Chakraborty Family Office.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

My first question is really a bookkeeping question. The cost of material consumed, this is up 18% year-on-year. And then the effective tax rate, that has really gone down year-on-year as well as quarter-on-quarter. So I just wanted to understand what exactly is happening? Is it inventory destocking that is happening? Is it raw material, which is costing us more? And why do we see so much fluctuation in the tax rates?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes. So I will take the question for the tax rate. The tax rate, if you see, we have just installed the solar power plant last year, which was commissioned in July, but the plant started to give out the outputs from October. The installation day taken in October. So half year depreciation was taken. This year, the full year depreciation is taken, and the revenue is lower this time in the first quarter. So it's INR 161 crores, and expenses have gone up. So the resulted PBT and actual tax payable which comes is less. So the average tax has gone down because of the capitalization of the solar power plant wherein the depreciation is 40% as per income tax. And the deferred tax liability also went down because of the increase in the gross block of the depreciation as per Income Tax Act.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

So the tax rate per se, what you're saying is in Q2, Q3, this will be slightly back up again in the 22%, 23%.

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes, it will come back as the revenue will increase the tax rate will come back. It will come back to around 23%, 24% for sure.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

And then the question really on the increase in the cost of material consumed, any response to that?

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

The increase in cost of raw materials consumed is basically it's a factor of the raw materials which are used, which were purchased at a higher price in the second quarter, which are used now because we keep inventory of 5 months. And then the prices started going down. So those are now being used in the second quarter from now. So we'll see a reduction in the raw materials consumed cost also. The major thing is the recoveries, which we are having, which have shown a decline, which is on -- which is the reason for the increase in the raw material cost. But now as we go into the second quarter, the raw material costs will still be going down because we have the inventories which are purchased at the rock bottom prices of the raw materials which were purchased recently.

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Mr. Chakraborty, this is Rohan over here. The raw material prices have been reduced in the last 60 days approximately. And there was a drastic fall which has happened, which have unseen before in Aether's history. So it was quite drastic. And hence, the raw material prices are almost reached the rock bottom as we speak. And as the inventory starts depleting, you will see the benefits out of the lower cost raw materials.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

Makes sense. So then I think Q2, Q3, we might see some of this play out.

F
Faiz Nagariya
executive

Yes.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

And my second question really is on the contract manufacturing segment. So I see numbers down year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. And you mentioned that the agriculture sector has been relatively weak. I just wanted to understand, get your color is -- and you said Chinese yuan has depreciated a lot. So their imports are cheaper and so on and so forth. I understand that. But my real question is -- so I know that you have lost price, but have you also lost volumes? And how do you see the sector, at least in the rest of this year, because I understand that the agriculture sector recovery is probably not going to happen as much as we expect, right?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So we were anticipating the contract renewals to happen in the quarter 1, which has been deferred to quarter 2. And hence, that's the only change which we are seeing right now. We're moreover related with destocking issues going on in the agrochemical sector. So the demand is there, but they are all destocking at this moment and getting their inventories corrected. And so we are believing today that the demand will be back, and the contract will be completed in Q2, and we will see a full force of our molecules coming back in demand in Q3 and Q4 on the agrochemical side.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Vipraw Srivastava from InCred Capital.

V
Vipraw Srivastava
analyst

Okay. So my question was regarding the large-scale manufacturing division of the company. So just wanted to get a hang of stuff. So the new product, which the company was supposed to launch, the intermediates and other APIs. So have you started contributing the top line? Or I mean, what is the percentage contribution?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, it has started contributing to the top line as we speak. So all the products have been launched commercially, and they are already aiding to the sales. However, with the softer demand, it is not picking up as per what we were looking for. But in Q2, Q3, Q4, we see it coming up back into action. They are not agrochemical intermediates. They are pharmaceutical intermediates.

V
Vipraw Srivastava
analyst

Right. So just a follow-up question on the Dolutegravir intermediates, which we are supposed to be making. So Gilead has launched a drug called BIKTARVY, which has rapidly gained market share in U.S. It has 50% market share. So will it be a competition for our intermediate as far as the demand for the intermediate is concerned?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Not on all the shorter period of time, but over a longer period of time, how it sees the acceptability in the market is to be seen. But in the shorter term, we do not see this as a big trouble for us.

V
Vipraw Srivastava
analyst

Okay. Okay. And one last question. So regarding the large-scale manufacturing. We make the intermediate methoxyfenozide, which is a pyrethroid, and pyrethroid have been coming down since the beginning of the year. So is it just a price decrease or you're also seeing volume decline and as far as MMBC is concerned, which is the intermediate for the methoxyfenozide.

A
Aman Desai
executive

The volume has not declined. We are seeing the same level or some added demand which is coming up as a forecast. Only thing is it is being deferred from Q1 to Q2. The discussions have been deferred because of the additional stock which they were holding and they wanted to destock and correct the inventory positions at their end. So we are not seeing any problems on methoxyfenozide. Volume-wise, it is stable or increasing. As per the value, yes, it will correct in terms of the value because all the raw materials have decreased substantially. So we have to adjust the price accordingly.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Akul Broachwala from Ocean Dial Asset Management.

A
Akul Broachwala
analyst

Yes. So specifically, taking this question on Site 3. So you mentioned that over next 2 years, once this matures, you expect INR 400 crores of revenue. So you mentioned that we've already launched 3 products. And are there any further pipeline products which we plan to launch this calendar year? And basically, what's the timeline to scale this up in order to achieve this sort of revenues within the span of time? Like is it completely that over next -- within 6 months or so you are able to ramp up the production and supply it? Or what is the strategy behind this?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So site, there is two different sites. Site 3 and Site 3++. Site 3 has 5 molecules. All 5 molecules have been launched. Site 3++ has 3 new molecules which are moreover on the agro site and -- two of agro and one more material science, which will be launched in the due course of time as the site comes online. The site will come online in next 12 to 14 months as of now, that is what we are seeing. So I believe you are talking about Site 3++, right?

A
Akul Broachwala
analyst

So I was referring to actually Site 3 only, where you've launched 5 products. So I further wanted to understand whether there are any further pipeline products which you plan to launch over next couple of quarters or so? Or is this what Site 3 will constitute overall?

A
Aman Desai
executive

The Site 3 will contribute 5 products, and we are looking as the businesses of the agrochemicals sector is changing and stock correction is happening. We will see the opportunity of the asset utilization and maybe launch 1 or 2 products in Q2 and Q3.

A
Akul Broachwala
analyst

Okay. Understood. And the supplies to Otsuka will also -- is also part of Site 3? Or will it happen from other side? Just wanted to clarity on that.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Otsuka's product is coming from Site 2.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Mr. Sanjesh Jain from ICICI Securities.

As there is no response from the current participant, we'll move to our next question from the line of Simar from Negen Capital Service.

U
Unknown Analyst

So in terms of the headwind for growth, we do have an international lever as well as the product mix. So how do you see the growth for the next year or so?

A
Aman Desai
executive

We could not hear you properly, see Mr. Simar. Can you just respond back -- repeat this question, please?

U
Unknown Analyst

Is it much better right now?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, please go ahead.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Sure. So in terms of the headroom for growth, we do have an international lever as well as the product mix. So could you say how much do you see the growth for the next financial year as well as like a year or so?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Before Q1, we were anticipating a robust growth happening in this financial year. Just in the last 60 days the price crashed of all the raw materials. Most of the raw materials are available at all-time low, even solvents and everything crashed to the rock bottom. So we are trying out -- pushing our best right now to take it quarter-on-quarter basically. And we believe that in Q3 and Q4, we'll be back to normal. That's what our belief is, and our understanding is. And I think we will be able to come back to the original state, more or less with this new LOI signing, which we have done. And with the new 2 or 3 product launches, which we are anticipating to do in the upcoming quarters to come. So I don't have a number, but we believe that we will more or less reach the target which we had projected in the starting of the year. Does the answer help you?

U
Unknown Analyst

Yes. Yes. I got it, sir. I have another question. With the business mix, do you expect the number to be remaining the same, the pharma contributing upwards of 50% and agro around 20% to 30%?

A
Aman Desai
executive

No, actually. We expect that the agro and the others will pick up more in the next 2 quarters as compared to the first 2 quarters. The absolute number of the pharma will remain the same, but we are currently seeing a historical 5-year cycle of agrochemical industry, where it's resetting here and inventory restocking here. And so that's why in this quarter, especially, you've seeing the agro component being quite small and we anticipate that to come back reasonably well in the third and the fourth quarters. And so you see agro number is going up, the pharma will remain where it is and especially with the oil field services company contribution coming in, in the last quarter of this fiscal year, we anticipate the oil and gas and material sciences sector to also go up, say, in the last quarter. And so we do anticipate continuing to equalize continuously these various portfolios that we are into.

U
Unknown Analyst

And if I can slip in one last question. So with respect to the contracts from Aramco, Otsuka and Polaroid, can you elaborate how much growth that would be contributing to the revenue or the EBITDA margins in the next 5 years?

A
Aman Desai
executive

The EBITDA margins will be in the 29, 30 range. That is what we are projecting at the moment. Anything above that would be good to have. We are targeting a good margins in polyols business to start with. On Otsuka, which are the primary two products, which we are already manufacturing. We are seeing the EBITDA levels to be at the large-scale manufacturing EBITDA levels only. So you will not see a bump up on that part. In oil field services business LOI, which we have done, we see the EBITDA margins to be 28% to 30% also. And on -- in terms of the Polaroid contract, research and manufacturing services, we see approximately 50-plus percent EBITDA margins, which is categorized as CRAMS for us.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Shatadru Chakraborty from Chakraborty Family Office.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

This time, I really want to converge on basically the two potential future drivers. So starting with the oil field company. You just mentioned the EBITDA margin and said that the revenues will potentially start either the last quarter of this financial year or definitely '25. I was just kind of thinking what kind of blended realization are we expecting for this? And if you could also throw a bit more light on what kind of molecule it is? Also in the light of your funnel you mentioned that, is it really the first time manufactured in India? Does it have 4 steps? So whatever you could add on the molecule itself would be very helpful.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. So this is one of the top 3 oil field services company in the U.S., and they are in the oil field services area and what we're going to be supplying them across because 4 molecules itself, we have a combined volume of almost 1,300 metric tons per month, hence this is a high-volume area. This is a good fit to our core competencies of high-pressure technology and continuous flow technology. And so that's why it's of interest to us in addition to, of course, being the strategic association with leading -- 1 of the top 3 leading oil field services company in the U.S. and being in the non-pharma, non-agro sector, which is our continued goal to diversify. Because of the high volume, obviously, the average utilization is low.

And so we're talking about a $3 to $5 per kilo range on a per kilo basis. But if you multiply those numbers into the volumes that I just mentioned, this has potential to be a game changer for the company. And what we've always given guidance is that we are actively looking at various opportunities in various areas of innovation, partnership with such companies where we are talking about such game-changing areas for Aether. And so that kind of speaks to the average realization part of your question.

In terms of the molecules, these are used in oil field services, but beyond that, I'm afraid the confidentiality agreements [ prevents ] us from sharing more information. But as is mentioned in the LOI, the strategic service agreement is -- strategic supply agreement is being currently constructed between the two companies, and we are hopeful that we'll be able to disclose the earning of the company as well as more details once this strategy agreement is finalized in the next few months. And as you mentioned, this could be potentially came changing for us. And we are hopeful that we'll be seeing contributions in the last quarter of this fiscal year and with the full contribution with the new site in Site 4 in the next fiscal year.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

A similar question on the converged polyols agreement also that you signed. So here since you have not guided to any start date whatsoever. So I was just curious what do you think of when you can potentially record revenue for this? Because I know there are some contract increases also left. Any idea of what kind of volumes and what kind of realizations are you potentially looking at this segment also? Maybe some light on the -- I probably think you cannot throw some light on the molecule itself, but anything apart from that would be helpful.

A
Aman Desai
executive

We are setting up 2 KTA plant as we speak. That is a production line, which will have a manufacturing capacity of 2 KTA for converge polyols. We potentially see a sale of approximately 500 tons in next financial year, half KTA that is. Then full KTA in the subsequent year and the 2 KTA in the third year.

S
Shatadru Chakraborty
analyst

Okay. Very helpful. And just last question from my side. So Site 5 per se, for which you have also now gotten some money from the QIP placement that you did. So in the document itself it's mentioned INR 330 crores of CapEx. And I believe you mentioned sometime before that this will be a mix of contract manufacturing and CRAMS. So I was just wondering, is this exactly the converge polyols business that you planned to do here? And similar questions then. Anything that you can share on the asset turn, and I think the realization piece you already mentioned.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. So Site 5 will not initially have converge. We have not planned that over there. We have planned large-scale manufacturing business molecules and contractual exclusively manufacturing molecules in the first stage in Site 5. And usually, the asset turns at maturities approximately 2x, and we're targeting 2 at this moment.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Krishan Parwani from JM Financial.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Just had two small clarifications, I would say. So the first is, I think you mentioned about 2 to 3 new product launches. Just wanted to understand under which business segment would these be?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Two are in agrochemicals. They are intermediates of agrochemicals and one is the intermediate of material science.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Understood. And this would be in this fiscal, right? And you don't see a challenge.

A
Aman Desai
executive

That is the next fiscal because the plant is being built up -- sorry 3++.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Okay. Okay. So this fiscal, there is no new product addition. I mean, it is more like a ramp-up of whatever new product that you have launched in the last 5 to 6 months, correct?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. But now we are projecting that we'll go for an earlier launch of 2 molecules out of these 3. And if the assets permits us and if the installation is not up to the mark.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Understood. So -- and just one last clarification is that, see -- I mean, we are already in the month of -- I mean, July end, right? And in the month gone by, you see any hopes of bettering the run rate in second quarter versus what you have seen in the first quarter? Just wanted to understand where do we stand in terms of recovery. I know it's early...

A
Aman Desai
executive

So Q2 is a good challenge to have. If we can better in Q2, it will give us a good momentum in Q3 and Q4. So that's the target. Q3, Q4, we are looking at as per our understanding and estimates and discussing with the various customers, which we have on contract exclusive manufacturing and large-scale manufacturing we feel we will be at normal levels -- back to normal levels. And with the inventory of raw materials coming in at all-time low, it will also aid to the margins. So Q2 will be a challenging one for sure. But however, we are trying our best to make it a better one than this Q1.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Understood. Understood. That is helpful. But I'll just pitch in one last one. So whatever run rate we saw in 4Q '23, right, in terms of the top line probably 3Q '24 and 4Q '24 could be much better than that. Is that a safe statement?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Vipraw Srivastava from InCred Capital.

V
Vipraw Srivastava
analyst

Just wanted to understand one thing. So a lot of value of Aether comes from a strong R&D team, right? I mean its research and development team is very well accredited. So just wanted to understand that what differentiates your R&D team from your peers. I mean in terms of recruitment on where you recruit? Or what type of compensation you pay? How is your R&D team differentiated? I'm asking this because a lot of the value which Aether caters to is from this R&D team, right? So that's why I just wanted to know this. So if you can throw some light on this.

Yes, Vipraw, thanks for the question. Great question. We are built on R&D and the initial focus, the first 3, 4 years of the company, especially we did only R&D and built on that fundamental base, and we have continued to build on that R&D remains the face of the company, R&D remains the focus of the company as you've found out, almost 8% of the revenues go towards R&D and we foresee that continuing in the next quarters to come, and the next years to come even as the absolute sales go up, the percentage of the R&D spend will remain the same. So the absolute R&D spend will continue to increase. So that remains the focus of the company, and that is what differentiates us.

I think a big plus point, especially for Aether has been that it's the promoter family and the top management is a great mix of techno-commercial excellence, and so there's absolute technical excellence in the promoter family itself in terms of organic chemistry and chemical engineering, which helps us really drive from the top and focus on this R&D aspect of the focus of the company, which is not -- which makes us not dependent on key critical decision-making on any other person outside of the promoter family, which I think is a huge advantage to the company with such R&D focus. And so other than that, we have a team of, I think, more than 250 R&D scientists and engineers. We have 8 research groups led by seasoned PhD organic chemists who all report into the management.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we have the management line connected.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, sorry. Vipraw, I don't know where I lost you, but can you just -- did you hear any part of my answer?

V
Vipraw Srivastava
analyst

Yes, I heard the -- you have 250 strong R&D team, till that part I heard.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. So we basically continue to invest into R&D. R&D remains the bedrock of the company. We have a global technology leadership team as well that's helping us on a continuous daily basis. We lead from the top. Now we have more than 250 scientists and engineers and we are continuously adding more to the team. We have 8 independent research groups led by PhD synthetic organic chemists who are completely independent and lead the entire projects from paper all to way up to commercialization. We invest in the top notch analytical equipment across R&D.

In terms of recruitment, since we lead from the top, we don't need to recruit competency capability or product knowledge. We build these ourselves from the ground up. So which means we basically recruit a fundamentally good understanding of chemistry and chemical engineering, which is relatively easier to get and cheaper to get as well, if I may add, and so that's kind of differentiates us as well in terms of the total spend that we have on, for example, our manpower and the R&D budget. And so it keeps us in line, which helps us to kind of invest money elsewhere into equipment and facilities and capabilities. We are on the way to doubling further our R&D, hopefully by next year or the year after that, where we are going to launch an entirely new R&D building, adjacent to the current R&D building with essentially doubling of the infrastructure and the manpower. We have very firm plans for R&D going forward.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Noel Vaz from Union Asset Management.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

Can you hear?

Operator

Yes, we can hear you. Please go ahead.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

So I just wanted to just cover about Site 3+. So I think there are 5 molecules coming, 2 from material science, 3 from agro chem.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Site 3+, you're talking about Site 3++?

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

Yes, yes, sorry, 3++.

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, two are agrochemical intermediates, one is material science intermediate.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

Okay. So the agrochem molecules, these are associated with crop protection or which particular segment?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, crop protection.

N
Noel Vaz
analyst

Okay. The end application, I mean, are they going towards generic or -- I mean could we have some more detailed color on that?

A
Aman Desai
executive

One is generic and one is -- one, I think, is generic now and another is under patent.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Mr. Sanjesh Jain from ICICI Securities.

S
Sanjesh Jain
analyst

Thanks for taking my question, and apologies for the last time. First question on the agrochemical side. One of your larger peers has said that the problem may persist for few more quarters while we remain optimistic of seeing the revival from Q2, is that we are coming with the newer products, basically [indiscernible], is that about helping us for faster be in the agrochemical, is number one. Number two on the currency side, the Chinese yuan has depreciated and Indian currency has [indiscernible]...

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Jain, your line is -- you're having disturbance in your line. Can you please use handset?

S
Sanjesh Jain
analyst

Sir, I'm using it handset only. Can you hear me now? I think it's a network issue. Apologies for that. Can you hear me now, Rohan sir?

R
Rohan Desai
executive

Yes, yes, please.

S
Sanjesh Jain
analyst

Second, on the currency side, now that the Chinese yuan has depreciated while Indian currency has remained stable. Do you think this could play a slight spoilsport in our margin assumption? And the last question is on the guidance. In the previous call when we spoke, we were hopeful of doing close to INR 1,000 crores of top line this year. Do you see any challenge for that? Do you see it could be pushed by a quarter or so?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, Mr. Jain on the RMB side, they have been devalued -- the RMB devalued aid to the sales of China basically. So they are able to dump at a more better pricing even because the value -- the RMB has devalued. So that has helped them. Now it has stabilized, I believe so. We are tracking it on a daily basis. If it appreciates, the prices of all the raw materials will automatically start correcting. That is what our understanding and assumption is. It has -- there are multiple factors, but one of the factors where -- in 2 weeks' time, the prices are able to -- they were able to correct the price by 2% to 3% is just because their currencies were devaluating as compared to U.S. dollars. In terms of the guidance, INR 1,000 crores was something which I don't know, we have never given the forward numbers to you, but -- or to anybody else, but we -- with the start of this year, we had targeted certain numbers and we have fallen back on this in terms of quarter 1, but we think that with Q3, Q4 being stronger, we will reach in the nearby range.

S
Sanjesh Jain
analyst

And on the agrochemical cycle?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes. So agrochemical cycle, yes, some of the peers have suggested that the whole year would be troublesome for agrochemical side, but there are a lot of products, and a lot of products play differently in the agro side. So we have very limited products as such. We have to 3 to 4 products as we speak only on the agro side, and we see the demand coming back in Q3 and Q4 for sure. It's more of a destocking issue only. It's not more related to the climate or something like that.

S
Sanjesh Jain
analyst

Fair enough. Fair enough. Just one last question from my side...

Operator

Sorry to interrupt Mr. Jain, may we please request you to return in the question queue as several participants are waiting for their turn?

The next question is from the line of Reena from Elara.

U
Unknown Analyst

I have questions pertaining to Unit 3. I believe Unit 3 is up and running in this quarter. So wanted to understand how volume and prices are seen from Unit 3 and in total? And what was your average realization in this quarter? And the second question is, I am seeing high cost of....

Operator

There is some background disturbance coming from your end?

U
Unknown Analyst

I'm actually traveling. So [indiscernible] this louder, is it fine?

A
Aman Desai
executive

No, but there's a lot of sound behind you.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Jason Soans from IDBI Capital.

J
Jason Soans
analyst

My question is related to a little more broader level. So I just wanted to know, clearly, in terms of the agrochemical cycle, there seems to be a down cycle setting in. And basically, it's being driven around through China, especially with all the raw materials, basically, the inputs in the intermediates prices crashing down and hence, also finished goods prices also correcting. So I just wanted from you a sense of -- in terms of what's the competitive intensity in terms of Indian specialty chemical companies as compared to the Chinese peers? Do you see this China resurgence, what is happening also affecting the sentiment for specialty chemicals, Indian specialty companies as well on ground?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So the prices have corrected very sharply in terms of China dumping and the demand also not there. So both had a multiple effect on to the prices of all the raw materials and the finished products also. But we understand that this has reached the bottom as we speak. It cannot be sustained at this level throughout the whole year. And so we think that it will come back. It will start correcting and it will come back to its normal level in Q2 and maybe towards the end of Q2 or in the starting of Q3, that's what our understanding is.

And then once it is back, I believe this will remain stable throughout the next financial year. So the whole Indian specialty chemical story has not lost. It's important just because the Q1 of various companies have been affected because of this price correction. So if you see the last financial year also, Q1 was a tough one for the pharmaceutical-focused companies. But towards the end of the last financial year also, everything came back to normal and everybody was quite positive on the pharmaceutical side. So the same thing is happening in the agrochemical side, and this will also come back to its normal course in the quarters to come.

J
Jason Soans
analyst

Sure, sir. Just my question was basically with the Chinese resurgence, which was not there till probably 1.5, 2 years. So they are coming back strongly. So just wanted to know whether the -- how is the momentum on the ground just in terms of China-plus-one, Europe-plus-one. Just if you are seeing any material change in the outlook, that's what I wanted to know.

A
Aman Desai
executive

The outlook of the people has not changed. So the procurement teams are still believing that if they're selecting an Indian source, they would still stick to the Indian source. But obviously, if you see the ground reality that they also have a pressure to perform and to deliver a product to their customers at a competitive price. So if you are able to match the Chinese price, then you would be obviously be the selected or the priority option for any procurement person through India or throughout the world.

Operator

May you please request you to return to the question queue. Next question is from the line of Rohan Gupta from Nuvama.

R
Rohan Gupta
analyst

Sir, just only one question. Sir, our business model is primarily identifying the opportunities or the products where there is no manufacturer in India and probably offering a better costing compared to other suppliers, primarily in China. That was the business model, and we were fairly doing well in that in identifying multiple products. What you just mentioned, sir, with the currency depreciation in Chinese yuan much sharper than Indian and increased manufacturing, you can say that aggression of this Chinese manufacturer, it has impacted us in last 2 quarters and probably maybe in a couple of quarters more. Why we think that is just only short-term phenomena, if the manufacturers in China remain aggressive, and with the government support, isn't it our business model is more susceptible to the Chinese supplies and in terms of our ability to protect the margin or gain market share?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So our business model is not based on selling at L1 price, lower than Chinese price. It is always to match the Chinese price, not go into a rat race of price decrease against China. As -- the currency devaluation plus aggressiveness has been across the board. So it's not only Aether product, but everybody -- every chemical product has seen this phenomenon where the product was dumped and the prices have corrected quite a lot. Most of the raw materials or basic commodities have seen a rock bottom price, which has not been seen since the last 10 years also.

So this -- and Chinese are selling below without margin to start with, coupled with no demand. This has been fueled at a higher level, where they are becoming very aggressive and impatient. But this is not going to last long, and this is going to be applied for everybody else. So it's not only Aether which is going to suffer and the rest of the companies are going to make money, but it's going to be affecting everybody out there. So -- and this is not a sustainable model. So it's not going to sustain for quite a long time. You cannot sell at a loss for a period of 1 year and not make any money and just keep on dumping material. And even it happens with 1 product or so, it's okay. It's not going to happen with all 20 products, which we are supplying too, which we are competing with Chinese too. So I don't see a problem lasting long, but let's see how it turns up in Q2, Q3 and Q4.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Shreyal Doke, individual investor.

U
Unknown Attendee

So my question only with regarding -- you mentioned about R&D. And so can you please help me to know on how many patents did you have in the last 6 months? And what was last year total patents you have done?

A
Aman Desai
executive

Yes, we are in the process development area. And so typically, we do not patent. We typically keep it as a trade secret because process patent enforcement in the Indian Asian regime is very difficult. And so we typically tend to veer towards the preference of keeping it as a trade secret. But having said that, we have done 3 patent applications with -- combined with our customers over the last couple of years and these are in the works, especially -- but then we are inventors on that, but the patents will be owned by the customers because these are from the CRAMS projects that we do.

U
Unknown Attendee

Okay. Okay. Understood. Just one more question is, you mentioned about purchasing with the one of the Europe plants with -- starting with the small one. So can you please help us on to know?

A
Aman Desai
executive

You mean acquisitions. Yes, so we are still in preliminary discussions with various people in the U.S. as well as Europe. And the idea is to be going for R&D capabilities and footprints either extending our competencies or getting into new competencies or a new client base would be the focus, especially in the R&D area. It would be a small acquisition. But there's just preliminary discussions still ongoing, nothing is finalized yet. Then of course, as we -- if and when we get to a finalization, we'll be keeping all the investors well informed.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Rohit Nagraj from Centrum Broking.

R
Rohit Nagraj
analyst

One question and one clarification. So one question. Basically, last year, we had got impacted because of the pharma slowdown. This year probably because of agro slowdown. Obviously, these are the issues which are not in our hand. But what steps or what lessons that we have learned from this in terms of maybe the inventories that we keep or the contract that we signed, the other factors which are impacting the business on a whole way. So are there any steps that we have taken? That's the first question. And on the clarification front, so we've said that all the raw material prices are coming down, and we will be able to protect the margins. But mathematically speaking, obviously, the EBITDA margins would look better, but the per kg margins, whether they will decline and will that have an impact on the absolute EBITDA?

A
Aman Desai
executive

So I'll take the second question first. The absolute EBITDA -- as the selling price decreases, the absolute EBITDA also will decrease. So what we have to do is to change the product mix or focus on high-value products more in this time to come. And then once the whole environment stabilizes, try and increase the price. So currently, yes, that is what absolute EBITDA will be affected if the top line is affected.

And as regards to the first question in the lessons learned and the learnings and the pathways going forward. It's a great question, Rohit. And I do -- we do believe firmly that the answer is what we have always said, actually. We have been focusing on this answer well before these problems in the current quarters have hit, which is diversification of the business model and the diversification of the industry spectrum and the focus on the R&D. And so the R&D has to remain the focus. The R&D pipeline has to be full with products and opportunities and areas of innovation. And the focus has to be on diversification, not on pharma, not on agro, but in the other fields of material sciences and the additives and the flavor and fragrances and the oil field and gas, especially that we are focusing on currently.

And so the current sustained focus is, of course, we are going to retain our hold on the pharmaceutical import substitutes and the focus on the agrochemical products that we are in, in addition to the relationships that we have curated very carefully over the last few years in the agrochemical innovator space, but also with an increasing focus on the oil field and gas sector and the material sciences sector, which kind of speaks -- if you look at the announcements that we have made in the last quarter itself, you will get all Indian non-pharma sectors and so diversifying out our business model, further diversifying out our industry applications further and focusing on innovation, R&D as the fundamental base of the company is going to be the answer. And if you've seen, I think we have fared better as compared to the spec-chem market because of the current headwinds. And I think that is because of the diversification that we have in terms of the R&D and the areas that we are in.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, we will take this as the last question for the day. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments.

S
Shubhangi Desai
executive

Thank you, everyone, for participating in the call. We hope that we have addressed the majority of your questions. If you still have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to us. Take care and have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of HDFC Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

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