Adani Power Ltd
NSE:ADANIPOWER
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ADANIPOWER stock under the Base Case scenario is 606.43 INR. Compared to the current market price of 460.45 INR, Adani Power Ltd is Undervalued by 24%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Adani Power Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Adani Power Ltd. stands as one of India's largest private power producers, a key player in the country's ambitious journey toward energy self-sufficiency and sustainable growth. Founded in 1996 as part of the Adani Group, the company has dramatically expanded its footprint, with a diversified portfolio that includes thermal and renewable energy projects. With an installed capacity of over 12,000 megawatts, Adani Power is not only crucial in meeting the growing electricity demands of a rapidly urbanizing nation but also in leading the charge toward green energy. Investors are particularly intrigued by the company’s commitment to sustainable practices, exemplified by its significant investment...
Adani Power Ltd. stands as one of India's largest private power producers, a key player in the country's ambitious journey toward energy self-sufficiency and sustainable growth. Founded in 1996 as part of the Adani Group, the company has dramatically expanded its footprint, with a diversified portfolio that includes thermal and renewable energy projects. With an installed capacity of over 12,000 megawatts, Adani Power is not only crucial in meeting the growing electricity demands of a rapidly urbanizing nation but also in leading the charge toward green energy. Investors are particularly intrigued by the company’s commitment to sustainable practices, exemplified by its significant investments in solar and wind energy, projecting a forward-thinking approach that aligns with global shifts toward renewable sources.
As the energy landscape evolves, Adani Power’s strategic maneuvers position it favorably for long-term growth. With ambitious plans to further ramp up its renewable capacity, the company aims to contribute significantly to India's goal of achieving 450 GW of renewable energy by 2030. Moreover, its strong operational efficiency, backed by technological innovations, helps maintain a competitive edge in a sector marked by volatility. For prospective investors, Adani Power offers not just a stake in India's energy future but also an opportunity to be part of a dynamic story — one that intertwines with national interests and global concerns over energy sustainability, making it a potentially lucrative addition to any diversified investment portfolio.
Adani Power Ltd. is one of the largest private thermal power producers in India and operates in several key segments within the energy sector. Here are the core business segments of Adani Power:
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Thermal Power Generation:
- This is the primary segment of Adani Power, involving the generation of electricity through thermal power plants. The company owns and operates coal-based power plants, harnessing coal as the primary fuel source.
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Renewable Energy:
- Adani Power has increasingly focused on renewable energy, particularly solar and wind. This segment aligns with global trends toward sustainable energy sources and Indian government initiatives promoting renewable energy.
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Power Trading:
- The company engages in trading of electricity, facilitating transactions between generation and distribution companies. This includes trading in power surplus and ensuring efficient allocation of electricity across regions.
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Power Transmission:
- While primarily focused on power generation, Adani Power is involved in the transmission of electricity, ensuring the efficient and reliable distribution of the power generated to the end customers.
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Infrastructure Development:
- Adani Power might also engage in the development of infrastructure related to energy generation, such as building facilities that support power production, including coal handling and transport facilities.
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Energy Consulting and Support Services:
- The company may provide consulting and engineering services for energy projects, leveraging its extensive experience in the energy sector.
Overall, Adani Power's strategy is centered around expanding its generation capacity, increasing the share of renewable energy in its portfolio, and enhancing operational efficiencies to meet the growing energy demand in India. This multifaceted approach positions the company to capitalize on both conventional and emerging energy trends.
Adani Power Ltd holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the energy sector, particularly in India. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Integrated Operations: Adani Power has a vertically integrated business model that encompasses generation, transmission, and distribution. This allows for better control over the supply chain and operational efficiencies compared to competitors that may focus on one segment of the energy sector.
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Diverse Energy Portfolio: The company has a diversified energy mix, with significant focus on renewable energy alongside traditional coal-fired power generation. This aligns with global trends toward sustainability and positions Adani Power well for future growth as governments increase their focus on clean energy.
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Large Capacity: Adani Power is one of the largest private power producers in India. Its substantial installed capacity provides economies of scale, allowing for more competitive pricing and the ability to meet large power demands from various sectors.
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Geographical Advantage: The company has strategically located plants near critical infrastructure, such as coal sourcing, ports, and key demand centers in India. This reduces transportation costs and enhances supply chain efficiency.
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Strong Financial Backing: As part of the larger Adani Group, the company benefits from strong financial support and access to capital, which is crucial for funding large infrastructure projects and expanding its power generation capacity.
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Government Policies and Agreements: Adani Power has been successful in securing long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) and has benefited from favorable government policies aimed at promoting energy generation, especially in renewable sectors.
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Innovative Technology Adoption: The company invests in advanced technologies and practices that enhance operational efficiency and reduce emissions, which can give it a competitive edge in improving the sustainability of its power generation.
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Brand Reputation and Trust: The established brand and reputation of the Adani Group lend credibility to Adani Power. This trust can foster stronger relationships with customers, suppliers, and governmental agencies.
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Focus on Operational Efficiency: The company continuously seeks to optimize its operations, which can result in lower cost structures and greater profitability, especially in competitive markets.
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Commitment to Sustainability and CSR: Adani Power's commitment to corporate social responsibility (CSR) and sustainability initiatives not only improve its public image but can also attract investors focused on ethical and responsible business practices.
These competitive advantages position Adani Power Ltd favorably against its peers, enabling it to capitalize on growth opportunities and navigate challenges in the evolving energy landscape.
As of my last update in October 2023, Adani Power Ltd, like many companies in the energy sector, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and growth prospects. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Regulatory Risks: The energy sector is heavily regulated, and changes in government policies or regulations related to environmental standards, tariffs, and subsidies can significantly affect operational costs and profitability. Compliance with stricter environmental regulations could also require significant capital investments.
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Environmental Concerns: Adani Power has faced scrutiny regarding its environmental practices, particularly related to coal-based power generation. Growing global emphasis on sustainability and climate change may lead to increased regulations and a push for renewable energy sources.
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Market Competition: The energy sector in India is becoming increasingly competitive, with the entry of new players and the expansion of renewable energy. Traditional coal-based power generation faces competition from cheaper renewable alternatives, affecting pricing and market share.
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Debt Levels: Financing expansions or new projects often involves taking on substantial debt. High leverage can lead to financial strain, especially if market conditions change or if there are delays in project execution.
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Operational Risks: The company may encounter operational challenges, including equipment failures, maintenance issues, or disruption of supply chains for critical components. These risks can affect the reliability of power generation and result in financial losses.
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Fuel Supply Risks: Adani Power's operations are heavily reliant on coal and other fossil fuels. Fluctuations in fuel prices, availability issues, or disruptions in transportation can impact cost structures and profitability.
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Renewable Energy Transition: As the world moves towards renewable energy, there could be significant shifts in policy, investment, and consumer preferences. Adani Power may need to accelerate its transition to renewable energy sources to stay relevant.
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Economic Factors: Macroeconomic conditions, such as changes in GDP growth, inflation, and foreign exchange fluctuations, can impact demand for electricity and operational costs, particularly if there is a reliance on imported fuel.
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Public Perception and Brand Image: Any negative publicity or controversies can affect the company’s reputation and stakeholder trust, influencing its ability to attract investment and partnerships.
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Complexity of Projects: Large-scale power projects entail significant complexity, and any delays or cost overruns can have adverse financial impacts.
In response to these challenges, Adani Power Ltd may need to implement a robust risk management framework, diversify its energy portfolio, and invest in technological advancements to enhance efficiency and sustainability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Adani Power Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Adani Power Ltd
Current Assets | 269.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 70.2B |
Receivables | 147.1B |
Other Current Assets | 51.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 838.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 6.4B |
PP&E | 804B |
Intangibles | 2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 26.4B |
Current Liabilities | 153.5B |
Accounts Payable | 31.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 122.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 394.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 291.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 103.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Adani Power Ltd
Revenue
|
546.5B
INR
|
Cost of Revenue
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-306.1B
INR
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Gross Profit
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240.4B
INR
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Operating Expenses
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-71.2B
INR
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Operating Income
|
169.2B
INR
|
Other Expenses
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-42B
INR
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Net Income
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127.2B
INR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Adani Power Ltd
INR | |
Free Cash Flow | INR |
In Q1 FY '25, Adani Power showcased robust financial results with a 29% increase in operating revenue to INR 14,717 crores and a 57% rise in continuing EBITDA to INR 6,290 crores. Profits grew, fueled by a 78% plant load factor and strategic fuel management. Significant future projects include the 1,600 MW Mahan Energen Phase 2, set for completion by June '27. Adani plans to double its capacity to 30 GW by '30 to meet India's growing power demands, while continuing to expand through strategic acquisitions and new projects.
What is Earnings Call?
ADANIPOWER Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Adani Power Ltd's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Adani Power Ltd's profitability score is 73/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ADANIPOWER Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Adani Power Ltd's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Adani Power Ltd's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ADANIPOWER Price Targets Summary
Adani Power Ltd
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ADANIPOWER is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
ADANIPOWER Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Description
Adani Power Ltd. is a thermal power producer, engages in the generation and transmission of electricity under long term power purchase agreements and on merchant basis in India. The company is headquartered in Ahmedabad, Gujarat and currently employs 80 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2009-08-20. The firm is a thermal power producer in India with a power generation capacity of approximately 12,450 megawatts (MW) comprising 12,410 MW of thermal power plants and a 40 MW solar power project. The company focuses on providing power generation and coal trading. The firm has built and operates through its subsidiaries over 9,240 MW of thermal power capacity, including a 4,620 MW plant of APMuL at Mundra in Gujarat, a 3,300 MW plant of APML at Tiroda in Maharashtra and a 1,320 MW plant of APRL at Kawai in Rajasthan. The firm also has three thermal power plants with a total capacity of approximately 3,170 MW comprising a 1,200 MW plant of UPCL at Udupi in Karnataka, a 1,370 MW plant of REL at Raipur in Chhattisgarh and a 600 MW plant of REGL at Raigarh in Chhattisgarh. Its subsidiaries include Adani Power (Mundra) Limited, Adani Power Maharashtra Limited, Adani Power Rajasthan Limited, Udupi Power Corporation Limited, and Raipur Energen Limited.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ADANIPOWER stock under the Base Case scenario is 606.43 INR.
Compared to the current market price of 460.45 INR, Adani Power Ltd is Undervalued by 24%.