Wingstop Inc
NASDAQ:WING
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one WING stock under the Base Case scenario is 111.09 USD. Compared to the current market price of 332.77 USD, Wingstop Inc is Overvalued by 67%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Wingstop Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Wingstop Inc. is an innovative player in the fast-casual dining space, best known for its mouthwatering chicken wings and a diverse array of bold flavors. Founded in 1994 in Garland, Texas, the company has transformed into a rapidly growing franchise with hundreds of locations across the U.S. and internationally. What sets Wingstop apart is its commitment to quality and a unique dining experience that celebrates the joy of eating wings. Its menu is built around a vibrant selection of sauces, encouraging customers to indulge in their flavor fantasies. As a result, Wingstop has carved out a loyal customer base and established itself as a go-to destination for wing enthusiasts. From an investm...
Wingstop Inc. is an innovative player in the fast-casual dining space, best known for its mouthwatering chicken wings and a diverse array of bold flavors. Founded in 1994 in Garland, Texas, the company has transformed into a rapidly growing franchise with hundreds of locations across the U.S. and internationally. What sets Wingstop apart is its commitment to quality and a unique dining experience that celebrates the joy of eating wings. Its menu is built around a vibrant selection of sauces, encouraging customers to indulge in their flavor fantasies. As a result, Wingstop has carved out a loyal customer base and established itself as a go-to destination for wing enthusiasts.
From an investment perspective, Wingstop's growth trajectory has been remarkable, characterized by a strong emphasis on franchise development and a robust digital ordering platform. The company's expansion strategy not only targets new markets but also focuses on optimizing existing locations for increased profitability. This approach positions Wingstop favorably in the competitive landscape of fast-casual dining, driven by consumer trends that favor convenience and comfort food. With a clear vision for growth, a resilient business model, and an expanding global footprint, Wingstop represents a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to capture a piece of the thriving restaurant sector.
Wingstop Inc. operates primarily in the casual dining and fast-casual restaurant segments, focusing specifically on chicken wings. The company's core business segments can be categorized into the following areas:
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Restaurants:
- Franchised Restaurants: A significant portion of Wingstop's business is derived from franchised locations. The company has a robust franchise model, allowing for rapid expansion while minimizing capital expenditures.
- Company-Owned Restaurants: Wingstop also operates its own locations, which allow for direct control over the brand experience and operational standards.
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Menu Offerings:
- Wing Dishes: The core product offering includes a variety of chicken wings, available in different flavors and cooking styles, such as traditional and boneless wings.
- Complementary Sides and Sauces: In addition to wings, the menu features sides like fries and other options, along with a selection of dipping sauces that enhance the dining experience.
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Takeout and Delivery:
- Wingstop places a strong emphasis on takeout and delivery services, adapting to changing consumer behaviors and preferences. The company has partnerships with third-party delivery services, as well as its own online ordering system.
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Marketing and Brand Strategy:
- Wingstop invests heavily in marketing and promotional activities to build brand awareness and customer loyalty. This includes digital marketing, social media engagement, and promotions like limited-time offers to attract customers.
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Technology and Innovation:
- As part of its strategy, Wingstop utilizes technology to enhance operations and customer experience, including mobile apps for ordering, loyalty programs, and data analytics to optimize menu pricing and inventory management.
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International Expansion:
- While the majority of Wingstop’s locations are in the U.S., the company is focused on expanding its footprint internationally, tapping into new markets where there is a growing demand for its products.
Overall, Wingstop Inc.'s core business segments revolve around its franchise model, menu diversity, customer service approaches such as takeout and delivery, marketing strategies, and technology utilization, all aimed at driving growth and profitability in the competitive restaurant industry.
Wingstop Inc. possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the fast-casual dining and wings segment. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Specialization in Wings: Wingstop focuses exclusively on chicken wings, allowing it to become a leader in this niche market. This specialization enables the brand to refine its processes, recipes, and operational efficiency related to wing production, which can be challenging for competitors who diversify their menus.
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Strong Brand Identity: Wingstop has established a recognizable brand that emphasizes a fun, energetic dining experience coupled with a strong focus on flavor variety. Their extensive menu of wing flavors appeals to a broad audience, helping to cultivate customer loyalty.
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Franchise Model: Wingstop's successful franchise model allows for rapid expansion with relatively low capital expenditure compared to company-owned stores. This model attracts a variety of franchisees and accelerates market penetration.
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Digital and Delivery Innovation: Wingstop has invested significantly in technology to streamline ordering and delivery processes, including a user-friendly mobile app and website. This focus on digital engagement helps capture the growing trend of online ordering, especially amid increasing competition from delivery services.
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Strong Supply Chain and Operational Efficiency: Wingstop has established a robust supply chain that allows for high-quality raw ingredients and consistent product availability. Their streamlined operations contribute to efficiency and lower overhead costs per unit.
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Loyalty Programs and Customer Engagement: The company has successfully implemented loyalty programs that encourage repeat business. Engaging with customers through promotions and exclusive offers further strengthens this relationship.
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Scalability: Wingstop's business model is easily replicable in different geographic locations, which allows for a scalable growth strategy. The standardized processes ensure consistent customer experiences regardless of location.
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Focus on Flavor and Quality: The brand’s emphasis on high-quality ingredients and an expansive selection of flavors creates a distinctive product offering that increases customer satisfaction and market differentiation.
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Compelling Marketing Strategies: Wingstop effectively utilizes social media and creative marketing campaigns to connect with younger demographics, building brand awareness and driving customer engagement.
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Crisis Resilience: The company showed resilience during economic downturns and the COVID-19 pandemic by adapting its business model and focusing on takeout and delivery services, thus navigating challenges better than some competitors.
These competitive advantages, when combined, position Wingstop for continued growth and resilience in a competitive fast-casual dining landscape.
Wingstop Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its business operations and growth potential. Here are some key areas to consider:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Fluctuations in the availability and pricing of chicken wings and other ingredients can significantly affect profitability. Any disruptions due to labor shortages, transportation issues, or trade restrictions can lead to increased costs and product shortages.
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Competition: The fast-casual dining sector is highly competitive, with many restaurants vying for market share. Wingstop must contend with both established brands and new entrants, which can lead to price wars and increased marketing costs.
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Economic Conditions: Economic downturns can reduce consumer spending, especially in discretionary areas like dining out. Inflation rates affecting food prices can also squeeze margins if Wingstop cannot pass these costs to customers without losing them.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer behavior and dietary preferences, such as growing interest in plant-based foods or healthier eating habits, could impact demand for traditional wing offerings.
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Franchise Management: As a franchise-based model, Wingstop depends on its franchisees to maintain brand standards and operational efficiency. Poor performance or mismanagement by franchisees can damage the brand’s reputation and profitability.
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Regulatory Challenges: Changes in food safety regulations, labor laws, and health policies can create compliance costs and operational challenges. Food safety incidents can also lead to significant reputational damage.
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Digital Transformation Risks: As Wingstop increasingly relies on digital ordering and delivery, any technical issues or security breaches in its online platforms could affect sales and customer trust.
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Real Estate Costs: The costs associated with securing and maintaining prime restaurant locations can be significant. An increase in rent or property prices can impact profitability.
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Labor Issues: Finding and retaining skilled labor is an ongoing challenge in the restaurant industry. High turnover rates can lead to increased training costs and impact service quality.
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Brand Reputation Risks: As a publicly recognized brand, any negative publicity, whether from customer experiences or social media backlash, can swiftly impact sales and customer loyalty.
Addressing these risks will require strategic management and a proactive approach to adapt to market changes and maintain competitiveness.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Wingstop Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Wingstop Inc
Current Assets | 166.2m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 84m |
Receivables | 16.9m |
Other Current Assets | 65.3m |
Non-Current Assets | 318.5m |
PP&E | 176.9m |
Intangibles | 114.2m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 27.4m |
Current Liabilities | 118.9m |
Accounts Payable | 10.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 105.1m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 813.3m |
Long-Term Debt | 713.7m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 99.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Wingstop Inc
Revenue
|
591m
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-88m
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
503m
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-348.7m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
154.3m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-53.5m
USD
|
Net Income
|
100.8m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Wingstop Inc
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
WING Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Wingstop Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Wingstop Inc's profitability score is 60/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
WING Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Wingstop Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Wingstop Inc's solvency score is 58/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
WING Price Targets Summary
Wingstop Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for WING is 435.06 USD with a low forecast of 363.6 USD and a high forecast of 514.5 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for WING is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Wingstop, Inc. is a franchisor and operator of restaurants, which engages in the provision of cooked-to-order, hand-sauced, and tossed chicken wings. The company is headquartered in Addison, Texas and currently employs 890 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-06-12. The firm is in the business of franchising and operating Wingstop restaurants. The firm is primarily a franchisor, with approximately 98% of its restaurants owned and operated by independent franchisees. The company offers classic wings, boneless wings and tenders, always cooked to order, and hand-sauced-and-tossed in about 11 distinctive flavors. The company offers various order options, including eat-in, to go, individual, combo meals and family packs. The company also developed a custom Website and mobile ordering application. The company has approximately 1,461 domestic franchised restaurants and 180 international franchised restaurants. The company owns and operates approximately 32 restaurants.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one WING stock under the Base Case scenario is 111.09 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 332.77 USD, Wingstop Inc is Overvalued by 67%.